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tw
(02)2705-5066

 www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Herbert Simon

1971Thomas L. Saaty

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHPExpert Choice
Expert ChoiceExpert Choice, Inc.
1983
50010030
Expert Choice
Expert Choice

Expert Choice
Expert ChoiceExpert Choice

1.

Expert Choice11.5112000

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Expert ChoiceAHP

2.

Expert Choice

e-mail:
aponmanatee@gmail.com

Tyson Jung

20116





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Expert Choice

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHPExpert Choice
Expert Choice
Expert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert Choice
Expert Choice

1.

Expert Choice11.5112000

2.

Expert Choice

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01
03

1-13
1-2AHPExpert Choice9
1-3AHP12

25

2-127
2-234
2-336
2-439
2-542
2-642
2-744
2-856
2-956
2-1057

Expert Choice

59

3-1Expert Choice61
3-264
3-368
3-469

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Expert ChoiceAHP
3-573
3-674
3-775
3-878

Expert Choice

107

4-1Alternative109
4-2Sensitivity-Graphs114
4-3120
4-4123
4-5123
4-6Global versus Active Alternatives124
4-7Help126
4-8127





129

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A
H
P
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1-1

Herbert Simon

1971Thomas L. Saaty

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHP
Nominal Scale
Pairwise ComparisonPairwise Comparison
MatrixEigenvector
max

AHP
AHP
Consistency Index, C.I.
Consistency Ratio, C.R.
AHP

AHP m
Judgments m i j
Relative Importanceaij A = (aij) m
max

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Expert ChoiceAHP

A aij max
Consistency Index, C.I.
Random Index, R.I.
C.I.R.I.C.R.


AHPAHP

Satty1980
1.Setting Priority
2.Generating a Set of Alternatives
3.Choosing a Best Policy Alternative
4.Determining Requirements
5.Allocating Resources
6.Predicting Outcomes - Risk Assessment
7.Measuring Performance
8.System Design
9.Ensuring System Stability
10.Optimization
11.Planning
12.Conict Resolution

AHP





1989AHP
13767-1387019897

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1.ClassesComponents

2.Independence
3.

4.Ratio Scale
5.Positive Reciprocal Matrix
6.TransitivityABB
CACABBC
AC
7.Weighting Principle
8.

AHP
AHP

1-1

AHP

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Expert ChoiceAHP

1-1AHP





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Goal
1-3
1-2ABC
A1A2Alternative
A

B12

C1

C2

B22

C3

C1

C2

B32

C3

A1

C1

C2

C3

A2

1-2

n nn - 1/2

Pairwise Comparison
Matrix

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Saaty

3-1AHP

Equal Importance

Moderate Importance

Essential / Strong Importance

Very / Strong Importance

Extreme Importance

2468

The Hierarchon: A dictionary of Hierarchies. Saaty, p. A-9; T. C. & Forman, E. H. (1996).

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania: Expert Choice.

A
Expert Choice

Consistency Index , C.I.

1.C.I. = 0
2.C.I.0.1

C.I.Consistency Ratio, C.R.

C.R.





Random Index, R.I.

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C.R. = C.I./R.I.R.I.Random Index4-1m

R.I.
4-1Random Index, R.I.
m

10

11

12

13

R.I.

0.00

0.00

0.58

0.90

1.12

1.24

1.32

1.41

1.45

1.49

1.51

1.48

1.56

14

15

1.57 1.59

C.I. = max - m/ m - 1max A

1-2AHPExpert Choice
Expert Choice Expert Choice, Inc.
1983
10030
Expert ChoiceExpert Choice

http://www.expertchoice.com/1-3

www.expertchoice.com/academic-program/freetrial1-4Expert Choice 11.5 15

1-5
3Facilitator
Alternative

Alternative

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1-3Expert Choice

1-4





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1-5Expert Choice 11.5 15

1-6

1-6

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Expert Choice, Inc.

1-7

1-7Expert Choice, Inc.

1-3AHP
AHP





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Decision Making

Andy Grove

Programmed
Decisions

Nonprogrammed Decisions

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Certainty

Uncertainty

Seinfeld
NBC

Risk

Risk Taking
Risk Avoiding





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Decision ScopeEffect

Strategic Decisions

Tactical Decisions

Operational Decisions

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Expert ChoiceAHP

(1)(2)
(3)(4)
(5)

2001911
IBM
Lou Gerstner
Gerstner

1-8(1)(2)
(3)(4)(5)(6)

1-8

Opportunity





C. M. Pearson and J. A. Clair, Reframing Organizational Crisis, Academy of Management Review 23

(1998): 59-76.

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Problem

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Decision Criteria

Decision Quality
Decision
Acceptance


Optimizing





N. R. Maier, Psychology in Industrial Organizations, 4th ed. (Boston: Houghton Mifin, 1973).

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Satisficing

Implementation

SatiscingSatisfying

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Expert ChoiceAHP

AHP

AHPAHP

Decision Support Systems, DSST. P.

Gerrity1971
DSSDSS

Group Decision Support Systems, GDSS

DSSGDSS
GDSSGDSS

GDSS
GDSSGDSS

GDSS

GDSS





T. P. Gerrity, Design of Man-Machine Decision Systems: An Application to Portfolio Management,

Sloan Management Review, Winter 1971, p. 59.

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Expert Choice(AHP)
..,
2011.06
.
ISBN 978-957-11-6302-4 ()
1.
494.8

100010170

1H71

Expert Choice
(AHP)








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