TIME

Predictions about prediction

Data is out, and pure gut instinct is in

WHILE 2016 WAS A HORRIBLE YEAR FOR PREDICTIONS—Brexit! Trump! FARC plebiscite! Leicester City! The Game of Thrones guy who deserved to die but no one thought would die and was finally killed by that other Game of Thrones guy!—that is not going to stop me from making prognostications. In fact, I feel very confident about my first prediction: 2017 is going to be a horrible year for predictions.

You’re reading a preview, subscribe to read more.

More from TIME

TIME3 min read
Milestones
When King Charles III bestowed new honors on his family members on April 23, St. George’s Day, the batch of titles sounded as grand as can be: his son William, the Prince of Wales, became Great Master of the Most Honourable Order of the Bath; Charles
TIME12 min read
Holding Court
At the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., maybe the most prestigious nonmajor tournament on the global tennis tour, players conduct their warm-up routines on a patch of grass outside the stadium. Some toss medicine balls to their trainers, whi
TIME2 min read
A Man In Full, Adapted And Redacted
Tom Wolfe’s A Man in Full is a massive book, in more ways than one. The 742-page social novel about a swaggering Atlanta real estate mogul, which took Wolfe over a decade to write, sold a jaw-dropping 1.4 million hardcover copies after its publicatio

Related Books & Audiobooks