NPR

Democrats' 2018 Primary Turnout Mirrors Previous Wave Elections

In the majority of states that have already held primaries, results showed massive increases in Democratic turnout as opposed to often a minimal uptick — or even noticeable dip — among GOP voters.
Voter turnout in primaries and special elections has dramatically increased this year compared to past midterm elections. Turnout for Democrats has climbed 78 percent, while Republicans have seen a 23 percent uptick.

As both parties begin their final post-Labor Day sprint to Election Day, there are concrete signs that Democratic voters are fired up heading into the midterm elections.

Nowhere is that more evident than in the majority of states that have already held primaries. There's been massive increases in Democratic turnout while often a minimal uptick — or even noticeable dip — in turnout among Republican voters.

"What I'm seeing, with the exception of a handful of states, in state after state are huge increases in Democratic turnout relative to the increase in Republican turnout, when you look at 2014 versus 2018 turnout," said Republican pollster John Couvillon. "From looking at primary turnout as evidence of partisan enthusiasm, I'm seeing it on the Democratic side."

Couvillon has been studying primary turnout for several election cycles. His research this year found that there are many indicators that predict this could be an election for Democrats on par with

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