Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INVESTMENT
Current exchange rate, Ps/US$
FINANCING
7.20
20.00%
10.00%
200
$9,000,000.00
65,500,000.00
$902,777.78
6,500,000.00
Total
6,550,000.00
$6,000,000.00
9,902,777.78
72,000,000.00
35.00%
12.00%
7.80%
14.00%
9.10%
16.00%
$1,500,000,000.00
$3.20
7.00%
Share price
Total no. of shares outstanding as of last 12/31
$40.00
60,000,000.00
42.00%
20.00%
allocation fess
Cost of peso debt for working capital pre tax
Cost of peso debt for working capital after tax
Peso securities investment rate
15.00%
8.70%
15.00%
$10,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
Peso debt
$0.00
0.00
US$ debt, Ps
$0.00
0.00
10,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
Debt
458,000.00
Equity
WACC
given
7.20
YEAR 0
7.85
YEAR 1
8.57
YEAR 2
9.35
YEAR 3
10.20
YEAR 4
11.12
YEAR 5
12.14
YEAR 6
13.24
YEAR 7
14.44
YEAR 8
15.76
YEAR 9
17.19
YEAR 10
200
220
242
266
293
322
354
390
429
472
58,310.19
64,141.20
70,555.32
77,610.86
85,371.94
93,909.14
103,300.05
113,630.05
124,993.06
137,492.37
458,000.00
549,600.00
659,520.00
791,424.00
949,708.80
1,139,650.56
1,367,580.67
1,641,096.81
1,969,316.17
2,363,179.40
91,600,000.00
120,912,000.00
159,603,840.00
210,677,068.80
278,093,730.82
367,083,724.68
484,550,516.57
639,606,681.88
844,280,820.08
1,114,450,682.50
(11,800,000.00)
(12,980,000.00)
(14,278,000.00)
(15,705,800.00)
(17,276,380.00)
(19,004,018.00)
(20,904,419.80)
(22,994,861.78)
(25,294,347.96)
(27,823,782.75)
(27,400,000.00)
(32,880,000.00)
(39,456,000.00)
(47,347,200.00)
(56,816,640.00)
(68,179,968.00)
(81,815,961.60)
(98,179,153.92)
(117,814,984.70)
(141,377,981.64)
Total revenue, Ps
Less cost of goods sold
(9,200,000.00)
(10,580,000.00)
(12,167,000.00)
(13,992,050.00)
(16,090,857.50)
(18,504,486.13)
(21,280,159.04)
(24,472,182.90)
(28,143,010.34)
(32,364,461.89)
(48,400,000.00)
(56,440,000.00)
(65,901,000.00)
(77,045,050.00)
(90,183,877.50)
(105,688,472.13)
(124,000,540.44)
(145,646,198.60)
(171,252,343.00)
(201,566,226.28)
43,200,000.00
64,472,000.00
93,702,840.00
133,632,018.80
187,909,853.32
261,395,252.55
360,549,976.13
493,960,483.28
673,028,477.08
912,884,456.22
47.16%
53.32%
58.71%
63.43%
67.57%
71.21%
74.41%
77.23%
79.72%
81.91%
(9,160,000.00)
(12,091,200.00)
(15,960,384.00)
(21,067,706.88)
(27,809,373.08)
(36,708,372.47)
(48,455,051.66)
(63,960,668.19)
(84,428,082.01)
(111,445,068.25)
(4,580,000.00)
(5,267,000.00)
(6,057,050.00)
(6,965,607.50)
(8,010,448.63)
(9,212,015.92)
(10,593,818.31)
(12,182,891.05)
(14,010,324.71)
(16,111,873.42)
(4,600,000.00)
(5,520,000.00)
(6,624,000.00)
(7,948,800.00)
(9,538,560.00)
(11,446,272.00)
(13,735,526.40)
(16,482,631.68)
(19,779,158.02)
(23,734,989.62)
(920,000.00)
(1,104,000.00)
(1,324,800.00)
(1,589,760.00)
(1,907,712.00)
(2,289,254.40)
(2,747,105.28)
(3,296,526.34)
(3,955,831.60)
(4,746,997.92)
24,860,000.00
41,593,800.00
65,061,406.00
97,649,904.42
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
(6,550,000.00)
EBIT
18,310,000.00
35,043,800.00
58,511,406.00
91,099,904.42
136,001,471.61
197,478,592.17
281,215,579.77
394,784,292.36
548,260,912.35
755,042,524.93
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
142,551,471.61
204,028,592.17
287,765,579.77
401,334,292.36
554,810,912.35
761,592,524.93
Less depreciation
18,310,000.00
35,043,800.00
58,511,406.00
91,099,904.42
136,001,471.61
197,478,592.17
281,215,579.77
394,784,292.36
548,260,912.35
755,042,524.93
(7,690,200.00)
(14,718,396.00)
(24,574,790.52)
(38,261,959.86)
(57,120,618.08)
(82,941,008.71)
(118,110,543.50)
(165,809,402.79)
(230,269,583.19)
(317,117,860.47)
Net income, Ps
10,619,800.00
20,325,404.00
33,936,615.48
52,837,944.56
78,880,853.53
114,537,583.46
163,105,036.26
228,974,889.57
317,991,329.16
437,924,664.46
1,352,057.87
2,372,081.29
3,630,532.66
5,181,543.82
7,090,817.38
9,438,090.87
12,320,120.30
15,854,292.80
20,183,000.62
25,478,936.74
11.59%
16.81%
21.26%
25.08%
28.36%
31.20%
33.66%
35.80%
37.66%
39.30%
0.00
0.00
0.00
22,191,936.72
33,129,958.48
48,105,785.05
68,504,115.23
96,169,453.62
133,556,358.25
183,928,359.07
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$2,176,248.40
$2,978,143.30
$3,963,998.16
$5,174,450.53
$6,658,802.98
$8,476,860.26
$10,701,153.43
49.29%
45.20%
42.40%
40.38%
38.88%
37.72%
7.20
Project Year
YEAR 0
Sales volume
Sales price (US$)
Sales price (Ps)
7.85
YEAR 1
8.57
YEAR 2
9.35
YEAR 3
10.20
YEAR 4
11.12
YEAR 5
12.14
YEAR 6
13.24
YEAR 7
14.44
YEAR 8
15.76
YEAR 9
17.19
YEAR 10
200.00
220.00
242.00
266.20
292.82
322.10
354.31
389.74
428.72
471.59
58,310.19
64,141.20
70,555.32
77,610.86
85,371.94
93,909.14
103,300.05
113,630.05
124,993.06
137,492.37
458,000.00
549,600.00
659,520.00
791,424.00
949,708.80
1,139,650.56
1,367,580.67
1,641,096.81
1,969,316.17
2,363,179.40
91,600,000.00
120,912,000.00
159,603,840.00
210,677,068.80
278,093,730.82
367,083,724.68
484,550,516.57
639,606,681.88
844,280,820.08
1,114,450,682.50
(11,800,000.00)
(12,980,000.00)
(14,278,000.00)
(15,705,800.00)
(17,276,380.00)
(19,004,018.00)
(20,904,419.80)
(22,994,861.78)
(25,294,347.96)
(27,823,782.75)
(27,400,000.00)
(32,880,000.00)
(39,456,000.00)
(47,347,200.00)
(56,816,640.00)
(68,179,968.00)
(81,815,961.60)
(98,179,153.92)
(117,814,984.70)
(141,377,981.64)
Total revenue, Ps
Less cost of goods sold
(9,200,000.00)
(10,580,000.00)
(12,167,000.00)
(13,992,050.00)
(16,090,857.50)
(18,504,486.13)
(21,280,159.04)
(24,472,182.90)
(28,143,010.34)
(32,364,461.89)
(48,400,000.00)
(56,440,000.00)
(65,901,000.00)
(77,045,050.00)
(90,183,877.50)
(105,688,472.13)
(124,000,540.44)
(145,646,198.60)
(171,252,343.00)
(201,566,226.28)
43,200,000.00
64,472,000.00
93,702,840.00
133,632,018.80
187,909,853.32
261,395,252.55
360,549,976.13
493,960,483.28
673,028,477.08
912,884,456.22
47.16%
53.32%
58.71%
63.43%
67.57%
71.21%
74.41%
77.23%
79.72%
81.91%
(9,160,000.00)
(12,091,200.00)
(15,960,384.00)
(21,067,706.88)
(27,809,373.08)
(36,708,372.47)
(48,455,051.66)
(63,960,668.19)
(84,428,082.01)
(111,445,068.25)
(4,580,000.00)
(5,267,000.00)
(6,057,050.00)
(6,965,607.50)
(8,010,448.63)
(9,212,015.92)
(10,593,818.31)
(12,182,891.05)
(14,010,324.71)
(16,111,873.42)
(4,600,000.00)
(5,520,000.00)
(6,624,000.00)
(7,948,800.00)
(9,538,560.00)
(11,446,272.00)
(13,735,526.40)
(16,482,631.68)
(19,779,158.02)
(23,734,989.62)
EBITDA
24,860,000.00
41,593,800.00
65,061,406.00
97,649,904.42
142,551,471.61
204,028,592.17
287,765,579.77
401,334,292.36
554,810,912.35
761,592,524.93
(10,441,200.00)
(17,469,396.00)
(27,325,790.52)
(41,012,959.86)
(59,871,618.08)
(85,692,008.71)
(120,861,543.50)
(168,560,402.79)
(233,020,583.19)
(319,868,860.47)
14,418,800.00
24,124,404.00
37,735,615.48
56,636,944.56
82,679,853.53
118,336,583.46
166,904,036.26
232,773,889.57
321,790,329.16
441,723,664.46
(45,584,994.52)
(19,154,530.25)
(25,863,155.73)
(34,816,094.13)
(46,748,838.94)
(62,635,429.19)
(83,765,385.69)
(111,845,382.47)
(149,133,590.99)
(198,617,179.28)
(22,191,936.72)
(33,129,958.48)
(48,105,785.05)
(68,504,115.23)
(96,169,453.62)
(133,556,358.25)
(183,928,359.07)
Less
Additions to working capital
Initial investment
(72,000,000.00)
Dividends
Terminal value
3,662,716,952.41
(72,000,000.00)
(31,166,194.52)
NPV
816,900,681.05
0.00
IRR
WACC =
46.34%
4,969,873.75
11,872,459.75
(371,086.28)
2,801,056.11
7,595,369.21
14,634,535.35
24,759,053.48
39,100,379.92
3,721,895,078.52
7.20
7.85
8.57
9.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
Dividend Remittance
Dividends Paid (Ps)
Net dividend remitted (Ps)
Net dividend remitted (US$)
0.00
0.00
0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
4,600,000.00
5,520,000.00
6,624,000.00
(1,104,000.00)
(1,324,800.00)
3,680,000.00
4,416,000.00
5,299,200.00
468,518.52
515,370.37
566,907.41
(920,000.00)
468,518.52
515,370.37
566,907.41
Total Earnings
468,518.52
515,370.37
566,907.41
$468,518.52
$515,370.37
$566,907.41
Initial investment
-10,000,000.00
Terminal Value
Free cash flow (FCF)
-$10,000,000.00
NPV
$56,588,126.24
IRR
WACC =
43.35%
10.20
11.12
12.14
13.24
14.44
15.76
22,191,936.72
33,129,958.48
48,105,785.05
68,504,115.23
96,169,453.62
133,556,358.25
22,191,936.72
33,129,958.48
48,105,785.05
68,504,115.23
96,169,453.62
133,556,358.25
$2,176,248.40
$2,978,143.30
$3,963,998.16
$5,174,450.53
$6,658,802.98
$8,476,860.26
7,948,800.00
9,538,560.00
11,446,272.00
13,735,526.40
16,482,631.68
19,779,158.02
(1,589,760.00)
(1,907,712.00)
(2,289,254.40)
(2,747,105.28)
(3,296,526.34)
(3,955,831.60)
6,359,040.00
7,630,848.00
9,157,017.60
10,988,421.12
13,186,105.34
15,823,326.41
623,598.15
685,957.96
754,553.76
830,009.14
913,010.05
1,004,311.05
2,176,248.40
2,978,143.30
3,963,998.16
5,174,450.53
6,658,802.98
8,476,860.26
623,598.15
685,957.96
754,553.76
830,009.14
913,010.05
1,004,311.05
2,799,846.55
3,664,101.26
4,718,551.92
6,004,459.66
7,571,813.03
9,481,171.31
$2,799,846.55
$3,664,101.26
$4,718,551.92
$6,004,459.66
$7,571,813.03
$9,481,171.31
17.19
10
183,928,359.07
183,928,359.07
$10,701,153.43
23,734,989.62
(4,746,997.92)
18,987,991.70
1,104,742.16
10,701,153.43
1,104,742.16
11,805,895.59
$213,100,884.94
$224,906,780.53
1,500,000,000.00
0.483870968
60,000,000.00
40.00
25.00
Dividend growth = 7%
Dividend per share
3.20
6.22
Earnings
373,440,000.00
15.56%
Debt
Domestic debt
1,000,000,000.00
600,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
0.14
0.09
3,100,000,000.00
ke x E + kd x D
V
0.1206
0.516129032
Current Assets
0
Cash balance
Accounts Receivable
10
4,580,000.00
6,045,600.00
7,980,192.00
10,533,853.44
13,904,686.54
18,354,186.23
24,227,525.83
31,980,334.09
42,214,041.00
55,722,534.13
1,254,794.52
1,656,328.77
2,186,353.97
2,885,987.24
3,809,503.16
5,028,544.17
6,637,678.31
8,761,735.37
11,565,490.69
15,266,447.71
Inventory
18,320,000.00
24,182,400.00
31,920,768.00
42,135,413.76
55,618,746.16
73,416,744.94
96,910,103.31
127,921,336.38
168,856,164.02
222,890,136.50
24,154,794.52
31,884,328.77
42,087,313.97
55,555,254.44
73,332,935.87
96,799,475.34
127,775,307.45
168,663,405.84
222,635,695.71
293,879,118.33
Accounts Payable
9,160,000.00
12,091,200.00
15,960,384.00
21,067,706.88
27,809,373.08
36,708,372.47
48,455,051.66
63,960,668.19
84,428,082.01
111,445,068.25
Other payables
4,580,000.00
6,045,600.00
7,980,192.00
10,533,853.44
13,904,686.54
18,354,186.23
24,227,525.83
31,980,334.09
42,214,041.00
55,722,534.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7,690,200.00
14,718,396.00
24,574,790.52
38,261,959.86
57,120,618.08
82,941,008.71
118,110,543.50
165,809,402.79
230,269,583.19
317,117,860.47
21,430,200.00
32,855,196.00
48,515,366.52
69,863,520.18
98,834,677.70
138,003,567.41
190,793,120.99
261,750,405.07
356,911,706.20
484,285,462.85
0.00
45,584,994.52
64,739,524.77
90,602,680.49
125,418,774.62
172,167,613.56
234,803,042.75
318,568,428.44
430,413,810.91
579,547,401.90
778,164,581.18
-45,584,994.52
-19,154,530.25
-25,863,155.73
-34,816,094.13
-46,748,838.94
-62,635,429.19
-83,765,385.69
-111,845,382.47
-149,133,590.99
-198,617,179.28
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
9,160,000.00
2,931,200.00
YEAR 3
YEAR 4
13,029,184.00
YEAR 5
8,038,522.88
YEAR 6
19,770,850.20
YEAR 7
16,937,522.27
YEAR 8
31,517,529.39
YEAR 9
32,443,138.80
YEAR 10
51,984,943.21
59,460,125.04
1,254,794.52
1,656,328.77
2,186,353.97
2,885,987.24
3,809,503.16
5,028,544.17
6,637,678.31
8,761,735.37
11,565,490.69
15,266,447.71
Inventory
18,320,000.00
24,182,400.00
31,920,768.00
42,135,413.76
55,618,746.16
73,416,744.94
96,910,103.31
127,921,336.38
168,856,164.02
222,890,136.50
28,734,794.52
28,769,928.77
47,136,305.97
53,059,923.88
79,199,099.53
95,382,811.38
135,065,311.02
169,126,210.54
232,406,597.91
297,616,709.25
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
6,500,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
65,000,000.00
less Dep.
(6,550,000.00)
(13,100,000.00)
(19,650,000.00)
(26,200,000.00)
(32,750,000.00)
(39,300,000.00)
(45,850,000.00)
(52,400,000.00)
(58,950,000.00)
(65,500,000.00)
64,950,000.00
58,400,000.00
51,850,000.00
45,300,000.00
38,750,000.00
32,200,000.00
25,650,000.00
19,100,000.00
12,550,000.00
6,000,000.00
Total assets
93,684,794.52
87,169,928.77
98,986,305.97
98,359,923.88
117,949,099.53
127,582,811.38
160,715,311.02
188,226,210.54
244,956,597.91
303,616,709.25
Accounts Payable
9,160,000.00
12,091,200.00
15,960,384.00
21,067,706.88
27,809,373.08
36,708,372.47
48,455,051.66
63,960,668.19
84,428,082.01
111,445,068.25
Other payables
4,580,000.00
6,045,600.00
7,980,192.00
10,533,853.44
13,904,686.54
18,354,186.23
24,227,525.83
31,980,334.09
42,214,041.00
55,722,534.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7,690,200.00
14,718,396.00
24,574,790.52
38,261,959.86
57,120,618.08
82,941,008.71
118,110,543.50
165,809,402.79
230,269,583.19
317,117,860.47
Total Liabilities
21,430,200.00
32,855,196.00
48,515,366.52
69,863,520.18
98,834,677.70
138,003,567.41
190,793,120.99
261,750,405.07
356,911,706.20
484,285,462.85
Equity
43,200,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Stockholders equity
43,200,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
72,000,000.00
64,630,200.00
104,855,196.00
120,515,366.52
141,863,520.18
170,834,677.70
210,003,567.41
262,793,120.99
333,750,405.07
428,911,706.20
556,285,462.85
29,054,594.52
-17,685,267.23
-21,529,060.55
-43,503,596.29
-52,885,578.17
-82,420,756.04
-102,077,809.97
-145,524,194.53
-183,955,108.28
-252,668,753.60
Liabilities
Short term liabilities
Retained Earnings
7.20
7.85
8.57
25
25
0.00
11,450,000.00
16,488,000.00
$1,457,754.63
$1,924,236.11
(648,000.00)
(742,000.00)
(930,000.00)
Net Income
$373,440,000.00
$399,580,800.00
$427,551,456.00
Consolidated Income
$372,792,000.00
$398,838,800.00
$426,621,456.00
$6.21
$6.65
$7.11
$0.53
$0.57
$0.61
9.35
10.20
11.12
12.14
13.24
25
19,785,600.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
$2,116,659.72
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$457,480,057.92
$489,503,661.97
$523,768,918.31
$560,432,742.59
$599,663,034.58
$457,480,057.92
$489,503,661.97
$523,768,918.31
$560,432,742.59
$599,663,034.58
$7.62
$8.16
$8.73
$9.34
$9.99
$0.65
$0.70
$0.75
$0.80
$0.86
14.44
15.76
17.19
10
0.00
0.00
0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$641,639,447.00
$686,554,208.29
$734,613,002.87
$641,639,447.00
$686,554,208.29
$734,613,002.87
$10.69
$11.44
$12.24
$0.92
$0.98
$1.05
$3.20
$3.42
$3.66
$3.92
$4.19
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Difference
$3.20
$3.42
$3.66
$3.92
$4.19
10
$4.49
$4.80
$5.14
$5.50
$5.88
$6.29
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$4.49
$4.80
$5.14
$5.50
$5.88
$6.29
Parent company
P0
Div 1
40
r - g
(r-7%)
r
r (cost of equity)
3.424
15.56%
=
2.8
EPS
1.2228571
Po
EPS
Dividend Yield
r x Po
EPS
Div 1
DY
(15.56%*40)
6.22
3.424
P0
40
=
Plowback ratio
=
=
1 - payout ratio
Plowback
0.0856
[1-(3.2/6)]
0.4666667
Payout
0.5333333
ROE
1 - DIV
EPS
Payout ratio
1 - Plowback ratio
ROE
7%
0.4666667
0.15
7.20
7.85
8.57
91600000
120912000
91,600,000.00
120,912,000.00
Operations
Cash received
Net Sales
Other
0
Cash Expended
Variable & selling & admin costs
9160000
12091200
4580000
5267000
Accounts Payable
9160000
12091200
Other payables
4580000
6045600
4600000
5520000
-920000
-1104000
Interest Expense
Dividends
Taxes
10441200
17469396
0.00
41,601,200.00
57,380,396.00
0.00
49,998,800.00
63,531,604.00
9.35
10.20
11.12
12.14
13.24
159603840
210677069
278093731
367083725
484550517
159,603,840.00
210,677,068.80
278,093,730.82
367,083,724.68
484,550,516.57
15960384
21067707
27809373
36708372
48455052
6057050
6965608
8010449
9212016
10593818
15960384
21067707
27809373
36708372
48455052
7980192
10533853
13904687
18354186
24227526
6624000
7948800
9538560
11446272
13735526
-1324800
-1589760
-1907712
-2289254
-2747105
22191937
33129958
48105785
68504115
27325791
41012960
59871618
85692009
120861544
78,583,000.52
129,198,811.27
178,166,305.89
243,937,758.45
332,085,527.30
81,020,839.48
81,478,257.53
99,927,424.93
123,145,966.23
152,464,989.27
14.44
15.76
17.19
10
639606682
844280820
1114450683
639,606,681.88
844,280,820.08
1,114,450,682.50
63960668
84428082
111445068
12182891
14010325
16111873
63960668
84428082
111445068
31980334
42214041
55722534
16482632
19779158
23734990
-3296526
-3955832
-4746998
96169454
133556358
183928359
168560403
233020583
319868860
450,000,523.27
607,480,797.58
817,509,755.28
189,606,158.60
236,800,022.50
296,940,927.22