1

2004 23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

- "" ................................................................................................................ 3
........................................................................... 5
................................................................................................... 7
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 8
- ................................................................................................ 11
.................................................................................................... 22
AUDUSD - Silver-channel .......................................................... 24
GBPUSD 28.06.2004 ................................................................................................................. 27
Trend is my friend. Isn't it? .......................................................................................................................... 33
. ............................................................................................................ 37
................................................................................................................. 39
................................................................................................... 45
.................................................................................................................................. 46
.................................................................................................. 50
............................................................................................................................................ 52
MQL 4: ....................................... 57
MetaTrader. 21 ............................................................................ 59
FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari-idc.ru
(095) 29-111-29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

- ""

- ""
1998 ., , ""
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, ,

- ,

.
, . , . ,
,
, , -,
FOREX. ,

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textbook/tech_an/ew/ )!
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MetaTrader CE Pocket PC (
http://www.alpari-idc.ru/ru/metatrader/mobiletrading/). , , GPRS- ,

, .
,
,
.
""

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

- ""

2004 23

Omega TradeStation ( http://www.alpari-idc.ru/ru/userguide/

mt2omega/ ).
, ,
.
. , : , ,
.
, , ,
. (
) ( ""). , .
, "Forex Magazine",
1 20.
-
"", . , , ,
.
!
(095) 29-111-29
e-mail: info@alpari-idc.ru.
: www.alpari-idc.ru.
""

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

FOREX Review

(GMT)

27.06.2004

23:50

Japan

May Large Retail Sales

N/A

-3.30%

N/A

-1.00%

N/A

-0.80%

N/A

17

N/A

0.50%

N/A

1.70%

N/A

0.20%

N/A

2.30%

N/A

0.60%

0.70%

0.30%

.
27.06.2004

23:50

Japan

May Retail Trade M/M

.
27.06.2004

23:50

Japan

May Retail Trade Y/Y

.
28.06.2004

7:30

Italy

June Services Survey

.
28.06.2004

7:30

Italy

May PPI M/M

.
28.06.2004

7:30

Italy

May PPI Y/Y

.
28.06.2004

10:30

Italy

June 12-Cities CPI M

.
28.06.2004

10:30

Italy

June 12-Cities CPI Y

.
28.06.2004

12:30

US

May Personal Income

.
28.06.2004

12:30

US

May Personal Spending

. , ,
. .
28.06.2004

22:50

Japan

May Jobs/Applicants

N/A

0.77

N/A

9.30%

N/A

7.20%

N/A

3.30%

N/A

8.50%

N/A

-A$1.81B

N/A

+0.4%

N/A

+1.3%

N/A

+0.5%

N/A

+7.1%

.
28.06.2004

23:30

28.06.2004

23:30

Japan

May Worker HH Spend. M

.
Japan

May Worker HH Spend. Y

.
28.06.2004

23:30

Japan

May Industrial Production M/M

.
28.06.2004

23:30

29.06.2004

1:30

Japan

May Industrial Production Y/Y

.
Australia

May Trade Balance

.
29/06/2004

06:50

France

May PPI M/M

.
29/06/2004

06:50

France

May PPI Y/Y

.
29/06/2004

08:30

UK

May M4 R M/M

.
29/06/2004

08:30

UK

May M4 R Y/Y

www.forexreview.ru
5

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

29/06/2004

08:30

UK

May M4 Stg Lend

N/A

+11.9B

95.0

93.2

N/A

+0.2%

N/A

+2.3%

N/A

+2.7%

N/A

+0.9%

N/A

+2.7%

N/A

+1.3%

N/A

68.0

N/A

-3.3%

N/A

52.9

N/A

55.5

N/A

56.2

N/A

54.7

N/A

1.3%

62.0

62.8

5.6%

5.6%

.
29/06/2004

14:00

US

June Consumer Confidence

.
30/06/2004

07:30

Italy

June HICP M/M

.
30/06/2004

07:30

Italy

June HICP Y/Y

.
30/06/2004

08:30

UK

Q1 Imports

.
30/06/2004

08:30

UK

Q1 GDP Q/Q

.
30/06/2004

08:30

UK

Q1 GDP Y/Y

.
30/06/2004

08:30

UK

Q1 Exports

.
30/06/2004

14:00

US

June Chicago PMI

.
01/07/2004

01:30

Australia

May Job Vacancies

.
01/07/2004

05:45

Italy

June Reuters PMI

.
01/07/2004

05:50

01/07/2004

05:55

France

June Reuters PMI

.
Germany

June Reuters PMI

.
01/07/2004

06:00

EMU

June Reuters PMI

.
01/07/2004

14:00

01/07/2004

14:00

US

May Construction Spending

.
US

June ISM Index

.
02/07/2004

12:30

US

June Unemployment Rate

, .
02/07/2004

12:30

US

June Average Workweek

33.8

33.8

0.3%

0.3%

265K

248K

0.0%

-1.7%

.
02/07/2004

12:30

US

June Hourly Earnings

.
02/07/2004

12:30

US

June Nonfarm Payrolls

.
02/07/2004

14:00

US

May Factory Orders

. , .
.

www.forexreview.ru
6

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

. , /
/ .
,
. ,
.
. , ,
, ,
,
, , .
.
ZEW ,
(47.4 46.7),
.
, ,
, ,
.
,
.

, , - .

,
. , -

2004 23

,
, 94.6 ( 96.4).

. 3.9%,
+4.4%.
,
(95.6 95).
, ,

,
,
.

,
,
, , . ,

.
, ,
25 , .
, ,
,
. , ,
. ,
, . ,
,
USD/JPY .

ForexMagazine
http://www.fxclub.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

FIBO

FOREX FIBO

.
, ,
,
.
.
, .
.
1.6% ,
1.2%.
13,000 349,000 . , , ,
3.9%,
4.4%.
2.6% 2.9% ,
.
. 95.6 90.2.

88.90.
,
.
.
, ,
. , 4 , ,
,
. 11 2001
, . , -

, . ,
. ,
, 88.00-90.00.

.
50
, . ZEW
69.8 75.9 . Ifo, ,
94.5
96.0 . , ,

. , .
, EZ. , 6.3 . 27.8 . .
3.3 .
3.0 .- ,
24.1
. 3.7 . .
, EZ.
1.8%
6.0%
.


. 2004 2.3% 1.7%.
, 3.0%, -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

2004 23

. ,
1.7%, 2.0%.
.
, ,
,
.

.


.
- .

, -
1.1980-1.2180.

,
, .
, -. -, 4
,
. ,

. 1.19501.2280.

1.8405, , .


- . 9-0.
,
. , ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

, , 1.8105.

.
, , , , GBP/
USD .
,
. ,
,
. ,
,
.
,
. , .
, ,
, .
, 1.8600, GBP/USD 1.7482
.
, ,

. , , .

,
1.8000.
.

1.8400 1.8480.


.
-

10

2004 23

243.6 . 619 . .
2.2%
3.3% , . ,
, 2.3%. , -,
. (
) 0,3% , ,
, 0,1%.
- . ,
.
1.8 108.90 107.10.
,
- 107.70 .
,
, ,
, . ,
. . ,
. ,
/ 109.00.
, /
105.50-106.00, .

FIBO
Forex Magazine
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

-
-
-
(www.forextrader.ru), ,

. -
, Forex.

EUR
CHF
GBP
JPY
CAD
AUD

11

FOREX
28.06.-02.07.2004

. FOMC
, .

. , , ,
FOMC 0,5%.
, ,
. BoJ, . 10 12 - , 1630 18-00 .

FOREX, MSK
10:00-15:00
16:00-21:00

03:30-09:00
10:00-15:00
16:00-23:00

09:00-15:00
18:00-23:00

10:00-22:00

12:00-15:00
16:00-22:00

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

EUR

1.2131. 1.2179-82.

- 1.2190-95. - 1.1970.

CHF

,
.
- 1.3200-05.
- 1.2316.

12

-
1.2700-05.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

GBP

GBP 1.8475-80.
- 1.7478.

-
1.8400-05, - 1.8038.

JPY

, 107,61. -
103,37, - 114,89-93.

13

- 111,4550.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

" "

EUR hour. FOREXMAGAZINE,

, .
, , :

JPY hour

14

CHF hour. ,
, , FOREX.
, ,
. AUD, , .
, .
CAD hour

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

. ,
,
4 : 1.1236-1.0237.
4 , 5 .
, ! ,
- 5 -

AUD hour. , , . , .

.
, 1.1700 - 1.1065,
, . - .
1.0445-0,9279.

- .

:
- , -

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

1.1396-1.0815.
, 4 .

. CHF
0,5109 - 5 -
, 3
1,0475, - 0,6270,
- 4 1.3338-1.4008 , 1.4882.

16

,
5
1.2193-1,2247. - !

CHF

, 5
, , CHF 1.0856-0,8777.
- 4 - 1.3558-1.4882.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

CHF
1.2627, - 4 1.2486-1.2455.

GBP

, - 2,0295-2.2231.
4 , -
1.7142-1.6000.

17

GBP ,
4 1.67151.5767, , 5
2,0601-2.2559 ( , ).

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

" " -
2.0040-2.1620.

GBP - .

JPY

, 3
96,00, 118,42,
- 84,65-65,95.

18

,
- .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

109,51 , - 101,7197,45.

107,38, 109,55-110,85.

CAD

. -
3 1.1108, 4- 1.39391.4731, - 5- 1.0975-0,8881.

19

, 3 . 4 1.4345-1.4945,
5 1.1920-1.0617.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

CAD "" - 5 1.4345-1.4945.

: CAD "" 1.3268-1.31124. , ,

4 1.3532-1.3640

AUD

AUD , - 1.1051-1.3830. ,
4 -
0,6590-0,6065.

20

4 - 0,6598-0,6000. -
0,8750-0,9955.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUD
0,7153-0,7300, 0,6755-0,6478.

2004 23

AUD
0,6920-0,6892, 4 ,
5 0,7102-07188.

http://www.forextrader.ru/ .
2004 - http://www.forextrader.ru/DTarchive/
ClientReportServlet.htm 2004 300%.

,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

, ,
.
1
. .
9:00.
, -, -.

,
.

,
,
,
, ,
, .

, . , . ,
- 200.000 , . ,
.
,
,
. ,

22

370000 .
, , ,
.

"" ,
.
260000 , ,
, , 24.6%
.

,
.
,

,

, , ,

, ,
.
, .
EIA .
,
2.5 . 305.4 . , 18 . 2002.
(API) , 4..887 . . ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

EIA, , .
EIA,
16- 21. 42 . , , 21
. , .
, ,
,
. , 18 ,
800000 205.1 . , 3.1 . , .

, .
EIA, 48 21 193.7
, 44.1 , .
,
. , .
3 225.9 , 4.3
220 , 44.8 ,
. $2 ( 205.1 202.8
, ),
3 .
OPEC ,
,
. 3
OPEC 500000
1 . , OPEC , 21 .
,

, $37 .
. ,
.

.

(Distillate), .
, , , . Heating Oil -

23

2004 23

, - .
,
, ,
.
, Distillate
3 . , 8-9
. ,
-. , EIA, Distillate, , .
, , , , ,
6 . , EIA.
,
.
,
, .


. , .
WTI
38 $37.55 ,
$37.10.

1.62 $1.2057 , ,
1.2 $1.0107 .
, ,

WTI ,
$37.10 , , $36 . , , $39.00. , EIA, ,
Distillate, .


Forex Magazine
www.alpari-idc.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 23

Silver-channel. AUDUSD - .
Alex Silver.
VIAC.RU
Silver-channel.

, - SilverTrend,
GOODMEN OlegVS , Silver-channel AscTrend. VIAC " " "SilverTrend. AskTrend". .
, (SSP) , - . (K ) , 4- 30 (Risk=3
GOODMEN), 38.2 (Risk=-5.2 GOODMEN).
, , . .

Weekly
, ,
. ,
.
, ,
, , ,
. , 0,6830-0,6900 . 0,6843. (30 ) 0,6940,
0,6840 . ( ) FOMC Skychannel (0,7717). 30 ,
0,71 .
0,6843, 30 ,
, Future-channel (0.6283)

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 23

Daily
, ,
, -, . , ,
- (0,6990),
- .
,
.
, 0,6870-0,6900 ,
, , , 0,6900,
.. - (0,6903).
( 30 ) Skychannel (0.7104) 0.7095. , ,
Future-channel (0.7459). 0,7246.
, , , 30
, 0,6867
Future-channel 0.6540.

4-
4- .
,
Sky-channel, 4-. , ,

. ,
0,6870-0,6900 .
0,6900. 0,7095-0,7139 (Future-channel). , , 4-
0,6937 (-)
0,6900-10 , .

25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 23

Futurechannel (0.7016). , , 0,7000, , 22.06 0,69.

, ,
,
,
. , ,
10:00
0,6900 . , .
, - Sky-channel,
.
MACD. , . , . -
(0,6936), , . ,
, , FOMC . .

4-, , .
0,6940-50 0,6840 , . . 0,6900-50, .
FOMC , , , FOMC
0.5%, , . ,
, .
FOMC. , , , , . - , (
) , . .
Silver-channel , . . .

!
AlexSilver
www.viac.ru

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

GBPUSD 28.06.2004

28 2004

1.8252 135 ,
-0,73% . 21.06.04 25.06.2004.
21.06.2004
1. , , 3000
2.
3. 1,8335/40
22.06.2004
1. .
23.06.2004
1. .
9-10 , (Repo rate) 0.25% 4.50%
. , 140
1,8140, . 0.50%
24.06.2004
1. (CBI),
-6.0% ( +1.0%).
.
2. (Jobless claims) 19.06 349000 (
339000, 336000). . ,
.
3. (Durable goods orders) -1.6% ( +1.8%,
-3.2%). ,
2002 . , ,
.
4. (New home sales) 1369000 ( 1130000,
1093000). .
. 1993 .
5. (Help-wanted index) 39 ( 40, 38).
, , ,
.
25.06.2004
1. (GDP) +3.9%
( +4.4% , +4.4% ). .
,

2. (Michigan sentiment index)
95.6 ( 95.2, 95.2).
3. (Existing home sales) 6.80 . ( 6.51 .,
6.64 .).

27

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 GBPUSD 28.06.2004

2004 23

()

, :
I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [a], [b], [c]
(1), (2), (3), (4), (5), (a), (b), (c)
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c,

1,2,3,4,5,a,b,
21 25.06.04
9-10 .
, .
1,8410 , 1,8102.
, , -
. , 5.
, , 5-
. , 50
. , 1,8364
1,8634.
29-30.06.2004 ,
.

28

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 GBPUSD 28.06.2004

2004 23

(3 ) .
1.7702 1.7693-1,7561.
4 (0)-(3)-(4?) Price sorting 4 ,
. , 1,9657.
5 (2)-(3)-(4?) Price sorting 5 ,
. 1,9071 1,9773.
(5), , (4)
1.7480. C 17 2004 .

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 GBPUSD 28.06.2004

2004 23

1.7970-1.8534 (564 )
weekly Res: 1.8346 / 1.8418 / 1.8462 / 1.8534
weekly Sup: 1.8158 / 1.8086 / 1.8042 / 1.7970
weekly NZ 1.8230-1.8274 (52)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1.8112-1.8392 (280 )
intraday Res:...1.8298 / 1.8334 / 1.8356 / 1.8392
intraday Sup: ..1.8205 / 1.8170 / 1.8148 / 1.8112
day NZ 1.8241-1.8263 (22 )
NZ,
.
, .
, .
3 .
1
.
1 24 .

30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 GBPUSD 28.06.2004

2004 23

, , - 20,3
.
, - ,
11, 21,41, 12, 14.
1. 11 19.02.2004 1.9139.
2. 11 02.04.2004 1.8601.
3. 12 02.04.2004 1.8601.
4. 12 04.09.2003 1.5609.
5. 11 16.04.2004 1.7761.
6. 12 15.05.2004 1.7480. .
, 21.06.2004
, 1,8400 (
1,8412). 1,8412 , 11.
1,8102 1,8252. ?
1. -300 . 18 1,8430
(). 11 1,8130 .
2. , .
, .
, 29-30.06.04 , .

31

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 GBPUSD 28.06.2004

2004 23

Time Ellipse

. ,
. ,
,
1,8330. ,
.

:
E-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru
www.viac.ru

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?

" "
" " - "Forex Magazine"
www.fxmoney.ru

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?

Practical Speculation,
Global Systems.
- , .
" "
" " : "
,
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,
.
, ,
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33

, 10 .
, , . The Education of a
Speculator (1997). , ,
, .
. - "".
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, - , , . ,

,
, - ?
, 100%-.
,
, , . , .
.
, , , , :
.

Bloomberg, ,
, , , . , ,
, , , , , , -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?

2004 23

( ), -, , /, TICK,
TRIN, ,
, .
, . ,
, , -
. ,
- . , - , ? ,
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,
" ". , : " - ?" " -
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( ),
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" ( ).

. " - " ,
, . - , , , .

34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?

, , - ! ,
. ,
:
, . ,
.

- , - , .
, 7-8 10 . , ,
80% , -,
, .
,
. 80%
-, , -
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, , a la
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35

2004 23

. , -
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

Trend is my friend. Isn't it?

1) ,
- , ,
. -
- .
.
2) () ,
.
, .
() "" - ,
- ,
, .
3) () -,
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2004 23

. ,
90%, , . ,
- . , , -
99%. . ,
, - . ,
- -
550 . , , ,
2 . ,
- ( ), .
, ,
. , 100%-,
.

" "
www.fxmoney.ru

4) , -
( 2-3 10). , , .
.
,
. , , "" .
"
", " ". , ,
- :
, ,
- , -

36

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

- ,
,
,

"Bloomberg News"

, "
, ".
: , , ,
, ,
.
, " , "
- .
,
, , , "
".

, ,
, ,

. ? 0.6%
,
, 0.2% - , .
,
, , ,
, 25 . -, , - 1973. 46%.

37

, , , , .
"Goldman Sachs Group Inc." ,
0.9% 1970. 1.2% 2003., ,
,
, 1970.
"Merrill Lynch and Co." ,
40 $ 2004. 0.5%.
,
, , " ",
,
.

2002.
, ,
. " "
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

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Forex Magazine
bloomberg.com

38

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

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2004 23

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

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44

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

www.hardrightedge.com

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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2004 23

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2004 23

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 23

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Forex Magazine
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56

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 MQL 4:

2004 23

MQL 4: ,
.
(AKA HORN)
http://forex.tomsk.ru
MQL4
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MQL4. , MetaQuotes Software MQL 4 .
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57

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 MQL 4:

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int MessageBeep(int uType);
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MyLib.mq4

58

2004 23

MyLib.dll . MyLib.mq4 :

// MyLib.mq4
#import "MyLib.dll"
int Function1(int uParam1);
int Function2(int uParam1);
int Function3(int uParam1);
int Function4();
int Function5(int uParam1,
int uParam2);
#import
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MyLib.dll, :

// MyLib.mq4
#include <MyLib.mq4>
int init()
{
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// do something...
nRet = Function5(10,20);
// do something else...
return(0);
}
, .
Meta Trader 4,
.

Forex Magazine

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

MetaTrader. 21

MQL II. 21
Fxtest


artur@fxtest.ru

. ,
.
-
2 .
<1. , .

if TotalTrades<1 then {
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TotalTrades =1) .
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>
:
/*[[
Name := test
Lots := 1.00
Stop Loss := 0
Take Profit := 0
Trailing Stop := 0
]]*/
var : cnt(0),tt(0);
for cnt=1 to totaltrades { if OrderValue(cnt,VAL_SYMBOL)=Symbol then tt=tt+1;};
if tt=0 then {..

, .
tt=0 .
< 2. , , , ?
. >

59

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 23

MetaTrader. 21

:
.
( ). , 1 ,
, 1.1 0.9. , , ,
, .

var : cnt(0),tt(0);
for cnt=1 to totaltrades { if OrderValue(cnt,VAL_SYMBOL)=Symbol and
OrderValue(cnt,VAL_LOTS)=lots then tt=tt+1;};
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lot=0.5;
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{
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{
If OrderValue(cnt,VAL_TYPE)=OP_BUY then
{
if (bid-OrderValue(cnt,VAL_OPENPRICE))>20*point then {
CloseOrder(OrderValue(cnt,VAL_TICKET),lot,Bid,3,Violet);
Exit;
};

60

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 MetaTrader. 21

2004 23

};
If OrderValue(cnt,VAL_TYPE)=OP_SELL then
{
if (OrderValue(cnt,VAL_OPENPRICE)-ask)> 20*point then {
CloseOrder(OrderValue(cnt,VAL_TICKET),lot,ask,3,Violet);
Exit;
};
};
};
};};

CloseOrder(OrderValue(cnt,VAL_TICKET),lot,Bid,3,Violet);
lot, lots.
lot .
, .
. , ,
.
(10 ) ,
.
if curtime-LastTradeTime<11 then exit;

artur@fxtest.ru

61

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004