47

2004 47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

. X- ............................................................................................ 3
........................................................................... 4
................................................................................................... 5
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 6
TeleTRADE D.J. ............................................................................................................. 10
, ........................................... 11
............................................................................................. 13
EUR/USD 13.12.2004 ................................................................................................................ 18
AUDUSD - Silver-channel ......................................................... 22
.................................................................................. 26
: " !"....................................................................................... 28
USD/JPY ......................................................................................................... 31
USD/JPY: ? ............................................................................................ 34
........................................................................................... 36
: ............................................................................................. 38
- ...................................................................... 42
() .......................................................................................................... 45
........................................................................................................ 48
............................................................................................................................................ 49
- MetaTrader 4 .................................................... 56
FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari.org
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 . X-

2004 47

. IX-
,
"".
, X .
"FOREX MAGAZIN".

: "FOREX", "US Stocks", "Futures".
, $1000, $500 $300 .

, . http://www.alpari-idc.ru/ru/contest/rules.php.
, "FORD FOCUS",
,
1- 10 .
. .

" - Futures"

1
2
3

419386 ZharBird
421978 Ashatan
417955 Djasur

,
Russia, Moscow
Russia, Bryansk
Uzbekistan, Tashkent

17785.50
16437.50
16392.00

$1000
$500
$300

. "" ()
.

""

8 .
, .

421 592 421 593 421 000

eags

Russia, N.novgorod

2.282524

$1000

419 750 419 751 419 000 Smirniy

Russia, Moscow

0.743455

$500

419 234 419 235 419 000 ekspert

Azerbaijan, Baku

0.559831

$300

: FOREX,
.
5 000 .

421 952 421 953 421 000

Russia, Minsk

0.498612

$200

420 998 420 999 421 000 radutzu

Romania, Bacau

0.460253

$200

421 817 421 818 421 000 danon

Russia, Gomel

0.459413

$200

417 287 417 288 417 000 Zvezda

Russia, Ishimbay

0.424244

$200

421 016 421 017 421 000

Romania, Bacau

0.312258

$200

"FOREX"

1
2

421592

eags

Russia, N.novgorod

28338.61

$1000

420518

LooL

Russia, Volgograd

27435.09

$500

420578

HARD

Russia, Novgorod

26244.51

$300

. "" ()
.

" - US Stocks"

421596 Dreman

Russia, Orel

9253.66

$1000

419307 FullAlik

Russia, Moscow

9106.35

$500

420519

Russia, Volgograd

8302.19

$300

LooL

. "" ()
.

tty6

elena

417 707 417 708 417 000 Serg74

Ukraine, Theodosia

0.311804

$200

10

418 214 418 215 418 000

Russia, Kaliningrad

0.305536

$200

Serg

""
. : - FORD FOCUS!

""
!
: www.alpari.org
: (095) 29-111-29,
250-95-00
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

FOREX Review

(msk)

13.12.2004

.30

. (.) M/M

-0.4 %

-0.4 %

+0.2 %

+0.1 %

. , .
13.12.2004

16.30

M/M

, - . .
13.12.2004

16.30

M/M

+0.9 %

+0.4 %

+0.1 %

+0.5 %

+1.2 %

+1.3 %

-51.6 .

-52.0 .

+0.7 %

+0.3 %

. . .
13.12.2004

18.00

M/M

14.12.2004

.30

HICP Y/Y

14.12.2004

16.30

. , .
14.12.2004

17.15

M/M

, .
- , . ( ) .

14.12.2004

17.15

77.7 %

77.8 %

. , .
14.12.2004

22.15

15.12.2004

.50

(. . .)

2.00 %

2.25 %

26

25

11

10

19.

20.0

63.4 .

60.0 .

-0.4 %

+0.5 %

.
. , .
15.12.2004

.50

(. . .)

.
15.12.2004

16.30

15.12.2004

17.00

16.12.2004

.30

M/M

, , .
16.12.2004

.30

Y/Y

+6.0 %

+6.5 %

. . , . -
.
16.12.2004

13.00

HICP (.) Y/Y

+2.2 %

+2.2 %

-166.2 .

-172.0 .

2.027 .

1.980 .

1.984 .

2.015 .

357

350

20.

20.0

.
16.12.2004

16.30

3 .
.

16.12.2004

16.30

16.12.2004

16.30

16.12.2004

16.30

06.11.2012
.

16.12.2004

20.00

. , .
16.12.2004

22.00

10.11

17.12.2004

12.00

- IFO

17/12/2004

13.00

M/M

94.1

94.5

+0.5 %

-0.5 %

. , .

, .
- , . ( ) .

17.12.2004

13.00

Y/Y

+2.9 %

+2.0 %

. . ,
, , .
17.12.2004

16.30

CPI M/M

+0.6 %

+0.2 %

+0.2 %

+0.2 %

. , .
17.12.2004

16.30

CPI . . M/M

. , .

www.forexreview.ru
4

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

.
. , .

, .
,
, .
/ 1.3300, / 1.9200.

,
. 112 200 . , ..
.
, .
.
.
.
, ,
,
.
,
, . , -
, , .

, ,
.
, . . ,
. , ,
, ,
, . /, 102.00,
, ,
.
, , 105.00.

. , , ,
,

, .
, ..
/ , . , , . 14 .
, ,
,
.
,
. , ..
.
25 . ,
.
.

. - ,
,
.
, ,
Tankan .
.
, , . , , . /
1.3000-1.3575, / 102.00-107.00.

ForexMagazine
http://www.fxclub.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

FIBO

FOREX FIBO
. 80.95 83.19,
. ,
. ,

.

1.8%. ,
3.6%,
. , 1.8%,

, ,
.
,
, . ,

,
2001 ,
. .
.

-
.
0.2%
.
0.5% 5.0% .

0.2% 1.9%
. - 1.1%,
.

. 95.7
92.8 .
. 55
40.5,
.
,
1.0 . , ,

. , 25%
, . , , , . .
, ,
, .

. ,

-
.

-

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

83.90,
, 82.00. 83.20, 83.90, 84.75, 82.00, 81.40, 81.00.
.
1.3470.
, , EUR/USD
1.3140.
EZ
.
,
, EUR/USD .

. 1.1%
3.8% .
,
1.2%.
0.6% ,
.
. ZEW 14.4 13.9.

12.5 . 12.0 . . 1.2%
0.8%.
. 0.7%,
. 2.068 . 0.705 .
.
,
.., , EZ
-

2004 47

. , , ,
,
EZ. ,


.
EUR/USD ,
. , , EUR/USD. ,

, EZ , Ifo
EZ .
, ,
.
EUR/
USD,
1.3560 1.3680, 1.4000 1.4100/40. EUR/
USD 1.3390, 1.3460, 1.3560, 1.3110.
1.3000, 1.2900/30
1.2800/20.
. GBP/USD 1991 1.9510.

,
.

4.75%.
, 0.1% 2.0%
. 0.1%
, 0.5%
2003 .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

2004 47

0.2% .

1.9%. , 5.3 . 4.4 . .
EZ. 2.94 . 2.38 .
. ,
.


GBP/USD. GBP/USD
1.9000, 1.9015. ,
,
.
: ,
.
, GBP/USD.

GBP/USD 1.9310/20,
1.9140, , GBP/USD 1.9000.
GBP/USD 1.8770, .

, GBP/USD
1.9510 1.9680/
700.
1.9390/400 . -


. 1.9000,
1.8850,1.8770, 1.9320, 1.1.9390/400, 1.9510.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

.
, . ,
101.90, USD/JPY 106.20, 38.2% 111.70
101.85, 105.60. , .
, , ,
, , ,
. ,

, .
2.21 .
$840.09 .
,
. , ,
,
. , , ,
.

20.
50 , ,
. 2.0%
, . 2.0%.
0.1%,
. ,
:
0.1% ,
0.3%.
,
. 14.4%, 10.7% 10.1%.

2004 47

0.2%
0.9%.
,
. , .
, , - .
3.1% ,
2.4%, 9.9%.

10.1% 1.39 . . 11.9% , ,
12.5%.

.
, USD/ JPY
. ,
Tankan
.

,
. Tankan
USD/
JPY, ,
.
USD/JPY
106.20 106.90/107.05 107.95/00 108.60.
USD/JPY
104.00, 103.40,
102.80.

FIBO
Forex Magazine
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 TeleTRADE D.J.

2004 47

TeleTRADE D.J.
-
,
, , ,
.

- 1.3470
1.9510
. ,
, .
,
III . ,

. ,
.
, .
. , 1.1%.

ZEW 14.4 ,
,
.

,
.
EUR/USD
2 . , 1.3470, 3,5 . ,
, .
USD/JPY , 102.00.
, 4 .
GBP/USD
. /. ,
"-" .
13.12-17.12
.

. :

14.12 - ;

14.12 - ;

15.12 - TIC;

16.12 - III .
,
- Teletrade D.J.
e-mail: analitics@trust-com.ru

. 12.5 . 6.9 . 0.6% .

10

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

" , ".

MaBico.
-
,
,
""
.
, . . , ,
.
,


.
- .

.

- ,
, . , , . -
. ,
, , , . , . -

11

, .
.
, , ?
, -
- .
, . ,
- . ,
. 1,3-1,35

2004
2005 .
-

. (IPE, )
Brent
$1,38 - $38,27 . Brent NYMEX 7 $1,45
- $38,20 . Urals (c.i.f.
) $33,66
, $1,36 spot 6 .
(Urals c.i.f. .-. ) $32,46 (-$1,36),
Sib erian Light (c.i.f. .-. ) - $35,41 .
WTI
-
(NYMEX) $0,12
$41,58 . ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

" , "

2004 47

.
.
,

, ,
.
1, 29 1,325 ,
.
, ,
,
,
, www.mabico.ru.
,
"".
, .
www. Mabico.ru

Forex Magazine

12

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

-
-
(www.forextrader.ru), ,

. -
, Forex.

FOREX
13-17.12.2004

FOREX, MSK

07:30-15:00
16:30-21:30

12:30-19:30
22:15-00:30

02:50-09:00
12:30-15:00
16:30-12:30

12:30-15:00
16:30-22:30

09:30-15:00
16:30-22:30

, , , .
, , , . , ,
.
, . , , , .
. FOMC , , 25%, ,
( ), . , , .
- . .
, , 2001 .
.
.

13

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

ForexTrader

EUR
:
07-30-
, 11-30 -
, 12-30 . 16-30
. .
FOMC
22-00,
12-30 16-30, FOMC.
, ,
. 0,25% . - ,
.
02-50 - BoJ Tankan survey 08-00
. ,

FOMC . 12-30 - .

: 1.2275-1,1575. 4 ,

5 . 5 - 1.5330-1.7210.

- 12-30 - .
16-30 . 22 - FOMC ,
.
- . 2 ,
09 . 12 - IFO , . 16-30 .
,
.
!

3 - 1,3784,
. 4 ,
, 1,3100-1,2340. 5- 1,5520.

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 ForexTrader

2004 47

CHF

12.12.04.

, 3
1,0520-0,6275 , .
4 1,2687-1,3540, 5 0,3087.

3 1,0490-0,8950,
- . - 4- 1,1665-1,2295 5- -
0,8450.

CHF 12.12.04.

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

ForexTrader

GBP

4 1.8173
-1.7400 5-
2,1548-2,3635.

5 2,0075-2,1685.
, ,
.

JPY

GBP 12.12.04.

16

,
, 3 , 97,15,
.
4 108,15-112,00. - 5 91,25-80,95.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 ForexTrader

JPY , , 4 105,69-108,47, - 5- 95,69-89,57.

2004 47

JPY
12.12.04.
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

EUR/USD 13.12.2004

13 2004

, , .
3 , 2
,
1,3000.

18

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 EUR/USD 13.12.2004

2004 47

1.2919-1.3527 (608 )
weekly Res: 1.3324 / 1.3402 / 1.3450 / 1.3527
weekly Sup: 1.3122 / 1.3044 / 1.2996 / 1.2916
weekly NZ 1.3199-1.3247 (48)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1.3059-1.3387 (328 )
intraday Res:...1.3278 / 1.3319 / 1.3345 / 1.3387
intraday Sup: ..1.3168 / 1.3127 / 1.3101 / 1.3059
day NZ 1.3210-1.3236 (26 )
NZ,
.
, .
, .
3 .
1
.
1 24 .

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 EUR/USD 13.12.2004

2004 47

, ,
. , ,
61,8%. ,
50%.
41
21 11. 11 - 39 .
?
11 1,3100,
12 1,3050. ,
, 1,3050 -1,3150/80.
, 1,2700.
, .. .
, .
1. , 14 22:15 . . (
)
2. .
3. , .
4. ,
.

20

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 EUR/USD 13.12.2004

2004 47
MA

, , ,
.
,
43 . , .
1,3471. LB,
, LB
, .
D2 - 1.3340. ,
, .
D3 1.3290, 4
, , D4 1.3194. ,
1,3360, 61,8%. ,
, , , ,
1,3139. , ,
, . ,
. .

, www.viac.ru
. ,

21 A_Vlad, _Vlad,
FOREX
MAGAZINE
2004
.
,
e-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

22

2004 47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

23

2004 47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

24

2004 47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 47

- Silver-channel.
. silver@viac.ru
" 11 ,
"
Silver-channel
Silver-channel Daily
!
Silver-channel Weekly
AlexSilver
CFD
www.viac.ru
Silver-channel
- " Silver-channel"
Silver-channel , .
. .

25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 47

, . , . .
, 50 . , , , . , , , , .. .
, . , 431.20, ,
. MACD
. , 430.00, 451.00, 455.00.

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 47

.
, .
, , .
, , "" . , , ,
442.00, .

!
:
E-mail: eduard@viac.ru
www.viac.ru

27

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 : " !"

2004 47

.
WTI, Nymex, 200
, EIA, $40.42 .

. -, -
. -,
- . , , .

, ,
.


$43.29
.

,

. ,
, , 3 ,
1.4 .
119.3 .
.


,
, 12.8 . ,
,

, .

,

, 3 , 600000
293.9 . . ,
, 16.0 . .
,
2.4 . 208.1 . .
7.6 . , .

28

, . 100000 50.0 . .
7.8 . , -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

. , ,

. 1% ,
40 ,
.
, 3
, 808000 10.9 . .
10.3 . . ,
, 261000 ,
347000
.

140000 15.7 . . ,
94%. ,
.

. , 10 ,
, ,
. , 4.1 . , 8% , .

3.4% 20.613 .
.
OPEC, 10 .
27 .
. , , .. .
,
.

29

2004 47

OPEC 25
. , , -
, .
11 1 , , 5% . ,
, .. .
11 - , OPEC,
500000
.
, .. 1.5 . ,
1 ,
.

, . , ,
"" .
. - .

, , -1820 . "
- " www.viac.ru . . ,
.
,
.
WTI $45

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

.
, .. , ,
.
WTI
. .
,
.
OBV,
.
, , .
.
$39.50 . $45.00-$45.40
.
, $48.00 .

E-mail: bauer@viac.ru

Forex Magazine
www.alpari.org

30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 USD/JPY

2004 47

USD/JPY
USD/JPY
Crude Light, , Nikkei. ,
.
USD/JPY .
" USD/JPY"
FOREX MAGAZINE " - "
www.VIAC.ru.
- , .

: USD/JPY ?
. . 40 . . USD/JPY .
. , USD/
JPY . ? .
- ? . , , . , /, - ,
, ""
.

31

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 USD/JPY

2004 47

. .


.

,

,
"" ,

.

USD/JPY (, )
USD/JPY . .
" " (
: USD/JPY,
),
. , ,
"". ,
,

USD/JPY.

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 USD/JPY

2004 47

Nikkei USD/JPY
Nikkei 225 - ( USD/JPY ), -
( USD/JPY).
2004 .


,
, ,
..
Nikkei ""

FOREX MAGAZINE
:
VIAC.ru
http://www.viac.ru/
,
: vmn@viac.ru

33

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

USD/JPY: ?

USD/JPY: ?
USD/JPY. , ,
, .
" USD/JPY" FOREX MAGAZINE, " " www.VIAC.ru.
- , .

USD/JPY
"" . 103.4070 105.00. 105.00 .
"" 105.20. ,
( ) 1995 .
106.20 - , .. 100
. ,
- 105.20. ""
105.20 .
105.20
101.24 100.00.
.
107.00.
105.20 . 107.00 103.40-70,
. - , 110- .

/. .
- . , / .
:
105.20-40

.
.

106.00-20

107.00-30 - 2004

108.75

34

2004

:
103.40-80

,
- .

101.85-102.20 ;

101.25

2000,
( )

100.00

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 USD/JPY: ?

2004 47

FOREX MAGAZINE
:
VIAC.ru
http://www.viac.ru/
,
: vmn@viac.ru

35

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 47

www.bloomberg.com

"Bloomberg News"
, - ,
.
.
1.9$
,
2$,
1992 .
. , , . -.
2$ , , ("save haven").
. ,
, ,
.
,
, 24.1
(46.8 . $) ,
( ).
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1.40$ 2001.
.
, , -
, 3%
. , -
. , , , : , ,
. .

36

? 1991 1992.
2$ 1.60$. ,
1993. 1.40$. 2$ 1992. . ,
2.44$ 1980., 1981. 1980-
1990-, .
?
. 2$,
, , .
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, . , .
, ,
, 4.5
. . , 3% .
, , ,
, , , .

, ? , .
"
,
,
,

",
"Williams de Broe Plc." .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

, .
, , ,
, . , ,
. .

2004 47

.
. ,
, . , .

. , .

? ,
,
.
2005.

- 3.1% 1.3% 2%
.

, .
, , .

- 4.75%
2% , . , ,
? , ,
.

.
.
Forex Magazine
www.bloomberg.com

, ,
-,
- ,
, .
, , , 2$.

.
, "
".
" - , , -
", .

37

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 47

www.cibcwm.com
-
,
.
, ,
. ,
,

,
. -
( ),
.
,
:
2%, , , 2005., . ,
, "" ,
.

38

:
2004. -
2003. ( +0.6% )
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2%. ,
,
2004.
,
2005.
2005., +2.1% +2%,
,
, , ,
, .
,
, ( 2%- ),
, ,
.
.
,
,
, . ,
- 2%-
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 47

:
1) : 29.87$ 2004., 70%
, ,
1970-
1980- , 20
. 70%- 0.3% .
2) : . 88.64,
, -
93.20, 5%- . , 1%-
13
, ,
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,
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.

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, - +3.5% , .

.
2004 - +3.3%, 2.2% . ,
125
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,
,
. ,
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 47

. , ( -)
, 2005 2004 , ,

. 2%-
1998., . , , , ,
, .
,
2%-
.

, , . ,
4.75% (09.12.2004. ), ,
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2005. , ,

,
. , " ".

40

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

, ,
2005 ,
(
), . , ,
.

,
, . , ""
,
,
, .

2004 47

,
. , , EUR/USD
, -
. , EUR/USD 3%, -
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.
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