You are on page 1of 49

1

2005 55/6

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

- " 2005" ............................................................................................................. 3


........................................................................... 5
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 6
" ". TeleTRADE D.J................................................. 10
. Mabico ....................................................... 12
, ....................................................................... 13
: , .............................................................................. 15
EUR/USD 14.02.2005 ................................................................................................................ 20
4- Silver-channel ....................................................................... 24
USD/JPY: ? ............................................................................ 31
: ................................................................................................................ 33
.................................................................................................................................................... 38
: ............................................................................................... 40
1-2-3 ......................................................................................................................... 42
.................................................................................................................... 44
()................................................................................................................. 48

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari.org
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

- " 2005"

2005 55/6

- " 2005"
C 9 11 2005 "" I
"", " " . .


. ,


.
,
,
,


.
, ,
,
,

.
, "" -


FOREX .

, , , ,
-
"" ,
. ,


.

, ,
, "",

.

.

.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

- " 2005"

2005 55/6

,

, .
, ,

. , ,

.

,
.
,
"" -. ,
,
"" (www.alpari.org) "
". - " 2005".

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

FOREX Review

(msk)
14/02/2005
7.30
. (.)

-1.2 %
-1.2 %
15/02/2005
10.00 (.) Q/Q
4 .

+0.1 %
+0.2 %
15/02/2005
10.00 (.) Y/Y
4 .

+1.3 %
+1.2 %
15/02/2005
12.30 HICP Y/Y

+1.6 %
+1.5 %
15/02/2005
13.00 (.) Q/Q
4 .

+0.3 %
+0.3%
15/02/2005
13.00 (.) Y/Y
4 .

+1.8 %
+1.6 %
15/02/2005
13.00 . ZEW

26.9
27.0
15/02/2005
16.30 M/M

+1.2 %
-0.4 %
15/02/2005
16.30 M/M

+0.3 %
+0.4 %
15/02/2005
16.30 -

20.1
20.0
15/02/2005
17.00 - .

+81.0 .
+60.0 .
15/02/2005
18.00 M/M

+1.0 %
+0.3 %
16/02/2005
2.50
(.) Q/Q
4 .

+0.1 %
+0.1 %
16/02/2005
12.30 M/M

-6,300
-3,000
16/02/2005
16.30

2.004 .
1.940 .
16/02/2005
16.30

2.021 .
2.000 .
16/02/2005
17.15 M/M

+0.8 %
+0.3 %
16/02/2005
17.15 .

79.2 %
79.3 %
16/02/2005
18.00 .

.
, -, .
, ,
. .
,
17/02/2005
12.30 M/M

-1.0 %
+0.5 %
17/02/2005
12.30 Y/Y

+3.2 %
+4.5 %
17/02/2005
13.00 . M/M

+1.7 %
-0.5 %
17/02/2005
13.00 . Y/Y

+12.2 %
+5.0 %
17/02/2005
13.00 M/M

-0.3 %
+0.5 %
17/02/2005
13.00 Y/Y

+0.5 %
+1.0 %
17/02/2005
16.30
7-12.02

303,000
315,000
17/02/2005
18.00 M/M

+0.2 %
-0.2 %
17/02/2005
18.00 .

17/02/2005
20.00

13.2
17.5
18/02/2005
16.30 PPI M/M

-0.7 %
+0.2 %
18/02/2005
16.30 PPI . . M/M

+0.1 %
+0.2 %
18/02/2005
17.45 Michigan Sentiment (.)

95.5
95.0
M/M

Q/Q

Y/Y
.

www.forexreview.ru
Forex Magazine

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

FIBO

FOREX FIBO
,
, .
,
,
. , .
, ,

2004 617 . . 25% 2003 .

,
59.33 .
56.4 ., .

4.52 ,
3.2%
,
0.1%.
. , ,
.

.

" " ,
.
.

. , , 85.44, .


. 5
13,000
303,000,
. 350,000
,
.

- ,
.
,
, ,
. .
,

. .
, ,
, .

. ,

. ,

.
60.0 . , ,
.
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

86.35, 50% Fibonacci retrecement


92.29 80.40, .
.
,
1.2732
1.2870. .
0.7%
2.1%
. , 1.2% ,
1.5%,
0.3%.
EZ ,

4.8% 1.3666 1.3000 .
,
,
. 750 .
,
.
4.0% 59.5 . , 10.7 . 12.0
. .
0.7-0.8%, 0.5%.
.
2.3%.
2004
7.7 .
1.7 . .

2005 55/6

EZ
.
,
, , .
, , ,
.
EZ
, ZEW.


1.3090, 38.2% Fibonacci
retracement 1.3666 1.2732.
EUR/USD 1.2920/50
1.3000.

1.2600,
EUR/USD. EUR/USD 1.2470/80, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement 1.1762 1.3666.
. , 5.3% 1.8600. ,

4.75%.
, .
. , , .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

2005 55/6

0.6%, 0.2%
, .

, 4.4 . 4.8
. , ,

0.7% . ,
, , , 40%. .

, ,
, , 1.8500-1.8940.
.
GBP/USD
, 1.8790. ,

1.9000,
, .
,
. ,
, , GBP/USD .

1.8180.
, 1.8510 18385. ,

,
" " .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

. ,
, .
106.90.
.
, .
. 0.1%. ,

,
.
,
, ,
.

2005 55/6

, , , . .
USD/JPY 103.40, .


FIBO GROUP
(095) 780 30 53 (52)
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

USD/JPY
104.15
. USD/JPY 106.90, 107.30, ,
,
, , , USD/JPY .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

" ". TeleTRADE D.J.

2005 55/6

TeleTRADE D.J.
" ".
.
, .
.

. 2005, .
EUR/USD $1.2867, , ,
$1.2730.
GBP/USD

$1.8540.
USD/JPY
103.45 . Y105.20.

. 2004
1.2% .
0.9%.
.

2005 . 1.8507, .
GBP/USD.

, , .
, 0.5% .
2004 .
0.3% 2003 . 4.428 4.711 .
, GBP/USD 15 75
$1.8636. $1.8545.

.
, , 2004
$56,40
$59,33 . , , ,
$57,00
,
, $60,30 .

EUR/USD $1.2728-$1.2800 .


: ,
, , 5 2005 , 303 316
. ,
Jobless claims.

GBP/USD $1.8550-$1.86.

, . ,

10

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

TeleTRADE D.J.

2005 $8,67 .,
.
, , 50 - 80 .
, ,

. .
,
, , , .
, . ,
, .
,
.
, :
/

.

,
.
, 2005
.
, , .

2005 55/6

4.5% 2003 . , , ,
, .
14.02 - 18.02
:


- ;




(TIC) . 60 , 81
.
, ,
56,4
.
,
-
Teletrade D.J.
e-mail: analitics@trust-com.ru

2004
$617.7 ., $121.2 . ,
2003 . 2004
5.3%

11

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

. Mabico

2005 55/6


Mabico

.
,
, /
1,30.
,
,
. ,
,
.
ABN-AMRO :
" ,
,
- , .
".
, , , . ,
,
, ,
.
, ,
. , . , Citigroup , " , , , ".
ING Financial Markets , "
". " , ,
4 ".
, . ,

12

Citigroup , "
. -
, "
IXIS Corporate and Investment Bank,
, "
$527 .
., $800 .
,
".
,
(TIC),
.
, , $60 . ,
, 1,2350 /.
$60 . . . ,
,
.
, $81 . .
, , TIC .
, , TIC. .
,
www.mabico.ru , "" http://www.mabico.ru/ru/news/stats/.
.
www. Mabico.ru

Forex Magazine

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

,
Dow Jones Newswires,

- /DJ FOREX/ -- , ,
, .
,
.
, , 12 . , ,
, .
, , - , , . , ,
, , .

, . 12

, .
,
, , ,
.

- -
, , , .

.
, , " -" .

, .

, .

13

, , , , .

,
,
.
,
- .
,
, , ", ,
,
". , " ( )
, , ".
" " - ,
- -
-
,
, 27,5%,

" ".

.
.
. , ,
, . .
, 8,2770 ,
.
,
, , , - .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

" , , ", ,
-. " ,
- ".
, , - 610 2004 , - " , "
, ,
, .
, , ,
, " 6-9 ", "
" .
, High Frequency
Economics , -, .
, - , .. .

2005 55/6

"" , 2004 100


. , . "" - .
, ,
, .
-
. , , ,
, , .
DJ FOREX
www.djforex.ru
Forex Magazine

"
", . " ".

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

: ,

: ,

- -
(www.forextrader.ru),
,

. -
, Forex.

FOREX
14-18.02.2005


FOREX, MSK

12:30-15:00
16:30-22:00

10:00-15:00
16:30-22:00

12:30-15:30
16:30-18:30
22-00-23-30

12:00-15:00
16:30-21:00
22:00-23:30

10:00-15:00
16:30-22:30

1,2730. . ,
, .
, , () , ,
. , - , .
. , , , .
, .
. 1,26,
1,25. , ,
, .

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

2005 55/6

EUR

12-30

.
10 13
EZ . 16-30 - ,
NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index.
,
.
-
. 12-3013-30 +
BoE.
.
16-30-17-15, ,
.


: 1.2415-1,1715 1,1000.
4 , 5 . 5
- 1.5570-1.7585.

- -

. 12-30-13-00
EZ + ECB. 16-30-20-00 , . -
,
, , ,
" ".
- 10 10-45 , 12-30 - ,
16-30-17-45 ,
Michigan sentiment index .
,
,
-. ,
4 .

16


: - 4 1,2735-1,2455.
5- - 1,3965-1,4600.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

2005 55/6

CHF


13.02.05.

4 1,2645-1,4050, - 5 0,3057.


4 1,2180-1,2425 , 1,25. - 5 1,0855-1,0095.

CHF 13.02.05.

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

ForexTrader

GBP

,
4
1.8225 -1.7400 1,6400. 5 2,1665-2,3755.

-
4 1,8285, .

JPY

GBP 13.02.05
.

18

, , 3 , 96,00. 4
109,35-117,50. - 5
89,35-77,00.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

JPY
. 3 105,65-107,75.

2005 55/6

JPY 13.02.05 .
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

EUR/USD 14.02.2005

14 2005
(A_Vlad) www.viac.ru

( 1)

, . ,
-,
. , ,
.

20

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 14.02.2005

2005 55/6

( 2)

,
59.33 . 56,4 .
,
04.02.05, ..
?
,
, ,
. ,
, .
U3 1.2905, .
1,2868, 1.2900
1,2800. , , :
1. (TICS),
.
60 . .

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 14.02.2005

2005 55/6

2.
. ,
,
.
3. PPI .
, ,
,
. ,
. , .. .
,
, , , . ,
, . ,
, , 5 .
, ,
, 1,2750.
, , ,
. ,
. , ,
.

22

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 14.02.2005

2005 55/6

:
1. 08.02.05 , . 5-
.
2. 10.02.05 120 . ( )
3. 15.02.05 0 . (), 60 ()
4. 17.02.05 120 . ()
, .
.


, www.viac.ru
. ,
A_Vlad, _Vlad,
.
,
e-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru

23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

EURUSD
:
1,2827, , ..

.
: - . Sky-low 1,2863, MACD
.
4-: Silverlow 1,2870, ...
1,2882
Future-low 1,2485 Silverhigh 1,2954. 1,2508...

EURJPY
:
Sky-low 133,89. - 136,58 -
.
: .
135,78.
Silver-high 136,34,
- .
4-: .
. Sky-high 135,69

Sky-low 134,20 Zen
136,36

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

EURCHF
: -
.
:
Futurehigh 1,5641. Silver-high 1,5545 , Sky-high 1,5580
4-: Future-high 1,5756.
,
1,5574 Future-high
1,5742 Silver-low 1,5512
.

EURGBP
: -
. Silver-low
0,6845. 0,6896
.
: .
Sky-low, .
4-: 0,6896 ( ) .
0,6884 Future-low
0,6821 Silver-high 0,6918
.

25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

AUDUSD
: .
.
: ,
.
4-: . .

GBPUSD
: - . 1,8626, .
: .
- ,
. 1,8714 1,8721
-
.
4-: - . 1,8713, 1,8619.
-
.

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

GBPCHF
: Sky-high
2.2655, .
, .
:
. Sky-high 2,2570
.
.
4-: 2,2599
2,3137 2,2489.
.

GBPJPY
: 193,71 - 199,24.
197,11 - ""

, .
: . : 197,29 - 198,48
4 :
- . .

196,80...

27

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

USDCAD
:
1,2477
1,0407 (Future-low)
: .
. .
4-: ,
.
1,2332 - /.
(1-) - ,
- "" .
,
.

USDCHF
:
, - 1,2066 -

: 1,2058
.
4-:
1,2058 . 1,2074
1,2588 1,1987,
, .

28

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

USDJPY
:
106,69, .
, Sky-high
- .
: - .
4-: .
,
105,05/15

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4- Silver-channel

2005 55/6

GOLD
: Sky-low
408,80 . , , 425,33 - .
425,80 -
, . , 425,80 ,
.
:
419,23,
,
- . .
4-: , , . 424,45 - .
.
Gbobr ( ), AlexSilver
Forex Magazine
, , Forex,
Silver-channel (11 -)
" 11 ,
"
Silver-channel
Silver-channel Daily
!
Silver-channel Weekly
AlexSilver
CFD
www.viac.ru
Silver-channel
- " Silver-channel"
Silver-channel
, . . .

30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

USD/JPY: ?

USD/JPY:
?
USD/JPY. ,
, , .
USD/JPY .
" USD/JPY" FOREX MAGAZINE, " " www.VIAC.ru.
- , .

USD/JPY:
, USD/JPY . , -
105.20 106.20.
107.00-30, .
108.70-109.20,
2002 (). - 2004 .
, 1995 (), 2004
, .
, 106.00,
, 106.20. . 103.80-104.10 .
,
, .

106.00-20
107.30
108.90
109.80

31

:




2002-2003

2004

105.20
103.80104.10
103.10
101.70

:
,



2005

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

2005 55/6

FOREX MAGAZINE
:
VIAC.ru
http://www.viac.ru/
,
: vmn@viac.ru

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

:
www.refconews.com
, ,

, .
, ,
. , ,
, , 10% - 40%.
, ,
.
"Big Mac",
57%. , . . ,
, . ,
, , . , ,


. ,
- ,
.
. , -

. , ,
,
, , , . "" ,
, , , -

33

. ,
. - , 2
. , , - , , ,
. ,
.
, ,
,
- , .
- ,
. ,
. , , , . , , ? 10% - 20%,
. , ,
.

1.
2.
3.
4.

5.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

1.
2. -
3.
4.
""

"" ,
2004.
. , , .
, ,
.
,
.
,
, .

. , , ,
.


, , ,
. ,

514 . $ 2004., , . 50 "Fortune 500" 2010 ,
4 . $. IBM "Lenovo"
, 50% 2000.

,
, -

34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

. , .
, . , "Huwei Technologies"
10 . $
, ,
.

7- 5.3%, .
,
,
. ,
- .
,
. ,
. "Fortune" ,
. " " ,
, , . , . , . ,
.

, ,
. 180 . $ ,

35

2005 55/6

,
. ( 2004., 220.98 . $
, 180.47 . $ , 40.52 . $ - ).
NDF (
) , 15% . 15%, , ,
27 . $. ,

,
, , .


, . -, . , 2 ,
3
,
. ,
, , "
, - ,
.
, . , ". ,
, , . ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

, .
, , . ,
- .
.
, , ,
,

. , -
.
""

,
. , ,
.
, ,
.
, , , . ,
, , . 9%,
.
,
-

36

2005 55/6

. , , , , - .
-
,
, .
1980 . 1990.
,
. A
.
(CSRC) ,
. 1990. 3
, , .
, 12
, , . CSRC, 17 . , .
,
, 9
. , (, -
),
. , . 1
, . 2004. 10
.
, , , , .

, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

- . ,
- , .

,
. , .
,
,
.
. ,
, ,
.
.

, . , , .
, ,
. ,
. ,
,

. .
,
.
Forex Magazine
www.refconews.com

37

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6



2004 .
, 2005 ,
, .
,
700.
$, , , ,
18%- - 3 . ,
.
.
, ,
, , 1.3 . $
.
625 . $ 2003 - .
( ) 600 . $.
- , 10%- 3%
.
2 .
12-15% 25%. .
,
. ,
715 . $, 7.2 . $
. 97
103 43 . $
.
""
- . (. )

38

www.forexnews.com


, ,
, ,
- .
, , ,

. , ,
5%-
.
, 1 2006. 2-3%
, , , ,
. , , , ,
. ,
,
,
.
, , ,
- 100
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

1998 ,
/ , 100
110
. ,
,

.
20%
,
, . , ,
, , .
10-15% ,
.
/ ,

.

2005 55/6

,
AUDJPY ? USDJPY. , ,
.

.
Forex Magazine
www.forexnews.co


,

, ,
7 .
, /
, /
, . 100 / ,
97 . ,

39

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

:

www.optionetics.com
- -
"Forbes Investors Advisory Institute". ,
"- "
"- ", " ".
"".
, , , - . , " ", "
", " ",
" " "
".
,
, -
.
.
: ?
: . .

.
:
?
:
, , , .
: , ?

40

: , , ,
. ,
. , , . , . . ,
. , , .
, .
: ?
: . ,
,
.
: , ,
?
: , ,
. , ,
.
, , , .
, ,
. -,
. , ,

, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

. ,
. -,
.
20 30 , 90% . , . ,
.
: ,
?
: . , ,
.
: ?
: "Boston Scientific"
.
. ,
. 20-
, , 10- . 18$.
.
20- . , 45$ .
.
:
?
: ,
, .
: ,
?
: ,
. - . -

41

2005 55/6

.
.
: ,
?
: - .
, , . .
,
, .
:
?
: , "Wall
Street Journal". , . ,
, . , ,
. ,
, .
:
?
:
. .
, . ,

. , ,
. ,
.
, , ,
, .
Forex Magazine
www.optionetics.com

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

1-2-3

2005 55/6

1-2-3

www.tradejuice.com

" 18

, ,
.
,

. ,
.
" ".

, ,
. , , .
.
, ,
,
:

, ,
, .
. , MACD 12,26,9. ,
:

, , . , 1-2-3 .
1-2-3:

42

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

1-2-3

2005 55/6


, . :

1.
, .
2. MACD
1-2-3.
3. , , 3, MACD
.
4. 1
2.
5.

- 1 3.

6. 2 3
.
7.

2 1.

1-2-3,
. .
Forex Magazine
www.tradejuice.com


. ,
- 1 ( ). .
:

43

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6



, , , , ,
, .
, ,
, ? , .

www.esignal.com
,
2002. 2003. (y)
(x).
Y-
. . "
".
2:
, 30-
21MA
.
,
- 48 . 30-

11.83 , ..
.

30- OEX 1.35%-


21MA
,
, , , ?
?
- ,
, .
1: ,
.
,
1.35%- 21- 30- OEX.

44

.

10.79 .
12.88 .
, 30- OEX,
,
.
.
-
, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

, (
) ,
. , ,
, .

-, ,
,
- -
.

, 96
. ,
,
,
( ) , ,
,
.

, 48 , . , 10.79
. , .

, , 10, ,
.


,
, , 48
.
- .

, ,
( ), 10. ( ),
. ,
, .
, ,
, .

45

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

,
, , ( )
,
.
3:


, , ,

, . , : 4- 2002., 1-
2003., 2- 2003. 3- 2003.
4- 2002.
10,
.

OEX 4- 2002.
, , ,
.

. , 3- 2003.
,
. .

4- 2002.
4- 2002. , ,

.
4-
2002. ,
-2 +2, , , , -

46

3- 2003.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6


, , , , - 4- 2002., .

- ,
. , , .

, , - ,
. , , -
.
,
,
.
Forex Magazine
www.esignal.co

47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 55/6

()

()
www.stockcharts.com
,
,
.
,
, ( ).

.

,
.
3. : , , .
. ,
.
4. :
,
. ,
, .
5. :

.
,


.

1. : ,
. ,

.
, . , .
2. : , .
-

48

6. :
. ,
. , 6
.
,
.
, ,
.

. ,
;
, .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

()

, , .
,
,
. .
,
.

2005 55/6

1999., "" .

22 1/2 2000. 5 , .

, , 10-
. , . / 1999
2000.

, 22 1/2 2 . 2000. 2000.,


20. 25 1/2, 22 1/2 . 1999.,
18 1/2.

, ANDW
.

, .

13- .
,
, .

.
Forex Magazine
www.stockcharts.com

, ,
1999.
1999.,
20 1999. ,
11.

13-
- 1998., 1999. 1999. 2000. -

49

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

You might also like

  • FM 54
    FM 54
    Document50 pages
    FM 54
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet
  • FM 52
    FM 52
    Document60 pages
    FM 52
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet
  • FM 46
    FM 46
    Document46 pages
    FM 46
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet
  • FM 45
    FM 45
    Document56 pages
    FM 45
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet
  • FM 43
    FM 43
    Document57 pages
    FM 43
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet
  • FM 41
    FM 41
    Document52 pages
    FM 41
    Diana Rusuhanu
    No ratings yet