1

2005 56/7

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

........................................................................... 3
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 4
TeleTRADE D.J. ............................................................................................................... 8
................................................................. 10
DJ FOREX ...................................................................................................................... 11
- . ForexTrader ..................................................... 13
: .......................................... 18
................................................................................................. 24
: ..................................................................................................... 26
......................................................................................................... 30
............................................................................................................................................... 31
.............................................................................................................................. 34
..................................................................................................................................... 37

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari.org
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

FOREX Review

(msk)

21/02/2005

22/02/2005

12.30

BoE 9-10.02

22/02/2005

13.00

+2.9 .

+4.0 .

22/02/2005

16.00

Home Depot

4 .

0.47

22/02/2005

18.00

103.4

103.0

22/02/2005

22.00

1-2.02

23/02/2005

12.00

- IFO

23/02/2005

13.00

. M/M

+1.7 %

+3.5 %

23/02/2005

13.00

. Y/Y

+12.2 %

+15.0 %

23/02/2005

16.30

CPI M/M

-0.1 %

+0.2 %

23/02/2005

16.30

CPI . . M/M

+0.2 %

+0.2 %

24/02/2005

16.30

. . M/M

+0.6 %

+0.1 %

24/02/2005

16.30

14-19.02

302,000

315,000

-0.2 %

-0.2 %

4 .

+3.1 %

+3.5 %

4 .

+2.0 %

+2.0 %

6.69 .

6.75 .

25/02/2005

2.30

CPI . . Y/Y

25/02/2005

16.30

(., . .) Q/Q

25/02/2005

16.30

(., . .) Q/Q

25/02/2005

18.00

M/M
Q/Q
Y/Y

96.4

97.0

www.forexreview.ru
Forex Magazine

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

FIBO

FOREX FIBO
,


. ,
.
. ,
. ,
.
, ,
"

, ".
100% . , ,
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,
,
. , , , . ,
. "
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2004 ,
2003 , EZ ( 2003
, 2004 ).
,
84.57
83.40, .
-

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

. , .
,
.
83.80 . ,


94.2 95.5 .
, , ,
. , ,
( 3.5% 3.1%), (
)
.

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. " " , . 200 1.2865 1.3065 1.5%.
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. EZ 0.5%
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2.3%.

2005 56/7

0.8% , . -0.2% ZEW

35.9 29.9 ,

. ,
, ,
EZ .
0.2% 1.6%
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, - , , 1.3140 1.3200.

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, Ifo

. EZ
Ifo .

, .

, . 1.2950, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement EUR/USD
1.3090, . 1.2900
EUR/USD 1.2840
.
.

,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

2005 56/7

. 3.4% 9.5% .
0.1% .
,
.
0.5%, .
. 2.0% 2006 .

2.6%, 1975
. . , .
,
. . ,

. -

, .
1.9100, , -

,

.

.
GBP/USD
1.9000,
1.8700
, 1.9100.
. . 2004 .
,
Nikkei , 0.9% -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

.
,
2004 . 0.1% ,
2003 0.5%.
0.1% 0.5% .
, -0.3%
+0.1%. ,
, 10
. USD/JPY 104.30. ,
, 0.7%, 2004
16.7%
2004 , 2.6%,
, EZ, 1.9%.

2005 56/7

, , . , USD/JPY.
, , . ,
/ 104.30 .


FIBO GROUP
(095) 780 30 53 (52)
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

, ,
,
., ,
, ,
. USD/JPY
105.60, , 107.30.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 TeleTRADE D.J.

2005 56/7

TeleTRADE D.J.

,
.
. . , 35.1% 2003 , 1.616 . , ,
4.5%.
0.999 . 0.753
. .

, . ,
, .
,
. , ,

,
.
$1,8680 $1,8920, .

EUR/USD $1.2866 $1.2950. $1,2920 -
2004 .
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Y105.50 Y104.60,
.
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. , -

.

ZEW ,
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.
.
-
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. , "
2005 . ", . " " .
, .
,
.

, . .
,
. .
GBP/USD 1.8930 130
1.8800.
, 2.0%.
. , ,
, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 TeleTRADE D.J.

, ,

.
. . 4- . jobless claims 302 304 , , 320.

.

,
.

, , .
,
2005 . , , , , , ,
.
(PSNCR)
-16.9 . , , , .

2005 56/7

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.
,
:

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- ( CPI
);

-
;

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,
, . ,
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0.2-0.5 , 3.3%-3.6% .
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, , , Jobless
claims, .
,
- Teletrade D.J.
e-mail: analitics@trust-com.ru

, .
EUR/USD $1.3080
$1.3030.
/ 1.3080
.
21.02 - 25.02

.
-

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

.
Mabico

, ,
.
.
. , ,
. 2004
- 617,7 . , 25
2003 . ,

. $4,92 ,
1991 . .

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2004 . $1,76 .
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.
www. Mabico.ru

Forex Magazine

,
. , ,
- , .

10

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

DJ FOREX

,
Monument Securities
/DJ FOREX/ --

,
.
2004 , .
IV 2004 . -
III
,
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-, . , 0,1%
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III IV , , , . , , , . -

11

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2005 , ,
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, , , .

.
.
. ""
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2004 . ,
,
"" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

DJ FOREX

- . , 2004
.
IV 2004 0,8%,
1,0% III . , -, ,
IV ,
.
, ,
IV . , . -
. ,
IV ,
, .
.
.
,
, , , , . ,
- .
DJ FOREX
www.djforex.ru
Forex Magazine

12

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

- . ForexTrader

-
- -
(www.forextrader.ru),
,

. -
, Forex.

FOREX
21-25.02.2005

FOREX, MSK

10:00-15:00
18:00-22:00

11:30-15:00
16-30-23-30

10:00-13:00
16:30-23:00

02:30-08:00
10:45-16-20
16:30-22:30

: . - , .
. , ,
: ,
, " " ( ). - . - -
.

13

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ForexTrader

2005 56/7

EUR

,
.
8 BoJ 10 13
EZ. 18-00 - Consumer
confidence .
11-30-14-00
. 16-30- CPI 22
- minutes FOMC.
- 10 ,
16-30 .
- 02-30
. 10-45-15-55 EZ 16-30-18-00
. - " !

: 1.2415-1,1715 1,1000.
4 , 5 . 5
- 1.5570-1.7585.

: - 4 1,2735-1,2455.
5- - 1,3965-1,4600.

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ForexTrader

2005 56/7

CHF

20.02.05
.

4 1,2645-1,4050, - 5 0,3057.

4 1,2180-1,2425 , 1,25. - 5 1,0855-1,0095.

CHF 20.02.05
.

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

ForexTrader

GBP

,
4
1.8225 -1.7400 1,6400. 5 2,1665-2,3755.

-
4 1,8285, .

JPY

GBP 20.02.05

16

, , 3 , 96,00. 4
109,35-117,50. - 5
89,35-77,00.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ForexTrader

JPY
. 3 105,65-107,75.

2005 56/7

JPY 20.02.05.
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

:
www.wachovia.com

4.4%
2004., , ,
. ,
, 3.3% 2005.,
,
.
, ,
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18

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

, . ,
, , ,
. , , ,
,
.

2005 56/7

, , - ,
11 . , .
,


.

,
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. 146.000
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.
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4.1% 1994. 0.9%
1995. 1995 ,
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1990-, . , 2004 1994 ,
, ,
.
, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 1995 .
, ,
, .
, ,

, . ,
1990-
,
. , , , .

, ,
.
, ? , ,
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2005 56/7

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

. ,
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21

2005 56/7

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.
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

1986 . ,
1987. .
1980- . .

, , . ,

. ,
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22

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

" , "
,
. , .
,
. , , , .
. ,
, , ,
.
, 2005 - 1995 ,
.
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, ,
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Forex Magazine
www.wachovia.com

23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

/DJ FOREX/
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

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www.djforex.ru
Forex Magazine

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25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

:

www.optionetics.com
,
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[CFA] 2000
"Timer Digest" 10
. "
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

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2005 56/7

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

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www.daytradingcoach.com
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:
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2 (R2) = + (R1 - S1)
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

R1, R2.
, R1 R2 ,
R2, R3.
,
, .
,
,
.
12 2004. EUR/USD
:
- 1.2297
- 1.2213
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2005 56/7

,
, .

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2 = 1.2169
3 = 1.2125
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,

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S1, S2 S3.

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 56/7

. ( ) S2.
, S2 ,
,
, .

, S1 (
). .

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.
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Forex Magazine
www.daytradingcoach.com

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MACD . , , ,
.

33

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

.
- , "
", " 2" " ",
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www.hardrightedge.com
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

4:
. ,
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120 , CTXS !
,
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2005 56/7

,
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

9:
, 14 10:30
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1-2-3-4 10-
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36

2005 56/7

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Forex Magazine
www.hardrightedge.com

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

www.linnsoft.com

COG = -1 * NUM / DEN

n

NUM = [ PRICE[i] * (i + 1) ]
i=0
n

DEN = PRICE[i]
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37

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 56/7

() .
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Forex Magazine
www.linnsoft.com

38

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005