1

2005 59/10

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

........................................................................... 3
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 4
TeleTRADE D.J. ............................................................................................................... 8
. ForexTrader .................................................................. 11
ISIG Ltd ................................................................................................................... 16
EUR/USD 14.03.2005 ................................................................................................................. 20
4- Silver-channel ....................................................................... 24
OPEC - . ...................................................................... 31
................................................................................................ 33
..................................................................................... 35
........................................................................................................................................ 37
.............................................................................................................................................. 40
( ) .................................................................................................... 42
"-" ........................................................................................ 44
................................................................................................................................................... 47
( 2) .................................................................................. 52

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari.org
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 59/10

FOREX Review

(msk)

14/03/2005

2.50

(.) Q/Q

4 .

-0.1 %

-0.1 %

14/03/2005

7.30

. (.) M/M

+2.1 %

+2.1 %

14/03/2005

17.00

.-.

15/03/2005

13.00

. ZEW

15/03/2005

16.30

M/M

35.9

30.0

-0.3 %

+0.6 %

.
0.5% 0.3%.
0.7% +0.6% .
15/03/2005

16.30

M/M

+0.6 %

15/03/2005

16.30

19.2

+0.8 %
20.0

15/03/2005

17.00

- .

61.3 .

55.0 .

- .

. $61.3 . ,
IV $181.90 . $164.71
15/03/2005

18.00

M/M

+0.2 %

+0.7 %

15/03/2005

18.00

-11,000

-3,000

16/03/2005

9.30

16/03/2005

12.30

M/M

16/03/2005

13.00

HICP (.) Y/Y

16/03/2005

16.30

16/03/2005

16.30

16/03/2005

+2.0 %

+2.0 %

2.159 .

2.050 .

2.132 .

2.070 .

17.15

M/M

0.0 %

+0.4 %

16/03/2005

17.15

79.0 %

79.2 %

17/03/2005

12.30

M/M

+0.9 %

-0.3 %

17/03/2005

12.30

Y/Y

+3.9 %

+3.5 %

17/03/2005

13.00

M/M

+0.5 %

-0.3 %

17/03/2005

13.00

Y/Y

+1.0 %

+0.5 %

17/03/2005

16.30

7-12.03

327,000

315,000

17/03/2005

18.00

M/M

-0.3 %

+0.1 %

17/03/2005

20.00

23.9

20.0

18/03/2005

17.45

Michigan Sentiment (.)

94.1

95.0

M/M
Q/Q
Y/Y

www.forexreview.ru
Forex Magazine

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

FIBO

FOREX FIBO
.
,
.
81.28. , ,
, Intel
,

81.15.

, . ,
, .
,
.
.
, ,
,
.

58.3 .
55.7 . . ,
2005 4.5%,
1.9% , 35.35 36.63 . ,
,

.

,
, 5 17,000 327,000, ,
. 350,000,
.

19.0% .
,
" " " ".
11.5 . 3.1 . 8.7
. .
.
" " .

1.1% 0.4% . 0.5%, 1.1% . , ,

, .

, ,
.. ,
, , .

. -
55.65 .
, ,
. .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

, - .
, , .
,
, , ,
.
,
.

81.15, 80.75 80.40, . 81.80,
82.30 82.70.
80.40
.
1992 ,
78.19. ,
,
.
. , EZ
, 1.3480 -.

.
3.1% .
, 0.2%.

1.5%.

EZ.

2005 59/10

13.2 .
10.7 . .
6.1% ,
6.6%. 931 . 2.54
. .
,
IfW
0.6% 0.8%. ,

, , ,
, .
1.0%
1.4%, .

1.8% ,
,
EZ 2.0%.
, - EZ.
, , , EZ,
. , EUR/USD 1.3480.

1.3520,
1.3667.
EZ.
. , ,
ZEW, EZ.
EUR/USD
1.3370, 1.3280 1.3140. 1.3667,
1.3520 1.3800/20.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

2005 59/10

. ,
. GBP/USD
1.9165
4 .
,
. ,
.
0.3%
, 2.9%.
, . - . , ,

.
,

GBP/USD. , , , .
, , ,
GBP/USD 1.9555. - .
, ,
.
GBP/USD
1.9140, 1.9030, 1.8980., 1.9340, 1.4550,
1.9555.
. ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 FIBO

. , , , , "
",
. - 840 . , 80%
.

, ,

. 103.65
. , USD/JPY
,
.
, , .
2.2% , 3.0%.
0.5%. 3.5%, 14.4 10.7%
.

2005 59/10

47.6 47.4 .
50.0 , .
, USD/JPY 103.00,

.
2004 , ,
. USD/JPY 103.60 ,
10520 , , 106.00.


FIBO GROUP
(095) 780 30 53 (52)
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 TeleTRADE D.J.

2005 59/10

TeleTRADE D.J.

.
, ,
,
. ,
. , . Guo
Shuqing, , ,
.
70
, $1.3175,
100 .
USD/JPY
Y105.30

,
,
.
EUR/USD
150 , $1.3360. GBP/USD
200 , 31.12.2004 $1.9326.

USD/JPY 90 Y104.30.
31 .
2-
.

,
Nikkei, . ,
55.0. ,
- , 50
. , , 88.9, 2
.
GDP/USD 100 $1.9197,
.

.

2005 5,174
4,939 2004 . 2005 2004 0,2%. 0,1%. 0,2%
1,4% .
EUR/USD 95
$1.3332 $1.3426.
,
3.1% .
, - 0.6%.
2004 3.5%.


,
. ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 TeleTRADE D.J.

"" ,
, , .

.
-
, .
EUR/USD 1.3452,
.
GBP/USD 1.9304.
Y103.65.
, , ,
, ,
, .

. 2.2% ,
3%.

-

2005 59/10

4.75%, .
, 23 .
, , ,
, , ,
. , $1.9250.
, ,

, .

, .

2005 $58,27 . $55,74 . .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

TeleTRADE D.J.

14.03 - 18.03


,
:

.-. ;

- Janet
Yellen .

(TIC) ;

- ;

10

:
;
.

:
.

(TIC) .



$61.3 . ,
,
.
,
-
Teletrade D.J.
e-mail: analitics@trust-com.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

. ForexTrader

?
- -
(www.forextrader.ru),
,

. -
, Forex.

FOREX
14-18.03.2005

FOREX, MSK

12:30-14:00
16-30-23-30

10:30-15:00
16:30-22:00

08:00-15:00
16:30-22:00

12:30-15:00
16:30-22:00

10:00-15:00
16:30-22:30

, , ,
, . 1,35 . ? , , ,
, , , 1,35. ,
.
. ? .. ! , , , . -
, , ,
, ,
. , ,
.

11

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ForexTrader

EUR

02-50 -
. 12-30
.
10-45-13-00 ,
13 . 16-30-18-00 .
08-00 09-00
BoJ. 12-00-13-00
13
. , 16-30 17-15
.
- 12-30-13-00 . 16-30 - ( ), 18-00
( ) 20-00 ( ).

,
, 4 , :
1.2500-1,1750. 4 ,
5 . 5 - 1.5600-1.7550.

- 10-00- ,
12-30 - . 16-30 - 17-45
, .

, , 5 .
5- - 1,3775-1,4420.

12

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ForexTrader

2005 59/10

CHF

13.03.05.

. 3 1,0406
4 1,2653-1,3622 ( ), - 5 0,3095.

CHF
, , . 4 1,1628-1,1730 (c
).

CHF 13.03.05.

13

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ForexTrader

GBP

, ,
, 4
1.8208 -1.. - 5
2,1645-2,3770.

5
- 1,9613-2,0297.

JPY

GBP 13.03.05.

14

, 4 .
4 108,85-113,65. - 5
89,30-77,45.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ForexTrader

JPY 3
102,35-110,10. 4- 104,45-99 (
),
- 5 - 99,35.

2005 59/10

JPY 13.03.05.
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ISIG Ltd

International Service Invest Group Ltd
* EURUSD, GBPUSD USDCAD 57 , AUDUSD 58 .

1. AUD, Daily

5 .
4, ,
,

5.
5
0.8170-0.8260.

AUD, 240 min

4 .
a-b-c-d-e.
5.

( 2) ,
50-61.8 % 1.

3 - 0.8130

16

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ISIG Ltd

2.EUR, Daily
EURUSD
5.

5 . 4
,
50-61.8% 3.
, ,
.
- 1.3660->1.3880.

EUR, 240
,
,

. 5
(1.3420-1.3620), ,
,
.

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ISIG Ltd

3.GBP, Daily

5 .
4
50-61.8 % 3 .
5
5
1.9615.

GBP, 240 min

,
,

.
- 1.9410->1.9500.

18

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

ISIG Ltd

4.CAD, Daily

5 .
4
50 %
3
5,
1.1450-1.1180

CAD, 240 min

( A-B-C )
4 .

1.2425-1.2580 ,

4
.
.
(1.2150) 3
.
1.1940

International Service Invest Group Ltd.

33 Jabotinsky St., Twin Tower 1,
Ramat-Gan 52511, Israel
www.isig-trade.ru
E-mail : admin@isig-trade.com

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

EUR/USD 14.03.2005

14 2005
(A_Vlad) www.viac.ru

()

04.03.05 ,
, . ,
, , 05.03.05 Guo
Shiqing , .

20

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 EUR/USD 14.03.2005

2005 59/10

( )

.2
, .
,
Nout Wellink, ,
,
1,3260 1,3280. , , . NY Times
: , .
,
2001 2004 . ,
. 10.03.05 Koizumi ,
. , ,
.
. , .
. , NFP.
LB, ,
.
58.3 .
55,7 . .
, 30 , 5
20 . , , .

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 EUR/USD 14.03.2005

2005 59/10

.3
,
.
.1 ,
() .
. 2 :
1: , ..
, , .
-$61,3 .
,
, ,
.
2: 1,3417 D1, .. ,
TICS , .
3: , .
, ..
., . ,
.

22

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 EUR/USD 14.03.2005

2005 59/10

. 4
1,3380 / 1,3400. 1,3560.
, , 1,3628,
. 1,3628 ,
.
10.03.05 , , ,
12 . , 22
, . ,
. ,
, .

, www.viac.ru
. ,
A_Vlad, _Vlad,
.
,
e-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru

23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

EURUSD
: . .
: ,
- .
4-: , ,
.

EURJPY
: Silver-high
138,30 . " ",
. .
: - .
4-: , MACD ,
137,92
Futurehigh 141,81 Silver-low
137,97 .

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

EURCHF
: -
. -
1,5490 Sky-high 1,5502
: - .
4-: .
Sky-low 1,5389
Zen 1,5542

EURGBP
:
- .
: , - . .
4-: .
.

25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

AUDUSD
: ,
.
: - ,
.
-, ,
Sky-high 0,7876.
4-: - .
0,7822 Sky-low Zen 0,7992

GBPUSD
: . Sky-high 1,9131,
- .
: ,
- .
4-: - . .

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

GBPCHF
:
- .
: .
4-: - .
.

GBPJPY
:
. - . - .
: - . .
4 :
- . .

27

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

USDCAD
:
1,2381. . Silver-low
1,2031
: . - .
4-: - .
. .

USDCHF
:
.
: -
4-:
- . .

28

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 4- Silver-channel

2005 59/10

USDJPY
:
- , .
: .
4-: . Sky-low 104,09 .

GOLD
:
Silver-high 433,37. "
".
: -
-
4-: -
Future-high 449,30
Silver-low 435,68. .

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

4- Silver-channel

EURUSD

EURJPY

EURCHF Sell
EURGBP

137,92

137,97 141,81

MACD

1.5487

1.5542 1.5389

AUDUSD Sell

0.7937

0.7822 0.7992

GBPUSD

GBPCHF

GBPJPY Buy

200.13

199.44 201.44

USDCAD

USDCHF

USDJPY

Skylow 104,09

GOLD

(c) Gbobr, (c) Robot2005

, , Forex,
Silver-channel (11 -)
" 11 ,
"
Silver-channel
Silver-channel Daily
Silver-channel Weekly
CFD
Silver-channel
- " Silver-channel"
Silver-channel
, . . .

30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

OPEC - .

2005 59/10

OPEC - .
, , .
CFTC(
), , 8 , WTI 130797 158645, -
70624 81982. 60173 1
76663 8 .
8
. CFTC,
482665 476025,
- 533258 546468.
50593 1 70443 8 .
, .
WTI, NYMEX,
$55.67 ,
$55.80.
-, - .
. , EIA , 4 , 3.2 .
,
302.6 . . ,
,
.

NYMEX-ACCES WTI
$52.50, , ,
, 30.08.2004, . .

31

, - IEA.
26-
. IEA
1.81 . , 2.2%, 84.3 . ,
330000 , .
WTI
89 , $54.43 . 1.2% 48%, . , , . - - 1974 ,
1979 1981., 1981.
, $35.24
. ,
EIA, $75.71 .
, ,
. 4.4%, -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

OPEC - .

2005 59/10

1999.
, , 3.8%.

- , OPEC. , " - .

, IEA . ,
120000 ,
. 100000
.

, OPEC - ,
2 . , .

OPEC, 16
. ,
. , , .
OPEC 30 .
-
. ,
,
. , .

,
, .
.
,
. , $60 .
, . , ,
,
. , OPEC ,
,
. $52.50
.

, OPEC . (MEES), OPEC 150000

29.35 . b/d, , 29.2 .
. OPEC 10, , 90000 27.49 . b/d 27.4
. b/d .

. $54.50-$55.00 $56.00.

OPEC - ,
, .
.

E-mail: bauer@viac.ru

, ,
OPEC, , .
, - OPEC
- 29.5 .
.

$52.50
NYMEX . , ,
. v, , .

Forex Magazine
www.alpari-idc.ru

OPEC , OPEC
.
" - . -

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 59/10

www.bloomberg.com

"Bloomberg News"

?
, , , .
. , .
- , 12 , -.
,
. , , .
.
,
, -
, .

10% 2004 : , . ,

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,
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.
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.

33

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2%, -
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, , 15%
, , 2%.
- ,
- ,
. " " "".

15% .
" ,
" ", - - .

, . ,
,
.
" ",
. "
, ".

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 59/10

. ,
, . , , .

. ,
,
2003.
,
. "Capital
Economics Ltd.", ,
50%. .

,
. , ,
, ,
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, .
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,
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,
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Forex Magazine
www.bloomberg.com

34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 59/10

www.fxstreet.com
2005
. 150 8 ,

, , , 30- ,
EURUSD
1.3667.

.
,
2000. 6.5% 1% 3 .
18%-
. 2003 2004
18% , , ,
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, , 2005. . ,
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, ,
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.
,
. - ,
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. (
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.
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,
. , , , . , -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

,
,
, , ,

.
, .

, 2009 , , . ,
,
1 . $
. , ,

. , ,

.

2005 59/10

.
,
16 17 , .

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, " ", , , , . , ,
.
Forex Magazine
www.fxstreet.com

.
, ,
, ,
2006.
, 1987.,
,
1991., "Long Term Capital Management" 1998,
NASDAQ 9

36

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 59/10

1981 1986

"Advanced GET" - , .
1986. , ,
,
.
"Advanced GET"
80 . 2000 "Advanced GET"
"eSignal" "eSignal", 7.1.

"Advanced GET". , , ,
.

" ". "

", .

"Advanced GET" " "
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37

www.esignal.com
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.

1979 , " "
.
3

. , ,
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5.
,
"Advanced GET" - .
,
, , 94
. ,
, .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

,
, ,
,
.
,
(PTI),
. PTI 3. , PTI 35, ,
. PTI 35

, 5.
4, (, ). 4,
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.

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"Occidental Petroleum Corp." (OXY). 3, -

38

, . , ,
.

2, , , ,
94 . ,
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

, .

2
2,
. -
4. ,
5 MOB, -.
.
( , , 4, , PTI MOB)

"eSignal".
Forex Magazine
www.esignal.com

39

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 2005 59/10

. -
,
. -.


.
" "
2003., 50
.
, . , ,
, , -
.

. ,
, 90% 10%
.
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40

www.brettsteenbarger.com
, , 10% ,
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, , " ?" : "
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

,
,
.
, ;
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. ,
" "
- 90% , , 10% , ,
.
,
.
,
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2005 59/10

, , ,
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, . ,
.
,
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Forex Magazine
www.brettsteenbarger.com

, .

. , , . - , , .
, -

41

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ( )

2005 59/10

( )
www.stockcharts.com
,
.
, ,
.
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. ,
.
. , ,
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42

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 ( )

,
.

, , . ,
.
, , , . ,
, .

2005 59/10

:
.

:
.

: .
, , .
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, (
). . ,
1998.

"FCX" .

:
"FCX" 1997. 1998., , 1999.

43

.

.

Forex Magazine
www.stockcharts.com

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 "-"

2005 59/10

"-"



- - Learn4x.com.
, ,
.
"-".
, ,
. (
"- " 15
www.fxmag.ru)
: - - . , ,
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-, - " -",
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www.futuresmag.com
: , , "X" 20 . ,
.

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, - ,
,
. , , - .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

 "-"

, , .
: ?
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. , ,
, .
. -, .
, ,
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www.alpari.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005