Numero de prueba

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Inversion P

Vida del Proy. N

(100000+RND*5000)

(4+RN(16-4))

*analisis de datos, normal

*analisis de datos, uniforme

98498.8392
93611.58416
101221.2865
106382.3677
105991.7511
108665.6655
89082.0618
98829.09378
105475.1126
94566.49675
96548.9792
91547.83836
90765.44555
95111.85251
96132.46473
89410.34391
97160.37564
97979.76216
100674.2653
98172.53524
98365.04685
98148.79743
106713.2078
99573.57772
99069.21175
97433.96302
109861.0599
104328.3649
111878.2737
96725.46664
108307.2791
91938.01159
102694.7419
104510.9573
109594.5779
99577.41466

12.97317423
8.821680349
8.25696585
10.82161931
13.07351909
4.811914426
15.12509537
6.569780572
10.17084262
8.297616504
8.919461653
10.67293313
10.67476424
12.52565081
14.4779809
12.89077425
14.49153111
8.220343638
10.29389325
15.73265786
14.12237922
11.7902768
7.409161657
15.28037355
11.69359416
15.7366863
13.6748558
13.91216773
12.28943754
10.1572924
12.74941252
12.79555651
5.96478164
14.2047792
9.220130009
10.03497421

Vida del Proy.

entero mas
Proximo
N

13
9
8
11
13
5
15
7
10
8
9
11
11
13
14
13
14
8
10
16
14
12
7
15
12
16
14
14
12
10
13
13
6
14
9
10

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83

97381.02474
103375.6919
98093.38078
103788.0568
92779.06682
95763.81242
92392.14503
98185.61491
99837.60404
100140.5851
98386.41997
110972.5079
91287.58645
96317.61511
87112.09628
107238.35
93601.18181
96732.10027
103788.5684
102333.5588
104373.0438
102978.7088
93140.75012
94421.30729
103469.9724
101613.1821
95300.81141
98795.26058
100657.6784
102788.9882
100693.575
95445.19369
109424.2296
102435.9906
100361.1945
104149.2058
104310.0385
96817.34266
95384.04154
105555.944
93994.10626
92205.53946
103556.6245
103192.0308
111028.4418
107218.7731
106519.5195

4.814477981
14.38349559
5.213293863
12.33558153
15.46934416
12.55604724
7.87243263
14.07110813
13.39872433
8.537858211
5.076693014
11.62401196
15.39316996
12.15173803
8.780663472
6.870448927
4.600604266
5.614673299
7.342509232
7.695181127
8.493179113
11.14426099
10.22211371
15.39793085
12.1363567
4.639790033
14.41792047
6.878139592
7.142185736
10.33600879
4.02417066
9.466597491
14.6735435
9.281655324
4.281258583
12.28028199
10.87801752
8.538590655
13.4877163
15.97473067
13.12955107
11.95947142
14.15936766
12.77248451
15.44663839
11.43174535
6.805261391

5
14
5
12
15
13
8
14
13
9
5
12
15
12
9
7
5
6
7
8
8
11
10
15
12
5
14
7
7
10
4
9
15
9
4
12
11
9
13
16
13
12
14
13
15
11
7

84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

100564.8019
100009.7543
102268.5072
99872.42632
94726.62466
91125.96925
104141.657
102221.1225
103089.5308
101067.3659
94865.34534
106190.9759
98443.93415
95800.39116
95894.35902
97855.03633
97733.19246

6.636799219
7.467757195
15.45396283
15.69420454
9.472457045
5.35319071
5.924130985
9.987731559
15.22104556
4.995391705
8.015625477
13.61845759
7.731070894
13.9066744
8.011230811
11.28196051
4.280159917

7
7
15
16
9
5
6
10
15
5
8
14
8
14
8
11
4

Flujos anuales A
x
p(x)
14000
0.4
16000
0.4
20000
0.2
*analisis de datos, discreta
16000
20000
16000
14000
20000
16000
16000
16000
14000
16000
20000
16000
14000
14000
20000
14000
16000
16000
14000
14000
20000
14000
20000
14000
14000
20000
16000
20000
16000
14000
20000
16000
14000
16000
16000
14000

16434.31407
2376.407101
Flujo Anual Neto

[-((P-F)(a/P,10%,N)
,+F(10%)]+A]

15969.52254
19980.31156
15980.46824
13972.55185
19966.94211
15984.11949
15967.07009
15982.70613
13975.27562
15981.89313
19979.61988
15976.77649
13976.9993
13970.68896
19967.38246
13972.65246
15966.9932
15981.1623
13976.51885
13959.63009
19966.537
13972.39416
19981.1712
13962.7014
13972.10592
19959.96824
15962.18357
19964.27875
15968.09446
13977.54144
19966.14468
15971.78197
13983.59122
15964.2096
15976.54797
13976.8029

14000
14000
16000
20000
20000
16000
14000
14000
16000
16000
20000
20000
16000
14000
20000
16000
14000
20000
20000
20000
20000
16000
16000
14000
14000
20000
16000
14000
20000
20000
20000
20000
20000
14000
16000
14000
20000
16000
14000
14000
20000
16000
16000
16000
16000
14000
16000

13985.93578
13964.63952
15985.82113
19970.6281
19965.53065
15970.46444
13982.35869
13966.60495
15969.06149
15978.77415
19985.77396
19968.37812
15966.1517
13972.96764
19981.84203
15981.06896
13986.54416
19984.64673
19981.74058
19980.23009
19979.79341
15973.52116
15978.46974
13964.84682
13970.72772
19985.25461
15967.6974
13982.71272
19982.35013
19975.97122
19986.72771
19979.87979
19958.59957
13978.23363
15986.77635
13970.515
19973.14202
15979.55669
13970.59522
13956.24958
19971.07389
15974.25543
15964.571
15967.90629
15957.93157
13972.31366
15981.2089

14000
14000
16000
16000
16000
14000
16000
16000
16000
16000
14000
16000
14000
14000
20000
16000
20000

13982.36821
13982.47627
15961.57923
15958.85179
15980.049
13986.94255
15983.33509
15976.11828
15961.23735
15985.34246
13981.82914
15963.5734
13981.06291
13967.50821
19981.60881
15974.9803
19987.16094

Numero
de
Prueba

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Proyecto A
Distribucion Discreta
x
-5000
10000
20000
30000

p(X)
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.1
20000
20000
20000
10000
10000
20000
20000
10000
20000
20000
-5000
10000
30000
10000
-5000
-5000
10000
20000
20000
20000
10000

Proyecto B
Distribucion Normal
media=25000
desviacion est = 10000

29548.03057
15055.76683
18989.51331
19144.58216
26821.89979
17246.35303
35018.49341
21364.69283
40109.43548
24804.53822
24182.46658
26755.825
32148.76478
23339.64921
39074.06671
30406.28662
36791.23501
24309.05688
30663.08245
20654.63895
32296.71683

22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68

20000
-5000
20000
10000
-5000
20000
-5000
30000
10000
-5000
20000
10000
30000
10000
10000
20000
10000
20000
20000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
20000
-5000
20000
20000
20000
20000
20000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
20000
20000
30000
10000
20000
20000
10000
30000
10000
10000
10000

14384.96901
34367.49984
18620.62226
18575.5568
27541.21915
19798.87265
21153.83786
19726.92025
2081.097313
15490.39161
22293.29829
21192.52549
37996.17907
26423.45016
22743.02069
29999.86754
42505.72665
22511.69071
11928.67393
15574.22428
20189.944
30589.59528
30563.67468
29335.26566
36389.89774
30883.58944
17110.26989
33909.86485
29726.91681
37393.5024
37581.99518
17778.94176
37955.36549
14344.56471
19673.22596
37329.4285
22139.02525
17578.92114
30735.06895
30389.4837
22886.39116
29204.54853
9333.271641
13937.63404
27805.22272
12009.14148
20267.94454

69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

20000
20000
30000
30000
20000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
30000
-5000
30000
20000
30000
20000
20000
20000
20000
10000
20000
10000
20000
20000
-5000
20000
10000
20000
10000
20000

34823.29311
26538.70587
26575.85873
24636.92972
11514.92206
16645.33619
24473.83458
14447.90605
12664.02314
23875.02327
34761.51568
26401.82692
41431.84078
16163.8497
23836.51753
24587.94206
12730.871
-1249.108487
31324.14867
27187.98277
25487.8757
37994.40555
33731.51293
27877.70945
9671.330822
20975.29268
23944.28129
16849.64281
19413.08773
31351.27435
32692.83588
27507.24952

Diferencia

Desviacion Est.
Promedio

12759.7149
9415.47152

B-A
Dado que el promedio de la diferencia
entre los flujos de los proyectos es postivo
se recomienda realizar el proyecto B

9548.030574
-4944.23317
-1010.486686
9144.582161
16821.89979
-2753.646969
15018.49341
11364.69283
20109.43548
4804.53822
29182.46658
16755.825
2148.76478
13339.64921
44074.06671
35406.28662
26791.23501
4309.056875
10663.08245
654.6389512
22296.71683

-5615.030988
39367.49984
-1379.377737
8575.5568
32541.21915
-201.127351
26153.83786
-10273.07975
-7918.902687
20490.39161
2293.298293
11192.52549
7996.179066
16423.45016
12743.02069
9999.867542
32505.72665
2511.690708
-8071.326066
-4425.775715
189.944002
20589.59528
20563.67468
19335.26566
16389.89774
35883.58944
-2889.730114
13909.86485
9726.916814
17393.5024
17581.99518
-2221.05824
17955.36549
4344.56471
9673.225956
27329.4285
2139.025254
-2421.078863
735.0689531
20389.4837
2886.391156
9204.548532
-666.7283591
-16062.36596
17805.22272
2009.141478
10267.94454

14823.29311
6538.705874
-3424.141268
-5363.070285
-8485.077943
-3354.663805
4473.834578
4447.906046
2664.023138
13875.02327
24761.51568
6401.826921
11431.84078
21163.8497
-6163.482466
4587.942057
-17269.129
-21249.10849
11324.14867
7187.982773
5487.875695
27994.40555
13731.51293
17877.70945
-10328.66918
975.292677
28944.28129
-3150.357189
9413.087734
11351.27435
22692.83588
7507.249519

Prueba
1
2
3
4
5

Inversion
N.A
100000
100000
100000
100000
100000

0.5156
0.7759
0.6427
0.5148
0.0175

Vida util
Vida util redondeado
Valor de rescate
Factor
10.1559
10
20000
12.7592
13
15000
11.4268
11
20000
10.1485
10
20000
5.1746
5
40000

0.3855
0.2897
0.3505
0.3855
0.6209

Costo de recuperacion
7710
4345.5
7010
7710
24836