700

600

500

400

300

200

100
0
1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990

PRICE CPI NYSE

Dependent Variable: PRICE
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/12/09 Time: 14:20
Sample: 1977 1991
Included observations: 15
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 186.1833 125.4039 1.484670 0.1615
CPI 1.841993 1.215080 1.515944 0.1535
R-squared 0.150220 Mean dependent var 371.8193
Adjusted R-squared 0.084853 S.D. dependent var 109.4400
S.E. of regression 104.6939 Akaike info criterion 12.26353
Sum squared resid 142490.7 Schwarz criterion 12.35793
Log likelihood -89.97644 F-statistic 2.298085
Durbin-Watson stat 1.076961 Prob(F-statistic) 0.153467
700

600

500
PRICE

400

300

200

100
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

CPI

PRICE vs. CPI

700

600

500
ICE

400
PR

300

200

100
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

CPI
 Dependent Variable: NYSE
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/12/09 Time: 14:21
Sample: 1977 1991
Included observations: 15
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -102.0606 23.76678 -4.294252 0.0009
CPI 2.129443 0.230284 9.247018 0.0000
R-squared 0.868030 Mean dependent var 112.5447
Adjusted R-squared 0.857879 S.D. dependent var 52.63217
S.E. of regression 19.84180 Akaike info criterion 8.937024
Sum squared resid 5118.059 Schwarz criterion 9.031431
Log likelihood -65.02768 F-statistic 85.50734
Durbin-Watson stat 0.603767 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

240

200

160
NY E

120
S

80

40
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
CPI

NYSE vs. CPI

240

200

160
SE

120
NY

80

40

0
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

CPI
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95

NGDP RGDP
Dependent Variable: NGDP
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/12/09 Time: 16:07
Sample: 1 39
Included observations: 39
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -986.3317 212.6816 -4.637597 0.0000
YEAR 201.9772 9.267489 21.79417 0.0000
R-squared 0.927732 Mean dependent var 3053.213
Adjusted R-squared 0.925779 S.D. dependent var 2390.907
S.E. of regression 651.3667 Akaike info criterion 15.84594
Sum squared resid 15698308 Schwarz criterion 15.93125
Log likelihood -306.9959 F-statistic 474.9858
Durbin-Watson stat 0.040102 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95

NGDP

NGDP vs. YEAR

10000

8000

6000
NGDP

4000

2000

-2000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

YEAR

Dependent Variable: RGDP

Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/12/09 Time: 16:10
Sample: 1 39
Included observations: 39
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1907.715 45.13298 42.26875 0.0000
YEAR 128.7820 1.966646 65.48306 0.0000
R-squared 0.991445 Mean dependent var 4483.354
Adjusted R-squared 0.991214 S.D. dependent var 1474.662
S.E. of regression 138.2259 Akaike info criterion 12.74558
Sum squared resid 706937.3 Schwarz criterion 12.83089
Log likelihood -246.5387 F-statistic 4288.031
Durbin-Watson stat 0.470276 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

8000

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000
60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95

RGDP

RGDP vs. YEAR

8000

7000

6000

5000
RGDP

4000

3000

2000

1000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

YEAR