Professional Documents
Culture Documents
October 1, 2009
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A REPOTR ON “BALANCE OF PAYMENT”
October 1, 2009
This project bears the imprints of many a person, who has tooled all
the pains and efforts to help me out, in some or the other way. First
of all I would like to thanks Dr. PRAMILA MAINI (Director, Institute
for excellence in higher education, Bhopal) for granting us the
permission for conducting this project. I would like to express my
gratitude to Dr. H.B. Gupta (Head of the Economic Department).
Priyank Shrivastava
M.B.E(Final)
Roll No:-9016
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Topics
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
4
BALANCE OF TRADE 6
BALANCE OF CURRENT ACCOUNT 7
Annexure 31
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A REPORT ON
“BALANCE OF PAYMENTS”
CONCEPT QUESTIONS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
The definition given by RBI needs to be clarified further for the following points:
A. Economic Transactions
An economic transaction is an exchange of value, typically an act in which there is
transfer of title to an economic good the rendering of an economic service, or the
transfer of title to assets from one economic agent (individual, business,
government, etc) to another. An international economic transaction evidently
involves such transfer of title or rendering of service from residents of one country
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1. Purchase or sale of goods or services with a financial quid pro quo – cash or a
promise to pay. [One real and one financial transfer].
2. Purchase or sale of goods or services in return for goods or services or a barter
transaction. [Two real transfers].
3. An exchange of financial items e.g. – purchase of foreign securities with payment
in cash or by a cheque drawn on a foreign deposit. [Two financial transfers].
4. A unilateral gift in kind [One real transfer].
5. A unilateral financial gift. [One financial transfer].
B. Resident
The term resident is not identical with “citizen” though normally there is a
substantial overlap. As regards individuals, residents are those individuals whose
general centre of interest can be said to rest in the given economy. They consume
goods and services; participate in economic activity within the territory of the
country on other than temporary basis. This definition may turnout to be ambiguous
in some cases. The “Balance of Payments Manual” published by the “International
Monetary Fund” provides a set of rules to resolve such ambiguities.
International organisations like the UN, the World Bank, and the IMF are not
considered to be residents of any national economy although their offices are
located within the territories of any number of countries.
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To certain economists, the term BOP seems to be somewhat obscure. Yeager, for
example, draws attention to the word ‘payments’ in the term BOP; this gives a false
impression that the set of BOP accounts records items that involve only payments.
The truth is that the BOP statements records both payments and receipts by a
country. It is, as Yeager says, more appropriate to regard the BOP as a “balance of
international transactions” by a country. Similarly the word ‘balance’ in the term
BOP does not imply that a situation of comfortable equilibrium; it means that it is a
balance sheet of receipts and payments having an accounting balance.
Like other accounts, the BOP records each transaction as either a plus or a minus.
The general rule in BOP accounting is the following:-
a) If a transaction earns foreign currency for the nation, it is a credit and is recorded
as a plus item.
b) If a transaction involves spending of foreign currency it is a debit and is recorded
as a negative item.
The BOP is a double entry accounting statement based on rules of debit and credit
similar to those of business accounting & book-keeping, since it records both
transactions and the money flows associated with those transactions. Also in case of
statistical discrepancy the difference amount is adjusted with errors and omissions
account and thus in accounting sense the BOP statement always balances.
A. Current Account
B. Capital Account
C. IMF
D. SDR Allocation
E. Errors & Omissions
F. Reserves and Monetary Gold
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BALANCE OF TRADE
Balance of trade may be defined as the difference between the value of goods and
services sold to foreigners by the residents and firms of the home country and the
value of goods and services purchased by them from foreigners. In other words, the
difference between the value of goods and services exported and imported by a
country is the measure of balance of trade.
If two sums (1) value of exports of goods and services and (2) value of imports of
goods and services are exactly equal to each other, we say that there is balance of
trade equilibrium or balance; if the former exceeds the latter, we say that there is a
balance of trade surplus; and if the later exceeds the former, then we describe the
situation as one of balance of trade deficit. Surplus is regarded as favourable while
deficit is regarded as unfavourable.
The above mentioned definition has been given by James. E. Meade – a Nobel Prize
British Economist. However, some economists define balance of trade as a
difference between the value of merchandise (goods) exports and the value of
merchandise imports, making it the same as the ‘Goods Balance” or the “Balance of
Merchandise Trade”. There is n doubt that the balance of merchandise trade is of
great significance to exporting countries, but still the BOT as defined by J. E. Meade
has greater significance.
Regardless of which idea is adopted, one thing is certain i.e. that balance of trade is
a national injection and hence it is appropriate to regard an active balance (an
excess of credits over debits) as a desirable state of affairs. Should this then be
taken to imply that a passive trade balance (an excess of debits over credits) is
necessarily a sign of undesirable state of affairs in a country? The answer is “no”.
Because, take for example, the case of a developing country, which might be
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BOP on current account is also referred to as Net Foreign Investment because the
sum represents the contribution of Foreign Trade to GNP.
Thus the BOP on current account includes imports and exports of merchandise
(trade balances), military transactions and service transactions (invisibles). The
service account includes investment income (interests and dividends), tourism,
financial charges (banking and insurances) and transportation expenses (shipping
and air travel). Unilateral transfers include pensions, remittances and other
transfers for which no specific services are rendered.
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It is also worth remembering that BOP on current account covers all the receipts on
account of earnings (or opposed to borrowings) and all the payments arising out of
spending (as opposed to lending). There is no reverse flow entailed in the BOP on
current account transactions.
BASIC BALANCE
The basic balance was regarded as the best indicator of the economy’s position vis-
à-vis other countries in the 1950’s and the 1960’s. It is defined as the sum of the
BOP on current account and the net balance on long term capital, which were
considered as the most stable elements in the balance of payments. A worsening of
the basic balance [an increase in a deficit or a reduction in a surplus or even a move
from the surplus to deficit] was seen as an indication of deterioration in the
[relative] state of the economy.
The short term capital account balance is not included in the basic balance. This is
perhaps for two main reasons:
a) Short term capital movements unlike long term capital movements are relatively
volatile and unpredictable. They move in and out of the country in a period of
less than a year or even sooner than that. It would therefore be improper to treat
short term capital movements on the same footing as current account BOP
transactions which are extremely durable in nature. Long term capital flows are
relatively more durable and therefore they qualify to be treated along side the
current account transactions to constitute basic balance.
b) In many cases, countries don’t have a separate short term capital account as
they constitute a part of the “Errors and Omissions Account.”
A deficit on the basic balance could come about in various ways, which are not
mutually equivalent. E.g. suppose that the basic balance is in deficit because a
current account deficit is accompanied by a deficit on the long term capital account.
The long term capital outflow will, in the future, generate profits, dividends and
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interest payments which will improve the current account and so, ceteris paribus,
will reduce or perhaps reduce the deficit. On the other hand, a basic balance surplus
consisting of a deficit on current account that is more than covered by long term
borrowings from abroad may lead to problems in future, when profits, dividends etc
are paid to foreign investors.
If the net transfer is negative (i.e. there is an outflow) then the BOP is said to be in
deficit, but if there is an inflow then it is surplus. The basic premise is that the
monetary authorities are the ultimate financers of any deficit in the balance of
payments (or the recipients of any surplus). These official settlements are thus
seemed as the accommodating item, all other being autonomous.
The monetary authorities may finance a deficit by depleting their reserves of foreign
currencies, by borrowing from the IMF or by borrowing from other foreign monetary
authorities. The later source is of particular importance when other monetary
authorities hold the domestic currency as a part of their own reserves. A country
whose currency is used as a reserve currency (such as the dollars of US) may be
able to run a deficit in its balance of payments without either depleting its own
reserves or borrowing from the IMF since the foreign authorities might be ready to
purchase that currency and add it to its own reserves. The settlements approach is
more relevant under a system of pegged exchange rates than when the exchange
rates are floating.
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The capital account records all international transactions that involve a resident of
the country concerned changing either his assets with or his liabilities to a resident
of another country. Transactions in the capital account reflect a change in a stock –
either assets or liabilities.
Direct investment is the act of purchasing an asset and the same time acquiring
control of it (other than the ability to re-sell it). The acquisition of a firm resident in
one country by a firm resident in another is an example of such a transaction, as is
the transfer of funds from the ‘parent company in order that the ‘subsidiary’
company may itself acquire assets in its own country. Such business transactions
form the major part of private direct investment in other countries, multinational
corporations being especially important. There are of course some examples of such
transactions by individuals, the most obvious being the purchase of the ‘second
home’ in another country.
Portfolio investment by contrast is the acquisition of an asset that does not give the
purchaser control. An obvious example is the purchase of shares in a foreign
company or of bonds issued by a foreign government. Loans made to foreign firms
or governments come into the same broad category. Such portfolio investment is
often distinguished by the period of the loan (short, medium or long are
conventional distinctions, although in many cases only the short and long categories
are used). The distinction between short term and long term investment is often
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confusing, but usually relates to the specification of the asset rather than to the
length of time of which it is held. For example, a firm or individual that holds a bank
account with another country and increases its balance in that account will be
engaging in short term investment, even if its intention is to keep that money in
that account for many years. On the other hand, an individual buying a long term
government bond in another country will be making a long term investment, even if
that bond has only one month to go before the maturity. Portfolio investments may
also be identified as either private or official, according to the sector from which
they originate.
The net value of the balances of direct and portfolio investment defines the balance
on capital account.
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the other hand are determined by the net consequences of the autonomous items.
An autonomous transaction is one undertaken for its own sake in response to the
given configuration of prices, exchange rates, interest rates etc, usually in order to
realise a profit or reduced costs. It does not take into account the situation
elsewhere in the BOP. An accommodating transaction on the other hand is
undertaken with the motive of settling the imbalance arising out of other
transactions. An alternative nomenclature is that capital flows are ‘above the line’
(autonomous) or ‘below the line’ (accommodating). Obviously the sum of the
accommodating and autonomous items must be zero, since all entries in the BOP
account must come under one of the two headings. Whether the BOP is in surplus or
deficit depends on the balance of the autonomous items. The BOP is said to be in
surplus if autonomous receipts are greater than the autonomous payments and in
deficit if vice – a – versa.
Essentially the distinction between both the capital flow lies in the motives
underlying a transaction, which are almost impossible to determine. We cannot
attach the labels to particular groups of items in the BOP accounts without giving
the matter some thought. For example a short term capital movement could be a
reaction to difference in interest rates between two countries. If those interest rates
are largely determined by influences other than the BOP, then such a transaction
should be labelled as autonomous. Other short term capital movements may occur
as a part of the financing of a transaction that is itself autonomous (say, the export
of some good), and as such should be classified as accommodating.
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item under a system of fixed exchange rates and limited capital mobility may not be
autonomous when the exchange rates are floating and capital may move freely
between countries.
Just as a country exports goods and imports goods a country also exports and
imports what are called as services (invisibles). The service account records all the
service exported and imported by a country in a year. Unlike goods which are
tangible or visible services are intangible. Accordingly services transactions are
regarded as invisible items in the BOP. They are invisible in the sense that service
receipts and payments are not recorded at the port of entry or exit as in the case
with the merchandise imports and exports receipts. Except for this there is no
meaningful difference between goods and services receipts and payments. Both
constitute earning and spending of foreign exchange. Goods and services accounts
together constitute the largest and economically the most significant components in
the BOP of any country.
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In visible trade if the receipts from exports of goods happen to be equal to the
payments for the imports of goods, we describe the situation as one of zero “goods
balance.’ Otherwise there would be either a positive or negative goods balance,
depending on whether we have receipts exceeding payments (positive) or payments
exceeding receipts (negative).
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reported items and because these cannot, therefore, ordinarily have equal entries
for debits and credits. The entry for net errors and omissions often reflects
unreported flows of private capital, although the conclusions that can be drawn from
them vary a great deal from country to country, and even in the same country from
time to time, depending on the reliability of the reported information. Developing
countries, in particular, usually experience great difficulty in providing reliable
information.
Errors and omissions (or the balancing item) reflect the difficulties involved in
recording accurately, if at all, a wide variety of transactions that occur within a
given period of (usually 12 months). In some cases there is such large number of
transactions that a sample is taken rather than recording each transaction, with the
inevitable errors that occur when samples are used. In others problems may arise
when one or other of the parts of a transaction takes more than one year: for
example wit a large export contract covering several years some payment may be
received by the exporter before any deliveries are made, but the last payment will
not made until the contract has been completed. Dishonesty may also play a part,
as when goods are smuggled, in which case the merchandise side of the transaction
is unreported although payment will be made somehow and will be reflected
somewhere in the accounts. Similarly the desire to avoid taxes may lead to under-
reporting of some items in order to reduce tax liabilities.
Finally, there are changes in the reserves of the country whose balance of payments
we are considering, and changes in that part of the reserves of other countries that
is held in the country concerned. Reserves are held in three forms: in foreign
currency, usually but always the US dollar, as gold, and as Special Deposit Receipts
(SDR’s) borrowed from the IMF. Note that reserves do not have to be held within the
country. Indeed most countries hold a proportion of their reserves in accounts with
foreign central banks.
The changes in the country’s reserves must of course reflect the net value of all the
other recorded items in the balance of payments. These changes will of course be
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recorded accurately, and it is the discrepancy between the changes in reserves and
the net value of the other record items that allows us to identify the errors and
omissions.
UNILATERAL TRANSFERS
Foreign economic aid or assistance and foreign military aid or assistance received
by the home country’s government (or given by the home government to foreign
governments) constitutes government to government transfers. The United States
foreign aid to India, for BOP 9but a debit item in the US BOP). These are government
to government donations or gifts. There no well worked out theory to explain the
behaviour of this account because these flows depend upon political and
institutional factors. The government donations (or aid or assistance) given to
government of other countries is mixed bag given for either economic or political or
humanitarian reasons. Private transfers, on the other hand, are funds received from
or remitted to foreign countries on person –to –person basis. A Malaysian settled in
the United States remitting $100 a month to his aged parents in Malaysia is a
unilateral transfer inflow item in the Malaysian BOP. An American pensioner who is
settled after retirement in say Italy and who is receiving monthly pension from
America is also a private unilateral transfer causing a debit flow in the American
BOP but a credit flow in the Italian BOP. Countries that attract retired people from
other nations may therefore expect to receive an influx of foreign receipts in the
form of pension payments. And countries which render foreign economic assistance
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on a massive scale can expect huge deficits in their unilateral transfer account.
Unilateral transfer receipts and payments are also called unrequited transfers
because as the name itself suggests the flow is only in one direction with no
automatic reverse flow in the other direction. There is no repayment obligation
attached to these transfers because they are not borrowings and lending’s but gifts
and grants exchanged between government and people in one country with the
governments and peoples in the rest of the world.
Credits Debits
Current Account Current Account
1. Merchandise Exports (Sale of 1. Merchandise Imports (purchase of
Goods) Goods)
2. Invisible Exports (Sale of Services) 2. Invisible Imports (Purchase of
Services)
a. Transport services sold abroad a. Transport services purchased
from abroad
b. Insurance services sold abroad b. Insurance services purchased
c. Foreign tourist expenditure in c. Tourist expenditure abroad
country
d. Other services sold abroad d. Other services purchased from
abroad
e. Incomes received on loans and e. Income paid on loans and
investments abroad. investments in the home
country.
3. Unilateral Transfers 3. Unilateral Transfers
a. Private remittances received a. Private remittances abroad
from abroad
b. Pension payments received b. Pension payments abroad
from abroad
c. Government grants received c. Government grants abroad.
from abroad
Capital Account Capital Account
3. Foreign long-term investments in 3. Long-term investments abroad
the home country (less (less redemptions and
redemptions and repayments) repayments)
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DESCRIPTIVE QUESTIONS
BOP statistics are regularly compiled, published and are continuously monitored by
companies, banks and government agencies. A set of BOP accounts is useful in the
same way as a motion picture camera. The accounts do not tell us what is good or
bad, nor do they tell us what is causing what. But they do let us see what is
happening so that we can reach our own conclusions. Below are 3 instances where
the information provided by BOP accounting is very necessary:
1. Judging the stability of a floating exchange rate system is easier with BOP as the
record of exchanges that take place between nations help track the
accumulation of currencies in the hands of those individuals more willing to hold
on to them.
2. Judging the stability of a fixed exchange rate system is also easier with the same
record of international exchange. These exchanges again show the extent to
which a currency is accumulating in foreign hands, raising questions about the
ease of defending the fixed exchange rate in a future crisis.
3. To spot whether it is becoming more difficult for debtor counties to repay foreign
creditors, one needs a set of accounts that shows the accumulation of debts, the
repayment of interest and principal and the countries ability to earn foreign
exchange for future repayment. A set of BOP accounts supplies this information.
This point is further elaborated below.
The BOP statement contains useful information for financial decision makers. In the
short run, BOP deficit or surpluses may have an immediate impact on the exchange
rate. Basically, BOP records all transactions that create demand for and supply of a
currency. When exchange rates are market determined, BOP figures indicate excess
demand or supply for the currency and the possible impact on the exchange rate.
Taken in conjunction with recent past data, they may conform or indicate a reversal
of perceived trends. They also signal a policy shift on the part of the monetary
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authorities of the country unilaterally or in concert with its trading partners. For
instance, a country facing a current account deficit may raise interest to attract
short term capital inflows to prevent depreciation of its currency. Countries suffering
from chronic deficits may find their credit ratings being downgraded because the
markets interpret the data as evidence that the country may have difficulties its
debt.
BOP accounts are intimately with the overall saving investment balance in a
country’s national accounts. Continuing deficits or surpluses may lead to fiscal and
monetary actions designed to correct the imbalance which in turn will affect
exchange rates and interest rates in the country. In nutshell corporate finance
managers must monitor the BOP data being put out by government agencies on a
regular basis because they have both short term and long term implications for a
host of economic and financial variables affecting the fortunes of the company.
The BOP is a double entry accounting statement based on rules of debit and credit
similar to those of business accounting & book-keeping, since it records both
transactions and the money flows associated with those transactions. For instance,
exports (like sales of a business) are credits, and imports (like the purchases of a
business) are debits. As in business accounting the BOP records increases in assets
(direct investment abroad) and decreases in liabilities (repayment of debt) as debits,
and decreases in assets (sale of foreign securities) and increases in liabilities (the
utilisation of foreign goods) as credits. An elementary rule that may assist in
understanding these conventions is that in such transactions it is the movement of a
document, not of the money that is recorded. An investment made abroad involves
the import of a documentary acknowledgement of the investment, it is therefore a
debit. The BOP has one important category that has no counter part or at least no
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significant counter part in business accounting, i.e. international gifts and grants
and other so called transfer payments.
A transaction entering the BOP usually has two aspects and invariably gives rise to
two entries, one a debit and the other a credit. Often the two aspects fall in different
categories. For instance, an export against cash payment may result in an increase
in the exporting country’s official foreign exchange holdings. Such a transaction is
entered in the BOP as a credit for exports and as a debit for the capital account.
Both aspects of a transaction may sometimes be appropriate to the same account.
For instance the purchase of a foreign security may have as its counter part
reduction in official foreign exchange holdings.
Thus it is clear that if we record all the entries in BOP in a proper way, debits and
credits will always be equal. So that in accounting sense the BOP will be in balance.
Balance of Payments is the summary of all the transactions between the residents of
one country and rest of the world for a given period of time, usually one year. A BOP
statement (revised) includes the following sub accounts, as shown in the table
below.
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1. Merchandise
a. Private
b. Government
2. Invisibles
a. Travel
b. Transportation
c. Insurance
d. Investment Income
e. Government (not included elsewhere)
f. Miscellaneous
3. Transfer Payments
a. Official
b. Private
Total Current Account (1+2+3)
H. Capital Account
2. Private
a. Long Term
b. Short Term
3. Banking
4. Official
a. Loans
b. Amortisation
c. Miscellaneous
Total Capital Account (1+2+3)
I. IMF
J. SDR Allocation
K. Capital Account, IMF & SDR Allocation (B+C+D)
L. Total Current Account, Capital Account, IMF & SDR
Allocation (A+E)
Current Account
The current account includes all transactions which give rise to or use up national
income. The current account consists of two major items, namely, (a) merchandise
export and imports and (b) invisible imports and exports.
Merchandise exports i.e. sale of goods abroad, are credit entries because all
transactions giving rise to monetary claims on foreigners represent credits. On the
other hand, merchandise imports, i.e. purchase of goods abroad, are debit entries
because all transactions giving rise to foreign money claims on the home country
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represent debits. Merchandise exports and imports form the most important
international transactions of most of the countries.
Invisible exports i.e. sale of services, are credit entries and invisible imports i.e.
purchase of services are debit entries. Important invisible exports include sale
abroad of services like insurance and transport etc. while important invisible imports
are foreign tourist expenditures in the home country and income received on loans
and investment abroad (interests or dividends).
Capital Account
The capital account separates the non monetary sector from the monetary one, that
is to say, the trading or ordinary private business element in the economy together
with the ordinary institutions of central or local government, from the central bank
and the commercial bank, which are directly involved in framing or implementing
monetary policies. The capital account consists of long term and short term capital
transactions. Capital outflow represents debit and capital inflow represent credit. For
instance, if an American firm invests rupees 100 million in India, this transaction will
be represented as a debit in the US BOP and a credit in the BOP of India.
Other Accounts
The IMF account contains purchases (credits) and repurchases (debits) from the IMF.
SDRs – Special Drawing Rights – are a reserve asset created by the IMF and
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allocated from time to time to member countries. Within certain limitations it can be
used to settle international payments between monetary authorities of member
countries. An allocation is a credit while retirement is a debit. The Reserve and
Monetary Gold account records increases (debits) and decreases (credits) in reserve
assets. Reserve assets consist of RBI’s holdings of gold and foreign exchange (in the
form of balances with foreign central banks and investment in foreign government
securities) and government’s holding of SDRs. Errors and Omissions is a “statistical
residue.” Errors and omissions (or the balancing item) reflect the difficulties involved
in recording accurately, if at all, a wide variety of transactions that occur within a
given period of (usually 12 months). It is used to balance the statement because in
practice it is not possible to have complete and accurate data for reported items
and because these cannot, therefore, ordinarily have equal entries for debits and
credits.
If the balance of payment is a double entry accounting record, then apart from
errors and omissions, it must always balance. Obviously, the terms “deficit” or
“surplus” cannot refer to the entire BOP but must indicate imbalance on a subset of
accounts included in the BOP. The “imbalance” must be interpreted in some sense
as an economic disequilibrium.
Since the notion of disequilibrium is usually associated within a situation that calls
for policy intervention of some sort, it is important to decide what is the optimal way
of grouping the various accounts within the BOIP so that an imbalance in one set of
accounts will give the appropriate signals to the policy makers. In the language of
an accountant e divide the entire BOP into a set of accounts “above the line” and
another set “below the line.” If the net balance (credits-debits) is positive above the
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line we will say that there is a “balance of payments surplus”; if it is negative e will
say there is a “balance of payments deficit.” The net balance below the line should
be equal in magnitude and opposite in sign to the net balance above the line. The
items below the line can be said to be a “compensatory” nature – they “finance” or
“settle” the imbalance above the line.
The critical question is how to make this division so that BOP statistics, in particular
the deficit and surplus figures, will be economically meaningful. Suggestions made
by economist and incorporated into the IMF guidelines emphasis the purpose or
motive a transaction, as a criterion to decide whether a transaction should go above
or below the line. The principle distinction between “autonomous” transaction and
“accommodating” or compensatory transactions. Transactions are said to
Autonomous if their value is determined independently of the BOP. Accommodating
capital flows on the other hand are determined by the net consequences of the
autonomous items. An autonomous transaction is one undertaken for its own sake in
response to the given configuration of prices, exchange rates, interest rates etc,
usually in order to realise a profit or reduced costs. It does not take into account the
situation elsewhere in the BOP. An accommodating transaction on the other hand is
undertaken with the motive of settling the imbalance arising out of other
transactions. An alternative nomenclature is that capital flows are ‘above the line’
(autonomous) or ‘below the line’ (accommodating). The terms “balance of payments
deficit” and “balance of payments surplus” will then be understood to mean deficit
or surplus on all autonomous transactions taken together.
The other measures of identifying a deficit or surplus in the BOP statement are:
The Basic Balance which shows the relative deficit or surplus in the BOP.
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The basic balance was regarded as the best indicator of the economy’s position vis-
à-vis other countries in the 1950’s and the 1960’s. It is defined as the sum of the
BOP on current account and the net balance on long term capital, which were
considered as the most stable elements in the balance of payments.
However, on further thoughts, a deficit in the basic balance can also be understood
to be desirable. This can be explained as follows: A deficit on the basic balance
could come about in various ways, which are not mutually equivalent. E.g. suppose
that the basic balance is in deficit because a current account deficit is accompanied
by a deficit on the long term capital account. This deficit in long term capital
account could be clearly observed in a developing country’s which might be
investing heavily on capital goods for advancement on the agricultural and
industrial fields. This long term capital outflow will, in the future, generate profits,
dividends and interest payments which will improve the current account and so,
ceteris paribus, will reduce or perhaps reduce the deficit.
SHORT NOTES
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BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
The current account records exports and imports of goods and services and
unilateral transfers. Exports whether of goods or services are by convention entered
as positive items in the account. Imports accordingly are entered as negative items.
Exports are normally calculated f.o.b i.e. cost from transportation, insurance etc are
not included whereas imports are normally calculated c.i.f. i.e. transportation,
insurance cost etc are included.
In many cases the payment for imports and exports will result in transfer of money
between the trading countries. For example a UK firm importing a good from US
may settle its debt by instructing its UK bank to make a payment to the US account
of the exporter. This is not necessarily the case however. If the UK firm holds a bank
account in the US, then it may make payment to the US exporter from that account.
In the former case the financial side of the transaction will appear in the UK BOP
account as part of the net change in UK foreign currency reserves. In the later it will
appear as the part of the capital account since the UK firm has reduced its claims on
the US bank.
BOP accounts usually differentiate between trades in goods and trade in services.
The balance of imports and exports of the former is referred to in the UK accounts
as the balance of visible trade in other countries it may be referred to as the
balance of merchandise trade, or simply as the balance of trade. The net balance of
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October 1, 2009
exports and imports of services is called the balance of invisible trade in the UK
statistics.
Invisible trade is a much more heterogeneous category than is visible trade. It helps
in distinguishing between factor and non-factor services. Trade in the later of which
shipping, banking and insurance services and payments by residents as tourists
abroad are usually the most important, is in economic terms little different from
trade in goods. That is, exports and imports are flows of outputs whose values will
be determined by the same variables that would affect the demand and supply for
goods. Factors services, which consist in the main of interest, profits and dividends,
are on the other hand payments for inputs. Exports and imports of such services will
depend in large part on the accumulated stock of past investment in and borrowing
from foreign residents.
Unilateral transfer forms a major part of the current account. It refers to unrequited
receipts or unrequited payments which may be in cash or in kind and are divided
into official and private transactions. Unilateral transfers or ‘unrequited receipts’,
are receipts which the residents of a country receive ‘for free’, without having to
make any present or future payments in return. Receipts from abroad are entered as
positive items, payments abroad as negative items.
The net value of the balances of visible trade and of invisible trade and of unilateral
transfers defines the balance on current account.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
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Official reserve account forms a special feature of the capital account. This account
records the changes in the part of the reserves of other countries that is held in the
country concerned. These reserves are held in three forms: in foreign
currency, usually but not always the US dollars, as gold, and as Special
Deposit Receipts (SDRs) borrowed from the IMF. Note that the reserves do not
have to be held by the country. Indeed most of the countries hold a proportion of the
reserves in accounts with foreign central banks.
The IMF account contains purchases (credits) and repurchases (debits) from the IMF.
SDRs – Special Drawing Rights – are a reserve asset created by the IMF and
allocated from time to time to member countries. Within certain limitations it can be
used to settle international payments between monetary authorities of member
countries. An allocation is a credit while retirement is a debit. The Reserve and
Monetary Gold account records increases (debits) and decreases (credits) in reserve
assets. Reserve assets consist of RBI’s holdings of gold and foreign exchange (in the
form of balances with foreign central banks and investment in foreign government
securities) and government’s holding of SDRs.
The change in the reserves account measures a nation’s surplus or deficit on its
current and capital account transactions by netting reserve liabilities from reserve
assets. For example, a surplus will lead to an increase in official holdings of foreign
currencies and/or gold; a deficit will normally cause a reduction in these assets.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
Balance of Payments
- Paul Madson
- P G Apte
International Economics
- Lindert
International Economics
- Francis Chernuliam
International Economics
- C P Kindelberger
International Economics
- Geoffrey Reed
International Economics
- H G Mannur
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October 1, 2009
April-March April-March
(2008-09) (P) (2007-08) (PR)
Exports 175,184 166,163
Imports 294,587 257,789
Trade Balance -119,403 -91,626
Invisibles, net 89,586 74,592
Current Account Balance -29,817 -17,034
Capital Account* 9,737 109,198
Change in Reserves# 20,080 -92,164
(+ indicates increase;-
indicates decrease)
Including errors & omissions; # On BoP basis excluding valuation;
P: Preliminary, PR: Partially revised. R: revised
SOURCE: Reserve Bank of India Report
INDIA’s cumulative value of exports for the period April- June, 2009
was $ 35432 million (Rs.172762 crore) as against $ 51545 million
(Rs.214808 crore) registering a negative growth of 31.3 percent in
Dollar terms and 19.6 percent in Rupee terms over the same period
last year. Again, the cumulative value of imports for the period April-
June, 2009 was $ 50936 million (Rs.248171 crore) as against
$ 80187 million (Rs.334191 crore) registering a negative growth
of36.5 percent in Dollar terms and 25.7 percent in Rupee terms over
the same period last year.
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In $ Million
In Rs Crore
2008-09
51545
214808
2009-10
35432
172762
-31.3
-19.6
Imports
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April-March
2008-09 2007-08 2006-07
Merchandize Trade
Exports ($ on BoP basis) 5.4 28.9 22.6
Growth Rate (percent)
Imports ($ on BoP basis) 14.3 35.2 21.4
Growth Rate (percent)
Crude Oil Prices, Per 82.4 79.5 62.4
Barrel (Indian Basket)
Trade Balance ($ billion) -119.4 -91.6 -61.8
Invisibles
Net Invisibles ($ Billion) 89.6 74.6 52.2
Net Invisibles 75.0 81.4 84.5
Surplus/Trade
Deficit (Percent)
Invisible 48.1 47.2 47.1
Receipts/Current
Receipts (Percent)
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Year
Exports
Growth (Percent)
Imports
Growth (Percent)
2003-04
63.8
78.1
2004-05
83.5
30.8
111.5
42.7
2005-06
103.1
23.4
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