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Kettle1 Research

Net Monthly TIC Flows


Nominal, Millions $
300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

0
1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009
-50,000

-100,000

-150,000

-200,000
Real 09$ Nominal $
Kettle1 Research

Net Monthly TIC Flows


300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009
-50,000

-100,000

-150,000

-200,000
Real 09$ Nominal $
Kettle1 Research

Net Monthly TIC Flows


(Net Private, Real 09$)
300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

0
1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009
-50,000

-100,000

-150,000

-200,000
Kettle1 Research

Net Monthly TIC Flows


Net Official, Real 09$
100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0
1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009
-20,000

-40,000

-60,000
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1980 50%
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Real 09$

1995
1996
1997
1998

Federal Receipts, YOY %∆

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Kettle1 Research

2007
2008
Kettle1 Research


Federal Receipts, YOY %∆
Milllions $

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

0
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Real 09$
Kettle1 Research

Note: April is historically the month of greatest US treasury receipts due to tax collection.

Federal Receipts, Millions of $


(For the Month of April), Real 09$
500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0
Apr-81
Mar-82
Feb-83
Jan-84
Dec-84
Nov-85

Sep-87
Aug-88
Jul-89
Jun-90
May-91
Apr-92
Mar-93
Feb-94
Jan-95
Dec-95
Nov-96

Sep-98
Aug-99
Jul-00
Jun-01
May-02
Apr-03
Mar-04
Feb-05
Jan-06
Dec-06
Nov-07
Oct-86

Oct-97

Oct-08

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