Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Abstract
The asymptotic relationship and local asymptotic relationship for the ruin probability under the absence of the adjustment
*
coefficient as well as the claim distribution F S (v)(v 0) have been obtained, which overcame the complicated argument
involved in the existing literatures. In a special case, the asymptotic relationship and local asymptotic relationship for the ruin
probability were derived when the claim sum was within the generalized inverse Gauss distribution. Further, a numerical
simulation was performed on some parameters having influence of the asymptotic relationship and local asymptotic relationship
for the ruin probability.
*
Keywords: S (v) Distribution Class; Ruin Probability; Ladder Height Distribution; Adjustment Coefficient
266590
F S
(v)(v 0)
.
.
*
S (v)
,
[1-5]
[1,6-8]
[9] M X (r ) 1 r
F ( x) S * (v) [9] Pollaczek-Khinehin
*BS2012SF023SDYY11027
- 116 www.ivypub.org/mc
1.1
0 F ( x) P{ X x} X
F ( x) 1 F ( x ) Fe ( x) 1 0 F ( t )dt f ( x) , g ( x) f ( x) ~ g ( x)
x
f ( x)
1
x g ( x)
lim
[1]
(1) { X i , i 1} F 0
(2) [0, t ] N (t ) sup{n 1: Tn t} {Tn , n 1}
{ X i , i 1}
(3) c 0
(1) (3)
N (t )
(t ) X i ct , t 0
(1)
i 1
(2)
c 1 2[2]
M sup { (t )} a. s. P.
0t
M R( x) P{M x} [0 , )
x 0
( x) P{M x} R( x)
(3)
M X (r ) 0 ert dF (t ) (, r0 ] r0 0
[1]
rt
0 e dF (t ) 1
(4)
(, r0 ] R
1.2 S * (v)
1.2.1[1] [0, ) F S (v) (v 0)
F *2 ( x)
20 evt dF ( x) ;
x F ( x)
1 lim
F (x t)
evt t 0.
x F ( x)
2 lim
S (0) S S
Pareto S (v) (v 0) F ( x) ~ x p evx x F p 1
S (v) F S (v) (v 0)
[3]
r f ( x)
f ( x)
v x
F ( x)
- 117 www.ivypub.org/mc
f ( x) F ( x)
lim
0 F ( x t ) F (t )
F ( x)
20 evt F (t )dt
v 0 S * . v 0 S (v) S * (v)
1.3
1.3.1[9] F S * (v) (v 0) n 1
Fe*n x ~
nF ( x) vt
( e dFe (t ))n1
v 0
1.3.2 F S * (v) (v 0) 0 K 0 n 1 x 0
Fe*n x K (1 )n F ( x)
[9] 4.2
1.3.3[11] f ( x) ~ g ( x) h( x) ~ k ( x) lim
f ( x)
h( x )
lim
1
h( x )
x f ( x)
f ( x) h( x) ~ g ( x) k ( x)
[8]
H ( x)
Fe ( x)
8 L
q P{L }
c
0
c
v 1
Lk L0 0
k 0
2.1 0 F S * (v) (v 0)
r
rt
0 e dF (t ) 1
( x) ~
( x) R( x) P{x M }
(1 )
v 1
k 1
n 0
P{x Ln , v k}
- 118 www.ivypub.org/mc
F ( x)
10
k 1
n1
k 1
n1
= P{x Ln , v k 1} = P{x Ln , Lk 1 }
=q H *k ( x) q (1 q)k Fe*k ( x)
k 1
k 1
rt
0 e F (t )dt
1.3.1
lim
( x)
x F ( x)
q (1 q)k lim
k 1
Fe*k ( x)
F ( x)
(1 )
2.1
2.2 0 F S * (v) (v 0)
rt
0 e dF (t ) 1
(1 )(1 evz )
R( x , x z ] ~
F ( x)
2.1
( x z) ~
(1 )
F ( x z) z 0
( x z)
F ( x z)
lim
evz 1 1.3.3
x ( x)
x F ( x)
(1 )
R( x , x z ] = ( x) ( x z) ~
( F ( x) F ( x z ))
v 0 lim
(1 )
(1 )(1 e
F ( x) F ( x z )
F ( x)
F ( x)
F ( x)
(GIGD)
F N 1 ( , , ) 0, 0 , 0 F S ( 2)[13] F ( x)
exp( ( x1 1x) 2)
K ( ) [14]
F S * ( 2) [13]
t
1
0 e F (t )dt ( )2 K () 1
( x) ~
(1 )
x 1
2 K ( )
F ( x)
1-
F ( x)
{1- (( )2 1 / K ( ) 1)}2
- 119 www.ivypub.org/mc
1- -
2 K ( ) 2{1- (( )2 1 / K ( ) 1)}2
-0.5 GIGD
K0.5 () K0.5 ()
x 1e x
e
2
( x) ~
(1- )
x-3 2e x x; , ,, , )
2 e [ - e- -2)]2
2
R( x, x z ] ~
(1- )(1 e z )
x-3 2e x R(( x, x z], , , , , )
-
2
2 e [ - e -2)]
1 1 z 1 0.6 3 x 0.2 2 ( x; , ,, , )
3.1
3.1 ( x; , , , , )
0.6
0.8
1.0
2.0
3.0
x 0.2
x 0.3
x 0.5
x1
x2
0.0148
0.0076
0.0031
0.0008
0.0002
0.0109
0.0055
0.0022
0.0005
0.0002
0.0084
0.0046
0.0016
0.0003
0.0001
0.0028
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0013
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
= 0.6
= 0.8
1.0
2.0
3.0
x 0.2
x 0.3
x 0.5
x 1.0
x 2.0
0.0067
0.0060
0.0053
0.0025
0.0012
0.0034
0.0030
0.0029
0.0011
0.0005
0.0014
0.0012
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0004
0.0003
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
S * (v) ( 0)
1.3.3 2.2
- 120 www.ivypub.org/mc
REFERENCES
[1]
Embrechts P, Klppelberg C, and Mikosch T. Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance.Berlin: Springer, 1997
[2]
Noel Veraverbeke.Asymptotic Estimates for the probability of ruin in a Poisson model with diffusion.Insurance: Mathematics
and Economics ,13(1993):57-62
[3]
Rolski T, Schmidli V, Teugls J. Stochastic Process for Finance Insurance.New York: Wiley, 1999
[4]
[5]
[6]
R Z Gong and J Z Zhou.An Asymptotic Relationship for Survival Probability in Renewal Risk Model Under Heavy-tailed
Cla-Ims.Acta. Mathematicae Applicatae,2006,59(5):947-954
[7]
R Z Gong and J Z Zhou. The Asymptotic Relationships of the Ruin Probabilities in the Classic Risk Model Perturbed by
Diffusion Under Heavy-tailed Claims.Acta. Mathematicae Applicatae,2007,30(3):563-572
[8]
Q H Tang. An Asymptotic Relationships of the Ruin Probabilities under Heavy-tails Claims. Science in China(Series A), 2002,
45(5):632-639
[9]
J D Liao et al.An Asymptotic Relationship for Ruin Probability in Classic Risk Model.ACTA Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica,
2009,32(2): 354-367
[10] C C Yin. A local Theorem of Ruin Probability. Science in China(Series A), 2004, 34(2):192-202
[11] Z C Yang. The Concept and the Qualities of Equivalence.Journal of Chengdu Texitile College,1999,16(1):40-45
[12] Feller W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications. New York: Wiley, 1971
[13] Embrechts P. A Property of the Generalized Inverse Gaussian Distribution with Some Applications.Appl. Probab. 1983,
20(3):537-544
[14] C C Yin, X H Zhao, and F Hu. Ladder Height and Supremum of a Random Walk with Application in Risk Theory. Acta
Mathematica Scientia, 2009,29A(1):38-47
1987-
1963-
Email: zhaomq64@163.com
Email: lvdodo0355@126.com
1974-
Email: jingguigao@126.com
- 121 www.ivypub.org/mc