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Abstract
According to the non-equidistant sequence in non-homogeneous index form, the non-equidistant GM(1,1) direct model was
constructed by the original sequence. And the new non-equidistant GM(1,1) direct model was established by combining
simultaneous optimization of background value and grey derivative with using average relative error minimum to determine the
response coefficient. Through analyzing the examples, it illustrates the feasibility and effectiveness of the new optimization model.
Keywords: Non-equal Interval; Direct Modeling; Non-homogeneous; Response Coefficient; Grey Derivative
GM(1,1)*
637002
GM(1,1)
GM(1,1)
GM(1,1)
GM(1,1)[1]
[2-3][4-6][7][8-9] [10][11]
0
GM(1,1) x k pemki q
GM(1,1)
0
0
x ki x ki 1
ki ki 1
0
0
az ki b x ki
dx
0
x ki
0 t
dt
t k
i
mpemki GM(1,1)
mpemki a pemki q b
GM(11) Lingo
*
2008JY0112
P09264
- 116 http://www.sjie.org/
GM(1,1)
1 GM(11)
GM(11) p
1.1
ki ki 1
i 2,3,
emki1 emki
0
0
0
1 X x k1 , x k2 ,
0
0
x ki x ki 1
0
0
x ki 1 x ki
0
, x kn ki ki ki 1 const
1 0
0
0
0
az ki b GM(1,1) z (ki ) x (ki ) x (ki 1 ) ,
2
,n
0
dx
dt
t ki
0
ax ki b
GM11
1.2
1.2.1
t ki
0
dx
dt
t ki
0
0
x ki x ki 1
ki ki 1
GM(1,1)
0
0
0
z k x k pemki q [12] x k
0
dx t
dt
t ki mpemki
ln ki ki 1 ln A ki 1 ki
0
x ki pemki q [3] m
ki 1 ki 1
0
0
x ki x ki 1
0
q x ki pemki A
0
0
x ki 1 x ki
1.2.2 a, b c
0
0
0
1 X x k1 , x k2 ,
0
, x kn ki ki ki 1 const
dx
0
0
x ki pemki q x ki
0 t
dt
t k
i
mpemki
1 a a, b
pemk2 q
mpemk2
mk3
pemk3 q
Y mpe
B
mk
pemkn1 q
mpe n1
1
1
GM(1,1)
a a, b BT B
T
0
dx
dt
t ki
1 T
B Y
b
0
0
ax ki b x t ceat
a
b
0
x ki ceaki , k 2,3,
a
,n
c
b
0
ce aki x ki
0
0
n
x ki x ki
1
1
a
min
min
0
0
c n 1 k 2
c n 1 k 2
x ki
x ki
n
Lingo c
1.3 GM1,1
0
1 x ki pemki q GM(1,1)
b
a m c p q
a
0
1 a BT B
BT Y
pemk2 q
mpemk2
mk3
pemk3 q
mpe
Y
B
mpemkn1
pemkn1 q
BT B
1
1
BT B
T
B B
1
2
n1
mk
pe i q
BT B i n21
mki
pe q
i 2
n 1
i 2
pe q
n2
mki
n1
B B n 2 pe
T
i 2
mki
n1
pemki q
i 2
- 118 http://www.sjie.org/
B B
T
a a, b BT B
1 T
n2
n 1
mki
pe q
i 2
ni12 pemk q 2
i 2
n 1
pemk q
i
B Y m, mq
b
a m b mq b aq q
a
T
0
0
1 n x ki x ki
1 n
b
a m q c f (c)
0
n 1 k 2
n 1 k 2
a
x k
ce aki
b
pemki q
a
pe aki
1 n
f ( p)
n 1 k 2
pemki q
b
pemki q
a
pemki q
0 min f c c p
GM(1,1)
2
[1][2]
1[2] 1 [13]
GM(1,1) 1
GM(1,1) 2
[1]
[2][2] 2-9
2 GM(1,1)
1 -1
-1
T
100
130
170
210
240
270
310
340
380
560
557.54
536.10
516.10
505.60
486.10
467.40
453.80
436.40
2 [1][2]
[2]
/%
/%
/%
/%
100
560
130
557.54
1058.4
89.83
575.88
3.289
547.9446
1.72
549.8089
1.39
170
536.10
637.6
18.93
538.35
0.419
531.3291
0.89
533.2654
0.53
210
516.10
608.0
17.81
517.55
0.282
514.0730
0.39
516.0839
0.00
- 119 http://www.sjie.org/
240
505.6
437.5
13.47
500.01
1.106
500.6956
0.97
502.7644
0.56
270
486.1
422.2
13.15
485.45
0.134
486.9332
0.17
489.0615
0.61
310
467.4
540.1
15.55
469.02
0.346
467.9651
0.12
470.1755
0.59
340
453.8
388.6
14.37
453.11
0.151
453.2606
0.12
455.5346
0.38
380
436.4
497.1
13.90
437.78
0.315
432.9941
0.78
435.3558
0.24
/%
24.63
0.76
0.65
0.54
[13][2][2]3
0 k 978.8311-418.8311e0.00094590 ki k1 , i 2, , n .
i
1 x
0 k 978.8311-379.3811e0.00094590ki , i 2, , n .
i
2 x
2 [2]
3
GM(1,1)
[2]
GM(1,1)
GM(1,1)
REFERENCES
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[3] Kang X Q, Wei Y. A new optimized method of non-equigap GM (1, 1) model [J].The Journal of Grey System, 2008, 20(4): 375-382
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1992
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Email: 3306866@163.com
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