PROBABILIDAD

TRABAJO COLABORATIVO 1

PRESENTADO A:
JUAN POLANCO LARA

PRESENTADO POR:
ANGELA MARIA GAEZ
LUZ HERNANDEZ OSPINA
SULY YOHANA USCATEGUI
SARAI ROJAS MANZANO
SULLY JANETH GARAVITO

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL ABIERTA Y A DISTANCIA UNAD

2012

DESARROLLO ACTIVIDAD EJERCICIOS PARA LOS GRUPOS TERMINADOS EN 4, 5, 6

TRABAJO COLABORATIVO No. 1
1.
a)

Katia

Ludovika
Claudia
Fiorella

Ludovika

Katia
Claudia
Fiorella

Claudia

Fiorella

Ludovika
Katia
Fiorella

Ludovika
Claudia
Katia

POSIBLES RESULTADOS:
PUESTO 1
KATIA
KATIA
KATIA
CLAUDIA
CLAUDIA
CLAUDIA
LUDOVIKA
LUDOVIKA
LUDOVIKA
FIORELLA
FIORELLA
FIORELLA

PUESTO 2
LUDOVIKA
CLAUDIA
FIORELLA
LUDOVIKA
KATIA
FIORELLA
KATIA
CLAUDIA
FIORELLA
LUDOVIKA
CLAUDIA
KATIA

b) E(a) = { ( Ludovika, Katia ) ( Ludovika, Claudia) (Ludovika, fiorella) }

E(b) = { ( Claudia, Fiorella) }
E(c) = { ( Katia, Ludovika) (Katia, Claudia) (Katia, Fiorella) ( Ludovika, Katia) ( Claudia,
Katia) ( Fiorella, Katia) }

c)

A B C` =
A B = { (Ludovika, Claudia) (Ludovika, Fiorella) (Ludovika, Katia) (Claudia, Fiorella) }
ABC=
( A B) C` = { (Ludovika, Claudia) ( Ludovika, Fiorella) (Ludovika, Katia) (Katia,
Ludovika) (Katia, Claudia) ( Katia, Fiorella) (Claudia, Katia) (Fiorella, Katia) }
(A B ) ( A C ) = { (Claudia, fiorella) }

2.
a)

7 (5 =

7!
(7-5)! x 5!

7x6
2x1

b) 5 (3 =

5!
(5-3)! x 3!

5x4
2x1

3.
a)

4! = 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 24

42
2

20
2

= 21

= 10

b) 10 (4 =

10!
(10-4)! x 4!

6!
(6-3)! x 3!

10 x 9 x 8 x 7
4x3x2x1

6x5x4
3x2x1

9x8
2x1

6 (3

9 (2

9!
(9-2)! x 2!

5 (3

5!
(5-3)! x 3!

5x4x3
3x2x1

5040
24

120
6

72
2

60
6

20

36

= 10

4.

3/4
1/4

LUIS

TOO

3/4

5/6

1/4

1/6

x
x

1/6
5/6

=
=

3/24
5/24

P ( contradiccin) = 3/24 + 5/24

= 8/24 =

1/3

= 0.333

5.

HOMBRES
MUJERES

INGLES
7
8

NO INGLES
18
7

25
15

a) P(a) = 18/25 x 7/15 x 126/375 = 0.336 = 33.6%

b) P(b) = 15/40 = 0.375 = 37.5%
c) P(H I ) = 7/40 = 0.175 = 17.5%
d) P(I / M ) = P ( I M ) = 8/40
P (M)
15/40

8/15

= 0.533

6.
a) P (B) = 11/16 = 0.687
P (N . D) = 0.68 x 0.68 x 0.68 = 0.314 = 31.4%

210

b) P (D) = 5/16 = 0.312

p (B) = 0.312 X 0.68 X 0.68 = 0.143 = 14.3%

7.
a) P (f) = 69/169 = 0.408 = 40.8%

b) P (c/f) = P ( C F ) = 38/169 = 38/69 = 0.550 = 55%

P(F)

8.

69/169

P ( S ) = 0.8

P ( T/S ) = 0.2

P ( NS ) = 0.2

P (T/NS ) = 0.9

a)
b)
c)
d)

P ( T/S ) = 0.2
P ( TP ) = 1 (0.2 x 0.9) = 0.82
P (S/TS) = 0.2/0.8 = 0.25
P (NS/TNS) = 0.2/0.9 = 0.22