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By
Rakesh Kumar S
M.E (Structures)
Reliability is defined as
“RELIABILITY IS THE PROBABILITY OF AN ITEM PERFORMING ITS INTENDED
FUNCTION OVER A GIVEN PERIOD OF TIME UNDER THE OPERATING
CONDITIONS ENCOUNTERED”
Analysis Procedure
1.Collection of Data of the Problem
FOSM derives its name from the fact that it is based on first order Taylor series
approximation of linear function of random variable and uses the second order statistics
moments.
Analysis Procedure
1.Collection of Data of the Problem
COV 5% for Geometric properties and for live and dead loads .15 to .3 and for earthquake
loads it is taken b/w 10-20
Standard deviations () = Mean Value * COV
Resistance Model
As per Limit State of flexure (I.S 456)
Load Model,
S = , Bending moment.
Reliability Analysis by
First Order Second Moment Method (FOSM)
Partially differentiating the above equation w.r.t each variable above and
substituting the values, we get ……
Using Normal Distribution Table
Probability of failure: - Pf = 1 – 1-
Design
Ast = 813.94 sq mm
d = 460 mm
References:
• Achinthya Halder, Sankaran Mahadevan “Probability, Reliability and Statistical
Methods in Engineering Design” –John Wiley Publications-2000.
• Dhillon.B.S, “Reliability, Quality and Safety for Engineers”, CRC press,2005
• Ranganathan.R, Professor, IIT, Bombay “Reliability analysis and design of
structures”, Tata McGraw Hill,1990