Off Peak Demand Petroleum Off-Peak Demand …. ….

Gasoline Off-Peak Demand

08 Jan 2.83% 08 Jan …. 2.8% …. 08 Jan …. -0.1%
2008/09 Oil Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
08 Feb -5.30% 08 Feb …. -5.3% …. 08 Feb …. -1.2%
08 Mar -3.30% 08 Mar …. -3.3% …. 08 Mar …. -1.3%
08 Apr -0.96% 08 Apr …. -1.0% …. 08 Apr …. -0.3%
08 May -2.79% 08 May …. -2.8% …. 08 May …. -1.4%
08 Jun -2.47% 08 Jun …. -2.5% …. 08 Jun …. -2.2%
08 Jul -4.00% 08 Jul …. -4.0% …. 08 Jul …. -3.2%
08 Aug -4.57% 0.04 08 Aug …. -4.6% …. 08 Aug …. -1.9%
08 Sep -7.94% 08 Sep …. -7.9% …. 08 Sep …. -4.1%
08 Oct -11.00% 0.02 08 Oct …. -11.0% …. 08 Oct …. -4.3%
08 Nov -8.17% 08 Nov …. -8.2% …. 08 Nov …. -3.5%
Percent

08 Dec -6.21% 0 08 Dec …. -6.2% …. 08 Dec …. -4.7%

09 Jan -6.68% 09 Jan …. -6.7% …. 09 Jan …. -3.6%
09 Feb -9.21% -0.02 09 Feb …. -9.2% …. 09 Feb …. -1.2%
09 Mar -10.06% 09 Mar …. -10.1% …. 09 Mar …. -2.7%
09 Apr -11.76% -0.04 Hurricane impact SE 09 Apr …. -11.8% …. 09 Apr …. -2.4%
09 May -13.48% 09 May …. -13.5% …. 09 May …. -3.3%
09 Jun -11.58% -0.06 09 Jun …. -11.6% …. 09 Jun …. -4.0%
09 Jul -10.73% 09 Jul …. -10.7% …. 09 Jul …. -4.9%
09 Aug -9.21% -0.08 09 Aug …. -9.2% …. 09 Aug …. -4.4%
09 Sep -8.03% 09 Sep …. -8.0% …. 09 Sep …. -2.1%
09 Oct -12.30% 09 Oct …. -12.3% …. 09 Oct …. -3.2%
-0.1
Historic Annual Levels
1993 2.99%
-0.12
1994 1.87%
1995 0.35%
-0.14
1996 2.22%
1997 2.71%
1998 0.98% -0.16 Month
08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09
1999 2.44% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
2000 2.17%
2001 -0.10%
2002 -0.09% Historic Growth Levels Off Peak Data
2003 2.04%
2004 1.91%
2005 1.60%
2006 0.61% 4.0%
Percent

2007 0.54% 2.0%

2008 -4.16% 0.0%
2009 YTD -10.33%
-2.0% 01/02 Last acknlowledged recession down
Verify Formula On Analysis 06 07 08 Sheet! 0.1% both years.
Weekly Levels YTD -4.0%
Jan Week 1 -6.82% -6.0%
Jan Week 2 -8.94%
-8.0%
Jan Week 3 -7.96%
Jan Week 4 -3.05% -10.0%
Feb Week 1 -6.15% -12.0%
2009 YTD
1994

1995

1996

1998

1999

2000

2002

2003

2004

2006

2007

2008
1993

1997

2001

2005

Feb Week 2 -9.87%

Feb Week 3 -10.65%
Feb Week 4 -11.36%
Feb Week 5 -7.97% Year
Mar Week 1 -10.05%
Mar Week 2 -11.98%
Mar Week 3 -7.77%
Mar Week 4 -10.39%
Apr Week 1 -9.39% Weekly Levels To Peak Week Data 2009
Apr Week 2 -12.42% 0
Apr Week 3 -13.84%
Apr Week 4 -11.38% -0.02
May Week 1 -15.00%
May Week 2 -13.29% -0.04
May Week 3 -12.27%
May Week 4 -12.66% -0.06
May Week 5 -15.70%
Jun Week 1 -11.10% -0.08
Jun Week 2 -9.57%
-0.1
Jun Week 3 -15.05%
Jun Week 4 -12.99%
-0.12
Jul Week 1 -12.22%
Jul Week 2 -10.29%
-0.14
Jul Week 3 -9.94%
Jul Week 4 -11.37% -0.16
Aug Week 1 -9.38%
Aug Week 2 -11.53% -0.18
Aug Week 3 -10.14%
Jan Week 1
Jan Week 2

Jan Week 4

Feb Week 2
Feb Week 3

Apr Week 2
Apr Week 3
Apr Week 4

May Week 5
Jun Week 1

Jul Week 2

Aug Week 1
Aug Week 2
Aug Week 3

Aug Week 5

Sep Week 3

Oct Week 4
Jan Week 3

Feb Week 1

Feb Week 4
Feb Week 5
Mar Week 1
Mar Week 2
Mar Week 3
Mar Week 4
Apr Week 1

May Week 1
May Week 2
May Week 3
May Week 4

Jun Week 2
Jun Week 3
Jun Week 4
Jul Week 1

Jul Week 3
Jul Week 4

Aug Week 4

Sep Week 1
Sep Week 2

Sep Week 4
Oct Week 1
Oct Week 2
Oct Week 3

Aug Week 4 -8.55%

Aug Week 5 -7.98%
Sep Week 1 -6.83%
Sep Week 2 -7.98%
Sep Week 3 -10.77%
Sep Week 4 -8.39%
Oct Week 1 -10.53%
Oct Week 2 -11.68%
Oct Week 3 -13.18%
Oct Week 4 -13.78%
 Off Peak Demand
08 Jan -0.10%
2008/09 Gasoline Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
08 Feb -1.16%
08 Mar -1.32%
08 Apr -0.31%
08 May -1.37% 0
08 Jun -2.24%
08 Jul -3.16%
08 Aug -1.92%
-0.01
08 Sep -4.13%
08 Oct -4.28%
08 Nov -3.55%
Percent

08 Dec -4.66% -0.02

09 Jan -3.63%
09 Feb -1.23%
09 Mar -2.66%
-0.03
09 Apr -2.39%
09 May -3.26%
09 Jun -4.01%
09 Jul -4.92% -0.04
09 Aug -4.36%
09 Sep -2.15%
09 Oct -3.24%
Historic Annual Levels -0.05
1993 2.67%
1994 1.79%
1995 3.28% -0.06
1996 -0.10% 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 Jul 08 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 Jul 09 09 09
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct
1997 2.35%
Month
1998 2.86%
1999 2.09%
2000 0.49%
2001 1.28%
2002 2.59% Historic Gasoline Growth Levels Off Peak Data
2003 1.30%
2004 2.08%
4.0%
2005 0.87%
2006 1.43% 3.0%
2007 0.77%
Percent

2008 -2.12% 2.0%

2009 YTD -3.17% 1.0%
Verify Formula On Analysis 06 07 08 Sheet!
Weekly Levels YTD 0.0%
Jan Week 1 -3.37%
-1.0%
Jan Week 2 -3.93%
Jan Week 3 -3.60% -2.0%
Jan Week 4 -3.24%
Feb Week 1 -1.32% -3.0%
Feb Week 2 -0.61%
-4.0%
Feb Week 3 -3.15%
2009 YTD
1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008
1998

Feb Week 4 -1.22%

Feb Week 5 0.14%
Mar Week 1 -2.03% Year
Mar Week 2 -3.08%
Mar Week 3 -1.62%
Mar Week 4 -3.86%
Apr Week 1 -4.73% Weekly Gasoline Levels To Peak Week Data 2009
Apr Week 2 -3.28%
Apr Week 3 -0.29%
Apr Week 4 -1.18% 0.02
May Week 1 -4.53%
0.01
May Week 2 -4.46%
May Week 3 0.42% 0
May Week 4 1.15%
-0.01
May Week 5 -5.00%
Jun Week 1 -3.65% -0.02
Jun Week 2 -2.47%
-0.03
Jun Week 3 -4.66%
Jun Week 4 -6.14% -0.04
Jul Week 1 -4.49%
-0.05
Jul Week 2 -5.63%
Jul Week 3 -4.47% -0.06
Jul Week 4 -5.08%
-0.07
Aug Week 1 -5.14%
Aug Week 2 -6.49% -0.08
Feb Week 3

Apr Week 4

Sep Week 2
Jan Week 1
Jan Week 2
Jan Week 3
Jan Week 4
Feb Week 1
Feb Week 2

Feb Week 4
Feb Week 5
Mar Week 1
Mar Week 2

Apr Week 1
Apr Week 2
Apr Week 3

Jun Week 2
Jun Week 3

Jul Week 1
Jul Week 2

Aug Week 1
Aug Week 2

Aug Week 4
Aug Week 5
Sep Week 1

Sep Week 3
Sep Week 4
Oct Week 1
Oct Week 2
Mar Week 3
Mar Week 4

May Week 1
May Week 2
May Week 3
May Week 4
May Week 5
Jun Week 1

Jun Week 4

Jul Week 3
Jul Week 4

Aug Week 3

Oct Week 3
Oct Week 4

Aug Week 3 -5.71%

Aug Week 4 -5.41%
Aug Week 5 -1.50%
Sep Week 1 -1.17%
Sep Week 2 -2.66%
Sep Week 3 -5.35%
Sep Week 4 0.07%
Oct Week 1 0.29%
Oct Week 2 -0.45%
Oct Week 3 -5.90%
Oct Week 4 -6.75%
 Housing
Pct.
Employm Change Y
Year Ratio Total ent on Y
1963 0.780 560 71,833
1964 0.773 565 73,091 0.89%
1965 0.772 575 74,455 1.77%
1966 0.608 461 75,770 -19.83%
1967 0.631 488 77,347 5.86%
1968 0.622 490 78,737 0.41%
1969 0.556 449 80,734 -8.37%
1970 0.587 486 82,771 8.24%
1971 0.779 657 84,382 35.19%
1972 0.822 715 87,034 8.83%
1973 0.708 633 89,429 -11.47%
1974 0.564 519 91,949 -18.01%
1975 0.587 550 93,774 5.97%
1976 0.673 647 96,158 17.64%
1977 0.828 820 99,008 26.74%
1978 0.800 818 102,250 -0.24%
1979 0.675 709 104,962 -13.33%
1980 0.510 545 106,940 -23.13%
1981 0.401 436 108,670 -20.00%
1982 0.375 413 110,204 -5.28%
1983 0.558 622 111,550 50.61%
1984 0.563 639 113,544 2.73%
1985 0.596 688 115,461 7.67%
1986 0.635 748 117,834 8.72%
1987 0.561 672 119,865 -10.16%
1988 0.555 675 121,669 0.45%
1989 0.525 650 123,869 -3.70%
1990 0.425 535 125,840 -17.69%
1991 0.401 507 126,346 -5.23%
1992 0.475 608 128,105 19.92%
1993 0.515 666 129,200 9.54%
1994 0.511 670 131,056 0.60%
1995 0.503 665 132,304 -0.75%
1996 0.566 758 133,943 13.98%
1997 0.591 805 136,297 6.20%
1998 0.643 885 137,673 9.94%
1999 0.632 881 139,368 -0.45%
2000 0.615 877 142,583 -0.45%
2001 0.632 909 143,734 3.65%
2002 0.671 972 144,863 6.93%
2003 0.743 1,088 146,510 11.93%
2004 0.816 1,203 147,401 10.57%
2005 0.859 1,283 149,320 6.65%
2006 0.695 1,052 151,428 -18.00%
2007 0.507 776 153,124 -26.24%
2008 0.314 485 154,287 -37.50%
2009 0.261 402 154,006 -17.11%
Was 433 July