1

GDP

(1)

(2)

GDP

:
 :

 :

(2010)

(2010)

48%

0%

+ 34%

- 38%

5.7%

5.4%

11000

100

65

(1)

20097.3GDP13%
2011GDP
3.3GDP4.07

(2)

2
22%
 carbon bubble:
40%~60%
9

(1)
:

10

(2)

;

;

;

;

(3)

: (Towards a Green Economy- Pathways

to sustainable and poverty eradication)
: GDP2%
1.
2.


2050

(BAU)
47%2.6%

()

200

499

GDP (%)

2.2

1.4

(-)

(
)

()

(%)

1.2

2.1

17,082

13,138

49

46

8.4

11.4

(1)

(Cooper 2010)

IPCC:

Ecofys :

:

13

(2)

2010
2025:8450MW

2013
2025: 9952 MW

1%GDP 1%GDP

0.7%

0.55%

14




5800 GDP

() :39%

: 26%

: 21%

:
14%

 2025GDP
0.58%

15

GDP

NOW

16