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Tishreen University Journal for Research and Scientific Studies -Economic and Legal Sciences Series Vol. (33) No. (5) 2011

External Trade Liberalization and its Effect

on the Growth Rate of the Syrian Economy
Dr. Afeef Sundouq*

(Received 7 / 3 / 2011. Accepted 13 / 7 / 2011)

ABSTRACT

The research highlights the external trade liberalization manner and its effects on the
growth rate of the Syrian Economy and on the employment market. The reform of
external sector in both trade policy and employment policy is necessary to create a
convenient economical environment, in order to change to the social and market
economy by opening the market and accelerating integration in the international trade
which will lead to increasing the external trade rate and the growth rate.
The research also insists on the necessity of creating a strategy and consistent policies to
integrate in the world economies and to create jobs despite the increase in population and
labour age and improve the standard of living and that wages should be equal to the work
real value.

Keywords: liberalization, external trade, growth.

Assistant Professor, Department Of Economics And Planning, Faculty Of Economics, Tishreen

University, Lattakia, Syria.

36

Tishreen University Journal Eco. & Leg. Sciences Series 2011 (5) ( 33)

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Table 1- Model Summary(c)

Std. Error
Durbinof
the Adjusted
Watson
Estimate
R Square R Square R
152.85614 .937
.944
.972(a)
1.789
119.93372 .961
.970
.985(b)
(a) Predictors: (Constant), Import.
(b) Predictors: (Constant), Import, Export.
(c) Dependent Variable: Gross domestic product.

Mode
l
1
2

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Table 2 - ANOVA(c)
Sig.

Mean Square df

Sum of Squares

.000(b)

112.142

1613061.083 2

3226122.166

14384.097

100688.676
3326810.842

7
9
(b) Predictors: (Constant), Import, Export.
47

Regressio
n
Residual
Total

Mode
l
2





 

    
    

(c) Dependent Variable: Gross domestic product.

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Table 3- Coeffecients(a)

Model
2

(contant)
mport

Unstandardized
Coefficients
Std.
B
Error
177.28
543.299
1
5.778
1.328

Standardize
d
Coefficients
Beta

2.198

-3.669
1.499
-1.237
Export
(a) Dependent Variable: Gross domestic product.
4 '* 'D< 0
 
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3.065

.018

4.350

.003

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.1
.2

3.

Andrew Berg and Anne Krueger " Trade, Growth, and Poverty: A Selective
Survey" in annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 2003,
www.imf.org publications, P(55-56).
4.
Jagdish N Bhagwati, " Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes
vol. 11, Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development Cambridge, Massachusetts
Ballinger 1978, P(71-87).
5.
Jagdish Bhagwati and T.N. Srinivasan " Trade and Poverty in The Poor Countries"
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2002, P(60-64).
6.
Jagdish Bhagwati "Free Trade and Labour "Financial Times, 29th August, 2001,
P(10-12).
- guide de l'organisation du commerce mondiale !     F  - A  
.7
.(52)? 5  D &      F 05

@27)? !1996 &*   2 "Q

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'
&  
  0D  5 " '
2 ' .

.8

.(29

9.
Haouas, Yagoubi, Heshmati " The impacts of trade liberalization on Employment
and wages in Tunisia industries" WP FMI 2005, P(120-125).
10. World Bank "Unlocking The Employment Potential in The MENA" 2004
Washington DC, P(14).
0
<  " 
    0&) 4 =<   ()*  :" " 
  &   . .11
.(87@80)? !1981
55




12.


 

    
    

guide de l'organisation du commerce mondiale, P(22) D &      F 05

5 .
.(5)? !2008   '
< "  
'  '& E   "  

14.

Exchange arrangement , FMI 2006, P(12).

.2008

   ' 
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.www.arablegueonline.org &  
   4

.
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A <2  5 ?
     F 05.guide de l'organisation du commerce mondiale, P(24)

.18
.19
.20
.21

.5  D &

22.

Nugent , Jeffrey " Why Does MENA Trade So Little " Paper Presented to The
Middle East Region Group , The World Bank Washington, DC 2002, P(22-26).
.0  '/
 '. &  >  !2009 &  
    ] * .23

24.

Direction of Trade Statistics yearbook 2005 &2009 P(45-46) & P(22-26).

56


) (33 )Tishreen University Journal Eco. & Leg. Sciences Series 2011 (5

57