Simulation Of Production Plant Output See http://www.barringer1.com/may98prb.

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© Barringer & Associates, Inc. 1999 Phone: 281-852-6810, FAX: 281-852-3749, Email: hpaul@barringer1.com, Webpage http://www.barringer1.com
Put your actual production data into WinSMITH Weibull (WSW). Sketch in the line segment terminations. Use WSW to find equations for line segments
Copy the simulated production values (J33:J397) into WSW, and compare your simulated values with the actual results.
Make improvement in the plant to correct the deficiencies. Run the simulation again to see the forecasted improvements.
You must have data in line segment 1 and line segment 5!
= Variables you can change
Press F9 key to update simulation

Plant 1

1st line segment from _% Reliability 100.00%

1st line segment to _% Reliability 99.00%
beta= 0.1676
eta= 1.78E+14
2 nd line segment from _% Reliability 99.00%
2 nd line segment to _% Reliability 95.00%
beta= 4.9047
eta= 549.996
3 rd line segment from _% Reliability 95.00%
3 rd line segment to _% Reliability 65.00%
beta= 8.9347
eta= 419.688
4 th line segment from _% Reliability 65.00%
4 th line segment to _% Reliability 25.50%
beta= 1.2328
eta= 773.336
5 th line segment from _% Reliability 25.50%
5 th line segment to _% Reliability 0.00%
beta= 37.1194
eta= 995.812
Limit Minimum Production To: 2
Random Line Segment # Production For
Day Number Used For Simulation Plant 1
1 0.58509 4 466.3
2 0.92279 3 316.5
3 0.82604 3 348.7
4 0.18631 5 1009.8
5 0.66321 3 379.9
6 0.85142 3 342.1
7 0.26573 4 971.8
8 0.95569 2 292.7
9 0.68846 3 375.9
10 0.88081 3 333.1
11 0.84436 3 344.0
12 0.70505 3 373.1
13 0.86079 3 339.4
14 0.05258 5 1025.2
15 0.81999 3 350.2
16 0.62559 4 418.5
17 0.63178 4 411.3
18 0.18563 5 1009.9
19 0.89004 3 329.9
20 0.64231 4 399.3
21 0.55007 4 509.4
22 0.30383 4 891.3
23 0.19813 5 1008.8
24 0.30292 4 893.1
25 0.54245 4 519.0
26 0.19202 5 1009.3
27 0.69165 3 375.3
28 0.24391 5 1005.1
29 0.82657 3 348.6
30 0.64069 4 401.1
31 0.22781 5 1006.4
32 0.29661 4 905.9
33 0.58698 4 464.0
34 0.64758 4 393.3
35 0.14702 5 1013.4
36 0.71418 3 371.5
37 0.29718 4 904.7
38 0.40281 4 715.9
39 0.06805 5 1022.7
40 0.57029 4 484.3
41 0.39698 4 725.2
42 0.22625 5 1006.5
43 0.76240 3 362.7
44 0.62744 4 416.3
45 0.72433 3 369.8
46 0.99168 1 70.7
47 0.21618 5 1007.3
48 0.75028 3 365.0
49 0.66817 3 379.1
50 0.39436 4 729.4