Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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credit risk models ,
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Credit risk models
logit
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Moodys
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,
.
, .. 2.br, .
Aaa
Aaa
.
Aa1
Aa (1,2,3)
Aa2
Aa3
A1
A (1,2,3)
A2
A3
).
Baa1
Baa (1,2,3)
Baa2
Baa3
. .
Ba1
Ba2
Ba (1,2,3)
.
Ba3
B1
B2
B (1,2,3)
.
B3
Caa1
Caa2
Caa (1,2,3)
.
Caa3
Ca
Ca
.
C
-
-
.
D
.
25
P-1
, ,
Prime-1 (P-1)
P-2
Prime-2 (P-2)
.
C
P-3
Prime-3 (P-3)
NP
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. .
.
B
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.
Moodys
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.
,
( ,
,
).
Moodys
(
13 ).
.
26
S & Ps Fitch:AAA,AA,AA+,AA,AA-,A+,A,A-,BBB+,BBB,BBB,BB+,BB,BB-,B+,B,B-,CCC+,CCC,CCC-,CC,C,RD,D
Moodys:Aaa,Aa1,Aa2,Aa3,A1,A2,A3,Baa1,Baa2,Baa3,Ba1,Ba2,Ba3,B1
,B2,B3,Caa,Caa2,Caa3,Ca,C
,
6
(Country risk rating agencies). Economist
Intelligence Unit (EIU), Euromoney, Institutional Investor (II),
International Country Risk Guide (ICRG), Moodys Standard
& Poors (S&P).
, .
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: ,
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,
(
)
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29
. ,
. Euromoney, II ICRG
0 100.
EIU
E
. Moodys
C AAA
.
: C, CA, CAA, B, BA, BAA, A, AA,
AAA.
Moodys, S&Ps.
,
.
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S&Ps
Entity
Local Currency
Foreign Currency
AA/Stable/A-1+
AA/Stable/A-1+
AA+/--/--
AA/Negative/A-1+
AA/Negative/A-1+
AAA/--/--
B+/Stable/B
B+/Stable/B
AAA/Stable/A-1+
AAA/Stable/A-1+
AAA/--/--
AAA/Stable/A-1+
AAA/Stable/A-1+
AAA/--/--
A-/Positive/A-2
A-/Positive/A-2
A/--/--
A/Stable/A-1
A-/Stable/A-2
A/Stable/A-1
BBB+/Stable/A-2
AA-/--/-A-/--/--
BB/Stable/B
AA+/Stable/A-1+
B+/Stable/B
AA+/Stable/A-1+
B+/--/-AAA/--/--
Belize
Benin (Republic of)
Bermuda
B/Stable/B
B/Stable/B
AA/Positive/A-1+
B/Stable/B
B/Stable/B
AA/Positive/A-1+
B+/--/-BBB-/--/-AAA/--/--
National Scale
raAA/Stable/--
T&C Assessment
BB/--/--
http://www.standardandpoors.com/ratings/articles/en/us/?assetID=1245219962821
32
Albania
6
Algeria
4
Angola
7
Antigua & Barbuda
7
Argentina
7
Armenia
7
Aruba
4
Azerbaijan
6
Bahamas
3
Bahrain
3
Bangladesh 6
Belarus
7
Belize
6
Benin
7
Bolivia
7
Bosnia-Herzegovina
7
Botswana
2
Brazil
6
Brunei
2
Bulgaria
4
Burkina Faso
7
Cameroon
7
Cape Verde 7
Islands
Central Africa
7 Rep.
Chad
7
Chile
2
China
2
Chinese Taipei
1
Colombia
5
Congo, Dem.
7 Rep.
Congo Rep. 7
Costa Rica. 3
Croatia
4
Cuba
7
Cyprus
3
Czech Republic
2
Dominican Republic
6
Ecuador
7
Egypt
4
El Salvador 4
Equatorial Guinea
7
Estonia
3
Ethiopia
7
Gabon
7
Gambia
7
Georgia
7
Ghana
7
Guatemala
6
Guinea
7
Guinea-Bissau
7
Guyana
7
Haiti
7
Honduras
7
Hong Kong
2
Hungary
2
India
3
Indonesia
6
Iran, Islamic 4
Rep.
Iraq
7
Israel
3
Ivory Coast
7
Jamaica
6
Jordan
6
Kazakhstan 5
Kenya
6
Korea, Dem.7
Rep. (Nor)
Kuwait
2
Kyrgyz republic
7
Laos
7
Latvia
3
Lebanon
7
Lesotho
6
Liberia
7
Libya
7
Lithuania
3
Macao
2
Macedonia, FYROM
7
Madagascar 7
Malawi
7
Malaysia
2
Maldives
5
Mali
7
Malta
3
Mauritania
7
Mauritius
3
Mexico
3
Moldova
7
Mongolia
7
Morocco
4
Mozambique7
Myanmar (Burma)
7
Nepal
7
Netherlands 5
Antilles
Nicaragua
7
Niger
7
Nigeria
7
Oman
3
Pakistan
6
Panama
4
Papua New Guinea
6
Paraguay
7
Peru
5
Philippines
5
Poland
2
Qatar
3
Romania
4
Russian federation
4
Rwanda
7
Saint Kitts &
7 Nevis
Saint Vincent
5 & Gren
Sao Tome & 7
Principe
Saudi Arabia3
Senegal
6
Seychelles
7
Sierra Leone7
Singapore
NB
Slovak Republic
3
Slovenia
2
Solomon Islands
7
Somalia
7
South Africa 3
Sri Lanka
5
Sudan
7
Suriname
7
Syrian Arab Republic
7
Tajikistan
7
Tanzania
6
Thailand
3
Togo
7
Trinidad & Tobago
2
Tunisia
3
Turkey
5
Turkmenistan
7
Uganda
7
Ukraine
6
United Arab Emirates
2
Uruguay
6
Uzbekistan
7
Venezuela
7
Vietnam
5
Yemen, Republic
6
Yugoslavia, FR
7
Zambia
7
Zimbabwe
7
33
VAR (Value At Risk).
. ..
var 1 . 95
,
100 ,
95 100
1 . .
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