Ejercicio Propuesto

For Evaluation Only
TreePlan Trial Version, For Evaluation Only
producir piloto
0
70
2
100
vender a un competidor
0
100
TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

file:///var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_4/257187154.xlsxwww.TreePlan.com
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0.2
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www.TreePlan.com
-100
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0.3
1 ao
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ID
0
2
0
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

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Name
TreePlan
Value
Prob
0
Pred
0
0
0
Kind
0D
0E
0E
1T
1T
1T
2T
2T
2T
NS
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0

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S1
S2
1
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
S3
2
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
S4
0
5
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
7
22
2
7
12
17
22
27

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Col
Mark
1
5
5
9
9
9
9
9
9

B) LA DECISION SI NO SE USA INF. AGENCIA (A PROIRI)

C) VEIP
25
estados de la naturaleza
alternativa de
decision
rechazar s1 1 ao s2
producir piloto
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50
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100
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100
0.3
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veip
mejor VE
125
100
25
vender a un
competidor
D) DECISION CON INF DE AGENCIA

FAVORABLE
PRODUCIR PILOTO
VE=101,500
E) VE
$101,035
F)
NO. LO MAXIMO ES $1035
G)
NO HACER ESTUDIO EN AGENCIA
VENDER A COMPETIDOR
NCIA (A PROIRI)
100000
2 aos s3
150
100
0.5
DESFAVORABLE
VENDER COMP
DIO EN AGENCIA
VE=100,000
For Evaluation Only
TreePlan Trial Version, For Evaluation Only
0.69
favorable
1
0
101.5
101.035

For Evaluation Only
0.31
desfavorable
2
0
100

For Evaluation Only

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0.09
rechazar
www.TreePlan.com
-100
-100
-100
0.26
1 ao
producir piloto
50
0
101.5
50
50
0.65
2 ao
150
150
150
0.09
rechazar
100
100
0.26
1 ao
100
100
100
100
100
0.65
2 ao
100
100
100
0.45
rechazar
-100
-100
-100
0.39
1 ao
producir piloto
50
0
-1.5
50
50

For Evaluation Only

0.16
2 ao
150
150
150
0.45
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100
100
100
0.39
1 ao
100
100
100
100
0.16
2 ao
100
100
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For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only
ID
0
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
0
Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Value
0

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only
Prob
Pred
0
0
0
0
0
Kind
0E
9E
9E
1T
1T
1T
2T
2T
2T
0D
0D
10 E
10 E
11 T
11 T
11 T
12 T
12 T
12 T
NS
S1
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
S2
9
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
11
13
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
12
14
17
0
0
0
0
0
0

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only

For Evaluation Only
S3
S4
0
5
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
29
7
22
2
7
12
17
22
27
14
44
37
52
32
37
42
47
52
57
Mark
1
9
9
13
13
13
13
13
13
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
13
13
13


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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only

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TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only