Professional Documents
Culture Documents
GEOG 586
November 2013
Introduction
To explore Surface Analysis, we experimented with data from Centre County, PA. As
one of the fastest growing counties in the state, school enrollment is burgeoning
and a new high school needs to be appropriately sited to serve the four school
districts. To do this, we had to analyze existing raster datasets to determine a
potential location for the new school.
For comparison, I also ran a Straight Line Distance Analysis of the area (see Figure
2). The Straight Line tool calculates the distance from every cell to each school,
measured as the crow flies, and then assigns the shortest distance to the raster.
The Allocation Tool is clearly based on the straight line distance calculations.
Figure 2:
Straight
Line
Distance
Analysis of
the four
high
schools in
Centre
County,
PA. The
distances
to each
high
school are
One example to note from comparing these two different methods is a student who
may be living between the two schools near the center of the county. In Figure 2,
we see an overlap in the light gold coloration, indicating that the student could be
within the attendance zone of either school. Figure 1, however, provides a clearer
picture in this particular instance as to which school the student should attend (why,
the one with the best science program, of course!)
In reality, straight line distances are not always useful. When we drive to school,
unless we have some type of futuristic hovercar, chances are we are making
multiple turns as we follow various roadways or political or topographical features.
A political boundary example may be a student living near a county border. The
student may technically be closer to a school in the next county but as this school
is not within their county of residence, this sort of distance allocation would be
inaccurate. We need to combine multiple analyses to determine a more ideal
2
output that takes all these variables into account. One option for this would be to
create an individual analysis for each school and then add these four analysis
grids together with the raster calculator.
Figure 3: The new Roads raster layer with major roads shown in red and minor roads shown
in yellow.
This is certainly a more realistic allocation, but does not seem to account for all the
inconsistencies between the straight-line distance allocation and the actual school
districts. Rather, it appears that school district boundaries tend to fall along civil
4
boundaries, resulting in some allocated districts that do not align well with actual
school districts.
district.
Figure 5: The density of school-age children (ages 5 to 17) per census block in Centre
County, PA. Classified by Natural Breaks (Jenks) with darker shades representing a higher
number of school-aged children.
A map of the student population by school district rather than census block
confirms this assessment (see Figure 6).
Figure 6: The density of school-age children (ages 5 to 17) per school district in Centre
County, PA. Classified by Natural Breaks (Jenks) with darker shades representing a higher
number of school-aged children.
The Zonal Statistics By Table tool displays the population of each school district:
Its interesting to note that the State College Area School District has more than
twice the number of students than the next most-populous district, Bellefonte Area
School District. I think it makes it fairly obvious, then, the general vicinity in which a
new high school should be sited.
A map displaying student population according the Euclidean Allocated zones which
were weighted according to the road network serves to reinforce that assumption
(see Figure 7).
Figure 7: Population of school-age children (ages 5 to 17) per school district in Centre
County, PA, with darker areas representing higher numbers of school-aged children.
And so...Where to Put a New School and What Should Be Its District?!
As we reasoned from our previous analysis, the State College Area School District
already has more than twice the number of students than other districts. Ideally, if
we could divide the State College Area District evenly without requiring any other
districts to be redrawn, that would be the easiest and most cost-effective method.
But where shall we place our new school within the State College Area District?
Definitely near some fast-food joints who would appreciate all the lunchtime
business, right? Well, perhaps we should be a bit more specific so I performed a
Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) to determine precisely where the largest
concentrations of school-aged children are located within the county (see Figure 8).
Figure 8: Kernel Density Estimation of school-age children (ages 5 to 17) per school district
and census block in Centre County, PA, with darker areas representing higher densities of
students.
The KDE shows that there a few clusters of students within the State College Area
School District, but the largest concentration seem to be located in the approximate
center of the district (see Figure 9).
Figure 9: A zoomed-in view of the Kernel Density Estimation of school-age children (ages 5
to 17) in the State College Area School District.
By drawing a new district along census block lines, we can site the new school to
take a lot of pressure off the existing school a sum of about 4,710 students, or
approximately half of the districts current 9,578 (see Figure 10).
Figure 10: Statistics of the new school district created from select census blocks show that
approximately 4,710 students aged 5 to 17 will be incorporated from the previous State
College Area District. .
Figure 11: Areas highlighted in bright blue represent census blocks that would be appointed
into the new school district. A new school should be sited somewhere in the center of this
new region and close to major roads, such as the spot indicated by the red star.
Conclusion
In previous lessons, we explored how knowledge of underlying patterns and
processes is critical to truly understand the results of an analysis, as is a thorough
understanding of various analysis methods such as interpolation that may affect the
outcome. In a similar vein, this lesson explored how a basic analysis, such as our
initial straight line distance, may tell us something about the data but may not
effectively present the entire picture. By delving deeper into an analysis and
carefully examining any geographic factors such as topography, road networks,
specific populations, and so forth, we are very likely to end up with a more refined
and far more accurate analysis. It is key, however, to know where we are going
(with the data) before we can figure out how to get there.
References
10
11