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goon Oo, BAC aN Fe @ar srcext ae F us wee peparmunifi“ér stare eae Baer, onrcome ae owe prc: sninee wey 09 DISERSBUTION: FRE euozecr, corm ersaneor, ciVELiay conceme ueHUNES! ADDY HARD COPY FOR S s/n nurtonzearzon: sare/smes i gf & & 5 x a er ee i -& S 8 Tage BODIS_ massage viii be suronacicelly auceptioned ster 5 years, Gilneas exanpeed Sy the exacttive Secretary or designees cack box co eumpt telegran from automatic decepttentag: The attached dzcusene, may be e0en only’ by ‘cealy pecoiuded, by those official: Sereseelde ‘to fare Pde git seg Boktcecipiengs sithout prior approval of the Ewecutive Sccretariat Adzentent outs: the Oeparenenc of Seate russ, handle the document Uateordence vith the afore dueteuctisne and with curzent Bépattnent SE Stace" Snetractions on noses. Ween ehig degunent im no longer needed, the recipien: is Sesponsibie°formupervtsing Yes desenicelon Bxecutive secretary SECRET SiMe fais wor 06 ests 500) mated s272] ame owe 3 oF 3 rye 2 OF 4 fg Sr rennin vom comma rn seener pres7ae 2 re o61s4st, Nov 09 HER (roTRL, copres. 962) ScorOEEIT. ADDL HARD COPY FOR 8 parson) atuzo: oc1sasi Nov co HER (reTRL comtEe: 263) GSCORMENT: MARD COPY FOR THE SECRETARY ature. avo (00) ae sSemeamee 0612022 NOV 09 STEPS [TOTAL COFIES: C00) ACTION noDS-00 ‘pero. ecoe-00 sns-00 BI 708% a+---D29B74 0818542 /38 9,0€23382 xv 09 1D EESUTAEE WAGHUE TIOGDIATS 2007 SECRET SECTION O2 OF O5 KABUL 003572 ODIs ARIES E.o, 22980. mpc. 11/06/2099 aes. peew, Grek, Ae SGavect’ Com StRRTEGY: CIVILIAN CONCERNS SECTION 02 OF 03 Kabul 3572 Classitied By: anbasaedor Kar] W. Eikerberry, Reawone 1.4 (b) and (a Madane secretary. SETAE SESE Ehe ia of our dei theraeione on the vay formrd ix Righanletan, f vould 1ite to cutiice ay ceservatione above Gotntgrineutgency usetegy thet telice on ¢ lafee infusion of Geotoreee SP aly “aasee che ihe ech fy situation an Aepbanlstgn sa, car{lanvand hye scisl‘cmal Crsopecitt ftp Euvtame,tha,sobgaing ceenat in fone chece fhe" troope fe Repleyta™enscehece2 CRUSL TERS uBere Fhe robe PEs fs Fobuse coungerinesroency approach will yield neasuranie Bac*i'an‘ concerned, chat ve ‘piceredcingce’ ene Fyhe or thts Sepanolen of on mignion and thar ve have ‘epates siternatlye™ ihe proposed. txcop’ incre: Beh d'coate and’ an indetinite, largerggie 0 3 Kigkanbotan” gunceac ing’ the Reed for Boss ibe treae ae geo a House ik fhe Seasctemm, teal st wills deepen che nilitary involvenent in lop that rast agree. cannat be wen’ solely byratlitery aanne™ Suregenn eveti1 Pen osuneet eo sue sletesgie pumpocte of Afghani ting end eivilianising eraser’ Funct iene bere ‘Eeihaps the charte we fave aii cen showing the U.S. presence Ny, ‘(Q)ar%Pes mov 06 15:45:27 2968 (xabst 95721 PEE COBY 1 OF 3 Ni) 2 og off in soning years in 9 bell, cuxve iy Gilt grove accurate’ itis nore likely, hovever, “chat cites lcreckach afe Sopctcitt sd'optimaetiC: In thas ‘cage, banging Pores ster, capa mace fe Sng Y TE ot impenat bie, fo bring eur Pecpie hone oj a reassnaple tinerable’"korseyar, ‘one. o ‘charts diapitye dolite costa, Acknovleagement ‘of che Sittonged cel, costa Mighe illusctare Che greater Sesivauit icy eiiian aiteraatives now aiamiseed eG coo costly oF noe feasible: FETE EES oy seusone for,chie asnenmnent sibatey fo exere sovereighty in the curthecence oF our" goat) a Stacefuly sudindady sbitcauificiene htghansdiaa 785" aku reaperetbiiity for any sovereign Burgea, hether defente, governance or developuere. He and such of ELSE Soe ttane heed. egueare aie art only to, EeeFitory for 3 never-ending fvar on gerrort and fOr STTESE)‘otnas‘co"Une ageinae surenundieg borers cio, wma wid comin afghantotense Soph ROLAEEL Sori gteste, nanauliing i fice SESE coteretsge Ms, Sar tnrtok leg es SEEDS SES enh teste gee a 2 SUSEESROe Dea clea e's nigleinna alah wien Eceitae Nstaetouieetents tv uprtif ott grade ed ated Secreta seaside tieisiayrts eopeetenetatnce” Seeedie ENG ee, esata Se ae Deyond arses hinaeif, thers te ao political ruiing clase phatiProridee en overarching national, Pdent ey chet = ErSnofenae Socal affiliaciofe ana: provides. rel sable pireterghip- dven if ve could eralicate pervasive Exteape lop ‘che: Souptey han fay’Entigenmue’scureee of ‘Tau means to, dieeribute onrtices.to ies cit zane. Seetiete porte SuSefe tovae priuel cea sailor capactiy neceae reat Stans, that expeldiea sastarence, Either aiiivary Espsneibititles to the Réghano and drav dovn our preser 2, We overestinate she ability of Afghan security forces Srategy ntnger ose Arghan freee, feng] ly aneunanp. ESR UNO Sa HR ay Khrgal to enbesce hie cole af commader*Invchtef a step he Eeeists, and for hin to comic hia government co zecruleing Staghiner agcatenty es meet gu requivenenes ine Aimy 2 high attrition and low reccolemere Ta rheuns in the sth tect Ha eat ste astettet, Seb agian opt ae PRLEPIN an inevaed! ie ceneiny (2h Ema titi ce ey tee Boi) ane ee Bs a ee Taha gaarts Sk ‘SECTION 02 OF 02 Kapur 3572 only, Epa apes Her 06 esas 000 taba 39721 per conr 3 0F 1 page 3 0F 4 ey Gc ctv tae eran pense: a, face, oats ot ¥ ae Hineteiel igcentives tor soning the a ata MPCTE Ser rumrien, fe, that cove. fonsea are saser:tatte_grabilize ighepietan, ther we. should the benafite to security of making service tn the Adghan eeeurity: forces more Sttractive, rether than relying sore heavily on Foreige, Eeoope: = Thecg 44 a250,the deeper Begnaeed, ated peta getes Bie ehchelte quickie fosoye the Big Bat Gosecase She aelaiey ek o'er febten a Ga ils 'eentortts slaatony ove: nee "they fee foriomeeauty HATO-TGAF ‘troops that will continue to do most cf the Higietny ps, Sake hnaeg”of cle enfunl fee. Rather thay ErISgY/etaiapen ey at inaot ap, the otee’ torn ae the Arghans, ¥ * —a xn atau deperdency., The that once, the efeaxtag’ane EUS tiie ne eee ti aseegtes Brea hee, Bh ee Sespris itunes ts tases “aren tee ie sanity She ieeteh cote Peduce oyernmént, function, any have aever, tad these services, at Sie Say Pec is ESR Gea SEoLGLaE aGee"Bot noc clay Snd/soule eshe' youre ee baila nome: 1k ie sostly U.s. ctvidiane ang p ago, folio bebind cat’ accen isco cleafed, seat, ponatoitiey. in, a ever -widening are srder to feave until the Site se Perla ke sirsraetriircon ea etait igeteq co an Afghan governnent Enat both functions in Sabufoand eeathee Eine ESTER EScal tevel 45, Ie prepared strategy does not, remedy an inadequate chases oPeEeare, "Hee sa te, ches Tas Sagealzactone! EAE commander, getieigacy enor hanpere civiliea srlemtT venous Sed here lly!etava. ote Watoss ea? tlstogiy vith at the she fides Catone etcuse fee aie io nce to gerve se Sapabilities fad elit act ifkeiy to dibaian further with Setert pont atreck wiehdraial cf Boy’ ‘persomel. Seog thet Scorrepe ony sule af Ser snd sccoseEraction ee Sin"gue coat felon <=, one quesciong the nilitary.€ need for coherent conmand Spal Spaehel a Uh then IGRLGS"Rte fet Gone gais"to ee Tong-term opezei in fe whee ene ‘SE the'centeai premiece i ‘fatlyfategtates erate fore. there’ ie no, debace thac"ene'O25s Ge Sn the mitt ‘ie peed to. fepen the Ente thle Wil, tnerease: tbe 0.5" Be: Eighe, tot they. Ieage the iviluan dialogue by deeasie: But the ambiguity ia the Afghan goveraneats ayer ov ty, & (8) ares Mov 06 26145127 2098 (Kabul 3572] PRI Cory 2 OF 1 Fage 4 OF 4 he thority compaasie es ene malieary t (SSR Pee cd ee cre Hels ba ete EXISHat aee SooauaBM,pfopERee sEnategy way not be. cost-effective Benaing adiielonet const belgtate vila Segutre eens of PISIGE, OP doilees eomnaaly for foe scaLied 1, bap enavee. set’ an Seouest thie. gumor {eera 92.5 biliion Ineiease in our budget ‘fo: cevelopne gevezsance tne anaiyand an debated’ ‘nvatent detati, only fo should reviott decieione about our developroat funding cot siaid,PArf#oular, ve shouta weigh yetner a relatively smait adeifsEnal Shveotnent’ in prosrane for development and SECTION 03 OF 93 Kabul 2572 SeceEMenes osld yiend reoutee thes: SE not, as vinibte oe ERE aii ar Gres Flere of cde Titan am Shia eel tha tg su abeh salamat ae gh posed U8 SRST Eire Se'ta & pootefon as’ sone'pount co. caitrotl rarenee EEoop Eeployneheas ay Algeane bonth co oes enelt Liver inpeoving eintche, singi wot Atphop faatasitity oo, longa efe bora Intercece so bege served by a weak neighber- Thefe is, reason ia 'Betteouteged br autietinre tuerent midicary effensive in ligegrietan, Dae chs iascing veosle of vale eftécr ie atiil SonsortOPEti2ee wore Se inwurgency fhe" inourgeney in southern Taliban strongholdey ar the Agqgan! network, che most lethal id ler of aiiied troops and asia Spell" tng npactuasy prebiey fe fait HEEgEeSE ENS Sica tton" seed ag aa Fosed rtes ay be sao es tene Lenny for gee-omrgers top ton coins Se Ee eae eee. LEE Pe TR ae wis ‘Tale seyorardun auanariiee ey concerns about the Soatesinnangey oe SHIP Eeifoutup wien ¢ canted Eeconmendationes. “Pot fons tf eannot support, Excomendation for an Immediate Fresicentiel decision to Geploy another 40,000 treope hexe Madame Seeretacy, I wold ask that you pass thie arsenanene Cocthe White fotae, YF you deem ie Sppeoprince, in advance of the erineipet's Commiccee Props a pe orcrer presuaa PAGE 0 aun 93591 02 OF 02 0916562 ro, RAP (O2) S00H494) S6H101) SRO) see cog) Ponen PRINCTPAL. PIES ONLY for FRIUCIPAL. EYES ONLY for ‘x10: s¥0.00) 0917022 NOV 09 sTe%5 (TOZAL, COPrES:090) eres none 00 Taro 00-28 ceoe:90 2n9-00 (9008 0926262, xov 98 By ARSRBAGSY a, BS REESE URINE ciomotare 2000 SECRET stcrion 61 oF o2 HABUL 003594 opis ARIES £0. 12esa. pect: 11/10/2019 igs. Reow, BDavdcts LookINe BEYCND COUNTERINSURGENCY IN AFGHANISTAN SteTroW 01 OF 03 Kabul 2604 Clataitsed ay: ambassador Karl ¥. Elkenberry, Reaon 1.4 (b) ane (a) ern secretary Mpipeevigus caste addressed conceyns about eshing a, decieien Slotogen on a propaed toumcertowsegeney geestegy that netfee Propose that "the wnite Houes comiaaien a delieerste’ provers ay out the Tange ef strategic options om Afgnaniaten and Rie broadentaa the analyats Beyond wilitery, Ghere are hice purpsoee for doing a0: Ficee, "to nake eure thee we have fested every ensunption Eehin the AtgnansEocused musivaxy councevingugency Bicoedt fo exanine sen-ailts sary aleermaciven oF companion remeioonat etait teen isang sleaze BBS ahsckeg GET lal eesetbeanatng and evpport, Se vebtiae Afanen sad afiied public com tment Hate bach UBSCagts She saab cGeTEAr'peconaa may or Sac P gt Bees Beta aS Teh ig deeiee se” oBaee hE YE EI ga ahloat ole ines tals eutigs ast Becton Vi yiera 08s ak me, FOE Gane Se aS ‘Pgpeeretondoag esTeeery saaiase"and ederondectone. ae Spl bol onpeta tng eee tte tartan eandets eti ce RUSRInESton ph "au oedb tee Soofuatiog'cat'ews tcitene Brondees an tu vider a wider eet Of varitbles before hese gneddreoned varis ee sneluée Pokistan sanctuaries, Yeatcnfghan leaderasip abd governance, Wao cSvii nil itaty Yhtegration. and our haciens: wil" co\Deat eke nunan ard. FRSTESS SESE Bedeel? Ce cee cit nen ae Se sed Pegiany oar oat ate late pe Genie scp atau a asunear togiegrss Both? achieving our strategic goale, regatdless of the nunver of pir oat 2 won Mov 09 32,3813 2009 {Kabul 3584] SRAP COPY 1 OF 4 Dage 2 OF 3 é Sesdietone. trcopa we may send ‘wars gone acgue that ve spe decide on che full-up trope Seplopetee Sow: The'adisteryse Leeg Toad tines Che Sidial ‘decieivences’and seepive are aadaced ar conpell ing Seeebaats angoures the full tloap request ghicklye atstarge ve have. toe ine we noqdeseetatsip toto Sarly next SesToTRS iuteTeshe that time’ to decide On the sight sotese 2s serious on the security picture in Afghanistan {9 today Ze $8, not' eo aize Enet wernt eorantounee or connie Sueneivee fo Gueeping chang fer an, our SIME or eft lan’porturs for extepie’ sigicionm caabae Betgedst foyla be dtetonste for poerdbig’depieynens, and Whdther to sefd then all they ould be areiverg in Ynerensnto, in ary case: Jo mow venolvg, the President could source, that he vas Tenadiacliy’avdaring a snalter Soneiagene ef U.S forces to GGater ANGE Sha Eo" Beceace she porutetion, witie emphasising Tht Eater depleyaents would Be" condseloned on spect fic. ‘aeepe by ene AEgtaK govermmene, sven ao\a conmicnehe anda Bpesilo! Pinel ine. Seghanee aiites and sthors in the eegias sEuletote thie act an indeSiodon, bur rather at eeriousne St pupene! aay Ne Must Take the Tine SICH Shh GEES Pia ig ena ol aie ‘Bore, pecyrity watvever they depioy, for ‘Eepcpnd igang a8 Sb" aso eo ingeebTi tty’ In Atghanioven, intaneféiee, Aico, Fel Be te shay sleeoaa oat Sroatects e'thia Beaty teh Sater eas MAST tesa TCs eh toe Siadshoee ie'ahrace tuats aig helo ty ape! Ruste cf tttletiacltics, barter? Sere tee Sdvange! our Stestegie purpeose, "inoteed chey SEE dig us fn Srna, GE ESTTOL cane oo nore wah roeieng tare: end nts ay Hae ayo gide ath BEAST athe uth geo thar AGE PSO EE ATE UE a Sgerel explicitly rejected the coosnterineurgency® havie secaer eecrzen #2 OF 02 Kabat 2594 ‘Ps pepe gms gmssa peop men eo {RLAaTENE bn SMUSMY Beep ep canes bares, Hse Tee baltaatecs seheeeeees et teas cake rebeeed pictacke nebtcten es site eriniteles ov'erasaite Soctlanes Te tale tee Sere oLTGEEG Sl geeied STMSEUCETES uate teehee we Be eee edasetat ie teen etree emt aioe PeraeetE SersEts ERPee aces ht tara ater ATEN Ee caucts, os fcaet setathe i athar tees iftaten of SPSL Scene ii te ae NI te Aor MyjNon Wor 09 12139133 2609 (Rabu 3594) SRAP COPY 2 OF 4 Fage 3 OF 7 fe freon, siestrg coments, sertverate ot yng carried oot by che end of the year, to decide Bow Best co" vansct™ Secsapish

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