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M PRA

Munich Personal RePEc Archive

A Modern History of Exchange Rate


Arrangements: Chartbook, 1946-2001
Carmen Reinhart
University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Economics

May 2002

Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13192/
MPRA Paper No. 13192, posted 6. February 2009 06:27 UTC

A Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements:


Chartbook, 1946-2001
Carmen M. Reinhart
University of Maryland, NBER and CEPR

-2About the Chronologies and Charts


Below we describe how to use and interpret the country chronologies and accompanying charts.
1. Using the chronologies
The individual country chronologies are also a central component of our approach to classifying
regimes. The data are constructed by culling information from annual issues of various secondary
sources, including Picks Currency Yearbook, Picks World Currency Report, Picks Black Market
Yearbook, International Financial Statistics, the IMFs Annual Report on Exchange Rate Arrangements
and Exchange Restrictions, and the United Nations Yearbook. Constructing our data set required us to
sort and interpret information for every year from every publication above. Importantly, we draw on
national sources to investigate apparent data errors or inconsistencies. More generally, we rely on the
broader economics literature to include pertinent information.
The chronologies allow us to date dual or multiple exchange rate episodes, as well as to
differentiate between pre-announced pegs, crawling pegs, and bands from their de facto counterparts. We
think it is important to distinguish between say, de facto pegs or bands from announced pegs or bands,
because their properties are potentially different. The chronologies also flag the dates for important
turning points, such as when the exchange rate first floated, or when the anchor currency was changed.
Note that we extend our chronologies as far back as possible (even though we can only classify
from 1946 onwards.) The second column gives the arrangement, according to our Natural classification
algorithm, which may or may not correspond to the official classification. In numerous cases there are
dual or multiple rates in some periods. In these circumstances, our classification algorithm relies on the
market-determined, rather than the official exchange rate. Over some periods the discrepancy between
the official and parallel rate proved to be small. In these instances, we leave the notation in the second
column that there are dual rates, but note in the third column that the premia is in single digits. For
periods where the twelve-month monthly inflation exceeded 40 percent, our algorithm automatically
categorizes these as freely falling exchange rate regimesunless there is a pre-announced peg crawling
peg or narrow band that is verified. For the freely falling cases, the second column also notes whether

-3there was a dual market and how our algorithm would categorize the regime absent knowledge of the
inflation rate.
The third column in our chronology gives further sundry information on the regime e.g., the
width of the announced and de facto bands, etc. The third column also includes information about
developments in the parallel market premia and currency reform.
2. About the charts
The top panel of each chart plots the path of the official and market-determined exchange rate for January
1946 through December 1998, depending on data availability. The bottom panel of each chart plots the
parallel market premia (in percent). For the CFA franc zone countries and other North African former
French colonies, there are two sets of chart, one showing the exchange rates versus the US dollar and
another showing the exchange rate versus the French franc. Likewise, for the European countries the first
chart plots the exchange rate versus the US dollar and the second versus the Deutschemark (DM).
Note that, because of the long period covered, especially for the many the countries that have
experienced high or hyperinflation, the top panel of the charts tend to mask the large differences between
the official and market-determined exchange rate. For example, if the period is restricted to 1946-1966 for
the case of Brazil, as illustrated in the top panel of Chart A1, the gap between the official and market
determined rate is quite evident. (We saw this scaling problem in Chart 3 of the text comparing
Argentina to Canada). Even for more moderate inflation cases , such as China and Egypt (middle and
bottom panels) plots over shorter periods tend to be more revealing. Nor is this gap between official and
market-determined rates limited to developing countries. As shown in Chart A2 for France, Japan, and
Portugal for 1946 to 1951, the picture painted by the official and market rates are quite different.

Chart A1. Official Exchange Rates Typically Validate the Changes in The Market Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Official

France: Log of Offical and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1946-December 1951

1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
1946

1947

1948

1949

1950

1951

Japan: Log of Official and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1946-December 1951

7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1946

1947

1948

1949

1950

1951

Portugal: Log of Official and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1946-December 1951
Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-Determined

3.40
3.35
3.30
3.25
3.20
3.15
1946

1947

1948

1949

1950

1951

Sources: Pick and Sedillot (1971), International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report,
various issues.

-5-

Chart A2. Official Exchange Rates Typically Validate the Changes in The Market Rates

-27

Market-Determined

Brazil: Log of Offical and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1946-December 1966

-28
-29
-30
-31
-32
-33
-34
1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

China: Log of Official and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1984-December 1998

3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

Egypt: Log of Official and Market-Determined Exchange Rates:


January 1974-December 1998
Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Official

1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

1994

1998

Sources: Pick and Sedillot (1971), International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report,
various issues.

-6-

Algeria: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate
2

Official rate

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


600
500

Percent

400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

-7-

Algeria: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4
3.5
Log (local currency per F.F.)

3
2.5
2
1.5

Market-determined rate

1
0.5
0

Official rate

-0.5
-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


600
500

Percent

400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

-8-

Argentina: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0
-5
-10
-15
-20

Market-determined rate

-25

Official rate

-30
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


400
350
300

Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

-9-

Australia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0.6

0.4

0.2

Market-determined rate

-0.2

Official rate
-0.4

-0.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


70
60
50

Percent

40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 10 -

Austria: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4.5

Market-determined rate

3.5

Official rate
2.5

2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


800
700
1150
(Nov. 1947)

600

Percent

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 11 -

Austria: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per D.M.)

2.5

Market-determined rate

2.0

1.5

Official rate
1.0

0.5

0.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


150

100

Percent

50

-50

-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 12 -

Belgium: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate

4
3.8

Official rate

3.6
3.4
3.2
3
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 13 -

Belgium: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

3.5

Official rate
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5

Market-determined rate

1.0
0.5
0.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 14 -

Benin: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 15 -

Benin: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 16 -

Bolivia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-5

-10

Market-determined rate

-15

Official rate

-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000

800

2023
(Aug. 1985)

6482
(Oct. 1956)

Percent

600

400

200

-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 17 -

Botswana: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.5

Market-determined rate
1

0.5

Official rate

-0.5

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


35
30
25

Percent

20
15
10
5
0
-5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 18 -

Brazil: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25

Market-determined rate

-30

Official rate

-35
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


400
350
300

Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 19 -

Burkina Faso: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 20 -

Burkina Faso: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 21 -

Burundi: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
7

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5
6

Market-determined rate
5.5
5
4.5

Official rate

4
3.5
3
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


80
70
60

Percent

50
40
30
20
10
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 22 -

Canada: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0.4
0.3
0.2

Market-determined rate

0.1
0

Official rate

-0.1
-0.2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


14
12
10
8
Percent

6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 23 -

Central African Republic: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 24 -

Central African Republic: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 25 -

Chad: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 26 -

Chad: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate

4
3.8

Official rate

3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 27 -

Chile: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
8

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6
4
2
0
-2
-4

Market-determined rate

-6
-8

Official rate

-10
-12
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


800
700
5312
(Aug. 1973)

600

Percent

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 28 -

China: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
3.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate
2.5
2
1.5
1

Official rate

0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


900
800
700
600
Percent

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 29 -

Colombia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
8

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7
6
5
4

Market-determined rate
3
2

Official rate

1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


200

150

Percent

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 30 -

Congo, Dem. Rep. Of: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
15

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

10
5
0
-5
-10

Market-determined rate

-15
-20
-25

Official rate

-30
-35
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


70000000
60000000

Percent

50000000
40000000
30000000
20000000
10000000
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 31 -

Congo (Republic of): Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 32 -

Congo (Republic of): Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4
3.8

Official rate

3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 33 -

Costa Rica: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate
2

Official rate
1

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 34 -

Cote D'Ivoire: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 35 -

Cote D'Ivoire: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 36 -

Cyprus: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-0.2
-0.4

Market-determined rate

-0.6
-0.8
-1

Official rate

-1.2
-1.4
-1.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40

30

Percent

20

10

-10

-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 37 -

Denmark: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
2.6

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.4

Market-determined rate

2.2
2
1.8

Official rate

1.6
1.4
1.2
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 38 -

Denmark: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
2.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.5

Official rate

1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0

Market-determined rate

-1.5
-2.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 39 -

Dominican Republic: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
3.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3
2.5
2
1.5
1

Market-determined rate
0.5

Official rate

0
-0.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250

200

Percent

150

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 40 -

Ecuador: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
10

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

9
8
7
6
5
4

Market-determined rate

Official rate
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


160
140
120

Percent

100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 41 -

Egypt: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate

0.5
0
-0.5
-1

Official rate

-1.5
-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


400
350
300

Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 42 -

El Salvador: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

1.5

Market-determined rate
1

Official rate
0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


500
450
400
350
Percent

300
250
200
150
100
50
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 43 -

Finland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined rate
1.5

Official rate
0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


350
300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 44 -

Finland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1.5

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.0
0.5

Market-determined rate
0.0
-0.5
-1.0

Official rate

-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


200
150

Percent

100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 45 -

France: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined rate
1.5

Official rate

0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250

200

Percent

150

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 46 -

France: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1.5
1.0
Log (local currency per D.M.)

Official rate
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5

Market-determined rate

-2.0
-2.5
-3.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


60
40
20

Percent

0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 47 -

Gabon: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 48 -

Gabon: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 49 -

Gambia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate

2.5

1.5

Official rate

0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


50
40
30

Percent

20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 50 -

Germany: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5
3

Market-determined rate

2.5
2
1.5
1

Official rate
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


3500
3000
2500

Percent

2000
1500
1000
500
0
-500
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 51 -

Ghana: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

10

Market-determined rate
Official rate

-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000

800

4264
(Nov. 1982)

Percent

600

400

200

-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 52 -

Greece: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
7

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6
5
4

Market-determined rate

Official rate

2
1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 53 -

Greece: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
6.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

Official rate

-1.0

Market-determined rate

-2.0
-3.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250
200
150

Percent

100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 54 -

Guatemala: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined rate
1.5

0.5

Official rate

-0.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


450
400
350
300
Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 55 -

Guinea: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
8

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7
6

Market-determined rate

5
4
3

Official rate
2
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1600
1400
1200

Percent

1000
800
600
400
200
0
-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 56 -

Guinea Bissau: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate

6.45

6.4

6.35

Official rate

6.3

6.25

6.2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


5
4

Percent

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 57 -

Guinea Bissau: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.625

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.62

Market-determined rate

4.615
4.61
4.605
4.6

Official rate

4.595
4.59
4.585
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


2

1.5

Percent

0.5

-0.5

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 58 -

Guyana: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1200

1000

Percent

800

600

400

200

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 59 -

Haiti: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5

Market-determined rate
3

2.5

1.5

Official rate
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


350
300

Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 60 -

Honduras: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined rate

1.5

Official rate

0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


160
140
120

Percent

100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 61 -

Hong Kong, SAR: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.2

Market-determined rate

1.8

1.6

1.4

Official rate
1.2

1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


90
80
70
60

Percent

50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 62 -

Iceland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3
2

Market-determined rate

1
0
-1
-2

Official rate

-3
-4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


350
300
250
200
Percent

150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 63 -

Iceland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0

Market-determined rate

-2.0
-3.0

Official rate

-4.0
-5.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


200
150

Percent

100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 64 -

India: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5
3
2.5

Market-determined rate

2
1.5

Official rate
1
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


160
140
120

Percent

100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 65 -

Indonesia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
12

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

10
8
6
4

Market-determined rate

2
0
-2
-4

Official rate

-6
-8
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


2000

1500

11100
(Nov. 1965)

Percent

1000

500

-500
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 66 -

Iran: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
10

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

9
8

Market-determined rate

7
6
5
4

Official rate

3
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


2000

3689
(Jun. 1991)

1500

Percent

1000

500

-500
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 67 -

Iraq: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

10

Market-determined rate

Official rate

-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000000

800000

Percent

600000

400000

200000

-200000
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 68 -

Ireland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0.2

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6

Market-determined rate

-0.8
-1

Official rate

-1.2
-1.4
-1.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100
80

Percent

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 69 -

Ireland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

-0.5
-1.0

Official rate

-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
-3.0
-3.5

Market-determined rate

-4.0
-4.5
-5.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


60
40
20

Percent

0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 70 -

Israel: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2
0
-2
-4
-6

Market-determined rate
-8
-10

Official rate

-12
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


800
700
600

Percent

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 71 -

Italy: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7.5

Market-determined rate
6.5

Official rate
6

5.5

5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


50
40
30
20

Percent

10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 72 -

Italy: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
8.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

7.0

Official rate
6.0

5.0

4.0

Market-determined rate

3.0

2.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 73 -

Jamaica: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5

Market-determined rate

1
0.5
0
-0.5

Official rate

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


160
140
120

Percent

100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 74 -

Japan: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
7

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate

6
5.5
5
4.5
4

Official rate

3.5
3
2.5
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


500
1300
(Aug. 1946)

400

Percent

300

200

100

-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 75 -

Jordan: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8

Market-determined rate
-1

Official rate

-1.2
-1.4
-1.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


60
50

Percent

40
30
20
10
0
-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 76 -

Kenya: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4.5
4
3.5

Market-determined rate
3
2.5
2

Official rate

1.5
1
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 77 -

Korea: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
10

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate

6
4
2
0
-2

Official rate
-4
-6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000

800

2400
(Jan. 1947)

Percent

600

400

200

-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 78 -

Kuwait: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-0.8

-0.9

Market-determined rate
Official rate

-1

-1.1

-1.2

-1.3

-1.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


30
25
20

Percent

15
10
5
0
-5
-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 79 -

Lao Peo. Dem. Of: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
10

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

8
6

Official rate
4
2
0
-2

Market-determined rate

-4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1200
1000

Percent

800
600
400
200
0
-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 80 -

Lebanon: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
9

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined rate

7
6
5
4
3
2
1

Official rate

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


140
120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International Currency
Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 81 -

Liberia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3.5

Market-determined

3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5

Official

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000
900
4750
(Dec. 1996)

800
700
Percent

600
500
400
300
200
100
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 82 -

Libya: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.5
1

Market-determined

0.5
0
-0.5
-1

Official

-1.5
-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000
900
800
700
Percent

600
500
400
300
200
100
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 83 -

Madagascar: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

10
9

Market-determined

8
7
6
5

Official

4
3
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


80

60

Percent

40

20

-20

-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 84 -

Malawi: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5

Market-determined

1
0.5
0
-0.5

Official

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


140
120
100
80
Percent

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 85 -

Malaysia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.8

1.6

1.4

Market-determined
1.2

Official

0.8

0.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 86 -

Mali: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
6.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.45

Market-determined rate

6.4
6.35
6.3
6.25

Official rate

6.2
6.15
6.1
6.05
6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


12
10
8

Percent

6
4
2
0
-2
-4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 87 -

Mali: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.72

Market-determined rate

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.7
4.68
4.66
4.64
4.62

Official rate

4.6
4.58
4.56
4.54
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


10

Percent

-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 88 -

Malta: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-0.4

-0.6

Market-determined

-0.8

-1

Official
-1.2

-1.4

-1.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


12
10
8
6

Percent

4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 89 -

Mauritania: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
6

Market-determined

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5

Official

3
2.5
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 90 -

Mauritius: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5

Market-determined
3

2.5

1.5

Official

1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 91 -

Mexico: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
3

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined

1
0
-1
-2

Official
-3
-4
-5
-6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100
80

Percent

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International Currency
Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 92 -

Morocco: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined

1.5

Official

0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
35
30
25
Percent

20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 93 -

Morocco: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0.7
0.6
Log (local currency per F.F.)

0.5

Market-determined rate

0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1

Official rate

-0.2
-0.3
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


50
40

Percent

30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 94 -

Myanmar: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined
4

Official

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


3000
4716
(Jul. 1997)

2500

Percent

2000

1500

1000

500

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 95 -

Nepal: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4.5
4
3.5

Market-determined
3
2.5
2

Official
1.5
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


100
80

Percent

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 96 -

Netherlands: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5

Market-determined
1.5

Official
0.5

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


200

150

Percent

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 97 -

Netherlands: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1.5

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.0

Official rate

0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5

Market-determined rate

-2.0
-2.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 98 -

New Zealand: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

0.8
0.6

Market-determined

0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4

Official

-0.6
-0.8
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


80
60
40

Percent

20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 99 -

Nicaragua: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-5

-10

-15

Market-determined

-20

Official

-25
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1000

800

71329
(Jan. 1988)

Percent

600

400

200

-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 100 -

Niger: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 101 -

Niger: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4
3.8

Official rate

3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 102 -

Nigeria: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined

Official
-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


500
450
400
350
Percent

300
250
200
150
100
50
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 103 -

Norway: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.4

Market-determined

2.2
2
1.8

Official
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


100

80

Percent

60

40

20

-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 104 -

Norway: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
2.0

Official rate

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0

Market-determined rate
-1.5
-2.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 105 -

Pakistan: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3.5
3
2.5

Market-determined

2
1.5

Official
1
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250

200

Percent

150

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 106 -

Paraguay: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
9

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

8
7
6

Market-determined

Official

4
3
2
1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


600
500

Percent

400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 107 -

Peru: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-5

-10

Market-determined

-15

Official
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


400
350
1067
(Aug. 1988)

300

Percent

250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 108 -

Philippines: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3.5
3
2.5
2

Market-determined

1.5
1

Official
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


140
120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 109 -

Portugal: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

5.5
5
4.5

Market-determined
4
3.5

Official
3
2.5
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


80
70
60
50
Percent

40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 110 -

Portugal: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

4.0

Official rate
3.0

2.0

1.0

Market-determined rate

0.0

-1.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


80
60
40
20
Percent

0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 111 -

Saudi Arabia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.7

Market-determined

1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3

Official

1.2
1.1
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


35
30
25

Percent

20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 112 -

Senegal: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 113 -

Senegal: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 114 -

Singapore: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.2

Official

Market-determined
0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


8
6
4

Percent

2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 115 -

South Africa: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.5
2
1.5

Market-determined

1
0.5
0
-0.5

Official

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


70
60
50

Percent

40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 116 -

Spain: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

5.5
5
4.5

Market-determined
4
3.5

Official

3
2.5
2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


160
140
120

Percent

100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 117 -

Spain: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
5.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

4.0

Official rate

3.0

2.0

1.0

Market-determined rate

0.0

-1.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


60
40
20

Percent

0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 118 -

Sri Lanka: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4
3.5

Market-determined

3
2.5
2
1.5

Official
1
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250

200

Percent

150

100

50

-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 119 -

Suriname Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7
6
5
4

Market-determined
3
2

Official

1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1500
8583
(Apr. 1994)

1300
1100

Percent

900
700
500
300
100
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 120 -

Swaziland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.5

Market-determined

0.5

Official
0

-0.5

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


50
40

Percent

30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 121 -

Sweden : Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2.4
2.2
2

Market-determined

1.8
1.6
1.4

Official

1.2
1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


70
60
50

Percent

40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 122 -

Sweden: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
2.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.5

Official rate

1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0

Market-determined rate

-1.5
-2.0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 123 -

Switzerland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
1.6

Official

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

1.4

Market-determined

1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
30

Percent

20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 124 -

Switzerland: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
2.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

1.5
1.0

Official rate

0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5

Market-determined rate

-2.0
-2.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


40
20
0

Percent

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 125 -

Syrian Arab Republic: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.5

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5

Official

1
0.5
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1200
1000

Percent

800
600
400
200
0
-200
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 126 -

Tanzania: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7
6
5
4

Market-determined

3
2

Official

1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


800
700
600

Percent

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 127 -

Thailand: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

4.5

3.5

Market-determined
3

Official

2.5

2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


140
120
100

Percent

80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 128 -

Togo: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

6.5

Market-determined rate
6

5.5

Official rate
5

4.5

4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


15

10

Percent

-5

-10
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 129 -

Togo: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4.8

Log (local currency per F.F.)

4.6
4.4
4.2

Market-determined rate
4

Official rate

3.8
3.6
3.4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20
15
10

Percent

5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 130 -

Tunisia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined

0.5
0
-0.5
-1

Official

-1.5
-2
-2.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 131 -

Tunisia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0

Log (local currency per F.F.)

-0.5

Market-determined rate

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

Official rate
-3
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 132 -

Turkey: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

14
12
10
8
6
4

Market-determined

Official

0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


600
500

Percent

400
300
200
100
0
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 133 -

Uganda: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

Market-determined

-2

Official
-4
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


1400
2110
(May 1981)

1200

Percent

1000
800
600
400
200
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 134 -

United Kingdom: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

-0.2
-0.4
-0.6

Market-determined

-0.8
-1

Official

-1.2
-1.4
-1.6
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


120
100
80

Percent

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 135 -

United Kingdom: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
0.0

Log (local currency per D.M.)

-0.5
-1.0

Official rate

-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
-3.0
-3.5

Market-determined rate

-4.0
-4.5
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

78

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


20

Percent

-20

-40

-60

-80

-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and


Exchange Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971),
International Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

98

- 136 -

Uruguay: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

2
0
-2
-4
-6

Market-determined

-8

Official

-10
-12
-14
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


250
200

Percent

150
100
50
0
-50
-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 137 -

Venezuela: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

7
6
5
4

Market-determined
3
2

Official

1
0
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


350
300
250

Percent

200
150
100
50
0
-50
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 138 -

Zambia: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
9

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

8
7
6

Market-determined

5
4
3
2

Official

1
0
-1
-2
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


500

400

1221
(Jun. 1989)

Percent

300

200

100

-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

- 139 -

Zimbabwe: Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates


and the Parallel Market Premium:
January 1946 - December 1998
Official and Market-determined Exchange Rates
4

Log (local currency per U.S. dollar)

3.5
3
2.5
2

Market-determined

1.5
1
0.5
0
-0.5

Official

-1
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

90

94

98

82

86

90

94

98

Parallel Market Premium


500

400

Percent

300

200

100

-100
46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

Sources: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange
Restrictions and International Financial Statistics , Pick and Sedillot (1971), International
Currency Analysis, World Currency Report , various issues.

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