Semana

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

PMS (N)
SES (alfa)
Semana
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Habitaciones ocupadas
16
15
17
9
11
15
8
17
14
15
10
11

PMS N=3

16
14
12
12
11
13
13
15
13
12

SES a=0.1
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14

3
0.1
Habitaciones ocupadas
16
15
17
9
11
15
8
17
14
15
10
11

VALOR SIN
160,000
150,000
170,000
90,000
110,000
150,000
80,000
170,000
140,000
150,000
100,000
110,000

PMS N=3

160,000
136,667
123,333
116,667
113,333
133,333
130,000
153,333
130,000
120,000

Habitaciones ocupadas

18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0

VALOR CON
104,000
97,500
110,500
58,500
71,500
97,500
52,000
110,500
91,000
97,500
65,000
71,500

PMS N=3

104,000
88,833
80,167
75,833
73,667
86,667
84,500
99,667
84,500
78,000

10

12

14

padas

14

x
Mes
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Numero de capsulas vendidas

16
72
40
88
200
360
256
264
368
400
536
576

Regresion

Pend (m)
Inter (b)

6.27
(7.67)

SED

Afa
Beta

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

0.2
0.1

y
Mes
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Numero de cajas a comprar

2
9
5
11
25
45
32
33
46
50
67
72

8
9
10
11
12

8
9
10
11
12

y
Numero de cajas a comprar
2
9
5
11
25
45
32
33
46
50
67
72

Numero de capsulas vendidas

16
72
40
88
200
360
256
264
368
400
536
576

Rl
(1)
5
11
17
24
30
36
42
49
55
61
68

St
(7.67)
(0.72)
6.30
11.16
16.13
22.80
32.18
37.34
41.57
47.37
52.79
60.47
67.74

4,500
18,000
4,800
4,800
4,500
67,500
3,200
7,200
2,400
4,000
27,000
18,000
165,900

Gt

CANT CAJAS PROVEEDOR

2
9
16
23
30
37
44
51
58
65
72
79

Ft
6.27
6.34
6.40
6.25
6.12
6.18
6.50
6.36
6.15
6.12
6.05
6.21
6.32

-1.40
5.62
12.70
17.41
22.25
28.98
38.68
43.71
47.72
53.49
58.84
66.68
74.06
80.38
86.69
93.01
99.32
105.64
111.95

118.27
124.58
130.90
137.22
143.53

8,800
9,600
4,000
36,000
9,600
14,400
9,600
12,000
4,000
5,600
113,600

Chart Title
80
70
f(x) = 6.2692307692x - 7.6666666667
60
50
Numero de
cajas a
comprar

40
30
20
10
0
0

10

12

14

mero de
sa
mprar