MTODO GRFICO

Ao
1940
1961
1972
1981
1993
2007
2025

Poblacin
(Miles)
192.9
342.4
514.6
674.4
920.8
1112.9
1400

1500

1000
Miles de habitaltes
500

0
1925

1945

1965
Aos

MTODO DE CRECIMIENTO ARITMTICO

Poblacin
Ao
(Miles)
1940
192.9
1961
342.4
1972
514.6
1981
674.4
1993
920.8
2007
1112.9
2025
1360.1

Po =
t=
Ka=
Pt =

192.9
85
13.7
1360.1

ln(Po) =
t=
Kp=
ln(Pt) =
Pt =

5.26
85
0.026
7.5
1782.1

MTODO DE CRECIMIENTO GEOMTRICO

Ao
1940
1961
1972
1981
1993
2007
2025

Com

Poblacin
(Miles)
192.9
342.4
514.6
674.4
920.8
1112.9
1782.1

COMPARACIN DE MTODOS
Poblacin
Mtodo
(miles)
Grfico
1450.0
Aritmtico
1360.1
Geomtrico
1782.1
Estimado INEI
1354.0

1985

1500

1000

tes
500

0
1925

1945

1965
Aos

Miles
aos
Miles

aos

Miles

1985

2005

2025