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TO:
BILLBEAGLEFORCONGRESSCAMPAIGNTEAM
FROM:
NEILNEWHOUSE&ROBERTBLIZZARDPUBLICOPINIONSTRATEGIES
DATE:
FEBRUARY10,2016
RE:
RECENTOHCD8GOPPRIMARYPOLLINGRESULTS
Asyouknow,PublicOpinionStrategiesconductedasurveyof300likelyRepublicanprimaryvoters
(marginoferror+5.66%)inOhios8thCongressionalDistrict,February89,2016.
KEYFINDINGS
BillBeaglehasasolidleadintheGOPprimaryracetosucceedformerSpeakerJohnBoehner.
WithaboutamonthtogountiltheRepublicanprimary,conservativeOhioSenatorBillBeagle
hasmorethantwicethesupportofhisclosestcompetitor.
BillBeagle
WarrenDavidson
TimDerickson
J.D.Winteregg
11OtherCandidates
February89,2016
20%
8%
8%
7%
2%orlower
Further,Beagleleadsthefieldacrossideology(amongbothveryconservativeandmore
moderatevoters),acrossstrengthofpartisanship(amongbothstrongGOPersandsofter
ones),andacrossallagecohorts.
Further,BeaglehasthestrongestnameIDintheGOPprimaryrace.
BeaglesnameIDinthedistrictis31%favorable6%unfavorable,bestinghisclosestcompetitors
likeDerickson(14%2%),Winteregg(13%6%),andDavidson(13%2%).Giventhecrowded
field,thiscertainlygivesSenatorBeaglealegupintheGOPrace.
BOTTOMLINE
Thesepollresultsareveryclear:BillBeagleiswellpositionedtowintheGOPprimaryelection.Beagles
verystrongimageandpositionontheballotmakehimaveryformidablechallengetoanypotentialrival
inthiscrowdedfield.
But,withnearlyhalfoftheGOPelectorateundecided,thisracewilllikelybefluidandvolatileoverthe
courseofthenextmonth.AslongasBeaglehassufficientfinancialresourcestocompetewithhis
opponentsandcommunicateswithvotersabouthimself,hispolicypositionsandwhyhesrunning,
thereislittlequestionthathecanbecometheGOPnomineeforCongress.