TO:

Kansans for Huelskamp

FROM:

Kellyanne Conway, President & CEO

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend

DATE:

March 11, 2016

RE:

Dual-Frame (20% Cell) Survey among GOP Primary LVs in KS-1

Congressman Tim Huelskamp is well-positioned in the Republican primary for

Kansas First Congressional District. Voters believe Congressman Huelskamp
deserves re-election and applaud his record of standing up for the conservative
principles that he promised to uphold in Washington.

A 65%-majority of GOP Primary voters approve of the job that Huelskamp is

doing representing the First District in Congress (vs. just 23% disapprove).
Republican voters appreciate the fact that Congressman Huelskamp has held
the line against new taxes and fought against wasteful spending.

In the head-to-head ballot test, an overwhelming 61% of GOP Primary voters

back Huelskamp, significantly outpacing his opponents Roger Marshall (11%)
and Alan LaPolice (6%). Huelskamp receives an even larger vote share (64%)
among the agricultural community.

Congressman Huelskamp begins the race with a strong foundation of support

among his partisans, and has a 3:1 positive image recognition: 61% favorable,
20% unfavorable.

Despite launching his campaign in February 2015 and spending hundreds of

thousands of dollars since then, 72% of first district voters have never heard
of Roger Marshall (an additional 12% say they have heard of, no opinion).
METHODOLOGY

Dual-frame survey among 500 Likely GOP Primary Voters in Kansas First U.S. Congressional
District, conducted February 28-March 1, 2016.
o 80% Landlines / 20% Cell Phones
Surveys conducted using live callers at a Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI)
facility.
Respondents were selected randomly from lists of registered voters provided by i360. Two
independent non-overlapping sample frames were drawn, one for landlines and one for cell
phones.
Sampling controls were used to ensure that a proportional and representative number of voters
were interviewed from such demographic groups as age, gender, and geographic region. Data
were not weighted.
4.4% overall margin of error at the 95% confidence interval for the overall sample of GOP
Primary LVs in KS-1. M.O.E.s for subgroups are larger.

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Kansas for Huelskamp

Dual-Frame (20% Cell) Survey among 500 GOP Primary LVs in KS-1 Executive Summary
March 2016