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A2
A3
Kinew
Gordon
Bokhari
Undecided 20%
Green 6%
Liberal 26%
PC 24%
NDP 24%
Sharp
Undecided
A4
18-34
27%
35-49
21%
50-64
24%
65+
23%
Male
21%
Female
26%
10
18%
28%
25%
22%
25%
7% 15%
21%
30%
7% 19%
26%
18%
30
6% 25%
30%
31%
20
5% 21%
8%
26%
40
14%
26%
50
60
70
80
90
100
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
Male
Female
Kinew
27%
21%
24%
23%
21%
26%
Gordon
18%
25%
25%
31%
30%
18%
Bokhari
28%
22%
30%
21%
26%
26%
Sharp
5%
6%
7%
7%
8%
4%
PC
Undecided
21%
25%
15%
19%
14%
26%
Sample
107
97
87
115
199
207
A5
15%
12%
50%
16%
7%
NDP
PC
Liberal
Green
Undecided
A6
30
25
20
15
10
Decided Only
Kinew
Gordon
Bokhari
Sharp
9%
32%
29%
30%
8%
32%
30%
30%
A7
18-34
35%
35-49
30%
50-64
26%
65+
27%
Male
24%
Female
36%
10
21%
37%
30%
7%
30%
30%
35%
9%
41%
23%
36%
30
8%
31%
23%
20
10%
40
9%
34%
50
60
8%
70
80
90
100
18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
Male
Female
Kinew
35%
30%
26%
27%
24%
36%
Gordon
21%
30%
30%
41%
36%
23%
Bokhari
37%
30%
35%
23%
31%
34%
Sharp
7%
10%
9%
8%
9%
8%
PC
Sample
97
88
79
102
187
179
A8
SCRIPT
If a provincial election were held today which candidate would you support?
Wab Kinew of the NDP led by Greg Selinger
Audrey Gordon of the PC Party led by Brian Pallister
Liberal Leader Rana Bokhari
Grant Sharp of the Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
And which party are you leaning towards voting for?
NDP led by Greg Selinger
Progressive Conservative Party led by Brian Pallister
Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari
Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
ONLY WE
CALLED
THE
LIBERAL
MAJORITY.
I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because its an interview
with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a week
before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,
in deance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation
for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign. - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet Research | 1322255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.
WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER
@MainStResearch
FACEBOOK
fb.com/mainstresearch