Miami-Dade County Local Issues Poll:

Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters May 2016

5/9/2016

METHODOLOGY:
SAMPLE
NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS
LANGUAGES
DATES
MARGIN OF ERROR

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY REGISTERED VOTERS

600 COMPLETED INTERVIEWS
ENGLISH, SPANISH
MAY 1-4, 2016
+/- 3.99 PERCENTAGE POINTS

2016 MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

MAYORAL ELECTION

Raquel
Regalado
Click
to edit
Master title style

16%

6% 10%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

34%

19%

15%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

44%

Do not recognize

6%

No answer
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

30%

35%

40%

45%

Raquel
Regalado
Click
to edit
Master title style
BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Favorable

43%

24%

20%

Unfavorable

16%

18%

15%

Do not recognize

38%

47%

56%

Dont know/No answer

3%

11%

9%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Raquel
Regalado
Click
to edit
Master title style
BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
English

Spanish

Favorable

25%

50%

Unfavorable

15%

18%

Do not recognize

52%

29%

Dont know/No answer

8%

3%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Carlos
Gimenez
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to edit
Master title style

25%

15%

10%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

45%

30%

15%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

22%

Do not recognize

8%

No answer
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

30%

35%

40%

45%

Carlos
Gimenez
Click
to edit
Master title style
BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Favorable

49%

42%

37%

Unfavorable

24%

26%

29%

Do not recognize

20%

24%

23%

Dont know/No answer

7%

8%

11%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Carlos
Gimenez
Click
to edit
Master title style
BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
English

Spanish

Favorable

41%

52%

Unfavorable

26%

24%

Do not recognize

25%

15%

Dont know/No answer

8%

9%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

How would you rate the job that Carlos Gimenez is doing as
Click
toMiami-Dade
edit Master
Mayor of
County?title style

46%

38%

8%

Favorable

14%

29%

Unfavorable

43%

11%

Don't know/No answer

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

35%

40%

45%

50%

10

How would you rate the job that Carlos Gimenez is doing as
Click
toMiami-Dade
edit Master
Mayor of
County?title style

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Favorable

49%

40%

48%

Unfavorable

40%

47%

40%

Dont know/No answer

11%

13%

12%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

11

How would you rate the job that Carlos Gimenez is doing as
Click
toMiami-Dade
edit Master
Mayor of
County?title style

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Favorable

51%

41%

36%

Unfavorable

39%

45%

51%

Dont know/No answer

10%

14%

13%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

12

How would you rate the job that Carlos Gimenez is doing as
Click
toMiami-Dade
edit Master
Mayor of
County?title style

BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
English

Spanish

Favorable

42%

53%

Unfavorable

44%

39%

Dont know/No answer

14%

8%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

13

MAYORAL
HORSERACE

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

35%

33%

35%
30%

23%

25%
20%
15%
10%

3%
5%

2%

2%

Robert Burke

Benjamin John
Chiszar

1%

1%

0%
Carlos Gimenez

Raquel
Regalado

Williams
Armbrister Sr

Miguel
Eizmendiz

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Alfred
Santamaria

Undecided

15

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

LIKELY VOTERS
36%
40%
35%

31%

26%

30%

25%
20%
15%
10%

3%

5%

2%

1%

0%

1%

0%
Carlos Gimenez

Raquel
Regalado

William
Armbrister Sr

Robert Burke

Benjamin John
Chiszar

Miguel
Eizmendiz

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Alfred
Santamaria

Undecided

16

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

CUBANS
40%

37%

38%

35%
30%

23%

25%

20%
15%
10%

1%

5%

0%

0%

Robert Burke

Benjamin John
Chiszar

0%

1%

0%
Carlos Gimenez

Raquel
Regalado

William
Armbrister Sr

Miguel
Eizmendiz

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Alfred
Santamaria

Undecided

17

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Carlos Gimenez

40%

32%

35%

Raquel Regalado

27%

22%

22%

William Armbrister Sr.

1%

5%

2%

Robert Burke

2%

2%

Benjamin John Chiszar

3%

1%

Miguel Eizmendiz

2%

Alfred Santamara

2%

1%

30%

36%

35%

Undecided

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

18

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Carlos Gimenez

36%

47%

20%

Raquel Regalado

32%

11%

12%

William Armbrister Sr.

2%

2%

6%

2%

5%

Benjamin John Chiszar

1%

2%

3%

Miguel Eizmendiz

1%

Alfred Santamara

2%

26%

36%

54%

Robert Burke

Undecided

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

19

In August of 2016 there will be an election to choose the next Mayor of

Miami-Dade County. If the election for Mayor of Miami-Dade County was
held today whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY GENDER
Male

Female

Carlos Gimenez

45%

27%

Raquel Regalado

20%

26%

William Armbrister Sr.

2%

4%

Robert Burke

3%

1%

Benjamin John Chiszar

2%

1%

Miguel Eizmendiz

2%

Alfred Santamara

1%

1%

25%

40%

Undecided

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

20

The Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative will

appear on the November 8, 2016 ballot in the state of
Florida as a constitutional amendment. Upon voter
approval, the measure would allow the medical use of
marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical
conditions as determined by a licensed Florida Physician.

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit

Click
to edit
title
style
the medical
use Master
of marijuana
within
the State of Florida?
3%

36%

61%

Support
Oppose
Undecided

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

22

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit the medical
Click
to editwithin
Master
title
style
use of marijuana
the State
of Florida?

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Support

48%

70%

61%

Oppose

49%

28%

34%

Undecided

3%

2%

5%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

23

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit the medical
Click
to editwithin
Master
title
style
use of marijuana
the State
of Florida?

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Support

55%

70%

65%

Oppose

41%

26%

33%

Undecided

4%

4%

2%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

24

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit the medical
Click
to editwithin
Master
title
style
use of marijuana
the State
of Florida?

BY AGE
18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

Support

75%

60%

61%

49%

Oppose

25%

35%

35%

47%

5%

4%

4%

Undecided

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

25

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit the medical
Click
to editwithin
Master
title
style
use of marijuana
the State
of Florida?

BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
English

Spanish

Support

66%

50%

Oppose

31%

46%

Undecided

3%

4%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

26

Do you support or oppose the amendment that would permit the medical
Click
to editwithin
Master
title
style
use of marijuana
the State
of Florida?

BY GENDER
Male

Female

Support

68%

55%

Oppose

31%

40%

Undecided

1%

5%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

27

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

52%

Hillary Clinton

25%

Donald Trump

23%

Undecided

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

50%

60%

29

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Hillary Clinton

20%

79%

49%

Donald Trump

48%

6%

28%

Undecided

32%

15%

23%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

30

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

Anglo

African American

Hillary Clinton

41%

59%

76%

Donald Trump

33%

27%

3%

Undecided

26%

14%

21%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

31

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

CUBANS
29%

Hillary Clinton

41%

Donald Trump

30%

Undecided

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

35%

40%

45%

32

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY AGE
18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

Hillary Clinton

72%

61%

42%

41%

Donald Trump

5%

24%

30%

36%

Undecided

23%

15%

28%

23%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

33

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW

English

Spanish

Hillary Clinton

61%

36%

Donald Trump

19%

36%

Undecided

20%

28%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

34

If the 2016 presidential election to elect the next President of the United States were
held today and the candidates were the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Republican
Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Click to edit Master title style

BY GENDER
Male

Female

Hillary Clinton

47%

57%

Donald Trump

33%

19%

Undecided

20%

24%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

35

If no candidate enters the Republican National Convention with the 1,237 delegates necessary
to secure the nomination on the first ballot, should the person with the most delegates receive
the nomination or should the convention delegates choose whomever they wish?

Click to edit Master title style

Asked of Republicans Only

48%

Most delegates 'wins'

41%

Delegates should choose

11%

No answer

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

35%

40%

45%

50%

36

DEMOGRAPHICS

Age

Click to edit Master title style

30%
25%

25%

25%

30%

20%

20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

18-34

35-49

50-64

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

65+

38

In what
country
weretitle
youstyle
born?
Click
to edit
Master
45%
45%
40%
35%
30%

24%

25%
20%
15%
10%

11%
5%

4%

5%

3%

2%

6%

0%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

39

In what country were most of your parents and grandparents born?

Click
to edit Master title style
Asked only of those who were born in the United States
57%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%

15%

14%
4%

4%

4%

1%

1%

0%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

40

Gender

Click to edit Master title style

56%

44%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Male

Female

41

Language
of Interview
Click
to edit Master
title style
35%

65%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

English

Spanish

42

Ethnicity
Click
to edit Master title style
22%
22%

56%

Hispanic
White-Anglo
African American

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

43

Party
Click
to edit Master title style
28%

31%

41%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Democrat
Republican
Independent

44

For more information, contact:

Fernand Amandi
Principal
(305) 529-9916
famandi@bendixenonline.com

Miami-Dade County Local Issues Poll:

Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters May 2016
5/9/2016

45