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Illinois HD 115 Survey Results

Q1 How would you rate Governor Bruce Rauners


job performance: good, bad, or are you
neutral?
Good............................................................ 27%
Bad .............................................................. 50%
Neutral ......................................................... 21%
Not sure ....................................................... 2%

Q2 If the election for State Representative were


held today, would you vote to re-elect
Republican Representative Terri Bryant, or do
you think its time for someone new?
Vote to re-elect Representative Terri Bryant .. 45%
Its time for someone new ............................. 44%
Not sure ....................................................... 11%

Q3 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Terri Bryant if you knew she
was supported by Governor Bruce Rauner, or
would it not make a difference?

Q5 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Terri Bryant if you knew she
voted to cut $200 million in funding for
services that help frail senior citizens stay
independent and prevent them from going to
nursing homes that cost taxpayers more, or
would it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 20%
Less likely..................................................... 50%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 24%
Not sure ....................................................... 6%

Q6 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Terri Bryant if you knew she
supported cuts to a childcare program that
keeps children safe and enables parents to
work and pay taxes, rather than rely on
government assistance, or would it not make a
difference?
More likely .................................................... 30%

More likely .................................................... 17%

Less likely..................................................... 47%

Less likely..................................................... 40%

Wouldn't make a difference........................... 20%

Wouldn't make a difference........................... 39%

Not sure ....................................................... 3%

Not sure ....................................................... 3%

Q4 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Terri Bryant if you knew she
was supported by Donald Trump, or would it
not make a difference?

Q7 Would you be more or less likely to vote for


Representative Terri Bryant if you knew she
opposed small wage increases for working
poor Illinoisans who care for children, the
elderly and persons with disabilities, or would it
not make a difference?

More likely .................................................... 22%

More likely .................................................... 24%

Less likely..................................................... 40%

Less likely..................................................... 51%

Wouldn't make a difference........................... 35%

Wouldn't make a difference........................... 22%

Not sure ....................................................... 3%

Not sure ....................................................... 3%

Q8 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2


.
Woman ........................................................ 53%
Man.............................................................. 47%

May 9-10, 2016


Survey of 657 HD 115 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q9 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a


Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3
.
Democrat ..................................................... 37%
Republican ................................................... 35%
Independent ................................................. 28%

Q10 (Asked of Democrats and Republicans) Even


though you think of yourself as a Democrat or
a Republican, do you sometimes vote for
candidates who are members of the other
Party, or not?
Do sometimes vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 83%
Do not vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 17%

May 9-10, 2016


Survey of 657 HD 115 voters

Q11 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If


African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic ....................................................... 4%
White ........................................................... 89%
African-American .......................................... 5%
Other............................................................ 3%

Q12 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,


press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................ 33%
46 to 65........................................................ 38%
Older than 65 ............................................... 29%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Rauner Job Rating

Base Woman

Man

Bryant / Someone New

Good 27%

20%

35%

Bad 50%

51%

48%

Neutral 21%

28%

14%

1%

3%

Not sure

2%

Vote to re-elect 45%


Representative Terri
Bryant

45%

46%

Its time for someone 44%


new

43%

45%

Not sure 11%

12%

9%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Bryant Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely

Base Woman

Man

Bryant Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 17%

15%

19%

More likely 22%

19%

26%

Less likely 40%

40%

40%

Less likely 40%

45%

34%

Wouldn't make a 39%


difference

39%

40%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

32%

38%

5%

1%

4%

3%

Not sure

3%

Not sure

3%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Bryant Cut Senior


Funding More/Less
Likely

Base Woman

Man

Bryant Cut Childcare


Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 20%

19%

21%

More likely 30%

27%

33%

Less likely 50%

51%

49%

Less likely 47%

48%

45%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

25%

22%

Wouldn't make a 20%


difference

19%

21%

5%

8%

6%

0%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 657 HD 115 voters

6%

Not sure

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Gender
Base Woman

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Man
Rauner Job Rating

Bryant Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 24%

22%

26%

Less likely 51%

53%

48%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

21%

24%

5%

2%

Not sure

3%

Good 27%

15%

39%

28%

Bad 50%

65%

32%

51%

Neutral 21%

19%

28%

16%

1%

1%

5%

Not sure

2%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bryant / Someone New
Vote to re-elect 45%
Representative Terri
Bryant

30%

66%

41%

Its time for someone 44%


new

61%

25%

44%

Not sure 11%

9%

8%

15%

Bryant Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 17%

8%

29%

16%

Less likely 40%

59%

22%

39%

Wouldn't make a 39%


difference

31%

47%

41%

3%

3%

4%

Not sure

3%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bryant Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bryant Cut Senior
Funding More/Less
Likely

More likely 22%

17%

32%

15%

More likely 20%

17%

23%

20%

Less likely 40%

58%

20%

41%

Less likely 50%

62%

40%

47%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

21%

44%

41%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

18%

30%

24%

3%

4%

3%

4%

7%

8%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 657 HD 115 voters

3%

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent


Bryant Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

Bryant Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely

More likely 30%

25%

36%

30%

Less likely 47%

60%

33%

Wouldn't make a 20%


difference

15%

26%

0%

5%

4%

Not sure

Base Democrat Republican Independent

3%

More likely 24%

16%

31%

26%

45%

Less likely 51%

67%

35%

46%

22%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

15%

28%

26%

2%

6%

3%

Not sure

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

3%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Rauner Job Rating

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant / Someone New

Good 26%

26%

29%

Bad 49%

47%

60%

Neutral 24%

26%

10%

1%

1%

Not sure

1%

Vote to re-elect 47%


Representative Terri
Bryant

48%

42%

Its time for someone 44%


new

42%

53%

10%

5%

Not sure

9%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 18%

17%

24%

More likely 25%

26%

19%

Less likely 41%

38%

52%

Less likely 40%

38%

49%

Wouldn't make a 39%


difference

42%

22%

Wouldn't make a 32%


difference

33%

30%

3%

2%

4%

2%

Not sure

3%

Not sure

3%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant Cut Senior
Funding More/Less
Likely

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 20%

20%

18%

More likely 30%

31%

24%

Less likely 51%

48%

66%

Less likely 47%

45%

57%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

26%

12%

Wouldn't make a 20%


difference

21%

15%

5%

4%

3%

4%

Not sure

5%

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 657 HD 115 voters

Not sure

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party

Race

Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who


Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Bryant Oppose Wage
Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 23%

24%

21%

Less likely 52%

51%

61%

Wouldn't make a 21%


difference

23%

11%

3%

7%

Not sure

4%

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other


Rauner Job Rating
Good 27%

16%

29%

32%

Bad 50%

53%

49%

65%

43%

Neutral 21%

22%

21%

32%

23%

9%

2%

3%

3%

Not sure

2%

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other


Bryant / Someone New
Vote to re-elect 45%
Representative Terri
Bryant

40%

Its time for someone 44%


new

31%

Not sure 11%

29%

47%

44%
9%

29%

54%
17%

24%

Bryant Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 17%

38%

17%

22%

51%

Less likely 40%

34%

39%

58%

45%

4%

41%

38%

31%

25%

Wouldn't make a 39%


difference

24%

2%

4%

2%

Not sure

3%

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other


Bryant Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

Bryant Cut Senior


Funding More/Less
Likely

More likely 22%

28%

24%

2%

Less likely 40%

41%

38%

58%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

9%

36%

32%

22%

2%

10%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 657 HD 115 voters

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other

3%

More likely 20%

39%

20%

6%

29%

63%

Less likely 50%

39%

50%

55%

62%

35%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

3%

25%

35%

5%

20%

6%

4%

3%

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other


Bryant Cut Childcare
Program More/Less
Likely

Bryant Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely

More likely 30%

45%

31%

42%

Less likely 47%

34%

46%

59%

Wouldn't make a 20%


difference

3%

20%

41%

18%

3%

Not sure

AfricanBase Hispanic White American Other

3%

More likely 24%

26%

26%

13%

40%

Less likely 51%

46%

49%

59%

75%

18%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

25%

22%

35%

12%

3%

3%

6%

Not sure

3%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Rauner Job Rating

Base
Bryant / Someone New

Good 27%

29%

23%

30%

Bad 50%

44%

58%

44%

Neutral 21%

25%

17%

24%

2%

2%

2%

Not sure

2%

Vote to re-elect 45%


Representative Terri
Bryant

44%

41%

53%

Its time for someone 44%


new

46%

48%

36%

Not sure 11%

10%

11%

10%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bryant Supported By
Rauner More/Less
Likely
16%

14%

22%

Less likely 40%

36%

47%

Wouldn't make a 39%


difference

44%

38%

3%

1%

6%

Not sure

survey of 657 HD 115 voters

Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bryant Supported By
Trump More/Less
Likely

More likely 17%

May 9-10, 2016

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

3%

More likely 22%

23%

22%

21%

36%

Less likely 40%

40%

41%

38%

36%

Wouldn't make a 35%


difference

32%

35%

37%

5%

2%

3%

Not sure

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bryant Cut Senior


Funding More/Less
Likely
25%

16%

20%

Less likely 50%

47%

56%

Wouldn't make a 24%


difference

19%

26%

8%

3%

8%

6%

More likely 30%

34%

23%

33%

46%

Less likely 47%

47%

53%

37%

27%

Wouldn't make a 20%


difference

15%

21%

26%

3%

3%

3%

Not sure

3%

Age
Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bryant Oppose Wage


Increases More/Less
Likely
More likely 24%

34%

13%

24%

Less likely 51%

49%

60%

40%

Wouldn't make a 22%


difference

17%

22%

29%

4%

6%

Not sure

May 9-10, 2016


survey of 657 HD 115 voters

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Bryant Cut Childcare


Program More/Less
Likely

More likely 20%

Not sure

Base

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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