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MontecarloRangos - Diniicio2 - IRIGOIN ASTOPILCO
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Available Formats
Unidades
Vendidas
100
150
200
250
300
Prob.
Acumulada
Probabilidad
0.30
0.20
0.30
0.15
0.05
Costo x Unidad
Ingreso x Unid Vendida
Ingreso x Unid Devuelta
Unidades a Comprar
Beneficio Esperado
Ext.Inf
Intervalo
0.30
0.50
0.80
0.95
1.00
0
0.30
0.50
0.80
0.95
75 Nuevos Soles
100 Nuevos Soles
25 Nuevos Soles
150 Abrigos
2250.00
vos Soles
vos Soles
vos Soles
150
Ext. Sup.
Unidades
Intervalo
Vendidas
0.30
100
0.50
150
0.80
200
0.95
250
1.00
300
Aleatorio
0.77201214
0.52625146
0.26243661
0.78701575
0.07416262
0.32137663
0.34398041
0.13019084
0.70680579
0.62076042
0.56560773
0.00935596
0.00945308
0.87148877
0.03148554
0.71224937
0.89418513
0.41818081
0.28498576
0.96388624
0.55468386
0.04531542
0.95091304
0.01454789
0.23160009
0.01258097
0.75520634
0.98165927
0.13683666
0.26853858
0.9208103
0.73672444
0.38644848
0.58562268
0.06823662
0.06852086
0.84335412
0.4190183
0.98085313
0.44720321
0.37296806
0.07535605
Unidades
Vendidas
150
150
100
150
100
150
150
100
150
150
150
100
100
150
100
150
150
150
100
150
150
100
150
100
100
100
150
150
100
100
150
150
150
150
100
100
150
150
150
150
150
100
Unidades
Devueltas
0
0
50
0
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
50
50
0
50
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
50
0.67129456
0.68509667
0.40242128
0.53030089
0.21521714
0.16843848
0.32840591
0.07287925
0.16515612
0.06701971
0.27317379
0.13415239
0.67228402
0.33549739
0.45831659
0.72561111
0.83205764
0.51802887
0.2494305
0.91143981
0.64710688
0.35892616
0.69604922
0.02776062
0.11925985
0.0625536
0.09415065
0.20860558
0.01268194
0.20582842
0.48891058
0.58742345
0.32379662
0.02952192
0.23563137
0.1508045
0.57464894
0.47306959
0.33105708
0.21157286
0.33625494
0.25893975
0.03541892
0.09439098
0.4951591
150
150
150
150
100
100
150
100
100
100
100
100
150
150
150
150
150
150
100
150
150
150
150
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
150
150
150
100
100
100
150
150
150
100
150
100
100
100
150
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
50
50
50
0
0
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
0.96980926
0.67660704
0.09358226
0.15630782
0.60972485
0.92728396
0.90534114
0.94477863
0.95361988
0.81347309
0.82679296
0.93229159
0.5788777
150
150
100
100
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
150
Costo
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
Ingresos
Ventas
15000
15000
10000
15000
10000
15000
15000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
15000
15000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
Ingresos
Devoluc.
0
0
1250
0
1250
0
0
1250
0
0
0
1250
1250
0
1250
0
0
0
1250
0
0
1250
0
1250
1250
1250
0
0
1250
1250
0
0
0
0
1250
1250
0
0
0
0
0
1250
Beneficio
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
Observacin(2
00)
1
2262.50
2
1925.00
3
2075.00
4
2000.00
5
2075.00
3000.00
6
1925.00
7
2150.00
2000.00
8
2375.00
1000.00
9
2450.00
10
2000.00
0.00
11
2037.50
12
2300.00
13
2787.50
14
1850.00
15
1850.00
Despues de observar 30 veces el compo
1775.00
adquisicin16
y venta de
200 unidades e
17
2487.50
positivo, oscilando desde
1288 a 2750,
rentable la 18
inversin.2300.00
19
2337.50
20
2262.50
21
1700.00
22
1925.00
23
1925.00
24
2262.50
25
1775.00
26
1925.00
27
1812.50
28
1925.00
29
1962.50
30
2150.00
Observacin(20
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
0
0
0
0
1250
1250
0
1250
1250
1250
1250
1250
0
0
0
0
0
0
1250
0
0
0
0
1250
1250
1250
1250
1250
1250
1250
0
0
0
1250
1250
1250
0
0
0
1250
0
1250
1250
1250
0
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
11250
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
0
0
1250
1250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3750.00
3750.00
0.00
0.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
3750.00
MIN
MAX
1700.00
2787.50
promedio
2086.25
Observacin(15
ervacin(200)
Observacin(200)
ar 30 veces el comportamiento de la
de 200 unidades el beneficio es
desde 1288 a 2750, lo cual hace
n.
4000.00
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
Observacin(
150)
MIN
MAX
promedio
2662.50
2362.50
2962.50
2643.75
2662.50
2400.00
2437.50
2962.50
2775.00
Observacin(150)
2700.00
2587.50
2362.50
2812.50
2625.00
2625.00
2700.00
2625.00
2700.00
2437.50
2962.50
2850.00
2550.00
2662.50
2437.50
2662.50
2550.00
2512.50
2775.00
2700.00
2700.00
2587.50
Observacin(150)
Unidades
Prob.
Ext.Inf
Ext. Sup.
Unidades
Probabilidad
Vendidas
Acumulada Intervalo
Intervalo
Vendidas
100
0.3
0.3
0
0.3
100
150
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.5
150
200
0.3
0.8
0.5
0.8
200
250
0.15
0.95
0.8
0.95
250
300
0.05
1
0.95
1
300
Costo x Unidad
Ingreso x Unid Vendida
Ingreso x Unid Devuelta
Unidades
a Comprar
100
150
200
250
300
75 Nuevos Soles
100 Nuevos Soles
25 Nuevos Soles
Costo
7500
11250
15000
18750
22500
Beneficio
Promedio
2500.00
5000.00
1325.00
-500.00
-2125.00
Beneficio
Promedio
6000.00
4000.00
Nuevos soles
Beneficio
Promedio
2000.00
0.00
-2000.00
100
150
200
250
300
-4000.00
Unidades Compradas
Este grafico, muestra la variabilidad del experimento.
1
2
3
100
2500
2500
2500
150
5375
5437.5
5812.5
200
1925
1887.5
2112.5
250
175
-50
587.5
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
2500
5312.5
2500
4812.5
2500
5750
2500
5125
2500
5875
2500
6062.5
2500
6312.5
2500
5750
2500
5437.5
2500
5687.5
2500
5750
2500
6000
2500
5812.5
2500
6562.5
2500
5687.5
2500
5437.5
2500
5625
2500
5687.5
2500
5687.5
2500
5937.5
2500
5250
2500
5812.5
2500
5375
2500
5937.5
2500
6000
2500
5562.5
2500
5500
2500 5679.16667
1587.5
1062.5
2112.5
1400
2187.5
2337.5
2975
2000
1925
1850
2112.5
2450
1962.5
3162.5
2225
1700
2075
2037.5
2037.5
2450
1625
2150
1700
1925
2300
1962.5
1887.5
2037.5
-200
-800
512.5
-425
287.5
550
1375
362.5
175
62.5
400
775
100
1750
662.5
-162.5
437.5
100
287.5
812.5
-200
287.5
62.5
100
812.5
325
-87.5
302.5
Unidades Compradas
7000
6000
5000
4000
Unidades Compradas
3000
2000
1000
0
-1000
-2000
100
150
200
250
300
La empresa debera adquir 150 abrigos para generar mayores beneficios,
siendo la opcin menos rentable adquirir 300 abrigos.
Aleatorio
0.77201214
0.52625146
0.26243661
0.78701575
0.07416262
0.32137663
0.34398041
0.13019084
0.70680579
0.62076042
0.56560773
0.00935596
Beneficio
Promedio
300
-1187.5
-1500
-437.5
0.00945308
0.87148877
0.03148554
0.71224937
0.89418513
0.41818081
0.28498576
0.96388624
0.55468386
0.04531542
0.95091304
0.01454789
0.23160009
0.01258097
0.75520634
0.98165927
0.13683666
0.26853858
0.9208103
0.73672444
0.38644848
0.58562268
0.06823662
0.06852086
0.84335412
0.4190183
0.98085313
0.44720321
0.37296806
Unidades Unidades
Vendidas Devueltas
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
Ingresos
Ventas
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
Ingresos
Devoluc.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-1625
-2687.5
-437.5
-2000
-875
-375
1187.5
-750
-1000
-1375
-750
-125
-1250
1687.5
-375
-1625
-562.5
-1250
-750
125
-1562.5
-1000
-1187.5
-1375
0
-687.5
-1812.5
-852.083333
idades Compradas
0.07535605
0.67129456
0.68509667
0.40242128
0.53030089
0.21521714
0.16843848
0.32840591
0.07287925
0.16515612
0.06701971
0.27317379
0.13415239
0.67228402
0.33549739
0.45831659
0.72561111
0.83205764
0.51802887
0.2494305
0.91143981
0.64710688
0.35892616
0.69604922
0.02776062
0.11925985
0.0625536
0.09415065
0.20860558
0.01268194
0.20582842
0.48891058
0.58742345
0.32379662
0.02952192
0.23563137
0.1508045
0.57464894
0.47306959
0.33105708
0.21157286
0.33625494
0.25893975
0.03541892
0.09439098
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
mayores beneficios,
0 abrigos.
0.4951591
0.96980926
0.67660704
0.09358226
0.15630782
0.60972485
0.92728396
0.90534114
0.94477863
0.95361988
0.81347309
0.82679296
0.93229159
0.5788777
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Beneficio
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
Unidades Unidades
Vendidas Devueltas
150
0
150
0
100
50
150
0
100
50
150
0
150
0
100
50
150
0
150
0
150
0
100
50
100
150
100
150
150
150
100
150
150
100
150
100
100
100
150
150
100
100
150
150
150
150
100
100
150
150
150
150
150
50
0
50
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
150
Ingresos
Ventas
15000
15000
10000
15000
10000
15000
15000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
15000
15000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
15000
15000
15000
Ingresos
Beneficio
Devoluc.
3750
7500
3750
7500
2500
1250
3750
7500
2500
1250
3750
7500
3750
7500
2500
1250
3750
7500
3750
7500
3750
7500
2500
1250
2500
3750
2500
3750
3750
3750
2500
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AMDS
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