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Ferguson
INEN 505
Homework #1
2. Problem 7, page 13
What are the four determinants of national advantage suggested by Porter?
Give examples of companies that have thrived as a results of these factors.
1.
2.
3.
4.
Demand conditions
Factory conditions
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry
Related and supported industries.
50
100
400
600
1000
10000
# of
hours
required
for next
unit
3.3
2.2
1.0
0.8
0.5
0.2
ln(50)=3.9
1
ln(100)=4.
61
ln(400)=5.
99
ln(600)=6.
40
ln(1000)=6
.91
ln(10000)=
9.21
# of
hours
required
for next
unit
ln(3.3)=1.
19
ln(2.2)=0.
788
ln(1.0)=0
ln(0.8)=0.223
ln(0.5)=0.693
ln(0.2)=1.61
b. Graph in ln(hours) against the ln(cumulative units) and eyeball a straightline fit of the data. Using your approximate fit, estimate a and b.
ln(# of hours required for next unit) vs. ln(cumulative number of unit)s
4
3
2
ln (hrs) 1
0
10
-1
-2
ln(cum # of units)
Intercept=a=~3.25
x 2 x
y2 y1 =
Slope=b=
0.2230
6.405.99 =-.544
c. Using the results from part (b), estimate the time required to produce the
first unit and the appropriate percentage learning curve that fits this data.
Exp(3.25)=25.79=Time required to produce the first unit
Ln(L)=-b*ln(2)
=(-0.544)*(ln(2)=-0.377
L=exp(-0.377)=0.686
L=68.6%=Appropriate percentage learning curve
d. Repeat parts (b) and (c), but use an exact least squares fit of the
logarithms computed in part (a).
Yavg=(1/6)(1.19+0.788+0-0.223-0.693-1.61)=-0.0913
Xavg=(1/6)(3.91+4.61+5.99+6.40+6.91+9.21)=6.17
n=6
Sxy=nxiyi-(xi)(yi)=6(-12.75835)-(37.03)(-0.548)=-56.25766
Sxx=nxi2-(xi)2=6(245.9525)-1371.2209=104.4941
Sxy
56. 258
=-0.538
a=intercept=yavg-b(xavg)=-0.0913-(-0.538)(6.17)=3.22816
exp(a)=exp(3.22816)=25.2 hours=Time required to produce the first
unit
-appropriate percentage learning curve:
Ln(L)=-b*ln(2)=(-0.538)ln(2)=(-0.538)(0.6931)=-0.373
L=exp(-0.373)=0.689=
L=Appropriate percentage learning curve=68.9%
100
100
10000
1000000