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American Journal of Political Science.
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Kierkegaard
Shakespeare
Politicalsciencehas oftenbeensomething
of a scavenger
discipline,
fromotherdisciplines
borrowing
theirtriedif notalso trueideas.On the
wholethisscavenging
has beenproductive
dienough.The many-faceted
mensions
of politicallifehavebeenat leastpartially
illuminated
bytheoriesand methodsfirstdevelopedin psychology
or sociology,
economics
or statistics.
of scienceHowever,in at leastone area-the philosophy
our scavenging
has been less thanilluminating.
Searchingnot so much
fortheories
or methodsas forscientific
our scavengself-understanding,
inghas broughthomean imageof scienceappropriate
less to political
sciencethanto thenaturalsciences.But thisimagehas workedits will
nonetheless.
The naturalsciences,it is said,providepoliticalsciencewith
a modelof whatany scienceshould,nay must,be like. Untilpolitical
scienceproducesconceptsand theories
withthescopeof thosedeveloped
*1 am especiallyindebtedto Terence Ball for his commentsand criticisms.I would
also like to thank Roger Benjamin, Russell Hanson, W. Phillips Shively,and Stuart Thorson fortheirhelpfulsuggestionson an earlierversionof thisessay.
AmericanJournalof PoliticalScience,Vol. 26, No. 4, November1982
0092-5853/82/040688-21$01.80
of Texas Press
01982 bytheUniversity
689
science-if
in thenaturalsciences,it willremainan infantor immature
thenameof "science"at all.
indeedit deserves
enoughto be someto thisview,whichis well-received
According
must
theircontent,
concepts,whatever
theoretical
thingof an orthodoxy,
in space and time.Insofaras theyare to have a
unlimited
be formally
theory,conceptsmustbe trulyuniversaland
role in generalpredictive
forall times.Thisis fairlyadequateas a
ahistorical,
holdingin principle
forpolitical
butit servesas a prescription
of physicaltheory,
description
conceptsthatare tensed,temporally
politicaltheory,
In empirical
theory.
periodof humanhistoryare exof a delimited
or indicative
restricted,
injunction.In short,a historical
cludedby an a priorimethodological
of
playsno properpartin our conceptualunderstanding
understanding
to searchout historical
politics.The receivedviewenjoinsus, therefore,
removing
obstaclesin theway
theiruse, thereby
conceptsand proscribe
in politicalsciencewhenahisprogress
it promises
of science.Conversely,
forthem.
toricalconceptsaresubstituted
"Revolution"providesa conceptualcase in point.Not onlyhave
buttherehavebeendifferent
in history,
revolutions
therebeendifferent
who envision
in history.
For politicalscientists
conceptsof "revolution"
of revolution,
or morebroadlya generaltheoryof polita generaltheory
thatcriesout forcorthisis an infelicity
ical changeand development,
to the
rection.An ahistoricalconceptof "revolution,"one referring
of revolutions
bothpastand possible,mustsomehowbe found.
universe
view.
This,at least,is thereceived
thereceivedview,usingas myexIn thisessayI intendto criticize
Now thereceivedviewhas
conceptof "revolution."
amplethehistorical
not wantedfor critics,eitheras an accountof the naturalsciences
(Suppe,1977;Toulmin,1972)or of thesocialand politicalsciences(Gunlittleattennell,1975; Nelson,1975; Moon, 1975). Butto myknowledge
conceptsand itsimpacton
tionhas beenpaid to thenotionof historical
of politicalscience. "Revolution,"I shall argue,
our understanding
conceptin politius withone of manyexamplesof a historical
presents
cal science.A historical
conceptis eitherone whosescope is temporally
periodor one whosemeaningis mutable
to a specifichistorical
restricted
and changesalong withthe changingpracticesand beliefsof political
is an exampleof thelatter,
thoughcharacteristically
agents."Revolution"
of conceptslike
The
mutability
of
former.
the
it is connected
withthose
valueof theoryin
placeslimitson thenatureand predictive
"revolution"
shouldforceus to repoliticalscience.This mutability
anyconceivable
considerthereceivedviewof conceptsand theoryand indeedthewhole
of thenaturalsciences.
imageof sciencescavengedfromthephilosophy
of
self-understanding
Thustheobjectof mycriticism
is an inappropriate
politicalconceptsand theories,notthepracticeof politicalsciencetout
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JamesFarr
Whatpassesfortheoryin politicalsciencecharacteristically
inspires
and assuredly
fairly
complexmatter
neveras simpleas theearlyverificationistand falsificationist
is in someway
Buttesting
intimated.
programs
in factualor empirical
grounded
considerations,
at leastwhenone theory
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eralizations,
as well as particularevents,are explainedwhentheyare
subsumedunderappropriate
laws. Thus a particulareventis explained
whena statement
describing
it is deducedfroma set of statements
that
includesboth a law (or laws) and singularstatements
of initialand
boundaryconditions.
Muchhangsthenon thenatureof theselaws and
conditional
statements.
Laws are true(or not-yet-falsified)
empirical
generalizations.
Theymakeuniversal
(or statistical)
claimsaboutthesystematicrelationships
betweentwoor moreclassesof events.'Theyformnot
onlythebasisforexplanation
butforprediction
as well:indeeda generalizationthatcannotpredict,cannotexplaineither,
and therefore
is no
law at all. Moreover,
and thissetsthestageforthepartplayedby conceptsin scientific
theories,
lawsmustbe of unlimited
scope,eventhough
theyare subjectto certainconditions.
But thoseconditions
cannotspecifyparticular
spatio-temporal
processesor events.Laws musthaveimplicationsforall the processesand eventstheygeneralizeabout,wherever
or whenever
theyare found.Whereasthisis almosttrivially
trueof the
naturalsciences,it is of momentous
importance
forpoliticalscience.For
its generalizations
if theyare
mustbe cross-cultural
and transhistorical
evento be candidatesforlawlikestatus.Generalizations
thatare in other
respectslawlikeare unacceptable
in principle
if theyreferto particular
societies
or to particular
historical
erasor epochs.Theseare stringent
rein lightof whatpassesfortheoryand
quirements,
to be sure,especially
law-governed
explanation
in politicalscience(Nelson,1975). But thisis
the receivedviewnonetheless,
and it is withinthisframework
thatthe
theoretical
function
of conceptsis to be understood.
is a particularly
vexedand vexingissuein politiConceptformation
cal science,but thismuchis clear:conceptsare dependent
on theories.
Empiricists
simplyfailedto providea setof basicconceptswithinwhich
observations
between
could be neutrally
expressedin orderto arbitrate
competing
theories.Even ordinary,
ostensibly
rock-bottom
observations
presuppose
somekindof observation
theory.
Observations,
liketheconwhichtheyare expressed,
ceptswithin
aretheory
laden.
Theoryladennessis a featurenot onlyof the contentof concepts
butof theirformas well.Twoaspectsarerelevant
here.First,in theD-N
model-a theoryof theories,
unias it were-conceptsmustbe formally
versaland makeno temporalor historic
reference.
Onlyin thiswaycan
' I have excludedan account of statisticalor probabilisticexplanationbecause theirinclusion here would not change the argument.Though statisticalor probabilisticexplanations are importantto political scienceand do make a differentformalclaim about explanation, neverthelessthe conditional statements,and the concepts withinwhich both the
conditionalstatementsand the laws are cast, mustnot make particularspatial or temporal
model on these
(or historic)reference.In short,what holds for the deductive-nomological
issues,holds forstatisticalexplanationsas well. There is no need thento divertattentionby
relatedmodels of explanation.
proliferating
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tentionally,
and thismakes possible furthergrowthof knowledge,thereby
pavingthe way for furthersocial and conceptualchange. No doubt this
processis neverending. It is thisthat Weberhad in mind whenhe spoke
of "the transitorinessof all syntheses"of concept and reality(Weber,
1949, p. 105). Our epistemologicalsituation dictates that we cannot
know what futuresyntheseswill look like. It is simplyin the nature of
historicalconcepts,such as "revolution,""party,""democracy,"or "politics," that the futureclass of instancesto whichtheywill apply will remain open and undetermined.In sum, we should expect futureconceptual change, and consequently we should expect the continued use,
emergence,and transformation
of historicalconcepts.Genuinelyahistorical conceptsare not to be expected,at least foran indefinitely
large class
of politicalphenomena.
A HistoricalPolitical Science
The recurrenceof specificallyhistoricalconceptsin political science
should not be cause for embarrassment,
apology,or skepticism,for such
conceptsare not lamentablysecond-best.Historicalconceptsneithervitiate the constructionof (suitablyhistorical)theoriesand explanationsnor
do theyjeopardize a politicalscience,at least one that embracesthe historicalcharacterof its subject matterand its modes of inquiry.Historical
historiconcepts,in short,allow us to reconsidersome of the interesting
cal featuresof politicalinquirythathave been all but lost in the received
logic of inquiry.Here I mustbe brief,but, I hope, suggestive.
To begin with,historicalconcepts figurein generalizationsor laws,
let us call them "historicallaws," whichpurportto cover only a limited
period of time. Therefore,withintheirset of statementsof initial and
boundaryconditionswill be found one or more tensedor temporallyrestrictedstatementsthat specifya particularperiod of history.That is,
pace the receivedview, theyare not and do not pretendto be timelessor
trulyuniversal(Weber,1949, pp. 80, 159ff.;Ball, 1972). Nonetheless,historicallaws do performexplanatoryand theoreticalfunctions.They are
not merelyaccidentalsummaries,because theyare capable of supporting
subjunctiveand counterfactualconditionals(at least for the periods designatedby theirscope conditions).And althoughtheydo not make longtermpredictionspossible-or rather,theyseverelylimitthe range of predictions-theynonethelessmake sound retrodictions
possible. Therefore,
historicallaws and conceptswill figurein explanationsthat may properly
be called "historical"explanations.Such explanationsmay well appear in
fact as "elegant expressionsof ex post facto knowledge" (McCaughrin,
1976, p. 637). But this is not to be belittled.This is the best that has
been offeredand, giventhe recurrenceof historicalconceptsand our in-
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REFERENCES
olutionsin modern
Europeanhistory.
NewYork:MacMillan.