Star-Advertiser/Hawaii News Now Hawaii Poll (Pt. 1)

Table 16

Q3. If the Democratic Primary for Governor were held today, and the candidates were Mufi Hannemann
and Neil Abercrombie, would you vote for:

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
TOTAL ISLAND GENDER ETHNICITY AGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME USUALLY VOTE UNION MEMBR
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
Oahu N.I. Male Fe-‐ Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-‐54 55+ <$50K $50K-‐ $100K Democ Repub Indep Yes No
male -‐sian -‐ese -‐pino -‐ian $99K + ratic lican endnt
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T)

Neil Abercrombie 206 149 57 101 105 57 70 16 38 29 81 94 64 74 51 160 9 36 85 119
49% 50% 44% 47% 51% 60% 47% 33% 55% 53% 55% 43% 46% 51% 56% 49% 28% 56% 54% 46%
H H L Q Q

Mufi Hannemann 185 121 64 103 82 33 61 26 31 25 59 99 62 62 37 138 23 22 60 121
44% 41% 50% 47% 39% 35% 41% 53% 45% 47% 40% 45% 44% 42% 40% 42% 72% 34% 38% 47%
F PR

Don't know/Refused 34 26 7 13 21 5 17 7 -‐ -‐ 6 27 14 9 3 27 -‐ 6 13 19
8% 9% 6% 6% 10% 6% 11% 14% 4% 12% 10% 6% 4% 8% 10% 8% 7%
K

BASE 425 296 129 217 208 95 147 48 69 55 147 220 140 145 92 325 32 64 158 260

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.8 ±5.7 ±8.6 ±6.7 ±6.8 ±10.1 ±8.1 ±14.1 ±11.8 ±13.2 ±8.1 ±6.6 ±8.3 ±8.1 ±10.2 ±5.4 ±17.3 ±12.2 ±7.8 ±6.1

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST
Independent T-‐Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-‐Test for Percentages
Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. -‐ 5520 :: Star-‐Advertiser/Hawaii News Now -‐ Hawai‘i Poll :: August 2010 ::

Table 1

S3. And are you most likely to vote through:

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Absentee mail in 229 180 49 111 118 51 75 21 40 44 69 115 76 70 53 120 60 42 78 148
38% 42% 28% 37% 39% 35% 43% 26% 41% 43% 35% 38% 39% 35% 41% 34% 45% 41% 37% 39%
C H P

Absentee walk-‐in prior 48 27 21 26 22 5 17 7 8 9 19 20 14 20 11 26 11 10 18 30
to the Saturday election 8% 6% 12% 9% 7% 3% 10% 8% 8% 9% 10% 7% 7% 10% 8% 7% 9% 10% 8% 8%
F

At your designated 315 218 97 163 152 88 77 48 51 48 106 159 102 105 66 199 60 50 111 197
polling location on 52% 51% 56% 54% 51% 60% 45% 61% 52% 47% 54% 53% 52% 52% 50% 57% 45% 49% 52% 52%
election day, Sat., G G Q
Sept. 18

Don't know/Refused 12 6 6 3 9 3 3 4 -‐ 2 4 6 3 6 1 6 2 1 7 5
2% 1% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


Table 4

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Mufi Hannemann

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 332 222 110 173 158 70 97 54 56 46 107 178 114 96 73 221 63 43 109 215
55% 52% 63% 57% 53% 48% 56% 68% 56% 45% 54% 59% 59% 47% 56% 63% 47% 41% 51% 56%
B F N QR

Unfavorable 230 185 45 113 118 64 64 17 43 48 78 104 70 85 54 111 61 51 90 140
38% 43% 26% 37% 39% 44% 37% 21% 43% 47% 39% 35% 36% 42% 42% 32% 45% 50% 42% 37%
C H H H P P

Never heard 5 -‐ 5 2 3 1 -‐ 2 -‐ 1 4 -‐ 2 3 -‐ 2 1 1 2 3
1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Heard of but don't know 37 23 14 16 21 11 12 7 1 7 10 19 9 19 3 17 9 8 14 22
enough 6% 5% 8% 5% 7% 7% 7% 9% 1% 6% 5% 6% 5% 9% 2% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6%
I I I O

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


Table 3

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Neil Abercrombie

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 342 254 88 175 167 83 109 46 53 58 121 163 122 113 76 238 40 54 130 208
57% 59% 51% 58% 56% 56% 63% 58% 54% 56% 61% 54% 62% 56% 59% 68% 30% 52% 61% 55%
QR Q

Unfavorable 215 146 69 117 99 54 52 22 42 36 59 119 61 70 49 83 84 44 68 143
36% 34% 40% 38% 33% 37% 30% 28% 42% 35% 30% 40% 31% 35% 37% 24% 63% 43% 32% 38%
K PR P

Never heard 4 -‐ 4 1 3 -‐ -‐ 4 -‐ -‐ 3 1 1 2 -‐ 4 1 -‐ 2 2
1% 2% *% 1% 5% 2% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1% *%

Heard of but don't know 42 30 12 11 31 10 13 7 4 8 16 17 12 18 5 26 8 6 14 28
enough 7% 7% 7% 4% 10% 7% 7% 8% 4% 8% 8% 6% 6% 9% 4% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7%
D

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


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