SURPRISE FACTOR FOR NEWS TRADING

Data Negara Estimate Previous Surprise Pair

UK
1. CPI y/y 0.3% 50

2. Industrial Production 0.3% 50

3. Interest Rate 0.25% 70

4. Manufacturing PMI 2.0% 50

5. Retail Sales 0.5% 60

6. MPC Vote (minutes) 2 votes 50

7. GDP q/q 0.3% 50

8. Preliminary GDP 0.4% -0.2% 0.3% 50 GU

9. PMI Manufacturing 54.0 54.1 2.5 40 GU

10. pmi service 56.6 56.8 2 50 GU

USA
1. Core CPI m/m 0.20% 50

2. Retail Sales 0.50% 50

3. Interest Rate 0.25% 70

4. Trade Balance 7.0B huruf B

(billion) 40
5. Non Farm Payroll 70K 70

6. ADP Changes 50K 40

7. ISM Manufacturing 2.5% 70

8. New Home Sales 70K 70

9. Existing Home Sales 400K 70

10. GDP q/q 0.3% 60

11. New Home Sales 372 355K 70K 40 UJ, UCHF

12. Interest Rate 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 90 UJ

13. GDP Adv q/q 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 50 UJ

14. ISM Manufacturing 55.6 54.9 10 30 UJ

15. ADP -31k -84k 70k 50 UJ

16. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 51.1 49.8 2.5 50 UJ

17. Pending Home Sales 0.9 -16 10 30 UJ

Australia
1. Interest Rate 0.25% 70

2. Employment Change 27K 60

3. GDPq/q 0.3% 50

4. Retail Sales 0.6% 50

5. CPI q/q 0.3% 50

6. Interest rate 4.00% 3.75% 0.25% 70 AU

7. CPI q/q 0.4% 1.9% 0.3% 50 AU

8. Retail Sales 0.3% 1.4% 0.6% 40 AU

9. Trade Balance -2,400 -1,700 1,000 30 AU

New Zealand
1. CPI q/q 0.3% 50

2. Interest Rate 0.25% 70

3. Retail Sales 0.5% 40

4. GDP q/q 0.3% 40

5. Interest rate 2.50% 2.50% 0.25% 50 NU

6. Unemployment Rate 6.8% 6.5% 0.4 40 NU

Canada
1. Core CPI m/m 0.3% 50

2. Interest Rate 0.25% 70

3. Trade Balance 0.7 B 40

4. Employment Changes 30K 60

5. IVEY PMI 3.0% 50

6. GDP m/m 0.2% 50

7. Core Retail Sales 0.5% 50

8. GDP q/q 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 40 UCAD,

ECAD