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1. p(Red) = 40 8 p(Black) = 40 8
1 7
8 1 7
(a) (i) p(one black) = 1 8 8 (M1)(A1)
= 0.393 to 3 sf (A1) 3
400
(b) 400 draws: expected number of blacks = 8 (M1)
= 50 (A1) 2
[8]
4 8 4
8 1 1
2. (a) p (4 heads) = 4 2 2 (M1)
8
8 7 65 1
= 1 2 3 4 2
70
= 256 0.273 (3 sf) (A1) 2
3 8 3 8
8 1 1 87 6 1
(b) p (3 heads) = 3 2 2 1 2 3 2
56
= 256 0.219 (3 sf) (A1) 1
1
3. (a)
Boy Girl Total
TV 13 25 38
Sport 33 29 62
Total 46 54 100
38
P(TV) = 100 (A1) (C2)
13
(b) P(TV Boy) = 46 (= 0.283 to 3 sf) (A2) (C2)
Notes: Award (A1) for numerator and (A1) for
denominator. Accept equivalent answers.
[4]
2
12
Z
OR p (X 12) = 0.1 p = 0.1 (M1)
12
Z
p = 0.9
8
Z
p (X 8) = 0.1 p = 0.1
8
Z
p = 0.9 (A1)
12 8
So (M1)
12 – = – 8 (M1)
= 10 (A1) 5
12 10
(c) = 0.9 (A1)(M1)(A1)
12 10
Note: Award (A1) for , (M1) for
standardizing, and (A1) for 0.9.
2
= 1.282 (or 1.28) (A1)
2 2
or
= 1.282 1.28 (A1)
= 1.56 (3 sf) (AG) 5
Note: Working backwards from = 1.56 to show it
leads the given data should receive a maximum of [3
marks] if done correctly.
11 10
Z
(d) p (X 11) = p 1.561 (or 1.56) (M1)(A1)
Note: Award (M1) for standardizing and (A1) for
11 10
1.561 .
3
5. (a) Let X be the lifespan in hours
X ~ N(57, 4.42)
a 0 b
2 3
Z
(b) P (55 X 60) = P 4.4 4.4
P(0.455 Z 0.682)
0.6754 + 0.752 – 1 (A1)
= 0.428 (3sf) (A1)
OR
P (55 X 60) = 0.428 (3 sf) (G2) 5
0 (A1)
Hence t = 57 + (4.4 × 1.282) (M1)
= 57 + 5.64 (A1)
= 62.6 hours (A1)
OR t = 62.6 hours (G3) 5
[10]
4
6. (a) U
B
A
(A1) (C1)
n( B A) 35
(c) P(B A) = n (U ) 100 = 0.35 (A1) (C1)
[4]
22
7. (a) P = 23 (= 0.957 (3 sf)) (A2) (C2)
5
(b)
R
21 3
24 23
R
G
22
25
e tc
3
25
G
(M1)
OR
P = P (RRG) + P (RGR) + P (GRR) (M1)
22 21 3 22 3 21 3 22 21
25 24 23 25 24 23 25 24 23 (M1)(A1)
693
= 2300 (= 0.301 (3 sf)) (A1) (C4)
[6]
6
8. Sample space ={(1, 1), (1, 2) ... (6, 5), (6, 6)}
(This may be indicated in other ways, for example, a grid or a tree diagram,
partly or fully completed)
1
2
3.
..
1
1
2
2 3.
..
3
4
5
6
6 5 4 3 2 1
(a) P (S < 8) = 36 (M1)
7
= 12 (A1)
OR
7
P (S < 8) = 12 (A2)
11 6 111
(b) P (at least one 3) = 36 (M1)
11
= 36 (A1)
OR
11
P (at least one 3) = 36 (A2)
7
9. (a) P (A B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A B) P (A B) = P (A) +
P (B) – P (A B) (M1)
3 4 6
–
= 11 11 11 (M1)
1
= 11 (0.0909) (A1) (C3)
10. (a)
1
4 L
7
W
8
3
4 L'
3
5 L
1
8
W '
2
5 L' (A1)(A1)(A1)(A1) 4
7 1 3
, ,
Note: Award (A1) for the given probabilities 8 4 5
in the correct positions, and (A1) for each bold
value.
7 1 1 3
(b) Probability that Dumisani will be late is 8 4 8 5 (A1)(A1)
47
= 160 (0.294) (A1)
(N2) 3
8
P(W L)
(c) P(WL) = P( L)
7 1
P(W L) = 8 4 (A1)
47
P(L) = 160 (A1)
7
32
47
P(WL) = 160 (M1)
35
= 47 (= 0.745) (A1) (N3) 4
[11]
80 8
P ( A) 0.381
11. (a) (i) 210 21 (A1) (N1)
35 1
P (year 2 art) 0.167
(ii) 210 6 (A1) (N1)
(iii) No (the events are not independent, or, they are dependent)(A1) (N1)
EITHER
P ( A B ) P ( A) P ( B) (to be independent) (M1)
100 10
P (B) 0.476
210 21 (A1)
1 8 10
6 21 21 (A1)
OR
P(A)=P(A B)
(to be independent) (M1)
35
P (A B)
100 (A1)
8 35
21 100 (A1)
9
OR
P(B)=P(B A)
(to be independent) (M1)
100 10
P (B) 0.476 P (B A) 35
210 21 , 80 (A1)
35 100
80 210 (A1) 6
Note: Award the first (M1) only for a mathematical
interpretation of independence.
10
13. (a) For using p 1 (0.4 + p + 0.2 + 0.07 + 0.02 = 1) (M1)
p = 0.31 A1 N2
11