Professional Documents
Culture Documents
b. Equities reap a capital gain in the same way that houses reap
a capital gain. Does this mean that the purchase of equities
is investment? If not, explain why it is not.
The purchase of equities is not an investment because investment
refers to the purchase of physical capital. Equities are not
physical capital and so they are not investment.
8. The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account, remarks
by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke (when a governor of the Federal
Reserve) on March 10, 2005:
On most dimensions the U.S. economy appears to be performing
well. Output growth has returned to healthy levels, the labor
market is firming, and inflation appears to be well controlled.
However, one aspect of U.S. economic performance still evokes
concernamongeconomistsandpolicymakers:thenation’slarge
and growing current account deficit [negative net exports]. ...
Mostforecastersexpectthenation’scurrentaccountimbalance
to decline slowly at best, implying a continued need for foreign
credit and a concomitant decline in the U.S. net foreign asset
position. Bernanke went on to ask the following questions. What
are your answers to his questions:
a. Why is the United States, with the world’s largest economy,
borrowing heavily on international capital markets—rather
than lending, as would seem more natural?
At the world real interest rate the quantity of loanable funds
demanded in the United States exceeds the quantity of loanable
funds supplied. The surprising aspect of this point is that the
quantity of loanable funds is low in the United States because
U.S. disposable income is so high.
b. If the world demand for loanable funds remains the same, will
the world real interest rate rise, fall, or remain the same?
Explain.
If the world demand for loanable funds remains the same, the growing
supply of loanable funds leads to a falling real interest rate.
11. Annie runs a fitness center. On December 31, 2008, she bought
an existing business with exercise equipment and a building
worth $300,000. During 2009, business improved and she bought
some new equipment for $50,000. At the end of 2009, her equipment
and buildings were worth $325,000. Calculate Annie’s gross
investment, depreciation, and net investment during 2009.
Annie’snetinvestmentduring2009is$25,000becausethatisthe
change in her capital stock. Annie’s gross investment is $50,000
because that is her total purchase of capital equipment in 2009.
Annie’s depreciation during 2009 is $25,000 because Annie’s net
investment, $25,000, equals her gross investment, $50,000, minus
her depreciation.
12. Karrie is a golf pro, and after she paid taxes, her income from
golf and interest from financial assets was $1,500,000 in 2008.
At the beginning of 2008, she owned $900,000 worth of financial
assets.Attheendof2008,Karrie’sfinancial assets were worth
$1,900,000.
a. How much did Karrie save during 2008?
Karrie’s wealth increased by $1,000,000 in 2008. So her saving
in 2008 is $1,000,000. (This point assumes no capital gains or
losses on her stocks and bonds.)
17. ... Most economists agree that the problems we are witnessing
today developed over a long period of time. For more than a
decade, a massive amount of money flowed into the United States
from investors abroad, because our country is an attractive
and secure place to do business. This large influx of money
to U.S. banks and financial institutions—along with low
interest rates—made it easier for Americans to get credit.
These developments allowed more families to borrow money for
cars and homes and college tuition—some for the first time.
They allowed more entrepreneurs to get loans to start new
businesses and create jobs.
President George W. Bush, Address to the Nation, September 24, 2008.
a. Explain why, for more than a decade, a massive amount of money
flowed into the United States and compare and contrast your
explanation with that of the President.
Financial funds flow throughout the world seeking the highest
risk-adjusted return. The risk-adjusted real interest rate in the
United States was higher than that in many other countries so funds
flowed vigorously into the United States.Mr. Bush’sexplanation
was similar but did not point out the desirability of investing
in the United States because of the higher risk-adjusted interest
rate.
b. Explain why interest rates were low using the loanable funds
analysis.
In the United States the world real interest rate was lower than
what would have been the U.S. real interest rate in the absence
of international capital mobility. At the world real interest rate
there was a shortage of loanable funds in the United States, so
the United States borrowed from abroad. Because the United States
could borrow at the world real interest rate, the interest rate
in the United States was lower than would otherwise have been the
case.
d. Funds have been flowing into the United States since the early
1980s. Why might they have created problems in 2008 but not
earlier?
The financial landscape was different in 2008 than in earlier years.
By 2008 the quantity of mortgage loans in the United States had
exploded over the past few years. Additionally in 2008 the real
interest rate had risen and many homeowners were unable to make
the scheduled repayments on their mortgages. They defaulted on
their mortgages and by so doing drove many financial firms into
insolvency. Compared to previous years, 2008 was unique and hence
a financial crisis occurred in 2008 rather than in earlier years.
e. Could the United States stop funds from flowing in from other
countries? How?
The United States could stop funds from flowing in from other
countries. The Untied States could try to do so directly by
forbidding borrowing from abroad. However the United States would
probably be more successful if it could either decrease the demand
for loanable funds (perhaps by decreasing the government budget
deficit) and/or increase the supply of loanable funds (perhaps
by giving saving a more favorable tax treatment). In this case
the United States could become a net foreign lender of funds.
…At the beginning of the year, the consensus was that … bond
yields would rise ... Gradually, over February, the consensus
hasstartedtoreassertitself.…Ten-year Treasury bond yields
were hovering below 4 percent in the early part of the month
but now they are around 4.3 percent. Because the consensus was
that bond yields should be 5 percent by the end of the year,
most commentators have focused, not on why bond yields have
suddenly risen, but on why they were so low before. A number
ofexplanationsforthis“conundrum”havebeenadvanced.First,
bond yields are being held artificially low by unusual buying.….
Another [is]... bond yields reflect investors’ expectations
for an economic slowdown in 2005.
Financial Times, February 26, 2005
a. Explainhow“unusualbuying”mightleadtoalowrealinterest
rate.
“Unusual buying” means that the demand in the financial market
forbondsis“unusually”large.Inthiscase,theunusuallylarge
demand leads to bond prices being unusually high. Higher bond
prices mean a lower interest rate on the asset. So unusually high
bond prices creates unusually low interest rates on bonds.
b. What did the government hope would occur after the rescue
package was passed?
The government hoped that the loanable funds market would start
to function normally, with loans being more freely made. Longer
term, the government hoped that the supply of loanable funds and
the demand loanable funds would both increase, helping the economy
exit the recession more rapidly.
d. What did the government fear would occur if the rescue package
was not passed?
The government feared that both the demand for and supply of
loanable funds would decrease, thereby decreasing the equilibrium
quantity of loanable funds. Then the decrease in loanable funds,
together with the poorly functioning financial market, would drive
the economy into a recession.