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: 1. , , , , . , , ; 2. .
: IMF. Regional Economic Outlook. Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington
(D.C.), 2004. March. P. 38; 2007. October. P. 3; World Bank. Global Economic Prospects.
2008. Washington (D.C.), 2008. P. 193.
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Global Report Compares Size of Economies (www.worldbank.org/data/icp.); Bradsher K.
How Big Is the Chinese Economy? // The International Herald Tribune. 2007. 20 Dec.
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1994. P. 210; ILO. Africa Employment Trends. Geneva, 2007. P. 79.
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: World Development Indicators. 2003. P. 188, 220; 2004. P. 216;
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16
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World Development Indicators, 1998. P. 206; 2003. P. 220; 2006. P. 228; World Development Report, 2008. P. 341.
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: 1. (D) : Dij =
= {(Aij/Ax)(Bij/Bx)(Cij/Cx)}1/3100, %, Aij, Bij, Cij (i)
(j) 2006 ., .,
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Hij = {(Aij/Ax)(Bij/Bx)(Cij/Cx)(Tij/Tx)(Nij/Nx)}0.2100, %. Ax .. Nx 2006 .
: . 7, : Heston A., Summers R., Aten B. Penn
World Table. Version 6.2, Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income
and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania, September, 2006 (http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/
php_site/pwt62/pwt62_retrieve.php.); Kaufmann D., Kraay A., Mastruzzi M. Governance
Matters VI: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators for 19962006. World
Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4280. Washington (D.C.), 2007. July. P. 7693.
65.
( 1 .
1993 .) 796
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, 473 1981 .
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-
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, 2 . 1993 . 1170 1981 . 1113 1990 . 684 2004 .,
, 1981/2004 . 1.7 4.7 . , ( 1 2 .
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80 , , .
4
5
- , , , .
., : Artadi E.V., Sala-i-Martin X. The Economic Tragedy of the Twentieth
Century: Growth in Africa // World Economic Forum. The Africa Competitiveness
Report, 2004. Geneva, 2004.
: World Bank. World Development Indicators. 2003. P. 40; 2006. P. 48;
World Development Report, 2008. Washington (D.C.). P. 335.
.
World Bank. World Development Indicators. 2003. P. 188; 2006. P. 196; World
Development Report. 2008. Washington (D.C.). P. 341; World Bank. Global Economic
Prospects, 2008. Washington (D.C.), 2008. P. 193.
.: .. -
(- ). ., 2003. . 68.
,
, . , 1.5
3.0 . (Rowe J. How to Extend Latin Americas Growth Spells. 2007. 15 Jan.
(www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2007/CAR0430A.htm).
(.: .. : , , // . . -. . 13. . 2006. 2. . 15
17). : World Bank. World Development Report, 2008. P. 335, 341.
, ,
( 5% 1996 .
4.5% 2001 . 3.7% 2005 .; 13% 1990 . 10.2%
2005 ., 2% 0.8% ,
4.4% 1.1% , 3.4% 2% , 9.6% 1.3%,
7.5% 1.6%, 6.7 3.5% ) (World
Development Indicators, 2003. P. 252; 2007. P. 254256); :
( )
53% 1990 . 68% 2005 . (
38 52%. World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 220).
(%
) 41% 1990 . 6465% 2005 .,
9.4% 14.9%, 4.9% 15.5%, 13.9% 25.3%, 9.4% 19%, 35.6%
27
28
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
Africa Claim the 21st Century? The World Bank. Washington (D.C.), 2000. P. 135136;
World Bank. Africa Development Indicators, 2007. Washington (D.C.), 2008. P. 2, 6).
, , ( 15% 1980 . 30% 2005 .
1% 5%), ( :
27 50% 5 10%, 43
71% 3 19%).
. . . 70 .
.
, ,
.
20% 1549 (, ,
, , ). ,
,
49 1990 . 47 2005 . (World Development Indicators,
2003. P. 82; 2007. P. 80, 118; Africa Development Indicators, 2007. P. 7, 98; Pattillo .;
Gupta S., Carey K. Sustaining Growth Accelerations and Pro-Poor Growth in Africa.
IMF Working Paper WP/05/195. Washington (D.C.), 2005. P. 25; World Bank. Capacity
Building in Africa. Washington (D.C.), 2005. P. 3).
Ease of Doing Business 2006/
2007 . 76, 87, 96, 107,
136 178 ( ), ,
, , 32, 35,
43, 51. 2006 . ( % ) 163%, 3.5 ,
20 , .
78%,
11%, 18%, 41%, 46%,
50%. 188%, 201%,
226%, 416%, 481%, - 1194% (Africa Development
Indicators, 2007. P. 3; World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 272274)
Ledgard J. Wanted: Jobs for Africans // The World in 2008 (www.economist.com/
theworldin).
. 4.
: World Development Report, 2008; World Development Indicators,
2003; 2007; Africa Development Indicators, 2007; Human Development Report,
2006/2007.
., : Bloom D., Sachs J. Geography, Demography, and Economic Growth
in Africa // Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. 1998. N 2; Artadi E.V., Sala-iMartin X. The Economic Tragedy of the Twentieth Century: Growth in Africa // World
Economic Forum. The Africa Competitiveness Report, 2004. Geneva, 2004.
, , , , (World Economic Forum. The Africa Competitiveness Report,
2004. Geneva, 2004. P. 15).
.: Gettleman J. Ethnic Violence Spreads in Kenya, with No Sign of Respite // The
International Herald Tribune. 2008. 27 Jan.; Polgreen L. Fighting in Congo Rekindles
Ethnic Hatreds // The International Herald Tribune. 2008. 10 Jan.
.
,
( 5.6% 1990- . 1.9% 20002005 .), ( 5.0 4.4%), ( 7.1% 2.5%) ( 5.4 1.7%)
( 4.7 2.2%, World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 222224).
30
39
,
( 8.5% 1990- . 5.4% 20002005 . (World Development Indicators.
2007. P. 224).
40
.: .. : , . ., 1996. . 134.
41
: UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics, 20062007. N.Y., 2007. P. 206
212, 224226, 410, 432; IMF. World Economic Outlook. Washington (D.C.), 2007.
September. P. 218222; World Bank. World Development Report, 2008. Washington
(D.C.), 2007. P. 335.
42
, 19802005 .
/ ( ) ,
1020% ( : UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics, 20062007.
N.Y., 2007. P. 206212, 224226, 410, 432; IMF. World Economic Outlook. 2007.
September. Washington (D.C.). P. 218222; World Bank. World Development Report,
2008. Washington (D.C.), 2007. P. 335).
43
: World Development Indicators, 1998. P. 13; 2003. P. 219; 2004. P. 183,
195; 2007. P. 191, 223; UNDP. Human Development Report, 1994. N.Y., 1994. P. 13.
44
: World Development Indicators, 1998. P. 44; 2007. P. 42, 289; World
Development Report, 2008. P. 343.
45
: j = htma , ht ()
; ma
.
46
: World Development Report, 2008. P. 342343.
47
World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 325.
48
: World Bank. World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 218220.
49
, 2005 . , , 10
11% (Winning the Fight against Corruption // World Economic Forum on
Africa. 2006. 6 Jan.).
50
, , ( ) , ,
1822%,
( . . ; . : .. , . ., 2000. . 47).
51
, .
52
yi/yj = mi/mjfi/fj, y, m, f (i, j) , .
53
. 5, : UNDP. Human Development Report,
1994; 2003; 2007.
54
: World Development Indicators, 2004. P. 40, 44; 2007. P. 42, 46.
55
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: World Bank. World Development Report, 2000/2001. P. 310311;
World Development Indicators, 2007. P. 300302, 305306. ,
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1998 .
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World Economic Forum. African Competitiveness Report, 2007. P. 103.
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(Bradsher K. How Big Is the Chinese Economy? // The
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: World Bank. World Development Indicators, 2007.
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(Johnson S., Ostry J., Subramanian A. The
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G n = 1 - 1 n [2 Q i + 1] , Gn , Qi (n1) . 0
( ) 1 ( ).
: World Bank. World Development Indicators, 1997. P. 5456; 2006.
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,
(UNCTAD. Economic Development in Africa. N.Y., 2007. P. 89).
(Ravallion M. Are There
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, ,
, ,
(Johnson S., Ostry J., Subramanian A. The
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MA, 2007. May).
: K t = K 0 + (I - A ) , K0 Kt t
; I
( ) ; A
(.: .. : , , ., 1996. . 41).
2000 . ,
K2000/Y2000 = m/(g + ), K Y
2000 .; m 2000 .;
g 1990- .; ( .: Hulten C., Isakson A. Why Development Levels
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