You are on page 1of 10

t

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Y
3.0
4.2
5.7
8.3
11.5
16.0
22.4
31.0
44.6
60.1
84.3
118.6
163.9

5-4A1:B14

Y ae bt

(1) ab
(2) R,
(3)14

Excel EXP()

180.0
160.0
140.0
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
0

10


3.071786
4.279485
5.962003
8.306017
11.5716
16.12108
22.45922
31.28927
43.59092
60.72908
84.60525
117.8686
164.2096

a
b
mse

2.204906843
0.331573736
0.178858313

y = 2.1505e0.334x
R = 0.9999
Series1
Series2
Expon. (Series1)

10

15

t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Y
3.0
4.2
5.7
8.3
11.5
16.0
22.4
31.0
44.6
60.1
84.3
118.6
163.9

a
b

2.1505
0.334

200.0

14
230.8344

160.0
120.0

Y ae bt

80.0
40.0
0.0
0

y = 2.1505e0.334x
R = 0.9999

10

12

14

t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Y
3.0
3.1
4.2
4.3
5.7
6.0
8.3
8.3
11.5
11.6
16.0
16.1
22.4
22.5
31.0
31.3
44.6
43.6
60.1
60.7
84.3
84.6
118.6
117.9
163.9
164.2

a
b
MSE

2.204906741
0.33157374
0.178858313

14
228.7701002

in C2:
in F4:

=$F$2*EXP(A2*$F$3)
=SUMXMY2(C2:C14,B2:B14)/COUNT(C2:C14)


200.0

150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
0

10

15

t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Y Ln(Y)
3.0 1.0986123
4.2 1.4350845
5.7 1.7404662
8.3 2.1162555
11.5
2.442347
16.0 2.7725887
22.4
3.109061
31.0 3.4339872
44.6 3.7977339
60.1 4.0960098
84.3 4.4343819
118.6 4.7757565
163.9 5.0992565

ln(a)
a
b
R

0.765722
2.150545
0.334035
0.999905

14
230.9515

3908.279

200.0
160.0
120.0
80.0
40.0
0.0
0

10

12

14