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.

11, 2010

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, , 2001 2008 ,
.
.
: , ,
Prokhach E.Yu.
Experimental and analytic estimation of soil pollution around the
rocket fuel components storages
According to the environmental test site territory, which preserved heptyl,
conducted in 2001 and 2008, findings regarding changes in time and concentration of heptyl in the soil. The possibility of forecasting the spread of this toxic
substance in the environment.
Key words: environmental test, heptyl, spread

303.09
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1. t .
.
2. .
3. t
.
( m ) , h
, m .
t . , , t . 3 t .
t t .

113

. 11, 2010

h n t = h / n .
, t
t = h / n . , t
1 ( h / n) . , n n . ,
n k [10]
Cnk ( p ) (1 p )
k

nk

(1)

,
Pk (t ) =

Cnk

h
n

1 n

n k

(2)

n
k h . n .
Pk (t ) =

lim Cnk
n

h
n

1 n

nk

(3)

(3)
n

Cnk

n k

n ( n 1) ... ( n k + 1) ( h )
=
k!
nk

=
k
h

(4)

n ( n 1) ... ( n k + 1) ( h )
n
=
.
k
k!
nk
h
1

( t ) / k ! n ,
k

, (4),
114

..

lim

n ( n 1) ... ( n k + 1)
nk

= 1;

1
e h
n

=
= e h .
lim
k
n
1
h

(5)

, k
h

( h )
P (t ) =
k

k!

e h .

(6)

, (6) -
t.
, . [11]
y = (1 ebn ) ,

(7)

- ,
; b ,
; n
.
(6) (7),

n

( )
(1 ebi )

i =1

i!

e .

(8)

,
, M n
(1 M n ) . (8)

115

. 11, 2010

,
(1 M n ) y .
,
, ( M n ) , - , .
,

dM n
= (1 M n ) y ( M n ) .
dt

(9)

(9)
M n (t ) =

y
y
+ (M0
)e(( y )t ,
y +
y +

(10)

M 0 = M n (0)
t = 0.
.
.

.

1.
2.

3.
4.

116

2008 [ ] : http://www.mns.gov.ua/content/annual_report_2008.html.
59 i 06.02.2006.

[
]

:
http://zakon1.rada.gov.ua/cgi-bin/laws/main.cgi?nreg=z0480-06.
.. /
.. .: , 1969. 400 .
.. / .. .: , 1970. 112 .
..

5.

.., .. . .: . . ,
1993. 268 .
6. .. / .. , .. . .: , 2007. 343 .
7. .. / .. .: ,
1988. 413 .
8. .. / .. .:
, 1998. 300 .
9. .. / .. .: , 1986. 152 .
10. .. / .. .:
, 2001. 208 .
11. .. /
.. , .. . : , 1988. - 160
.

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Rogozin A.S.
Model of process informing of population
The model of process of informing of the population, proceeding from representations about information reception, as process which has casual character
is constructed
Key words: informing, process, mathematical model, analysis

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