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0,1 = 1, 2,3:
in swhich family B ties to catch up to family A but fails to do s0, the sum of theseD, D,
+ miles
=
ri z traveled
(wy
‘Stage 1 (aticr initial 60 minutes)
a Dy
les
traveled
miles
traveled
mH) CHOSH
Dy Dy
+ + rites
+
traveled,
0 P, mR,
(60) (90) (Ws) ct2.3)
Stage 4 (after further t, = 7.5 minutes)
* Dy 2D,
Lu miles
a
. a traveled
Stage i+ | (after further +, minutes)
Figure 3.8 Relative location ofthe families in the Achilles Paradox story35 SERIES 95
Example 3.18
nite series which converges:
Hea ele
For the simple example above we know that the limit of this infinite series ts
460 (minutes), which is the time it takes for Family B to overtake family A.To see
this formally, note that the series 1; has tems) = 30, to = 15.79 =7.5.-.-,.0F
= ap! witha = 30and p= 0.5. Thus s; = Sot a iva geometri series and
lion 5
Having resolved the Achilles Paradox by recognizing that an infinite sum
of positive numbers may be finite should not lead one to claim oo much. Inthe
geometric series, ¢, =a" with [p| < L-themth term approaches zero us > 20.
However, it is ot generally correct that for any sequence ty With liMy-.:.
the associated series s, 1; converges.
‘The series constricted from the sequence ay = 1/n, called the harmonic series,
«does nol converge even though litt .2. dy = 0. (This is left as an exercise.) The
intuition isthat if a seriesis toconverge, the nth term (a,) of tsussociated sequence
‘must approach zero “quickly enough’ that the sum of the terms ts finite even. as
nn 6, This i the rationale of the condition stated in theorem 3.4, that
‘aya
‘which ensures that a series is convergent. Note that for the harmonic sequence
Present Value of a Stream of Payments
Earlier we saw how the sequence PV; = V/(1 +r’ (see equation 3.3) represents
the present value of an amount of money V received ¢ periods into the future
Im many economic setinss we need! (0 compute the equivalent present value of
a seties (ie. the sum total) of such amounts, For example, a morgage or other
long-term Joan represents & current sum of money loaned to an individual or96 CHAPTERS SEQUENCES, SERIES, AND LIMITS
insttation in seturn for a stream of future payments. ‘Thus, {fan individual makes
annual payments atthe end of exch year in amount V for 7 years, with the interest
‘ate being r, then the present value of this Stream of payments is
e=y v
See Oe
NS rie ae
Oe
36)
“The relationships among the variablesin equation (3,6) te worked out in mort
sage tables. They are generally computed on a monthly basis, in which case the
appropriate interest rate isr/12, where isthe annual rate and T refers tothe num
ber of monthly rather bun yearly payments. However, let us consider the following
example based on annval payments, The yearly payment required to compensale
{lender for a loan of amount $100,000 at an interest rate of 8% (» = 0.08) spread
ver 25 years is V = $9,367.88, while if payments are spread over SO years the
annual payments would te $8,174.28. Note that if the payments were to be made
in perptity (ie, T —> 9c), we could Use the formal fran nfnte geometric
sees with d= V/(L-+N. p = 1/(1-+rhsince
Sy vito ov
ity Fis Se a IN) 7
te = Dia Tiana 7
Thus we get V = rP = $8,000 for our example, which is Tasty close tothe
valle when payments are made for 50 years. The reson fr this is iMustrated by
the fact that the present value of $8.000 received 50 years from now, when the
ieverest rate is 8¢, is omly $8.000/¢1 +008)" = $170.57, The present value of
all payments of amknnt V = $8,000 received after $0 years ws
tin So = Ji Py ~
tin ey A Dae
which is only $2,132.13 in our example (100,000 — $97,867.87), «difference of
only 2.1% (approximately), "Thus we see that using the formula for an infinite |
series is often & good approximation for evaluating the present value of 3 finite
series, provided that the number of periods or the interest rate isnot too small. The
reason for the later requiresnent is that if i close to zero, the discount factor,
= 1/(1 +9), is close to one, and so future payments are not discounted very
‘nvich and thus should wot be ignored. In fact, if the interest rate is only 1/2 of
1%. then we find that the present value of an infinite stream of payments of SK.000
per year is $1.6 million and the present value of the payments received afes the |Example 3.19
35 SERIES 97
‘50th year is
z Vv
ie eae
cad
$1,246,858
which is 78% of the entire present value, compared to the error of 2.1% if the
interest rate were 8% (rom the calculation above),
Suppose that a stream of equal pay:nents of amount $10,000 per year is to continue
in perpetuity. AL the interest rate of 6% compute
(i) the present value of this entre stream of benefits
(ii) the present value of che benefits beginning atthe end of the SOth year
(ii) the present value of the first 30 years of benetits
Solution
oy
$F Sica00 _ sto000
lim Pr
mF (1.06 ~~ 0.06
$166,666.67
(ii) as of the beginning of the 50k year the present value of $10,000 per year
in perpetuity is $166,666.67, as computed in part (). Since this isin effect
eceived atthe end of the SOth year. its current (ie..8 of now) present value
‘must be discounted so that it becomes
$166,666.67
(o6ys7 = $048.06
‘The present value ofthe firs 50 years’ Worth of payments is simply the answer
im i) Less that in Ci
$3166 666.67 ~ $9,048.06 = $157,618.61 .
“The examples above all dea! with the problem of determining the present value
‘of @ series of equal payments. In general, however, one can evaluate the present
value of any pattern of payments. Suppose, for example, that a business firm is
‘considering the possibility of making acurrent (and immediate) investment of $C,
the payatf of which will be the sules revenue af a product whose sales will increase
lover time. Let us assume that the production process will begin at the end of one98 CHAPTERS SEQUENCES, SERIES, AND LIMITS.
Example 3.20
{year and that net profit from sales of the product is Sr(1 + g) the first year and
‘will grow at a rate of g each subsequent year. Thus the profit for period ¢ will
bea, = 711 +g, and the (undiscounted) valve of the stream of benefits (gross
benefits) will be
‘which isa divengent series if and g are positive. The discounted or present value
‘of the stream of benefits is
3a)
which is just geometric series, with @=(h +g)/(+r) and p=(14+8)/
(+2), $0 that PVB = m(l + g)/(r ~ g) and is finite valued if and only if