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PULSE POLIO PROGRAM - RISK ASSESSMENT EXAMPLE

Risk Likelihood Staff/Volunteers (S) S1 - Trained staff/volunteers available in urban and rural areas (0.1) S2 - Trained staff/volunteers available in urban areas and training to be conducted in rural areas (0.5) S3 - Training to be conducted in urban as well as rural areas (0.9) Polio Drops (PD) PD1 - Available and handling operations well managed (0.1) PD2 - Rural areas concern - Transportation and handling (0.3) PD3 - Rural/Urban areas concern - Transportation and handling (0.5) PD4 - Rural areas concern Availability, transportation and handling. Urban areas concern Transportation and handling (0.7) PD5 - Rural/Urban areas concern Availability, Transportation and handling (0.9) Logistics (L) L1 - Funding, camp sites, generating awareness, bulk operations well managed (0.1) L2 - Issues Camp sites (0.3) L3 - Issues Camp sites and generating awareness (0.5) L4 - Issues Camp sites, generating awareness and bulk operations (0.7) L5 - Issues - Funding, camp sites, generating awareness and bulk operations (0.9) Users (U) U1 - Bulk users willing, convinced and reach the camp sites (0.1) U2 - Bulk users willing and convinced but do not reach the camp sites (0.3) U3 - Bulk users to be convinced through awareness programmes and reach the camp sites (0.5) U4 - Bulk users convinced through awareness programmes but do not reach the camp sites (0.7) U5 - Bulk/critical users not convinced to reach the camp sites (0.9) CLF = ___ + ___ + ___ + ___

Risk Impacts

Time taken for Polio eradication T1 - 3 years (0.1) T2 - 5 years (0.3) T3 - 7 years (0.5) T4 - 9 years (0.7) T5 - 11 years (0.9) Funding F1 - Available throughout (0.1) F2 - Restriction on funding mid way (0.5) F3 - Funding stopped (0.9) Project Status PS1 - Completed successfully on schedule (0.1) PS2 - Completed successfully but delayed (0.5) PS3 Terminated (0.9) CIF = ___ + ___ + ___ Risk Consequence RCR = CLF + CIF CLF(CIF)