DECISION MAKING TECHNIQUE 3

PROJECT PROPOSAL FOR GROUP ASSIQNMENT 2

PREPARED BY:
ZAKIAH BT ISA 203710 AIMI LIYANA BT ABDUL RAZAK 199570 SHAFIKA BT SUKAR 203514

ROSHALINA BT DERASA 203780 NOOR AFIZA HIDAYAH BT SHAHARUDDIN 203617

PREPARED FOR:
DR. ABDULLAH SWIDI

DATE OF SUBMISSION:
28/3/2012

Project Topic : Game Theory Introduction : The project that we agreed to do is game theory. Game theory is a method of studying strategic decision making. More formally, it is the study of mathematical models of conflict and cooperation between intelligent rational decision-makers. An alternative term suggested as a more descriptive name for the discipline is interactive decision theory.

Project Description : The project is based on T.V drama called Numb3r. This T.V drama is about solving crimes using mathematics solution. We got the inspiration to do the game theory based on one of the episode where a truck carrying radioactive material is stolen, and the thieves threaten to set off a dirty bomb in L.A. in 12 hours if they aren't paid $20 million. After the bomb has been discovered, the criminal is arrested. There are two criminals that were involved in the same crime, and for the police to successfully convict either one of them, they need the testimony of the other one.

Objective : The objective of this project is to considered the impact of the strategies of the criminals whether to testifies or remain silent.

Problem Methodology : The problem can be solved using the Prisoner's Dilemma, which is a particular game that shows that if the players in a game are only looking out for themselves and not colluding with the other players, then the results of the game might be worse for everyone involved. The prisoners dilemma can be applied toward the two criminals that involved in the crime. If neither prisoner testifies, then they will each serve 3 months on minor charges. If one testifies and the other doesn't, then the testifier will go free and the other will serve 11 years. However, if both testify, then each will get 5 years. Now it's obvious that if the prisoners can collude and trust each other, neither will testify. This result would be the best possible outcome in the sense that the total time served would be minimized. However, if each prisoner only acts in his own interest, both of them will testify. This is because if one prisoner testifies, the outcome for him is better than if he didn't testify no matter what the other person does. Prisoners 1 testifies Prisoners 1 silent Prisoners 2 testifies 5 years, 5 years 11 years, 0 Prisoners 2 silent 0, 11 years 3 months, 3 months

Lecturer Approval;