Safety Measures for WIND Seek shelter in a strong building (lowest floor) DUST

Stay away from windows If driving, pull off the road and turn off lights

Dec 8 2009

BREAK INVERSION/CLEAR MIX DONW HIGHER MOMENTUM WINDS

LEE SLOPES TAKE A HIT NE ELP ~ 1.5 X KELP WIND/PRECIP CHINOOK WARMBACKDOOR WEST SIDE 60 MPH COLD

LIGHTNING SAFETY
INDOORS:
Sturdy building No corded phones No corded appliances Avoid water/plumbing

OUTDOORS:
Enclosed automobile Low spot away from tall objects or open water Dont be the tallest object exposed! Crouch on balls of feet if skin tingles or hair stands on

82% OF LIGHTNING DEATHS ARE MEN

El Paso TX June 2004

~25K -10C 30/30

LIGHTNING IS LOSE LOSE DIE YOU LOSE SURVIVE YOU LOSE

MORAL: AVOID IT AT ALL COSTS

Mike Hardimen NWS/NOAA

STABLE WARM AIR ALOFT OVER SURFACE COLD AIR

Basal Cell Carcinoma

1000 TO 1500 HOURS LST

Heat is the silent killer

NIGHT TEMPS OVER 80

ON THE "AVERAGE" EL PASO EXPERIENCES 14.3 DAYS OF TRIPLE DIGITS PER YEAR.

SINCE 1879 NO YEAR HAS GONE WITHOUT AT LEAST ONE TRIPLE DIGIT OCCURRENCE. THE FOLLOWING YEARS SAW ONLY ONE OCCURRENCE OF TRIPLE DIGITS.

1899 1904 1914 1917 1919 1926 1941 1

FROM 1879 THROUGH 2010 THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE HAS REACHED 100 DEGREES F OR HIGHER 1981TIMES.

DROUGHT

1993-2003 2.5 years of rain lost

Drought is a big deal. Cancer analogy

118 DAYS 2/3-8/31/2011

ULTIMATE CHALLENGES: 3% OF ALL WATER IS FRESH/POTABLE ALONG WITH ALTERNATE ENERGY SOURCES

FUTURE WARS WILL MOST LIKELY BE FOUGHT FOR WATER VS. OIL

OCCASIONAL SNOWSTORMS

#2 NW Blitz

FOG WET GND CALM CLR SNOW COVER

6.7 INCHES

CRAZY EXTREME WEATHER

ON SENSING A PERTUBATION IN THE DARK FORCE FEB 1 6 EL PASO, TEXAS

Typical US Temperature, Precipitation and Jet Stream Patterns during La Nia Winters

DUST BOWL YEARS

TUESDAY FEBRUARY 1, 2011

WITH RARE AND OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF WINTER

FEB 2011 A RECORD SETTING MONTH A 5.3% EVENT

FEB 2.......15 DEG F RECORD LOW HIGH TEMP FOR THE DATE AND ALL TIME. FEB 2.......6 DEG F RECORD LOW FOR THE DATE. FEB 3.......18 DEG F RECORD LOW HIGH TEMP FOR THE DATE. FEB 3.......1 DEG F RECORD LOW FOR THE DATE. FEB 4.......3 DEG F RECORD LOW FOR THE DATE. FEB 11......16 DEG F RECORD LOW FOR THE DATE. FEB 16......80 DEG F RECORD HIGH TEMP FOR THE DATE. FEB 17......54 DEG F RECORD HIGH LOW TEMP FOR THE DATE. FEB 2011 SAW ALL 4 EXTREME LOW HIGH TEMPS SET IN ONE MONTH (LOW LOW / HIGH LOW / LOW HIGH / HIGH HIGH). THIS WAS THE ONLY MONTH THIS WAS DONE IN EL PASO SINCE RECORDS STARTED IN 1878. THE EXTREME RANGE OF TEMPERATURE FROM 1 TO 80 DEG F (SPREAD OF 79 DEG F IN ONE MONTH) WAS ALSO AN ALL TIME RECORD FOR EL PASO. $$

YEAR 1881 1887 1887 1899 1913 1913 1948 1948 1962 1962 1962 1987 2011 2011 2011

MONTH 1 12 12 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 2 2 2

DAY 1 23 24 12 2 7 28 29 10 11 12 18 2 3 4

TEMP Fo 5 -2 5 5 2 4 4 -6 1 -8 0 6 6 1 3 20-25 YEARS

5.3% at 10 F 78 HRS < 32OF

5X 2006 FLOOD

Cumulative Precipitation since 6/2010 by month Red=normal Blue = actual

inches

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06

Fall La Nia

TEXAS 5 YRS

FIRE DRY HOT

THROUGH JUNE 30 .16 2011 .58 1969 .59 1902

Recall 2006!!!

RAINFALL
RAINFALL MAX IN 24 HOURS MAX MONTHLY MAX YEARLY MAX # CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH .01 IN OR MORE 6.50 IN 8.81 IN 18.29 IN JUL 9, 1881 JUL 1881 1884

10 DAYS
1.75 IN .23 IN 118 DAYS

SEP 15 - 24 , 1974
AUG APR FEB 3 - MAY 31, 2011

NORMAL WETTEST MONTH NORMAL DRIEST MONTH

MAX # CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH NO RAIN. NOT EVEN A TRACE MAX # CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH NO MEASURABLE RAIN (TRACE INCLUDED). ANNUAL NORMAL

136 DAYS 9.43 IN

FEB 7 - JUN 22, 1910 ANNUAL NORMAL

High

JULY ~ RH RECOVERY

WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU

These temperatures are referred to as "average annual minimum temperatures" and are based on the lowest temperatures recorded for each of the years 1974 to 1986 in the United States and Canada and 1971 to 1984 in Mexico. U.S.D.A. HARDINESS ZONE.

67%

CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE

CLIMATE IS WHAT YOU EXPECT! BUT WEATHER IS WHAT YOU GET!

WHY DO I HAVE A JOB ?

SOLAR RADIATION DIFFERENTIAL HEATING CONTINUOUS HEAT/MOMENTUM TRANSPORT FROM EQUATORIL REGIONS TO THE POLE. ITCZTROPICAL CONVECTION (THUNDERSTORMS) IS THE GLOBAL INITIATETOR!...THE BRIDGE BETWEEN THE LATENT HEAT OF THE TROPICAL OCEAN AND THE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION.

Heatmoisturemomentum transport

Thermostats

MICRO CLIMATES EL PASO EXAMPLE KEPZ/KELP

NOT A BIG PLAYER IN GLOBAL WARMING

Agung, 1963

El Chichon (1982) Mt. Pinatubo (1991)

Hansen, Scientific American, March 2004

Milankovicth Cycles

Currently the difference between closest approach to the Sun (perihelion) and furthest distance (aphelion) is only 3.4% (5.1 million km). This difference amounts to about a 6.8% increase in incoming solar radiation. Perihelion presently occurs around January 3, while aphelion is around July 4. When the orbit is at its most highly elliptical, the amount of solar radiation at perihelion is about 23% greater than at aphelion. This difference is roughly 4 times the value of the eccentricity.

~ 106 and 4 X 106 years

0 to 86 to 68

What a difference an atmo can makebut the answer is still wrong

ENSO
Natural Variability

El Nio: A phenomenon in the equatorial Pacific Ocean characterized by a positive sea surface temperature departure from normal (for the 1971-2000 base period) in the Nio 3.4 region greater than or equal in magnitude to 0.5C, averaged over three consecutive months.

Need subject title separators