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Florida Results

For 9/29/2012 - 9/30/2012


Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
Executive Summary
On September 29th 30th,
2012, Gravis Marketing, a
non-partisan research firm,
conducted a survey of 914
likely voters in the state of
Florida regarding their
likely vote for a given
presidential candidate,
senate candidate, and other
social and economic issues
important to voters. The
poll carries a margin of
error of 3.4%. A full list
of the questions,
summaries of the
responses, and the cross
tabulations follow.
Presidential race
The contest for the presidential office continues to be close, with the
most Obama holding a 49.0% to 48.4% advantage over Romney. The
Senate race is also just as close, with Nelson possessing a 43.1% to
43.0% lead, with 13.9% of likely voters still undecided.
In addition to the President and Senate races, the poll addressed some
other issues relevant to the nation as a whole and to voters in Florida.
Is America headed in the right direction?

U.S. Headed in Right Direction?


Romney

63.8%
36.2%

Governor Rick Scotts job


performance?

Scott and Charlie Crist, Scott comes


out ahead among likely voters by a
45.1% to 40.8% advantage.
Other hypothetical races between
Rick Scott and challengers?

27.0%

34.9%

Among the two other hypothetical


races the poll address, Scott holds a
45.1% to 35.2% advantage against
Alex Sink and a 43.4% to
30.8% lead against Buddy Dyer.

38.2%

Scott's job performance?


Positive
Negative
Unsure/Other

Wrong

Right

Right

Governor Scott's job


performance

Wrong

In a hypothetical race between Rick

Wrong

Right

4.4%

16.2%

On the whole, 34.9% indicated they


think positively of Governor Rick
Scotts job performance, whereas
38.2% indicated they view his job
performance as negative.
Rick Scott vs. Charlie Crist?

Unsure/Other

95.6%

Obama

83.8%

Overall, likely voters indicated they


think America is on the wrong track,
with 57.7% indicating American is
headed in the wrong direction and
42.3% indicating they think America is
on the right track. The issue is largely
divergent along party lines, with 95.6%
of Republican indicating they think the
Nation is on the wrong track, while
83.8% of Democrats indicating they
think America is on the right track.
Among Independents, 63.8% think
America is on the wrong track.

What do you think about the case


against George Zimmerman and
Trayvon Martin?

Scott vs. Dyer

Scott vs. Sink


19.8%

25.8%

35.2%
The final question of the poll
addressed opinions regarding
43.4%
whether Zimmerman is guilty of
murder in the shooting death of
30.8%
45.1%
Trayvon Martin. Overall, 33.9% of
individuals think Zimmerman is
guilty of murder, while 32.1% do not Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer? Alex Sink or Rick Scott?
think he is guilty, 29.8% are unsure,
Scott
Sink
Dyer
Scott
and 4.1% dont know enough about
Other/Unsure
Other/Unsure
the case. The results according to
likely presidential vote and race are reported in the following chart.

Don't
know
enough

Presidential
race

Unsure

Guilty

Not guilty

Zimmerman Case

Obama

% of Total

100%
83.0%

50%
50.7%
27.1%18.0%
0%
4.3%

76.6%

8.0% 8.0%

39.1%
26.1%34.8%

7.1% 16.2%

0.9%

93.1%
50% 76.9%
0%

11.9%11.2%

6.9%

100.0%

88.9%
50%

63.6%
36.4%

57.1%
42.9%

Note: the larger the dot, the larger the voting block.
Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty
Not guilty
Unsure
Don't know enough

Hispanic

Black

White

Other

Asian

Hispanic

Black

White

Other

Asian

Hispanic

Black

Asian

Hispanic

Black

0% 11.1%
White

% of Total

4.8% 11.2% 0.8% 1.6%

7.5% 5.3% 4.7% 1.4%

100%
Unsure/Other

81.5%

81.0%

White

Romney

% of Total

100%

Summary Results
Data Summary
Likelihood to vote

Percent of total

Likely

10.3%

Somewhat likely

2.0%

Very likely

87.7%
Party

Democrat

37.1%

Independent

29.7%

Republican

33.3%
Race

Asian

1.9%

Black

13.4%

Hispanic

15.3%

Other/Unsure

0.5%

White

68.9%
Religious affiliation

Catholic

27.0%

Jewish

5.7%

Muslim

1.7%

Other/No affiliation

19.9%

Protestant/Oth.Christian

45.7%

Age group
18-29

14.0%

30-49

34.5%

50-64

28.5%

65+

22.9%

Sex
Female

52.3%

Male

47.7%
Presidential race

Likely Obama

5.0%

Likely Romney

3.3%

Somewhat likely Obama

0.9%

Somewhat likely Romney

1.4%

Unsure

2.5%

Very likely Obama

43.1%

Very likely Romney

43.7%

Senate race
Likely Mack

4.4%

Likely Nelson

4.9%

Somewhat likely Mack

3.1%

Somewhat likely Nelson

3.3%

Unsure

13.9%

Very likely Mack

35.5%

Very likely Nelson

35.0%

Investment management: who's better?


Obama

32.5%

Other

14.3%

Romney

53.2%
U.S. direction?

Right direction

42.3%

Wrong direction

57.7%

Scott's job performance


Negative

38.2%

Positive

34.9%

Unsure

27.0%
Scott vs. Crist

Crist

40.8%

Scott

45.1%

Unsure

14.1%
Scott vs. Dyer

Dyer

30.8%

Scott

43.4%

Unsure

25.8%
Sink vs. Scott

Scott

45.1%

Sink

35.2%

Unsure

19.8%
Zimmerman guilty?

Don't know enough

4.1%

Guilty

33.9%

Not guilty

32.1%

Unsure

29.8%
Presidential race overall

Obama

49.0%

Other

2.5%

Romney

48.4%
Senate race overall

Mack

43.0%

Nelson

43.1%

Other

13.9%

Survey Questions
1. Are you registered to vote? (Yes, No)
2. How likely are you to vote in this years presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely,
Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
(Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian,
Other)
5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic,
Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
6. What is your age group (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65+)?
7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)
8a. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Obama,
Likely Obama, Somewhat likely Obama, Undecided, Somewhat likely Romney, Likely Romney,
Very likely Romney)
8b. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Romney,
Likely Romney, Somewhat likely Romney, Undecided, Somewhat likely Obama, Likely Obama,
Very likely Obama)
9a. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, whom would you vote for (Veer likely
Nelson, Likely Nelson, Somewhat likely Nelson, Undecided, Somewhat likely Mack, Likely
Mack, Very likely Mack)
9b. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, whom would you vote for (Very likely Mack,
Likely Mack, Somewhat likely Mack, Undecided, Somewhat likely Nelson, Likely Nelson, Very
likely Nelson).
10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, whom would you trust more (Obama,
Romney, Undecided)?
11. Is the United States of America headed in the right direction (Right direction, wrong
direction)?
12. How would you rate Rick Scotts job performance (positive, negative, unsure)?
13. In a hypothetical race for Governor in 2014, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or
Democrat Charlie Crist?
14. In a hypothetical race for Governor in 2014, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or

Democrat Buddy Dyer?


15. If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Alex Sink or Rick Scott?
16. Final question is concerning the State of Florida versus George Zimmerman. Do you
believe that George Zimmerman is guilty, not guilty, unsure, or unfamiliar with the case?
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing categories for anticipated voting
proportions for the 2012 General Election.

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

log type:
opened on:
.
>
>
>
>

Sunday September 30 23:02:17 2012

Page 1

smcl
30 Sep 2012, 23:00:54

tab2 likelihoodtovote party race religiousaffiliation agegroup sex presiden


tialrace senaterace investmentmangementobamaromney usdirection scottsjobper
formance rickscottorcharliecrist rickscottorbuddydyer alexsinkorrickscott z
immermanguilty presidentialraceoverall senateraceoverall, cell chi2 lrchi2
nofreq

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by party


Likelihood to
vote

Democrat

Party
Independe

Republica

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

3.94
0.73
32.39

4.09
0.54
25.05

2.24
0.49
30.54

10.26
1.75
87.99

Total

37.06

29.67

33.27

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

18.3428
18.8025

Pr = 0.001
Pr = 0.001

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by race


Likelihood to
vote
> Total

Asian

Black

Race
Hispanic

Other/Uns

White

>
Likely
> 10.28
Somewhat likely
>
1.79
Very likely
> 87.93

0.65

2.23

1.99

0.00

5.41

0.05

0.20

0.79

0.00

0.74

1.19

10.92

12.51

0.55

62.76

1.89

13.36

15.29

0.55

68.92

>
Total
> 100.00
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

74.5561
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by religiousaffiliation


Likelihood to
vote
> Total

Catholic

Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim Other/No

Protestan

>
Likely
> 10.32
Somewhat likely
>
1.75
Very likely
> 87.93

2.45

1.20

0.65

1.55

4.46

0.75

0.35

0.05

0.20

0.40

23.79

4.16

1.00

18.18

40.81

26.99

5.71

1.70

19.93

45.67

>
Total
> 100.00

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

70.2148
53.1223

Page 2

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by agegroup


Likelihood to
vote

Age group
30-49
50-64

18-29

65+

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

2.11
0.30
11.62

3.67
0.45
30.38

2.31
0.80
25.40

2.21
0.20
20.52

10.31
1.76
87.93

Total

14.03

34.51

28.52

22.94

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

16.7271
16.1512

Pr = 0.010
Pr = 0.013

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by sex


Likelihood to
vote

Sex
Female

Male

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

4.86
0.41
47.01

5.12
1.22
41.39

9.98
1.62
88.40

Total

52.28

47.72

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

11.1074
11.4596

Pr = 0.004
Pr = 0.003

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by presidentialrace


Likelihood to
vote
Likely Ob Likely Ro
> like Very like
Total

Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

Very

>
Likely
> 3.31
2.55
Somewhat likely
> 0.36
0.41
Very likely
> 39.40
40.72

0.76
9.84
0.00
1.63
4.28
88.53

1.83

0.56

0.10

0.71

0.25

0.00

0.56

0.05

1.22

0.36

0.76

1.78

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

>
> 43.07

Total
43.68

Pearson chi2( 12) = 522.3078


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by senaterace


Likelihood to
vote
Likely Ma Likely Ne
> like Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

Very

>
Likely
> 1.98
1.87
Somewhat likely
> 0.27
0.38
Very likely
> 33.21
32.71
>

0.33
8.51
0.66
1.76
3.40
89.74

1.92

0.05

1.21

1.15

0.27

0.00

0.05

0.11

2.69

3.07

2.03

12.62

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

> 35.46

4.39
100.00

Total
34.96

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012


4.88

Pearson chi2( 12) = 288.6046


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

3.13

3.29

Page 3
13.89

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by investmentmangementobamaromney

Likelihood to
vote

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

3.20
0.22
29.08

1.88
0.50
11.92

3.48
1.05
48.68

8.55
1.77
89.68

Total

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

22.0256
21.7673

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by usdirection


Likelihood to
vote

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

3.28
0.37
38.65

4.02
0.80
52.88

7.30
1.18
91.53

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

1.2284
1.2555

Pr = 0.541
Pr = 0.534

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by scottsjobperformance


Likelihood to
vote

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

3.33
0.06
34.76

2.07
0.50
32.31

2.01
0.63
24.32

7.42
1.19
91.39

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

13.5092
15.6630

Pr = 0.009
Pr = 0.004

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by rickscottorcharliecrist


Likelihood to
vote

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

3.08
0.39
37.29

2.63
0.51
41.98

1.86
0.32
11.94

7.57
1.22
91.21

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

15.7156
13.9396

Pr = 0.003
Pr = 0.007

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by rickscottorbuddydyer

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Likelihood to
vote

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

1.56
0.39
28.88

2.61
0.52
40.22

3.46
0.33
22.03

7.63
1.24
91.13

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

25.5072
23.0683

Page 4

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by alexsinkorrickscott


Likelihood to
vote

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

2.62
0.85
41.58

2.55
0.39
32.22

2.42
0.00
17.35

7.60
1.24
91.16

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

18.1966
.

Pr = 0.001

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by zimmermanguilty


Likelihood to
vote

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

0.79
0.07
3.29

3.03
0.39
30.53

2.43
0.72
28.95

1.38
0.07
28.36

7.63
1.25
91.12

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

26.9551
25.8666

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by presidentialraceoverall


Likelihood to
vote

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

4.64
0.36
44.04

0.71
0.05
1.78

4.49
1.22
42.71

9.84
1.63
88.53

Total

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

28.8786
23.9837

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of likelihoodtovote by senateraceoverall


Likelihood to
vote

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Likely
Somewhat likely
Very likely

2.36
0.93
39.68

4.99
0.71
37.43

1.15
0.11
12.62

8.51
1.76
89.74

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

20.6507
21.2718

Page 5

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by race

Party

Asian

Black

Race
Hispanic

Other/Uns

White

Tot

> al
>
Democrat
> 14
Independent
> 44
Republican
> 42

0.35

7.45

6.60

0.10

22.64

37.

1.19

5.01

5.21

0.25

17.78

29.

0.35

0.89

3.48

0.20

28.50

33.

1.89

13.36

15.29

0.55

68.92

100.

>
Total
> 00
Pearson chi2( 8) = 166.6165
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 188.6983

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by religiousaffiliation

Party

Catholic

Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim Other/No

Protestan

Tot

> al
>
Democrat
> 91
Independent
> 44
Republican
> 65

10.37

2.00

0.30

9.61

14.62

36.

8.51

2.15

1.25

7.51

10.02

29.

8.11

1.55

0.15

2.80

21.03

33.

26.99

5.71

1.70

19.93

45.67

100.

>
Total
> 00
Pearson chi2( 8) = 172.9248
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 178.1629

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by agegroup

Party

18-29

Age group
30-49
50-64

65+

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4.83
5.23
3.97

14.89
10.21
9.41

8.35
8.60
11.57

8.70
5.53
8.70

36.77
29.58
33.65

Total

14.03

34.51

28.52

22.94

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
-> tabulation of party by sex

48.3154
48.5755

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Page 6

Sex
Party

Female

Male

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

23.05
10.94
18.29

13.73
18.64
15.35

36.78
29.58
33.64

Total

52.28

47.72

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

87.3397
88.1350

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by presidentialrace

> e

Party
Likely Ob Likely Ro
Very like
Total

Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

Very lik

>
Democrat
> 8
5.91
Independent
> 9
12.54
Republican
> 9
25.23

1.58
36.70
3.01
29.56
0.46
33.74

0.15

0.20

0.10

0.66

28.0

1.63

0.41

1.07

0.92

9.9

1.53

0.31

0.25

0.97

4.9

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

43.0

>
> 7

Total
43.68

Pearson chi2( 12) = 705.3086


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 734.9493

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by senaterace

> e

Party
Likely Ma Likely Ne
Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

Very lik

>
Democrat
> 7
23.38
Independent
> 6
7.03
Republican
> 2
4.56

0.66
36.44
2.31
29.42
1.43
34.14

1.87

0.38

1.92

3.46

4.7

2.58

1.65

0.77

6.53

8.5

0.44

1.10

0.60

3.90

22.1

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

35.4

>
> 6

Total
34.96

Pearson chi2( 12) = 643.5499


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 641.9398

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by investmentmangementobamaromney

Party

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

23.62
7.06
1.82

6.62
5.24
2.43

6.02
17.27
29.91

36.26
29.58
34.16

Total

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Pearson chi2( 4) = 707.8309


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 779.4813

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by usdirection

Party

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

28.01
11.50
2.78

6.00
17.50
34.20

34.01
29.00
36.98

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 659.3272


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 741.4102

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by scottsjobperformance

Party

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

22.94
10.25
4.97

4.27
10.43
20.18

7.04
8.67
11.25

34.26
29.35
36.39

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 372.5589


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 396.5331

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by rickscottorcharliecrist

Party

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

24.97
11.36
4.43

3.98
12.77
28.37

5.58
5.01
3.53

34.53
29.14
36.33

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 528.5420


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 580.8884

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by rickscottorbuddydyer

Party

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

20.73
7.30
2.80

3.52
12.52
27.31

10.56
9.13
6.13

34.81
28.94
36.25

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 538.0070


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 588.6512

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by alexsinkorrickscott

Page 7

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

3.34
12.77
28.95

22.79
8.71
3.67

8.45
7.60
3.73

34.58
29.08
36.35

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Party

Pearson chi2( 4) = 579.0507


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 635.6039

Page 8

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by zimmermanguilty

Party

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

1.51
1.18
1.45

17.50
9.67
6.78

4.74
11.97
15.39

10.59
6.38
12.83

34.34
29.21
36.45

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 181.3904


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 196.1945

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by presidentialraceoverall

Party

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

29.87
13.40
5.76

0.66
0.92
0.97

6.17
15.24
27.01

36.70
29.56
33.74

Total

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 582.4784


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 631.4385

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by senateraceoverall

Party

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5.82
12.51
24.64

27.17
10.37
5.60

3.46
6.53
3.90

36.44
29.42
34.14

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 537.5912


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 555.0089

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by religiousaffiliation

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Race

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim Other/No

Catholic

Page 9

Protestan

To

> tal
>
Asian

0.00

0.00

0.65

0.55

0.55

Black
> .22
Hispanic
> .42
Other/Unsure
> .55
White
> .05

1.40

0.50

0.45

3.36

7.51

13

8.11

0.80

0.00

4.11

2.40

15

0.35

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.15

17.13

4.36

0.60

11.92

35.05

69

26.99

5.71

1.70

19.93

45.67

100

> .75

>
Total
> .00
Pearson chi2( 16) = 495.8877
.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 16) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by agegroup

Race

Age group
30-49
50-64

18-29

65+

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.00
2.92
5.18
0.00
5.94

1.66
6.69
5.23
0.10
20.82

0.10
2.21
4.07
0.35
21.78

0.00
1.36
1.01
0.10
20.47

1.76
13.18
15.49
0.55
69.01

Total

14.03

34.51

28.52

22.94

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 313.3971


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by sex


Sex
Race

Female

Male

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

1.77
6.18
6.08
0.51
37.74

0.00
6.99
9.52
0.05
31.16

1.77
13.17
15.60
0.56
68.90

Total

52.28

47.72

100.00

66.8233
.

Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

-> tabulation of race by presidentialrace

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

> ke

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Race
Likely Ob Likely Ro
Very like
Total

Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

Page 10

Very li

>
Asian
0.97
Black
> 34
3.36
Hispanic
> 53
3.47
Other/Unsure
> 05
0.51
White
> 89
35.37
> 25

0.56
1.78
1.43
12.84
0.51
15.70
0.00
0.56
2.55
69.11

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.

0.20

0.15

0.00

0.36

7.

1.22

0.00

0.56

0.41

9.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.

1.89

0.76

0.87

1.78

25.

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

43.

>
> 07

Total
43.68

Pearson chi2( 24) = 245.6216


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 24) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by senaterace

> ke

Race
Likely Ma Likely Ne
Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

Very li

>
Asian
0.27
Black
> 91
5.82
Hispanic
> 24
6.15
Other/Unsure
> 44
0.05
White
> 10
22.67
> 77

0.05
1.92
0.55
12.62
0.60
14.87
0.00
0.60
3.18
69.98

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.82

0.

0.71

0.16

0.55

1.92

2.

0.55

0.00

1.43

2.91

3.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.11

0.

3.62

2.96

1.32

8.12

28.

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

35.

>
> 46

Total
34.96

Pearson chi2( 24) = 153.8614


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 24) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by investmentmangementobamaromney

Race

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.28
7.28
6.84
0.11
17.99

0.00
1.60
1.05
0.00
11.64

1.66
3.81
7.06
0.50
40.18

1.93
12.69
14.96
0.61
69.81

Total

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 140.7354


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
-> tabulation of race by usdirection

Pr = 0.000

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Race

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.99
8.41
7.98
0.06
24.86

1.18
4.27
4.33
0.62
47.31

2.16
12.68
12.31
0.68
72.17

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 124.5332


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 125.1795

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by scottsjobperformance

Race

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.00
5.59
6.41
0.06
26.08

1.26
1.51
3.21
0.50
28.41

0.94
5.47
2.70
0.13
17.72

2.20
12.57
12.32
0.69
72.22

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 107.7253


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by rickscottorcharliecrist

Race

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

1.03
7.45
5.26
0.06
26.96

1.16
3.08
4.04
0.64
36.20

0.06
2.12
2.89
0.00
9.05

2.25
12.64
12.20
0.71
72.21

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

78.7976
.

Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

-> tabulation of race by rickscottorbuddydyer

Race

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.00
5.08
5.35
0.00
20.40

1.50
2.67
3.59
0.59
35.01

0.78
4.89
3.46
0.13
16.56

2.28
12.65
12.39
0.72
71.97

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

94.6869
.

Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

-> tabulation of race by alexsinkorrickscott

Page 11

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

1.24
2.36
5.04
0.59
35.82

0.00
5.89
5.70
0.07
23.51

1.05
4.32
1.57
0.00
12.84

2.29
12.57
12.31
0.65
72.17

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Race

Pearson chi2( 8) = 112.2143


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Page 12

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by zimmermanguilty

Race

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.00
0.66
0.66
0.00
2.83

1.05
7.70
5.92
0.00
19.28

1.12
2.37
1.84
0.39
26.38

0.13
1.91
3.95
0.26
23.55

2.30
12.63
12.37
0.66
72.04

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 141.3568


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by presidentialraceoverall

Race

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.82
8.92
10.04
0.05
29.20

0.00
0.36
0.41
0.00
1.78

0.97
3.57
5.25
0.51
38.12

1.78
12.84
15.70
0.56
69.11

Total

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 106.5290


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by senateraceoverall

Race

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Asian
Black
Hispanic
Other/Unsure
White

0.82
3.62
3.84
0.44
34.25

0.27
7.08
8.12
0.05
27.61

0.82
1.92
2.91
0.11
8.12

1.92
12.62
14.87
0.60
69.98

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 105.8515


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 104.0048

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by agegroup

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Religious affiliation
> l

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012


Age group
30-49
50-64

18-29

65+

Page 13

Tota

>
5.03

7.14

8.05

6.84

27.0

Jewish

0.35

2.46

1.56

1.31

5.6

Muslim
> 1
Other/No affiliation
> 2
Protestant/Oth.Christ
> 2

0.60

0.65

0.35

0.10

1.7

2.97

8.45

6.34

2.16

19.9

5.08

15.79

12.22

12.53

45.6

14.03

34.51

28.52

22.94

100.0

Catholic
> 6
> 8

>
Total
> 0
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

92.0375
97.5006

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by sex


Sex
Religious affiliation

Female

Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total
Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

Male

Total

13.42
3.09
1.22
9.68
24.87

13.83
2.43
0.51
10.28
20.67

27.25
5.52
1.72
19.96
45.54

52.28

47.72

100.00

11.3829
11.5476

Pr = 0.023
Pr = 0.021

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by presidentialrace

Religious affiliation
Likely Ob Likely Ro
>
Very like Very like
Total

Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

>
Catholic
13.76
10.45
Jewish
>
1.99
1.53
Muslim
>
0.00
1.53
Other/No affiliation
>
12.03
5.35
Protestant/Oth.Christ
>
15.29
24.82
>

0.76
27.37
1.07
5.45
0.00
1.73
0.87
19.88
2.34
45.57

1.12

0.36

0.82

0.10

0.41

0.05

0.00

0.41

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.20

0.92

0.00

0.00

0.71

0.87

0.51

0.61

1.12

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

>
>

43.07

Total
43.68

Pearson chi2( 24) = 265.3541


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 24) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by senaterace

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:18 2012

Religious affiliation
Likely Ma Likely Ne
>
Very like Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Page 14

Unsure

>
Catholic
9.11
9.28
Jewish
>
1.15
1.87
Muslim
>
0.88
0.49
Other/No affiliation
>
3.84
9.55
Protestant/Oth.Christ
>
20.47
13.78
>

1.54
27.55
0.22
5.32
0.00
1.87
0.60
19.81
2.03
45.44

1.43

0.49

0.99

4.72

0.93

0.49

0.49

0.16

0.27

0.16

0.05

0.00

1.26

0.60

1.43

2.52

0.99

1.37

0.33

6.48

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

>
>

35.46

Total
34.96

Pearson chi2( 24) = 215.7465


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 24) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by investmentmangementobamaromney

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney
10.04
1.71
0.06
9.60
11.09

2.76
1.49
0.11
4.08
5.85

14.79
2.15
1.71
6.18
28.37

27.59
5.35
1.88
19.87
45.31

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 146.0192


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 151.0980

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by usdirection

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

Total

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

10.58
3.15
0.06
13.48
15.03

14.04
2.23
2.04
6.99
32.41

24.61
5.38
2.10
20.47
47.43

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 141.8599


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 149.3943

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by scottsjobperformance

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Religious affiliation

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Total

8.67
2.89
0.57
11.31
14.71

10.62
0.88
1.26
4.97
17.16

5.41
1.57
0.31
4.53
15.15

24.70
5.34
2.14
20.80
47.01

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

90.1340
89.9790

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by rickscottorcharliecrist

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

9.63
2.76
0.06
13.48
14.83

10.91
1.48
1.48
5.78
25.48

4.30
1.22
0.64
1.73
6.23

24.84
5.46
2.18
20.99
46.53

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 140.7721


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 146.1529

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by rickscottorbuddydyer

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

7.63
1.89
0.07
11.41
9.84

11.15
0.91
1.50
6.32
23.47

6.06
2.74
0.65
3.59
12.78

24.84
5.54
2.22
21.32
46.09

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 156.5508


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 157.3530

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by alexsinkorrickscott

Religious affiliation

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ

12.51
1.57
1.51
5.04
24.43

8.78
2.82
0.52
11.39
11.66

3.47
1.11
0.20
4.91
10.09

24.75
5.50
2.23
21.35
46.17

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Total

Pearson chi2( 8) = 123.8752


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 129.0284

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by zimmermanguilty

Page 15

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Religious affiliation
> l

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Page 16

Tota

>
0.92

7.76

8.03

8.16

24.8

Jewish

0.00

2.17

0.99

2.37

5.5

Muslim
> 4
Other/No affiliation
> 8
Protestant/Oth.Christ
> 9

0.26

0.20

1.78

0.00

2.2

0.79

7.50

5.39

7.70

21.3

2.17

16.32

15.92

11.58

45.9

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.0

78.0634
.

Pr = 0.000

Catholic
> 7
> 3

>
Total
> 0
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by presidentialraceoverall


Presidential race overall
Obama
Other
Romney

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

Total

14.88
3.11
0.00
12.90
18.14

0.10
0.41
0.20
0.71
1.12

12.39
1.94
1.53
6.27
26.30

27.37
5.45
1.73
19.88
45.57

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 144.6499


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by senateraceoverall


Senate race overall
Mack
Nelson
Other

Religious affiliation
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Other/No affiliation
Protestant/Oth.Christ
Total

11.14
1.87
1.04
5.05
23.87

11.69
3.29
0.82
12.24
15.09

4.72
0.16
0.00
2.52
6.48

27.55
5.32
1.87
19.81
45.44

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 119.7952


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by sex


Sex
Age group

Female

Total

Male

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

6.18
16.36
15.86
13.88

7.80
18.24
12.56
9.12

13.98
34.60
28.42
23.00

Total

52.28

47.72

100.00

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

28.6645
28.7713

Page 17

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by presidentialrace

Age group
Likely Ob Likely Ro
>
Very like
Total

Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

Very like

>
>
>
>
>

18-29
4.33
30-49
14.58
50-64
13.81
65+
10.96

0.61
13.86
3.36
34.61
0.56
28.49
0.51
23.04

0.41

0.31

0.31

0.20

7.70

0.25

0.20

0.00

1.07

15.14

1.58

0.10

0.76

0.92

10.75

1.07

0.31

0.36

0.36

9.48

Total
43.68

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

43.07

>
>

Pearson chi2( 18) = 130.6116


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 18) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by senaterace

Age group
Likely Ma Likely Ne
>
Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

Very like

>
>
>
>
>

18-29
5.05
30-49
11.42
50-64
9.11
65+
9.39

0.11
12.73
1.70
35.24
1.70
28.76
0.88
23.27

1.32

0.22

0.77

1.87

3.40

1.21

1.54

1.54

6.92

10.92

1.15

1.10

0.49

3.24

11.96

1.21

0.27

0.49

1.87

9.17

Total
34.96

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

35.46

>
>

Pearson chi2( 18) = 103.8670


likelihood-ratio chi2( 18) = 105.5984

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by investmentmangementobamaromney

Age group

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

4.75
12.09
8.33
7.34

0.83
6.62
3.31
3.53

7.23
16.72
17.05
12.20

12.80
35.43
28.70
23.07

Total

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

34.2864
36.3019

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by usdirection

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Age group

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

3.28
18.55
11.26
9.21

7.54
17.93
18.31
13.91

10.82
36.49
29.56
23.13

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =

32.4332
32.6358

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by scottsjobperformance

Age group

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

4.71
14.71
10.87
7.86

3.77
9.99
11.00
10.12

2.33
11.94
7.61
5.09

10.81
36.64
29.48
23.07

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

34.9539
35.0058

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by rickscottorcharliecrist

Age group

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

3.98
16.69
11.94
8.15

5.13
15.34
12.90
11.75

1.22
5.39
4.30
3.21

10.33
37.42
29.14
23.11

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

11.3773
11.4235

Pr = 0.077
Pr = 0.076

-> tabulation of agegroup by rickscottorbuddydyer

Age group

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

3.19
13.95
8.60
5.08

5.22
12.84
13.62
11.67

1.50
11.21
6.58
6.52

9.91
38.01
28.81
23.27

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

48.7485
51.1248

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by alexsinkorrickscott

Page 18

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

5.17
14.54
14.34
11.00

3.01
14.67
9.76
7.73

1.64
8.97
4.78
4.39

9.82
38.18
28.88
23.12

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Age group

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

21.2170
21.3353

Pr = 0.002
Pr = 0.002

-> tabulation of agegroup by zimmermanguilty

Age group

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

1.18
1.38
0.53
1.05

3.36
16.32
7.24
7.04

3.42
9.41
11.25
8.03

1.91
11.25
9.74
6.91

9.87
38.36
28.75
23.03

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 9) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 9) =

78.5723
73.6873

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by presidentialraceoverall

Age group

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

8.61
18.71
11.42
10.30

0.20
1.07
0.92
0.36

5.05
14.83
16.16
12.39

13.86
34.61
28.49
23.04

Total

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

51.7444
52.3752

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

-> tabulation of agegroup by senateraceoverall

Age group

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

18-29
30-49
50-64
65+

3.73
14.16
14.76
10.32

7.14
14.16
10.76
11.09

1.87
6.92
3.24
1.87

12.73
35.24
28.76
23.27

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

64.6226
65.1327

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by presidentialrace

Page 19

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

>

Sex
Likely Ob Likely Ro
Very like
Total

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012


Presidential Race
Somewhat
Somewhat
Unsure

Page 20

Very like

>
>
>

Female
21.81
Male
21.87

3.01
52.34
2.04
47.66

1.38

0.36

0.61

0.61

24.57

1.94

0.56

0.82

1.94

18.50

Total
43.68

5.05
100.00

3.31

0.92

1.43

2.55

43.07

>
>

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

33.0067
33.7162

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by senaterace

>

Sex
Likely Ma Likely Ne
Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

Very like

>
>
>

Female
17.51
Male
17.45

3.29
53.35
1.10
46.65

3.24

0.93

1.76

9.88

16.74

1.65

2.20

1.54

4.01

18.72

Total
34.96

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

35.46

>
>

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

78.4402
80.9141

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by investmentmangementobamaromney

Sex

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Female
Male

21.74
10.76

5.57
8.72

25.99
27.21

53.31
46.69

Total

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

72.6524
73.7726

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by usdirection

Sex

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

Female
Male

23.69
18.61

28.76
28.94

52.44
47.56

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 1) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 1) =

5.9947
6.0026

Pr = 0.014
Pr = 0.014

-> tabulation of sex by scottsjobperformance

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sex

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Female
Male

19.80
18.35

16.40
18.48

15.59
11.38

51.79
48.21

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

11.2699
11.2993

Pr = 0.004
Pr = 0.004

-> tabulation of sex by rickscottorcharliecrist

Sex

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Female
Male

22.72
18.04

19.45
25.67

8.92
5.20

51.09
48.91

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

36.3424
36.5687

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by rickscottorbuddydyer

Sex

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Female
Male

15.19
15.65

18.64
24.71

17.21
8.60

51.04
48.96

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

56.4666
57.3381

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by alexsinkorrickscott


Alex Sink or Rick Scott?
Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Female
Male

20.17
24.89

18.80
16.37

11.98
7.79

50.95
49.05

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Sex

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

23.1047
23.2156

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by zimmermanguilty

Sex

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Female
Male

1.84
2.30

19.21
14.74

13.09
19.01

16.58
13.22

50.72
49.28

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =

31.7673
31.8960

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by presidentialraceoverall

Page 21

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sex

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Female
Male

27.93
21.10

0.61
1.94

23.80
24.62

52.34
47.66

Total

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

28.2028
28.8868

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

Page 22

-> tabulation of sex by senateraceoverall

Sex

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Female
Male

20.97
22.01

22.50
20.64

9.88
4.01

53.35
46.65

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

39.1914
40.4661

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by senaterace

>

Presidential Race
Likely Ma Likely Ne
Very like Very like
Total

Somewhat

Senate Race
Somewhat

Unsure

>
Likely Obama
0.00
0.99
Likely Romney
>
0.55
0.00
Somewhat likely Obama
>
0.05
0.33
Somewhat likely Romne
>
0.05
0.71
Unsure
>
0.55
0.33
Very likely Obama
>
1.98
30.19
Very likely Romney
>
32.27
2.41
>

0.55
5.32
0.49
2.41
0.05
0.88
0.77
1.54
0.00
2.69
0.16
43.25
2.36
43.91

0.99

0.38

0.66

1.76

0.27

0.16

0.27

0.66

0.38

0.00

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.49

1.15

2.52

0.93

1.48

5.98

0.71

1.48

0.33

4.34

4.39
100.00

4.88

3.13

3.29

13.89

>
>

35.46

Total
34.96

Pearson chi2( 36) =


likelihood-ratio chi2( 36) =

1.6e+03
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by investmentmangementobamaromney

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney
2.37
0.28
0.44
0.11
0.06
27.43
1.82

1.27
0.88
0.44
0.39
1.77
8.55
0.99

1.71
1.27
0.00
1.05
0.88
7.28
41.00

Total
5.35
2.43
0.88
1.55
2.70
43.27
43.82

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

32.51

Total
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

1.1e+03
.

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by usdirection

Presidential Race

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

Total

3.77
0.00
0.56
0.12
1.05
34.69
2.10

0.62
2.47
0.25
0.62
1.86
6.68
45.21

4.39
2.47
0.80
0.74
2.91
41.37
47.31

42.30

57.70

100.00

1.0e+03
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by scottsjobperformance

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

2.33
0.63
0.38
0.13
1.13
26.15
7.42

0.38
0.69
0.25
0.13
0.75
6.85
25.83

1.76
1.19
0.19
0.50
1.07
8.42
13.83

4.46
2.51
0.82
0.75
2.95
41.42
47.08

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 411.1894


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 428.2978

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by rickscottorcharliecrist

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

3.08
0.90
0.39
0.51
1.03
29.97
4.88

0.39
1.03
0.00
0.26
0.96
6.03
36.46

1.09
0.64
0.45
0.00
0.90
5.58
5.46

4.56
2.57
0.83
0.77
2.89
41.59
46.79

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 710.0172


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by rickscottorbuddydyer

Page 23

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total

Sunday September 30 23:02:19 2012

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

1.43
0.65
0.07
0.13
0.07
23.79
4.69

0.39
1.11
0.00
0.20
1.24
5.48
34.94

2.80
0.85
0.78
0.46
1.63
11.99
7.30

4.63
2.61
0.85
0.78
2.93
41.26
46.94

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 692.2257


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Page 24

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by alexsinkorrickscott

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

0.79
0.98
0.00
0.26
1.24
6.81
34.97

2.49
0.65
0.33
0.13
0.65
26.72
4.19

1.38
0.98
0.46
0.39
1.05
7.60
7.92

4.65
2.62
0.79
0.79
2.95
41.13
47.09

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 613.0303


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by zimmermanguilty

Presidential Race

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Tota

> l
>
Likely Obama

0.39

2.43

0.07

1.78

4.6

0.13

0.72

0.39

1.38

2.6

0.00

0.72

0.00

0.07

0.7

0.00

0.20

0.39

0.20

0.7

0.72

0.59

1.18

0.46

2.9

1.12

21.38

7.30

11.12

40.9

1.78

7.89

22.76

14.80

47.2

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.0

> 7
Likely Romney
> 3
Somewhat likely Obama
> 9
Somewhat likely Romne
> 9
Unsure
> 6
Very likely Obama
> 2
Very likely Romney
> 4
>
Total
> 0
Pearson chi2( 18) = 341.6709
.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 18) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by presidentialraceoverall

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Presidential Race

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Total

5.05
0.00
0.92
0.00
0.00
43.07
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.55
0.00
0.00

0.00
3.31
0.00
1.43
0.00
0.00
43.68

5.05
3.31
0.92
1.43
2.55
43.07
43.68

49.03

2.55

48.42

100.00

3.9e+03
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialrace by senateraceoverall


Senate race overall
Mack
Nelson
Other

Presidential Race
Likely Obama
Likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romne
Unsure
Very likely Obama
Very likely Romney
Total
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Total

0.93
1.21
0.11
0.82
0.71
3.07
36.11

2.63
0.55
0.77
0.71
0.82
34.19
3.46

1.76
0.66
0.00
0.00
1.15
5.98
4.34

5.32
2.41
0.88
1.54
2.69
43.25
43.91

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

1.1e+03
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by investmentmangementobamaromney

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Investment mangement: Obama,


Romney?
Obama
Other
Romney
1.10
1.88
0.39
2.21
3.26
2.26
21.41

0.39
1.32
0.50
0.11
3.26
0.99
7.73

2.81
1.71
2.26
0.94
7.45
32.23
5.79

4.30
4.91
3.15
3.26
13.96
35.49
34.93

32.51

14.29

53.20

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 801.0866


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 886.8508

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by usdirection

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Total

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

1.24
2.72
0.43
1.86
5.19
2.72
28.14

2.78
2.23
2.66
0.56
7.17
35.68
6.62

4.02
4.95
3.09
2.41
12.37
38.40
34.76

42.30

57.70

100.00

Page 25

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Pearson chi2( 6) = 704.0730


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 793.1425

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by scottsjobperformance

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

1.63
2.07
0.25
1.63
2.77
5.97
23.82

0.63
1.70
0.88
0.19
2.64
24.01
4.84

1.70
1.26
1.89
0.63
7.17
8.17
6.16

3.96
5.03
3.02
2.45
12.57
38.15
34.82

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 600.2401


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 585.4065

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by rickscottorcharliecrist

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

1.99
1.80
0.45
2.25
3.21
4.43
26.64

1.41
1.60
1.48
0.19
3.85
31.32
5.26

0.64
1.60
0.90
0.06
5.07
2.50
3.34

4.04
5.01
2.82
2.50
12.13
38.25
35.24

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 808.9829


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 800.8921

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by rickscottorbuddydyer

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

1.43
1.24
0.52
1.69
1.76
3.98
20.21

1.30
1.37
2.09
0.20
3.06
30.31
5.02

0.91
2.48
0.26
0.65
7.50
4.43
9.58

3.65
5.08
2.87
2.54
12.32
38.72
34.81

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 717.0288


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 717.1986

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by alexsinkorrickscott

Page 26

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

0.79
1.64
2.03
0.20
4.85
30.91
4.65

1.38
2.29
0.52
2.29
1.51
3.47
23.71

1.51
1.18
0.33
0.07
5.96
4.39
6.35

3.67
5.11
2.88
2.55
12.31
38.77
34.71

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 774.1544


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 793.2030

Page 27

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by zimmermanguilty

Senate Race

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Tota

> l
>
Likely Mack

0.00

1.78

0.46

1.45

3.6

0.33

2.04

2.24

0.53

5.1

0.20

0.59

1.18

0.92

2.8

0.07

1.18

0.20

1.12

2.5

1.32

4.54

2.63

3.88

12.3

1.58

6.38

17.83

13.09

38.8

0.66

17.43

7.57

8.82

34.4

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.0

> 8
Likely Nelson
> 3
Somewhat likely Mack
> 9
Somewhat likely Nelso
> 7
Unsure
> 7
Very likely Mack
> 8
Very likely Nelson
> 7
>
Total
> 0
Pearson chi2( 18) = 231.7795
.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 18) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by presidentialraceoverall

Senate Race

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Total

0.77
3.90
1.32
2.20
7.74
2.03
31.50

0.00
0.00
0.16
0.49
1.15
0.55
0.33

3.62
0.99
1.65
0.60
4.99
32.88
3.13

4.39
4.88
3.13
3.29
13.89
35.46
34.96

49.45

2.69

47.86

100.00

1.1e+03
.

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senaterace by senateraceoverall

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Senate Race
Likely Mack
Likely Nelson
Somewhat likely Mack
Somewhat likely Nelso
Unsure
Very likely Mack
Very likely Nelson
Total
Pearson chi2( 12) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

4.39
0.00
3.13
0.00
0.00
35.46
0.00

0.00
4.88
0.00
3.29
0.00
0.00
34.96

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
13.89
0.00
0.00

4.39
4.88
3.13
3.29
13.89
35.46
34.96

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

3.6e+03
.

Page 28

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by usdirection


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

U.S. direction?
Right dir Wrong dir

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

30.30
9.21
2.78

1.30
4.64
51.76

31.60
13.85
54.55

Total

42.30

57.70

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

1.2e+03
1.4e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by scottsjobperformance


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

22.25
6.79
9.11

3.58
1.89
29.42

5.97
5.41
15.59

31.80
14.08
54.12

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 471.3009


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 496.2761

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by rickscottorcharliecrist


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

25.99
9.05
5.71

1.28
1.73
42.11

4.75
3.47
5.91

32.03
14.25
53.72

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 882.2932


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 1.0e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by rickscottorbuddydyer

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

20.40
6.52
3.91

1.56
2.15
39.63

9.97
5.80
10.04

31.94
14.47
53.59

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 761.1620


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 871.0567

Page 29

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by alexsinkorrickscott


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

3.01
2.29
39.75

23.12
7.53
4.52

5.57
4.65
9.56

31.70
14.47
53.83

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 730.5156


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 808.1528

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by zimmermanguilty


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

1.12
0.99
2.04

20.20
4.67
9.08

3.62
2.83
25.66

6.78
5.79
17.24

31.71
14.28
54.01

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 357.7623


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 363.0270

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by presidentialraceoverall


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

30.24
10.26
9.00

0.06
1.77
0.88

2.21
2.26
43.32

32.51
14.29
53.20

Total

49.50

2.70

47.79

100.00

1.1e+03
1.1e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

-> tabulation of investmentmangementobamaromney by senateraceoverall

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Investment
mangement:
Obama,
Romney?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

3.75
1.88
37.31

25.50
9.16
8.44

3.26
3.26
7.45

32.51
14.29
53.20

Total

42.94

43.10

13.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 738.6868


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 802.6744

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by scottsjobperformance

U.S. direction?

Scott's job performance?


Negative
Positive
Unsure

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

28.60
9.55

4.21
30.67

9.87
17.10

42.68
57.32

Total

38.15

34.88

26.96

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 477.5507


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 515.7346

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by rickscottorcharliecrist

U.S. direction?

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

34.02
6.74

2.31
42.81

7.06
7.06

43.39
56.61

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 838.2398


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 973.9255

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by rickscottorbuddydyer

U.S. direction?

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

26.01
4.82

2.09
41.26

15.38
10.43

43.48
56.52

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 768.0337


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 899.2042

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by alexsinkorrickscott

U.S. direction?

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

3.47
41.58

30.32
4.85

9.50
10.28

43.29
56.71

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 760.7883


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 866.9192

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Page 30

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Page 31

-> tabulation of usdirection by zimmermanguilty

U.S. direction?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

1.58
2.57

25.59
8.36

4.41
27.70

11.51
18.29

43.09
56.91

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 3) = 395.3501


likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) = 423.6487

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by presidentialraceoverall

U.S. direction?

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

39.02
7.54

1.05
1.86

2.23
48.30

42.30
57.70

Total

46.57

2.91

50.53

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

1.0e+03
1.2e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by senateraceoverall


Senate race overall
Mack
Nelson
Other

U.S. direction?

Total

Right direction
Wrong direction

4.39
41.13

32.71
9.40

5.19
7.17

42.30
57.70

Total

45.52

42.12

12.37

100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) = 670.7859


likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 740.9051

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by rickscottorcharliecrist


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Rick Scott or Charlie Crist?


Crist
Scott
Unsure

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

29.91
2.31
8.54

3.21
30.81
11.10

4.88
2.25
7.00

38.00
35.37
26.64

Total

40.76

45.12

14.12

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 835.8351


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 919.1654

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by rickscottorbuddydyer

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

24.05
1.76
5.02

2.48
30.64
10.23

11.60
3.13
11.08

38.14
35.53
26.34

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 857.4878


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 944.7357

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by alexsinkorrickscott


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

3.01
30.78
11.26

26.65
2.62
5.89

8.32
2.23
9.23

37.98
35.63
26.39

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 823.7221


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 897.3508

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by zimmermanguilty


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

1.32
1.45
1.38

20.39
4.54
9.01

6.78
19.08
6.25

9.28
10.66
9.87

37.76
35.72
26.51

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 276.3834


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 283.4753

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by presidentialraceoverall


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

28.85
7.48
10.37

1.13
0.75
1.07

8.17
26.65
15.52

38.15
34.88
26.96

Total

46.70

2.95

50.35

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 373.5705


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 393.4362

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of scottsjobperformance by senateraceoverall

Page 32

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Scott's
job
performanc
e?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Negative
Positive
Unsure

7.86
25.52
11.75

27.53
6.73
8.05

2.77
2.64
7.17

38.15
34.88
26.96

Total

45.13

42.30

12.57

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 482.6389


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 473.0214

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorcharliecrist by rickscottorbuddydyer


Rick Scott
or Charlie
Crist?

Rick Scott or Buddy Dyer?


Dyer
Scott
Unsure

Total

Crist
Scott
Unsure

26.99
1.96
1.89

2.15
39.70
1.50

11.54
3.72
10.56

40.68
45.37
13.95

Total

30.83

43.35

25.81

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

1.3e+03
1.4e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorcharliecrist by alexsinkorrickscott


Rick Scott
or Charlie
Crist?

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Crist
Scott
Unsure

2.75
39.10
3.21

30.19
1.83
3.14

7.66
4.58
7.53

40.60
45.51
13.88

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

1.1e+03
1.2e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorcharliecrist by zimmermanguilty


Rick Scott
or Charlie
Crist?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Crist
Scott
Unsure

1.05
1.32
1.78

22.50
6.64
4.80

6.12
22.70
3.29

10.72
15.00
4.08

40.39
45.66
13.95

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 337.6007


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 336.4144

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorcharliecrist by presidentialraceoverall

Page 33

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Rick Scott
or Charlie
Crist?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Crist
Scott
Unsure

33.44
6.42
7.12

1.03
0.96
0.90

6.29
37.74
6.10

40.76
45.12
14.12

Total

46.98

2.89

50.13

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 650.2991


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 709.2571

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorcharliecrist by senateraceoverall


Rick Scott
or Charlie
Crist?

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Crist
Scott
Unsure

6.87
34.21
4.04

30.68
7.06
5.01

3.21
3.85
5.07

40.76
45.12
14.12

Total

45.12

42.75

12.13

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 672.7454


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 661.8681

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorbuddydyer by alexsinkorrickscott


Rick Scott
or Buddy
Dyer?

Alex Sink or Rick Scott?


Scott
Sink
Unsure

Total

Dyer
Scott
Unsure

1.38
39.42
4.26

26.13
1.18
7.86

3.34
2.95
13.49

30.84
43.55
25.61

Total

45.06

35.17

19.78

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

1.4e+03
1.4e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorbuddydyer by zimmermanguilty


Rick Scott
or Buddy
Dyer?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Dyer
Scott
Unsure

0.53
1.64
1.97

16.97
5.26
11.71

4.93
23.42
3.75

8.29
13.36
8.16

30.72
43.68
25.59

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 363.0097


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 383.9065

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorbuddydyer by presidentialraceoverall

Page 34

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Rick Scott
or Buddy
Dyer?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Dyer
Scott
Unsure

25.29
5.87
15.58

0.07
1.24
1.63

5.48
36.25
8.60

30.83
43.35
25.81

Total

46.74

2.93

50.33

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 594.7690


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 648.3527

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of rickscottorbuddydyer by senateraceoverall


Rick Scott
or Buddy
Dyer?

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Dyer
Scott
Unsure

5.93
33.70
5.61

23.14
6.58
12.71

1.76
3.06
7.50

30.83
43.35
25.81

Total

45.24

42.44

12.32

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 635.1832


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 636.6247

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of alexsinkorrickscott by zimmermanguilty


Alex Sink
or Rick
Scott?

Don't kno

Zimmerman guilty?
Guilty Not guilt

Unsure

Total

Scott
Sink
Unsure

1.64
1.12
1.38

6.12
19.28
8.55

23.75
4.67
3.68

13.68
9.87
6.25

45.20
34.93
19.87

Total

4.14

33.95

32.11

29.80

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 335.0205


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 352.4692

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of alexsinkorrickscott by presidentialraceoverall


Alex Sink
or Rick
Scott?

Presidential race overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Scott
Sink
Unsure

7.60
29.54
9.43

1.24
0.65
1.05

36.21
4.98
9.30

45.06
35.17
19.78

Total

46.56

2.95

50.49

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 562.7128


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 611.0198

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of alexsinkorrickscott by senateraceoverall

Page 35

Florida Crosstabs, Sep 29-30, 2012


Alex Sink
or Rick
Scott?

Sunday September 30 23:02:20 2012

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Scott
Sink
Unsure

33.73
5.37
6.22

6.48
28.29
7.60

4.85
1.51
5.96

45.06
35.17
19.78

Total

45.32

42.37

12.31

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) = 671.6035


likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 680.8272

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of zimmermanguilty by presidentialraceoverall


Presidential race overall
Obama
Other
Romney

Zimmerman guilty?
Don't know enough
Guilty
Not guilty
Unsure
Total

Total

1.51
24.54
7.37
12.96

0.72
0.59
1.18
0.46

1.91
8.82
23.55
16.38

4.14
33.95
32.11
29.80

46.38

2.96

50.66

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 299.4857


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 286.5258

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of zimmermanguilty by senateraceoverall


Senate race overall
Mack
Nelson
Other

Zimmerman guilty?
Don't know enough
Guilty
Not guilty
Unsure
Total

Total

1.78
8.75
19.47
15.46

1.05
20.66
10.00
10.46

1.32
4.54
2.63
3.88

4.14
33.95
32.11
29.80

45.46

42.17

12.37

100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 165.8774


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 163.8917

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialraceoverall by senateraceoverall


Presidenti
al race
overall

Senate race overall


Mack
Nelson
Other

Total

Obama
Other
Romney

4.12
0.71
38.14

37.60
0.82
4.72

7.74
1.15
4.99

49.45
2.69
47.86

Total

42.97

43.14

13.89

100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

1.0e+03
1.1e+03

. log

log type:
closed on:

smcl
30 Sep 2012, 23:01:44

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

Page 36

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