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Colorado Results

For 10/3/2012 10/4/2012


Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
Executive Summary
Following the debates, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm conducted a survey of
1,438 likely voters in Colorado on October 3rd October 4th regarding their likely vote for a
given presidential candidate. Of the 1,438 that began the survey, 1,285 gave a response
regarding their preference for president. The poll carries a margin of error of 2.8%.
Romneys lead is a reversal from the September 25th poll, where Obama was ahead 50.2% to
Presidential Race, Sep 25

Presidential Race, Oct 3 - 4


45%

45.6%
45%

43.4%

43.2%
41.2%

40%
40%
35%
35%
30%

20%

10%
4.3%

Very likely Obama


1

4.1%
2.0%

1.0%

0%
Very likely Romney

Undecided

Somewhat likely
Obama

Likely Obama

Likely Romney

0.7% 1.4%

0%

4.8%

3.7%

Likely Obama

2.5% 2.1%

5%

Somewhat likely
Romney

5%

Very likely Romney

10%

Likely Romney

15%

Somewhat likely
Romney

15%

Undecided

20%

25%

Somewhat likely
Obama

% of Total

25%

Very likely Obama

% of Total

30%

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

45.5%. What happened? In terms of the numbers, Obama saw a decrease of 4.4% among Very
likely Obama voters, an increase of 1.2% among Likely Obama voters, and a 1.1% decrease
in Somewhat likely voters. On the other side, Romney saw a 0.2% decline in Very likely
Romney voters, a 1.3% increase among Somewhat likely Romney voters and a 2.7% increase
among Likely Romney voters. Overall, it looks as if the debate shifted voters more away from
the very likely category towards center. Interestingly, the percentage of Undecided went
from 4.3% to 4.8%. A full reporting of the results and cross tabulations follows.
Results Summary
Presidential race
Very likely Romney
Very likely Obama
Undecided
Likely Romney
Likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama
Presidential race overall
Romney
Obama
Other
Political affiliation
Other
Republican
Democrat
Race
White
Hispanic
Black
Other
Religious affiliation
Other Christian
Other
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim
Age group
30-49
50-64
18-29
65+

Percent of total
43.2%
41.2%
4.8%
4.1%
3.7%
2.0%
1.0%
49.4%
45.9%
4.8%
39.8%
31.9%
28.3%
80.1%
8.6%
5.9%
5.4%
44.3%
30.1%
20.3%
3.0%
2.3%
41.0%
29.5%
14.8%
14.7%

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Gender
Men
Women
Approve of Obama's job performance?
Disapprove
Approve
Other
Who's better at managing $1 million?
Romney
Obama
Unsure
U.S. on right track?
Wrong
Right
Unsure

49.2%
50.8%
50.9%
40.5%
8.6%
53.5%
34.6%
11.9%
53.5%
36.8%
9.8%

Survey Questions
1. Are you registered to vote? (Yes, No)
No crosstabs available for this question because if an individual answered no, the questionnaire
stopped.
2. How likely are you to vote in this years presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely,
Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)
Reported results only include somewhat likely, likely, and very likely voters.
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
(Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
Presidential race overall
Romney
Obama
Other

49.4%
45.9%
4.8%

4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian,
Other)
Race
White
Hispanic
Black
Other

80.1%
8.6%
5.9%
5.4%

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic,
Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
Religious affiliation
Other Christian
Other
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim

44.3%
30.1%
20.3%
3.0%
2.3%

6. How old are you? (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, Over 65)


Age group
30-49
50-64
18-29
65+

41.0%
29.5%
14.8%
14.7%

7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)


Gender
Men
Women

49.2%
50.8%

8. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Obama,
Likely Obama, Somewhat likely Obama, Undecided, Somewhat likely Romney, Likely Romney,
Very likely Romney)
Presidential race
Very likely Romney
Very likely Obama
Undecided
Likely Romney
Likely Obama
Somewhat likely Romney
Somewhat likely Obama

Percent of total
43.2%
41.2%
4.8%
4.1%
3.7%
2.0%
1.0%

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

9. Do you approve of President Obamas job performance?


Approve of Obama's job
performance?
Disapprove
Approve
Other

50.9%
40.5%
8.6%

10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, whom would you trust to manage your
money?
Who's better at managing $1
million?
Romney
Obama
Unsure

53.5%
34.6%
11.9%

11. Do you think the United States is headed in the right direction?
U.S. on right track?
Wrong
Right
Unsure

53.5%
36.8%
9.8%

Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing various groups for anticipated voting
proportions for the 2012 General Election.

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

log type:
opened on:

Friday October 5 16:16:13 2012

Page 1

smcl
5 Oct 2012, 16:15:06

. tab2 party race religiousaffiliation age sex presidentialraceoverall approveofobamajobperformance w


> hosbetteratmanaging1million usrightdirection, cell chi2 column lrchi2 nofreq row wrap
-> tabulation of party by race

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

Black

Race
Hispanic

Other

White

Total

Democrat

6.31
30.38
1.79

15.47
50.94
4.39

3.02
15.97
0.86

75.20
26.60
21.32

100.00
28.35
28.35

Other

6.70
45.36
2.67

6.49
30.01
2.58

8.20
60.88
3.27

78.61
39.09
31.32

100.00
39.84
39.84

Republican

4.49
24.26
1.43

5.16
19.05
1.64

3.91
23.15
1.24

86.45
34.31
27.49

100.00
31.81
31.81

Total

5.89
100.00
5.89

8.61
100.00
8.61

5.37
100.00
5.37

80.13
100.00
80.13

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 291.8575


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 274.5434

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by religiousaffiliation

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

Catholic

Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim
Other

Other Chr

Total

Democrat

23.16
32.59
6.60

3.73
35.71
1.06

1.93
23.53
0.55

38.51
36.51
10.98

32.68
21.02
9.32

100.00
28.52
28.52

Other

20.15
39.44
7.99

3.41
45.38
1.35

3.22
54.55
1.28

35.48
46.78
14.07

37.75
33.78
14.97

100.00
39.67
39.67

Republican

17.81
27.96
5.67

1.77
18.91
0.56

1.61
21.93
0.51

15.81
16.72
5.03

63.00
45.20
20.04

100.00
31.81
31.81

Total

20.27

2.98

2.34

30.09

44.33

100.00

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


100.00
20.27

100.00
2.98

Pearson chi2( 8) = 610.9498


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 628.0950

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012


100.00
2.34

100.00
30.09

100.00
44.33

Page 2
100.00
100.00

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by age

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Age
Party

18-29

30-49

50-64

65+

Total

Democrat

14.17
27.13
4.02

38.06
26.35
10.81

33.13
31.88
9.41

14.65
28.40
4.16

100.00
28.40
28.40

Other

20.39
54.68
8.11

43.41
42.10
17.26

24.95
33.63
9.92

11.26
30.55
4.48

100.00
39.77
39.77

Republican

8.48
18.20
2.70

40.65
31.55
12.94

31.97
34.49
10.18

18.90
41.05
6.02

100.00
31.83
31.83

Total

14.83
100.00
14.83

41.01
100.00
41.01

29.51
100.00
29.51

14.65
100.00
14.65

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 237.5512


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 243.5838

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by sex

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex
Party

Men

Women

Total

Democrat

39.48
22.88
11.25

60.52
33.93
17.25

100.00
28.50
28.50

Other

57.58
46.71
22.97

42.42
33.28
16.92

100.00
39.88
39.88

Republican

47.30
30.42
14.96

52.70
32.79
16.66

100.00
31.62
31.62

Total

49.17
100.00
49.17

50.83
100.00
50.83

100.00
100.00
100.00

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


Pearson chi2( 2) = 177.4261
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) = 178.4113

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Page 3

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by presidentialraceoverall

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

Presidential race, overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Democrat

83.65
52.67
24.16

0.76
4.59
0.22

15.60
9.13
4.51

100.00
28.88
28.88

Other

45.02
38.58
17.70

9.20
75.95
3.62

45.78
36.45
17.99

100.00
39.31
39.31

Republican

12.63
8.75
4.02

2.91
19.46
0.93

84.46
54.42
26.86

100.00
31.81
31.81

Total

45.87
100.00
45.87

4.76
100.00
4.76

49.36
100.00
49.36

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

2.7e+03
2.9e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by approveofobamajobperformance

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

Democrat

83.25
58.41
23.63

10.31
5.75
2.93

6.44
21.24
1.83

100.00
28.39
28.39

Other

37.92
37.20
15.05

48.75
37.99
19.35

13.33
61.46
5.29

100.00
39.69
39.69

Republican

5.57
4.39
1.78

89.77
56.26
28.65

4.67
17.30
1.49

100.00
31.92
31.92

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

3.3e+03
3.7e+03

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Page 4

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Democrat

73.68
60.85
21.08

13.18
7.05
3.77

13.14
31.66
3.76

100.00
28.61
28.61

Other

30.39
34.64
12.00

52.40
38.70
20.70

17.22
57.30
6.80

100.00
39.51
39.51

Republican

4.90
4.51
1.56

90.99
54.24
29.01

4.11
11.04
1.31

100.00
31.88
31.88

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

3.1e+03
3.4e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Party

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Democrat

75.07
58.16
21.39

11.92
34.80
3.40

13.01
6.93
3.71

100.00
28.49
28.49

Other

33.87
36.66
13.48

12.55
51.17
4.99

53.58
39.88
21.32

100.00
39.80
39.80

Republican

6.01
5.18
1.91

4.32
14.03
1.37

89.67
53.19
28.44

100.00
31.71
31.71

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

2.8e+03
3.1e+03

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Page 5

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by religiousaffiliation

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Race

Catholic

Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim
Other

Other Chr

Total

Black

9.49
2.78
0.56

7.38
14.71
0.44

13.29
33.69
0.79

18.35
3.62
1.09

51.48
6.88
3.05

100.00
5.93
5.93

Hispanic

40.12
17.16
3.48

5.48
15.97
0.48

2.31
8.56
0.20

18.90
5.45
1.64

33.19
6.49
2.88

100.00
8.67
8.67

Other

14.55
3.83
0.78

1.64
2.94
0.09

5.40
12.30
0.29

49.30
8.73
2.63

29.11
3.50
1.55

100.00
5.33
5.33

White

19.29
76.23
15.45

2.47
66.39
1.98

1.33
45.45
1.06

30.89
82.20
24.73

46.02
83.13
36.85

100.00
80.07
80.07

Total

20.27
100.00
20.27

2.98
100.00
2.98

2.34
100.00
2.34

30.09
100.00
30.09

44.33
100.00
44.33

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 668.8259


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 511.6434

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by age

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Age
Race

18-29

30-49

50-64

65+

Total

Black

28.87
11.56
1.72

52.44
7.60
3.11

13.80
2.78
0.82

4.88
1.98
0.29

100.00
5.94
5.94

Hispanic

21.24
12.24
1.82

46.02
9.59
3.93

26.99
7.82
2.31

5.75
3.36
0.49

100.00
8.55
8.55

Other

17.97
6.46
0.96

46.34
6.03
2.47

29.55
5.34
1.58

6.15
2.24
0.33

100.00
5.33
5.33

White

12.90
69.73
10.34

39.27
76.78
31.49

30.94
84.06
24.80

16.89
92.43
13.54

100.00
80.18
80.18

10

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Total

14.83
100.00
14.83

41.01
100.00
41.01

Pearson chi2( 9) = 282.2274


likelihood-ratio chi2( 9) = 301.9431

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

29.51
100.00
29.51

14.65
100.00
14.65

Page 6

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by sex

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex
Race

Men

Women

Total

Black

36.94
4.48
2.20

63.06
7.39
3.76

100.00
5.96
5.96

Hispanic

40.12
7.00
3.44

59.88
10.11
5.14

100.00
8.58
8.58

Other

52.51
5.66
2.78

47.49
4.95
2.52

100.00
5.30
5.30

White

50.83
82.86
40.74

49.17
77.55
39.42

100.00
80.16
80.16

Total

49.17
100.00
49.17

50.83
100.00
50.83

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =

59.2425
59.7772

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by presidentialraceoverall

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Race

Presidential race, overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Black

40.34
5.33
2.45

2.12
2.70
0.13

57.54
7.07
3.49

100.00
6.06
6.06

Hispanic

65.41
11.67
5.35

2.20
3.78
0.18

32.39
5.37
2.65

100.00
8.19
8.19

Other

40.51
4.43

14.62
15.41

44.87
4.56

100.00
5.02

11

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

2.03

0.73

2.25

5.02

White

44.64
78.56
36.04

4.61
78.11
3.72

50.75
83.00
40.97

100.00
80.73
80.73

Total

45.87
100.00
45.87

4.76
100.00
4.76

49.36
100.00
49.36

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 203.5574


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 177.9751

Page 7

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by approveofobamajobperformance

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Race

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

Black

35.46
5.39
2.18

57.75
6.98
3.55

6.79
4.86
0.42

100.00
6.15
6.15

Hispanic

66.24
13.30
5.38

27.65
4.41
2.25

6.11
5.77
0.50

100.00
8.13
8.13

Other

39.08
4.68
1.89

51.75
4.93
2.51

9.16
5.16
0.44

100.00
4.85
4.85

White

38.34
76.62
31.00

52.70
83.68
42.62

8.97
84.22
7.25

100.00
80.87
80.87

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 193.8290


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 191.1601

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

12

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Race

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Black

34.13
6.04
2.09

58.32
6.68
3.57

7.56
3.90
0.46

100.00
6.13
6.13

Hispanic

66.06
15.32
5.31

30.97
4.65
2.49

2.97
2.01
0.24

100.00
8.03
8.03

Other

37.70
5.27
1.83

48.36
4.38
2.34

13.93
5.69
0.67

100.00
4.84
4.84

White

31.39
73.38
25.42

55.65
84.29
45.08

12.96
88.41
10.49

100.00
81.00
81.00

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 314.6020


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 307.2679

Page 8

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Race

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Black

27.29
4.56
1.68

12.23
7.70
0.75

60.48
6.96
3.72

100.00
6.15
6.15

Hispanic

56.69
12.38
4.55

11.54
9.49
0.93

31.77
4.77
2.55

100.00
8.03
8.03

Other

32.24
4.31
1.58

11.48
5.78
0.56

56.28
5.17
2.77

100.00
4.91
4.91

White

35.79
78.75
28.96

9.29
77.03
7.52

54.91
83.10
44.43

100.00
80.91
80.91

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 146.3005


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 146.7546

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by age

13

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Page 9

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Religious
affiliation

Age
18-29

30-49

50-64

65+

Total

Catholic

11.65
15.82
2.35

32.81
16.11
6.61

37.51
25.60
7.55

18.03
24.78
3.63

100.00
20.14
20.14

Jewish

23.21
4.68
0.69

44.30
3.23
1.32

21.94
2.22
0.66

10.55
2.15
0.32

100.00
2.99
2.99

Muslim

29.35
4.59
0.68

57.07
3.23
1.32

11.41
0.90
0.26

2.17
0.34
0.05

100.00
2.32
2.32

Other

22.80
46.43
6.89

44.72
32.93
13.51

22.92
23.46
6.92

9.56
19.71
2.89

100.00
30.20
30.20

Other Christian

9.53
28.49
4.22

41.14
44.50
18.25

31.82
47.82
14.11

17.51
53.01
7.77

100.00
44.35
44.35

Total

14.83
100.00
14.83

41.01
100.00
41.01

29.51
100.00
29.51

14.65
100.00
14.65

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 12) = 461.9183


likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) = 473.0038

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by sex

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Religious
affiliation

Sex
Men

Women

Total

Catholic

50.09
20.51
10.08

49.91
19.77
10.05

100.00
20.13
20.13

Jewish

36.71
2.24
1.10

63.29
3.73
1.90

100.00
3.00
3.00

Muslim

64.50
2.80
1.38

35.50
1.49
0.76

100.00
2.14
2.14

Other

52.61
32.40
15.93

47.39
28.23
14.35

100.00
30.28
30.28

14

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:14 2012

Other Christian

46.51
42.05
20.68

53.49
46.78
23.78

100.00
44.45
44.45

Total

49.17
100.00
49.17

50.83
100.00
50.83

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

52.4185
52.8300

Page 10

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by presidentialraceoverall

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Religious
affiliation

Presidential race, overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Catholic

45.08
19.92
9.14

3.94
16.76
0.80

50.98
20.94
10.34

100.00
20.27
20.27

Jewish

62.33
3.76
1.72

6.98
4.05
0.19

30.70
1.72
0.85

100.00
2.77
2.77

Muslim

47.34
2.24
1.03

0.00
0.00
0.00

52.66
2.32
1.15

100.00
2.18
2.18

Other

61.95
40.66
18.65

5.99
37.84
1.80

32.06
19.56
9.65

100.00
30.11
30.11

Other Christian

34.31
33.42
15.33

4.41
41.35
1.97

61.28
55.46
27.38

100.00
44.68
44.68

Total

45.87
100.00
45.87

4.76
100.00
4.76

49.36
100.00
49.36

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 524.6659


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by approveofobamajobperformance

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

15

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Religious
affiliation

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

Catholic

40.68
20.50
8.30

54.13
21.68
11.04

5.19
12.29
1.06

100.00
20.39
20.39

Jewish

60.19
4.10
1.66

27.49
1.49
0.76

12.32
3.95
0.34

100.00
2.76
2.76

Muslim

53.85
2.94
1.19

42.01
1.82
0.93

4.14
1.06
0.09

100.00
2.21
2.21

Other

55.58
40.85
16.53

32.82
19.16
9.76

11.60
40.06
3.45

100.00
29.74
29.74

Other Christian

28.48
31.61
12.79

63.34
55.85
28.44

8.18
42.64
3.67

100.00
44.90
44.90

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 610.1601


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 627.6819

Page 11

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Religious
affiliation

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Catholic

36.98
21.81
7.56

55.76
21.31
11.39

7.25
12.49
1.48

100.00
20.43
20.43

Jewish

50.24
4.05
1.40

44.08
2.30
1.23

5.69
1.34
0.16

100.00
2.79
2.79

Muslim

50.30
3.25
1.12

39.64
1.66
0.89

10.06
1.90
0.22

100.00
2.24
2.24

Other

41.40
35.68
12.36

38.16
21.31
11.39

20.43
51.39
6.10

100.00
29.86
29.86

Other Christian

27.31
35.22
12.20

63.95
53.43
28.57

8.74
32.89
3.90

100.00
44.68
44.68

Total

34.65
100.00

53.48
100.00

11.87
100.00

100.00
100.00

16

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


34.65

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

53.48

Pearson chi2( 8) = 492.7834


likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) = 483.6371

11.87

Page 12

100.00

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Religious
affiliation

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Catholic

39.17
21.72
7.99

4.48
9.35
0.91

56.35
21.50
11.49

100.00
20.39
20.39

Jewish

58.82
4.38
1.61

14.22
3.99
0.39

26.96
1.38
0.74

100.00
2.74
2.74

Muslim

44.38
2.74
1.01

0.00
0.00
0.00

55.62
2.36
1.26

100.00
2.27
2.27

Other

46.74
37.97
13.96

14.88
45.53
4.44

38.38
21.45
11.47

100.00
29.87
29.87

Other Christian

27.29
33.19
12.20

8.98
41.13
4.01

63.73
53.31
28.50

100.00
44.72
44.72

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 8) = 489.1520


.
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =

Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of age by sex

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex
Age

Men

Women

Total

18-29

43.88
13.28
6.53

56.12
16.43
8.35

100.00
14.88
14.88

30-49

57.46
47.86
23.54

42.54
34.28
17.42

100.00
40.96
40.96

50-64

43.31

56.69

100.00

17

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

25.99
12.78

32.91
16.73

29.51
29.51

65+

43.18
12.87
6.33

56.82
16.38
8.33

100.00
14.65
14.65

Total

49.17
100.00
49.17

50.83
100.00
50.83

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 3) = 150.8727


likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) = 151.3382

Page 13

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of age by presidentialraceoverall

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Age

Presidential race, overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

18-29

53.36
17.37
7.97

9.91
31.08
1.48

36.72
11.11
5.48

100.00
14.93
14.93

30-49

45.17
40.04
18.37

4.08
34.86
1.66

50.74
41.80
20.63

100.00
40.66
40.66

50-64

46.48
30.16
13.84

3.93
24.59
1.17

49.59
29.91
14.76

100.00
29.77
29.77

65+

38.96
12.43
5.70

3.08
9.46
0.45

57.96
17.18
8.48

100.00
14.64
14.64

Total

45.87
100.00
45.87

4.76
100.00
4.76

49.36
100.00
49.36

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 160.1391


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 148.6689

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of age by approveofobamajobperformance

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

18

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Age

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

18-29

45.33
16.47
6.66

39.11
11.29
5.75

15.56
26.56
2.29

100.00
14.70
14.70

30-49

40.18
40.43
16.36

50.90
40.69
20.72

8.92
42.19
3.63

100.00
40.71
40.71

50-64

41.34
30.51
12.35

53.19
31.20
15.89

5.47
18.97
1.63

100.00
29.87
29.87

65+

34.61
12.59
5.10

58.21
16.83
8.57

7.19
12.29
1.06

100.00
14.72
14.72

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) = 153.7701


likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) = 147.9762

Page 14

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of age by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Age

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

18-29

40.62
17.04
5.90

47.18
12.82
6.86

12.20
14.94
1.77

100.00
14.53
14.53

30-49

32.66
38.27
13.26

54.30
41.23
22.05

13.04
44.59
5.29

100.00
40.60
40.60

50-64

36.58
31.70
10.98

53.20
29.87
15.97

10.22
25.86
3.07

100.00
30.03
30.03

65+

30.33
12.99
4.50

57.98
16.09
8.60

11.69
14.60
1.73

100.00
14.84
14.84

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

44.9417
45.0072

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of age by usrightdirection

19

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Page 15

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Age

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

18-29

31.43
12.49
4.59

14.06
21.05
2.05

54.50
14.89
7.96

100.00
14.61
14.61

30-49

38.21
41.88
15.40

9.83
40.58
3.96

51.97
39.18
20.95

100.00
40.31
40.31

50-64

39.20
32.20
11.84

7.56
23.38
2.28

53.24
30.09
16.08

100.00
30.21
30.21

65+

33.21
13.44
4.94

9.84
14.99
1.46

56.95
15.85
8.47

100.00
14.88
14.88

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =

53.4118
52.2984

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by presidentialraceoverall

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex

Presidential race, overall


Obama
Other
Romney

Total

Men

42.38
45.23
20.75

6.55
67.30
3.21

51.08
50.66
25.01

100.00
48.96
48.96

Women

49.23
54.77
25.13

3.05
32.70
1.56

47.72
49.34
24.35

100.00
51.04
51.04

Total

45.87
100.00
45.87

4.76
100.00
4.76

49.36
100.00
49.36

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

74.0901
75.0359

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by approveofobamajobperformance

20

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Page 16

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

Men

38.97
46.95
19.00

52.08
49.85
25.39

8.95
50.68
4.36

100.00
48.75
48.75

Women

41.88
53.05
21.47

49.83
50.15
25.54

8.28
49.32
4.25

100.00
51.25
51.25

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

6.8819
6.8843

Pr = 0.032
Pr = 0.032

-> tabulation of sex by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Sex

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Men

32.54
45.84
15.88

55.26
50.43
26.97

12.20
50.17
5.96

100.00
48.81
48.81

Women

36.66
54.16
18.77

51.78
49.57
26.51

11.56
49.83
5.92

100.00
51.19
51.19

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

14.1860
14.1986

Pr = 0.001
Pr = 0.001

-> tabulation of sex by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

21

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Sex

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Men

36.86
49.32
18.14

8.49
42.78
4.18

54.65
50.30
26.89

100.00
49.21
49.21

Women

36.69
50.68
18.64

11.00
57.22
5.59

52.31
49.70
26.57

100.00
50.79
50.79

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =

13.9435
13.9931

Page 17

Pr = 0.001
Pr = 0.001

-> tabulation of presidentialraceoverall by approveofobamajobperformance

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Presidenti
al race,
overall

Approve of Obama job


performance?
Approve Disapprov
Other

Total

Obama

81.93
92.83
37.56

8.29
7.47
3.80

9.77
52.05
4.48

100.00
45.85
45.85

Other

16.57
1.94
0.78

41.99
3.90
1.99

41.44
22.76
1.96

100.00
4.73
4.73

Romney

4.28
5.23
2.12

91.33
88.64
45.14

4.39
25.19
2.17

100.00
49.43
49.43

Total

40.46
100.00
40.46

50.93
100.00
50.93

8.61
100.00
8.61

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

5.8e+03
6.5e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialraceoverall by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

22

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


Presidenti
al race,
overall

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Obama

69.28
91.41
31.67

15.14
12.94
6.92

15.58
59.98
7.12

100.00
45.71
45.71

Other

12.89
1.72
0.60

33.24
2.87
1.54

53.87
20.96
2.49

100.00
4.62
4.62

Romney

4.80
6.88
2.38

90.65
84.19
45.02

4.56
19.06
2.26

100.00
49.67
49.67

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

4.9e+03
5.2e+03

Page 18

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentialraceoverall by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Presidenti
al race,
overall

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Obama

74.79
92.92
34.17

11.81
55.30
5.40

13.40
11.45
6.12

100.00
45.69
45.69

Other

6.51
0.80
0.30

33.14
15.41
1.50

60.36
5.12
2.74

100.00
4.54
4.54

Romney

4.64
6.28
2.31

5.75
29.30
2.86

89.61
83.43
44.60

100.00
49.77
49.77

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

4.7e+03
5.2e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveofobamajobperformance by whosbetteratmanaging1million

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

23

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012


Approve of
Obama job
performanc
e?

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Who's better at managing $1


million?
Obama
Romney
Unsure

Total

Approve

79.13
92.67
32.11

4.99
3.79
2.02

15.88
54.29
6.45

100.00
40.58
40.58

Disapprove

2.20
3.25
1.12

93.74
89.73
47.99

4.06
17.50
2.08

100.00
51.19
51.19

Other

17.20
4.09
1.42

42.12
6.48
3.47

40.68
28.21
3.35

100.00
8.23
8.23

Total

34.65
100.00
34.65

53.48
100.00
53.48

11.87
100.00
11.87

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

6.2e+03
7.2e+03

Page 19

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveofobamajobperformance by usrightdirection

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Approve of
Obama job
performanc
e?

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Approve

82.40
91.13
33.51

12.38
51.58
5.03

5.22
3.97
2.12

100.00
40.67
40.67

Disapprove

1.10
1.53
0.56

4.96
26.00
2.54

93.93
89.83
48.03

100.00
51.13
51.13

Other

32.90
7.34
2.70

26.68
22.42
2.19

40.43
6.20
3.32

100.00
8.20
8.20

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

5.8e+03
7.1e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of whosbetteratmanaging1million by usrightdirection

24

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

Colorado Crosstabs, October 3-4, 2012

Friday October 5 16:16:15 2012

Page 20

Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage

Who's
better at
managing
$1
million?

U.S. right direction?


Right
Unsure
Wrong

Total

Obama

81.75
77.51
28.50

10.78
38.51
3.76

7.47
4.87
2.60

100.00
34.87
34.87

Romney

5.77
8.40
3.09

5.25
28.75
2.81

88.98
89.00
47.58

100.00
53.48
53.48

Unsure

44.47
14.09
5.18

27.42
32.74
3.20

28.11
6.13
3.28

100.00
11.65
11.65

Total

36.77
100.00
36.77

9.76
100.00
9.76

53.46
100.00
53.46

100.00
100.00
100.00

Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =

4.9e+03
5.5e+03

Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000

log type:
closed on:

smcl
5 Oct 2012, 16:15:54

25

Thomas Young, Ph.D.

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