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Demographic Trends:

2011

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Citation
Statistics New Zealand (2012). Demographic trends: 2011. Wellington: Statistics New
Zealand
ISSN 1177-8075 (online)
Published in January 2012 by
Statistics New Zealand
Tatauranga Aotearoa
Wellington, New Zealand
Contact
Statistics New Zealand Information Centre: info@stats.govt.nz
Phone toll-free 0508 525 525
Phone international +64 4 931 4610
www.stats.govt.nz

Preface
Demographic Trends is Statistics New Zealands main reference volume on population and
related statistics. It is released annually, and provides commentaries on major demographic
indicators of the New Zealand population. The topics covered are: population change and
structure, births, marriage, divorce, deaths, life expectancy, international travel and migration,
subnational population estimates, and national and subnational demographic projections.
Unlike previous editions, Demographic Trends: 2011 does not contain population estimates for
urban areas. Population estimates for urban areas at 30 June 2011 can be accessed from
Infoshare (under the Population category) on the Statistics NZ website.

Geoff Bascand
Government Statistician

Information about the data


Percentage changes
Percentage movements are sometimes calculated using data of greater precision than that
published. This could result in slight variations in the percentages reported.

Rounding procedures
Figures may be rounded to the nearest thousand or some other convenient unit. This rounding
may result in a total disagreeing slightly with the total of the individual items, as shown in tables.
Where figures are rounded, the unit is generally expressed in words below the table headings,
but where space doesnt allow this, the unit may be shown in figures, as (000) for thousands, etc.

Changes of base
Where consecutive figures have been compiled on different bases and are not strictly
comparable, a footnote indicates the nature of the difference.

Source
Statistics New Zealand compiles all data, except where otherwise stated. Both administrative and
survey data have been used in this report.

Contents
1 Population change and structure .............................................................................. 13
Population measures .................................................................................................... 14
Base population ............................................................................................................. 14
Population growth .......................................................................................................... 14
Median age .................................................................................................................... 14
Age structure ................................................................................................................. 15
Mori population estimates ........................................................................................... 15
More information............................................................................................................ 15
2 Births ............................................................................................................................ 38
Introduction .................................................................................................................... 39
Births ........................................................................................................ ...................39
Fertility rates and mother's age ..................................................................................... 39
Cohort fertility ................................................................................................................ 40
Ethnicity ......................................................................................................................... 40
Regional fertility ............................................................................................................. 41
More information............................................................................................................ 41
3 Marriage, civil union, and divorce ............................................................................. 59
Marriages ....................................................................................................................... 60
Age at marriage ............................................................................................................. 60
Remarriages .................................................................................................................. 60
De facto unions.............................................................................................................. 61
Civil unions .................................................................................................................... 61
Divorces ......................................................................................................................... 61
Age at divorce ................................................................................................................ 61
More information............................................................................................................ 62
4 Deaths and life expectancy ........................................................................................ 73
Deaths .......................................................................................................................... 74
Ethnicity ......................................................................................................................... 74
Death rates .................................................................................................................... 74
Period life tables and life expectancy ............................................................................ 74
Infant mortality ............................................................................................................... 75
Cohort life tables and life expectancy ........................................................................... 75
Subnational life expectancy........................................................................................... 75
More information............................................................................................................ 76

Demographic Trends: 2011

5 International travel and migration ............................................................................. 91


Total passengers .......................................................................................................... 92
Permanent and long-term migration.............................................................................. 92
Permanent and long-term migration by citizenship....................................................... 92
Permanent and long-term migration by country ............................................................ 92
Permanent and long-term migration by New Zealand region ....................................... 93
Permanent and long-term migration by visa type ......................................................... 93
More information............................................................................................................ 93
6 Subnational population estimates........................................................................... 106
Introduction .................................................................................................................. 107
North and South islands .............................................................................................. 107
Regions........................................................................................................................ 107
Territorial authority areas ............................................................................................ 108
More information.......................................................................................................... 108
7 National demographic projections .......................................................................... 115
Introduction .................................................................................................................. 116
New Zealand's population ........................................................................................... 116
Population by age ........................................................................................................ 117
Population by ethnicity ................................................................................................ 117
Families ....................................................................................................................... 117
Households .................................................................................................................. 118
Labour force................................................................................................................. 118
More information.......................................................................................................... 118
8 Subnational demographic projections.................................................................... 121
Introduction ................................................................................................................. 121
New Zealand's subnational population ....................................................................... 122
Population by age ........................................................................................................ 123
Population by ethnicity ................................................................................................ 124
Families ....................................................................................................................... 126
Households .................................................................................................................. 127
More information.......................................................................................................... 128
Glossary .......................................................................................................................... 154
Maps................................................................................................................................. 165

List of tables and figures


Tables by chapter
Summary table: Demographic indicators, New Zealand 200911 .............................. 11
1 Population change and structure
1.01 Estimated population and annual growth rate, New Zealand and selected
countries, 19962011............................................................................................ 17
1.02 Total and Mori populations, 18582006 Censuses of Population and
Dwellings ............................................................................................................... 19
1.03 Estimated population by sex, 19412011, year ended 30 June .......................... 20
1.04 Estimated population by sex, 19412010, year ended 31 December .................. 22
1.05 Components of population change, 19612011 ................................................... 24
1.06 Total estimated resident population by age, 31 December 2010 ......................... 26
1.07 Mori estimated resident population by age, 31 December 2010 ........................ 29
1.08 Total estimated population by age group, 19762011.......................................... 32
1.09 Estimated population of people aged 65 and over, 19762011 ........................... 33
1.10 Total estimated resident population and median age, 19962011....................... 34
1.11 Mori estimated resident population and median age, 19962011 ...................... 36
2 Births
2.01 Births and birth rates, total and Mori populations, 19622010 ........................... 42
2.02 Live births, by ethnicity of mother, 200610 ......................................................... 44
2.03 Live births, by ethnicity of child, 200610 ............................................................. 45
2.04 Age-specific fertility rates, total population, 19622010 ....................................... 46
2.05 Age-specific fertility rates, Mori population, 19622010 ..................................... 47
2.06 Total fertility rate, New Zealand and selected countries, 19952010................... 48
2.07 Age-specific fertility rates, New Zealand and selected countries, latest available
years ...................................................................................................................... 49
2.08 Live births by area, regional council and territorial authority areas, 19912010 .. 51
2.09 Total fertility rate, regional council areas, 1996, 2001, and 2006 ......................... 54
2.10 Cumulative fertility rates by selected ages, cohorts of women born
18991990............................................................................................................. 55
2.11 Age by which 25, 50, and 75 percent of total childbearing has been completed,
cohorts of women born 18991977 ...................................................................... 57
3 Marriage, civil union, and divorce
3.01 Marriages and marriage rates, 19612010 ........................................................... 63
3.02 Age-specific marriage rates, 19612006 .............................................................. 64
3.03 Age-specific first marriage rates, 19612006 ....................................................... 65
3.04 Median age at marriage, by previous marital status, 19352010 ........................ 66
3.05 Males and females never married, by age group, 19612006 Censuses of
Population and Dwellings ...................................................................................... 67
7

Demographic Trends: 2011

3.06 First marriages and remarriages, 19532010 ...................................................... 68


3.07 Divorces and divorce rates, 19612010 ............................................................... 69
3.08 Divorce rates by age group, 19962010 ............................................................... 70
3.09 Proportion of marriages ending in divorce, 19672005 ........................................ 71
3.10 Civil unions by relationship type, 200510............................................................ 72
4 Deaths and life expectancy
4.01 Deaths and death rates, total and Mori population, 19612010 ......................... 77
4.02 Deaths by ethnic group, 200610 ......................................................................... 78
4.03 Life expectancy at selected ages, total population by sex, New Zealand
complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507 ................................................. 79
4.04 Life expectancy at selected ages, Mori population by sex, New Zealand
complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507 ................................................. 80
4.05 Life expectancy at birth for OECD countries, by sex ............................................ 81
4.06 Mortality rates by age and sex, total population, New Zealand complete period
life tables, 195052 to 200507 ............................................................................ 82
4.07 Mortality rates by age and sex, Mori population, New Zealand complete period
life tables, 195052 to 200507 ............................................................................ 83
4.08 Ratio of male to female mortality rates, total and Mori populations, New
Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507 ................................... 84
4.09 Ratio of Mori to non-Mori mortality rates, by age and sex, New Zealand
complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507 ................................................. 85
4.10 Life expectancy at birth and age 65, regional council areas by sex, abridged
period life tables, 199597 to 200507 ................................................................. 86
4.11 Life expectancy at birth and age 65, selected territorial authority areas by sex,
abridged period life tables, 199597 to 200507 .................................................. 87
4.12 Life expectancy at selected ages, total population by sex, New Zealand
complete cohort life tables, 18761936 ................................................................ 89
4.13 Age by which 25, 50, and 75 percent of birth cohort have died, by sex, New
Zealand complete cohort life tables, 18761941 .................................................. 90
5 International travel and migration
5.01 International travel and migration by direction and passenger type,
19222011............................................................................................................ 94
5.02 Permanent and long-term migration, by sex, 19792011 .................................... 96
5.03 Permanent and long-term migration, by age group and sex, year ended
30 June 2011 ........................................................................................................ 97
5.04 Permanent and long-term migration by country of citizenship, 19792011 ........ 98
5.05 Permanent and long-term migration, by country of last or next permanent
residence, 19792011 ........................................................................................ 100
5.06 Permanent and long-term migration, by New Zealand region, 19992011 ....... 103
5.07 Permanent and long-term arrivals, by visa type, 200411 ................................ 105

Demographic Trends: 2011

6 Subnational population estimates


6.01 Area, estimated resident population, and population change, regional council
areas, at 30 June 200611.................................................................................. 109
6.02 Area, estimated resident population, and population change, territorial
authority areas, at 30 June 200611 .................................................................. 110
6.03 Components of population change, regional council areas ................................ 112
6.04 Components of population change, territorial authority areas ............................ 113
7 National demographic projections
7.01 Projected population of New Zealand, 19912061 (2009-base) ........................ 119
7.02 Projected population by age group, assuming medium fertility, medium
mortality, and long-run annual net migration of 10,000,
19912061 (2009-base) ...................................................................................... 120
8 Subnational demographic projections
8.01 Projected population of regional council areas, 200631 (2006-base)
update .................................................................................................................. 129
8.02 Projected population of territorial authority areas, 200631 (2006-base)
update .................................................................................................................. 131
8.03 Projected population age structure and components of change, regional
council areas, 19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series......................... 137
8.04 Projected population age structure and components of change, territorial
authority areas, 19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series ...................... 141

Demographic Trends: 2011

Figures by chapter
1 Population change and structure
1

Components of population change, 19612011 ................................................... 13

2 Births
2

Live births and fertility rates, 19212010 .............................................................. 38

3 Marriage, civil union, and divorce


3

Marriage and divorce rates, 19612010 ............................................................... 59

4 Deaths and life expectancy


4

Five-yearly change in life expectancy at birth, total population by sex,


195052 to 200507 .............................................................................................. 73

5 International travel and migration


5

Annual permanent and long-term arrivals, departures, and net migration,


19222011 .............................................................................................................. 91

6 Subnational population estimates


6

Regional population change, year ended 30 June 2011 ..................................... 106

7 National demographic projections


7

Population by broad age group, 19512061, series 5......................................... 116

10

Demographic Trends: 2011

Summary table

Demographic indicators
New Zealand 200911
Indicator

2009

2010

2011

Estimated resident population at 30 June


Male

2,117,500

2,144,600

2,164,600

Female

2,198,300

2,223,200

2,240,600

Total

4,315,800

4,367,800

4,405,200

Under 15 years (number)

891,200

894,500

894,500

Under 15 years (percent)

20.7

20.5

20.3

2,872,000

2,904,200

2,923,700

1564 years (number)


1564 years (percent)
1539 years (number)

66.5

66.5

66.4

1,484,600

1,496,600

1,499,000

1539 years (percent)

34.4

34.3

34.0

4064 years (number)

1,387,400

1,407,500

1,424,700

32.1

32.2

32.3

65+ years (number)

4064 years (percent)

552,600

569,200

587,100

65+ years (percent)

12.8

13.0

13.3

Median age (years)

36.5

36.7

36.8

Sex ratio (males/100 females)

96.3

96.5

96.6

1.1

1.2

0.9

62,964

64,121

62,659

411

440

402

Nuptial births

32,431

32,831

32,400

Ex-nuptial births

30,533

31,290

30,259

Deaths

28,961

28,842

29,325

Natural increase

34,003

35,279

33,334

Arrivals

88,251

82,305

84,016

Departures

75,736

65,801

80,149

Net migration

12,515

16,504

3,867

Arrivals

4,435,459

4,548,670

4,663,894

Departures

4,415,308

4,547,550

4,674,657

Annual growth rate (percent)


Vital and migration statistics, year ended 30 June(1)
Live births
Stillbirths

Permanent and long-term migration

Total passenger movements (2)

Demographic indexes, year ended 30 June(1)


Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 mean population)

14.7

14.8

14.3 P

Total fertility rate (births per woman)

2.1

2.2

2.1 P

Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 mean population)

6.7

6.6

6.7 P

Infant mortality rate (deaths under one year per 1,000 live births)
Median age of women having a baby (years)(3)

4.6

5.1

4.9

29.9

30.0

29.9

Marriages

21,628

20,940

..

Divorces

8,737

8,874

..

Vital statistics, year ended 31 December(1)

11

Demographic Trends: 2011

Summary table

Demographic indicators
New Zealand 200911
Indicator

2009

2010

2011

Demographic indexes, year ended 31 December(1)


Life expectancy at birth (years of life)(4)
Male

78.8

..

..

Female

82.7

..

..

3.9

..

..

General marriage rate (marriages per 1,000 not-married population aged 16+ years)

13.2

12.5

..

Divorce rate (divorces per 1,000 existing marriages)

10.2

10.2

..

Difference (female male)

Median age at marriage (years)


Male

32.2

32.1

..

Female

30.1

30.0

..

Median age at divorce (years)


Male

44.9

45.1

..

Female

42.3

42.5

..

1. All data are based on the resident population concept and refer to events registered in New Zealand during the given period.
2. Includes the short-term (less than 12 months) movement of overseas and New Zealand residents, as well as permanent and long-term
migration.
3. Based on live births.
4. Abridged period life table for 200810.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

12

1 Population change and structure


National population estimates give the best available measure of the size and age-sex structure
of the population usually living in New Zealand. Estimates are based on the latest census data
and on births, deaths, and migration since the census.
New Zealands population reached 4 million in the first half of 2003. The countrys first million was
reached in 1908, with the 2-million mark following in 1952. The 3-million mark was reached in
1973 this was the fastest million, which was achieved in 21 years.
At 30 June 2011:
The estimated resident population of New Zealand was 4.41 million.
The median ages for males and females were 35.6 and 37.9 years, respectively.
Children (aged 014 years) made up 20 percent of the New Zealand population, people of
working ages (1564 years) made up 66 percent, and those aged 65 years and over (65+)
made up 13 percent.
The Mori ethnic group estimated resident population of New Zealand was 673,500.
The median age of the Mori ethnic group was 23.1 years of age, 13.7 years younger than
that of the total population.
During the June 2011 year:
Estimated population growth was 37,400 (0.9 percent).
Natural increase and net migration gain contributed 33,500 and 3,900, respectively, to
population growth.
Figure 1

Components of population change


80

19612011

(000)

60
40
20
0
-20
-40

61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11
June year
Natural increase

Net migration

Total population change

Note: Population change for 196190 refers to the de facto population (see Glossary), while population change from
1992 onwards refers to the resident population. Population change for the June 1991 year is not available, as
resident population estimates were only revised back to 31 March 1991.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

13

Demographic Trends: 2011

Population measures
There are three main population measures produced by Statistics NZ: census night population
count, census usually resident population count, and the estimated resident population:
The census night population count is a count of all people present in New Zealand on a
given census night. This count includes visitors from overseas who are counted on census
night, but excludes residents who are temporarily overseas on census night.
The census usually resident population count is a count of all people who usually live in
New Zealand and are present in New Zealand on a given census night. This count
excludes visitors from overseas and residents who are temporarily overseas on census
night.
The estimated resident population is an estimate of all people who usually live in New
Zealand at a given date. The estimated resident population is the best available measure of
the size and structure of the population usually living in New Zealand. The estimated
resident population at 30 June 2006 forms the base population for deriving post-censal
population estimates.

Base population
The base population at 30 June 2006 was derived by updating the census usually resident
population counts from the 2006 Census for:
net census undercount (as measured by the 2006 Post-enumeration Survey)
the number of residents temporarily overseas on census night
births, deaths, and net permanent and long-term migration between census night (7 March
2006) and 30 June 2006
reconciliation with demographic estimates at ages 04 years.
Population estimates after 30 June 2006 will be revised following the results from the 2013
Census of Population and Dwellings.

Population growth
The estimated resident population of New Zealand at 30 June 2011 was 4,405,200. This is an
increase of 37,400 (0.9 percent) from the previous year, when the estimated resident population
was 4,367,800. The population growth recorded in the June 2011 year was the lowest for a
decade.
The population growth during the June 2011 year was due to a natural increase (excess of births
over deaths) of 33,500 and net permanent and long-term migration of 3,900. Historically, natural
increase has been the dominant element in population growth. During the last decade, the
excess of births over deaths accounted for around two-thirds of New Zealands population
growth.

Median age
New Zealand has an ageing population because of a shift to sustained low fertility and low
mortality rates. This is also observed in other Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development countries. At 30 June 2011, half the New Zealand population was over the age of
36.8 years, compared with a median age of 34.7 years a decade earlier.

14

Demographic Trends: 2011

The median age for females was 37.9 years at 30 June 2011, while for males it was 35.6 years.
The higher median age for females reflects their higher life expectancy, which is 82.7 years,
compared with 78.8 years for males (New Zealand abridged life table, 20082010). In the past
decade, the median age has increased by 1.8 years for males and 2.5 years for females.

Age structure
The age composition of New Zealands population has changed over the last decade. Between
the 2001 and 2011 June years, the number of children (aged 014 years) grew by just 17,200
(2.0 percent), from 877,200 to 894,500. In the June 2011 year, children made up 20 percent of all
New Zealanders, down from 23 percent in 2001.
The number of New Zealanders of working age (1564 years) reached 2,923,700 at 30 June
2011. This age group, which accounted for 66 percent of New Zealands population in 2011,
increased by 380,900 (15 percent) between the 2001 and 2011 June years. People in the older
working ages (4064 years) recorded a much larger percentage increase (23 percent) than
younger workers (7.9 percent) over the last decade. In 2011, the median age of the working-age
population was 39.4 years compared with 38.2 years a decade earlier.
The number of New Zealanders aged 65+ continues to grow. Between June 2001 and 2011 their
number increased by 126,500 (27 percent), from 460,600 to 587,100. The 65+ age group is itself
ageing and this partly reflects the continuing improvement in longevity. The number of males and
females aged 90+ increased significantly during the last decade, with average annual growth
rates at 6.4 and 4.0 percent, respectively. Over the same time, the median age for the 65+ age
group has decreased slightly, from 74.0 years to 73.7 years. Women significantly outnumber men
in the older age groups. At 30 June 2011, the sex ratio for those aged 65 years and over was 84
males per 100 females.

Mori population estimates


The estimated resident population of the Mori ethnic group at 30 June 2011 was 673,500. The
Mori population is much younger than the total population. Half of New Zealands Mori ethnic
group population was under 23.1 years of age at 30 June 2011, 13.7 years younger than the
median age of the total population.
Limitations are inherent in the data used to derive Mori population estimates. For example, no
data on external migration for the Mori ethnic group are available. All estimates for the Mori
ethnic group are supplied only as a guide for research and other analytical purposes.

More information
The following information on population change and structure is available on the Statistics NZ
website, www.stats.govt.nz:
National Population Estimates information releases
Mori population estimates
Subnational Population Estimates at 30 June 200611 (from Table Builder)
Population Clock: A real-time approximation of New Zealands resident population
Further information about population estimates
Estimates and projections: The latest estimates, related articles and reports, and more
detailed information.

15

Demographic Trends: 2011

Time-series data is available from the Infoshare database. Population estimates are available
from two subject groups in the Population category:
Demography Age Estimates
Demography Population Estimates.

16

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.01

Estimated population and annual growth rate


New Zealand and selected countries
19962011
Country

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Estimated population (million)


Australia(1)

18.3

18.5

18.7

18.9

19.2

19.4

19.7

19.9

20.1

20.4

20.7

21.1

21.4

21.9

22.3

..

Canada(2)

29.6

29.9

30.2

30.4

30.7

31.0

31.4

31.7

32.0

32.3

32.6

32.9

33.3

33.7

34.1

34.5 P
5.6

Denmark(2)

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.4

5.4

5.4

5.4

5.4

5.4

5.5

5.5

5.5

5.5

England and Wales (1)

51.4

51.6

51.7

51.9

52.1

52.4

52.6

52.8

53.1

53.4

53.7

54.1

54.5 R

54.8

55.2

France(3)

59.5

59.7

59.9

60.1

60.5

60.9

61.4

61.8

62.3

62.7

63.2

63.6

64.0

64.3 P

64.7 P

Japan(4)

125.9

126.2

126.5

126.7

126.9

127.3

127.4

127.6

127.7

127.8

127.8

127.8

127.7

127.5

128.1

127.8 P

15.5

15.6

15.7

15.8

15.9

16.0

16.1

16.2

16.3

16.3

16.3

16.4

16.4

16.5

16.6

16.7

New Zealand(1)

3.7

3.8

3.8

3.8

3.9

3.9

3.9

4.0

4.1

4.1

4.2

4.2

4.3

4.3

4.4

4.4

Norway(3)

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.5

4.5

4.5

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.7

4.7

4.8

4.9

4.9

Scotland(1)

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.2

5.2

5.2

Netherlands(1)

(5)

Sweden

United States(2)

..
65.0 P

8.8

8.8

8.9

8.9

8.9

8.9

8.9

9.0

9.0

9.0

9.1

9.2

9.3

9.3

9.4

..
..

269.4

272.6

275.9

279.0

282.2

285.1

287.8

290.3

293.0

295.8

298.6

301.6

304.4

307.0

309.3

..

17

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.01

Estimated population and annual growth rate


New Zealand and selected countries
19962011
Country

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Annual growth rate (percent)(6)


Australia(1)

1.3

1.1

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.4

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.3

1.5

1.8

1.7

2.1

1.7

..

Canada(2)

1.1

1.0

0.8

0.8

0.9

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.9

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.0 P

Denmark(2)

0.6

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.5

England and Wales (1)

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.7

0.6

0.7

0.7 R

0.7

0.8

France(3)

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.6 P

0.6 P

0.5 P

Japan(4)

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

Netherlands(1)

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.6

0.5

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

New Zealand(1)

1.6

1.3

0.9

0.5

0.6

0.6

1.8

2.0

1.5

1.1

1.2

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.2

0.9

Norway(3)

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.9

1.2

1.3

1.2

1.3

Scotland(1)

-0.2

-0.2

-0.1

-0.1

-0.2

0.0

-0.2

0.1

0.4

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

Sweden

0.1

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.8

..
..

United States(2)

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

0.8

..

(5)

1. At 30 June.
2. At 1 July.
3. At 1 January.
4. At 1 October.
5. At 31 December.
6. A minus sign denotes a rate of population decline.
Symbols:
P provisional
R revised
.. not available
Source: International data from respective national statistical organisation websites. [accessed November 2011]

18

..
0.6 P
-0.3 P

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.02

Total and Mori populations


18582006 Censuses of Population and Dwellings
Mori population(1)

Total population
Census date

Intercensal increase
Population

Number

Percent

Intercensal increase/decrease

Average
annual
(percent)

Population

Number

Percent

Average
annual
(percent)

Census night population count(2)


24 Dec 1858

115,461

..

..

..

56,049

..

..

..

1 Mar 1874

344,985

47,331

3 Mar 1878

458,007

113,022

32.76

7.33

45,543

-1,788

-3.78

-0.96

1881
1886
1891
1896
1901
1906
1911
1916
1921
1926

534,030
620,451
668,652
743,214
815,862
936,309
1,058,313
1,149,225
1,271,667
1,408,140

76,023
86,421
48,201
74,562
72,648
120,447
122,004
90,912
122,442
136,473

16.60
16.18
7.77
11.15
9.77
14.76
13.03
8.59
10.65
10.73

5.10
3.06
1.50
2.13
1.90
2.75
2.52
1.50
2.27
2.06

46,140
43,926
44,178
42,114
45,549
50,310
52,722
52,998
56,988
69,780

597
-2,214
252
-2,064
3,435
4,761
2,412
276
3,990

1.31
-4.80
0.57
-4.67
8.16
10.45
4.79
0.52
7.53

0.42
-0.98
0.11
-0.95
1.59
1.98
0.96
0.09
1.62

24 Mar 1936

1,573,812

165,672

11.77

1.13

94,053

24,273

34.79

3.05

25 Sep 1945

1,702,329

128,517

8.17

0.83

115,647

21,594

22.96

2.20

17
17
18
22
23
23
24
4
5
5
6
7

1,939,473
2,174,061
2,414,985
2,676,918
2,862,630
3,129,384
3,175,737
3,307,083
3,434,949
3,681,546
3,820,749
4,143,282

237,144
234,588
240,924
261,933
185,712
266,754
46,353
131,346
127,866
246,597
139,203
322,533

13.93
12.10
11.08
10.85
6.94
9.32
1.48
4.14
3.87
7.18
3.78
8.44

2.37
2.31
2.12
2.11
1.35
1.80
0.29
0.82
0.76
1.40
0.74
1.63

134,097
162,258
201,159
249,237
289,887
356,574
385,224
405,309
435,618
524,034
527,067
566,496

18,450
28,161
38,901
48,078
40,650
66,687
28,650
20,085
30,309
88,416
3,033
39,429

15.95
21.00
23.97
23.90
16.31
23.00
8.03
5.21
7.48
20.30
0.58
7.48

2.70
3.88
4.39
4.45
3.07
4.23
1.56
1.03
1.45
3.76
0.12
1.45

..
19,554
30,072
88,524
2,910
39,048

..
5.08
7.43
20.36
0.56
7.42

..
1.01
1.44
3.77
0.11
1.44

3
28
5
12
31
29
2
15
17
20

Apr
Mar
Apr
Apr
Mar
Apr
Apr
Oct
Apr
Apr

Apr
Apr
Apr
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar

1951
1956
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006

Census usually resident population count(3)


24
4
5
5
6
7

Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar

1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006

3,143,307
3,263,283
3,373,926
3,618,303
3,737,277
4,027,947

..
119,976
110,643
244,377
118,974
290,670

..
3.82
3.39
7.24
3.29
7.78

..
0.76
0.67
1.41
0.65
1.51

385,221
404,775
434,847
523,371
526,281
565,329

1. Because of reporting and definitional changes over time, such as between 1921 and 1926, this series should be treated
with caution. This series is as consistent as possible with the current definition of ethnicity.
2. New Zealand residents and overseas visitors counted in New Zealand at each census.
3. New Zealand residents counted in New Zealand at each census. These figures exclude residents temporarily overseas on
census night and make no adjustment for under-enumeration at each census, and therefore differ from the estimated
resident population presented in tables 1.031.11.
Note: This table omits censuses of 1851, 1861, 1864, 1867, and 1871, as Mori censuses were not taken in those years. All
census figures have been randomly rounded to base 3.
Symbols:
.. not available
not applicable
Source: Statistics New Zealand

19

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.03

Estimated population by sex


19412011
Year ended 30 June

Year

Annual increase/
decrease

Estimated population at 30 June


Male

Female

Total

Number

Percent

Sex ratio
at
30 June(1)

Mean estimated population for the


year ended 30 June
Male

Female

Total

Estimated de facto population(2)


1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950

802,700
800,500
786,200
797,000
819,500
879,100
899,600
918,500
939,500
958,000

826,300
838,200
846,500
856,800
868,600
880,300
897,800
914,900
931,600
950,300

1,629,000
1,638,700
1,632,700
1,653,800
1,688,100
1,759,400
1,797,400
1,833,400
1,871,100
1,908,300

-7,100
9,700
-6,000
21,100
34,300
71,300
38,000
36,000
37,700
37,200

-0.43
0.60
-0.37
1.29
2.07
4.22
2.16
2.00
2.06
1.99

97.1
95.5
92.9
93.0
94.3
99.9
100.2
100.4
100.8
100.8

813,800
799,300
796,900
790,000
810,800
855,600
885,800
909,900
929,100
949,100

820,500
832,100
842,500
851,400
862,500
873,600
889,400
907,000
924,000
941,700

1,634,300
1,631,400
1,639,400
1,641,400
1,673,300
1,729,200
1,779,200
1,816,900
1,853,100
1,890,800

1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960

978,200
1,003,000
1,029,500
1,052,200
1,074,600
1,095,100
1,120,700
1,147,400
1,172,200
1,191,900

969,100
991,800
1,017,900
1,040,600
1,061,600
1,083,200
1,108,700
1,134,100
1,158,900
1,179,900

1,947,300
1,994,800
2,047,400
2,092,800
2,136,200
2,178,300
2,229,400
2,281,500
2,331,100
2,371,800

39,000
47,500
52,600
45,400
43,400
42,100
51,100
52,100
49,600
40,700

2.04
2.44
2.64
2.22
2.07
1.97
2.35
2.34
2.17
1.75

100.9
101.1
101.1
101.1
101.2
101.1
101.1
101.2
101.1
101.0

967,500
989,800
1,017,000
1,042,500
1,064,500
1,087,100
1,109,300
1,136,300
1,162,700
1,184,500

959,800
980,600
1,005,700
1,030,800
1,052,100
1,074,100
1,096,900
1,117,600
1,148,600
1,171,700

1,927,300
1,970,400
2,022,700
2,073,300
2,116,600
2,161,200
2,206,200
2,253,900
2,311,300
2,356,200

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

1,215,600
1,247,800
1,270,700
1,297,500
1,317,800
1,342,000
1,365,200
1,374,600
1,384,400
1,404,800

1,204,100
1,234,200
1,261,100
1,287,900
1,310,600
1,333,900
1,358,900
1,373,500
1,388,400
1,405,900

2,419,700
2,482,000
2,531,800
2,585,400
2,628,400
2,675,900
2,724,100
2,748,100
2,772,800
2,810,700

47,900
62,300
49,800
53,600
43,000
47,500
48,200
24,000
24,700
37,900

2.02
2.57
2.01
2.12
1.66
1.81
1.80
0.88
0.90
1.37

101.0
101.1
100.8
100.7
100.5
100.6
100.5
100.1
99.7
99.9

1,205,900
1,235,400
1,261,800
1,286,800
1,310,400
1,334,200
1,357,900
1,372,200
1,382,100
1,397,500

1,193,600
1,221,400
1,249,500
1,276,800
1,302,000
1,324,900
1,349,000
1,369,400
1,384,100
1,400,900

2,399,500
2,456,800
2,511,300
2,563,600
2,612,400
2,659,100
2,706,900
2,741,600
2,766,200
2,798,400

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

1,425,500
1,450,800
1,479,900
1,510,200
1,539,800
1,553,500
1,556,700
1,556,100
1,548,400
1,548,200

1,427,500
1,453,100
1,481,400
1,513,500
1,543,300
1,557,000
1,563,500
1,565,100
1,560,600
1,564,700

2,853,000
2,903,900
2,961,300
3,023,700
3,083,100
3,110,500
3,120,200
3,121,200
3,109,000
3,112,900

42,300
50,900
57,400
62,400
59,400
27,400
9,700
1,000
-12,200
3,900

1.50
1.78
1.98
2.11
1.96
0.89
0.31
0.03
-0.39
0.13

99.9
99.8
99.9
99.8
99.8
99.8
99.6
99.4
99.2
98.9

1,420,500
1,442,700
1,471,600
1,503,300
1,534,400
1,556,800
1,566,300
1,567,600
1,564,400
1,561,300

1,421,700
1,445,800
1,474,800
1,506,500
1,538,600
1,562,700
1,572,900
1,576,700
1,576,900
1,577,600

2,842,200
2,888,500
2,946,400
3,009,800
3,073,000
3,119,500
3,139,200
3,144,300
3,141,300
3,138,900

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

1,553,600
1,566,700
1,589,100
1,600,600
1,608,600
1,607,800
1,620,100
1,622,800
1,627,700
1,642,000

1,571,300
1,589,400
1,610,200
1,626,500
1,638,500
1,638,500
1,654,300
1,660,600
1,671,500
1,687,800

3,124,900
3,156,100
3,199,300
3,227,100
3,247,100
3,246,300
3,274,400
3,283,400
3,299,200
3,329,800

12,000
31,200
43,200
27,800
20,000
-800
28,100
9,000
15,800
30,600

0.39
1.00
1.37
0.87
0.62
-0.02
0.87
0.27
0.48
0.93

98.9
98.6
98.7
98.4
98.2
98.1
97.9
97.7
97.4
97.3

1,566,500
1,573,400
1,588,500
1,606,900
1,618,000
1,621,800
1,626,900
1,638,300
1,638,800
1,646,800

1,582,900
1,593,900
1,611,200
1,631,400
1,646,700
1,652,000
1,661,400
1,676,000
1,682,500
1,696,800

3,149,400
3,167,300
3,199,700
3,238,300
3,264,700
3,273,800
3,288,300
3,314,300
3,321,300
3,343,600

20

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.03

Estimated population by sex


19412011
Year ended 30 June

Year

Estimated population at 30 June


Male

Female

Total

Annual increase/
decrease
Number

Percent

Mean estimated population for the


year ended 30 June

Sex ratio
at
30 June(1)

Male

Female

Total

Estimated resident population(3)


1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

1,719,300
1,739,000
1,759,400
1,783,800
1,810,800
1,841,300
1,863,700
1,877,800
1,884,900
1,893,800

1,775,800
1,792,700
1,812,800
1,836,300
1,862,600
1,890,700
1,917,700
1,937,200
1,950,200
1,964,000

3,495,100
3,531,700
3,572,200
3,620,100
3,673,400
3,732,000
3,781,300
3,815,000
3,835,100
3,857,700

..
36,600
40,500
47,800
53,400
58,600
49,300
33,700
20,100
22,600

..
1.05
1.15
1.34
1.47
1.59
1.32
0.89
0.53
0.59

96.8
97.0
97.1
97.1
97.2
97.4
97.2
96.9
96.7
96.4

..
1,729,800
1,749,200
1,772,100
1,797,700
1,827,400
1,854,200
1,872,000
1,882,200
1,890,400

..
1,785,300
1,802,900
1,825,000
1,850,000
1,878,000
1,905,800
1,928,800
1,944,800
1,958,200

..
3,515,100
3,552,100
3,597,100
3,647,700
3,705,400
3,760,000
3,800,800
3,827,000
3,848,600

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

1,903,200
1,936,500
1,975,600
2,003,800
2,025,200
2,048,300
2,070,800
2,092,200
2,117,500
2,144,600
2,164,600

1,977,300
2,012,000
2,051,700
2,083,800
2,108,700
2,136,200
2,157,600
2,176,700
2,198,300
2,223,200
2,240,600

3,880,500
3,948,500
4,027,200
4,087,500
4,133,900
4,184,600
4,228,300
4,268,900
4,315,800
4,367,800
4,405,200

22,700
68,000
78,800
60,300
46,300
50,700
43,700
40,600
46,900
52,000
37,400

0.59
1.75
1.99
1.50
1.13
1.23
1.05
0.96
1.10
1.20
0.86

96.3
96.2
96.3
96.2
96.0
95.9
96.0
96.1
96.3
96.5
96.6

1,899,000
1,920,200
1,956,900
1,991,300
2,015,700
2,038,400
2,060,900
2,082,700
2,104,700
2,133,100
2,156,900

1,973,200
1,995,200
2,032,700
2,069,300
2,097,400
2,126,500
2,148,400
2,168,400
2,187,600
2,212,400
2,233,900

3,872,200
3,915,400
3,989,600
4,060,600
4,113,100
4,164,900
4,209,300
4,251,200
4,292,400
4,345,500
4,390,800

1. Number of males per 100 females.


2. The estimated de facto population is based on the census night population count, updated for births, deaths,
and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. De facto population estimates include
visitors from overseas, but exclude New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
3. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for:
residents missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily
overseas on census night; and births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the
estimate. Resident population estimates exclude visitors from overseas, but include New Zealand residents
who are temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

21

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.04

Estimated population by sex


19412010
Year ended 31 December

Year

Estimated population at
31 December
Male

Female

Annual increase/
decrease

Total

Number

Percent

Sex ratio
at
31 Dec(1)

Estimated de facto population

Mean estimated population for the


year ended 31 December
Male

Female

Total

(2)

1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950

799,200
793,700
790,800
813,600
855,500
891,300
910,100
929,300
949,500
967,300

832,000
842,700
851,200
862,700
872,300
889,900
907,400
924,600
942,600
960,400

1,631,200
1,636,400
1,642,000
1,676,300
1,727,800
1,781,200
1,817,500
1,853,900
1,892,100
1,927,700

-2,400
5,200
5,600
34,300
51,500
53,400
36,300
36,400
38,200
35,600

-0.15
0.32
0.34
2.09
3.07
3.09
2.04
2.00
2.06
1.88

96.1
94.2
92.9
94.3
98.1
100.2
100.3
100.5
100.7
100.7

804,700
801,700
788,900
799,000
826,900
878,600
899,800
918,700
938,500
958,300

826,200
837,800
846,700
856,800
867,800
881,000
898,500
916,000
933,200
950,800

1,630,900
1,639,500
1,635,600
1,655,800
1,694,700
1,759,600
1,798,300
1,834,700
1,871,700
1,909,100

1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960

989,500
1,017,900
1,043,100
1,065,400
1,089,100
1,111,200
1,137,800
1,165,600
1,186,000
1,207,900

981,000
1,006,700
1,031,600
1,053,000
1,075,700
1,098,000
1,125,000
1,150,400
1,173,700
1,195,700

1,970,500
2,024,600
2,074,700
2,118,400
2,164,800
2,209,200
2,262,800
2,316,000
2,359,700
2,403,600

42,800
54,100
50,100
43,700
46,400
44,400
53,600
53,200
43,700
43,900

2.22
2.75
2.47
2.11
2.19
2.05
2.43
2.35
1.89
1.86

100.9
101.1
101.1
101.2
101.2
101.2
101.1
101.3
101.0
101.0

977,900
1,003,400
1,030,200
1,053,400
1,076,000
1,097,700
1,122,600
1,149,800
1,174,100
1,194,700

969,700
992,800
1,018,600
1,041,500
1,063,000
1,085,100
1,109,900
1,136,000
1,160,500
1,182,300

1,947,600
1,996,200
2,048,800
2,094,900
2,139,000
2,182,800
2,232,500
2,285,800
2,334,600
2,377,000

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

1,238,000
1,264,100
1,288,400
1,313,000
1,336,700
1,360,300
1,373,600
1,385,400
1,399,800
1,425,400

1,223,300
1,251,700
1,278,500
1,304,000
1,327,100
1,351,000
1,371,400
1,387,600
1,404,200
1,426,700

2,461,300
2,515,800
2,566,900
2,617,000
2,663,800
2,711,300
2,745,000
2,773,000
2,804,000
2,852,100

57,700
54,500
51,100
50,100
46,800
47,500
33,700
28,000
31,000
48,100

2.40
2.21
2.03
1.95
1.79
1.78
1.24
1.02
1.12
1.72

101.2
101.0
100.8
100.7
100.7
100.7
100.2
99.8
99.7
99.9

1,219,900
1,249,300
1,273,700
1,299,300
1,321,900
1,346,000
1,367,100
1,377,000
1,388,100
1,408,900

1,206,800
1,235,600
1,263,200
1,289,800
1,313,400
1,336,600
1,360,600
1,376,500
1,392,000
1,410,700

2,426,700
2,484,900
2,536,900
2,589,100
2,635,300
2,682,600
2,727,700
2,753,500
2,780,100
2,819,600

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

1,447,400
1,477,800
1,510,000
1,543,900
1,567,600
1,578,100
1,578,400
1,575,900
1,573,800
1,581,500

1,451,100
1,481,900
1,514,900
1,548,000
1,576,100
1,585,300
1,588,000
1,589,300
1,590,100
1,594,900

2,898,500
2,959,700
3,024,900
3,091,900
3,143,700
3,163,400
3,166,400
3,165,200
3,163,900
3,176,400

46,400
61,200
65,200
67,000
51,800
19,700
3,000
-1,200
-1,300
12,500

1.63
2.11
2.20
2.21
1.68
0.63
0.09
-0.04
-0.04
0.40

99.7
99.7
99.7
99.7
99.5
99.5
99.4
99.2
99.0
99.2

1,431,000
1,456,200
1,487,200
1,518,900
1,547,600
1,562,900
1,567,100
1,566,700
1,561,700
1,563,600

1,433,200
1,459,400
1,489,900
1,522,900
1,552,500
1,568,900
1,575,500
1,576,800
1,576,100
1,580,400

2,864,200
2,915,600
2,977,100
3,041,800
3,100,100
3,131,800
3,142,600
3,143,500
3,137,800
3,144,000

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

1,586,900
1,601,900
1,620,700
1,632,200
1,636,800
1,639,200
1,652,900
1,649,700
1,659,700
1,681,900

1,607,600
1,624,900
1,644,100
1,660,800
1,666,300
1,674,300
1,689,200
1,695,500
1,710,100
1,728,500

3,194,500
3,226,800
3,264,800
3,293,000
3,303,100
3,313,500
3,342,100
3,345,200
3,369,800
3,410,400

18,100
32,300
38,000
28,200
10,100
10,400
28,600
3,100
24,600
40,600

0.57
1.01
1.18
0.86
0.31
0.31
0.86
0.09
0.74
1.20

98.7
98.6
98.6
98.3
98.2
97.9
97.9
97.3
97.1
97.3

1,569,300
1,579,300
1,599,400
1,613,100
1,620,600
1,622,700
1,633,900
1,638,400
1,641,200
1,656,100

1,587,400
1,601,500
1,622,300
1,639,700
1,650,900
1,654,300
1,669,700
1,678,600
1,689,000
1,706,400

3,156,700
3,180,800
3,221,700
3,252,800
3,271,500
3,277,000
3,303,600
3,317,000
3,330,200
3,362,500

22

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.04

Estimated population by sex


19412010
Year ended 31 December
Estimated population at
31 December

Year

Male

Female

Annual increase/
decrease

Total

Number

Percent

Mean estimated population for the


year ended 31 December

Sex ratio
at
31 Dec(1)

Male

Female

Total

Estimated resident population(3)


1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

1,730,000
1,749,100
1,772,500
1,797,800
1,828,000
1,855,400
1,872,900
1,883,300
1,891,700
1,900,400

1,786,000
1,803,100
1,825,400
1,850,400
1,878,700
1,906,900
1,929,700
1,945,900
1,959,500
1,972,600

3,516,000
3,552,200
3,597,900
3,648,200
3,706,700
3,762,300
3,802,700
3,829,200
3,851,100
3,873,100

40,900
36,300
45,600
50,400
58,400
55,600
40,400
26,500
22,000
21,900

1.18
1.03
1.28
1.40
1.60
1.50
1.07
0.70
0.57
0.57

96.9
97.0
97.1
97.2
97.3
97.3
97.1
96.8
96.5
96.3

1,719,500
1,739,400
1,760,100
1,784,600
1,812,100
1,841,800
1,864,300
1,878,100
1,886,000
1,895,000

1,776,300
1,793,600
1,813,500
1,837,000
1,863,700
1,892,100
1,918,300
1,937,700
1,951,300
1,965,100

3,495,800
3,533,000
3,573,600
3,621,600
3,675,800
3,733,900
3,782,600
3,815,800
3,837,300
3,860,100

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

1,920,500
1,956,700
1,991,800
2,016,200
2,037,700
2,061,800
2,083,400
2,104,100
2,134,000
2,158,200

1,995,700
2,032,900
2,069,800
2,098,100
2,123,300
2,149,600
2,169,200
2,187,400
2,213,200
2,234,900

3,916,200
3,989,500
4,061,600
4,114,300
4,161,000
4,211,400
4,252,600
4,291,600
4,347,200
4,393,100

43,100
73,400
72,000
52,800
46,600
50,400
41,200
39,000
55,600
45,900

1.11
1.87
1.81
1.30
1.13
1.21
0.98
0.92
1.30
1.06

96.2
96.2
96.2
96.1
96.0
95.9
96.0
96.2
96.4
96.6

1,906,300
1,937,800
1,975,600
2,004,400
2,026,200
2,049,500
2,072,000
2,093,300
2,118,600
2,145,900

1,980,700
2,013,400
2,052,000
2,084,300
2,109,800
2,137,400
2,158,800
2,177,800
2,199,500
2,224,300

3,887,000
3,951,200
4,027,700
4,088,700
4,136,000
4,186,900
4,230,700
4,271,100
4,318,100
4,370,200

1. Number of males per 100 females.


2. The estimated de facto population is based on the census night population count, updated for births, deaths, and net
migration between census night and the date of the estimate. De facto population estimates include visitors from overseas,
but exclude New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
3. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents missed
or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and
births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Resident population estimates
exclude visitors from overseas, but include New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

23

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.05

Components of population change


19612011
June year

Natural increase

(1)

Net migration

(2)

Intercensal
(3)
adjustment

Annual
(4)
population change

(5)

Estimated de facto population


1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

42,700
44,500
41,700
40,400
38,500
36,400
37,400
37,800
37,800
37,500

6,500
19,100
12,200
14,300
8,900
12,300
12,500
-12,000
-10,500
-1,900

-1,200
-1,400
-4,100
-1,100
-4,400
-1,200
-1,600
-1,800
-2,600
2,300

47,900
62,300
49,800
53,600
43,000
47,500
48,200
24,000
24,700
37,900

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

39,000
39,800
36,500
35,100
32,700
30,100
29,200
27,000
27,100
25,600

5,300
11,800
20,900
27,600
27,200
-5,000
-20,000
-25,900
-37,100
-20,700

-2,000
-700
0
-400
-600
2,300
500
-100
-2,100
-1,000

42,300
50,900
57,400
62,400
59,400
27,400
9,700
1,000
-12,200
3,900

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

25,000
24,400
24,400
24,800
25,800
25,200
26,500
29,200
30,300
32,400

-12,100
9,100
19,900
4,700
-3,900
-23,900
5,400
-16,300
-10,600
2,000

-800
-2,300
-1,100
-1,800
-1,800
-2,100
-3,800
-3,900
-4,000
-3,800

12,000
31,200
43,200
27,800
20,000
-800
28,100
9,000
15,800
30,600

24

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.05

Components of population change


19612011
June year

Natural increase

(1)

Net migration

(2)

Intercensal
(3)
adjustment

Annual
(4)
population change

(6)

Estimated resident population


1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

..
33,000
31,800
31,000
30,700
29,100
29,800
30,500
28,700
29,600

..
3,600
8,700
16,800
22,700
29,500
16,800
500
-11,400
-9,800

..
..
..
..
..
..
2,800
2,800
2,800
2,800

..
36,600
40,500
47,800
53,400
58,600
49,300
33,700
20,100
22,600

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

29,200
26,500
27,500
29,600
29,100
31,300
33,700
35,800
34,400
35,500
33,500

-9,300
32,800
42,500
22,000
8,600
10,700
10,100
4,700
12,500
16,500
3,900

2,800
8,700
8,700
8,700
8,700
8,700
..
..
..
..
..

22,700
68,000
78,800
60,300
46,300
50,700
43,700
40,600
46,900
52,000
37,400

1. For the estimated de facto population, excess of registered births over registered deaths.
For the estimated resident population, excess of estimated births over estimated deaths (both by date of occurrence).
2. For the estimated de facto population, excess of total arrivals over total departures. Excludes armed forces before 1987.
For the estimated resident population, excess of permanent and long-term arrivals over permanent and long-term departures.
A minus sign denotes an excess of departures over arrivals.
3. The difference between two population estimates that arises from errors in the census-based estimates and/or components
of change. The adjustment is calculated at the end of each intercensal period.
4. From population estimates. Population change for the June 1991 year is not available, as resident population estimates have only
been revised back to 31 March 1991.
5. The estimated de facto population is based on the census night population count, updated for births, deaths, and net migration
between census night and the date of the estimate. De facto population estimates include visitors from overseas, but exclude
New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
6. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents missed or
counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and births,
deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Resident population estimates exclude visitors
from overseas, but include New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

25

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.06

Total estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)

(1)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male

Female

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total

Male

Female

Total

Single year of age


0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50

32,700
32,350
32,890
32,630
30,530
29,960
29,730
29,440
28,550
29,280
30,400
29,970
29,710
29,870
30,800
31,890
31,750
32,870
33,530
34,490
35,150
34,090
33,150
32,240
30,490
30,380
29,520
29,190
29,050
27,690
27,190
26,510
25,690
25,280
25,790
26,110
27,040
27,870
29,510
30,240
29,950
30,090
29,970
29,520
29,820
30,250
30,580
31,600
31,790
31,230
30,700

30,940
30,560
31,040
30,930
29,470
28,440
28,270
27,770
27,230
28,140
28,850
28,700
28,210
28,610
29,110
30,070
30,370
31,270
31,440
32,480
33,350
32,220
31,190
30,000
29,470
29,510
29,580
29,590
29,580
28,820
28,690
28,490
28,110
27,690
27,930
28,470
29,850
31,020
32,450
33,550
33,150
32,980
32,850
32,000
31,880
32,140
32,940
33,790
33,950
33,250
32,540

63,640
62,910
63,930
63,560
60,010
58,400
57,990
57,210
55,780
57,430
59,250
58,670
57,920
58,480
59,900
61,960
62,130
64,130
64,970
66,970
68,500
66,310
64,340
62,240
59,960
59,880
59,110
58,780
58,630
56,510
55,880
55,000
53,800
52,960
53,720
54,570
56,890
58,880
61,960
63,790
63,090
63,060
62,820
61,520
61,700
62,390
63,520
65,380
65,740
64,480
63,240

26

32,580
32,640
32,850
31,680
30,190
29,750
29,720
29,010
28,710
29,870
30,410
29,720
29,970
30,110
31,280
31,850
32,210
32,960
33,750
34,630
34,290
33,450
32,640
31,190
30,340
29,790
29,280
29,090
28,090
27,320
26,650
26,010
25,420
25,600
25,820
26,610
27,440
28,630
29,980
30,280
29,940
30,150
29,750
29,690
30,010
30,370
31,220
31,770
31,670
31,100
30,050

31,050
30,520
31,190
30,170
28,910
28,250
28,270
27,440
27,530
28,500
28,990
28,230
28,610
28,780
29,540
30,200
30,600
31,410
31,800
32,910
32,840
31,610
30,740
29,470
29,450
29,420
29,440
29,390
28,840
28,530
28,430
28,300
27,700
27,790
27,980
29,270
30,440
31,750
33,060
33,520
32,930
33,020
32,400
32,110
32,050
32,430
33,240
34,150
33,690
33,050
31,620

63,630
63,160
64,030
61,850
59,100
57,990
57,990
56,450
56,230
58,370
59,400
57,950
58,580
58,890
60,820
62,050
62,810
64,370
65,550
67,540
67,130
65,060
63,380
60,660
59,790
59,220
58,720
58,480
56,940
55,860
55,080
54,320
53,120
53,400
53,800
55,890
57,880
60,380
63,040
63,800
62,870
63,170
62,160
61,800
62,060
62,810
64,450
65,920
65,360
64,150
61,680

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.06

Total estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90+

(1)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male
29,280
28,950
27,570
28,060
26,280
25,570
24,490
24,480
23,770
23,570
23,320
23,300
23,170
21,630
19,280
17,880
16,390
16,500
16,730
16,130
14,290
13,300
12,450
11,650
10,740
10,460
9,410
9,370
8,960
8,630
7,740
7,140
6,380
5,610
4,950
4,240
3,590
2,860
2,330
6,740

Female
30,950
29,910
29,260
28,570
27,620
26,570
25,630
25,190
24,360
24,780
23,830
24,040
24,300
22,420
20,270
18,540
17,060
17,490
17,810
17,110
15,530
14,490
13,760
13,100
11,850
11,660
11,160
10,900
10,760
10,560
9,790
9,330
8,490
8,160
7,480
6,890
5,980
5,310
4,610
16,530

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total

Male

60,230
58,860
56,840
56,630
53,900
52,140
50,120
49,670
48,120
48,350
47,150
47,340
47,470
44,060
39,540
36,420
33,460
33,990
34,540
33,240
29,820
27,790
26,210
24,750
22,590
22,120
20,570
20,270
19,720
19,190
17,520
16,480
14,870
13,770
12,430
11,130
9,570
8,170
6,940
23,260

29,330
28,210
27,890
27,180
25,960
25,220
24,480
24,180
23,670
23,530
23,330
23,250
23,000
20,040
18,600
17,510
16,030
17,000
16,710
15,320
13,770
13,040
12,130
11,330
10,770
10,100
9,530
9,360
9,090
8,340
7,700
7,030
6,290
5,530
4,830
4,120
3,390
2,820
2,330
6,370

27

Female
30,710
29,580
28,870
28,140
27,140
26,210
25,420
24,770
24,530
24,370
23,870
24,160
23,980
20,870
19,400
18,090
16,860
18,030
17,710
16,300
15,070
14,160
13,490
12,650
11,790
11,480
11,270
10,880
10,930
10,400
9,700
9,130
8,600
8,080
7,500
6,730
5,890
5,330
4,660
15,950

Total
60,040
57,790
56,770
55,320
53,090
51,430
49,900
48,950
48,190
47,900
47,200
47,420
46,980
40,910
37,990
35,600
32,890
35,040
34,420
31,620
28,840
27,200
25,610
23,990
22,560
21,580
20,800
20,240
20,020
18,740
17,400
16,160
14,880
13,610
12,320
10,850
9,280
8,150
6,990
22,320

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.06

Total estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)

(1)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male

Female

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total

Male

Female

Total

Age group
161,100
146,960
150,740
164,530
165,120
145,830
130,460
140,760
149,350
155,450
144,560
124,580
114,990
86,780
67,820
48,940
60,210

152,940
139,850
143,480
155,630
156,240
147,080
140,910
155,330
162,840
166,060
151,230
129,360
119,370
91,170
73,990
56,330
93,120

314,040
286,810
294,220
320,160
321,360
292,900
271,370
296,090
312,200
321,510
295,790
253,940
234,360
177,950
141,810
105,280
153,330

159,940
147,050
151,500
165,410
161,910
143,580
129,510
142,940
149,550
156,140
142,670
123,510
113,150
85,860
65,600
48,860
58,740

151,840
139,980
144,150
156,920
154,100
145,630
140,200
158,040
162,510
166,560
148,930
128,060
117,250
90,090
71,670
56,340
91,970

311,780
287,040
295,640
322,330
316,020
289,210
269,710
300,980
312,060
322,700
291,600
251,570
230,400
175,950
137,270
105,200
150,710

Under 15
Under 16
Under 18
Under 20
18+
20+
60+
65+

458,800
490,700
555,300
623,300
1,602,900
1,534,900
378,700
263,800

436,300
466,300
528,000
591,900
1,707,000
1,643,000
434,000
314,600

895,100
957,000
1,083,300
1,215,200
3,309,800
3,177,900
812,700
578,400

458,500
490,300
555,500
623,900
1,590,400
1,522,000
372,200
259,100

436,000
466,200
528,200
592,900
1,696,100
1,631,400
427,300
310,100

894,500
956,500
1,083,700
1,216,800
3,286,500
3,153,400
799,500
569,100

All ages

2,158,200

2,234,900

4,393,100

2,145,900

2,224,300

4,370,200

35.5

37.7

36.7

35.5

37.6

36.7

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
80+

Median age (years)

1. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents missed
or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and
births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Resident population estimates
exclude visitors from overseas, but include New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s). Estimates for single-year and five-year age
groups have been rounded to the nearest 10. Otherwise, estimates have been rounded to the nearest 100.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

28

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.07
(1)

Mori estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)

(2)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male

Female

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total

Male

Female

Total

Single year of age


0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50

9,610
9,370
9,710
9,580
8,540
7,440
7,290
7,050
6,940
7,040
7,290
7,170
6,870
6,930
6,990
7,090
6,860
6,970
7,020
6,890
6,750
6,140
5,660
5,330
4,800
4,350
4,070
3,900
3,880
4,010
3,990
3,960
3,910
3,820
3,820
3,870
3,860
3,960
4,040
4,090
3,870
3,870
3,850
3,780
3,620
3,660
3,660
3,740
3,740
3,500
3,420

8,930
8,850
8,980
8,940
8,170
7,100
6,890
6,620
6,560
6,750
6,970
6,710
6,600
6,600
6,600
6,740
6,460
6,540
6,580
6,590
6,550
6,250
5,780
5,560
5,020
4,730
4,480
4,300
4,240
4,510
4,510
4,510
4,400
4,440
4,360
4,380
4,430
4,560
4,710
4,710
4,550
4,430
4,360
4,260
3,970
4,080
4,030
4,230
4,260
4,070
3,960

18,540
18,220
18,690
18,520
16,710
14,540
14,180
13,670
13,500
13,800
14,260
13,880
13,480
13,530
13,590
13,830
13,320
13,510
13,600
13,480
13,300
12,390
11,440
10,900
9,820
9,080
8,550
8,210
8,120
8,520
8,500
8,470
8,320
8,260
8,180
8,250
8,290
8,520
8,760
8,800
8,430
8,300
8,210
8,040
7,590
7,740
7,690
7,970
8,010
7,570
7,370

29

9,520
9,580
9,750
9,220
7,850
7,360
7,200
7,020
6,940
7,250
7,300
7,010
7,000
6,900
7,110
7,030
6,960
6,970
7,060
6,900
6,510
6,000
5,580
5,190
4,620
4,270
4,030
3,920
3,950
4,060
3,990
3,930
3,910
3,810
3,860
3,900
3,880
4,030
4,110
4,050
3,810
3,940
3,770
3,760
3,630
3,660
3,690
3,810
3,660
3,490
3,330

9,000
8,850
9,020
8,670
7,580
7,010
6,810
6,590
6,570
6,960
6,930
6,610
6,660
6,630
6,680
6,690
6,470
6,600
6,640
6,630
6,520
6,090
5,790
5,350
4,930
4,690
4,400
4,320
4,350
4,530
4,520
4,540
4,360
4,430
4,340
4,470
4,510
4,620
4,750
4,670
4,490
4,390
4,310
4,190
4,020
4,030
4,120
4,330
4,210
4,020
3,800

18,520
18,430
18,770
17,900
15,430
14,370
14,010
13,610
13,510
14,210
14,230
13,620
13,660
13,530
13,790
13,720
13,440
13,580
13,710
13,530
13,030
12,090
11,370
10,550
9,560
8,960
8,430
8,230
8,300
8,600
8,510
8,470
8,280
8,240
8,200
8,360
8,390
8,650
8,860
8,720
8,300
8,320
8,080
7,950
7,660
7,690
7,800
8,140
7,870
7,510
7,130

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.07
(1)

Mori estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90+

(2)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male
3,230
3,120
2,890
2,870
2,560
2,420
2,280
2,340
2,060
2,030
1,890
1,830
1,630
1,520
1,330
1,220
1,130
1,130
1,020
1,100
1,010
860
760
680
640
590
460
440
360
320
300
240
190
140
130
100
90
70
30
170

Female
3,560
3,470
3,270
3,050
2,920
2,700
2,520
2,420
2,210
2,350
2,110
1,920
1,840
1,650
1,500
1,410
1,240
1,250
1,170
1,180
1,060
990
920
860
680
630
590
590
470
440
410
320
280
250
210
180
130
90
80
280

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total
6,790
6,590
6,150
5,920
5,480
5,120
4,800
4,760
4,270
4,370
4,000
3,750
3,480
3,170
2,830
2,630
2,370
2,380
2,190
2,280
2,070
1,850
1,680
1,540
1,320
1,220
1,050
1,020
830
760
710
560
470
390
340
280
220
160
110
460

30

Male
3,240
2,990
2,920
2,720
2,490
2,370
2,330
2,210
2,060
1,970
1,850
1,790
1,620
1,410
1,280
1,200
1,130
1,090
1,090
1,080
910
840
730
670
630
530
460
410
340
330
280
230
160
150
110
110
70
50
50
150

Female
3,580
3,330
3,190
3,000
2,820
2,640
2,470
2,330
2,290
2,260
2,010
1,890
1,790
1,550
1,470
1,370
1,240
1,220
1,220
1,130
1,030
970
910
810
640
620
630
530
490
440
370
310
280
240
200
170
130
90
80
270

Total
6,820
6,320
6,110
5,720
5,320
5,010
4,800
4,550
4,350
4,220
3,870
3,680
3,410
2,970
2,750
2,560
2,380
2,320
2,300
2,210
1,940
1,820
1,640
1,480
1,280
1,150
1,090
930
830
770
650
540
440
390
320
270
200
140
130
420

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.07
(1)

Mori estimated resident population


31 December 2010
Age
(years)

(2)

by age

Population at
31 December 2010
Male

Female

Mean population for year ended


31 December 2010
Total

Male

Female

Total

Age group
Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
80+

46,810
35,760
35,250
34,820
28,690
20,210
19,510
19,810
18,990
18,300
15,520
11,660
8,900
5,820
4,410
2,470
1,780

43,870
33,920
33,480
32,910
29,160
22,260
22,220
22,790
21,580
20,680
17,300
12,770
9,880
6,570
5,000
2,970
2,680

90,680
69,690
68,730
67,730
57,850
42,470
41,730
42,610
40,560
38,980
32,820
24,430
18,770
12,390
9,410
5,440
4,460

45,920
35,760
35,310
34,930
27,910
20,220
19,500
19,960
18,910
18,310
15,200
11,480
8,640
5,790
4,250
2,370
1,690

43,130
33,940
33,500
33,040
28,680
22,300
22,190
23,020
21,400
20,700
16,900
12,550
9,500
6,520
4,840
2,910
2,580

89,050
69,710
68,810
67,970
56,590
42,520
41,690
42,990
40,310
39,000
32,110
24,030
18,140
12,310
9,090
5,280
4,260

Under 15
Under 16
Under 18
Under 20
18+
20+
60+
65+

117,800
124,900
138,700
152,700
190,000
176,100
23,400
14,500

111,300
118,000
131,000
144,200
209,000
195,900
27,100
17,200

229,100
242,900
269,800
296,800
399,000
372,000
50,500
31,700

117,000
124,000
138,000
151,900
188,200
174,200
22,700
14,100

110,600
117,300
130,300
143,600
207,400
194,100
26,400
16,900

227,600
241,300
268,300
295,500
395,600
368,300
49,100
30,900

All ages

328,700

340,000

668,700

326,200

337,700

663,900

21.8

24.3

23.0

21.8

24.3

23.0

Median age (years)


1.
2.

Mori ethnic group. Limitations are inherent in the data used to derive Mori population estimates. All estimates for the Mori
ethnic group are supplied only as a guide for research and other analytical purposes.
The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents missed
or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and
births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate.

Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s). Estimates for five-year age groups have
been rounded to the nearest 10. Otherwise estimates have been rounded to the nearest 100.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

31

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.08

Total estimated population by age group


19762011
Year at
30 June

Percent in age group

Age group (years)


Under 15

1559

6064

65+

All ages

Under 15

1559

6064

65+

Median
age
All ages (years)

Estimated de facto population(1)


1976

926,200

1,786,100

123,160

275,000

3,110,500

29.8

57.4

4.0

8.8

100.0

1977

910,000

1,805,600

122,930

281,800

3,120,200

29.2

57.9

3.9

9.0

100.0

26.4
26.7

1978

889,400

1,823,200

121,180

287,400

3,121,200

28.5

58.4

3.9

9.2

100.0

27.0

1979

870,100

1,827,100

118,560

293,200

3,109,000

28.0

58.8

3.8

9.4

100.0

27.4

1980

853,800

1,840,900

119,050

299,200

3,112,900

27.4

59.1

3.8

9.6

100.0

27.6

1981

841,600

1,852,800

123,730

306,700

3,124,900

26.9

59.3

4.0

9.8

100.0

28.1

1982

830,900

1,883,900

126,790

314,500

3,156,100

26.3

59.7

4.0

10.0

100.0

28.4

1983

824,000

1,925,700

130,720

318,900

3,199,300

25.8

60.2

4.1

10.0

100.0

28.6

1984

815,200

1,954,700

133,560

323,600

3,227,100

25.3

60.6

4.1

10.0

100.0

28.9

1985

804,100

1,976,100

136,160

330,700

3,247,100

24.8

60.9

4.2

10.2

100.0

29.3

1986

791,600

1,981,700

134,910

338,200

3,246,300

24.4

61.0

4.2

10.4

100.0

29.7

1987

783,400

2,011,500

135,390

344,100

3,274,400

23.9

61.4

4.1

10.5

100.0

30.0

1988

773,700

2,022,800

135,900

350,900

3,283,400

23.6

61.6

4.1

10.7

100.0

30.2

1989

772,400

2,032,400

135,880

358,600

3,299,200

23.4

61.6

4.1

10.9

100.0

30.7

1990

777,800

2,048,900

136,160

366,900

3,329,800

23.4

61.5

4.1

11.0

100.0

30.9

Estimated resident population(2)


1991

807,200

2,150,300

146,350

391,300

3,495,100

23.1

61.5

4.2

11.2

100.0

31.4

1992

814,300

2,172,600

145,160

399,600

3,531,700

23.1

61.5

4.1

11.3

100.0

31.7

1993

824,700

2,196,500

143,310

407,800

3,572,200

23.1

61.5

4.0

11.4

100.0

32.0

1994

835,300

2,227,500

141,400

415,900

3,620,100

23.1

61.5

3.9

11.5

100.0

32.3

1995

847,500

2,263,200

139,270

423,400

3,673,400

23.1

61.6

3.8

11.5

100.0

32.6

1996

859,500

2,304,900

137,460

430,100

3,732,000

23.0

61.8

3.7

11.5

100.0

32.9

1997

869,500

2,336,700

138,850

436,300

3,781,400

23.0

61.8

3.7

11.5

100.0

33.2

1998

876,300

2,355,000

141,580

442,200

3,815,000

23.0

61.7

3.7

11.6

100.0

33.6

1999

877,300

2,364,000

145,810

447,900

3,835,100

22.9

61.6

3.8

11.7

100.0

34.0

2000

878,700

2,373,000

152,500

453,500

3,857,800

22.8

61.5

4.0

11.8

100.0

34.3

2001

877,200

2,381,700

160,980

460,600

3,880,500

22.6

61.4

4.1

11.9

100.0

34.7

2002

883,600

2,428,700

168,690

467,500

3,948,500

22.4

61.5

4.3

11.8

100.0

34.8

2003

890,000

2,489,600

171,920

475,700

4,027,200

22.1

61.8

4.3

11.8

100.0

35.0

2004

893,100

2,532,000

177,840

484,600

4,087,500

21.8

61.9

4.4

11.9

100.0

35.2

2005

890,200

2,564,800

182,480

496,400

4,133,900

21.5

62.0

4.4

12.0

100.0

35.5

2006

888,300

2,598,000

186,660

511,600

4,184,600

21.2

62.1

4.5

12.2

100.0

35.8

2007

888,400

2,615,600

197,530

526,700

4,228,300

21.0

61.9

4.7

12.5

100.0

36.1

2008

889,400

2,629,900

211,660

537,900

4,268,900

20.8

61.6

5.0

12.6

100.0

36.3

2009

891,200

2,650,700

221,260

552,600

4,315,800

20.7

61.4

5.1

12.8

100.0

36.5

2010

894,500

2,673,900

230,310

569,200

4,367,800

20.5

61.2

5.3

13.0

100.0

36.7

2011

894,500

2,686,600

237,080

587,100

4,405,200

20.3

61.0

5.4

13.3

100.0

36.8

1. The estimated de facto population is based on the census night population count, updated for births, deaths, and net
migration between census night and the date of the estimate. De facto population estimates include visitors from
overseas, but exclude New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
2. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents
missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on
census night; and births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Resident
population estimates exclude visitors from overseas, but include New Zealand residents temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s). Estimates for five-year age groups
have been rounded to the nearest 10. Otherwise, estimates have been rounded to the nearest 100.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

32

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.09

Estimated population of people aged 65 and over


19762011
Year at
30 June

Age group (years)


6574

7584

85+

Percent in age group


65+

6574

7584

85+

65+

Median
age
(years)

Estimated de facto population(1)


1976

178,400

78,400

18,300

275,000

64.9

28.5

6.7

100.0

72.0

1977
1978

182,700

80,600

18,500

281,800

64.8

28.6

6.6

100.0

72.1

186,500

82,200

18,600

287,400

64.9

28.6

6.5

100.0

72.1

1979

188,800

85,300

19,200

293,200

64.4

29.1

6.5

100.0

72.2

1980

192,300

87,000

19,800

299,200

64.3

29.1

6.6

100.0

72.3

1981

195,400

89,800

21,500

306,700

63.7

29.3

7.0

100.0

72.4

1982

199,300

93,000

22,100

314,500

63.4

29.6

7.0

100.0

72.4

1983

199,800

96,400

22,700

318,900

62.6

30.2

7.1

100.0

72.6

1984

200,300

100,000

23,300

323,600

61.9

30.9

7.2

100.0

72.7

1985

203,300

103,300

24,000

330,700

61.5

31.2

7.3

100.0

72.8

1986

205,700

106,100

26,300

338,200

60.8

31.4

7.8

100.0

72.9

1987

208,200

109,200

26,800

344,100

60.5

31.7

7.8

100.0

73.0

1988

210,600

113,300

27,100

350,900

60.0

32.3

7.7

100.0

73.0

1989

213,100

117,400

28,100

358,600

59.4

32.7

7.8

100.0

73.1

1990

216,100

120,900

29,800

366,900

58.9

33.0

8.1

100.0

73.2

Estimated resident population

(2)

1991

234,200

125,600

31,400

391,300

59.9

32.1

8.0

100.0

72.9

1992

237,700

129,000

32,900

399,600

59.5

32.3

8.2

100.0

72.9

1993

242,500

130,700

34,500

407,800

59.5

32.1

8.5

100.0

73.0

1994

247,300

132,300

36,300

415,900

59.5

31.8

8.7

100.0

73.1

1995
1996

249,100

136,500

37,800

423,400

58.8

32.2

8.9

100.0

73.3

250,700

140,200

39,200

430,100

58.3

32.6

9.1

100.0

73.4

1997

250,800

144,300

41,200

436,300

57.5

33.1

9.4

100.0

73.5

1998

251,100

147,700

43,300

442,200

56.8

33.4

9.8

100.0

73.6

1999

251,300

151,100

45,600

447,900

56.1

33.7

10.2

100.0

73.8

2000

250,700

155,000

47,800

453,500

55.3

34.2

10.5

100.0

73.9

2001

251,700

159,100

49,800

460,600

54.7

34.5

10.8

100.0

74.0

2002

253,600

162,700

51,200

467,500

54.2

34.8

11.0

100.0

74.1

2003

256,200

167,400

52,100

475,700

53.9

35.2

11.0

100.0

74.2

2004

260,100

171,500

53,100

484,600

53.7

35.4

11.0

100.0

74.2

2005

266,600

174,300

55,500

496,400

53.7

35.1

11.2

100.0

74.2

2006

275,700

177,800

58,100

511,600

53.9

34.7

11.4

100.0

74.1

2007

285,600

180,100

61,000

526,700

54.2

34.2

11.6

100.0

74.0

2008

291,900

182,300

63,700

537,900

54.3

33.9

11.8

100.0

74.0

2009

301,900

184,100

66,600

552,600

54.6

33.3

12.1

100.0

73.9

2010

313,200

185,900

70,100

569,200

55.0

32.7

12.3

100.0

73.8

2011

325,400

188,500

73,100

587,100

55.4

32.1

12.5

100.0

73.7

1. The estimated de facto population is based on the census night population count, updated for births, deaths, and net
migration between census night and the date of the estimate. De facto population estimates include visitors from
overseas, but exclude New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
2. The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents
missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on
census night; and births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Resident
population estimates exclude visitors from overseas, but include New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s). Estimates for five-year age groups have
been rounded to the nearest 10. Otherwise, estimates have been rounded to the nearest 100.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

33

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.10

Total estimated resident population and median age


19962011
Year at 30 June
Age group
(years)

1996

2001

2006

2010

2011

1996

Number (000)

2001

2006

2010

2011

Percent
Males

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

152
152
138
138
140
139
148
146
131
125
97
82
68
66
53
34
21
9
3

144
153
154
141
128
125
140
149
145
129
122
94
79
64
57
42
23
11
4

146
149
160
159
146
127
136
149
156
149
130
120
92
76
57
48
30
13
5

160
147
152
166
161
143
129
143
149
156
143
123
113
86
65
49
35
18
6

161
147
150
163
168
146
131
138
149
154
146
126
116
88
70
49
36
18
7

8.3
8.2
7.5
7.5
7.6
7.6
8.0
7.9
7.1
6.8
5.3
4.4
3.7
3.6
2.9
1.9
1.1
0.5
0.2

7.6
8.0
8.1
7.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
7.8
7.6
6.8
6.4
4.9
4.2
3.4
3.0
2.2
1.2
0.6
0.2

7.1
7.3
7.8
7.8
7.1
6.2
6.7
7.3
7.6
7.3
6.3
5.9
4.5
3.7
2.8
2.3
1.5
0.6
0.2

7.5
6.8
7.1
7.7
7.5
6.7
6.0
6.7
7.0
7.3
6.7
5.8
5.3
4.0
3.1
2.3
1.6
0.8
0.3

7.5
6.8
6.9
7.5
7.7
6.8
6.1
6.4
6.9
7.1
6.7
5.8
5.4
4.1
3.2
2.3
1.7
0.9
0.3

All ages

1,841

1,903

2,048

2,145

2,165

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

32.2

33.8

35.0

35.5

35.6

Median age
(years)

Females
Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

142
144
131
133
140
146
154
150
134
124
96
83
69
69
63
50
36
19
9

137
143
147
136
128
133
152
158
152
133
123
95
82
67
63
55
39
23
11

140
143
151
154
145
134
150
163
167
156
134
123
95
80
63
56
44
26
14

152
140
144
157
154
145
140
158
162
167
149
128
117
90
71
56
46
30
16

153
140
143
154
157
147
141
152
164
165
153
131
121
92
76
57
47
31
17

7.5
7.6
6.9
7.0
7.4
7.7
8.2
7.9
7.1
6.6
5.1
4.4
3.7
3.6
3.3
2.6
1.9
1.0
0.5

6.9
7.2
7.4
6.9
6.5
6.7
7.7
8.0
7.7
6.7
6.2
4.8
4.1
3.4
3.2
2.8
2.0
1.2
0.6

6.5
6.7
7.1
7.2
6.8
6.3
7.0
7.7
7.8
7.3
6.3
5.8
4.4
3.7
2.9
2.6
2.1
1.2
0.7

6.8
6.3
6.5
7.1
6.9
6.5
6.3
7.1
7.3
7.5
6.7
5.8
5.3
4.1
3.2
2.5
2.1
1.4
0.7

6.8
6.3
6.4
6.9
7.0
6.6
6.3
6.8
7.3
7.4
6.8
5.9
5.4
4.1
3.4
2.5
2.1
1.4
0.8

All ages

1,891

1,977

2,136

2,223

2,241

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

33.6

35.4

36.6

37.6

37.9

Median age
(years)

34

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.10

Total estimated resident population and median age


19962011
Year at 30 June
Age group
(years)

1996

2001

2006

2010

2011

1996

Number (000)

2001

2006

2010

2011

Percent
Total

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

295
296
269
271
280
285
302
296
264
249
193
164
137
135
116
84
56
28
12

281
295
301
278
256
257
292
307
297
262
245
189
161
131
121
97
63
35
15

286
292
310
314
291
260
286
313
322
305
264
243
187
156
120
104
74
39
19

312
287
296
322
315
288
269
301
312
323
291
251
230
176
137
105
81
48
22

314
287
293
317
325
294
272
290
313
319
299
257
237
180
145
106
83
49
24

7.9
7.9
7.2
7.3
7.5
7.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.7
5.2
4.4
3.7
3.6
3.1
2.2
1.5
0.7
0.3

7.2
7.6
7.8
7.2
6.6
6.6
7.5
7.9
7.7
6.7
6.3
4.9
4.1
3.4
3.1
2.5
1.6
0.9
0.4

6.8
7.0
7.4
7.5
7.0
6.2
6.8
7.5
7.7
7.3
6.3
5.8
4.5
3.7
2.9
2.5
1.8
0.9
0.5

7.1
6.6
6.8
7.4
7.2
6.6
6.2
6.9
7.1
7.4
6.7
5.8
5.3
4.0
3.1
2.4
1.8
1.1
0.5

7.1
6.5
6.6
7.2
7.4
6.7
6.2
6.6
7.1
7.2
6.8
5.8
5.4
4.1
3.3
2.4
1.9
1.1
0.5

All ages

3,732

3,880

4,185

4,368

4,405

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

32.9

34.7

35.8

36.7

36.8

Median age
(years)

Note: The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for:
residents missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas
on census night; and births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Due to
rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
not applicable
Source: Statistics New Zealand

35

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.11

Mori(1) estimated resident population and median age


19962011
Year at 30 June
Age group
(years)

1996

2001

2006

2010

2011

1996

2001

Number (000)

2006

2010

2011

Percent
Males

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

38
35
28
28
23
20
20
17
14
11
8
7
5
3
2
1
0
0
0

38
38
35
28
24
22
21
20
17
14
11
7
6
4
3
1
1
0
0

37
37
37
33
24
21
20
20
19
17
13
10
7
5
3
2
1
0
0

46
36
35
35
28
20
20
20
19
18
15
11
9
6
4
2
1
0
0

47
36
35
35
29
20
20
20
19
18
16
12
9
6
4
3
1
0
0

14.5
13.4
10.8
10.6
9.0
7.8
7.5
6.6
5.3
4.2
3.1
2.7
1.9
1.3
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0

13.3
13.0
12.1
9.6
8.2
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.0
4.7
3.7
2.6
2.1
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0

12.3
11.9
11.9
10.8
7.9
6.7
6.6
6.5
6.3
5.5
4.2
3.3
2.2
1.8
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0

14.1
11.0
10.8
10.7
8.5
6.2
6.0
6.1
5.8
5.6
4.7
3.5
2.7
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0

14.3
10.9
10.6
10.5
8.9
6.1
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.5
4.8
3.6
2.8
1.8
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.1

All ages

261

289

306

326

331

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Median age
(years)

20.4

21.2

21.8

21.8

21.9

Females
Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

35
34
28
28
25
23
22
19
15
11
8
7
5
4
2
1
1
0
0

36
35
34
28
25
24
23
22
19
15
11
8
7
5
3
2
1
0
0

36
35
34
33
26
23
23
23
21
19
14
11
7
6
4
2
1
0
0

43
34
33
33
29
22
22
23
21
21
17
13
9
7
5
3
2
1
0

44
34
34
33
30
22
22
23
22
21
18
13
10
7
5
3
2
1
0

13.1
12.6
10.4
10.4
9.4
8.5
8.1
7.1
5.4
4.2
3.1
2.7
2.0
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0

12.2
11.8
11.4
9.3
8.3
8.0
7.9
7.5
6.4
4.9
3.7
2.7
2.2
1.5
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.1

11.2
11.0
10.8
10.4
8.1
7.2
7.2
7.1
6.7
5.8
4.4
3.4
2.3
1.9
1.2
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.1

12.8
10.0
9.9
9.8
8.5
6.6
6.6
6.8
6.3
6.1
5.0
3.7
2.8
1.9
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1

12.9
10.0
9.8
9.5
8.6
6.5
6.5
6.6
6.4
6.0
5.2
3.8
3.0
1.9
1.5
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1

All ages

268

297

319

338

342

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Median age
(years)

21.8

23.1

24.0

24.3

24.4

36

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 1.11

Mori(1) estimated resident population and median age


19962011
Year at 30 June
Age group
(years)

1996

2001

2006

2010

2011

1996

2001

Number (000)

2006

2010

2011

Percent
Total

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

73
69
56
56
49
43
42
36
28
22
16
14
10
7
4
2
1
0
0

75
73
69
55
48
45
44
42
37
28
22
15
13
9
6
3
1
1
0

73
71
71
66
50
44
43
43
41
35
27
21
14
11
7
4
2
1
0

89
70
69
68
57
43
42
43
40
39
32
24
18
12
9
5
3
1
0

92
70
69
67
59
42
42
42
41
39
33
25
19
13
10
6
3
1
0

13.7
13.0
10.6
10.5
9.2
8.1
7.8
6.8
5.4
4.2
3.1
2.7
2.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0

12.7
12.4
11.8
9.4
8.2
7.7
7.6
7.2
6.2
4.8
3.7
2.6
2.2
1.5
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0

11.7
11.4
11.3
10.6
8.0
7.0
6.9
6.8
6.5
5.7
4.3
3.4
2.3
1.8
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0

13.4
10.5
10.4
10.2
8.5
6.4
6.3
6.5
6.1
5.9
4.8
3.6
2.7
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1

13.6
10.4
10.2
10.0
8.8
6.3
6.2
6.3
6.1
5.8
5.0
3.7
2.9
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1

All ages

529

586

624

664

673

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Median age
(years)

21.1

22.1

22.9

23.0

23.1

1. Mori ethnic group. Limitations are inherent in the data used to derive Mori population estimates. All estimates for the
Mori ethnic group are supplied only as a guide for research and other analytical purposes.
Note: The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for: residents
missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census
night; and births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate. Due to rounding,
individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Symbol:
not applicable
Source: Statistics New Zealand

37

2 Births
Statistics on births record the number of births registered in New Zealand each year. Information
about births also includes a range of fertility rates.
The following highlights are based on births registered in New Zealand:
There were 63,897 live births registered in New Zealand in the year ended December 2010
32,904 boys and 30,993 girls.
The highest number of live births registered in one year was 65,390 in 1961.
The total fertility rate was 2.2 births per woman in 2010; 4.3 births per woman in 1961; and
3.1 births per woman in 1921.
Women aged 3034 years had the highest fertility rate (126 births per 1,000 women aged
3034) in 2010.
One in every four children born in 2010 had more than one ethnicity. Fewer mothers
(around one in seven) had multiple ethnicities.
69 percent of Mori children born in 2010 had more than one ethnicity.
In 2010, the median age of Mori mothers was 26 years, four years younger than for the
total population (30 years). The median age for Pacific, Asian, and European women was
27, 30, and 31 years, respectively.
Mori women had a total fertility rate of 2.8 births per woman in 2010 and Mori women
aged 2024 had the highest fertility rate (156 births per 1,000 women).
Figure 2

38

Demographic Trends: 2011

Introduction
The last century witnessed significant changes in family size, reproductive patterns, and
population dynamics. The transition in family size, from relatively large to relatively small families,
was already under way when the 20th century began. The current fertility level should therefore
be viewed as an extension of the fundamental changes that began more than 100 years ago.
New Zealand women now have fewer children, bear children later in their lives, and some remain
childless.
Decreasing fertility rates have been accompanied by decreasing mortality rates. The transition
from high fertility and mortality to low fertility and mortality has resulted in an overall increase in
the median age of the population (known as population ageing).

Births
There were 63,897 live births registered in New Zealand in the year ended December 2010, up
from 62,543 in 2009. The highest number of live births registered in any December year was
65,390 in 1961. At that time, New Zealands population was just 2.5 million, compared with 4.4
million in 2010.

Fertility rates and mothers age


The total fertility rate is the average number of births a woman would have during her life if she
experienced the age-specific fertility rates of a given period (usually a year). Age-specific fertility
rates for the December 2010 year indicate that on average, New Zealand women are giving birth
to 2.2 children. This is about half the high of 4.3 births per woman recorded in 1961, which was
supported by a dramatic trend toward early and near-universal marriage, and early childbearing.
Forty years earlier, in 1921, the total fertility rate was 3.1 births per woman.
The level required by a population to replace itself in the long term, without migration, is 2.1 births
per woman. Except for a brief recovery around 1990, New Zealand fertility rates were slightly
below replacement level from 1980 until 2006. In 200710, an increase in the total number of
births saw fertility rates increasing to around replacement level. Although sub-replacement fertility
remains common in developed countries, there have been recent increases in fertility in other
developed countries such as Sweden (up from 1.5 in 1999 to 2.0 in 2010), England and Wales
(up from 1.6 in 2001 to 2.0 in 2010), and Scotland (up from 1.5 in 2002 to 1.8 in 2010).
Age-specific fertility rates measure the number of live births 1,000 women in a particular age
group have in a given period (usually a year). Age-specific fertility rates (table 2.04) show a big
drop in births to women in their twenties, especially from the early 1960s to the late 1970s. In
1962, there were 265 births for every 1,000 women aged 2024 years and 259 for every 1,000
women aged 2529 years. This had dropped to 134 and 143 per 1,000, respectively, by 1978. In
2010, the birth rate for women aged 2024 years was 77 per 1,000 and 109 per 1,000 for women
aged 2529 years.
In the December 2010 year, women aged 3034 years had the highest fertility rate (126 births
per 1,000 women aged 3034 years). However, these women still have fewer babies than in
1962 (152 births per 1,000). Fertility rates for women in their thirties decreased during the 1960s
and 1970s but have been increasing since the 1980s. The birth rate for women aged 3539 years
in 2010 (72 per 1,000) was only slightly lower than in 1962 (75 per 1,000). However, their fertility
rate had dropped to a low of 20 per 1,000 in 1981.
Fewer New Zealand women in their teens are having a child compared with the 1960s. The birth
rate for women aged 1519 years increased from 54 per 1,000 in 1962 to 69 per 1,000 in 1972,
before dropping to 30 per 1,000 in 1984. It has hovered around 31 per 1,000 ever since and was
29 per 1,000 in 2010.
Fertility rates for women aged 4044 years dropped from 23 births per 1,000 in 1962 to around 4
per 1,000 in the mid-1980s, before increasing to 15 births per 1,000 in 2010. Among women aged
39

Demographic Trends: 2011

4044 years who registered a baby in the December 2010 year, 70 percent were aged 40 or 41
years.
The median age (half are younger and half are older than this age) of New Zealand women giving
birth is now 30 years, compared with 26 years in the early 1960s. The median age dropped to
just under 25 years in the early 1970s. Although there has been a significant increase in the
median age since the 1970s, it has been relatively stable at around 30 years in the past decade.

Cohort fertility
In general, if there is a significant trend towards having children at a younger age, the total fertility
rate tends to overstate the number of live births a women is likely to have over her lifetime. If
there is a significant trend towards having children at an older age, the total fertility rate tends to
underestimate the number of births a woman is likely to have.
The cohort fertility series traces the fertility experience of women born in a particular year. The
completed fertility rate is the average number of births a woman born in a particular year has had
during her life. The completed fertility rate for women born in the 1930s was about 3.5 births;
however, the total fertility rate in the early 1960s suggests that these women would have had 4.1
births. In contrast, women born during the 1950s had a completed fertility rate of about 2.4 births
per woman, compared with a total fertility rate of about 2.0 births per woman during the early
1980s.

Ethnicity
Mothers and babies may belong to more than one ethnic group. For example, a baby who has
both Mori and Pacific ethnicity would be recorded in both ethnic groups. As a result, the ethnic
group totals do not sum to the number of births. Within the broad ethnic groups (for example
European) each birth is counted only once. For instance, a child whose ethnicity is recorded as
Chinese, New Zealand European, and English is counted once in the Asian ethnic group and
once in the European ethnic group.
A babys ethnicity tends to reflect the ethnicities of both parents. In 2010, 74 percent of births
registered belonged to only one ethnic group, 22 percent belonged to two ethnic groups, and 3
percent belonged to three ethnic groups. Just over half as many mothers (14 percent) as babies
(26 percent) identified with more than one ethnic group.
In the December 2010 year, 69 percent of Mori babies and 50 percent of Pacific babies
belonged to two or more ethnic groups. In contrast, 67 percent of European babies and 72
percent of Asian babies belonged to only one ethnic group.
The total fertility for the Mori ethnic group in the December 2010 year was 2.8 births per woman,
well above replacement level (2.1 births per woman).
In the December 2010 year, the fertility rates for Mori mothers under 25 years of age were more
than double the fertility rates for the total populations in the same age groups. However, the
fertility rate for the total population exceeded the rate for the Mori population in the 3034 and
3539-year age groups. The fertility rate for the Mori population was higher than the total
population in all age groups above 40 years of age. Mori women aged 2024 years had the
highest fertility rate (156 per 1,000) followed by those aged 2529 years (149 per 1,000).
Fertility rates for the major ethnic groups (based on the mothers ethnicity) are only available for
the census years 2001 and 2006. They are calculated using live births over a three year period
centred on a census year and can be accessed from the births tables on the Statistics NZ
website. These indicate that the fertility rate of Pacific women was 3.0 births per woman, 2.8 for
Mori women, 1.9 for European women, and 1.5 for Asian women, in 2006.

40

Demographic Trends: 2011

Regional fertility
The Auckland region had the highest number of births in the December 2010 year (23,215),
accounting for 36 percent of all live births registered in New Zealand. This was followed by the
Canterbury (7,305), Wellington (6,770), and Waikato (6,324) regions. Together, these four
regions accounted for just over two-thirds of all live births registered in the December 2010 year.
This is consistent with their share of New Zealands population.
Regional variations in fertility are marked, and tend to reflect the characteristics of the population
in the area. For example, low fertility in Otago reflects the high number of young women studying
in Dunedin. These young women tend to delay childbirth until they have completed their studies,
by which time they are likely to have moved to other regions.
Fertility rates for regions are only produced for the census years 1996, 2001, and 2006 (table
2.09). As with the fertility rates for ethnic groups, they are calculated using live births over a threeyear period centred on a census year. Gisborne and Northland had the highest total fertility rate
(both 2.7 births per woman). Otago (1.6 births per woman) had the lowest total fertility rate.

More information
The following information on births is available from the Statistics NZ website:
Births and Deaths Information releases
Links to data and reports relating to births.
Time-series data is available from the Infoshare database. Births and birth rates are available
from two subject groups in the Population category:
Birth rates DFM
Births VSB.

41

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 2.01

Births(1) and birth rates


Total and Mori populations
19622010
Mori population(2)

Total population
December
year

1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

Live births

Stillbirths(3)

All births

Median age of
mother (years)

Crude birth
rate(4)

Total fertility
rate(5)

65,014
64,527
62,302
60,047
60,003
61,022
62,112
62,360
62,050
64,460
63,215
60,727
59,336
56,639
55,105
54,179
51,029
52,279
50,542
50,794
49,938
50,474
51,636
51,798
52,823
55,254
57,546
58,091
60,153
59,911
59,166
58,782
57,321

843
824
814
718
668
735
752
625
671
660
643
558
511
472
423
413
364
348
349
332
297
269
261
254
250
265
277
267
247
275
237
179
185

65,857
65,351
63,116
60,765
60,671
61,757
62,864
62,985
62,721
65,120
63,858
61,285
59,847
57,111
55,528
54,592
51,393
52,627
50,891
51,126
50,235
50,743
51,897
52,052
53,073
55,519
57,823
58,358
60,400
60,186
59,403
58,961
57,506

26.2
26.0
25.8
25.5
25.3
25.2
25.1
25.1
24.9
24.9
24.8
24.9
24.9
25.1
25.1
25.3
25.4
25.7
25.7
25.8
26.0
26.2
26.4
26.6
26.8
27.0
27.3
27.4
27.7
27.9
28.2
28.3
28.5

26.16
25.44
24.06
22.79
22.37
22.37
22.56
22.43
22.01
22.51
21.68
20.40
19.51
18.27
17.60
17.24
16.23
16.66
16.08
16.09
15.70
15.67
15.87
15.83
16.12
16.73
17.35
17.44
17.89
17.14
16.75
16.45
15.83

4.19
4.05
3.80
3.54
3.41
3.35
3.34
3.28
3.17
3.18
3.00
2.76
2.58
2.37
2.27
2.21
2.07
2.12
2.03
2.01
1.95
1.92
1.93
1.93
1.96
2.03
2.10
2.12
2.18
2.09
2.06
2.04
1.98

Live births (6)

7,609
8,032
7,881
7,776
7,743
7,996
8,089
8,161
8,193
8,364
7,870
7,384
6,983
6,778
6,626
6,785
6,580
6,654
6,420
6,605
6,216
6,271
6,745
6,469
6,513
6,982
6,767
6,967
6,947
..
..
..
..

42

Stillbirths(3)(6)

All births(6)

Median age of
mother
(years)(7)

Crude birth
rate(4)(6)

Total fertility
rate(5)(7)

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

25.3
25.2
24.9
24.9
24.7
24.6
24.4
24.4
24.2
23.9
23.6
23.4
23.1
22.8
22.7
22.6
22.6
22.8
22.5
22.6
22.8
22.9
23.0
23.3
23.5
23.7
24.0
24.2
24.6
..
..
..
..

43.41
44.06
41.63
39.63
38.25
38.47
37.96
37.41
36.68
36.49
33.32
30.45
28.16
26.72
25.59
25.74
24.50
24.28
23.16
23.61
21.97
21.90
23.27
22.07
21.94
23.05
21.94
22.22
21.77
..
..
..
..

6.18
6.28
5.96
5.71
5.54
5.57
5.46
5.35
5.18
5.05
4.51
4.01
3.58
3.28
3.08
2.98
2.75
2.65
2.43
2.47
2.27
2.23
2.34
2.20
2.14
2.26
2.17
2.21
2.19
..
..
..
..

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 2.01

Births(1) and birth rates


Total and Mori populations
19622010
Mori population(2)

Total population
December
year

Live births

Stillbirths(3)

All births

Median age of
mother (years)

Crude birth
rate(4)

Total fertility
rate(5)

Live births (6)

57,671
57,280
57,604
55,349
57,053
56,605
55,799
54,021
56,134
58,073
57,745
59,193
64,044
64,343
62,543
63,897

245
382
364
325
380
349
325
354
346
483
360
370
459
507
384
418

57,916
57,662
57,968
55,674
57,433
56,954
56,124
54,375
56,480
58,556
58,105
59,563
64,503
64,850
62,927
64,315

28.6
28.8
29.1
29.3
29.5
29.7
29.8
30.1
30.2
30.3
30.4
30.3
30.1
30.0
29.9
29.9

15.69
15.34
15.23
14.51
14.87
14.66
14.36
13.67
13.94
14.20
13.96
14.14
15.14
15.06
14.48
14.62

1.98
1.96
1.96
1.89
1.97
1.98
1.97
1.89
1.93
1.98
1.97
2.01
2.17
2.18
2.12
2.15

..
15,804
16,301
15,232
16,015
15,851
15,839
14,871
15,657
16,259
16,437
17,342
18,717
18,844
18,027
18,458

1995
1996
1997
1998(8)
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004(9)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Stillbirths(3)(6)

..
..
..
92
106
86
94
86
86
125
89
87
117
151
126
127

All births(6)

Median age of
mother
(years)(7)

Crude birth
rate(4)(6)

Total fertility
rate(5)(7)

..
..
..
15,324
16,121
15,937
15,933
14,957
15,743
16,384
16,526
17,429
18,834
18,995
18,153
18,585

..
25.1
25.3
25.6
25.9
25.9
26.0
26.2
26.1
26.0
26.0
25.9
25.8
25.6
25.6
25.6

..
29.88
30.16
27.59
28.45
27.61
27.04
25.00
25.97
26.63
26.61
27.79
29.56
29.31
27.60
27.80

..
2.70
2.77
2.56
2.69
2.66
2.64
2.50
2.60
2.70
2.67
2.74
2.94
2.95
2.80
2.83

1. Excludes late registrations under section 16 of the Births, Deaths, Marriages, and Relationships Registration Act 1995. (Births that were not registered in the ordinary way at the time the birth occurred.)
2. From 1 September 1995, a new ethnicity question was asked on the birth registration form. This new question (based on the concept of self-identification) collects more Mori births than the previous
degree-of-blood question. As a result, any change in patterns may reflect definitional changes rather than an actual change in fertility.
3. Until 30 August 1995, a stillbirth was defined as a child born dead after 28 weeks of pregnancy. From 1 September 1995, a child is stillborn when it is dead at birth and either weighs 400g or more at birth,
or is born after the 20th week of pregnancy. As a result, stillbirth figures from 1995 onwards are not strictly comparable with earlier years.
4. Live births per 1,000 mean estimated population.
5. The average number of live births that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the age-specific fertility rates of a given period (usually a year). It excludes the effect of mortality.
6. Births and the crude birth rate for the Mori population are based on the ethnicity of the child.
7. Median age of mother and the total fertility rate for the Mori population are based on the ethnicity of the child before 1991 and the ethnicity of the mother from 1991 onwards.
8. Births data for 1998 are lower than expected because of a small change to the rate at which births were registered during 1998.
9. Stillbirths registered in the March 2004 quarter are higher than expected due to changes in the follow-up procedures used by the Department of Internal Affairs for outstanding registrations.
Note: Births data from 1991 onwards are based on births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration. Before 1991, births data are based on births registered in
New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand and mothers visiting from overseas by date of registration. Rates from 1991 onwards are based on the mean estimated resident population. Before 1991,
rates are based on the mean estimated de facto population.

Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

43

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.02

Live births(1)
By ethnicity of mother
200610
Ethnic group
Total response(2)

European
Mori
Pacific
Asian
MELAA(3)

One ethnic group

(6)

2007

2008

2009

2010

39,666
13,654
6,643
5,610

42,589
14,694
7,402
6,525

42,371
14,839
7,701
6,788

41,259
14,133
7,541
6,968

41,792
14,396
7,773
7,653

750

843

920

930

1,010

698

486

374

328

331

32,660
7,193
4,989
5,128

35,039
7,713
5,567
6,001

34,765
7,755
5,806
6,259

33,699
7,079
5,711
6,450

33,956
7,067
5,739
7,057

MELAA

670

750

834

818

911

Other

535

375

300

243

219

5,517
768
184
50
99
483
65
6
15
94
1
8
4
12
5

5,961
817
197
55
60
515
53
8
12
127
5
4
6
10
0

5,992
830
232
59
38
580
54
11
6
109
3
5
2
7
2

5,985
783
189
64
36
523
53
11
8
100
3
7
9
16
3

6,198
838
234
66
45
613
40
6
24
191
4
2
4
17
3

243
71
8
21
24
14
3

307
70
13
19
35
13
9

322
78
5
11
20
11
3

343
77
10
11
39
16
9

334
59
11
13
23
12
9

18

16

16

13

305

294

228

232

189

59,193

64,044

64,343

62,543

63,897

Other(4)
(5)

2006

European
Mori
Pacific
Asian

Two ethnic groups

European/Mori
European/Pacific
European/Asian
European/MELAA
European/Other
Mori/Pacific
Mori/Asian
Mori/MELAA
Mori/Other
Pacific/Asian
Pacific/MELAA
Pacific/Other
Asian/MELAA
Asian/Other
MELAA/Other

Three ethnic groups(7)

European/Mori/Pacific
European/Mori/Asian
European/Mori/MELAA
European/Mori/Other
European/Pacific/Asian
Mori/Pacific/Asian
Other combinations of 3 ethnic groups

Four or more ethnic groups(8)


Not elsewhere included(9)
Live births

1. Births data are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration.
Excludes
Excludes late
late registrations
registrations under
under section
section 16
16 of
of the
the Births,
Births, Deaths,
Deaths, Marriages,
Marriages, and
and Relationships
Relationships Registration
Registration Act
Act 1995.
1995. (Births
(Births that
that
were
were not
not registered
registered in
in the
the ordinary
ordinary way
way at
at the
the time
time the
the birth
birth occurred.)
occurred.)
2. Each birth has been included in every ethnic group stated. For this reason, some births are counted more than once.
3. Middle Eastern, Latin American, and African.
4. 'Other' includes New Zealander and other ethnicities not elsewhere included.
5. Includes births where only one ethnic group was stated or the ethnic groups stated were all in the same broad group.
6. Includes births where the stated ethnic groups belonged to two different broad groups.
7. Includes births where the stated ethnic groups belonged to three different broad groups.
8. Includes all other ethnic combinations.
9. Includes ethnicity not stated or response out of scope.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

44

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.03

Live births(1)
By ethnicity of child
200610
Ethnic group
Total response(2)

European
Mori
Pacific
Asian
MELAA(3)

One ethnic group

(6)

2007

2008

2009

2010

41,575
17,342
8,926
6,028

44,680
18,717
9,788
7,076

44,534
18,844
10,122
7,263

43,292
18,027
10,068
7,492

43,965
18,458
10,407
8,208

942

1,044

1,166

1,179

1,245

947

690

562

491

502

28,693
5,957
4,469
4,180

30,745
6,462
4,959
4,994

30,495
6,426
5,222
5,135

29,456
5,897
5,144
5,303

29,557
5,810
5,171
5,869

MELAA

546

598

669

661

708

Other

639

436

345

281

274

Other(4)
(5)

2006

European
Mori
Pacific
Asian

Two ethnic groups

European/Mori
European/Pacific
European/Asian
European/MELAA
European/Other
Mori/Pacific
Mori/Asian
Mori/MELAA
Mori/Other
Pacific/Asian
Pacific/MELAA
Pacific/Other
Asian/MELAA
Asian/Other
MELAA/Other

8,198
1,446
1,031
234
149
1,271
106
17
21
152
24
11
27
43
16

8,782
1,540
1,190
246
112
1,356
107
28
20
174
33
7
26
40
7

8,834
1,526
1,242
285
97
1,434
116
36
18
180
28
5
30
35
14

8,581
1,498
1,276
296
77
1,408
98
26
11
169
38
8
32
52
16

8,868
1,517
1,370
306
77
1,481
99
29
28
241
30
10
41
40
14

Three ethnic groups(7)

European/Mori/Pacific
European/Mori/Asian
European/Mori/MELAA
European/Mori/Other
European/Pacific/Asian
European/Pacific/MELAA
European/Asian/MELAA
European/Asian/Other
Mori/Pacific/Asian
Other combinations of 3 ethnic groups

1,286
233
39
43
90
5
8
9
55
19

1,441
272
62
35
114
9
10
14
42
21

1,469
276
60
23
98
13
7
10
44
15

1,497
254
51
23
119
10
14
10
55
17

1,647
240
66
29
136
15
11
14
47
16

105

101

98

121

107

71

61

58

44

29

59,193

64,044

64,343

62,543

63,897

Four or more ethnic groups(8)


Not elsewhere included(9)
Live births

1. Births data are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration.
Excludes
Excludes late
late registrations
registrations under
under section
section 16
16 of
of the
the Births,
Births, Deaths,
Deaths, Marriages,
Marriages, and
and Relationships
Relationships Registration
Registration Act
Act 1995.
1995. (Births
(Births that
that
were
were not
not registered
registered in
in the
the ordinary
ordinary way
way at
at the
the time
time the
the birth
birth occurred.)
occurred.)
2. Each birth has been included in every ethnic group stated. For this reason, some births are counted more than once.
3. Middle Eastern, Latin American, and African.
4. 'Other' includes New Zealander and other ethnicities not elsewhere included.
5. Includes births where only one ethnic group was stated or the ethnic groups stated were all in the same broad group.
6. Includes births where the stated ethnic groups belonged to two different broad groups.
7. Includes births where the stated ethnic groups belonged to three different broad groups.
8. Includes all other ethnic combinations.
9. Includes ethnicity not stated or response out of scope.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

45

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.04

Age-specific fertility rates(1)


Total population
19622010
Age of mother (years)
December year
Under 15(2)
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998(4)
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

1.
2.
3.
4.

1519

2024

2529

3034

3539

4044

45+(3)

0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.4

53.7
57.0
56.9
58.7
64.6
66.7
66.1
64.6
64.0
67.9
69.1
64.0
60.3
54.7
49.8
46.9
43.3
41.1
38.2
38.0
34.3
32.4
30.4
30.4
30.2
31.8
31.8
33.6
35.0
33.9
32.9
32.2
31.4
33.4
33.0
32.8

265.4
256.0
241.8
230.2
219.9
214.7
217.5
212.5
209.0
210.8
199.0
184.3
175.1
158.4
152.1
145.6
133.8
132.3
127.0
123.1
113.9
110.2
106.0
104.1
105.1
105.6
105.9
103.1
103.0
95.2
91.0
88.8
83.4
83.0
81.2
79.1

258.7
247.5
229.9
214.8
208.5
209.8
207.8
206.0
200.0
200.1
188.1
176.6
166.0
157.5
151.9
151.6
143.2
152.9
146.6
146.6
144.3
142.5
147.0
145.2
143.7
145.3
148.5
149.9
149.1
140.9
135.9
133.5
127.4
123.4
119.2
116.1

152.3
146.5
135.1
120.1
112.0
107.0
106.7
106.9
99.9
102.1
92.4
83.9
76.0
69.8
68.9
69.9
67.3
70.2
68.3
69.9
70.6
72.8
77.0
79.1
85.7
91.6
98.3
100.1
106.8
105.0
107.4
107.6
106.0
106.1
105.3
108.0

74.9
73.2
68.8
61.4
56.5
51.5
49.5
47.8
45.4
41.3
39.7
33.9
30.3
25.1
22.9
22.0
21.3
21.9
21.2
20.2
21.2
20.8
21.9
22.4
24.1
27.1
30.9
32.0
36.7
37.9
39.2
40.3
41.4
43.5
44.6
47.4

23.4
22.0
21.3
19.5
17.3
16.1
14.6
14.3
12.4
12.2
10.9
9.2
7.5
6.9
6.1
6.1
5.2
4.8
4.3
4.4
4.2
4.1
4.2
3.8
4.0
4.3
5.0
5.2
5.3
5.9
6.2
6.3
6.9
7.2
8.0
8.8

2.0
1.4
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.3
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4

0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2

29.2
28.9
28.2
27.5
25.5
25.9
27.1
27.2
28.1
31.3
32.8
29.4
28.8

75.3
77.4
77.5
76.1
70.1
68.6
70.4
67.6
70.8
75.8
78.1
76.8
76.6

110.6
114.9
113.5
113.3
105.3
107.7
107.8
104.9
105.1
113.8
112.1
107.4
109.1

107.1
112.3
113.1
111.7
109.9
112.4
117.5
117.1
119.2
127.3
125.9
123.5
126.3

48.1
51.0
52.5
53.7
54.7
58.7
60.2
62.3
63.6
70.5
72.0
70.1
71.6

8.5
9.6
10.1
10.4
11.1
12.1
12.1
12.0
12.3
13.8
13.9
14.5
15.3

0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.8

Per 1,000 mean estimated female population in each age group.


Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 1014 years.
Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 4549 years.
Rates for 1998 are lower than expected because of a small change to the rate at which births were registered during 1998.

Note: Rates from 1991 onwards are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of
registration and the mean estimated resident population. Before 1991, rates are based on live births registered in New Zealand to
mothers resident in New Zealand and mothers visiting from overseas by date of registration and the mean estimated de facto
population.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

46

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.05

Age-specific fertility rates(1)


Mori population(2)(3)
19622010
Age of mother (years)
December year
(4)

Under 15

1519

2024

2529

3034

3539

4044

45+(5)

1.2
1.2
1.4
0.9
1.3
1.3
1.5
0.8
1.7
1.4
1.0
1.1
0.9
1.7
1.8
1.0
1.4
1.1
0.8
1.1
1.0
1.2
0.8
0.9
0.5
1.1
0.4
0.4
0.6
..
..
..
..
..
0.6
1.5

128.3
129.9
125.1
129.1
140.2
139.5
130.8
127.3
120.1
130.5
135.5
125.0
120.2
119.6
111.3
105.7
100.1
96.1
93.1
95.6
89.3
86.2
87.7
79.1
79.6
85.3
75.3
77.9
76.9
..
..
..
..
..
79.1
82.5

357.7
373.4
372.4
353.2
345.1
344.2
354.9
341.2
340.8
333.4
287.8
260.2
233.3
220.4
203.1
213.1
195.3
184.6
177.5
177.9
158.1
155.6
162.8
150.3
150.9
155.9
150.5
144.6
136.7
..
..
..
..
..
161.9
159.1

292.1
311.0
286.1
281.9
269.4
277.8
269.7
273.2
259.2
240.8
225.0
194.8
171.8
156.3
151.3
146.2
131.6
130.6
117.4
124.4
118.6
114.1
124.3
118.8
109.0
113.0
113.2
118.9
119.1
..
..
..
..
..
147.8
149.2

225.0
215.3
190.6
179.5
170.5
171.6
174.8
170.0
163.5
163.3
131.0
119.6
102.6
85.9
85.3
78.0
68.7
69.4
58.8
64.3
54.3
60.4
61.2
62.2
58.5
65.4
64.8
69.1
72.8
..
..
..
..
..
94.0
101.3

149.6
148.7
136.2
131.2
119.5
119.7
105.8
106.2
102.7
93.6
78.5
67.1
58.5
47.1
40.9
35.7
36.7
36.2
30.9
24.8
26.1
22.1
25.4
23.3
24.2
25.2
24.1
25.5
27.8
..
..
..
..
..
45.8
49.9

64.7
61.4
63.5
51.8
48.2
44.6
40.0
38.5
35.9
36.7
33.1
23.2
18.6
17.6
18.5
14.6
11.9
10.4
9.1
8.4
8.5
8.1
6.9
5.9
6.6
6.6
6.9
7.3
5.5
..
..
..
..
..
10.9
11.6

8.8
7.2
6.7
8.5
7.2
7.1
7.3
5.2
5.3
5.6
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.3
2.4
0.6
1.8
1.2
0.4
0.6
1.1
0.2
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.2
0.6
0.5
..
..
..
..
..
1.0
0.7

0.8
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.6

75.0
72.4
72.3
69.1
61.0
63.8
67.8
66.5
69.0
77.7
80.0
71.0
69.6

144.4
152.0
154.2
151.8
143.8
149.9
152.1
143.9
148.6
159.4
162.4
155.9
155.9

139.0
145.8
137.2
137.5
130.4
136.5
140.2
142.5
142.1
151.2
150.1
143.8
148.8

95.7
104.2
102.3
101.3
98.2
98.2
105.8
107.6
108.6
116.1
114.9
108.9
111.4

46.8
50.1
51.5
51.6
49.4
51.9
55.5
55.9
60.3
64.8
64.2
62.1
61.9

12.0
12.7
12.8
13.1
13.5
15.4
14.1
13.9
16.2
14.9
15.7
16.8
17.2

0.6
0.9
0.2
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.5
1.0
0.7
1.1
1.0
1.3

1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998(6)
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

1. Per 1,000 mean estimated female population in each age group.


2. Mori fertility rates are based on the ethnicity of the child before 1991 and on the ethnicity of the mother from 1991 onwards.
3. From 1 September 1995, a new ethnicity question was asked on the birth registration form. This new question (based on the
concept of self-identification), collects more Mori births than the previous degree-of-blood question. As a result, any change in
patterns may reflect definitional changes rather than an actual change in fertility.
4. Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 1014 years.
5. Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 4549 years.
6. Rates for 1998 are lower than expected because of a small change to the rate at which births were registered during 1998.
Note: Rates from 1991 onwards are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of
registration and the mean estimated resident population. Before 1991, rates are based on live births registered in New Zealand to
mothers resident in New Zealand and mothers visiting from overseas by date of registration and the mean estimated de facto
population.

Symbol:
.. not available
Source: Statistics New Zealand

47

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.06

Total fertility rate(1)


New Zealand and selected countries
19952010
Country

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Australia

1.82

1.80

1.78

1.76

1.76

1.76

1.73

1.76

1.75

1.76

1.79

1.82

Canada

..

1.63

1.56

1.55

1.54

1.51

1.53

1.51

1.53

1.53

1.54

1.59

Denmark

1.81

1.75

1.75

1.72

1.74

1.77

1.75

1.72

1.76

1.78

1.80

1.85

1.85

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

1.92

1.97

1.9

..

1.66

1.68

..

..

1.89

1.84

1.88

England and
1.72

1.74

1.73

1.73 R

1.70

1.65

1.63

1.65

1.73

1.78

1.79

1.86

1.91

1.97

1.96

2.00

Finland

Wales

1.81

1.76

1.75

1.71

1.73

1.73

1.73

1.72

1.76

1.80

1.80

1.84

1.83

1.85

1.86

1.87

France

1.71

1.73

1.73

1.76

1.79

1.87

1.88

1.86

1.87

1.90

1.92

1.98

1.96

1.99 P

1.99 P

2.00 P

Ireland

1.85

1.89

1.94

1.95

1.91

1.90

1.96

1.98

1.98

1.95

1.88

1.94

2.03

2.10

2.07

2.07

Japan

1.42

1.43

1.39

1.38

1.34

1.36

1.33

1.32

1.29

1.29

1.26

1.32

1.34

1.37

1.37

..

Netherlands

1.53

1.53

1.56

1.63

1.65

1.72

1.71

1.73

1.75

1.73

1.71

1.72

1.72

1.77

1.79

1.80

New Zealand(2)

1.98

1.96

1.96

1.89

1.97

1.98

1.97

1.89

1.93

1.98

1.97

2.01

2.17

2.18

2.12

2.15

Norway

1.87

1.89

1.86

1.81

1.85 R

1.85

1.78

1.75

1.80

1.83

1.84

1.90

1.90

1.96

1.98

1.95

Scotland

1.55

1.56

1.58

1.55

1.51

1.48

1.49

1.48

1.54

1.60

1.62

1.67

1.73

1.80

1.77

1.75

Sweden

1.74

1.61

1.53

1.51

1.50

1.55

1.57

1.65

1.72

1.75

1.77

1.85

1.88

1.91

1.94

1.98

Switzerland

1.48

1.50

1.48

1.47

1.48

1.50

1.38

1.39

1.39

1.42

1.42

1.44

1.46

1.48

1.50

1.54 P

United States

1.98

1.98

1.97

2.00

2.01

2.06

2.03

2.01

2.04

2.05

2.05

2.10

2.12

2.08

2.01 P

1. The average number of live births that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the age-specific fertility rates of a given period
(usually a year). It excludes the effect of mortality.
2. Rates are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration and the
mean estimated resident population.
Symbols:
P provisional
R revised
.. not available

Sources for international statistics:


a. Australian Bureau of Statistics (2010). Births, Australia, cat. no. 3301.0. Available from www.abs.gov.au [18 July 2011].
(Licenced under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Australia licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/au/).
b. Central Statistics Office (2010). Statistical yearbook of Ireland 2010 edition. Available from www.cso.ie [18 July 2011].
c. Central Statistics Office Ireland (2011). Vital statistics: Fourth quarter and yearly summary 2010. Available from www.cso.ie [18 July 2011].
d. Federal Statistical Office (2011). Naissances vivantes selon l'ge de la mre et indicateur conjoncturel de fcondit. Available from
www.bfs.admin.ch [11 October 2011].
e. General Register Office for Scotland (2011). Vital events reference tables 2010. Available from www.gro-scotland.gov.uk [19 July 2011].
(Licenced under Open Government Licence v1.0 www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/open-government-licence.htm).
f. Hamilton B E, Martin J A, & Ventura S J (2010). Births: Preliminary data for 2009. National vital statistics reports; vol 59 no 3. Hyattsville,
MD: National Center for Health Statistics. Available from www.cdc.gov/nchs/ [19 July 2011].
g. INSEE (Institut National de la Statistique) (2011). Fcondit, France mtropolitaine. Available from www.insee.fr [19 July 2011].
h. Martin J A, Hamilton B E, Sutton P D, Ventura S J et al (2010). Births: Final data for 2008. National vital statistics reports; vol 59 no 1.
Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. Available from www.cdc.gov/nchs/ [19 July 2011].
i. Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (2011). Summary of vital statistics. Available from
www.mhlw.go.jp/english/index.html [11 October 2011].
j. Office for National Statistics (2011). Birth summary tables: England and Wales 2010. Available from www.ons.gov.uk [19 July 2011].
(Licenced under Open Government Licence v1.0 www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/open-government-licence.htm).
k. Statistics Canada (2009). Report on the demographic situation in Canada, 2005 and 2006, catalogue number 91-209-X.
Available from www.statcan.gc.ca [18 July 2011].
l. Statistics Canada (2011). Table 102-4505 - Crude birth rate, age-specific and total fertility rates (live births), Canada, provinces and
territories, annual. CANSIM (database). Available from http://cansim2.statcan.gc.ca/ [18 July 2011].
m. Statistics Denmark (2011). StatBank Denmark: FOD3: Age specific fertility rates, total fertility rates, gross and net reproduction rate.
Available from www.statbank.dk [18 July 2011].
n. Statistics Finland (2011). Statistical databases. Available from www.tilastokeskus.fi/index_en.html [18 July 2011].
o. Statistics Netherlands (2011). CBS StatLine. Available from http://statline.cbs.nl/statweb [19 July 2011].
p. Statistics Norway (2011). Population statistics. Births. 2010. Available from www.ssb.no [19 July 2011].
q. Statistics Sweden (2011). Befolkningsstatistik. Available from www.scb.se [19 July 2011].

48

..

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.07

Age-specific fertility rates(1)


New Zealand and selected countries
Latest available years
Age of mother (years)
Country

Year

Australia

2008
2009 P

17.2 R
16.7

Canada(5)

2007
2008

Denmark(5)(6)

Under
20(2)

Total fertility
rate(4)

4044

45+(3)

14.1
14.2

0.7
0.7

2.0
1.9

48.5
50.1

7.9
8.4

0.4
0.4

1.7
1.7

131.4
134.5

56.3
58.9

10.0
10.0

0.4
0.5

1.8
1.9

107.2
108.0

113.1
117.8

59.0
61.5

12.9
13.4

..
..

2.0
2.0

58.8
58.2

113.4
112.8

117.5
118.5

54.8
58.1

11.2
12.6

0.5
0.5

1.9
1.9

7.5
7.3

54.8
53.5

128.9
128.1

129.6
130.8

61.8
62.5

14.2
14.4

0.8
0.8

2.0
2.0

2009
2010

16.3
15.0

56.0
55.9

85.7
87.7

134.3
134.0

99.3
97.8

20.7
21.6

1.1
1.1

2.1
2.1

Japan

2008
2009

5.2
5.0

37.4 R
36.1

88.0 R
86.6

0.2 R
0.2

1.4
1.4

Netherlands

2009
2010

4.0
3.8

33.2
32.3

104.1
104.1

138.2
138.6

65.6
66.3

11.3
11.8

0.4
0.5

1.8
1.8

New Zealand(8)

2009
2010 P

29.6
29.0

76.8
76.6

107.4
109.1

123.5
126.3

70.1
71.6

14.5
15.3

0.6
0.8

2.1
2.2

Norway(5)(6)

2009
2010

9.5
8.4

61.4
59.0

128.1
124.0

127.2
128.0

58.3
57.7

10.2
10.8

0.5
0.6

2.0
2.0

Scotland(7)

2009
2010

25.1
23.8

63.5
60.1

96.1
93.6

104.0
106.0

53.6
55.2

10.3
10.7

..
..

1.8
1.8

Sweden

2008
2009

6.0
5.8

51.6
51.0

114.4
115.0

132.9
134.9

63.7
66.7

12.1
13.0

0.6
0.7

1.9
1.9

Switzerland

2008
2009

3.0
2.9

31.1
29.8

79.5
77.9

107.3
109.2

62.3
65.2

12.4
13.4

0.1
0.1

1.5
1.5

United States(6)(9)

2008 P
2009 P

41.5
39.1

103.0
96.3

115.1
110.5

99.3
97.7

46.9
46.6

9.8
10.1

0.7
0.7

2.1
2.0

2529

3034

56.5 R
53.8

104.9 R
102.2

127.1 R
123.9

70.6 R
68.7

14.0
14.3

52.6
53.0

101.7
102.0

106.0
107.4

2009
2010

5.6
5.1

42.7
43.2

122.1
122.9

England and Wales (7)

2009
2010

25.3
24.2

73.9
74.0

Finland

2008
2009

8.7
8.2

France(5)

2008
2009

Ireland

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.

2024

93.7 R
94.5

3539

43.1 R
44.6

6.7 R
7.3

Per 1,000 mean estimated female population in each age group.


Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 1519 years.
Per 1,000 mean estimated female population aged 4549 years.
The average number of live births that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the age-specific fertility rates of a given
period (usually a year). It excludes the effect of mortality.
The '45+' fertility rates for Canada, Denmark, France, and Norway only include births to women aged 4549 years.
The 'Under 20' fertility rates for Denmark, Norway, and the United States only include births to women aged 1519 years.
The '4044 years' fertility rates for England and Wales and Scotland are based on rates for women aged 40 years and over.
Figures are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration and the mean
estimated resident population.
The '45+' rate for the United States is based on births to women aged 4554 years.

Symbols:
P provisional
R revised
.. not available

49

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.07

Age-specific fertility rates(1)


New Zealand and selected countries
Latest available years
Sources for international statistics:
a. Australian Bureau of Statistics (2010). Births, Australia, cat. no. 3301.0. Available from www.abs.gov.au [18 July 2011]. (Licenced
under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Australia licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/au/).
b. Central Statistics Office Ireland (2011). Vital statistics: Fourth quarter and yearly summary 2010 . Available from www.cso.ie [18 July 2011].
c. Federal Statistical Office (2011). Naissances vivantes selon l'ge de la mre et indicateur conjoncturel de fcondit. Available from
www.bfs.admin.ch [11 October 2011].
d. General Register Office for Scotland (2011). Vital events reference tables 2010. Available from www.gro-scotland.gov.uk [19 July 2011].
(Licenced under Open Government Licence v1.0 www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/open-government-licence.htm).
e. Hamilton B E, Martin J A, & Ventura S J (2010). Births: Preliminary data for 2009. National vital statistics reports; vol 59 no 3.
Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. Available from www.cdc.gov/nchs/ [19 July 2011].
f. INSEE (Institut National de la Statistique) (2011). Donnes dtailles de la situation dmographique en 2009. Available from www.insee.fr
[19 July 2011].
g. INSEE (Institut National de la Statistique) (2011). Fcondit, France mtropolitaine. Available from www.insee.fr [19 July 2011].
h. Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (2011). Vital statistics of Japan. Available from www.mhlw.go.jp/english/index.html
[11 October 2011].
i. National Institute for Health and Welfare (2011). Births and newborns 2010. Available from www.stakes.fi [19 July 2011].
j. National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (Japan) (2011). Population Statistics 2011.
www.ipss.go.jp/syoushika/tohkei/Popular/Popular2011.asp?chap=0 [19 July 2011].
k. Office for National Statistics (2011). Birth summary tables: England and Wales 2010. Available from www.ons.gov.uk [19 July 2011].
(Licenced under Open Government Licence v1.0 www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/open-government-licence.htm).
l. Statistics Canada (2011). Table 102-4505 - Crude birth rate, age-specific and total fertility rates (live births), Canada, provinces and
territories, annual. CANSIM (database). Available from http://cansim2.statcan.gc.ca/ [18 July 2011].
m. Statistics Denmark (2011). StatBank Denmark: FOD407: Age-specific fertility rates and total fertility rates by area and age. Available from
www.statbank.dk [18 July 2011].
n. Statistics Finland (2011). Statistical databases. Available from www.tilastokeskus.fi/index_en.html [19 July 2011].
o. Statistics Netherlands (2011). CBS StatLine. Available from http://statline.cbs.nl/statweb [19 July 2011].
p. Statistics Norway (2011). Population statistics. Births. 2010. Available from www.ssb.no [19 July 2011].
q. Statistics Sweden (2011). Befolkningsstatistik. Available from www.scb.se [19 July 2011].

50

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.08

Live births(1) by area


Regional council and territorial authority areas
19912010
December year

Area
Regional council area
Northland region
Auckland region

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

2,475

2,438

2,456

2,272

2,422

2,240

2,213

1998(2)
2,177

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2,157

2,123

1,994

1,919

2,024

2,069

2,069

2,244

2007
2,321

2008
2,303

2009
2,199

2010
2,397

18,347 18,183 18,395 18,052 18,402 18,958 19,027 18,455 19,286 19,673 19,406 19,327 20,112 20,956 20,747 21,331 23,007 23,114 22,605 23,215

Waikato region

6,181

6,026

5,967

5,829

5,877

5,551

5,920

5,523

5,843

5,386

5,501

5,229

5,440

5,583

5,666

5,590

6,230

6,423

6,147

6,324

Bay of Plenty region

3,887

3,742

3,808

3,645

3,682

3,746

4,000

3,712

3,833

3,690

3,615

3,536

3,620

3,833

3,771

3,842

4,055

4,117

3,938

3,958

893

964

981

951

906

871

836

753

771

773

766

759

703

751

778

720

801

828

727

782

Hawke's Bay region

2,512

2,523

2,451

2,401

2,365

2,424

2,313

2,118

2,164

2,176

2,143

2,058

2,079

2,164

2,115

2,164

2,318

2,359

2,352

2,284

Taranaki region

1,810

1,822

1,741

1,676

1,617

1,537

1,500

1,538

1,496

1,426

1,367

1,308

1,373

1,319

1,410

1,453

1,611

1,596

1,588

1,598

Manawatu-Wanganui region

3,888

3,825

3,827

3,730

3,694

3,579

3,531

3,235

3,218

3,308

3,071

2,905

2,914

2,918

3,095

3,165

3,297

3,372

3,155

3,297

Wellington region

7,067

7,067

6,759

6,659

6,541

6,450

6,349

6,432

6,566

6,449

6,482

5,985

6,384

6,327

6,226

6,442

6,876

6,972

6,791

6,770

Tasman region

532

494

509

520

499

464

490

489

504

526

502

508

536

557

513

549

552

556

497

544

Nelson region

603

564

526

563

507

543

515

527

519

546

545

519

528

579

519

523

639

627

604

604

Marlborough region

485

532

524

491

543

469

539

427

471

472

441

415

459

479

473

484

515

570

550

573

West Coast region

562

558

524

484

471

491

428

403

403

361

396

330

334

399

338

390

405

452

431

429

Canterbury region

6,445

6,342

6,221

6,196

6,341

6,249

6,333

5,892

6,196

6,177

6,243

5,900

6,258

6,631

6,605

6,777

7,547

7,284

7,163

7,305

Otago region

2,545

2,528

2,476

2,415

2,366

2,314

2,251

2,110

2,146

2,145

2,065

2,072

2,044

2,173

2,152

2,150

2,347

2,367

2,351

2,331

Southland region
Region not specified/
area outside region

1,666

1,532

1,595

1,419

1,422

1,378

1,341

1,252

1,252

1,270

1,189

1,194

1,229

1,258

1,211

1,233

1,351

1,339

1,356

1,405

13

26

22

18

16

16

18

306

228

104

73

57

97

77

57

136

172

64

89

81

Gisborne region

Territorial authority area


Far North district

992

978

995

919

1,009

885

870

871

880

883

832

722

764

780

796

867

907

861

860

937

1,159

1,162

1,188

1,080

1,128

1,081

1,066

1,039

1,028

965

915

936

998

1,049

1,038

1,119

1,175

1,191

1,091

1,190

Kaipara district

324

298

273

273

285

274

277

267

249

274

247

260

262

240

235

258

239

251

248

270

Rodney district

880

857

861

874

858

937

1,011

980

1,015

1,012

987

944

1,029

1,121

1,110

1,121

1,219

1,208

1,099

1,230

North Shore city

2,153

2,167

2,228

2,197

2,312

2,369

2,379

2,378

2,359

2,492

2,476

2,494

2,666

2,713

2,643

2,726

2,885

2,965

2,940

3,116

Waitakere city

2,897

2,925

2,916

2,979

2,943

3,022

2,993

2,832

3,048

3,057

2,977

3,020

3,127

3,265

3,135

3,393

3,638

3,721

3,602

3,700

Auckland city

6,056

5,772

5,875

5,684

5,725

5,991

5,904

5,732

5,894

6,022

5,979

5,903

5,975

6,268

6,198

6,229

6,686

6,562

6,701

6,679

Manukau city

5,015

5,110

5,126

4,959

5,210

5,306

5,397

5,247

5,702

5,735

5,669

5,736

5,949

6,201

6,180

6,362

6,953

6,997

6,677

6,853

Papakura district

800

766

782

788

769

763

733

752

705

788

750

679

774

796

835

840

925

991

928

949

Franklin district

790

811

803

809

815

806

846

741

810

786

797

788

824

847

911

898

961

921

895

932

Thames-Coromandel district

286

324

314

320

293

285

294

259

300

303

301

250

239

278

267

268

281

284

269

276

Hauraki district

355

306

310

269

308

285

251

221

228

224

210

205

218

189

198

205

231

258

205

245

Waikato district

775

748

727

673

641

624

702

657

682

640

693

583

647

641

699

721

794

766

771

722

Whangarei district

51

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.08

Live births(1) by area


Regional council and territorial authority areas
19912010
December year

Area
Matamata-Piako district

1991
572

1992
600

1993
528

1994
498

1995
480

1996
440

1997 1998(2)
482
441

1999
504

2000
433

2001
424

2002
408

2003
417

2004
439

2005
446

2006
388

2007
444

2008
473

2009
464

2010
468

Hamilton city

1,758

1,670

1,706

1,743

1,821

1,723

1,881

1,860

1,934

1,806

1,929

1,785

1,943

1,947

2,053

2,077

2,286

2,469

2,345

2,471

Waipa district

612

603

624

597

593

563

630

562

608

575

537

583

581

616

591

604

635

657

596

616

Otorohanga district

156

184

174

174

191

145

149

120

145

136

123

133

122

128

125

110

154

131

126

146

South Waikato district

601

587

580

537

525

520

512

486

475

381

392

358

363

403

376

320

363

412

377

400

Waitomo district

189

193

184

179

196

171

163

165

155

153

152

168

144

148

134

138

173

162

171

145

Taupo district

568

540

556

528

530

497

560

472

494

459

439

475

461

483

451

442

532

489

512

520

Western Bay of Plenty district

466

481

471

441

464

505

536

524

523

518

456

501

474

558

499

509

546

566

542

528

Tauranga city

1,045

1,032

1,106

1,034

1,059

1,147

1,248

1,258

1,273

1,327

1,326

1,275

1,307

1,415

1,442

1,486

1,635

1,637

1,592

1,637

Rotorua district

1,078

1,316

1,205

1,265

1,247

1,234

1,235

1,318

1,172

1,202

1,117

1,084

1,025

1,092

1,157

1,082

1,145

1,129

1,204

1,145

Whakatane district

697

670

607

625

635

586

605

531

593

506

531

495

529

507

553

535

549

510

475

549

Kawerau district

214

196

230

165

178

169

171

145

136

123

129

140

142

111

125

113

123

133

136

124

Opotiki district

217

205

201

205

180

168

186

155

174

154

162

149

150

145

136

134

153

140

123

114

Gisborne district

893

964

981

951

906

871

836

753

770

773

766

759

703

751

778

720

801

828

727

782

Wairoa district
Hastings district

243

210

215

200

191

202

181

159

169

145

152

147

123

129

131

134

149

177

147

135

1,168

1,216

1,203

1,179

1,120

1,166

1,111

1,047

1,068

1,115

1,068

1,030

1,019

1,096

1,044

1,110

1,161

1,138

1,119

1,158

Napier city

867

879

804

823

860

877

827

735

765

735

740

716

782

765

750

745

791

858

864

803

Central Hawke's Bay district

233

218

228

199

194

179

193

177

162

180

181

160

154

170

187

173

215

184

220

187
1,029

New Plymouth district

1,093

1,075

1,055

1,008

983

941

912

952

905

889

861

787

811

812

888

946

1,028

997

1,012

Stratford district

176

179

155

158

155

149

145

142

143

124

112

117

151

119

134

125

124

141

126

130

South Taranaki district

544

570

534

511

481

448

447

446

449

414

395

406

416

392

390

387

460

461

452

441

Ruapehu district

406

399

405

380

347

320

328

286

276

251

237

241

214

215

216

241

259

231

225

230

Wanganui district

771

767

755

714

759

693

665

625

611

637

581

558

554

538

562

595

589

605

632

606

Rangitikei district

306

298

282

287

292

253

264

243

235

245

221

197

201

195

173

184

216

218

208

202

Manawatu district
Palmerston North city

442

430

449

443

412

404

407

337

365

381

377

319

335

327

390

395

393

411

368

406

1,111

1,094

1,123

1,108

1,098

1,146

1,090

1,044

1,051

1,099

1,039

1,017

1,001

1,023

1,113

1,080

1,151

1,183

1,091

1,168

Tararua district

386

330

330

357

315

289

299

268

254

292

240

230

230

266

269

282

269

282

252

272

Horowhenua district

461

504

477

440

468

471

471

430

425

403

375

341

375

350

368

382

418

438

378

411

Kapiti Coast district


Porirua city

485

521

490

504

486

477

452

501

482

520

513

443

489

504

484

487

541

559

564

570

1,129

1,091

1,052

982

991

906

943

893

1,016

901

932

839

884

819

853

896

948

1,018

953

921

Upper Hutt city

582

613

586

565

552

536

521

560

495

529

540

485

514

502

508

490

569

575

537

551

Lower Hutt city

1,761

1,760

1,717

1,630

1,616

1,599

1,595

1,616

1,610

1,556

1,625

1,409

1,538

1,526

1,478

1,481

1,663

1,652

1,647

1,588

Wellington city

2,417

2,428

2,303

2,365

2,306

2,362

2,275

2,293

2,410

2,447

2,374

2,347

2,523

2,455

2,436

2,566

2,618

2,643

2,541

2,597

408

396

355

356

361

362

342

345

330

305

318

276

253

314

276

319

297

298

328

314

Masterton district

52

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.08

Live births(1) by area


Regional council and territorial authority areas
19912010
December year

Area

1997 1998(2)
98
85

1991
114

1992
108

1993
89

1994
100

1995
87

1996
87

South Wairarapa district

171

150

167

157

142

121

123

Tasman district

526

491

502

517

488

455

477

Nelson city

609

567

533

566

518

552

Marlborough district

485

532

524

491

543

54

44

47

44

53

192

181

180

153

147

Carterton district

Kaikoura district
Buller district

1999
90

2000
81

2001
88

2002
75

2003
84

2004
89

2005
82

2006
88

2007
102

2008
89

2009
105

2010
100

139

133

489

504

110

92

526

502

111

98

118

109

115

138

138

116

129

508

536

557

513

549

552

556

497

528

527

518

546

544

545

519

527

579

519

523

639

627

604

604

469

539

44

50

427

471

43

37

472

441

415

459

479

473

484

515

570

550

573

39

50

38

49

35

35

47

46

34

45

145

134

120

52

124

106

112

97

101

111

99

110

128

125

127

117

Grey district

225

255

206

195

191

219

192

181

184

172

183

154

142

192

130

190

168

213

198

204

Westland district

145

122

138

136

133

127

102

102

95

83

101

79

91

96

109

90

109

114

106

108

Hurunui district

146

150

150

146

129

144

132

121

127

119

120

120

145

140

139

130

125

131

138

125

Waimakariri district

398

443

435

400

472

472

473

473

503

523

525

461

463

554

495

554

593

574

526

548

4,400

4,258

4,197

4,245

4,293

4,235

4,359

3,996

4,231

4,232

4,244

4,067

4,298

4,628

4,520

4,640

5,139

4,985

4,882

4,980

Selwyn district

321

321

318

333

317

309

305

309

350

318

360

351

378

388

463

443

544

516

506

497

Ashburton district

373

334

328

332

340

322

335

290

311

301

344

295

316

303

348

344

401

384

402

453

Timaru district

562

595

574

537

546

541

500

512

513

518

473

446

472

458

477

472

541

497

522

498

61

55

57

47

55

57

58

50

44

28

55

38

47

34

38

48

47

53

49

49

103

107

93

90

112

100

95

80

59

79

63

63

73

75

70

81

86

92

81

80

11

21

19

14

15

12

13

12

17

10

16

15

290

305

283

264

264

271

247

215

218

237

201

215

205

207

197

202

218

239

212

240

Christchurch city

Mackenzie district
Waimate district
Chatham Islands Territory
Waitaki district
Central Otago district

205

229

205

198

189

179

175

176

147

163

165

177

168

184

166

208

225

226

204

201

Queenstown-Lakes district

152

137

178

195

209

192

199

213

200

221

230

200

239

253

317

326

390

391

444

417
1,287

Dunedin city

1,661

1,634

1,533

1,511

1,462

1,444

1,405

1,302

1,334

1,336

1,248

1,262

1,247

1,270

1,289

1,222

1,311

1,304

1,270

Clutha district

264

258

299

269

266

253

251

222

268

208

230

237

202

275

203

210

228

225

233

209

Southland district

499

481

483

422

427

415

382

361

403

388

353

382

391

399

395

386

425

424

456

455

Gore district

238

216

231

218

219

194

202

191

171

152

158

151

177

169

152

155

153

172

161

182

Invercargill city

929

835

881

779

776

769

757

700

678

730

678

661

661

690

664

692

773

743

739

768

Not stated

294

211

94

65

49

81

68

50

128

157

57

84

73

Area outside territorial authority

New Zealand

59,911 59,166 58,782 57,321 57,671 57,280 57,604 55,349 57,053 56,605 55,799 54,021 56,134 58,073 57,745 59,193 64,044 64,343 62,543 63,897

1. Birth data are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in New Zealand by date of registration. Excludes late registrations under section 16 of the Births, Deaths,
Marriages,
registrations
and
under
Relationships
section 16Registration
of the Births,Act
Deaths,
1995. Marriages,
(Births thatand
wereRelationships
not registered
Registration
in the ordinary
Act 1995.
way at(Births
the time
thatthe
were
birthnot
occurred.)
registered in the
2. Registered births for 1998 are lower than expected, because of a small change to the rate at which births were registered during 1998.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

53

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.09

Total fertility rate(1)


Regional council areas
1996, 2001, and 2006
December year(2)

Regional council area


1996

2001

2006

Northland region

2.49

2.40

2.67

Auckland region

2.00

1.99

2.01

Waikato region

2.12

2.10

2.22

Bay of Plenty region

2.36

2.31

2.44

Gisborne region

2.61

2.61

2.68

Hawke's Bay region

2.32

2.30

2.41

Taranaki region

2.05

2.09

2.30

Manawatu-Wanganui region

2.02

2.00

2.16

Wellington region

1.79

1.79

1.81

Tasman region

1.85

1.97

2.16

Nelson region

1.68

1.85

2.02
2.01

Marlborough region

2.03

1.88

West Coast region

2.03

1.96

2.06

Canterbury region

1.70

1.70

1.88

Otago region

1.56

1.56

1.59

Southland region

1.97

2.07

2.18

New Zealand

1.97

1.96

2.04

1. The average number of live births that a woman would have during her life if she
experienced the age-specific fertility rates of a given period (usually a year). It
excludes
thethe
effect
of mortality.
It excludes
effect
of mortality.
2. To minimise annual fluctuations, calculations are based on the annual average
number of live births over three years. For example, the total fertility rate for 1996 is
based
on the
annual
average
number
of births
registered
during
the the
three-year
is based
on the
annual
average
number
of births
registered
during
three-year
period 19951997.
Note: Due to small populations in some regions, changes over time should be interpreted
with caution. Fertility rates are based on live births registered in New Zealand to mothers
resident in New Zealand by date of registration.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

54

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.10

Cumulative fertility rates(1)


By selected ages
Cohorts of women born 18991990
Year of birth

Exact age (years)


20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1899

0.10

0.72

1.52

2.07

2.37

2.48

2.49

1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909

0.09
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.12

0.75
0.74
0.73
0.73
0.72
0.72
0.70
0.70
0.67
0.67

1.59
1.54
1.51
1.50
1.45
1.44
1.41
1.40
1.34
1.36

2.20
2.09
2.04
2.02
1.97
1.99
1.97
1.98
1.95
1.98

2.54
2.41
2.37
2.36
2.31
2.35
2.35
2.37
2.36
2.42

2.66
2.53
2.49
2.49
2.45
2.49
2.50
2.51
2.49
2.55

2.68
2.55
2.51
2.50
2.46
2.50
2.51
2.52
2.50
2.56

1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
1917
1918
1919

0.11
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.10
0.11
0.13

0.65
0.64
0.64
0.65
0.67
0.69
0.72
0.77
0.78
0.83

1.38
1.40
1.44
1.50
1.53
1.58
1.61
1.67
1.70
1.82

2.04
2.08
2.14
2.20
2.27
2.36
2.38
2.42
2.45
2.57

2.50
2.53
2.58
2.62
2.67
2.76
2.77
2.82
2.83
2.96

2.63
2.65
2.69
2.74
2.79
2.88
2.88
2.94
2.95
3.07

2.64
2.66
2.70
2.74
2.79
2.89
2.89
2.94
2.96
3.08

1920
1921
1922
1923
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928
1929

0.13
0.13
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.13
0.15
0.15

0.78
0.80
0.84
0.88
0.94
1.01
1.05
1.07
1.11
1.16

1.87
1.88
1.94
1.98
2.03
2.15
2.21
2.23
2.28
2.37

2.65
2.64
2.70
2.72
2.79
2.92
2.99
2.99
3.05
3.13

3.06
3.04
3.09
3.11
3.19
3.31
3.35
3.31
3.37
3.42

3.17
3.16
3.20
3.21
3.28
3.39
3.43
3.39
3.43
3.48

3.18
3.16
3.21
3.21
3.28
3.40
3.44
3.39
3.44
3.48

1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939

0.16
0.17
0.18
0.18
0.19
0.20
0.21
0.22
0.23
0.23

1.20
1.26
1.29
1.36
1.41
1.49
1.51
1.54
1.57
1.55

2.44
2.55
2.56
2.67
2.72
2.77
2.75
2.70
2.67
2.61

3.20
3.29
3.23
3.30
3.29
3.31
3.28
3.21
3.17
3.09

3.48
3.56
3.47
3.53
3.50
3.51
3.46
3.36
3.30
3.22

3.53
3.61
3.51
3.57
3.53
3.54
3.49
3.39
3.32
3.24

3.53
3.61
3.51
3.57
3.53
3.54
3.49
3.39
3.32
3.24

1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949

0.24
0.24
0.25
0.27
0.30
0.29
0.28
0.30
0.31
0.32

1.51
1.47
1.42
1.38
1.45
1.38
1.29
1.35
1.33
1.30

2.53
2.51
2.44
2.36
2.43
2.31
2.13
2.17
2.13
2.09

2.99
2.93
2.83
2.72
2.77
2.64
2.45
2.51
2.46
2.43

3.10
3.03
2.93
2.83
2.88
2.74
2.54
2.61
2.57
2.55

3.12
3.05
2.95
2.85
2.90
2.76
2.56
2.63
2.59
2.58

3.12
3.05
2.95
2.85
2.90
2.76
2.56
2.63
2.59
2.58

1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959

0.32
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.31
0.30
0.28
0.26
0.25

1.28
1.23
1.19
1.14
1.07
1.02
0.98
0.94
0.86
0.83

2.05
1.97
1.92
1.89
1.82
1.74
1.72
1.66
1.56
1.55

2.39
2.33
2.31
2.29
2.25
2.17
2.19
2.14
2.06
2.08

2.52
2.47
2.46
2.47
2.43
2.36
2.38
2.35 R
2.27 R
2.30 R

2.55
2.50
2.50
2.50
2.47
2.40
2.43
2.39
2.31
2.35

2.55
2.50
2.50
2.51
2.47
2.41
2.43
2.40
2.32
2.35

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966

0.22
0.22
0.20
0.18
0.17
0.17
0.16

0.80
0.79
0.73
0.71
0.68
0.68
0.68

1.54
1.56
1.47
1.42
1.37
1.38
1.35

2.09
2.10
2.01
1.96
1.93
1.95
1.95

2.32
2.35
2.27
2.23
2.21
2.24
2.24

2.37
2.41
2.33
2.30
2.28
2.31
..

55

R
R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R

2.38
..
..
..
..
..
..

R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 2.10

Cumulative fertility rates(1)


By selected ages
Cohorts of women born 18991990
Year of birth

Exact age (years)


20

25

30

35

40

1967
1968
1969

0.16
0.16
0.16

0.66
0.66
0.63

1.30 R
1.28 R
1.23 R

1.90 R
1.86 R
1.82 R

2.21 R
2.19 R
2.16

..
..
..

..
..
..

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

0.17
0.17
0.17
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.17 R
0.17 R

0.62
0.60
0.58
0.56
0.55
0.54
0.54
0.56
0.56
0.55

1.19
1.17
1.14
1.11
1.08
1.05
1.05
1.08
1.08
1.09

1.77
1.76
1.73
1.71
1.69
1.65
..
..
..
..

2.11
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

0.16
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.16
0.16

0.53
0.50
0.48
0.47
0.48
0.49
..
..
..

R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R

..

R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R

R
R
R
R

45

50

1.08
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..

..

..

..

..

1. The average number of live births that a woman born in a particular year has had by the time she reaches a particular age.
Note: Cumulative fertility rates are based on live births by date of occurrence.
Symbols:
R revised
.. not available

Source: Statistics New Zealand

56

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 2.11

Age by which 25, 50, and 75 percent of childbearing


has been completed
By women born 18991977
Quartile
Year of birth

25 percent
(Q1)

50 percent
(Q2)
Age (years)

75 percent
(Q3)

Inter-quartile
range
(Q3-Q1)

1899

24.4

28.2

32.8

8.4

1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909

24.5
24.4
24.3
24.3
24.3
24.4
24.5
24.5
24.7
24.8

28.4
28.3
28.3
28.3
28.4
28.6
28.8
29.0
29.3
29.4

33.1
33.1
33.3
33.4
33.6
33.9
34.2
34.2
34.3
34.3

8.6
8.7
9.0
9.1
9.3
9.5
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.5

1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
1917
1918
1919

25.0
25.2
25.2
25.2
25.2
25.2
25.0
24.8
24.8
24.6

29.6
29.6
29.5
29.3
29.1
29.2
29.1
29.0
28.9
28.6

34.4
34.3
34.2
33.9
33.7
33.6
33.3
33.2
33.1
32.9

9.4
9.1
8.9
8.6
8.5
8.4
8.3
8.4
8.4
8.3

1920
1921
1922
1923
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928
1929

25.1
25.0
24.8
24.7
24.5
24.3
24.2
24.1
24.0
23.8

28.7
28.5
28.3
28.2
28.1
27.9
27.7
27.6
27.5
27.3

33.0
33.0
32.7
32.6
32.5
32.2
32.0
31.8
31.6
31.3

7.9
8.0
7.9
7.9
8.0
7.9
7.8
7.7
7.6
7.4

1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939

23.8
23.7
23.5
23.4
23.2
23.1
23.0
22.8
22.6
22.5

27.1
27.0
26.7
26.4
26.2
25.9
25.8
25.5
25.3
25.2

31.0
30.8
30.4
30.0
29.7
29.4
29.3
29.1
29.0
28.9

7.2
7.1
6.9
6.6
6.4
6.3
6.3
6.3
6.3
6.4

1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949

22.4
22.4
22.3
22.2
22.1
22.1
22.1
22.0
21.9
21.9

25.2
25.2
25.2
25.2
25.0
25.0
24.9
24.9
24.8
24.9

28.8
28.7
28.6
28.6
28.3
28.3
28.3
28.4
28.5
28.7

6.4
6.4
6.3
6.4
6.2
6.2
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8

1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957 R
1958 R
1959 R

21.8
21.8
21.9
21.9
22.1
22.2
22.5
22.7
22.9
23.2

25.0
25.1
25.4
25.7
26.0
26.1
26.5
26.7
27.1
27.4

28.9
29.2
29.6
29.9
30.3
30.6
30.9
31.2
31.5
31.7

7.1
7.4
7.7
8.0
8.2
8.4
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.5

1960 R
1961 R
1962 R
1963 R

23.5
23.6
23.8
24.0

27.6
27.8
28.0
28.1

31.8
31.9
32.3
32.5

8.3
8.3
8.4
8.5

57

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 2.11

Age by which 25, 50, and 75 percent of childbearing


has been completed
By women born 18991977
Quartile
Year of birth

25 percent
(Q1)

50 percent
(Q2)
Age (years)

75 percent
(Q3)

Inter-quartile
range
(Q3-Q1)

1964 R
1965 R
1966 R
1967 R
1968 R
1969 R

24.2
24.2
24.2
24.3
24.2
24.4

28.3
28.4
28.6
28.8
28.8
29.1

32.8
32.8
32.9
33.2
33.4
33.7

8.6
8.6
8.7
9.0
9.2
9.3

1970 R
1971 R
1972 R
1973 R
1974 R
1975 R
1976 R
1977 R

24.3
24.6
24.7
24.7
24.8
24.7
24.6
24.5

29.2
29.5
29.6
29.7
29.7
29.8
29.6
29.7

33.8
34.0
34.2
34.1
34.1
34.0
33.8
33.9

9.5
9.5
9.6
9.4
9.3
9.3
9.3
9.4

Note: The 75 percent quartile for 196277 birth cohorts is based on assumed reproductive
experiences at selected ages beyond 33 years.
Symbol:
R revised

Source: Statistics New Zealand

58

3 Marriage, civil union, and divorce


Statistics on marriages and civil unions record the number of marriages and civil unions
registered in New Zealand each year. Statistics on divorces record the number of divorces
(marriage dissolutions) granted in New Zealand each year.
The following highlights are based on marriages and civil unions registered in New Zealand and
divorces granted in New Zealand:
There were 20,940 marriages registered to New Zealand residents during the December
2010 year.
The 2010 figure is 23 percent lower than the peak of 27,199 registered marriages in 1971.
The general marriage rate was 12.5 marriages per 1,000 not-married population aged 16
years and over in 2010, compared with 15.5 per 1,000 a decade earlier in 2000.
The median ages of men and women marrying for the first time in 2010 were 29.9 and 28.2
years, respectively.
Just under one-third (6,431) of all marriages registered in 2010 were remarriages of one or
both partners.
January, February, and March continue to be the most popular months in which people
marry 42 percent of marriages were celebrated in the first three months of 2010.
There were 8,874 orders for dissolution of marriage granted in New Zealand during the
December 2010 year.
The divorce rate in 2010 was 10.2 divorces per 1,000 estimated existing marriages.
Analysis of divorce statistics by year of marriage shows that just over one-third of New
Zealanders who married in 1985 had divorced before their silver wedding anniversary (25
years).
Figure 3

Marriage and divorce rates


19612010

50

Per 1,000 population


General marriage rate (1)

Divorce rate

(2)

40
30
20
10
0

61

64

67

70

73

76

79

82

85

88

91

94

97

00

03

06

09

December year
1. Marriages registered in New Zealand per 1,000 mean not-married estimated population aged 16 years and over.
2. Orders for dissolution of marriages granted in New Zealand per 1,000 estimated existing marriages.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

59

Demographic Trends: 2011

Marriages
There were 20,940 marriages registered to New Zealand residents in the December 2010 year,
down 688 or 3 percent from 21,628 marriages in 2009. Over the last decade, there has been an
average of 21,100 marriages per year. This compares with an average of 24,500 during the
period 197180. The 2010 figure is 23 percent lower than the peak of 27,199 registered
marriages in 1971.
The general marriage rate (number of marriages per 1,000 not-married population aged 16 years
and over) was 12.5 per 1,000 in 2010, lower than the rate of 13.2 per 1,000 in 2009. The rate has
declined in the last decade from 15.5 per 1,000 in 2000, and is currently less than one-third of the
peak of 45.5 per 1,000 recorded in 1971. Many factors have contributed to the fall in the marriage
rate, including the growth in de facto unions, a general trend towards delayed marriage, and
increasing numbers of New Zealanders remaining single.

Age at marriage
New Zealanders are marrying later than in the past. In 2010, a total of 562 teenage girls (under
20 years) married, compared with 8,717 in 1971. Teenagers comprised 32 percent of all brides in
1971, but only 3 percent in 2010. Among partnered women aged 15-19 years, nine out of 10
were living in a de facto union at the time of the 2006 Census.
The median age (half are younger, and half are older, than this age) of men who married for the
first time in 2010 was 29.9 years. This is about seven years older than the median age of those
who married for the first time in 1971. The median age of women who married for the first time
has risen by a similar margin, from 20.8 years in 1971 to 28.2 years in 2010. Women still tend to
marry men older than themselves, but the gap between their median ages at first marriage has
narrowed. In 1971, the gap was 2.1 years, but by 2010 it narrowed to 1.7 years.
Among all marriages (first and remarriages), the median age at marriage has been rising steadily
since the early-1970s. The median age at marriage reached historic lows of 23.5 years for men
and 21.2 years for women in 1971, before rising to 32.1 years for men and 30.0 years for women
in 2010. These median ages have been relatively constant since 2004.

Remarriages
The number of New Zealand resident marriages where one or both partners had previously been
married was 6,431 in 2010, down 5 percent from 2009. The proportion of all marriages that were
remarriages in 2010 was 31 percent. In 1971, just 16 percent of marriages (4,385) involved the
remarriage of one or both partners. By 1983, this had increased to 33 percent. Since then the
proportion of remarriages has remained roughly around one-third, but has been decreasing
slightly in the last decade.
Ninety percent of those remarrying in 2010 were previously divorced, up from 67 percent in 1971.
This rise can be partly attributed to the increase in the number of people who are divorced. In
1971, only 4 percent of not-married people were divorced; in 2006, the corresponding figure was
16 percent (based on census data). Of all the New Zealand residents who married in 2010, 21
percent of men and 19 percent of women were previously divorced. About half the divorced
people who remarry marry another divorced person.

60

Demographic Trends: 2011

De facto unions
A growing proportion of New Zealanders, like their counterparts in Australia, North America, and
Europe, live together without legally formalising their union. The five-yearly Census of Population
and Dwellings is the primary source of information on de facto unions. Marriage and civil union
statistics provide information on legally registered unions only. In 1996, about one in four men
and women aged 1544 years who were in partnerships were not legally married. By 2006, this
figure had increased to around two in five.

Civil unions
The Civil Unions Act 2004 came into force on 26 April 2005, and first ceremonies were celebrated
on 29 April 2005. This Act introduced a new form of legal relationship. Two people aged 18 years
and over, whether of opposite or the same sex, can enter into a civil union provided they are not
currently married to, or in a civil union with, someone else. People aged 16 and 17 years must
have their guardians consent to enter a civil union. A couple who are currently married can
transfer their relationship to a civil union. An opposite-sex couple in a civil union can transfer their
relationship to a marriage. As in the past, a same-sex couple cannot enter into a marriage.
In 2010, there were 273 civil unions registered to New Zealand residents. These comprised 200
same-sex unions (127 female and 73 male) and 73 opposite-sex unions.
To 31 December 2010, there have been a total of 1,851 civil unions registered to New Zealand
residents. Of these, 1,453 (78 percent) were same-sex civil unions. In the same period, a further
363 civil unions were registered in New Zealand to overseas residents. Eighty-seven percent
were same-sex civil unions.

Divorces
In 2010, 8,874 marriage dissolution orders were granted by the Family Court, up slightly from the
2009 total of 8,737.
In 1981, there was a sharp increase in divorces following the passing of the Family Proceedings
Act 1980. This allowed for the dissolution of marriage on the grounds of irreconcilable differences.
Divorces recorded a temporary high of 12,395 in 1982. Subsequently, both the number and rate
of marriage dissolutions dropped, but the trend was upward again from the late 1980s to 2004. In
the last decade, there has been an average of 9,800 marriage dissolutions per year, varying from
10,609 in 2004 to 8,737 in 2009.
The divorce rate (divorces per 1,000 existing marriages) was 10.2 in 2010, the same as the rate
in 2009, but lower than the rate of 11.3 in 2007 and 2008. During the early 1990s, the rate
fluctuated around 12.0 per 1,000, and around 12.5 during the late 1990s and early 2000s.
Annual divorce statistics do not give a complete picture of the number of marriages ending in
divorce. Analysis of divorce statistics by year of marriage shows that just over one-third of New
Zealanders who married in 1985 had divorced before their silver wedding anniversary (25 years).
For those married in 1975 and 1970, the corresponding figures were 30 and 28 percent,
respectively.

Age at divorce
The upward trend in age at divorce is continuing. This partly reflects the marked trend towards
later marriages, which started in the early 1970s. The median age at divorce in 2010 was 45.1
years for men and 42.5 years for women. Divorces in 2010 were, on average, about three-and-ahalf years older than those whose marriages dissolved a decade earlier. The median ages in
2000 were 41.6 years for men and 39.0 for women.

61

Demographic Trends: 2011

More information
The following information on marriage, civil union, and divorce is available from the Statistics NZ
website:
Marriages, Civil Unions, and Divorces Information releases
Links to data and reports relating to marriages, civil unions, and divorces.
Time-series data is available from the Infoshare database. Marriage, civil union, and divorce data
is available from two subject groups in the Population category:
Marriages, Civil Unions, and Divorces VSM
Marriage and Divorce Rates DMR.

62

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.01

Marriages and marriage rates


19612010
Marriages

Crude marriage rate(1)

General marriage rate(2)

1961
1962
1963
1964

19,426
19,572
19,856
20,720

8.01
7.88
7.83
8.00

38.19
37.65
37.11
37.65

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

21,702
22,949
23,515
24,057
24,971

8.24
8.55
8.62
8.74
8.98

38.59
40.14
40.68
41.49
42.83

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

25,953
27,199
26,868
26,274
25,412

9.20
9.50
9.22
8.83
8.35

43.95
45.49
44.00
41.82
39.24

1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

24,535
24,154
22,589
22,426
22,326

7.91
7.71
7.19
7.13
7.12

36.89
35.46
31.96
30.63
29.55

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

22,981
23,660
25,537
24,678
25,272

7.31
7.50
8.03
7.66
7.77

29.35
29.39
30.71
28.50
28.15

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

24,657
24,037
24,443
23,485
22,733

7.54
7.34
7.40
7.08
6.83

26.58
25.29
24.96
23.36
22.18

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

23,341
21,841
20,804
20,802
20,587

6.94
6.25
5.89
5.82
5.68

22.19
19.65
18.34
17.95
17.40

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

20,452
20,453
19,953
20,135
21,085

5.56
5.48
5.27
5.28
5.49

16.88
16.47
15.71
15.58
16.08

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

20,655
19,972
20,690
21,419
21,006

5.35
5.14
5.24
5.32
5.14

15.49
14.71
14.83
14.89
14.25

2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

20,470
21,423
21,494
21,948
21,628

4.95
5.12
5.08
5.14
5.01

13.59
13.90
13.65
13.66
13.16

2010

20,940

4.79

12.45

December year

1. Per 1,000 mean estimated population.


2. Per 1,000 mean not-married estimated population aged 16 years and over.
Note: Marriages registered in New Zealand. Before 1999, marriage data were extracted on the basis of 'date of marriage' (ie
occurrence). From 1999 onwards, marriage data have been extracted using 'date of registration'. Marriages and marriage rates
from 1991 onwards are based on marriages registered in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and the mean
estimated resident population. Before 1991, marriages and marriage rates are based on marriages registered in New Zealand
of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and bridegrooms visiting from overseas and the mean estimated de facto population.
From 2007, marriages include a small number of couples who transferred their civil union to a marriage.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

63

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.02

Age-specific marriage rates(1)


19612006
Age group
(years)

1961

1966

1971

1976

1981

1986

1991

1996

2001

2006

Male
1619

13.4

18.5

24.0

12.6

6.6

2.8

1.9

1.5

1.8

1.6

2024

155.0

175.1

202.3

140.9

95.3

63.8

41.1

27.2

23.1

19.8

2529

209.7

218.1

238.4

191.6

156.5

120.2

92.7

69.4

63.4

61.1

3034

128.6

124.9

146.6

150.0

130.9

109.0

90.0

69.0

68.7

68.8

3539

77.3

74.7

91.2

105.7

106.2

92.8

67.7

60.0

50.5

54.0

4044

56.4

56.5

63.3

75.0

84.0

75.7

59.3

48.7

39.7

39.1

4549

44.7

48.5

54.1

59.1

60.0

62.2

55.9

44.3

35.2

33.4

50+

21.4

21.9

25.8

25.2

24.5

23.7

20.1

19.2

18.5

18.2

16+

77.9

81.3

94.6

74.4

62.2

53.8

43.4

36.4

33.3

31.9

Female
1619

76.6

83.4

95.5

61.5

33.8

16.2

9.0

6.4

5.8

4.5

2024

297.2

295.2

317.0

225.3

160.4

114.0

74.4

47.0

37.6

32.1

2529

207.8

201.0

214.8

197.7

158.8

129.3

102.4

80.8

73.8

70.2

3034

129.9

110.2

124.0

136.5

114.9

91.6

79.3

66.7

64.6

68.2

3539

77.7

75.1

75.1

92.3

85.3

72.0

57.6

49.6

41.4

43.8

4044

50.8

55.1

56.5

64.3

62.0

56.4

46.0

34.0

32.3

30.8

4549

32.8

38.9

42.2

43.9

45.5

46.2

34.8

31.8

25.4

27.4

50+

6.5

6.5

7.4

6.6

6.1

5.8

4.9

5.2

5.6

6.0

16+

75.8

78.9

89.0

69.7

57.6

49.2

38.8

32.2

28.7

27.6

1. Marriages in each age group per 1,000 not-married census usually resident population count in that age group.
Note: Marriages registered in New Zealand. Before 1999, marriage data were extracted on the basis of 'date of marriage' (ie occurrence).
From 1999 onwards, marriage data have been extracted using 'date of registration'. Rates from 1991 onwards are based on marriages
registered in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand. Before 1991, rates are based on marriages registered in New Zealand
of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and bridegrooms visiting from overseas. Rates for 1961 and 1966 are based on the census night
population counts. Rates from 1971 onwards are based on the census usually resident population counts.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

64

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.03

Age-specific first marriage rates(1)


19612006
Age group
(years)

1961

1966

1971

1976

1981

1986

1991

1996

2001

2006

Male
1619

13.4

18.5

24.0

12.6

6.6

2.8

1.9

1.5

1.8

1.6

2024

154.9

174.9

201.9

140.2

95.1

63.7

41.1

27.1

23.0

19.7

2529

206.2

214.9

226.5

177.5

147.6

115.7

90.5

68.0

62.1

60.6

3034

117.5

110.3

116.8

103.9

98.0

89.2

78.6

62.9

63.7

66.3

3539

59.3

56.0

55.4

54.5

51.0

48.2

45.9

43.6

39.5

47.2

4044

34.5

35.1

31.0

30.5

25.6

24.8

24.3

23.5

24.0

27.1

4549

22.2

20.2

20.3

18.3

15.0

12.7

14.3

15.1

14.1

15.4

50+

9.7

7.8

6.2

7.4

5.9

4.8

5.4

4.0

5.1

6.2

16+

81.4

84.3

96.3

71.1

57.3

48.4

39.5

32.7

30.5

30.1

Female
1619

76.6

83.3

95.4

61.5

33.8

16.2

9.0

6.4

5.8

4.5

2024

296.2

294.2

314.1

221.6

158.7

112.8

73.9

46.6

37.1

31.8

2529

195.2

187.5

192.5

169.8

140.9

119.7

95.6

77.1

72.0

69.1

3034

102.2

82.7

89.5

89.5

76.5

67.6

65.0

56.2

57.9

64.8

3539

52.4

46.5

43.0

45.6

38.8

42.1

36.1

35.2

30.2

35.6

4044

27.9

28.4

23.6

24.4

20.9

22.2

18.6

16.4

18.3

19.8

4549

17.2

17.8

15.0

14.6

18.1

11.6

11.6

10.5

10.7

13.2

50+

4.6

4.3

4.2

3.1

2.7

2.9

2.2

1.8

2.6

3.9

16+

109.0

113.0

129.0

95.4

75.9

61.5

47.3

37.9

34.3

33.1

1. First marriages in each age group per 1,000 never-married census usually resident population count in that age group.
Note: Marriages registered in New Zealand. Before 1999, marriage data were extracted on the basis of 'date of marriage' (ie occurrence).
From 1999 onwards, marriage data have been extracted using 'date of registration'. Rates from 1991 onwards are based on marriages
registered in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand. Before 1991, rates are based on marriages registered in New Zealand
of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and bridegrooms visiting from overseas. Rates for 1961 and 1966 are based on the census night
population counts. Rates from 1971 onwards are based on the census usually resident population counts.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

65

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.04

Median age at marriage


By previous marital status
19352010
December
year

Bridegroom
Bachelor

Bride

Widower

Divorcee

All
bridegrooms

Spinster

Widow

Divorcee

All brides

1935

27.0

50.4

39.4

27.6

24.0

43.9

35.1

24.5

1940

26.5

50.5

39.7

27.0

23.6

44.5

34.5

24.0

1945

26.9

53.3

38.3

27.8

23.7

40.5

34.1

24.4

1950

25.5

56.1

38.4

26.4

22.6

46.3

34.3

23.2

1955

25.3

56.0

40.4

26.0

22.2

47.3

35.2

22.7

1960

24.6

57.6

40.1

25.2

21.5

49.1

36.7

21.9

1965

23.8

58.8

41.1

24.2

21.1

51.3

36.0

21.5

1970

23.1

58.9

39.0

23.6

20.9

51.4

34.3

21.3

1975

23.4

58.2

36.9

24.2

21.0

52.5

33.0

21.6

1980

24.0

59.4

36.8

25.2

21.7

53.6

33.6

22.6

1981

24.2

59.6

37.5

25.6

21.9

53.2

34.0

23.0

1982

24.5

59.8

37.5

26.2

22.2

53.3

34.4

23.6

1983

24.8

59.8

37.5

26.5

22.6

53.1

34.5

23.9

1984

25.0

59.9

38.0

26.8

22.8

53.8

34.7

24.2

1985

25.3

61.0

38.3

26.9

23.1

53.7

34.9

24.4

1986

25.5

60.3

38.9

27.3

23.4

53.8

35.5

24.8

1987

25.9

61.0

39.3

27.6

23.7

52.7

36.0

25.2

1988

26.2

61.1

39.4

27.9

24.0

53.4

35.9

25.5

1989

26.4

61.7

39.7

28.2

24.2

53.3

36.5

25.8

1990

26.8

60.4

40.3

28.6

24.5

53.1

36.5

26.2

1991

26.9

61.4

40.8

28.8

24.6

52.6

36.7

26.5

1992

27.0

61.8

41.1

29.1

24.9

52.8

37.1

26.7

1993

27.3

61.2

41.2

29.4

25.2

53.8

37.8

27.0

1994

27.5

61.1

41.8

29.7

25.5

54.4

37.9

27.3

1995

27.8

61.4

42.0

30.1

25.8

53.1

38.3

27.7

1996

28.1

61.4

42.1

30.4

26.1

52.8

38.2

28.0

1997

28.3

61.1

43.1

30.7

26.5

54.6

39.1

28.4

1998

28.7

62.6

42.5

30.8

26.7

53.0

38.9

28.6

1999

28.9

61.1

43.0

31.0

27.0

54.6

39.4

28.8

2000

29.2

60.6

43.4

31.5

27.4

53.9

39.8

29.3

2001

29.3

60.9

43.5

31.6

27.5

53.8

40.2

29.5

2002

29.4

62.6

44.2

31.8

27.6

53.8

40.3

29.7

2003

29.5

60.8

44.8

31.9

27.7

54.7

40.9

29.8

2004

29.9

62.0

45.2

32.3

28.1

54.5

41.7

30.2

2005

30.1

61.7

45.7

32.5

28.1

55.4

42.2

30.4

2006

30.0

62.3

46.0

32.6

28.2

55.0

42.6

30.4

2007

29.9

63.1

46.1

32.5

28.1

55.8

42.9

30.2

2008

29.9

61.9

46.7

32.5

28.2

56.4

43.6

30.2

2009

29.8

63.4

47.3

32.2

28.1

57.4

43.7

30.1

2010

29.9

63.6

47.4

32.1

28.2

55.5

44.1

30.0

Note: Marriages registered in New Zealand. Before 1999, marriage data were extracted on the basis of 'date of marriage' (ie occurrence).
From 1999 onwards, marriage data have been extracted using 'date of registration'. Marriages from 1991 onwards are based on
marriages registered in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand. Before 1991, marriages are based on marriages registered
in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and bridegrooms visiting from overseas. Marriages before 1952, where both
parties were Mori, are excluded.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

66

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.05

Males and females never married


By age group
19612006 Censuses of Population and Dwellings
Age group
(years)

1961

1966

1971

1976

1981

1986

1991

1996

2001

2006

Male (percent)
1619

98.8

98.3

97.7

98.1

99.2

99.2

99.5

99.7

99.4

99.5

2024

73.0

68.4

62.6

63.5

76.1

84.2

90.3

93.3

94.4

94.9

2529

29.7

26.7

21.9

22.8

30.6

44.3

55.6

66.3

72.1

74.2

3034

16.9

14.4

11.7

11.0

13.5

19.9

28.4

37.8

46.1

48.3

3539

12.4

11.4

9.3

8.1

8.7

10.8

15.1

21.6

28.9

32.7

4044

9.8

9.9

8.9

7.6

7.3

7.8

9.2

12.9

18.3

23.1

4549

9.2

8.8

8.4

7.9

7.3

6.9

7.2

8.5

11.8

15.9

5054

8.5

8.5

7.7

7.7

7.6

6.9

6.5

6.8

8.1

10.8

5559

8.7

8.2

7.6

7.1

7.5

7.2

6.6

6.0

6.4

7.5

6064

9.1

8.2

7.4

7.1

6.8

7.1

6.9

6.3

5.7

5.9

65+

9.2

8.4

7.4

6.8

6.6

6.2

6.1

6.0

5.5

5.1

16+

27.2

28.1

26.8

27.1

29.4

31.5

33.4

34.1

34.5

35.5

Female (percent)
1619

91.7

90.3

89.1

89.9

95.4

97.7

98.6

99.1

99.0

99.1

2024

40.5

38.9

35.3

37.1

52.3

65.7

77.6

85.3

88.7

90.0

2529

12.5

11.8

10.7

11.6

16.9

28.4

39.2

51.4

60.3

64.2

3034

8.1

6.9

5.9

6.1

7.8

12.4

19.6

27.7

35.8

40.2

3539

7.3

6.0

5.0

4.6

5.2

6.7

10.1

15.9

22.0

26.5

4044

7.5

6.2

5.0

4.4

4.4

5.0

6.1

9.2

13.9

18.2

4549

8.3

6.7

5.5

4.7

4.3

4.3

4.8

5.9

8.6

12.6

5054

9.7

7.7

6.2

5.2

4.6

4.3

4.3

4.7

5.6

8.0

5559

10.7

9.3

7.3

5.9

5.2

4.6

4.3

4.1

4.5

5.4

6064

11.2

10.3

8.9

7.1

5.9

5.2

4.6

4.3

3.9

4.3

65+

12.4

11.8

10.7

9.9

8.7

7.5

6.5

5.8

4.8

4.1

16+

20.1

20.8

19.6

19.8

21.8

24.3

26.7

28.2

29.0

30.5

Note: Figures for 1961 and 1966 are based on the census night population counts. Figures from 1971 onwards are based on the
census usually resident population counts.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

67

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.06

First marriages and remarriages


19532010
December
year
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Bridegroom

Bride

Marriages

First marriage

Remarriage

First marriage

Remarriage

First marriage

Remarriage(1)

Total

Percent
remarriage

15,173
15,470
15,858
15,513
15,634
16,198
16,264
16,773
17,368
17,529
17,796
18,551
19,531
20,690
21,230
21,675
22,168
23,003
24,014
23,607
22,768
21,705
20,863
20,061
18,329
18,206
17,909
18,400
18,515
18,908
18,486
18,824
18,582
17,973
18,281
17,707
17,080
17,538
16,285
15,377
15,369
15,259
14,904
14,897
14,554
14,757
15,589
15,054
14,551
15,121
15,702
15,351
15,026
15,917
16,125
16,551
16,544
16,098

2,051
2,087
1,937
2,018
1,980
2,107
2,051
2,136
2,058
2,043
2,060
2,169
2,171
2,259
2,285
2,382
2,803
2,950
3,185
3,261
3,506
3,707
3,672
4,093
4,260
4,220
4,417
4,581
5,145
6,629
6,192
6,448
6,075
6,064
6,162
5,778
5,653
5,803
5,556
5,427
5,433
5,328
5,548
5,556
5,399
5,378
5,496
5,601
5,421
5,569
5,717
5,655
5,444
5,506
5,369
5,397
5,084
4,842

15,260
15,539
15,819
15,580
15,625
16,226
16,206
16,762
17,346
17,546
17,797
18,582
19,580
20,695
21,369
21,811
22,339
23,110
24,195
23,661
22,970
21,962
20,965
20,237
18,661
18,383
18,192
18,696
18,835
19,412
18,835
19,205
18,945
18,361
18,766
18,091
17,552
17,887
16,443
15,546
15,630
15,446
15,227
15,158
14,817
14,888
15,835
15,325
14,818
15,401
15,966
15,689
15,284
16,209
16,397
16,951
16,832
16,493

1,964
2,018
1,976
1,951
1,989
2,079
2,109
2,147
2,080
2,026
2,059
2,138
2,122
2,254
2,146
2,246
2,632
2,843
3,004
3,207
3,304
3,450
3,570
3,917
3,928
4,043
4,134
4,285
4,825
6,125
5,843
6,067
5,712
5,676
5,677
5,394
5,181
5,454
5,398
5,258
5,172
5,141
5,225
5,295
5,136
5,247
5,250
5,330
5,154
5,289
5,453
5,317
5,186
5,214
5,097
4,997
4,796
4,447

14,211
14,469
14,892
14,607
14,661
15,191
15,228
15,782
16,404
16,615
16,882
17,587
18,586
19,751
20,351
20,764
21,142
21,826
22,814
22,310
21,426
20,346
19,338
18,470
16,875
16,607
16,379
16,823
16,743
16,833
16,450
16,746
16,537
16,000
16,312
15,757
15,200
15,496
14,286
13,454
13,502
13,405
13,045
12,936
12,734
12,843
13,589
13,084
12,661
13,164
13,711
13,521
13,200
14,093
14,356
14,812
14,841
14,509

3,013
3,088
2,903
2,924
2,953
3,114
3,087
3,127
3,022
2,957
2,974
3,133
3,116
3,198
3,164
3,293
3,829
4,127
4,385
4,558
4,848
5,066
5,197
5,684
5,714
5,819
5,947
6,158
6,917
8,704
8,228
8,526
8,120
8,037
8,131
7,728
7,533
7,845
7,555
7,350
7,300
7,182
7,407
7,517
7,219
7,292
7,496
7,571
7,311
7,526
7,708
7,485
7,270
7,330
7,138
7,136
6,787
6,431

17,224
17,557
17,795
17,531
17,614
18,305
18,315
18,909
19,426
19,572
19,856
20,720
21,702
22,949
23,515
24,057
24,971
25,953
27,199
26,868
26,274
25,412
24,535
24,154
22,589
22,426
22,326
22,981
23,660
25,537
24,678
25,272
24,657
24,037
24,443
23,485
22,733
23,341
21,841
20,804
20,802
20,587
20,452
20,453
19,953
20,135
21,085
20,655
19,972
20,690
21,419
21,006
20,470
21,423
21,494
21,948
21,628
20,940

17
18
16
17
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
15
14
14
13
14
15
16
16
17
18
20
21
24
25
26
27
27
29
34
33
34
33
33
33
33
33
34
35
35
35
35
36
37
36
36
36
37
37
36
36
36
36
34
33
33
31
31

1. Marriages where one or both partners have been previously married or where the couple have transferred their civil union to a marriage.
Note: Marriages registered in New Zealand. Before 1999, marriage data were extracted on the basis of 'date of marriage' (ie occurrence).
From 1999 onwards, marriage data have been extracted using 'date of registration'. Marriages from 1991 onwards are based on marriages
registered in New Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand. Before 1991, marriages are based on marriages registered in New
Zealand of bridegrooms resident in New Zealand and bridegrooms visiting from overseas. From 2007, marriages include a small number
of couples who transferred their civil union to a marriage.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

68

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.07

Divorces and divorce rates


19612010
December year

Divorces

Divorce rate (1)

1961
1962
1963
1964

1,733
1,755
1,905
1,894

3.2
3.2
3.4
3.3

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

1,814
2,064
2,047
2,172
2,996

3.1
3.5
3.4
3.5
4.8

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

3,136
3,347
3,471
3,616
4,457

4.9
5.1
5.2
5.3
6.4

1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

4,761
5,401
5,381
5,772
6,101

6.6
7.4
7.4
8.0
8.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

6,493
8,590
12,395
9,750
9,174

9.0
11.9
17.1
13.3
12.5

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

8,607
8,753
8,709
8,674
8,555

11.7
11.9
11.8
11.8
11.7

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

9,036
9,152
9,114
9,193
9,213

12.3
12.0
11.9
11.9
11.9

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

9,574
10,009
9,754
10,067
9,931

12.3
12.7
12.3
12.6
12.5

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

9,699
9,683
10,292
10,491
10,609

12.2
12.1
12.7
12.8
12.8

2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

9,972
10,065
9,650
9,713
8,737
8,874

11.9
11.9
11.3
11.3
10.2
10.2

1. Orders for dissolution of marriage granted in New Zealand per 1,000 estimated
existing marriages.
Note: Divorce data are based on orders for dissolution of marriage granted in New
Zealand. Divorce rates from 1991 onwards are based on the estimated number of
existing marriages of people resident in New Zealand. Before 1991, divorce rates
are based on the estimated number of existing marriages of people resident in New

Zealand and people visiting from overseas.


Source: Statistics New Zealand

69

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.08

Divorce rates(1) by age group


19962010
Age group
(years)

December year
1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Male
1619
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
65+

3.0
13.6
20.8
21.2
18.8
16.9
15.1
11.4
8.0
5.2
1.9

0.0
16.1
20.2
20.5
19.0
16.5
14.5
10.6
7.9
4.9
1.7

2.7
17.2
21.1
23.1
19.7
16.3
14.7
11.5
7.1
5.1
1.9

2.6
15.4
21.2
21.5
19.6
17.0
14.9
12.0
7.6
4.9
1.7

7.1
15.2
20.3
21.4
19.2
16.8
15.2
11.2
8.1
4.7
1.8

2.3
16.7
20.7
20.7
19.2
17.7
14.5
11.9
7.8
5.0
2.0

9.0
18.8
21.4
21.4
19.8
18.5
16.2
12.9
8.3
5.1
2.1

9.0
18.1
20.3
22.9
19.2
18.8
16.3
13.1
8.7
5.3
2.0

4.5
18.5
19.7
20.3
20.8
18.9
16.3
13.4
8.8
5.9
2.1

0.0
21.6
18.3
18.2
18.9
18.3
14.9
13.2
8.7
5.4
1.9

0.0
23.7
18.1
18.3
17.5
18.0
16.1
12.7
9.6
5.8
2.2

4.6
19.2
18.5
17.3
16.8
17.0
15.6
12.6
9.3
5.6
2.0

2.3
13.9
18.6
18.2
16.7
17.6
15.6
12.7
9.0
6.2
2.1

0.0
10.0
15.9
15.0
15.5
16.1
14.2
11.5
8.8
5.3
2.1

0.0
11.2
15.1
15.1
16.0
16.3
14.5
11.7
9.5
5.4
2.0

All ages

12.8

12.3

12.7

12.5

12.3

12.2

12.8

12.9

12.9

12.0

12.0

11.4

11.4

10.2

10.3

Median age at
divorce (years)

40.6

40.6

40.5

41.2

41.6

41.9

42.4

42.5

43.0

43.3

44.0

44.3

44.5

44.9

45.1

Female
1619
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
65+

4.3
18.3
22.0
20.6
17.2
16.1
13.1
8.4
5.2
3.0
1.3

9.8
19.3
21.6
20.0
17.1
14.8
12.9
8.3
5.7
3.0
1.0

4.4
19.8
22.9
21.5
18.0
14.7
13.4
8.5
5.3
3.3
1.2

6.6
20.1
22.5
20.7
18.2
15.3
12.9
8.9
5.6
3.1
1.2

9.9
17.7
22.3
20.4
17.4
15.6
12.9
9.3
5.3
3.3
1.1

6.5
19.4
21.8
20.4
18.3
15.2
12.7
9.3
6.2
3.6
1.1

7.4
19.7
22.1
21.3
18.9
16.9
14.4
9.9
5.9
2.9
1.4

6.3
20.4
22.6
21.2
18.9
16.9
14.7
9.9
6.9
3.2
1.2

4.1
21.4
20.9
20.6
19.5
17.2
14.6
10.9
6.7
3.5
1.3

7.1
22.2
18.7
19.1
17.7
17.1
13.9
10.1
6.0
3.5
1.2

6.0
21.5
18.9
18.5
17.5
16.8
14.2
10.6
6.6
4.2
1.3

2.0
20.7
18.4
17.7
16.8
16.1
13.6
10.8
6.2
3.9
1.3

2.9
16.9
19.2
18.5
16.3
16.8
14.2
10.5
6.6
3.8
1.3

0.0
12.9
16.8
14.9
15.8
15.0
13.4
9.7
6.0
3.6
1.4

4.0
13.9
16.5
15.3
16.0
15.3
13.0
10.3
6.7
3.9
1.3

All ages

12.6

12.2

12.6

12.4

12.1

12.1

12.7

12.7

12.7

11.8

11.8

11.3

11.3

10.1

10.2

Median age at
divorce (years)

37.8

37.9

37.9

38.4

39.0

39.3

39.8

40.1

40.4

40.8

41.4

41.6

41.9

42.3

42.5

1. Orders for dissolution of marriage granted in New Zealand per 1,000 mean married estimated resident population in each age group.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

70

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.09

Proportion of marriages ending in divorce


19672005
Year of
marriage

Duration of marriage (years)


5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Percent
1967
1968
1969

2.3
2.4
2.6

8.3
8.7
9.2

15.3
16.3
17.4

21.4
22.1
23.1

25.9
26.4
27.5

28.8
29.8
30.7

30.9
31.6
32.6

31.9
32.6
33.7

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974

2.8
3.1
3.4
3.0
3.3

9.6
10.6
12.4
13.0
13.7

18.2
19.2
20.1
20.3
20.6

23.8
24.9
25.3
25.6
25.5

28.3
29.3
29.7
30.0
30.0

31.8
32.6
32.9
32.9
33.3

33.9
34.6
35.0
34.8
35.3

34.9
..
..
..
..

1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

3.2
3.6
4.9
5.4
5.9

13.5
13.9
14.4
15.0
15.1

20.0
20.6
20.8
21.8
22.4

25.3
25.9
26.1
27.3
28.6

29.8
30.0
30.3
31.8
33.3

33.2
33.2
33.6
34.8
36.5

35.1
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

6.2
5.6
5.8
5.7
6.0

16.0
15.4
15.9
16.0
16.1

23.2
22.8
23.4
23.4
24.0

29.0
28.6
29.7
29.2
30.0

33.8
33.5
34.6
34.0
34.4

37.1
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

6.0
5.9
6.4
6.3
6.3

16.1
16.2
16.4
16.5
16.9

23.8
24.0
24.0
24.2
24.9

30.0
30.2
30.3
30.3
30.9

34.6
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

6.8
7.0
7.1
7.5
7.4

17.6
18.5
18.9
18.9
19.0

25.6
27.2
27.8
27.6
27.4

31.4
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

8.0
7.9
8.0
8.4
7.9

19.9
19.6
19.6
20.1
18.6

28.0
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..

2000
2001

8.2
8.7

18.7
..

..
..

..
..

..
..

..
..

..
..

..
..

2002

8.3

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

2003

7.8

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

2004

6.7

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

2005

5.6

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Symbol:
.. not available

Source: Statistics New Zealand

71

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 3.10

Civil unions(1) by relationship type


200510
December
year

Same-sex
Female couples

Male couples

Opposite-sex(2)
Female + male
couples

Total

New Zealand resident civil unions(3)


2005(4)

105

98

46

249

2006

182

115

77

374

2007

150

103

63

316

2008

145

111

71

327

2009

147

97

68

312

2010

127

73

73

273

Overseas resident civil unions


2005(4)
2006

15

29

15

36

56
77

2007

35

32

10

2008

36

33

78

2009

21

27

10

58

2010

28

28

65

Civil unions registered in New Zealand


2005(4)

114

113

51

278

2006

197

151

82

430

2007

185

135

73

393

2008

181

144

80

405

2009

168

124

78

370

2010

155

101

82

338

1. Civil unions registered in New Zealand by date of registration.


2. Opposite-sex civil unions include a small number of transfers from marriage.
3. Civil unions where partner two is resident in New Zealand.
4. The first civil unions were celebrated on 29 April 2005.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

72

4 Deaths and life expectancy


Statistics on deaths record the number of deaths registered in New Zealand each year. Life
expectancy is an indicator of how long a person can expect to live on average given prevailing
mortality rates. Life tables produced by Statistics NZ include information about life expectancy,
and the probability of death and survival at various ages.
The following highlights are based on deaths registered in New Zealand:
There were 28,438 deaths registered in New Zealand in the year ended December 2010,
comprising 14,223 male and 14,215 female deaths.
The median age at death in 2010 was 77.0 years for males and 82.9 years for females.
During the 2010 year, the number of infant deaths (under one year of age) registered in
New Zealand totalled 325. Two decades earlier, 500 infant deaths were registered. (Infant
deaths exclude stillbirths.)
In 2010, 50 percent of all infant deaths occurred within the first week of life.
The infant mortality rate in 2010 was 5.1 infant deaths per 1,000 live births.
In 2010, there were 23,678 deaths of people belonging to the European ethnic group; 2,782
deaths of people belonging to the Mori ethnic group; 1,081 Pacific; 744 Asian; 83 Middle
Eastern, Latin American, and African (MELAA); and 215 in Other. People may belong to
more than one ethnic group and each death has been included in every ethnic group
stated.
A newborn girl can expect to live, on average, 82.2 years, and a newborn boy 78.0 years,
according to the New Zealand complete period life tables for 200507.
The difference between female and male life expectancy at birth narrowed from a peak of
6.4 years in 197577 to 4.1 years in 200507.
The 200507 period life tables indicate that life expectancy at birth for the Mori ethnic
group is 70.4 years for males and 75.1 years for females.
Figure 4

Five-yearly change in life expectancy at birth


Total population by sex

2.0

Years of life

195052 to 200507
Male

Female

1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5

195052 195557 196062 196567 197072 197577 198082 198587 199092 199597 200202
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
195557 196062 196567 197072 197577 198082 198587 199092 199597 200002 200507

Source: Statistics New Zealand

73

Demographic Trends: 2011

Deaths
There were 28,438 deaths registered in New Zealand during the year ended December 2010.
This compares with 28,964 in the December 2009 year, and 26,531 in 1990.
The age distribution of people dying has changed significantly over recent decades, with an
increasing proportion of deaths occurring in older age groups. This can be attributed to an ageing
population, increased life expectancy, and the dramatic decline in infant mortality (now 30 percent
of the rate 40 years ago). In the December 2010 year, three-quarters of the deceased were aged
67 years and over, with one-half aged 80 years and over. In contrast, only 5 percent of the
deceased were under 40 years of age. By comparison, in 1990, three-quarters of deaths were of
people aged 63 years and over, the median age at death was 75 years, and 9 percent of deaths
were of people aged under 40 years.

Ethnicity
A breakdown of deaths registered during the year ended December 2010 in broad ethnic groups
shows that 27,549 belonged to one ethnic group, 497 belonged to two ethnic groups, and 13
belonged to three or more ethnic groups. There were a further 379 deaths where ethnic group
was not stated.
Multi-ethnic deaths accounted for 1.8 percent of deaths in the year ended December 2010. The
small proportion (compared with 26 percent of births being multi-ethnic) partly reflects the ethnic
structure of the older population, which is made up largely of people who belong to one ethnic
group.

Death rates
The crude death rate for New Zealand was 6.5 deaths per 1,000 mean estimated resident
population in the December 2010 year, down from 7.9 per 1,000 in 1990. For the Mori
population, the crude death rate was 4.2 deaths per 1,000 in 2010. However, the crude death
rate is influenced by the age structure of the population being measured, and does not give an
accurate comparison of the mortality experience between populations or over time. The crude
death rate for Mori is lower than that for the total population because of the younger age
structure of the Mori population.
Life tables and standardised death rates are used to give a more accurate description of
mortality. For example, when differences in population composition are taken into account by
standardising for age, the standardised Mori death rate (6.3 per 1,000 in 2010) is higher than
the standardised death rate of the total population (3.8 per 1,000).

Period life tables and life expectancy


According to the New Zealand complete period life tables for 200507, a newborn girl can expect
to live 82.2 years on average, and a newborn boy 78.0 years. These levels represent longevity
gains since 200002 of 1.0 years for females and 1.7 years for males. Two-thirds of these gains
were due to the reduction in death rates among late working and retirement ages (6084 years).
Since 197577, life expectancy at birth has increased by 6.7 years for females and 9.0 years for
males. While differences in mortality between males and females still remain, their longevity gap
has narrowed. Newborn females in 200507 can expect to outlive newborn males by 4.1 years,
down from a peak of 6.4 years in 197577.
Mori life expectancy is significantly lower than that of non-Mori. Life expectancy at birth for
females of Mori ethnicity in 200507 was 75.1 years, while male Mori life expectancy was 70.4
years. The difference of about 8.2 years between Mori and non-Mori is slightly less than the
estimated difference of 8.5 years in 200002 and 9.1 years in 199597.

74

Demographic Trends: 2011

The 199597, 200002, and 200507 period life tables for Mori and non-Mori have been
derived using data from the new ethnic question on the birth and death registration forms
(introduced in September 1995), and therefore are not comparable with earlier life tables. Life
tables for other ethnicities, such as the broad Pacific and Asian ethnic groups, have not been
produced because of the small size of these ethnic populations, relatively few deaths, and the
general uncertainty associated with ethnic identification and measurement.
The latest abridged period life tables, produced for the total population only, indicate that the life
expectancy at birth was 82.7 years for females and 78.8 years for males for the period 200810.

Infant mortality
The New Zealand infant mortality rate (deaths of children under one year of age per 1,000 live
births) has fallen significantly over the last four decades. In the year ended December 2010, the
infant mortality rate was 5.1 infant deaths per 1,000 live births, down from 16.8 per 1,000 in 1970.
Over the same period, the neonatal mortality rate (deaths of babies aged less than four weeks
per 1,000 live births) fell from 10.3 per 1,000 to 3.2 per 1,000. In the December 2010 year, 34
percent of infant deaths occurred in the first 24 hours after birth, 50 percent within the first week
of life, and 63 percent within the first four weeks of life.

Cohort life tables and life expectancy


The cohort life tables track the deaths/survivors of each birth cohort (people born in the same
year) at each age over their lifetime. The cohort life tables indicate that life expectancy at birth
increased between the 1876 and 1936 birth cohorts, from 50.4 years to 71.3 years for males, and
from 54.0 years to 76.3 years for females. Both the level and rate of change in life expectancy at
birth are higher than implied by the period life tables, because of the progressive decline in
mortality with successive birth cohorts.
Life expectancy is the average length of life of a group of people from a given age. The death of
the last survivor of a birth cohort is therefore needed before life expectancy (at any age) can be
calculated. Some remaining survival and mortality experience has been projected at ages above
74 years to complete the life tables for birth cohorts up to 1936. For cohorts born after 1936,
other life table measures such as death rates at different ages and proportions dying by different
ages are still available.
The cohort life tables also indicate that the impact of war deaths on the mortality experience of
New Zealand males has been hugely significant. Without the direct impact of deaths in World War
I and II, life expectancy at birth would have been five years higher for males born in the mid1890s and three years higher for males born in the late-1910s.

Subnational life expectancy


Subnational mortality and longevity trends should be interpreted with caution. Death and
population numbers can fluctuate from period to period. In addition, the stated residence of the
deceased may not reflect the geographic area(s) where that person spent most of their life.
Although New Zealanders life expectancy at birth increased by 9.0 years for males and by 6.7
years for females between 197577 and 200507, there are some significant regional differences
in life expectancy. According to the 200507 abridged period life tables for regional council areas,
life expectancy at birth ranged from 73.8 to 79.4 years for males, and 78.1 to 83.2 for females.
The regional period life tables indicate that five regions have experienced both male and female
life expectancies at birth that are consistently above the New Zealand average over the last
decade: Auckland, Wellington, Tasman, Canterbury, and Otago. Conversely, life expectancy in
the Gisborne region was significantly below the national average, with both male and female life
expectancy being over four years lower than the New Zealand average in 200507. Other
regions with life expectancies consistently below the national average over the last decade were
Northland, Bay of Plenty, Hawkes Bay, Manawatu-Wanganui, West Coast, and Southland. Life
75

Demographic Trends: 2011

expectancies in the remaining regions (Waikato, Taranaki, Nelson, and Marlborough) varied
above and below the national average.
There are 40 territorial authority areas where death and population numbers are considered
sufficient to produce abridged period life tables for 200507. However, because of fluctuations in
death and populations numbers, these abridged period life tables should be interpreted with
caution.
The reasons for subnational differences in longevity and mortality are difficult to identify precisely,
and are probably due to a combination of interrelated factors, including the proportion of the
population who are Mori, the proportion of the population who smoke (or have smoked), the
proximity to health and hospital services, the degree of urbanisation, and socio-economic factors.

More information
The following information is available from the Statistics NZ website:
Births and Deaths Information releases
New Zealand Period Life Tables Information releases
Links to data and reports relating to deaths statistics
Links to data and reports relating to life expectancy.
Time-series data is available from the Infoshare database. Deaths and life expectancy data are
available from the following subject groups in the Population category:
Deaths VSD
Death Rates DMM
Demography Life Expectancy DLE.

76

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.01

Deaths and death rates


Total and Mori population
19612010
Total population
December
year

All deaths

Infant
deaths(1)

Crude death
rate(2)

21,782
22,081
22,416
22,861
22,976
23,778
23,007
24,464
24,161
24,840
24,309
24,801
25,312
25,261
25,114
25,457
25,961
24,669
25,340
26,676
25,150
25,532
25,991
25,378
27,480
27,045
27,419
27,408
27,042
26,531
26,389
27,115
27,100
26,953
27,813
28,255
27,471
26,206
28,122
26,660
27,825
28,065
28,010
28,419
27,034
28,245
28,522
29,188
28,964
28,438

1,490
1,331
1,269
1,193
1,174
1,064
1,102
1,164
1,057
1,040
1,066
988
985
922
904
766
770
703
653
650
592
587
633
597
560
592
554
620
592
500
494
427
421
401
384
407
377
305
317
346
296
300
277
324
295
300
317
322
308
325

8.98
8.89
8.84
8.83
8.72
8.86
8.43
8.88
8.69
8.81
8.49
8.51
8.50
8.30
8.10
8.13
8.26
7.85
8.08
8.48
7.97
8.03
8.07
7.80
8.40
8.25
8.30
8.26
8.12
7.89
7.55
7.67
7.58
7.44
7.57
7.57
7.26
6.87
7.33
6.91
7.16
7.10
6.95
6.95
6.54
6.75
6.74
6.83
6.71
6.51

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
1.
2.
3.
4.

Mori population

Standardised Infant mortality


All deaths
death rate(3)
rate(4)
8.97
8.94
8.94
9.01
8.90
9.02
8.58
9.02
8.83
8.92
8.55
8.57
8.61
8.47
8.21
8.15
8.19
7.67
7.74
8.02
7.33
7.28
7.26
6.95
7.30
7.03
6.97
6.83
6.60
6.32
5.98
5.99
5.84
5.65
5.68
5.63
5.33
4.96
5.14
4.79
4.79
4.69
4.57
4.49
4.17
4.19
4.14
4.10
3.96
3.76

22.79
20.47
19.67
19.15
19.55
17.73
18.06
18.74
16.95
16.76
16.54
15.63
16.22
15.54
15.96
13.90
14.21
13.78
12.49
12.86
11.65
11.75
12.54
11.56
10.81
11.21
10.03
10.77
10.19
8.31
8.25
7.22
7.16
7.00
6.66
7.11
6.54
5.51
5.56
6.11
5.30
5.55
4.93
5.58
5.11
5.07
4.95
5.00
4.92
5.09

1,385
1,224
1,198
1,168
1,217
1,291
1,222
1,324
1,330
1,399
1,421
1,347
1,380
1,273
1,333
1,320
1,416
1,215
1,306
1,339
1,290
1,318
1,326
1,263
1,272
1,225
1,205
1,258
1,351
1,395
..
..
..
..
..
2,626
2,549
2,447
2,596
2,533
2,507
2,550
2,623
2,665
2,613
2,666
2,742
2,818
2,938
2,782

Infant
deaths(1)

Crude death
rate(2)

386
297
265
239
234
220
240
225
181
210
222
158
149
149
120
118
111
119
120
128
102
113
122
124
99
94
100
94
118
109
..
..
..
..
..
182
168
115
130
123
124
110
106
116
109
116
121
126
129
121

8.27
6.98
6.57
6.17
6.20
6.38
5.88
6.21
6.10
6.26
6.20
5.70
5.69
5.13
5.25
5.10
5.37
4.52
4.77
4.83
4.61
4.66
4.63
4.36
4.34
4.13
3.98
4.08
4.31
4.37
..
..
..
..
..
4.96
4.72
4.43
4.61
4.41
4.28
4.29
4.35
4.36
4.23
4.27
4.33
4.38
4.50
4.19

Standardised Infant mortality


death rate(3)
rate(4)
15.91
14.72
15.29
14.98
14.25
15.56
13.35
15.42
15.02
15.06
16.05
14.03
15.12
13.35
13.45
12.79
13.06
10.80
10.98
11.22
11.18
11.37
10.92
9.92
10.51
9.02
8.20
8.48
8.51
8.81
..
..
..
..
..
10.49
9.64
9.00
9.30
8.84
8.27
8.06
8.06
7.78
7.41
7.25
7.07
6.99
6.98
6.28

49.68
39.03
32.99
30.33
30.09
28.41
30.02
27.82
22.18
25.63
26.54
20.08
20.18
21.34
17.70
22.03
22.40
18.09
18.03
19.94
15.44
18.18
19.45
18.38
15.30
14.43
14.32
13.89
16.94
15.69
..
..
..
..
..
11.52
10.31
7.55
8.12
7.76
7.83
7.40
6.77
7.13
6.63
6.69
6.46
6.69
7.16
6.56

Deaths under one year of age.


Per 1,000 mean estimated population.
The age and sex distribution of the mean estimated population for the year ended 31 December 1961 was taken as the standard.
Deaths of children under one year of age per 1,000 live births.

Note: Deaths data from 1991 onwards are based on deaths registered in New Zealand of people resident in New Zealand by date of registration. Before
1991, death data are based on deaths registered in New Zealand of people resident in New Zealand and people visiting from overseas by date of
registration.
Symbol:
.. not available

Source: Statistics New Zealand

77

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.02

Deaths by ethnic group


200610
Ethnic group
(1)

Total response

European

One ethnic group(4)

2008

2009

2010
23,678

22,735

22,836

24,036

23,805

2,666

2,742

2,818

2,938

2,782

Pacific

1,036

1,057

1,089

1,134

1,081

Asian
MELAA(2)

604

611

680

674

744

79

63

91

85

83

Other(3)

213

232

242

242

215

22,324

22,414

23,626

23,395

23,270

2,350

2,415

2,492

2,624

2,460

Pacific

940

951

983

1,011

935

Asian

543

544

625

611

659

66

55

80

72

70

Other

142

168

172

186

155

European/Mori

277

281

273

260

257

European/Pacific

36

37

45

52

69

European/Asian

18

29

19

32

29

10

European/Other

62

56

52

40

31

Mori/Pacific

24

28

31

35

39

Mori/Asian

Mori/Other

Pacific/Asian

29

26

15

16

28

Pacific/Other

Asian/Other

10

18

Other combinations of 2 ethnic groups

10

14

14

17

13

1,401

1,485

728

584

379

28,245

28,522

29,188

28,964

28,438

Mori

MELAA

European/MELAA

Three or more ethnic groups(6)


(7)

Not elsewhere included


All deaths
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.

2007

Mori

European

Two ethnic groups(5)

2006

Each death has been included in every ethnic group stated. For this reason, some deaths are counted more than once.
Middle Eastern, Latin American, and African.
'Other' includes New Zealander and other ethnicities not elsewhere included.
Includes deaths where only one ethnicity was stated or the ethnicities stated were all in the same broad group.
Includes deaths where the stated ethnic groups belonged to two different broad groups.
Includes deaths where the stated ethnic groups belonged to three or more broad groups.
Includes response unidentifiable, response out of scope, and not stated.

Note: Deaths data are based on deaths registered in New Zealand of New Zealand residents by date of registration.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

78

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.03

Life expectancy at selected ages (e x )


Total population by sex
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Exact age
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

Male (years of life)


0
1
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

67.2
68.3
64.9
60.1
55.3
50.7
46.2
41.6
37.0
32.4
27.9
23.7
19.7
16.1
12.8
10.0
7.6
5.5
3.9
2.6

68.0
68.9
65.4
60.6
55.8
51.1
46.6
41.9
37.3
32.7
28.1
23.8
19.8
16.1
12.9
10.1
7.7
5.7
4.1
2.9

68.4
69.2
65.5
60.7
55.9
51.2
46.5
41.8
37.1
32.5
28.0
23.7
19.7
16.0
12.8
9.9
7.5
5.5
3.9
2.6

68.2
68.7
65.0
60.1
55.3
50.6
46.0
41.3
36.7
32.1
27.5
23.3
19.3
15.7
12.6
9.8
7.5
5.6
4.1
3.0

68.5
68.8
65.1
60.2
55.4
50.8
46.2
41.5
36.8
32.1
27.6
23.3
19.4
15.7
12.6
9.8
7.4
5.5
4.0
2.9

69.0
69.2
65.5
60.6
55.7
51.2
46.6
41.9
37.2
32.6
28.1
23.8
19.8
16.1
12.8
10.0
7.6
5.7
3.9
2.8

70.4
70.3
66.5
61.6
56.7
52.1
47.5
42.9
38.1
33.5
28.9
24.5
20.4
16.6
13.3
10.4
7.9
5.9
4.3
3.0

71.1
71.0
67.1
62.2
57.4
52.8
48.2
43.6
38.9
34.2
29.6
25.1
21.0
17.1
13.7
10.7
8.2
6.1
4.5
3.3

72.9
72.5
68.7
63.8
58.9
54.3
49.8
45.1
40.4
35.8
31.1
26.6
22.4
18.4
14.8
11.6
8.9
6.6
5.0
3.6

74.4
73.9
70.1
65.1
60.2
55.6
51.0
46.3
41.6
36.9
32.2
27.7
23.3
19.3
15.6
12.2
9.3
6.9
4.9
3.5

76.3
75.8
71.9
67.0
62.0
57.3
52.6
47.9
43.2
38.5
33.8
29.2
24.8
20.6
16.7
13.1
10.0
7.4
5.2
3.6

78.0
77.5
73.6
68.6
63.7
58.9
54.2
49.5
44.7
40.0
35.3
30.7
26.3
22.0
18.0
14.2
10.9
8.0
5.6
3.9

77.1
76.8
73.0
68.1
63.2
58.3
53.5
48.7
43.9
39.1
34.4
29.8
25.5
21.3
17.4
13.8
10.6
7.8
5.6
3.8

78.7
78.3
74.4
69.5
64.5
59.7
54.8
50.0
45.1
40.4
35.6
31.1
26.7
22.5
18.5
14.8
11.4
8.4
6.1
4.2

79.7
79.2
75.3
70.3
65.4
60.6
55.7
50.9
46.0
41.2
36.5
31.8
27.4
23.1
19.1
15.3
11.8
8.7
6.2
4.3

81.1
80.5
76.6
71.7
66.8
61.9
57.0
52.1
47.3
42.4
37.7
33.0
28.4
24.1
20.0
16.1
12.4
9.2
6.5
4.4

82.2
81.5
77.6
72.7
67.7
62.8
58.0
53.0
48.2
43.4
38.6
33.9
29.3
24.9
20.6
16.6
12.9
9.5
6.6
4.4

5.9

5.3

4.8

4.1

Female (years of life)


0
1
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

71.3
72.1
68.6
63.8
58.9
54.2
49.4
44.7
40.0
35.4
30.8
26.5
22.4
18.4
14.8
11.4
8.5
6.2
4.2
2.8

73.0
73.5
69.9
65.1
60.2
55.4
50.6
45.8
41.0
36.3
31.7
27.3
23.1
19.1
15.3
11.9
8.9
6.4
4.6
3.1

73.8
74.2
70.5
65.6
60.7
55.9
51.0
46.2
41.4
36.7
32.1
27.7
23.4
19.3
15.5
11.9
8.9
6.4
4.5
3.1

74.3
74.5
70.8
65.9
61.0
56.1
51.2
46.4
41.6
36.9
32.3
27.9
23.6
19.6
15.8
12.4
9.3
6.7
4.7
3.3

74.6
74.7
71.0
66.1
61.2
56.3
51.5
46.7
41.9
37.2
32.6
28.1
23.9
19.8
15.9
12.4
9.3
6.7
4.7
3.3

75.5
75.4
71.6
66.7
61.8
57.0
52.2
47.4
42.6
37.8
33.2
28.8
24.5
20.4
16.6
13.0
9.9
7.3
5.0
3.4

76.4
76.3
72.5
67.5
62.6
57.8
53.0
48.1
43.3
38.6
33.9
29.5
25.1
21.0
17.1
13.6
10.5
7.7
5.5
3.8

Female minus male life expectancy at birth (years of life)


4.1

5.0

5.3

6.1

6.0

6.4

Source: Statistics New Zealand

79

6.1

6.0

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.04

Life expectancy at selected ages (e x )


Mori population by sex
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Exact age
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

Male (years of life)


0
1
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

54.0
57.7
55.4
51.0
46.4
42.2
38.3
34.2
30.3
26.4
22.5
18.9
15.7
12.8
10.5
8.4
6.5
4.8
3.4
2.3

57.2
60.3
57.5
53.1
48.5
44.1
39.8
35.6
31.4
27.3
23.2
19.4
16.1
13.0
10.7
8.8
7.1
5.4
3.9
2.7

59.0
61.1
58.0
53.4
48.7
44.2
39.8
35.5
31.3
27.1
23.1
19.6
16.2
13.0
10.7
8.8
7.0
5.1
3.5
2.3

61.4
62.6
59.2
54.4
49.6
45.1
40.7
36.1
31.7
27.5
23.4
19.4
15.8
12.9
10.6
8.3
6.1
4.5
3.4
2.6

61.0
61.5
58.0
53.3
48.5
44.0
39.6
35.1
30.8
26.6
22.6
18.9
15.6
13.0
10.7
8.7
6.9
5.0
3.5
2.5

63.3
63.6
59.9
55.1
50.3
45.7
41.2
36.7
32.2
27.8
23.7
20.0
16.6
13.5
11.0
9.0
7.1
5.5
4.2
2.9

65.1
65.3
61.5
56.6
51.7
47.1
42.7
38.1
33.5
29.0
24.8
20.7
17.1
14.0
11.3
9.1
7.2
5.5
3.9
2.8

67.4
67.5
63.7
58.8
54.0
49.4
44.8
40.2
35.5
30.9
26.6
22.5
18.7
15.2
12.3
9.9
7.7
5.8
4.2
3.0

68.0
67.9
64.1
59.2
54.3
49.7
45.2
40.6
35.9
31.4
27.0
22.9
19.0
15.6
12.7
10.2
8.0
6.1
4.6
3.4

66.6
66.3
62.5
57.6
52.7
48.1
43.7
39.2
34.7
30.1
25.6
21.5
17.8
14.5
11.7
9.5
7.3
5.2
3.6
2.6

69.0
68.6
64.7
59.8
54.9
50.2
45.6
40.9
36.3
31.7
27.3
23.0
19.2
15.7
12.7
10.0
7.8
5.9
4.2
2.9

70.4
69.9
66.0
61.1
56.2
51.5
46.9
42.3
37.7
33.2
28.8
24.6
20.6
17.0
13.8
11.0
8.4
6.2
4.5
3.3

72.3
72.3
68.5
63.6
58.6
53.8
49.0
44.1
39.4
34.7
30.2
25.9
21.9
18.3
15.1
12.2
9.6
7.2
5.1
3.5

73.0
72.7
68.8
63.9
58.9
54.1
49.2
44.4
39.6
34.9
30.4
26.1
22.2
18.7
15.4
12.6
10.0
7.6
5.6
4.0

71.3
71.0
67.2
62.2
57.3
52.5
47.8
43.0
38.3
33.6
29.1
24.8
20.9
17.2
14.1
11.4
9.1
6.9
4.9
3.4

73.2
72.7
68.8
63.9
59.0
54.1
49.3
44.4
39.7
35.0
30.4
26.0
22.0
18.3
15.1
12.3
9.8
7.3
5.2
3.6

75.1
74.5
70.7
65.7
60.8
56.0
51.2
46.3
41.6
36.9
32.3
27.8
23.6
19.6
16.1
13.0
10.2
7.7
5.6
3.9

5.0

4.7

4.2

4.7

Female (years of life)


0
1
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

55.9
59.1
56.6
52.1
47.6
43.3
39.2
35.1
30.9
27.0
23.3
20.1
17.0
14.4
12.2
10.0
7.8
5.7
4.0
2.7

58.7
60.8
57.9
53.2
48.7
44.1
39.7
35.2
30.8
26.6
22.7
19.3
16.2
13.4
11.1
9.1
7.4
5.7
4.2
2.8

61.4
62.8
59.5
54.7
49.9
45.2
40.6
36.0
31.6
27.4
23.5
19.8
16.7
14.1
11.8
9.5
7.4
5.9
4.5
3.2

64.8
65.4
62.0
57.1
52.3
47.5
42.7
38.1
33.5
29.1
24.9
21.0
17.8
15.1
12.5
10.2
8.1
6.4
5.0
3.8

65.0
65.6
62.0
57.1
52.2
47.5
42.8
38.1
33.5
29.2
25.1
21.1
17.6
14.6
12.1
9.9
7.9
5.9
4.3
3.1

67.7
67.8
64.1
59.2
54.3
49.6
44.9
40.1
35.4
30.9
26.7
22.8
19.4
16.2
13.4
11.1
9.0
6.9
4.7
3.0

69.5
69.7
65.9
61.0
56.1
51.3
46.5
41.7
37.1
32.5
28.1
24.0
20.3
16.8
13.9
11.4
9.1
7.0
5.0
3.4

Female minus male life expectancy at birth (years of life)


1.8

1.5

2.3

3.3

4.0

4.4

4.4

4.9

Note: Comparisons over time and between the Mori and total populations should be interpreted with caution because of changes in ethnic concept
and data sources. Life tables for the Mori population from 199597 have been constructed using data derived from birth and death registration forms
introduced in 1995, and are not comparable with those from earlier years.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

80

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.05

Life expectancy at birth (e 0 ) for OECD countries


By sex
Country
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Chile
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Japan
Korea
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States

Period
2009
2009
2009
2007
2010
2009
2009
2009
2009
2010
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2008
2009
2009
2009
2010
2009
200810
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2010
2009
2009
2009
2009

Years of life
Male

Female

79.3
77.6
77.3
78.3
75.8
74.2
76.9
69.8
76.6
78.1
77.8
77.8
70.0
79.7
77.4
79.7
79.1
79.6
76.8
78.1
73.1
78.5
78.8
78.7
71.5
76.5
71.3
75.8
78.6
79.5
79.9
71.5
78.3
75.7

83.9
83.2
82.8
83.0
81.3
80.5
81.1
80.1
83.5
84.8
82.8
82.7
77.9
83.3
82.5
83.5
84.5
86.4
83.8
83.3
77.8
82.7
82.7
83.2
80.0
82.6
78.7
82.3
84.9
83.5
84.6
76.1
82.5
80.6

Source: OECD Health Data 2011 (June 2011 edition) and New Zealand abridged period life
tables 200810.

81

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.06

Mortality rates by age and sex (mx)


Total population
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Age group
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

929
59
28
35
128
193
152
138
175
219
360
610
1,038
1,678
2,781
4,430
7,054
11,458
16,752
27,450

726
44
21
25
117
156
140
132
142
188
304
526
894
1,485
2,434
3,937
6,303
10,251
16,718
28,901

611
40
16
26
87
115
120
122
137
180
266
420
696
1,175
1,989
3,314
5,415
9,014
15,271
27,924

566
31
14
21
73
107
98
97
129
177
249
384
609
978
1,594
2,665
4,521
7,689
13,864
25,553

672
38
22
18
51
56
53
70
100
155
265
434
652
978
1,537
2,525
4,093
7,335
12,177
23,615

633
36
16
21
51
57
52
62
86
130
219
372
590
904
1,402
2,255
3,772
6,679
11,902
23,481

520
34
15
16
35
43
46
57
74
115
189
302
492
794
1,228
1,934
3,308
5,880
10,729
22,846

450
29
11
14
38
38
32
53
76
118
176
265
414
653
1,046
1,738
2,937
5,371
10,244
22,536

Male (deaths per 100,000 in age group)


0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

3,193
193
82
79
156
192
174
199
262
341
567
950
1,577
2,424
3,826
5,780
9,105
14,124
22,515
38,576

2,820
165
67
60
131
185
162
178
215
310
515
905
1,498
2,448
3,833
5,916
9,078
13,835
21,105
35,027

2,522
138
54
54
112
147
137
157
213
322
555
906
1,488
2,482
3,818
5,904
9,183
14,318
22,815
38,177

2,152
117
50
54
129
161
144
175
228
333
579
976
1,643
2,586
4,001
6,265
9,554
14,392
21,268
33,056

1,836
108
46
47
149
163
135
154
222
339
552
947
1,590
2,588
4,030
6,112
9,580
14,508
22,213
34,100

1,711
95
47
45
167
187
137
141
201
323
562
918
1,487
2,420
3,772
6,077
9,094
13,558
22,709
35,104

1,341
79
35
33
134
176
147
138
175
275
473
774
1,369
2,233
3,561
5,534
8,689
13,192
20,385
33,153

1,185
66
31
40
152
181
154
141
163
243
410
765
1,228
2,030
3,291
5,278
8,271
12,706
18,924
30,366

Female (deaths per 100,000 in age group)


0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

2,594
166
56
50
83
101
119
140
195
284
467
700
1,064
1,637
2,520
4,194
7,218
11,853
19,879
36,028

2,124
145
41
49
60
70
81
102
169
242
388
625
909
1,449
2,375
3,902
6,670
11,279
18,219
32,497

1,915
107
40
35
51
58
70
103
159
227
358
550
870
1,385
2,173
3,773
6,655
11,265
18,563
32,341

1,569
98
30
31
47
57
72
91
138
243
381
590
884
1,400
2,213
3,575
6,098
10,507
17,910
30,053

1,473
88
34
31
59
60
64
95
149
239
377
559
836
1,318
2,111
3,513
6,036
10,315
17,839
30,382

1,243
78
32
32
60
64
68
88
131
243
367
535
813
1,276
1,942
3,361
5,421
9,076
15,686
29,565

Source: Statistics New Zealand

82

1,091
64
24
25
62
68
60
78
113
194
353
489
784
1,162
1,975
3,055
4,973
8,568
13,915
26,329

972
53
27
25
54
62
64
75
108
161
287
471
736
1,141
1,768
2,945
4,918
8,158
13,806
26,051

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.07

Mortality rates by age and sex (mx)


Mori population
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Age group
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

1,422
75
30
40
138
211
198
171
254
447
683
1,101
1,853
2,944
4,386
6,242
8,780
13,134
18,480
29,052

1,074
68
26
45
183
235
241
267
280
386
761
1,332
2,061
3,401
5,312
6,650
8,992
15,663
24,922
39,113

843
56
24
27
115
160
173
199
245
361
629
1,092
1,780
2,748
4,145
6,256
9,032
12,855
20,877
34,518

759
53
22
26
115
168
158
205
293
403
583
918
1,499
2,349
3,495
5,069
7,632
12,272
18,911
30,214

927
47
25
20
55
61
69
113
158
276
537
915
1,411
2,091
3,015
4,273
6,031
9,140
13,886
25,118

971
57
21
36
79
89
97
130
184
305
558
933
1,451
2,342
3,702
5,253
7,099
10,085
16,456
29,225

730
43
19
19
48
64
81
117
157
246
468
815
1,298
2,122
3,314
4,478
5,911
9,107
15,412
27,618

651
44
18
26
63
58
69
111
161
226
351
595
1,013
1,663
2,588
3,797
5,537
8,787
13,983
25,810

Male (deaths per 100,000 in age group)


0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

8,556
759
214
170
366
523
543
639
802
926
1,283
2,101
3,017
4,586
6,192
8,277
11,703
17,435
26,653
42,585

7,097
513
225
148
259
324
412
516
593
714
1,158
1,882
2,671
4,570
6,354
8,213
10,457
14,700
22,430
37,574

5,141
377
128
116
211
301
378
451
583
804
1,337
1,857
2,488
4,476
6,498
7,918
10,443
15,643
25,209
43,029

3,431
244
96
80
208
266
236
348
512
700
989
1,590
2,907
4,633
5,761
7,735
12,629
19,334
27,179
38,200

2,550
208
84
84
218
306
289
372
557
831
1,293
2,016
3,265
4,675
6,166
8,083
10,533
16,064
25,972
40,717

2,007
118
69
54
171
267
256
240
418
732
1,168
1,781
2,598
3,962
6,142
7,544
10,813
15,200
20,270
34,115

1,857
93
41
42
161
230
219
236
324
543
880
1,489
2,433
3,642
5,358
7,675
10,322
14,595
22,632
35,792

1,620
75
33
50
156
189
166
177
256
444
743
1,168
1,865
3,074
4,575
6,365
9,207
13,726
20,510
32,988

Female (deaths per 100,000 in age group)


0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

7,488
656
164
215
312
445
485
500
736
1,056
1,614
2,125
3,034
4,146
5,085
6,285
8,704
13,436
21,765
37,557

5,321
461
119
171
202
253
281
352
543
945
1,503
2,170
2,955
4,412
6,046
7,875
10,203
13,755
20,377
35,154

3,963
264
81
78
140
179
211
313
582
855
1,220
2,045
3,169
4,158
5,067
6,968
10,313
13,991
18,872
30,939

2,512
210
48
59
88
117
189
234
363
579
1,010
1,881
2,721
3,472
4,813
6,345
9,169
12,459
16,932
26,027

2,500
154
45
46
121
124
156
228
435
648
909
1,538
2,468
3,810
4,993
6,685
8,886
13,103
20,163
31,847

1,488
127
40
38
102
114
107
171
318
536
889
1,495
2,105
2,970
4,393
5,755
7,162
9,692
17,239
33,486

1,746
75
30
33
74
85
101
160
240
389
711
1,172
1,699
2,654
3,992
5,392
6,990
10,025
16,333
29,207

1,358
56
31
28
57
66
74
102
174
318
522
808
1,432
2,202
3,088
4,338
6,157
9,457
15,649
28,523

Note: Comparisons over time and between the Mori and total populations should be interpreted with caution because of changes in ethnic concept
and data sources. Life tables for the Mori population from 199597 have been constructed using data derived from birth and death registration forms
introduced in 1995, and are not comparable with those from earlier years.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

83

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.08

Ratio of male to female mortality rates (mx)


Total and Mori populations
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Age group
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

1.2
1.2
1.5
1.3
2.2
2.6
2.5
1.8
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.6
1.7
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.5
1.3

1.2
1.3
1.1
1.6
2.8
2.9
2.4
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.8
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.2

1.4
1.6
1.2
2.0
2.5
3.4
2.9
2.0
1.8
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.2

1.1
1.2
1.3
1.2
2.3
2.7
2.7
2.1
1.7
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.0
1.6
2.5
2.7
2.6
2.1
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.2

1.3
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.9
2.8
3.1
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.1

1.1
1.2
1.4
1.3
2.2
2.7
2.2
1.5
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.2

1.2
1.3
1.1
1.8
2.7
2.9
2.2
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.2

1.5
1.6
1.2
2.0
2.5
3.4
2.9
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2

1.1
1.2
1.2
1.2
2.3
2.6
2.5
2.1
1.5
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.6
1.5
1.3

1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
2.4
2.5
2.1
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.0
1.8
2.9
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.2

Total
0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

1.2
1.2
1.5
1.6
1.9
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.1

1.3
1.1
1.7
1.2
2.2
2.6
2.0
1.7
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.1

1.3
1.3
1.3
1.5
2.2
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.3
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2

1.4
1.2
1.7
1.7
2.7
2.8
2.0
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.1

1.2
1.2
1.3
1.5
2.5
2.7
2.1
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.0
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.1

1.4
1.2
1.5
1.4
2.8
2.9
2.0
1.6
1.5
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.2
Mori

0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

1.1
1.2
1.3
0.8
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.1
0.9
0.8
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1

1.3
1.1
1.9
0.9
1.3
1.3
1.5
1.5
1.1
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1

1.3
1.4
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.8
1.4
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.8
1.1
1.3
1.1
1.0
1.1
1.3
1.4

1.4
1.2
2.0
1.3
2.4
2.3
1.2
1.5
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
1.1
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.5

1.0
1.4
1.9
1.8
1.8
2.5
1.9
1.6
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3

1.3
0.9
1.7
1.4
1.7
2.3
2.4
1.4
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.5
1.6
1.2
1.0

Note: Comparisons over time and between the Mori and total populations should be interpreted with caution because of changes in ethnic concept
and data sources. Life tables for the Mori population from 199597 have been constructed using data derived from birth and death registration forms
introduced in 1995, and are not comparable with those from earlier years.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

84

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.09

Ratio of Mori to non-Mori mortality rates (mx)


By age and sex
New Zealand complete period life tables, 195052 to 200507
Age group
(years)

195052

195557

196062

196567

197072

197577

198082

198587

199092

199597

200002

200507

1.5
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1

1.4
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.6
2.0
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1

1.9
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.4
1.3
1.5
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1

1.8
1.9
1.3
2.4
1.8
1.7
2.0
2.4
2.3
2.4
2.9
3.0
2.7
2.6
2.3
1.7
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.4

1.6
1.7
1.7
1.1
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.9
2.0
2.3
2.8
3.1
3.0
2.6
2.3
2.0
1.7
1.4
1.4
1.2

1.6
2.2
2.0
1.4
1.7
1.8
2.0
2.5
2.8
2.9
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.4
2.0
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.2

1.8
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.3
1.7
2.2
2.4
2.2
2.2
2.6
2.3
2.4
2.1
1.8
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.1

1.5
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.7
2.1
2.0
1.8
2.1
2.0
1.8
1.5
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.1

1.6
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.2
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.3
1.1
1.1

1.9
2.0
1.6
2.1
1.8
1.9
2.2
2.6
2.7
2.9
3.1
2.9
2.9
3.0
2.9
2.5
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.2

1.7
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.6
1.7
2.1
2.6
2.6
2.6
3.0
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.1
2.5
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2

1.8
2.1
1.7
2.5
2.2
1.6
2.6
2.9
2.4
2.2
2.3
2.6
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.4
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.2

Male
0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

3.4
5.7
3.2
2.5
2.7
3.2
3.6
3.6
3.4
2.9
2.4
2.3
2.0
1.9
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.1

3.1
4.1
4.4
2.8
2.2
1.9
2.9
3.3
3.0
2.4
2.4
2.2
1.8
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1

2.4
3.5
2.8
2.5
2.1
2.3
3.3
3.3
3.0
2.7
2.6
2.1
1.7
1.8
1.7
1.4
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1

1.7
2.5
2.2
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.7
2.2
2.4
2.2
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.5
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.2

1.5
2.2
2.1
2.0
1.5
2.0
2.4
2.8
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.6
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.3
1.6
1.3
1.0
1.5
2.0
1.8
2.3
2.5
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.2
1.2
1.1
0.9
1.0
Female

0
14
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

3.7
5.7
3.8
7.0
5.2
6.0
5.0
4.1
4.3
4.1
3.8
3.2
3.0
2.6
2.1
1.5
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.0

3.0
4.2
3.7
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.3
4.0
3.6
4.4
4.3
3.7
3.5
3.2
2.6
2.0
1.5
1.2
1.1
1.1

2.4
3.0
2.3
2.5
3.3
3.9
3.7
3.6
4.3
4.3
3.8
4.1
3.9
3.1
2.4
1.9
1.6
1.2
1.0
1.0

1.8
2.6
1.8
2.1
2.0
2.3
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.6
2.9
3.5
3.3
2.6
2.2
1.8
1.5
1.2
0.9
0.9

1.9
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.3
2.3
2.8
2.7
3.5
3.1
2.6
3.0
3.1
3.0
2.4
1.9
1.5
1.3
1.1
1.0

1.2
1.7
1.3
1.2
1.8
2.0
1.7
2.1
2.7
2.5
2.7
3.1
2.8
2.4
2.3
1.7
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.1

Note: Comparisons over time and between the Mori and total populations should be interpreted with caution because of changes in ethnic concept
and data sources. Life tables for the Mori population from 199597 have been constructed using data derived from birth and death registration forms
introduced in 1995, and are not comparable with those from earlier years.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

85

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.10

Life expectancy at birth (e0) and age 65 (e65)


Regional council areas by sex
Abridged period life tables, 199597 to 200507
Life expectancy at birth
Regional council area

Male

(1)

Life expectancy at age 65

Female

Female Male

Male

Female

Female Male

199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507
Years of life

Northland

72.8

74.0

76.3

78.6

80.1

81.2

5.8

6.1

4.9

15.3

15.7

17.6

18.8

19.8

20.5

3.5

4.1

2.9

Auckland

75.2

77.5

79.4

80.2

82.1

83.2

5.0

4.6

3.8

16.1

17.4

18.9

19.4

20.8

21.4

3.3

3.4

2.5

Waikato

74.3

75.9

77.2

80.0

81.0

81.8

5.7

5.1

4.7

15.7

16.7

17.8

19.8

20.1

20.7

4.1

3.4

2.9

Bay of Plenty

73.0

75.4

77.1

79.2

80.5

81.9

6.2

5.2

4.8

15.3

16.4

17.8

19.1

20.2

20.8

3.9

3.8

3.0

Gisborne

70.7

72.6

73.8

76.4

78.9

78.1

5.7

6.3

4.2

13.8

14.6

15.8

17.5

18.7

18.4

3.7

4.1

2.6

Hawke's Bay

73.3

75.4

76.3

78.9

79.8

80.7

5.6

4.4

4.4

15.3

16.6

17.3

19.1

19.3

19.7

3.8

2.7

2.3

Taranaki

74.9

75.9

77.2

80.3

80.6

81.5

5.4

4.6

4.3

16.1

16.9

17.5

19.9

19.8

20.3

3.8

3.0

2.7

Manawatu-Wanganui

73.8

75.2

76.5

79.0

79.9

81.4

5.3

4.7

4.9

15.1

16.2

17.4

18.9

19.5

20.3

3.7

3.3

2.9

Wellington

74.8

76.9

78.9

79.9

81.6

83.0

5.2

4.8

4.1

15.6

16.8

18.4

19.0

20.1

21.2

3.4

3.3

2.8

Tasman

74.8

77.2

78.9

80.6

82.0

82.5

5.8

4.8

3.5

15.8

17.1

18.7

18.9

20.9

20.6

3.2

3.8

2.0

Nelson

75.8

76.1

78.9

79.4

81.4

82.3

3.6

5.4

3.4

16.5

17.1

18.5

18.6

20.7

20.7

2.2

3.6

2.2

Marlborough

74.4

76.8

78.1

79.6

80.6

82.1

5.2

3.8

4.0

15.2

16.8

18.0

18.9

19.5

20.3

3.8

2.6

2.3

West Coast

72.3

74.2

76.9

78.4

81.4

81.6

6.0

7.1

4.7

14.1

15.2

17.3

18.1

20.0

20.8

4.0

4.7

3.5

Canterbury

75.0

77.0

79.0

80.4

82.2

82.6

5.4

5.1

3.6

15.6

17.1

18.4

19.3

20.6

20.8

3.7

3.5

2.4

Otago

74.7

76.8

78.7

80.4

81.7

82.7

5.7

4.8

4.0

15.5

16.7

18.1

19.6

20.0

21.0

4.1

3.3

2.8

Southland

73.3

74.5

75.9

79.0

80.1

81.9

5.7

5.6

5.9

14.4

15.5

17.0

18.7

19.0

20.5

4.3

3.4

3.6

North Island regions

74.4

76.4

78.1

79.7

81.2

82.4

5.3

4.8

4.3

15.7

16.8

18.2

19.2

20.2

20.9

3.6

3.4

2.7

South Island regions

74.7

76.6

78.6

80.2

81.7

82.5

5.5

5.1

3.9

15.5

16.8

18.2

19.2

20.2

20.8

3.8

3.5

2.6

New Zealand(2)(3)

74.4

76.5

78.2

79.8

81.4

82.4

5.4

4.9

4.2

15.6

16.8

18.2

19.2

20.2

20.9

3.6

3.4

2.7

1. Regional council boundaries at 30 June 2006.


2. Data from abridged period life tables. These may differ to data from complete period life tables.
3. Comprises North Island regions, South Island regions, and areas not included in a region (eg Chatham Islands Territory).

Source: Statistics New Zealand

86

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.11

Life expectancy at birth (e0) and age 65 (e65)


Selected territorial authority areas by sex
Abridged period life tables, 199597 to 200507
Life expectancy at birth
Territorial authority area

Male

(1)

Life expectancy at age 65

Female

Female Male

Male

Female

Female Male

199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507
Years of life

Far North district

71.8

73.3

75.5

77.4

80.2

80.0

5.6

6.9

4.5

14.8

15.4

17.3

18.4

19.9

19.7

3.6

4.5

2.4

Whangarei district

73.5

74.8

77.3

79.2

80.3

81.6

5.7

5.5

4.3

15.6

16.1

18.1

18.9

20.0

20.9

3.3

3.9

2.8

Rodney district

76.0

78.5

80.1

80.7

82.5

85.1

4.8

4.0

5.0

15.9

17.7

19.8

19.6

21.3

22.6

3.6

3.6

2.8

North Shore city

76.9

79.1

81.6

81.6

83.6

85.1

4.7

4.5

3.5

16.6

18.2

19.7

20.2

21.4

22.3

3.5

3.3

2.7

Waitakere city

74.6

77.7

79.6

80.1

81.7

82.6

5.5

4.0

3.0

15.9

17.8

19.0

19.8

20.5

21.1

3.8

2.7

2.1

Auckland city

74.8

77.7

79.6

80.1

82.4

83.0

5.3

4.8

3.5

15.7

17.3

18.6

19.1

20.8

21.0

3.4

3.4

2.4

Manukau city

75.0

76.2

78.0

79.6

81.5

82.4

4.6

5.2

4.3

16.3

16.9

18.4

19.3

20.7

21.1

3.1

3.8

2.8

Papakura district

73.3

76.2

75.2

79.3

79.8

80.8

6.0

3.6

5.6

15.3

16.7

17.3

18.9

19.6

20.1

3.6

2.9

2.8

Franklin district

74.4

77.0

78.0

79.3

80.7

84.1

4.9

3.6

6.1

15.9

17.0

18.2

19.7

20.3

22.5

3.8

3.3

4.4

Thames-Coromandel district

74.5

77.0

75.8

80.9

82.9

83.5

6.4

5.9

7.7

15.8

16.8

17.4

20.1

20.6

21.4

4.3

3.8

4.1

Waikato district

..

74.5

75.6

..

78.6

80.7

..

4.2

5.2

..

15.5

16.9

..

18.3

19.7

..

2.7

2.8

Matamata-Piako district

74.6

75.9

77.5

81.2

81.6

81.6

6.6

5.6

4.1

16.1

16.9

18.5

20.2

20.9

21.1

4.1

4.0

2.5

Hamilton city

74.7

76.7

77.5

80.2

81.9

82.0

5.5

5.2

4.4

15.8

17.0

17.8

19.8

20.8

20.8

3.9

3.8

3.0

Waipa district

74.1

76.1

78.6

78.9

80.4

83.7

4.8

4.3

5.1

15.1

16.7

18.4

19.4

19.5

21.2

4.3

2.9

2.8

Taupo district

72.9

75.2

77.8

80.0

80.2

81.0

7.1

5.0

3.2

15.3

16.6

18.8

19.7

20.1

19.7

4.4

3.4

0.9

Western Bay of Plenty district

73.4

75.7

78.6

80.8

81.9

82.8

7.4

6.2

4.2

15.9

16.8

19.1

19.8

20.7

21.2

3.9

3.9

2.1

Tauranga city

75.0

76.7

78.8

80.4

82.5

83.3

5.4

5.8

4.5

15.9

17.3

18.4

20.1

21.2

21.5

4.2

4.0

3.1

Rotorua district

71.7

74.0

75.6

78.1

78.5

80.1

6.5

4.5

4.6

14.2

15.3

16.8

18.2

19.0

19.7

4.0

3.7

2.9

Whakatane district

72.5

74.4

74.1

76.8

78.2

80.1

4.3

3.9

6.0

15.2

15.4

16.6

17.9

19.0

20.3

2.7

3.5

3.7

Gisborne district

70.7

72.6

73.8

76.4

78.9

78.0

5.7

6.3

4.2

13.8

14.6

15.8

17.5

18.7

18.4

3.7

4.1

2.6

Hastings district

73.5

75.9

75.8

78.5

80.5

80.6

5.1

4.6

4.7

15.5

16.6

17.2

18.7

19.7

20.1

3.2

3.0

2.8

Napier city

73.4

75.5

77.4

79.7

80.1

80.3

6.3

4.6

2.9

15.0

16.6

17.7

19.9

19.4

18.8

4.8

2.8

1.1

New Plymouth district

75.2

76.5

77.9

80.7

81.0

81.5

5.5

4.5

3.6

15.9

17.3

18.2

19.9

20.0

20.3

4.0

2.7

2.1

Wanganui district

72.5

74.3

75.0

78.4

78.5

80.9

5.9

4.2

5.9

14.9

16.1

16.3

18.5

19.2

20.1

3.6

3.1

3.8

Palmerston North city

75.5

77.5

77.1

79.7

81.7

82.2

4.2

4.2

5.1

16.0

17.3

17.5

19.2

20.3

20.7

3.2

3.0

3.1

Horowhenua district

72.0

73.4

76.0

77.2

77.8

80.1

5.1

4.5

4.0

14.1

14.7

16.9

17.9

18.2

20.4

3.7

3.5

3.5

Kapiti Coast district

74.8

77.6

78.8

81.6

82.3

84.3

6.8

4.6

5.5

15.1

17.5

19.1

20.3

20.9

22.5

5.2

3.5

3.3

Porirua city

72.2

73.2

76.8

77.2

79.7

80.1

5.1

6.6

3.3

14.5

15.1

17.5

17.1

18.9

19.2

2.6

3.8

1.8

Upper Hutt city

74.4

76.9

78.5

78.4

80.2

83.1

4.0

3.3

4.6

14.8

16.6

18.5

17.5

18.7

21.3

2.7

2.1

2.9

Lower Hutt city

74.5

76.3

77.7

78.9

80.9

81.6

4.3

4.7

3.8

15.7

16.5

17.9

18.3

19.9

20.2

2.6

3.5

2.4

Wellington city

75.4

78.0

80.1

81.2

82.5

83.7

5.7

4.5

3.6

15.7

17.2

18.6

19.6

20.1

21.4

3.9

2.9

2.8

Masterton district

73.7

75.4

77.0

79.0

80.6

81.9

5.3

5.2

5.0

15.1

15.9

17.6

18.4

20.0

20.7

3.2

4.1

3.1

87

Demographic Trends: 2011


Table 4.11

Life expectancy at birth (e0) and age 65 (e65)


Selected territorial authority areas by sex
Abridged period life tables, 199597 to 200507
Life expectancy at birth
Territorial authority area

Life expectancy at age 65

Female

Male

(1)

Female Male

Male

Female

Female Male

199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507 199597 200002 200507
Years of life

Tasman district

74.8

77.2

78.9

80.6

82.0

82.5

5.8

4.8

3.5

15.8

17.1

18.7

18.9

20.9

20.6

3.2

3.8

2.0

Nelson city

75.8

76.1

78.9

79.4

81.4

82.3

3.6

5.4

3.4

16.5

17.1

18.5

18.6

20.7

20.7

2.2

3.6

2.2

Marlborough district

74.4

76.8

78.1

79.6

80.6

82.1

5.2

3.8

4.0

15.2

16.8

18.0

18.9

19.5

20.3

3.8

2.6

2.3

Waimakariri district

75.9

78.5

80.3

80.2

83.8

83.6

4.3

5.3

3.3

16.3

18.2

19.4

19.3

22.1

21.9

3.0

3.9

2.5

Christchurch city

74.8

77.1

79.0

80.2

82.0

82.4

5.4

4.9

3.5

15.6

17.0

18.2

19.3

20.4

20.6

3.7

3.4

2.4

Timaru district

74.4

75.9

77.4

80.2

80.6

82.4

5.8

4.8

5.0

15.0

16.6

17.9

18.6

19.6

20.5

3.6

3.0

2.6

Dunedin city

74.3

76.6

78.1

79.9

81.3

81.9

5.7

4.7

3.8

15.2

16.5

17.8

19.2

19.7

20.5

4.0

3.2

2.7

Invercargill city

73.5

73.2

75.2

78.4

79.2

80.8

5.0

6.0

5.7

14.5

14.5

15.9

18.3

18.1

19.7

3.7

3.6

3.7

1. Territorial authority boundaries at 30 June 2006.


Note: There are 40 territorial authority areas where death and population numbers are considered sufficient to produce reliable abridged period life tables for 200002 and 200507, and 39 territorial authority areas for 199597.
Nevertheless, because of fluctuations in death and population numbers, these abridged period life tables should be interpreted with caution.
Symbol:
.. not available

Source: Statistics New Zealand

88

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 4.12

Life expectancy at selected ages (ex)


Total population by sex
New Zealand complete cohort life tables, 18761936
Male life expectancy at exact age (years)
Year of birth

15

45

Female life expectancy at exact age (years)


65

15

45

65

Years of life
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880

50.4
51.1
51.0
50.7
52.2

57.8
57.9
58.0
58.3
59.0

50.8
50.8
50.6
50.7
51.0

27.7
27.7
27.5
27.6
27.7

12.9
13.0
13.0
13.0
13.1

54.0
54.5
55.1
54.6
56.3

60.9
60.8
61.4
61.5
62.5

53.6
53.7
54.0
54.0
54.4

30.3
30.3
30.4
30.5
30.7

15.1
15.0
15.1
15.3
15.4

1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890

52.0
52.1
52.2
53.1
52.4
52.1
52.5
53.4
52.9
52.0

58.8
58.8
59.0
59.1
59.0
58.8
58.5
58.7
58.3
57.8

50.8
50.5
50.5
50.4
50.2
49.8
49.3
49.2
49.0
48.4

27.7
27.6
27.7
27.7
27.7
27.7
27.5
27.6
27.7
27.7

13.1
13.1
13.0
13.0
12.9
12.9
12.8
12.9
12.9
12.9

56.2
56.3
56.6
58.1
57.3
57.5
59.2
59.8
59.1
59.1

62.4
62.7
63.2
63.8
63.8
64.1
64.8
64.9
64.7
65.0

54.5
54.6
54.8
55.2
55.3
55.4
55.8
55.8
55.8
56.1

30.8
30.8
30.8
31.1
31.3
31.4
31.6
31.5
31.6
31.7

15.5
15.6
15.6
15.6
15.7
15.9
16.1
16.1
16.1
16.2

1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900

51.1
50.9
50.9
50.9
51.6
53.2
55.1
56.0
56.7
58.2

57.4
57.1
56.8
56.5
57.2
58.4
60.4
62.1
63.1
63.7

47.9
47.5
46.6
46.2
46.8
48.0
50.2
52.0
52.9
53.4

27.6
27.8
27.6
27.5
27.6
27.6
27.7
27.8
27.6
27.9

12.7
12.8
12.8
12.7
12.7
12.7
12.7
12.8
12.7
12.8

58.9
59.6
60.5
60.9
61.1
62.2
62.2
62.5
61.8
63.1

64.9
65.4
66.2
66.6
66.9
67.3
67.4
68.1
67.8
68.1

55.9
56.2
56.4
56.6
56.9
57.2
57.4
57.9
57.6
58.0

31.8
32.0
32.0
32.0
32.1
32.3
32.5
33.0
32.5
32.7

16.3
16.4
16.4
16.4
16.5
16.6
16.6
16.9
16.5
16.6

1901
1902
1903
1904 R
1905 R
1906
1907 R
1908
1909 R
1910

58.8
59.0
59.6
60.0
60.2
60.2
59.7
61.2
61.2
61.3

64.3
65.0
65.1
64.9
64.9
65.1
65.2
65.6
65.4
65.5

53.9
54.3
54.2
54.0
54.2
54.5
54.4
54.5
54.2
54.3

28.1
28.3
28.3
28.2
28.2
28.4
28.4
28.5
28.4
28.6

12.9
13.1
13.0
13.1
13.1
13.3
13.5
13.5
13.6
13.7

63.8
63.8
64.9
65.6
66.1
66.3
66.1
67.7
68.2
67.9

68.8
69.4
69.9
69.9
70.1
70.7
70.9
71.4
71.6
71.5

58.5
58.8
59.1
59.2
59.6
60.1
60.1
60.6
60.7
60.6

33.0
33.3
33.4
33.4
33.6
33.9
33.8
34.3
34.3
34.2

16.9
17.1
17.2
17.2
17.4
17.7
17.6
17.9
18.0
17.9

1911 R
1912
1913 R
1914 R
1915 R
1916 R
1917 R
1918 R
1919 R
1920 R

61.9
62.0
61.7
61.9
61.7
62.0
62.0
61.4
61.5
63.4

65.5
65.4
65.3
65.1
65.0
65.2
65.0
64.4
64.5
66.6

54.4
54.4
54.3
54.1
53.9
54.0
53.6
53.0
53.2
54.8

28.8
29.0
29.1
29.2
29.4
29.8
29.8
29.8
29.9
30.3

14.0
14.1
14.3
14.4
14.6
14.9
15.1
15.0
15.3
15.2

68.7
69.6
69.2
70.0
70.0
70.6
71.1
70.9
70.4
71.3

71.7
72.4
72.4
72.7
72.8
73.4
73.7
73.7
73.1
74.1

60.7
61.4
61.5
61.7
61.9
62.3
62.4
62.4
62.0
62.4

34.2
34.7
34.8
34.8
34.9
35.2
35.2
35.2
34.9
34.9

18.0
18.3
18.4
18.4
18.6
18.8
18.8
18.8
18.6
18.6

1921 R
1922 R
1923 R
1924 R
1925 R
1926 R
1927 R
1928 R
1929 R
1930 R

63.4
64.9
66.0
66.8
67.5
68.1
68.3
68.6
68.8
69.4

66.5
67.8
69.0
69.6
70.3
70.8
71.1
71.4
71.5
72.0

54.8
56.1
57.4
58.0
58.5
59.1
59.3
59.7
59.8
60.4

30.4
31.1
31.2
31.3
31.5
31.8
32.1
32.4
32.6
33.0

15.5
16.1
16.4
16.4
16.5
16.7
17.0
17.1
17.2
17.6

71.8
72.5
72.5
73.2
73.7
73.8
74.3
74.6
75.0
74.7

74.4
74.9
75.0
75.6
76.1
76.2
76.5
76.6
77.1
76.8

62.8
63.3
63.5
64.1
64.5
64.5
64.8
64.7
65.1
64.8

35.4
35.8
35.9
36.3
36.6
36.7
36.8
36.8
37.1
36.8

19.0
19.3
19.5
19.8
20.1
20.1
20.2
20.1
20.4
20.2

1931 R
1932 R
1933 R
1934 R
1935 R
1936

69.8
70.0
70.5
70.9
71.1
71.3

72.4
72.5
73.2
73.6
73.8
74.0

60.8
60.8
61.4
61.8
62.3
62.5

33.4
33.6
34.1
34.5
34.9
35.1

17.9
18.1
18.4
18.9
19.2
19.4

75.4
75.1
75.5
75.7
75.9
76.3

77.3
77.2
77.5
77.9
78.1
78.5

65.4
65.5
65.7
66.0
66.2
66.7

37.2
37.3
37.5
37.7
37.8
38.2

20.5
20.5
20.8
20.9
21.0
21.3

Note: The italicised life expectancies are partly based on projected mortality experiences at ages above 74 years.

Symbol: R revised
Source: Statistics New Zealand

89

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 4.13

Age by which 25, 50, and 75 percent of birth cohort have died
By sex
New Zealand complete cohort life tables, 18761941
Male quartiles

Female quartiles

25 percent
(Q1)

50 percent
(Q2)

50 percent
(Q2)

75 percent
(Q3)

1876
1877
1878
1879
1880

17.3
20.3
20.5
19.4
25.6

63.0
63.4
63.1
62.7
64.1

76.9
77.1
76.9
76.9
77.4

22.6
24.6
26.1
24.4
30.5

67.1
67.5
68.0
67.8
69.2

80.8
80.7
80.8
80.9
81.5

1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890

24.9
27.0
28.3
31.6
29.8
29.1
29.3
29.1
28.0
26.6

63.9
63.8
64.0
64.6
64.2
64.0
64.0
64.5
64.3
63.7

77.3
77.3
77.2
77.4
77.3
77.2
76.9
77.2
77.1
76.8

29.7
30.2
31.3
35.2
32.9
32.7
38.0
40.5
37.8
37.5

69.1
69.2
69.4
70.7
70.5
70.6
71.6
71.8
71.7
72.0

81.6
81.7
81.7
82.2
82.3
82.4
82.9
83.1
82.9
83.0

1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900

25.2
24.3
23.7
23.0
22.3
22.1
28.3
36.7
41.9
46.7

63.1
62.8
62.5
62.5
63.4
64.9
66.5
67.3
67.7
68.6

76.5
76.6
76.4
76.1
76.4
77.0
77.7
78.1
78.0
78.6

36.5
38.7
42.6
44.8
45.4
48.3
48.3
48.4
47.6
51.5

71.7
72.2
72.7
72.9
73.1
73.7
73.7
74.3
73.7
74.3

83.0
83.3
83.5
83.6
83.8
84.2
84.4
84.8
84.2
84.6

1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910

48.5
49.5
50.7
51.4
52.3
52.1
50.8
53.7
53.4
53.4

69.0
69.1
69.3
69.2
69.3
69.4
69.2
69.9
69.5
70.0

78.8
79.1
79.1
79.1
79.3
79.5
79.6
79.8
80.0
80.0

52.9
52.8
55.5
57.0
58.1
58.5
58.1
60.6
61.0
60.8

74.8
75.1
75.5
75.8
76.3
76.8
76.5
77.5
77.6
77.2

85.0
85.3
85.6
85.5
86.0
86.3
86.3
86.9
87.1
86.9

1911
1912 R
1913 R
1914 R
1915 R
1916 R
1917 R
1918 R
1919 R
1920 R

53.9
53.7
53.0
52.9
52.1
52.1
51.7
49.9
50.0
54.7

70.1
70.4
70.3
70.2
70.2
70.6
70.7
70.2
70.4
71.8

80.5
80.7
80.9
81.0
81.2
81.6
81.8
81.7
82.1
82.6

61.8
63.1
62.4
63.6
63.3
64.2
64.6
64.7
63.7
65.1

77.6
78.5
78.5
78.9
78.9
79.4
79.7
79.6
79.3
79.9

87.3
87.8
87.9
88.0
88.3
88.4
88.5
88.6
88.2
88.1

1921 R
1922 R
1923 R
1924 R
1925 R
1926 R
1927 R
1928 R
1929 R
1930 R

54.0
56.2
57.9
58.8
59.8
60.5
60.7
61.0
61.4
61.7

71.8
73.0
73.7
74.1
74.7
75.2
75.7
76.1
76.3
77.1

82.9
84.0
84.6
84.9
85.1
85.6
85.8
86.0
86.2
86.7

65.7
66.4
66.1
67.0
67.5
67.5
68.2
68.6
69.0
68.3

80.3
80.9
81.1
81.8
82.2
82.4
82.6
82.6
83.1
82.7

88.7
89.2
89.4
89.7
90.0
90.1
90.3
90.2
90.6
90.3

1931 R
1932 R
1933 R
1934 R
1935 R
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941

62.2
62.3
63.0
63.2
63.2
63.1
64.5
64.5
66.1
67.4
68.6

77.5
77.8
78.4
78.9
79.4
79.6
..
..
..
..
..

87.1
87.3
87.7
88.2
88.7
89.0
..
..
..
..
..

69.5
69.6
69.5
70.1
70.1
71.0
72.0
72.0
..
..
..

83.3
83.2
83.6
83.7
84.0
84.4
..
..
..
..
..

90.7
90.6
90.9
91.1
91.3
91.6
..
..
..
..
..

Year of birth

75 percent
25 percent
(Q3)
(Q1)
Age (years)

Note: The italicised quartiles are partly based on projected mortality experiences at ages above 74 years.
Symbols: R revised .. not available

Source: Statistics New Zealand

90

5 International travel and migration


International travel and migration statistics provide information on the number of overseas
visitors, New Zealand-resident travellers, and permanent and long-term migrants entering or
leaving New Zealand. These statistics are based on final counts of arrivals to and departures
from New Zealand.
In the year ended June 2011:

Total passenger arrivals and departures numbered 9.3 million, up 3 percent from the year
ended June 2010.

Permanent and long-term (PLT) arrivals exceeded PLT departures by 3,900.

New Zealand citizens made up 67 percent of all PLT departures and 28 percent of all PLT
arrivals, compared with 72 and 51 percent, respectively, for the year ended June 1991.

Australia was the largest destination country for PLT departures (44,900) and the largest
source country of PLT arrivals (15,000) 63 percent of these arrivals were New Zealand
citizens.

The largest net inflow of PLT migrants was from India (6,000), followed by the United
Kingdom (5,200), and China (4,200).

Half of PLT arrivals were 1529 years of age.

Auckland was the only region to receive a net inflow of PLT migrants (6,200).

Of the PLT arrivals who required a visa, 38 percent arrived on a work visa, 30 percent on
a student visa, and 23 percent on a residence visa.

Figure 5

Annual permanent and long-term arrivals, departures, and net migration


100

19222011

(000)
Arrivals

80

Departures

Net migration

60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
1921

26

31

36

41

46

51

56

61
66
71
June year

Source: Statistics New Zealand

91

76

81

86

91

96

2001

06

11

Demographic Trends: 2011

Total passengers
Total international passenger arrivals and departures were up 3 percent in the year ended June
2011, with 9.339 million passenger movements. There were 4.664 million arrivals and 4.675
million departures. This is the highest number of passengers in a June year, surpassing the
previous high of 9.119 million in the year ended June 2008. Short-term travellers accounted for
98 percent of total movements, while the remaining 2 percent were PLT migrants.

Permanent and long-term migration


PLT arrivals include people who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12 months
or more (or permanently), and New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or
more. The former group includes people with New Zealand residency as well as students and
holders of work permits. PLT departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended
period of 12 months or more (or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after
a stay of 12 months or more.
In the year ended June 2011, 84,000 migrants came to New Zealand, up 1,700 (2 percent) from
2010. Over the same period, departures increased by 22 percent to 80,100. As a result, New
Zealand experienced a net inflow of 3,900 migrants during the June 2011 year, compared with an
inflow of 16,500 in 2010.
Net PLT migration varied greatly between 1922 and 2011, as illustrated in figure 5. Migration
flows were influenced by legislative and economic factors in New Zealand and overseas. The
most PLT arrivals in a June year were 97,300 in 2003, which resulted in a record net inflow of
42,500. The most PLT departures were 83,700 in 1979, which resulted in a record net outflow of
43,300.
People who come to New Zealand intending to stay 12 months or more tend to be younger than
those who come on short visits. In the June 2011 year, 65 percent of PLT arrivals were people
under 30 years of age, and only 3 percent were aged 65 years or over (65+). This most likely
reflects New Zealands immigration policy, which tends to favour younger applicants. A similar
pattern exists for PLT departures, with 63 percent under 30 and 2 percent 65+.

Permanent and long-term migration by citizenship


In the June 2011 year, 60,200 PLT arrivals were non-New Zealand citizens. Another 23,800 were
New Zealand citizens, most of whom were returning to New Zealand after having lived overseas
for 12 months or more.
New Zealand-citizen departures numbered 53,700 in the June 2011 year, and non-New Zealand
citizen departures numbered 26,400.

Permanent and long-term migration by country


Migration flows to and from Australia and the United Kingdom continue to play a major role in
New Zealands migration patterns. In the June 2011 year, Australia was the largest source
country for PLT arrivals (15,000), with 63 percent being New Zealand citizens. Another 14,400
migrants arrived from the United Kingdom, of which 40 percent were New Zealand citizens. The
United Kingdom supplied the greatest number of PLT arrivals each year between 1995 and 2009,
before being overtaken by Australia.
In 2011, Australia was by far the largest destination country for PLT departures (44,900). New
Zealand citizens accounted for 89 percent of the departures to Australia. Another 9,200 migrants
departed to the United Kingdom, of which 56 percent were New Zealand citizens. The result was
a net outflow of 29,900 people from New Zealand to Australia during the June 2011 year,
compared with 15,900 in 2010. The highest net inflow was from India (6,000), which surpassed
the United Kingdom (5,200). There were also net inflows from China (4,200), the Philippines
92

Demographic Trends: 2011

(1,800), Germany (1,400), the United States, Ireland (each 1,100), Japan, and Samoa (each
900).

Permanent and long-term migration by New Zealand region


In the June 2011 year, the Auckland region had the largest number of PLT arrivals (34,200) and
departures (27,900), as well as the only net inflow of PLT migrants (6,200). The largest net
outflows were from Waikato (1,600), Canterbury (1,500), Bay of Plenty (1,300) and Northland
(900).

Permanent and long-term migration by visa type


In the June 2011 year, 27,800 PLT arrivals were Australian or New Zealand citizens who were
free to enter and stay in New Zealand. Of the citizens from other countries, 21,300 arrived on
work visas, 16,800 arrived on student visas, 13,000 arrived on residence visas, and 4,400 arrived
on visitor visas. Compared with the June 2010 year, there were more arrivals for most visa types,
with the greatest increases being for student visas (up 1,700) and work visas (up 1,600).

More information
The following information on international travel and migration is available from the Statistics NZ
website at:

International Travel and Migration Information releases

International travel and migration articles.

Detailed tables are available within the Infoshare database on the Statistics NZ website (under
the Tourism then International Travel and Migration subject categories).

93

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.01

International travel and migration


By direction and passenger type
19222011
Arrivals
June year

1922
1923
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928
1929
1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976

Short-term
overseas
visitors (1)

11,356
10,216
11,267
11,395
13,488
13,168
12,441
13,488
12,655
9,272
6,970
8,270
9,946
11,381
12,942
15,243
16,865
17,105
8,521
6,143
2,571
1,474
2,009
3,822
6,263
9,593
11,372
12,030
15,178
16,028
18,169
18,600
19,742
22,259
24,427
28,012
30,411
31,011
37,221
42,511
52,920
59,974
71,555
84,372
101,863
116,282
123,348
135,735
160,737
200,645
228,357
266,860
326,809
365,097
383,110

Short-term
NZ-resident
travellers (2)

12,467
11,667
12,892
15,124
13,937
14,180
14,170
15,513
14,983
12,730
9,282
8,525
8,506
12,674
12,120
15,014
18,397
18,812
12,062
4,155
2,151
918
1,337
1,908
4,167
9,469
12,130
14,185
18,630
19,840
20,477
18,305
17,421
20,778
21,837
25,520
24,159
28,104
34,618
45,636
48,779
55,087
62,731
76,858
89,115
102,294
103,759
101,863
114,459
123,920
141,533
168,715
223,925
251,446
242,680

Departures

Permanent &
long-term
migrants(3)

15,915
11,288
12,933
15,934
16,359
16,172
7,326
5,963
6,796
5,736
1,922
1,404
1,484
1,682
1,985
3,064
4,629
8,242
5,228
1,829
1,013
736
950
1,895
5,932
8,474
9,732
14,161
17,424
19,282
26,530
28,898
21,945
19,796
21,111
25,093
25,930
24,098
19,235
23,395
34,261
31,460
35,644
34,761
35,997
39,176
26,242
23,739
29,189
40,247
46,846
57,637
71,836
62,223
45,186

Total

Short-term
overseas
visitors (4)

39,738
33,171
37,092
42,453
43,784
43,520
33,937
34,964
34,434
27,738
18,174
18,199
19,936
25,737
27,047
33,321
39,891
44,159
25,811
12,127
5,736
3,128
4,296
7,625
16,362
27,536
33,234
40,376
51,232
55,150
65,176
65,803
59,108
62,833
67,375
78,625
80,500
83,213
91,074
111,542
135,960
146,521
169,930
195,991
226,975
257,752
253,349
261,337
304,385
364,812
416,736
493,212
622,570
678,766
670,976

15,033
12,982
13,238
13,121
15,488
15,837
14,612
14,909
13,615
11,328
9,187
9,290
9,894
11,000
12,329
14,526
16,376
16,467
9,603
5,536
2,647
1,296
1,493
2,813
4,976
10,008
11,410
12,211
16,552
17,585
19,291
19,702
21,894
23,911
26,183
29,750
32,779
33,861
38,987
43,488
55,668
63,430
75,120
89,057
105,234
120,484
133,236
139,049
158,469
201,112
228,194
267,207
326,285
364,185
386,768

94

Short-term
NZ-resident
travellers (5)

12,278
13,226
15,163
14,355
13,892
15,810
16,308
15,856
14,134
9,592
8,781
8,659
9,708
13,924
12,028
14,998
17,365
16,714
6,812
2,728
1,191
404
882
1,449
3,563
8,251
10,871
16,447
20,514
20,902
21,169
17,982
19,414
22,645
23,413
26,352
25,483
30,067
38,157
47,683
48,312
56,065
64,860
79,096
91,018
102,686
102,140
102,870
115,311
120,072
140,590
167,891
223,604
245,957
242,822

Permanent &
long-term
migrants(6)

2,078
2,406
2,239
2,056
2,208
3,220
4,449
3,386
2,995
2,358
3,027
2,970
3,053
3,919
4,232
3,892
4,104
3,651
2,990
2,479
1,351
953
1,547
2,640
5,988
5,623
5,928
6,703
7,082
7,431
7,638
5,877
7,708
9,012
9,790
8,702
8,825
11,634
13,763
13,893
12,839
14,823
15,647
18,943
18,389
22,128
29,927
29,908
32,515
38,281
36,162
37,227
45,040
41,401
46,386

Total

29,389
28,614
30,640
29,532
31,588
34,867
35,369
34,151
30,744
23,278
20,995
20,919
22,655
28,843
28,589
33,416
37,845
36,832
19,405
10,743
5,189
2,653
3,922
6,902
14,527
23,882
28,209
35,361
44,148
45,918
48,098
43,561
49,016
55,568
59,386
64,804
67,087
75,562
90,907
105,064
116,819
134,318
155,627
187,096
214,641
245,298
265,303
271,827
306,295
359,465
404,946
472,325
594,929
651,543
675,976

Net
permanent &
long-term
migration(7)

13,837
8,882
10,694
13,878
14,151
12,952
2,877
2,577
3,801
3,378
-1,105
-1,566
-1,569
-2,237
-2,247
-828
525
4,591
2,238
-650
-338
-217
-597
-745
-56
2,851
3,804
7,458
10,342
11,851
18,892
23,021
14,237
10,784
11,321
16,391
17,105
12,464
5,472
9,502
21,422
16,637
19,997
15,818
17,608
17,048
-3,685
-6,169
-3,326
1,966
10,684
20,410
26,796
20,822
-1,200

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.01

International travel and migration


By direction and passenger type
19222011
Arrivals
June year

1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Short-term
overseas
visitors (1)

383,676
390,172
424,756
452,621
469,870
476,831
488,155
538,286
617,393
694,517
783,682
859,318
873,641
956,201
952,375
1,023,163
1,105,285
1,235,256
1,366,964
1,471,256
1,541,336
1,458,334
1,539,233
1,693,124
1,884,476
1,955,702
2,050,294
2,250,191
2,403,768
2,377,603
2,457,794
2,479,796
2,411,396
2,501,264
2,501,303

Short-term
NZ-resident
travellers (2)

254,508
296,980
369,928
455,191
459,781
408,246
374,732
379,050
373,421
409,846
550,485
674,613
745,652
730,942
749,683
757,580
773,832
790,264
847,089
979,583
1,104,679
1,150,571
1,181,623
1,248,239
1,308,488
1,281,505
1,316,284
1,550,226
1,831,688
1,883,399
1,919,237
2,010,795
1,935,812
1,965,101
2,078,575

Departures

Permanent &
long-term
migrants(3)

36,432
37,524
40,388
43,374
44,578
45,895
45,023
39,633
35,272
37,006
46,239
47,726
45,946
54,545
55,948
47,925
50,811
59,670
69,572
81,965
74,492
61,246
56,252
61,285
69,489
92,663
97,250
84,285
79,139
80,076
82,700
85,239
88,251
82,305
84,016

Total

Short-term
overseas
visitors (4)

674,616
724,676
835,072
951,186
974,229
930,972
907,910
956,969
1,026,086
1,141,369
1,380,406
1,581,657
1,665,239
1,741,688
1,758,006
1,828,668
1,929,928
2,085,190
2,283,625
2,532,804
2,720,507
2,670,151
2,777,108
3,002,648
3,262,453
3,329,870
3,463,828
3,884,702
4,314,595
4,341,078
4,459,731
4,575,830
4,435,459
4,548,670
4,663,894

Short-term
NZ-resident
travellers (5)

382,416
389,820
412,760
456,086
470,528
476,820
484,316
535,814
612,894
689,740
762,690
840,472
867,203
960,755
960,377
1,025,175
1,098,128
1,224,472
1,352,500
1,450,142
1,526,778
1,461,449
1,544,883
1,698,114
1,873,120
1,941,012
2,052,441
2,272,956
2,404,223
2,402,284
2,452,669
2,485,389
2,419,784
2,513,574
2,527,812

252,784
293,584
375,788
444,736
446,329
393,800
365,288
380,325
368,602
416,654
554,088
691,482
738,527
726,928
735,170
758,073
784,662
806,809
866,040
1,011,815
1,109,127
1,147,800
1,181,789
1,231,119
1,300,027
1,267,409
1,278,204
1,547,960
1,809,894
1,887,480
1,924,064
1,977,305
1,919,788
1,968,175
2,066,696

Permanent &
long-term
migrants(6)

59,428
67,220
83,668
71,108
69,502
51,238
38,416
36,120
48,536
58,842
58,214
66,008
70,081
51,960
43,526
44,334
42,109
42,855
46,843
52,459
57,722
60,794
67,621
71,045
78,755
59,848
54,733
62,277
70,546
69,388
72,622
80,507
75,736
65,801
80,149

Total

694,628
750,624
872,216
971,930
986,359
921,858
888,020
952,259
1,030,032
1,165,236
1,374,992
1,597,962
1,675,811
1,739,643
1,739,073
1,827,582
1,924,899
2,074,136
2,265,383
2,514,416
2,693,627
2,670,043
2,794,293
3,000,278
3,251,902
3,268,269
3,385,378
3,883,193
4,284,663
4,359,152
4,449,355
4,543,201
4,415,308
4,547,550
4,674,657

1. Overseas residents arriving in New Zealand for a stay of less than 12 months.
2. New Zealand residents arriving in New Zealand after an absence of less than 12 months.
3. Includes overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12 months or more (or permanently), plus
New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
4. Overseas residents departing New Zealand after a stay of less than 12 months.
5. New Zealand residents departing New Zealand for an absence of less than 12 months.
6. Includes New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more (or permanently), plus overseas visitors
departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
7. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.
Note: During the period April 1975 to August 1997 counts are derived from a sample of records and hence may contain sample error.
All pre-April 1975 and post-August 1997 figures are actual counts.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

95

Net
permanent &
long-term
migration(7)

-22,996
-29,696
-43,280
-27,734
-24,924
-5,343
6,607
3,513
-13,264
-21,836
-11,975
-18,282
-24,135
2,585
12,422
3,591
8,702
16,815
22,729
29,506
16,770
452
-11,369
-9,760
-9,266
32,815
42,517
22,008
8,593
10,688
10,078
4,732
12,515
16,504
3,867

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.02

Permanent and long-term migration


By sex
19792011
June
year

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Arrivals(1)
Male
20,760
22,242
22,890
23,543
23,163
20,036
17,953
18,625
23,635
24,491
23,436
28,154
28,951
25,513
25,906
30,149
35,223
41,701
37,184
30,124
27,616
30,591
34,975
47,400
49,571
41,968
39,372
39,746
41,311
43,700
45,296
41,987
43,148

Female
19,628
21,132
21,688
22,352
21,860
19,597
17,319
18,381
22,604
23,235
22,510
26,391
26,997
22,412
24,905
29,521
34,349
40,264
37,308
31,122
28,636
30,694
34,514
45,263
47,679
42,317
39,767
40,330
41,389
41,539
42,955
40,318
40,868

Departures(2)
People
40,388
43,374
44,578
45,895
45,023
39,633
35,272
37,006
46,239
47,726
45,946
54,545
55,948
47,925
50,811
59,670
69,572
81,965
74,492
61,246
56,252
61,285
69,489
92,663
97,250
84,285
79,139
80,076
82,700
85,239
88,251
82,305
84,016

Male

Female

43,992
37,380
36,603
26,482
19,518
18,335
24,814
30,424
30,253
34,121
36,717
26,549
22,492
22,743
21,487
21,648
23,768
26,447
29,088
30,897
34,728
36,270
39,753
29,826
27,134
31,089
35,360
35,070
36,667
41,081
38,355
33,308
40,885

39,676
33,728
32,899
24,756
18,898
17,785
23,722
28,418
27,961
31,887
33,364
25,411
21,034
21,591
20,622
21,207
23,075
26,012
28,634
29,897
32,893
34,775
39,002
30,022
27,599
31,188
35,186
34,318
35,955
39,426
37,381
32,493
39,264

Net PLT migration(3)


People
83,668
71,108
69,502
51,238
38,416
36,120
48,536
58,842
58,214
66,008
70,081
51,960
43,526
44,334
42,109
42,855
46,843
52,459
57,722
60,794
67,621
71,045
78,755
59,848
54,733
62,277
70,546
69,388
72,622
80,507
75,736
65,801
80,149

Male
-23,232
-15,138
-13,713
-2,939
3,645
1,701
-6,861
-11,799
-6,618
-9,630
-13,281
1,605
6,459
2,770
4,419
8,501
11,455
15,254
8,096
-773
-7,112
-5,679
-4,778
17,574
22,437
10,879
4,012
4,676
4,644
2,619
6,941
8,679
2,263

Female
-20,048
-12,596
-11,211
-2,404
2,962
1,812
-6,403
-10,037
-5,357
-8,652
-10,854
980
5,963
821
4,283
8,314
11,274
14,252
8,674
1,225
-4,257
-4,081
-4,488
15,241
20,080
11,129
4,581
6,012
5,434
2,113
5,574
7,825
1,604

1. Permanent and long-term arrivals include overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12
months or more (or permanently), plus New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
2. Permanent and long-term departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more
(or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
3. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

96

People
-43,280
-27,734
-24,924
-5,343
6,607
3,513
-13,264
-21,836
-11,975
-18,282
-24,135
2,585
12,422
3,591
8,702
16,815
22,729
29,506
16,770
452
-11,369
-9,760
-9,266
32,815
42,517
22,008
8,593
10,688
10,078
4,732
12,515
16,504
3,867

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.03

Permanent and long-term migration


By age group and sex
Year ended 30 June 2011
Age group
(years)

Arrivals(1)
Male

Female

Departures(2)
People

Male

Female

Net PLT migration(3)


People

Male

Female

People

Under 5
59
1014
1519
2024
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7074
7579
8084
8589
90+

2,456
1,959
1,921
5,176
8,895
7,965
4,465
2,752
2,057
1,500
1,057
958
890
578
278
129
76
26
10

2,335
1,923
1,872
4,391
7,431
8,098
4,400
2,695
1,921
1,391
1,138
1,180
938
532
307
177
94
38
7

4,791
3,882
3,793
9,567
16,326
16,063
8,865
5,447
3,978
2,891
2,195
2,138
1,828
1,110
585
306
170
64
17

2,917
2,231
2,110
3,248
7,436
7,625
4,061
2,943
2,348
1,978
1,615
1,048
664
290
182
114
52
16
7

2,713
2,068
1,996
3,487
7,406
6,871
3,770
2,825
2,261
1,873
1,529
1,083
621
340
196
110
70
32
13

5,630
4,299
4,106
6,735
14,842
14,496
7,831
5,768
4,609
3,851
3,144
2,131
1,285
630
378
224
122
48
20

-461
-272
-189
1,928
1,459
340
404
-191
-291
-478
-558
-90
226
288
96
15
24
10
3

-378
-145
-124
904
25
1,227
630
-130
-340
-482
-391
97
317
192
111
67
24
6
-6

-839
-417
-313
2,832
1,484
1,567
1,034
-321
-631
-960
-949
7
543
480
207
82
48
16
-3

All ages

43,148

40,868

84,016

40,885

39,264

80,149

2,263

1,604

3,867

1. Permanent and long-term arrivals include overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12
months or more (or permanently), plus New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
2. Permanent and long-term departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more
(or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
3. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

97

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.04

Permanent and long-term migration by country of citizenship


19792011
Country of citizenship
New Zealand

June
year
Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Non-New Zealand
Net PLT
migration(3)

Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Total
Net PLT
migration(3)

Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Net PLT
migration(3)

To/from all countries


1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

21,468
22,897
24,410
25,259
25,723
22,381
19,029
18,972
23,820
23,124
21,475
27,164
28,731
22,405
21,864
23,181
22,870
23,396
22,534
22,558
20,039
22,509
21,341
24,972
26,742
26,353
24,962
24,040
23,472
23,036
24,825
26,193
23,804

62,736
54,845
54,360
40,909
29,469
26,574
38,180
48,371
47,976
54,128
57,465
40,361
31,386
30,780
30,505
32,294
36,084
39,894
43,071
44,610
51,745
55,444
63,242
44,880
38,235
41,392
47,385
47,774
51,842
58,327
52,484
40,429
53,708

-41,268
-31,948
-29,950
-15,650
-3,746
-4,193
-19,151
-29,399
-24,156
-31,004
-35,990
-13,197
-2,655
-8,375
-8,641
-9,113
-13,214
-16,498
-20,537
-22,052
-31,706
-32,935
-41,901
-19,908
-11,493
-15,039
-22,423
-23,734
-28,370
-35,291
-27,659
-14,236
-29,904

18,920
20,477
20,168
20,636
19,300
17,252
16,243
18,034
22,419
24,602
24,471
27,381
27,217
25,520
28,947
36,489
46,702
58,569
51,958
38,688
36,213
38,776
48,148
67,691
70,508
57,932
54,177
56,036
59,228
62,203
63,426
56,112
60,212

20,932
16,263
15,142
10,329
8,947
9,546
10,356
10,471
10,238
11,880
12,616
11,599
12,140
13,554
11,604
10,561
10,759
12,565
14,651
16,184
15,876
15,601
15,513
14,968
16,498
20,885
23,161
21,614
20,780
22,180
23,252
25,372
26,441

98

-2,012
4,214
5,026
10,307
10,353
7,706
5,887
7,563
12,181
12,722
11,855
15,782
15,077
11,966
17,343
25,928
35,943
46,004
37,307
22,504
20,337
23,175
32,635
52,723
54,010
37,047
31,016
34,422
38,448
40,023
40,174
30,740
33,771

40,388
43,374
44,578
45,895
45,023
39,633
35,272
37,006
46,239
47,726
45,946
54,545
55,948
47,925
50,811
59,670
69,572
81,965
74,492
61,246
56,252
61,285
69,489
92,663
97,250
84,285
79,139
80,076
82,700
85,239
88,251
82,305
84,016

83,668
71,108
69,502
51,238
38,416
36,120
48,536
58,842
58,214
66,008
70,081
51,960
43,526
44,334
42,109
42,855
46,843
52,459
57,722
60,794
67,621
71,045
78,755
59,848
54,733
62,277
70,546
69,388
72,622
80,507
75,736
65,801
80,149

-43,280
-27,734
-24,924
-5,343
6,607
3,513
-13,264
-21,836
-11,975
-18,282
-24,135
2,585
12,422
3,591
8,702
16,815
22,729
29,506
16,770
452
-11,369
-9,760
-9,266
32,815
42,517
22,008
8,593
10,688
10,078
4,732
12,515
16,504
3,867

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.04

Permanent and long-term migration by country of citizenship


19792011
Country of citizenship
New Zealand

June
year
Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Non-New Zealand
Net PLT
migration(3)

Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Total
Net PLT
migration(3)

Arrivals(1)

Departures(2)

Net PLT
migration(3)

To/from Australia
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

8,840
8,777
9,394
10,255
12,047
10,620
7,549
7,140
9,591
8,987
8,359
12,365
13,418
9,098
7,778
8,676
8,049
7,858
7,436
7,200
6,088
6,957
7,125
8,565
8,934
9,234
8,412
8,169
8,378
8,430
8,851
10,710
9,447

37,384
33,825
37,378
26,808
16,415
12,744
22,090
31,125
29,695
36,896
38,877
21,183
13,467
13,192
13,247
14,859
17,786
19,879
21,675
22,814
28,397
32,768
38,449
23,488
20,307
23,589
29,094
29,729
33,953
40,596
37,537
27,450
39,942

-28,544
-25,048
-27,984
-16,553
-4,368
-2,124
-14,541
-23,985
-20,104
-27,909
-30,518
-8,818
-49
-4,094
-5,469
-6,183
-9,737
-12,021
-14,239
-15,614
-22,309
-25,811
-31,324
-14,923
-11,373
-14,355
-20,682
-21,560
-25,575
-32,166
-28,686
-16,740
-30,495

5,180
5,054
4,300
4,070
4,467
4,607
4,201
3,817
4,376
4,126
3,491
4,290
4,502
3,775
3,888
4,648
4,597
5,243
5,109
4,288
3,491
3,813
3,872
4,494
4,676
5,343
5,330
5,164
5,005
4,995
4,704
5,086
5,507

6,712
6,455
7,416
3,534
2,716
2,541
3,278
3,610
3,593
4,445
3,989
2,832
2,543
2,523
2,398
2,354
2,583
3,102
3,351
3,412
3,401
3,528
3,513
3,278
2,976
3,410
3,925
4,063
4,383
4,752
4,694
4,254
4,927

-1,532
-1,401
-3,116
536
1,751
2,066
923
207
783
-319
-498
1,458
1,959
1,252
1,490
2,294
2,014
2,141
1,758
876
90
285
359
1,216
1,700
1,933
1,405
1,101
622
243
10
832
580

14,020
13,831
13,694
14,325
16,514
15,227
11,750
10,957
13,967
13,113
11,850
16,655
17,920
12,873
11,666
13,324
12,646
13,101
12,545
11,488
9,579
10,770
10,997
13,059
13,610
14,577
13,742
13,333
13,383
13,425
13,555
15,796
14,954

1. Permanent and long-term arrivals include overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12
months or more (or permanently), plus New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
2. Permanent and long-term departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more
(or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
3. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

99

44,096
40,280
44,794
30,342
19,131
15,285
25,368
34,735
33,288
41,341
42,866
24,015
16,010
15,715
15,645
17,213
20,369
22,981
25,026
26,226
31,798
36,296
41,962
26,766
23,283
26,999
33,019
33,792
38,336
45,348
42,231
31,704
44,869

-30,076
-26,449
-31,100
-16,017
-2,617
-58
-13,618
-23,778
-19,321
-28,228
-31,016
-7,360
1,910
-2,842
-3,979
-3,889
-7,723
-9,880
-12,481
-14,738
-22,219
-25,526
-30,965
-13,707
-9,673
-12,422
-19,277
-20,459
-24,953
-31,923
-28,676
-15,908
-29,915

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.05

Permanent and long-term migration


By country of last or next permanent residence
19792011
June
year

Australia

UK

Germany

USA

Canada

India

China,
Korea,
People's
Japan Republic Philippines
Republic
of
of

South
Africa

Fiji

Other(1)

All
countries

12,788
14,536
13,765
14,150
13,083
12,098
11,821
11,695
12,628
14,018
14,984
18,223
16,189
15,031
17,185
18,051
23,243
30,100
25,115
18,952
17,072
15,614
17,880
20,783
21,533
19,586
19,421
19,383
20,107
21,979
22,016
21,270
24,166

40,388
43,374
44,578
45,895
45,023
39,633
35,272
37,006
46,239
47,726
45,946
54,545
55,948
47,925
50,811
59,670
69,572
81,965
74,492
61,246
56,252
61,285
69,489
92,663
97,250
84,285
79,139
80,076
82,700
85,239
88,251
82,305
84,016

Arrivals(2)
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

14,020
13,831
13,694
14,325
16,514
15,227
11,750
10,957
13,967
13,113
11,850
16,655
17,920
12,873
11,666
13,324
12,646
13,101
12,545
11,488
9,579
10,770
10,997
13,059
13,610
14,577
13,742
13,333
13,383
13,425
13,555
15,796
14,954

8,748
10,386
12,047
12,053
10,018
7,139
6,632
8,660
11,798
11,516
10,624
10,774
12,711
11,026
10,807
12,516
13,599
14,950
14,171
12,499
12,293
14,871
14,566
18,402
20,185
21,238
21,573
22,400
21,378
18,752
18,487
15,728
14,384

188
243
343
385
455
368
268
374
492
480
461
498
541
375
495
639
854
728
763
632
525
505
667
856
1,086
1,290
1,754
2,166
2,365
2,427
2,471
2,518
2,420

1,916
2,006
2,182
2,204
2,332
2,092
2,007
2,062
2,544
2,373
2,080
2,268
2,272
2,162
2,292
2,693
2,963
2,910
2,942
2,579
2,453
2,564
2,521
3,163
3,318
3,490
3,587
3,703
3,596
3,613
3,559
3,486
3,645

956
765
828
1,048
1,050
895
898
997
1,271
1,023
755
829
1,062
901
840
948
1,069
1,193
1,323
1,109
838
995
941
1,151
1,348
1,426
1,554
1,555
1,561
1,611
1,830
1,810
1,895

184
207
209
180
117
135
104
169
190
254
247
241
279
309
463
751
1,524
2,280
2,157
1,465
1,571
2,081
3,193
6,066
6,407
3,927
2,664
2,600
3,405
5,115
6,849
6,677
7,250

72
111
98
55
65
76
100
133
228
318
426
413
584
589
838
949
2,530
4,260
3,754
2,916
2,907
4,659
8,012
14,762
16,117
8,309
4,629
4,050
4,043
4,539
5,492
5,953
6,927

100

196
190
277
272
276
431
411
477
690
1,124
1,482
1,858
1,955
2,401
2,367
3,059
3,414
4,208
4,486
4,096
4,068
3,860
3,727
4,150
4,189
3,811
3,672
3,311
2,823
2,574
2,288
2,015
2,038

84
65
64
36
24
73
82
112
150
422
216
439
506
655
1,914
2,578
3,600
3,894
2,008
921
643
872
1,578
3,226
3,707
2,557
1,907
1,790
2,136
1,919
1,996
2,027
1,845

124
89
135
134
140
194
184
217
314
255
279
359
424
347
308
391
646
967
845
638
576
579
704
982
1,125
615
718
1,439
3,230
3,611
3,582
1,972
2,128

408
305
238
330
308
231
284
489
755
547
213
189
234
213
571
2,710
2,235
2,031
2,861
2,590
2,373
2,316
2,547
3,407
2,394
1,481
1,388
1,654
2,029
2,728
2,716
1,328
1,217

704
640
698
723
641
674
731
664
1,212
2,283
2,329
1,799
1,271
1,043
1,065
1,061
1,249
1,343
1,522
1,361
1,354
1,599
2,156
2,656
2,231
1,978
2,530
2,692
2,644
2,946
3,410
1,725
1,147

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.05

Permanent and long-term migration


By country of last or next permanent residence
19792011
June
year

Australia

UK

Germany

USA

Canada

India

China,
Korea,
People's
Japan Republic Philippines
Republic
of
of

South
Africa

Fiji

Other(1)

All
countries

17,204
13,110
12,046
10,218
8,714
8,664
9,656
9,888
10,118
9,233
9,546
9,749
10,141
11,008
10,992
10,501
10,363
11,651
11,622
11,136
10,593
10,548
11,481
10,316
9,820
10,659
11,083
10,766
10,474
11,592
11,416
11,380
12,118

83,668
71,108
69,502
51,238
38,416
36,120
48,536
58,842
58,214
66,008
70,081
51,960
43,526
44,334
42,109
42,855
46,843
52,459
57,722
60,794
67,621
71,045
78,755
59,848
54,733
62,277
70,546
69,388
72,622
80,507
75,736
65,801
80,149

Departures(3)
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

44,096
40,280
44,794
30,342
19,131
15,285
25,368
34,735
33,288
41,341
42,866
24,015
16,010
15,715
15,645
17,213
20,369
22,981
25,026
26,226
31,798
36,296
41,962
26,766
23,283
26,999
33,019
33,792
38,336
45,348
42,231
31,704
44,869

16,080
12,074
7,711
6,062
6,831
8,366
9,646
10,075
10,658
11,165
12,853
13,333
11,821
10,876
9,405
9,308
10,218
11,560
13,225
14,907
16,663
15,383
15,381
13,482
11,716
11,792
12,292
11,940
11,949
11,450
9,346
8,633
9,176

168
212
165
144
156
140
156
168
202
230
310
280
326
348
356
322
351
346
357
360
389
389
468
447
490
566
577
703
814
836
1,000
1,002
1,043

3,100
2,439
2,186
2,178
1,870
1,842
2,000
2,061
1,904
1,827
2,126
1,982
2,184
2,558
2,343
2,171
2,034
2,124
2,778
3,043
2,982
3,194
3,464
2,650
2,336
2,397
2,536
2,709
2,483
2,692
2,479
2,578
2,559

1,432
1,358
1,193
989
549
592
599
712
804
1,028
1,024
984
989
904
794
744
763
798
796
929
1,050
965
1,241
1,144
1,096
1,230
1,374
1,444
1,521
1,562
1,724
1,675
1,471

212
153
125
145
137
88
113
104
103
118
134
132
253
330
246
252
195
203
227
284
326
252
294
280
332
489
647
613
615
712
820
1,117
1,280

40
36
33
88
91
76
75
88
113
112
121
99
109
236
228
212
260
264
357
369
443
531
762
1,006
1,321
2,759
3,338
2,695
2,450
2,381
2,219
2,356
2,723

101

208
223
188
228
236
301
302
382
402
400
452
590
830
1,265
1,192
1,271
1,401
1,569
2,020
1,975
1,866
1,925
1,985
1,807
1,872
1,928
1,866
1,571
1,414
1,307
1,268
1,230
1,090

24
80
74
25
35
60
63
67
98
123
78
84
81
117
160
134
190
337
611
796
707
810
1,185
1,316
1,696
2,631
2,889
2,284
1,796
1,866
2,145
2,249
2,208

100
106
109
98
73
98
76
92
73
63
121
127
149
182
130
159
136
114
190
176
165
139
133
126
162
135
108
145
126
156
251
452
377

240
266
309
260
191
243
177
65
75
91
92
115
128
154
141
104
224
180
158
227
194
236
189
228
291
342
376
355
357
299
414
722
591

764
771
569
461
402
365
305
405
376
277
358
470
505
641
477
464
339
332
355
366
445
377
210
280
318
350
441
371
287
306
423
703
644

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.05

Permanent and long-term migration


By country of last or next permanent residence
19792011
June
year

Australia

UK

Germany

USA

Canada

India

China,
Korea,
People's
Japan Republic Philippines
Republic
of
of

South
Africa

Fiji

Other(1)

All
countries

-4,416
1,426
1,719
3,932
4,369
3,434
2,165
1,807
2,510
4,785
5,438
8,474
6,048
4,023
6,193
7,550
12,880
18,449
13,493
7,816
6,479
5,066
6,399
10,467
11,713
8,927
8,338
8,617
9,633
10,387
10,600
9,890
12,048

-43,280
-27,734
-24,924
-5,343
6,607
3,513
-13,264
-21,836
-11,975
-18,282
-24,135
2,585
12,422
3,591
8,702
16,815
22,729
29,506
16,770
452
-11,369
-9,760
-9,266
32,815
42,517
22,008
8,593
10,688
10,078
4,732
12,515
16,504
3,867

Net permanent and long-term migration(4)


1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

-30,076
-26,449
-31,100
-16,017
-2,617
-58
-13,618
-23,778
-19,321
-28,228
-31,016
-7,360
1,910
-2,842
-3,979
-3,889
-7,723
-9,880
-12,481
-14,738
-22,219
-25,526
-30,965
-13,707
-9,673
-12,422
-19,277
-20,459
-24,953
-31,923
-28,676
-15,908
-29,915

-7,332
-1,688
4,336
5,991
3,187
-1,227
-3,014
-1,415
1,140
351
-2,229
-2,559
890
150
1,402
3,208
3,381
3,390
946
-2,408
-4,370
-512
-815
4,920
8,469
9,446
9,281
10,460
9,429
7,302
9,141
7,095
5,208

20
31
178
241
299
228
112
206
290
250
151
218
215
27
139
317
503
382
406
272
136
116
199
409
596
724
1,177
1,463
1,551
1,591
1,471
1,516
1,377

-1,184
-433
-4
26
462
250
7
1
640
546
-46
286
88
-396
-51
522
929
786
164
-464
-529
-630
-943
513
982
1,093
1,051
994
1,113
921
1,080
908
1,086

-476
-593
-365
59
501
303
299
285
467
-5
-269
-155
73
-3
46
204
306
395
527
180
-212
30
-300
7
252
196
180
111
40
49
106
135
424

-28
54
84
35
-20
47
-9
65
87
136
113
109
26
-21
217
499
1,329
2,077
1,930
1,181
1,245
1,829
2,899
5,786
6,075
3,438
2,017
1,987
2,790
4,403
6,029
5,560
5,970

32
75
65
-33
-26
0
25
45
115
206
305
314
475
353
610
737
2,270
3,996
3,397
2,547
2,464
4,128
7,250
13,756
14,796
5,550
1,291
1,355
1,593
2,158
3,273
3,597
4,204

-12
-33
89
44
40
130
109
95
288
724
1,030
1,268
1,125
1,136
1,175
1,788
2,013
2,639
2,466
2,121
2,202
1,935
1,742
2,343
2,317
1,883
1,806
1,740
1,409
1,267
1,020
785
948

60
-15
-10
11
-11
13
19
45
52
299
138
355
425
538
1,754
2,444
3,410
3,557
1,397
125
-64
62
393
1,910
2,011
-74
-982
-494
340
53
-149
-222
-363

24
-17
26
36
67
96
108
125
241
192
158
232
275
165
178
232
510
853
655
462
411
440
571
856
963
480
610
1,294
3,104
3,455
3,331
1,520
1,751

168
39
-71
70
117
-12
107
424
680
456
121
74
106
59
430
2,606
2,011
1,851
2,703
2,363
2,179
2,080
2,358
3,179
2,103
1,139
1,012
1,299
1,672
2,429
2,302
606
626

-60
-131
129
262
239
309
426
259
836
2,006
1,971
1,329
766
402
588
597
910
1,011
1,167
995
909
1,222
1,946
2,376
1,913
1,628
2,089
2,321
2,357
2,640
2,987
1,022
503

1. Includes 'not stated'.


2. Permanent and long-term arrivals include overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12
months or more (or permanently), plus New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
3. Permanent and long-term departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more
(or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
4. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

102

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.06

Permanent and long-term migration


By New Zealand region
19992011
New Zealand
region(1)

June year
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Arrivals(2)
Northland

974

1,169

1,111

1,381

1,521

1,462

1,536

1,533

1,459

1,618

1,623

1,522

1,486

Auckland

23,792

26,314

29,134

38,955

41,137

33,859

30,964

31,638

33,098

33,884

35,319

33,080

34,159

Waikato

3,303

3,492

3,739

4,714

5,070

5,143

4,879

4,977

4,960

5,278

5,369

5,037

4,565

Bay of Plenty

2,061

2,395

2,414

3,055

3,317

3,197

3,207

3,136

3,271

3,543

3,585

3,533

3,366

266

339

249

316

442

372

377

423

374

360

385

411

312

1,153

1,249

1,288

1,557

1,537

1,665

1,621

1,681

1,722

1,624

1,640

1,632

1,400

731

843

930

1,165

1,319

1,249

1,098

1,263

1,177

1,383

1,411

1,122

1,151

Gisborne
Hawke's Bay
Taranaki
ManawatuWanganui
Wellington

2,064

2,042

2,167

2,670

2,947

2,876

2,617

2,823

2,671

2,546

2,719

2,405

2,323

5,703

6,025

6,416

7,715

7,743

7,603

7,375

7,774

8,032

8,101

8,369

7,228

7,425

Nelson-Tasman

717

805

891

1,093

1,261

1,181

1,098

1,187

1,194

1,156

1,176

1,170

1,111

Marlborough

267

329

380

460

496

505

470

516

505

705

592

554

413

West Coast

151

169

225

219

285

241

291

303

289

311

404

333

274

Canterbury

5,797

6,161

7,087

9,185

10,160

9,874

9,323

9,294

9,520

9,550

9,919

9,139

7,977

Otago

1,980

3,052

2,172

2,291

2,760

3,062

3,066

3,069

3,072

3,052

3,116

3,060

3,088

Southland
Other(3)

534

674

739

783

900

899

886

880

870

1,020

1,098

986

902

6,759

7,107

10,428

16,635

16,053

11,093

10,328

9,576

10,506

11,044

11,582

11,065

14,100

Total

56,252

61,285

69,489

92,663

97,250

84,285

79,139

80,076

82,700

85,239

88,251

82,305

84,016

Departures(4)
Northland

1,736

1,977

1,896

1,424

1,287

1,491

1,708

1,743

1,900

2,295

2,315

1,705

2,407

Auckland

24,961

25,953

28,757

20,459

19,008

21,709

24,150

23,885

24,779

27,750

26,708

24,275

27,939

Waikato

5,384

5,497

5,789

4,327

3,861

4,396

5,115

5,134

5,361

6,087

5,696

4,877

6,153

Bay of Plenty

3,787

4,012

3,982

3,208

2,971

3,374

4,038

4,031

4,294

4,909

4,677

3,742

4,706

528

482

637

459

311

449

518

501

558

748

646

510

723

Hawke's Bay

2,123

2,201

2,133

1,694

1,662

1,726

1,982

1,953

2,046

2,439

2,402

1,688

2,180

Taranaki

1,536

1,474

1,506

1,189

946

1,165

1,221

1,254

1,342

1,473

1,338

1,043

1,426

Gisborne

ManawatuWanganui

2,955

3,128

3,484

2,642

2,365

2,642

2,775

2,781

3,005

3,248

2,830

2,195

2,758

Wellington

8,935

9,485

9,682

6,963

6,165

6,481

7,382

7,362

7,555

8,434

7,924

6,916

8,143

Nelson-Tasman

1,173

1,248

1,215

1,006

891

950

1,083

1,145

1,231

1,281

1,296

947

1,344

Marlborough

485

575

531

492

401

416

493

537

538

586

580

573

706

West Coast

385

319

278

253

236

247

304

282

315

344

263

261

358

Canterbury

7,770

8,671

8,465

6,629

5,826

6,806

7,914

7,719

8,030

8,747

8,289

7,058

9,525

Otago

2,924

2,941

2,761

2,295

2,150

2,342

2,557

2,630

2,817

3,113

2,993

2,569

3,056

Southland

1,235

1,108

1,016

805

712

845

958

936

976

1,296

897

692

956

Other(3)

1,704

1,974

6,623

6,003

5,941

7,238

8,348

7,495

7,875

7,757

6,882

6,750

7,769

67,621

71,045

78,755

59,848

54,733

62,277

70,546

69,388

72,622

80,507

75,736

65,801

80,149

Total

103

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.06

Permanent and long-term migration


By New Zealand region
19992011
New Zealand
region(1)

June year
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Net permanent and long-term migration(5)


Northland

-762

-808

-785

-43

234

-29

-172

-210

-441

-677

-692

-183

-921

Auckland

-1,169

361

377

18,496

22,129

12,150

6,814

7,753

8,319

6,134

8,611

8,805

6,220

Waikato

-2,081

-2,005

-2,050

387

1,209

747

-236

-157

-401

-809

-327

160

-1,588

Bay of Plenty

-1,726

-1,617

-1,568

-153

346

-177

-831

-895

-1,023

-1,366

-1,092

-209

-1,340

Gisborne

-262

-143

-388

-143

131

-77

-141

-78

-184

-388

-261

-99

-411

Hawke's Bay

-970

-952

-845

-137

-125

-61

-361

-272

-324

-815

-762

-56

-780

Taranaki

-805

-631

-576

-24

373

84

-123

-165

-90

73

79

-275

ManawatuWanganui
Wellington

-891

-1,086

-1,317

28

582

234

-158

42

-334

-702

-111

210

-435

-3,232

-3,460

-3,266

752

1,578

1,122

-7

412

477

-333

445

312

-718

Nelson-Tasman

-456

-443

-324

87

370

231

15

42

-37

-125

-120

223

-233

Marlborough

-218

-246

-151

-32

95

89

-23

-21

-33

119

12

-19

-293

West Coast

-234

-150

-53

-34

49

-6

-13

21

-26

-33

141

72

-84

Canterbury

-1,973

-2,510

-1,378

2,556

4,334

3,068

1,409

1,575

1,490

803

1,630

2,081

-1,548

Otago

-944

-769

-470

465

912

724

512

442

235

67

519

-4

Southland
Other(3)

-701

-434

-277

-22

188

54

-72

-56

-106

-276

201

294

-54

5,055

5,133

3,805

10,632

10,112

3,855

1,980

2,081

2,631

3,287

4,700

4,315

6,331

-11,369

-9,760

-9,266

32,815

42,517

22,008

8,593

10,688

10,078

4,732

12,515

16,504

3,867

Total

1. Regions are territorial authority groupings that approximate regional council areas. Where territorial authorities span more than one
regional council area, a territorial authority has been fully included in the region it is mainly in.
2. Permanent and long-term arrivals include overseas migrants who arrive in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12
months or more (or permanently), plus New Zealand residents returning after an absence of 12 months or more.
3. Includes 'not stated' and Chatham Islands.
4. Permanent and long-term departures include New Zealand residents departing for an intended period of 12 months or more
(or permanently), plus overseas visitors departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
5. Permanent and long-term arrivals minus permanent and long-term departures.

Source: Statistics New Zealand

104

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 5.07

Permanent and long-term arrivals


By visa type
200411
June
year

Residence

Student

Work

Visitor

Other

Not
applicable(1)

Total

2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

18,492
15,609
17,917
17,156
15,262
14,275
13,117
13,008

12,635
9,492
9,723
11,310
13,762
16,148
15,110
16,836

15,187
17,338
18,111
20,489
22,668
23,343
19,657
21,275

5,901
6,008
4,942
5,097
5,399
5,167
3,772
4,402

443
419
357
410
463
537
497
655

31,627
30,273
29,026
28,238
27,685
28,781
30,152
27,840

84,285
79,139
80,076
82,700
85,239
88,251
82,305
84,016

1. New Zealand and Australian citizens.


Source: Statistics New Zealand

105

6 Subnational population estimates


Subnational population estimates give the best available measure of the size and age-sex
structure of the population usually living in an area. Estimates are derived from the latest census
data, with adjustments for net census undercount, residents temporarily overseas on census
night, and births, deaths, and migration since the census.
The following highlights are based on the estimated resident population at 30 June 2011, and on
subnational boundaries at 1 July 2011:
Fifteen of New Zealands 16 regions recorded population growth in the June 2011 year.
The fastest-growing regions were Auckland, Tasman, and Nelson (up 1.6 percent each).
Canterbury region decreased by 0.9 percent due to the 2010/11 Canterbury earthquakes.
The fastest-growing territorial authority areas in the June 2011 year were Selwyn district
(up 3.9 percent), Queenstown-Lakes district (up 3.3 percent), Ashburton district (up 2.3
percent), Waimakariri district (up 2.0 percent), and Hurunui district (up 1.8 percent). All
these districts are located in the South Island, with most close to Christchurch city.
Figure 6

106

Demographic Trends: 2011

Introduction
The estimated resident population of an area in New Zealand is an estimate of all people who
usually live in that area at a given date. The latest population estimates available are based on
the census usually resident population count of each area from the 2006 Census of Population
and Dwellings (held 7 March 2006). These counts are then updated for residents missed or
counted more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas
on census night; reconciliation with demographic estimates at ages 04 years; and births, deaths,
and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate.

North and South islands


In the June 2011 year, the population of the North Island grew at a considerably faster rate than
that of the South Island. An estimated 3,366,100 people lived in the North Island at 30 June 2011,
an increase of 37,200 (1.1 percent) from 30 June 2010. The estimated resident population of the
South Island grew by 150 (0 percent) in the June 2011 year to reach 1,038,400. At 30 June 2011,
76 out of every 100 New Zealand residents lived in the North Island.
Natural increase (excess of births over deaths) was the main component of the North Islands
population growth in the June 2011 year, accounting for about three-quarters of total growth. In
contrast, the South Island's natural increase was offset by net migration, resulting in a very small
population growth.

Regions
Fifteen of New Zealand's 16 regions had population growth during the June 2011 year. The rates
of population growth ranged from 0.1 percent (Gisborne) to 1.6 percent (Auckland, Tasman, and
Nelson). Canterbury was the only region that recorded a decrease (-0.9 percent). This decrease
was related to the 2010/11 Canterbury earthquakes.
Of the three fastest-growing regions, Auckland is New Zealand's most populous region and has
been the fastest-growing region over the last decade. Although Auckland recorded a rise in
estimated net migration during the June 2011 year, natural increase (excess of births over
deaths) made the main contribution to Auckland's growth, accounting for 65 percent of growth in
the year. In contrast, population growth in Tasman and Nelson was primarily due to net migration.
In the June 2011 year, all 16 regions had population gains from natural increase and 10 regions
had population gains from net migration (international and internal migration combined). Natural
increase was the main contributor to population growth in most regions. The exceptions were
Tasman, Nelson, and Otago (where net migration accounted for more of the population growth
than natural increase). Five regions recorded net migration losses in the June 2011 year
(Northland, Gisborne, Hawkes Bay, Manawatu-Wanganui, and Canterbury).
The population of the earthquake-affected Canterbury region decreased by 5,100 (0.9 percent) in
the June 2011 year. This decrease was due to a net migration loss of 7,600, partly offset by a
natural increase of 2,600. There were contrasting changes within the Canterbury region. While
Christchurch city's population decreased by 8,900 (2.4 percent), the remainder of the Canterbury
region experienced population growth of 3,900 (2.1 percent).
Auckland, with an estimated resident population of 1,486,000 at 30 June 2011, was home to
about one-third of New Zealand residents. The four northernmost regions (Northland, Auckland,
Waikato, and Bay of Plenty) contained just over half (53 percent) New Zealand's population.
Canterbury, with an estimated resident population of 560,700, was home to 54 percent of South
Island residents.

107

Demographic Trends: 2011

Territorial authority areas


New Zealand is made up of 67 territorial authority areas: 12 cities, 53 districts, Chatham Islands
territory, and Auckland. In the June 2011 year, 54 of the 67 territorial authority areas had
population increases. The highest rates of growth in the June 2011 year were recorded in the
Selwyn (3.9 percent) and Queenstown-Lakes (3.3 percent) districts.
Thames-Coromandel district was the only territorial authority area to record a natural decrease
(an excess of deaths over births). Wellington citys population exceeded 200,000 for the first time,
reaching 200,100 at 30 June 2011.
Ten territorial authority areas recorded population decreases in the June 2011 year (South
Waikato, Kawerau, Opotiki, Wairoa, Ruapehu, Wanganui, Rangitikei, Tararua, Horowhenua
districts, and Christchurch city). The largest rate of population decrease was in Christchurch city
(-2.4 percent). This city was the only territorial authority area in the South Island to experience a
population decrease.

More information
Population estimates at 30 June 200611 by five-year age group and sex, for regional council
areas, territorial authority areas, and area units, are available from Table Builder on the Statistics
NZ website.
For additional tables, go to subnational population estimates tables.
For more information about subnational population estimates, see:
Information about the population estimates
Estimating local populations after the 2010/11 Canterbury earthquakes
Evaluation of alternative data sources for population estimates.

108

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.01

Area(1), estimated resident population (2), and population change


Regional council areas
At 30 June 200611
Population at 30 June
Regional council area(3)

Area
(square
kilometres)

At 30 June 2011
Share of NZ
population
(percent)

People per
square
kilometre

Population change
201011
(percent)

2006

2010

2011

13,778
5,945
24,147
12,303
8,386
14,138
7,256
22,220
8,142
9,764
447
10,773
23,277
44,633
31,280
32,184

152,700
1,373,000
393,200
265,300
46,000
152,100
107,300
229,400
466,300
45,800
44,300
43,600
32,100
540,000
199,800
93,200

157,400
1,461,900
409,300
275,100
46,600
154,800
109,100
231,500
483,300
47,300
45,500
45,300
32,700
565,700
207,400
94,200

158,200
1,486,000
413,100
277,100
46,600
155,300
109,700
232,400
487,700
48,100
46,200
45,600
32,900
560,700
209,900
94,900

3.6
33.7
9.4
6.3
1.1
3.5
2.5
5.3
11.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.7
12.7
4.8
2.2

11
250
17
23
6
11
15
10
60
5
103
4
1
13
7
3

0.5
1.6
0.9
0.7
0.1
0.3
0.6
0.4
0.9
1.6
1.6
0.7
0.7
-0.9
1.2
0.7

North Island regions


South Island regions

116,315
152,358

3,185,100
998,800

3,328,900
1,038,200

3,366,100
1,038,400

76.4
23.6

29
7

1.1
0.0

New Zealand(4)

269,652

4,184,600

4,367,800

4,405,200

100.0

16

0.9

Northland region
Auckland region
Waikato region
Bay of Plenty region
Gisborne region
Hawke's Bay region
Taranaki region
Manawatu-Wanganui region
Wellington region
Tasman region
Nelson region
Marlborough region
West Coast region
Canterbury region
Otago region
Southland region

1.
2.

3.
4.

Area at 1 July 2011. Excludes inland waters and oceanic areas.


The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for residents missed or counted
more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and births, deaths, and
net migration between census night and the date of the estimate.
Boundaries at 1 July 2011.
Comprises North Island regions, South Island regions, and areas not included in a region (eg Chatham Islands territory).

Note: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).

Source: Statistics New Zealand

109

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.02

Area(1), estimated resident population (2), and population change


Territorial authority areas
At 30 June 200611
Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(3)

Far North district


Whangarei district
Kaipara district
Auckland
Thames-Coromandel district
Hauraki district
Waikato district
Matamata-Piako district
Hamilton city
Waipa district
Otorohanga district
South Waikato district
Waitomo district
Taupo district
Western Bay of Plenty district
Tauranga city
Rotorua district
Whakatane district
Kawerau district
Opotiki district
Gisborne district
Wairoa district
Hastings district
Napier city
Central Hawke's Bay district
New Plymouth district
Stratford district
South Taranaki district
Ruapehu district
Wanganui district
Rangitikei district
Manawatu district
Palmerston North city
Tararua district
Horowhenua district
Kapiti Coast district
Porirua city
Upper Hutt city
Lower Hutt city
Wellington city
Masterton district
Carterton district
South Wairarapa district

Area
(square
kilometres)

7,304
2,854
3,115
5,945
2,299
1,270
4,471
1,755
110
1,470
2,065
1,819
3,548
6,334
2,117
175
2,409
4,465
24
3,100
8,386
4,077
5,226
106
3,332
2,205
2,163
3,575
6,734
2,373
4,484
2,626
336
4,364
1,064
731
182
540
377
290
2,300
1,180
2,387

At 30 June 2011

2006

2010

2011

57,500
76,500
18,550
1,373,000
26,700
18,300
59,500
31,200
134,800
43,700
9,310
23,200
9,680
33,400
43,000
106,900
68,100
34,500
7,150
9,200
45,900
8,720
73,200
56,800
13,250
71,100
9,120
27,200
14,050
43,800
15,150
29,000
78,500
18,050
30,600
47,500
50,600
39,700
101,300
187,700
23,200
7,260
9,120

58,400
80,000
18,950
1,461,900
27,000
18,650
63,400
31,800
143,400
45,700
9,290
22,900
9,640
34,000
45,400
114,300
68,600
34,400
6,990
9,000
46,500
8,440
75,100
57,600
13,500
73,200
9,160
26,900
13,550
43,500
14,850
29,700
81,300
17,750
30,600
49,400
52,100
41,100
102,700
197,700
23,400
7,540
9,340

58,500
80,500
19,150
1,486,000
27,000
18,750
64,300
32,000
145,600
46,100
9,320
22,800
9,630
34,100
45,800
115,700
68,900
34,500
6,940
8,950
46,600
8,350
75,500
57,800
13,500
73,800
9,160
26,900
13,400
43,500
14,800
30,000
82,100
17,700
30,600
49,800
52,700
41,500
103,000
200,100
23,500
7,650
9,430

110

Share of NZ
population
(percent)

1.3
1.8
0.4
33.7
0.6
0.4
1.5
0.7
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.5
0.2
0.8
1.0
2.6
1.6
0.8
0.2
0.2
1.1
0.2
1.7
1.3
0.3
1.7
0.2
0.6
0.3
1.0
0.3
0.7
1.9
0.4
0.7
1.1
1.2
0.9
2.3
4.5
0.5
0.2
0.2

People per
square
kilometre

8
28
6
250
12
15
14
18
1,328
31
5
13
3
5
22
661
29
8
294
3
6
2
14
546
4
33
4
8
2
18
3
11
245
4
29
68
289
77
273
690
10
6
4

Population change
201011
(percent)

0.2
0.7
1.1
1.6
0.1
0.6
1.3
0.4
1.5
0.8
0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.3
0.9
1.2
0.5
0.1
-0.8
-0.6
0.1
-1.0
0.6
0.3
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.2
-1.1
0.0
-0.5
1.0
1.1
-0.1
0.0
0.7
1.1
1.1
0.3
1.2
0.5
1.5
1.0

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.02

Area(1), estimated resident population (2), and population change


Territorial authority areas
At 30 June 200611
Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(3)

Tasman district
Nelson city
Marlborough district
Kaikoura district
Buller district
Grey district
Westland district
Hurunui district
Waimakariri district
Christchurch city
Selwyn district
Ashburton district
Timaru district
Mackenzie district
Waimate district
Chatham Islands territory
Waitaki district
Central Otago district
Queenstown-Lakes district
Dunedin city
Clutha district
Southland district
Gore district
Invercargill city
New Zealand(4)
1.
2.

3.
4.

Area
(square
kilometres)

At 30 June 2011
Share of NZ
population
(percent)

People per
square
kilometre

Population change
201011
(percent)

2006

2010

2011

9,764
447
10,773
2,047
7,949
3,475
11,854
8,641
2,217
1,539
6,381
6,183
2,733
7,140
3,554
979
7,109
9,956
8,719
3,350
6,342
30,438
1,254
493

45,800
44,300
43,600
3,730
9,940
13,550
8,620
10,750
44,100
361,800
35,000
28,000
43,800
3,900
7,380
650
20,700
17,050
24,100
122,300
17,200
29,200
12,400
51,600

47,300
45,500
45,300
3,800
10,000
13,850
8,880
11,100
47,600
376,700
39,600
29,400
44,300
4,010
7,550
640
20,800
18,200
27,800
124,800
17,450
29,500
12,300
52,400

48,100
46,200
45,600
3,860
10,100
13,900
8,960
11,300
48,600
367,700
41,100
30,100
44,700
4,050
7,630
640
20,900
18,400
28,700
126,000
17,550
29,600
12,300
53,000

1.1
1.0
1.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
1.1
8.3
0.9
0.7
1.0
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.7
2.9
0.4
0.7
0.3
1.2

5
103
4
2
1
4
1
1
22
239
6
5
16
1
2
1
3
2
3
38
3
1
10
108

1.6
1.6
0.7
1.6
0.8
0.4
0.9
1.8
2.0
-2.4
3.9
2.3
0.8
1.0
1.0
0.2
0.6
1.1
3.3
1.0
0.5
0.6
0.0
1.0

269,652

4,184,600

4,367,800

4,405,200

100.0

16

0.9

Area at 1 July 2011. Excludes inland waters and oceanic areas.


The estimated resident population is based on the census usually resident population count, updated for residents missed or counted
more than once by the census (net census undercount); residents temporarily overseas on census night; and births, deaths, and
net migration between census night and the date of the estimate.
Boundaries at 1 July 2011.
Includes the population of inlets, islands, ships, and oil rigs which are not included in a territorial authority area.

Note: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
Source: Statistics New Zealand

111

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.03

Components of population change


Regional council areas
(1)

Regional council area

Average annual change,


four years ended 30 June 2010
Net
Natural
Population
change
increase(2)
migration(3)

Year ended 30 June 2011


Natural
increase(2)

Net
migration(3)

Population
change

Northland region
Auckland region
Waikato region
Bay of Plenty region
Gisborne region
Hawke's Bay region
Taranaki region
Manawatu-Wanganui region
Wellington region
Tasman region
Nelson region
Marlborough region
West Coast region
Canterbury region
Otago region
Southland region

1,000
15,600
3,400
1,800
390
1,100
680
1,400
3,900
230
240
170
170
3,200
800
600

140
6,600
590
610
-240
-420
-230
-840
330
160
70
270
-10
3,200
1,100
-350

1,200
22,200
4,000
2,400
150
670
450
530
4,300
390
310
440
160
6,400
1,900
250

1,000
15,600
3,200
1,900
360
1,000
610
1,400
3,700
160
210
200
130
2,600
870
550

-170
8,400
560
150
-300
-520
0
-480
750
600
510
100
80
-7,600
1,600
150

850
24,100
3,800
2,000
60
510
620
900
4,400
760
720
300
210
-5,100
2,500
700

North Island regions


South Island regions

29,400
5,400

6,500
4,400

35,900
9,900

28,800
4,700

8,400
-4,500

37,200
150

New Zealand(4)

34,800

11,000

45,800

33,500

3,900

37,400

1.
2.
3.
4.

Boundaries at 1 July 2011.


Excess of births over deaths.
Net international migration plus net internal migration.
New Zealand comprises the North Island and South Island regions plus areas not included in a region (eg Chatham
Islands territory).

Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

112

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.04

Components of population change


Territorial authority areas
(1)

Territorial authority area

Far North district


Whangarei district
Kaipara district
Auckland
Thames-Coromandel district
Hauraki district
Waikato district
Matamata-Piako district
Hamilton city
Waipa district
Otorohanga district
South Waikato district
Waitomo district
Taupo district
Western Bay of Plenty district
Tauranga city
Rotorua district
Whakatane district
Kawerau district
Opotiki district
Gisborne district
Wairoa district
Hastings district
Napier city
Central Hawke's Bay district
New Plymouth district
Stratford district
South Taranaki district
Ruapehu district
Wanganui district
Rangitikei district
Manawatu district
Palmerston North city
Tararua district
Horowhenua district
Kapiti Coast district
Porirua city
Upper Hutt city
Lower Hutt city
Wellington city
Masterton district
Carterton district
South Wairarapa district

Average annual change,


four years ended 30 June 2010
Net
Natural
Population
change
increase(2)
migration(3)

410
520
110
15,600
-10
70
610
200
1,600
280
90
210
90
270
230
660
640
240
70
50
390
80
580
320
110
400
50
220
140
150
100
190
620
130
60
50
700
270
980
1,800
80
30
50

-200
340
-10
6,600
90
10
380
-40
590
220
-90
-300
-100
-130
360
1,200
-520
-250
-100
-100
-240
-160
-100
-110
-50
110
-40
-300
-260
-220
-160
-10
60
-210
-40
450
-320
80
-630
740
-20
40
10

113

210
870
100
22,200
80
80
980
160
2,200
500
0
-90
-10
130
590
1,800
130
0
-40
-50
150
-70
470
210
60
520
10
-80
-130
-70
-70
180
680
-80
20
490
380
350
350
2,500
50
70
50

Year ended 30 June 2011


Natural
increase(2)

Net
migration(3)

Population
change

340
540
140
15,600
-40
80
500
190
1,600
270
100
210
70
190
170
790
610
280
40
50
360
80
560
290
90
340
50
220
120
140
70
250
640
130
30
40
640
260
900
1,700
60
60
40

-220
-20
70
8,400
70
40
330
-70
620
110
-70
-230
-70
-100
220
630
-290
-240
-100
-100
-300
-170
-120
-140
-90
230
-50
-180
-270
-150
-140
40
230
-150
-40
300
-50
180
-600
750
60
60
50

120
520
210
24,100
20
120
830
120
2,200
380
30
-20
0
90
390
1,400
320
40
-60
-50
60
-90
440
140
10
570
0
50
-140
-10
-70
290
870
-20
-10
340
590
440
310
2,400
120
110
90

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 6.04

Components of population change


Territorial authority areas
(1)

Territorial authority area

Tasman district
Nelson city
Marlborough district
Kaikoura district
Buller district
Grey district
Westland district
Hurunui district
Waimakariri district
Christchurch city
Selwyn district
Ashburton district
Timaru district
Mackenzie district
Waimate district
Chatham Islands territory
Waitaki district
Central Otago district
Queenstown-Lakes district
Dunedin city
Clutha district
Southland district
Gore district
Invercargill city
New Zealand(4)
1.
2.
3.
4.

Average annual change,


four years ended 30 June 2010
Net
Natural
Population
change
increase(2)
migration(3)

Year ended 30 June 2011


Natural
increase(2)

Net
migration(3)

Population
change

230
240
170
20
40
80
40
70
270
2,200
400
160
100
40
30
10
10
70
320
320
100
280
40
280

160
70
270
0
-20
-10
20
20
620
1,600
750
190
40
-10
20
-10
20
220
600
290
-30
-220
-60
-70

390
310
440
20
20
70
60
90
900
3,700
1,200
350
130
30
40
0
30
290
920
600
60
60
-30
210

160
210
200
20
40
40
50
50
220
1,600
380
220
30
20
0
10
20
50
330
390
100
280
20
260

600
510
100
40
40
20
30
160
720
-10,600
1,200
460
300
20
80
0
110
160
580
830
-10
-100
-20
270

760
720
300
60
80
60
80
200
940
-8,900
1,500
680
330
40
80
0
120
200
910
1,200
80
170
0
530

34,800

11,000

45,800

33,500

3,900

37,400

Boundaries at 1 July 2011.


Excess of births over deaths.
Net international migration plus net internal migration.
Includes the population of inlets, islands, ships, and oil rigs that are not included in a territorial authority area.

Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not always sum to the stated total(s).
All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

114

7 National demographic projections


The projections give an indication of future changes in New Zealand's population, broad ethnic
populations, families and households, and labour force.
The following highlights are based on the respective mid-range projection series, one of many
series produced:
New Zealands population is projected to reach 5 million in the mid-2020s, according to the
mid-range scenario (series 5) of the 2009-base projections.
The population growth rate will slow steadily, because of the narrowing gap between births
and deaths. By 2061, natural increase (births minus deaths) is projected to be 5,000, down
from over 30,000 in 2009.
The age structure of the population will continue to undergo gradual but significant
changes, resulting in more older people and further ageing of the population.
Half of New Zealands population will be aged 43 years and older by 2061, compared with
a median age of 37 years in 2009.
The population aged 65 years and over will surpass 1 million by the late 2020s, compared
with 550,000 in 2009.
Between 2006 and 2026, the broad Asian, Pacific, and Mori ethnic populations are all
projected to grow faster than the New Zealand population overall.
The numbers of families and households will grow faster than the population between 2006
and 2031, reflecting the trend towards smaller average household size.
The average size of households will decrease from 2.6 people in 2006 to 2.4 people in
2031.
One-person households are projected to increase by an average of 2.0 percent a year,
from 363,000 in 2006 to 602,000 in 2031.
Most of the growth in families will be in couple-without-children families as the large number
of people born during the 1950s to early 1970s reach the older ages.
New Zealand's labour force is projected to keep increasing from an estimated 2.24 million
in 2006 to 2.75 million in 2031 and 3.00 million in 2061.
Half the New Zealand labour force will be older than 42 years in 2011, compared with a
median age of 40 years in 2006 and 36 years in 1991.

115

Demographic Trends: 2011

Figure 7

Population by broad age group


1,800

19512061, series 5

(000)

1,600
1,400

4064

1,200

1539

1,000

65+
014

800
600
400
200
0
1951

Projected

Estimated
1961

1971

1981

1991

2001

2011

2021

2031

2041

2051

2061

Note: The break in series between 1990 and 1991 denotes a change from the de facto population concept to the
resident population concept.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

Introduction
This chapter presents the latest national demographic projections for New Zealand. It includes
projections of total population, population by age, ethnic populations, the number of households
and families, and the labour force. These projections are not predictions or forecasts, but are an
indication of future demographic change using assumptions about future patterns in fertility
(births), mortality (deaths), migration, inter-ethnic mobility, living arrangement types, and labour
force participation. Multiple series are produced to demonstrate the impact of different
assumptions and because of uncertainty in future trends. However, because of space restrictions,
only the respective mid-range projection series is discussed in this commentary. In general, the
chosen series conveys the broad features of likely future dynamics and patterns.
National population projections 2009 (base)2061 based on the estimated resident population
(provisional) of New Zealand at 30 June 2009 were released on 27 October 2009. These
projections will be updated and released in 2012.
Updated 2006-base national ethnic population projections, labour force projections, and family
and household projections were released in 2010. These projections will be updated and
released in 201516 following the availability of 2013 Census results.

New Zealands population


The projected shape of New Zealands future population will be noticeably different from what it is
today. Population growth will slow between 2009 and 2061. The national population is expected
to reach 5 million in the June 2027 year, 5.40 million in 2041 and 5.75 million in 2061 (series 5).
The slowing of the population growth during the projection period is driven by the narrowing gap
between births and deaths. Annual births are expected to decrease from 63,000 in 2010 to an
average of 62,000 in 201216, and 61,000 in 201726. Subsequently, births are projected to
increase to an annual average of 63,000 by 2061. These trends reflect the assumed decrease in
total fertility rates and fluctuations in the number of women in the childbearing ages.
In contrast, deaths are expected to increase steadily from 30,000 in 2010 to 42,000 in 2031, and
to 58,000 in 2061, despite assumed lower death rates and increased life expectancy. This is

116

Demographic Trends: 2011

because of the large number of people born during the 1950s to early 1970s reaching the older
ages.

Population by age
All projection series indicate more older people and further ageing of the population. The median
age (half the population is older, and half younger, than this age) of New Zealands population
increased from 26 years in 1971 to 37 years in 2009. According to projection series 5, half of the
population will be aged 40 years and older by 2031, and by 2061 half the population will be aged
43 years and older.
The number of children aged 014 years peaked at 940,000 in 1974, then decreased steadily to
770,000 in 1989, before generally increasing to 890,000 in 2009. Under projection series 5, the
number of children is expected to increase slightly to 940,000 in 2021 before easing to about
930,000 in 202343. In the long term, the number of children increases to 950,000 in 2051 and
960,000 in 2061. The projected fluctuations reflect birth numbers in preceding years. By 2061,
children will account for only 17 percent of the population compared with 21 percent in 2009 and
about 33 percent in the early 1960s.
The working-age population (those aged 1564) more than doubled from 1.20 million in 1951 to
2.87 million in 2009. It is projected to grow gradually to 3.15 million in 2031 and 3.36 million in
2061. The working-age population will then make up 58 percent of the total population, compared
with 67 percent in 2009.
The number of people aged 65 years and over has doubled since 1976, to 550,000 in 2009.
Projection series 5 indicates that there will be 1.44 million people aged 65+ in 2061, 2.6 times the
2009 total. The largest growth will occur between 2011 and 2037 as the baby boomers move into
this age group. From the late 2020s, the 65+ age group will make up over 20 percent of all New
Zealanders, compared with 13 percent in 2009. From the late 2050s, this age group will comprise
25 percent of the population.

Population by ethnicity
Ethnic diversity is set to increase in New Zealand in the future. All ethnic populations will increase
numerically, but their relative percentages of the New Zealand population are projected to change
considerably. Mori will comprise 16 percent of the population in 2026, up from 15 percent in
2006 (series 6). In a similar trend, Pacific peoples will comprise 10 percent of the population in
2026, up from 7 percent in 2006.
The most significant change will be to the broad Asian ethnic group, comprising 16 percent of the
total population by 2026, up from 10 percent in 2006. European or Other (including New
Zealander) will still be the largest ethnic group, making up 70 percent of the total population in
2026, although this is a drop from 77 percent in 2006.
In the case of the Asian population the growth is mainly driven by net migration gains. In the case
of the Mori and Pacific populations, the growth is mainly driven by higher fertility rates combined
with a youthful age structure.
Each ethnic population consists of all people who identify with that ethnicity. It is important to note
that these populations are not mutually exclusive because people can and do identify with more
than one ethnicity, and can therefore be counted in more than one ethnic population.

Families
The number of families is projected to reach 1.46 million by 2031 (series 5B), an increase of
288,000 (an average annual increase of 0.9 percent a year) from an estimated 1.17 million
families at 30 June 2006.

117

Demographic Trends: 2011

Couple without children families will grow from 40 percent of all families in 2006 to 50 percent in
2031, surpassing two-parent families, which will decrease from 41 percent of all families in 2006
to 32 percent in 2031. These changes are largely the result of changes in the age structure of the
population, and partly because of continuing trends towards single parenting and fewer couples
having children. The share of one-parent families will stay relatively static, decreasing from 19
percent to 18 percent of all families between 2006 and 2031.

Households
The number of households is projected to reach 2.09 million by 2031 (series 5B), an increase of
536,000 (an average annual increase of 1.2 percent a year) from an estimated 1.55 million
households at 30 June 2006.
There will also be a shift in household types. One-person households are projected to be the
fastest-growing household type, increasing by 240,000 (an average of 2.0 percent a year) from
363,000 in 2006 to 602,000 in 2031. One-person households will account for 29 percent of all
households in 2031, up from 23 percent in 2006. On the other hand, family households will
decrease from 72 percent of all households in 2006 to 67 percent in 2031. Other multiperson
households will remain relatively static at 4 percent of all households between 2006 and 2031.

Labour force
New Zealand's labour force is projected to rise from an estimated 2.24 million at 30 June 2006 to
2.75 million in 2031 and 3.00 million in 2061 (series 5M). The median age of the labour force was
36 years in 1991 and 40 years in 2006. A further increase in the median age to 42 years in 2011
is projected and it is likely to remain about 4244 years through to 2061.
In 1991, the labour force aged 2544 years (870,000) was almost double the labour force aged
4564 years (440,000). By 2014, these age groups will be equal in number. There will also be a
significant increase in the labour force aged 65 years and over, which is expected to increase
from an estimated 25,000 in 1991 and 62,000 in 2006 to reach 240,000 in 2031 and 300,000
during the late 2050s.

More information
Demographic projections are updated and released every 23 years. The very latest projections,
related articles and reports, and more detailed information are available from the estimates and
projections web page on the Statistics NZ website.
More detailed projection results, including projections for individual years and projections by age
and sex, are available from Table Builder on the Statistics NZ website.

118

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 7.01

Projected population of New Zealand


19912061 (2009-base)
(1)

Projection
(2)

Year at
30 June

assumptions
Fertility
Mortality
Net migration

Series 1
Low
High
5,000

Series 2
Low
Medium
10,000

Series 3
Medium
High
10,000

Alternative projections
Series 4
Series 5
Series 6
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
5,000
10,000
15,000

Series 7
Medium
Low
10,000

Series 8
High
Medium
10,000

Series 9
High
Low
15,000

Estimated population (000)


1991
1996
2001
2006

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

3,495
3,733
3,880
4,185

2009 (base)

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,316

4,425
4,631
4,818
4,992
5,149
5,284
5,402
5,506
5,597
5,678
5,755

4,436
4,669
4,888
5,095
5,287
5,457
5,612
5,755
5,885
6,006
6,124

4,428
4,640
4,835
5,020
5,189
5,340
5,475
5,598
5,707
5,806
5,900

4,429
4,653
4,866
5,071
5,260
5,431
5,589
5,741
5,888
6,031
6,174

4,442
4,700
4,954
5,204
5,442
5,665
5,879
6,090
6,298
6,502
6,708

833
0.8

971
0.9

873
0.8

945
0.9

1,127
1.1

606
0.4

837
0.5

710
0.4

913
0.5

1,266
0.7

Projected population (000)


2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
2056
2061

4,409
4,561
4,683
4,782
4,859
4,910
4,938
4,944
4,928
4,898
4,864

4,421
4,609
4,770
4,913
5,037
5,138
5,218
5,278
5,317
5,341
5,359

4,423
4,622
4,800
4,963
5,106
5,226
5,326
5,412
5,484
5,547
5,608

4,415
4,592
4,748
4,888
5,010
5,110
5,191
5,258
5,310
5,350
5,386

Population change 200931


Number (000)
Average annual (3) (percent)

544
0.5

721
0.7

791
0.8

694
0.7

Population change 203161


Number (000)
Average annual (3) (percent)

4
0.0

322
0.2

502
0.3

376
0.2

1. These projections have as a base the estimated resident population (provisional) of New Zealand at 30 June 2009. Nine alternative series
have been produced using different combinations of fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions as outlined in the following footnote.
2. Projection assumptions comprise:
(a) Fertility: Three alternative variants designated low, medium, and high which assume that fertility rates will vary until the year 2026
when the total fertility rate will reach 1.70, 1.90, and 2.10 births per woman, respectively. After 2026, fertility rates are assumed to stay
constant. The total fertility rate in the year ended June 2009 was 2.14 births per woman (based on births by date of registration).
(b) Mortality: Three alternative variants designated low, medium, and high which assume that mortality rates will continue to drop so that
the period life expectancy at birth for males will increase to 88.6, 85.6, and 82.6 years, respectively, by 2061. The corresponding life
expectancies at birth for females in 2061 will be 91.2, 88.7, and 86.2 years. The life expectancy at birth in 200507, from complete period
life tables, was 78.0 years for males and 82.2 years for females.
(c) Migration: Three alternative variants designated low, medium, and high which assume long-run annual net migration of 5,000, 10,000,
and 15,000, respectively. Series with long-run annual net migration of 5,000 assume net migration of 20,000 in 2010, 14,000 in 2011, and
9,000 in 2012. Series with long-run annual net migration of 10,000 assume net migration of 25,000 in 2010, 19,000 in 2011, and 14,000 in
2012. Series with long-run annual net migration of 15,000 assume net migration of 30,000 in 2010, 24,000 in 2011, and 19,000 in 2012.
3. Calculated as a constant rate of annual change over the period.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to the stated totals.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

119

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 7.02

Projected population by age group


Assuming medium fertility, medium mortality, and long-run annual net migration of 10,000 (1)
19912061 (2009-base)
Year at
30 June

Population by age group (years)


014

1539
4064
Number (000)

65+

014

1539
4064
Percent

65+

Median
age
(years)

Estimated
1991
1996
2001
2006

807
860
877
888

1,399
1,434
1,389
1,464

897
1,009
1,154
1,321

391
430
461
512

23
23
23
21

40
38
36
35

26
27
30
32

11
12
12
12

31.4
32.9
34.7
35.8

2009 (base)

891

1,485

1,387

553

21

34

32

13

36.5

20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
17

34
33
33
33
32
31
31
30
30
29

32
32
31
30
29
29
29
30
30
30

13
15
17
19
21
22
23
23
23
24

17

29

29

25

36.8
37.3
38.1
39.1
40.2
41.2
41.8
42.1
42.6
43.1
43.5

Projected
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
2056
2061

899
917
937
929
928
928
932
940
949
954
955

1,510
1,546
1,589
1,628
1,635
1,634
1,652
1,673
1,666
1,669
1,679

1,430
1,469
1,481
1,491
1,514
1,549
1,586
1,629
1,670
1,680
1,683

586
698
812
944
1,072
1,172
1,232
1,264
1,312
1,374
1,438

1. Projection series 5 has been used for all projections in this table. See the footnotes to table 7.01 for more detail.
Note: Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to the stated totals.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

120

8 Subnational demographic projections


The projections give an indication of future changes in New Zealand's population, broad ethnic
populations, and families and households at the subnational level.
The following highlights are based on the respective mid-range projection series, one of many
series produced of population, broad ethnic populations, and families and households.
Population growth is projected to slow in all 16 regions between 2006 and 2031.
All regions, cities, and districts will be home to more people aged 65 years and over in
2031.
Deaths will outnumber births in over one-third of territorial authority areas by 2031.
Two-fifths of New Zealand's 73 territorial authority areas will have fewer residents in 2031
than in 2006.
The majority of the population growth is projected to occur in the North Island. Sixty percent
of New Zealand's population growth between 2006 and 2031 will be in the Auckland region.
The populations of all four broad ethnic groups will increase in both the North and South
Islands during the period 200621. The North Island will account for 69, 82, 89, and 92
percent of New Zealand's 'European or Other', Mori, Asian, and Pacific population growth,
respectively, between 2006 and 2021.
In the North Island, the 'European or Other', Mori, Asian, and Pacific populations will
increase by an average of 0.4, 1.3, 3.7, and 2.4 percent a year, respectively. The
corresponding South Island increases are projected to be 0.5, 1.9, 3.7, and 2.8 percent a
year.
The North Island is expected to remain home to about 72 and 89 percent of New Zealand's
'European or Other', and Asian populations, respectively, during 200621. However, the
North Island will slightly decrease its share of the Mori population, from 87 to 86 percent,
and its share of the Pacific population, from 94 to 93 percent.
All 16 of New Zealand's regions are projected to have more households in 2031 than in
2006.
Auckland region is projected to account for 49 percent of the national growth in the number
of households.
Nine territorial authorities are projected to have fewer households in 2031 than in 2006; 32
are projected to decrease in population.
All 16 of New Zealand's regions are projected to have more couple without children families
and one-person households in 2031 than in 2006.
A continued decline in average household size is projected for all regions and territorial
authority areas between 2006 and 2031.

Introduction
This chapter presents the latest subnational demographic projections for New Zealand. It includes
projections of total population, population by age, ethnic populations, and the number of
households and families. These projections are not predictions or forecasts, but are an indication
of future demographic change using assumptions about future patterns in fertility (births),
mortality (deaths), migration, inter-ethnic mobility, and living arrangement types. Multiple series
are produced to demonstrate the impact of different assumptions and because of uncertainty in
future trends. Only the respective mid-range projection series is discussed in this commentary. In
general, the chosen series conveys the broad features of likely future dynamics and patterns.
121

Demographic Trends: 2011

While the assumptions for the various projections are formulated from an assessment of shortterm and long-term demographic trends, there is no certainty that any of the assumptions will be
realised. Furthermore, Statistics NZ makes no judgement on the relative merits of the projected
population changes.
These projections do not take into account non-demographic factors (eg war, catastrophes, major
government and business decisions, changes to the ethnic classification) which may invalidate
the projections. The unpredictability of migration trends, especially in the short term, can have a
significant effect on projection results.
Updated 2006-base subnational population projections have the estimated resident population of
each area at 30 June 2006 as a base, and cover the period to 2031 at five-year intervals.
Detailed projection results, including projections by five-year age groups and sex, for regions,
territorial authority areas and area units ('suburbs') are available from Table Builder on the
Statistics NZ website.
Updated 2006-base subnational ethnic projections are available for four broad and overlapping
ethnic populations 'European or Other (including New Zealander)', Mori, Asian, and Pacific.
The updated projections cover the period to 2021 at five-year intervals, by sex and five-year age
group (to 85 years and over), for the population usually living in the following areas:
European or Other: all 16 regional council areas (regions) and 72 of the 73 territorial
authority areas (cities and districts)
Mori: 16 regions and 56 territorial authority areas
Asian: 10 regions and 17 territorial authority areas
Pacific: 9 regions and 18 territorial authority areas.
The ethnic projections are limited to selected geographic areas, broad ethnic groups, and a
projection period of 15 years because of the small size of many subnational ethnic populations,
and because of the uncertain nature of ethnic and subnational population projections. On the
subnational ethnic population projections web page, selected information is published in the
tables, and more information is available for users requiring other ethnic population projections.
Updated 2006-base subnational family and household projections have as a base the estimated
resident population, estimated families, and estimated households of each area at 30 June 2006.
These projections cover the period to 2031 at five-year intervals. The projections results for the
16 regional council and 73 territorial authority areas of New Zealand are available from our
information releases, with additional tables available on request.

New Zealands subnational population


Under the medium series, the population of the North Island is projected to increase by an
average of 0.9 percent a year between 2006 and 2031, from 3.19 million to 4.00 million. Seventy
percent of this growth will be in the Auckland region with an increase of 1.4 percent a year. The
remainder of the North Island is projected to grow by an average of 0.5 percent a year during this
period. By 2031, the North Island is projected to be home to 78 percent of New Zealand's
population, compared with 76 percent in 2006.
The population of the South Island is projected to increase by 0.6 percent a year, from just under
1 million in 2006 to 1.15 million in 2031. The subnational population estimates indicate that the
South Island's population surpassed 1 million between 30 June 2006 and 30 June 2007. The
faster projected growth of the North Island mainly reflects its higher rate of natural increase (births
minus deaths) resulting from a higher birth rate and lower death rate than the South Island.
Thirteen of New Zealand's 16 regional council areas will be home to more people in 2031 than in
2006. Ten areas will experience population growth throughout the entire projection period.
Population growth is projected to slow in all 16 regions between 2006 and 2031. This slowing of
growth is due to declining natural increase. On average, births are projected to remain stable in
122

Demographic Trends: 2011

number, reflecting the assumed decrease in fertility rates. In contrast, deaths are projected to
increase in all regions as the population in the older ages increases.
The Auckland region is projected to account for 60 percent of New Zealand's population growth
between 2006 and 2031, with an increase of 570,000 from 1.37 million to 1.94 million (medium
series). The Auckland region would then be home to 38 percent of New Zealand's population in
2031, compared with 33 percent in 2006. Natural increase is projected to account for almost twothirds of the population growth, with the remainder due to net migration gains.
Of New Zealand's 73 territorial authority areas, 44 are projected to have more people in 2031
than in 2006. However, population growth will generally slow over the projection period because
of the narrowing gap between births and deaths. Between 2006 and 2011, 62 territorial authority
areas are projected to increase in population. Between 2026 and 2031, the number of territorial
authority areas with an increasing population will have reduced to 30.
The highest projected population growth rate over the 25-year period is for Queenstown-Lakes
district, with an average annual increase of 2.2 percent, from 24,100 in 2006 to 41,700 in 2031.
Between 2006 and 2031, relatively high average annual growth is projected for Selwyn district
(2.0 percent), Manukau city and Rodney district (1.7 percent), Waimakariri district (1.6 percent),
Tauranga city (1.5 percent) and Franklin district (1.4 percent). Natural increase will contribute
most of the population growth in Manukau city, while net migration gains will be most important in
Queenstown-Lakes, Selwyn, Rodney, and Waimakariri districts as well as Tauranga city. Net
migration and natural increase will contribute equally to population growth in Franklin district.
The general slowing of population growth over the projection period reflects the narrowing gap
between births and deaths. Nationally, natural increase (births minus deaths) is projected to
decrease from 169,000 during 200711 to 107,000 during 202731. At the regional level, only
Auckland will have more births in 202731 than in 200711. All 16 regions will experience more
deaths. As a result, by 2031 more deaths than births are expected in the Tasman, Marlborough,
and West Coast regions.

Population by age
The population of all territorial authority areas is expected to be older in future. However, there
will be considerable variation between areas, largely because of each area's current population
age structure and different fertility and migration patterns. At the national level, the median age
(half the population is younger, and half older, than this age) is projected to increase from 36
years in 2006 to 40 years in 2031. At the subnational level in 2006, the median age ranged from
31 years in Manukau and Hamilton cities to 46 years in Thames-Coromandel district. By 2031,
the median age is projected to range from 35 years in Manukau city to 55 years in ThamesCoromandel and South Wairarapa districts. A median age of 50 years or older is projected for
eight territorial authority areas in 2031.
Twenty of the 73 territorial authority areas are projected to have more children (aged under 15
years) in 2031 than in 2006. The largest percentage increases will be in Queenstown-Lakes
district (up an average of 2.0 percent a year, or 2,500 over 25 years), Selwyn district (1.3 percent,
or 3,000), and Manukau city (1.1 percent, or 27,500). All three areas will gain children through net
migration and an increase in births over the projection period. All territorial authority areas are
projected to have a lower proportion of children in 2031 compared with 2006.
The working-age population (1564 years) is projected to be higher in 22 territorial authority
areas in 2031 than in 2006, and lower in the remaining 51 areas. The working-age population
itself is projected to age. Between 2006 and 2011, 68 of the 73 territorial authority areas are
projected to have an increase in population aged 4064 years. In contrast, only 32 are projected
to have an increase in population aged 1539 years over the same period. The population aged
4064 years is expected to peak in 2011 or 2016 for most areas as the large birth cohorts of the
1960s and early 1970s move through these ages.
Nationally, the number of older people (those aged 65 years and over) is projected to double
between 2006 and 2031, with the fastest increase occurring after 2011. The increase in older
123

Demographic Trends: 2011

people is due to higher life expectancy, accentuated by the large number of people born during
the 1950s to early 1970s entering these ages.
At the subnational level, all territorial authority areas will have more older people in 2031 than in
2006, with 34 having more than doubled their population in the 65 years and over age group.
Selwyn district is projected to be home to about 3.9 times the number of people aged 65 years
and over in 2031 than in 2006 (medium series), while Queenstown-Lakes will be home to 3.4
times the number. In contrast, Waimate, South Waikato, Wanganui, Gore, Stratford, South
Taranaki, and Waitaki districts, and Dunedin city, will have about 1.6 times as many in 2031 than
in 2006.
All territorial authority areas are projected to have a higher proportion of older people in 2031
compared with 2006. The proportion in 2031 will be highest in Waitaki district (36 percent),
followed by Hauraki, South Wairarapa, Thames-Coromandel, and Horowhenua districts (all 35
percent). In contrast, older people are projected to account for 14 percent of the population of
Wellington, and 15 percent of Auckland and Manukau cities in 2031. In 2006, Kapiti Coast district
(23 percent) had the highest proportion of older people, while the Chatham Islands territory along
with Porirua, Manukau, and Wellington cities (all 8 percent) had the lowest. For New Zealand
overall, about 21 percent of the population is projected to be aged 65 years and over in 2031, up
from 12 percent in 2006.

Population by ethnicity
The projections indicate a continued concentration of population in the northern North Island. The
combined regions of Northland, Auckland, Waikato, and Bay of Plenty had 52 percent of New
Zealand's population in 2006. This is projected to increase to 55 percent in 2021. Over the same
period, these four regions are projected to increase their share of the Asian population from 74 to
76 percent. The four northernmost regions are projected to maintain about 47 percent of the
'European or Other' population, 58 percent of the Mori population, and 76 percent of the Pacific
population.
Auckland region is projected to have the largest numerical increase of 'European or Other' people
(up 60,000, from 856,000 to 917,000), Mori people (up 43,000, from 157,000 to 199,000), Asian
people (up 201,000, from 269,000 to 470,000), and Pacific people (up 87,000, from 203,000 to
290,000).
All regions are projected to have greater ethnic diversity in future in terms of the numbers and
proportions of people identifying with Mori, Asian, and Pacific ethnicities. The proportion of
Auckland region's population identifying with an Asian ethnicity is projected to increase from 20
percent in 2006 to 27 percent in 2021, and the proportion identifying with a Pacific ethnicity from
15 percent to 17 percent.
Over the same period, the proportion identifying with a 'European or Other' ethnicity in Auckland
region is projected to drop from 62 percent to 53 percent. The proportion of Gisborne region's
population identifying as Mori is projected to increase from 47 percent in 2006 to 50 percent in
2021, while its 'European or Other' share is projected to drop from 63 percent in 2006 to 61
percent in 2021. The ethnic shares for an area sum to more than 100 percent because people
can and do identify with more than one ethnicity.
Rodney district is projected to have the largest numerical increase in 'European or Other'
population, up 24,000, from 86,000 in 2006 to 110,000 in 2021. Manukau city is projected to have
the largest numerical increase in the Mori population, up 16,000 from 54,000 to 70,000, and the
Pacific population, up 55,000 from 100,000 to 155,000. The largest increase in Asian population
is projected in Auckland city, with an increase of 69,000, from 109,000 in 2006 to 178,000 in
2021.
Most cities and districts are likely to have lower proportions of the population identifying with
'European or Other' ethnicities in future. In contrast, the Mori, Asian, and Pacific shares are
generally projected to increase in territorial authority areas. The Mori, Asian, and Pacific shares
are generally higher among territorial authority areas in the North Island. Kawerau, Wairoa, and
124

Demographic Trends: 2011

Opotiki districts had 60, 59, and 57 percent of their populations, respectively, identifying as Mori
in 2006. These proportions are expected to increase to 64, 62, and 58 percent, respectively, in
2021.
Auckland city is projected to maintain the highest Asian share. One in four people living in
Auckland city identified with an Asian ethnicity in 2006, and this is expected to increase to one in
three in 2021. Manukau city is also projected to maintain a significant Asian population, with 31
percent of its population identifying with an Asian ethnicity in 2021 compared with 22 percent in
2006.
Manukau (29 percent) and Porirua (28 percent) cities had the highest Pacific shares in 2006. In
2021, 34 percent of people in Manukau city, and 31 percent of people in Porirua city, are
projected to identify with a Pacific ethnicity.

European or Other
Two-thirds of territorial authority areas are projected to have an increase in their 'European or
Other (including New Zealander)' population during the 15-year projection period to 2021.
However, the proportion of people in each area who identify with a 'European or Other' ethnicity is
projected to drop in most areas. This reflects a combination of continued fertility rates below the
national average, assumptions of net migration outflow for most areas, and an older age
structure. The increasingly older age structure of the 'European or Other' population means fewer
births (because of fewer women in the childbearing ages), more deaths, and lower momentum for
future population growth compared with the Mori, Pacific, and Asian populations.
Among the territorial authority areas, Christchurch city (313,000) had the largest 'European or
Other' population in 2006, followed by Auckland city (256,000). These two cities will maintain the
largest 'European or Other' populations by 2021.

Mori
The Mori population is projected to increase in all regions and most territorial authority areas
during 200621. The growth is driven by the high rates of Mori birth and natural increase, which
generally offset any population losses due to migration and inter-ethnic mobility (people changing
their ethnic identity). Ethnic 'inter-marriage' also makes an important contribution to population
growth: about one-quarter of Mori births have a Mori father and a non-Mori mother. In
addition, the Mori population has a young age structure, with relatively high proportions in the
child and childbearing ages, and low proportions at the older ages. This provides a built-in
momentum for future growth.
Among territorial authority areas, Manukau city had the largest Mori population in 2006. It is
projected to experience the largest numerical increase in Mori population, up 16,000, from
54,000 in 2006 to 70,000 in 2021. However, the proportion of the Manukau city population who
are Mori is projected to remain about 15 percent. Between 2006 and 2021, Manukau city will
contain 9 percent of New Zealand's Mori population.

Asian
The Asian population is projected to increase in all territorial authority areas. The growth is mainly
driven by the assumed levels of net migration, with natural increase (births minus deaths) playing
a secondary role overall.
About two-thirds of the growth in the Asian population during 200621 is projected to occur in the
four cities of the Auckland region, and almost half of the national growth is projected to occur in
Auckland and Manukau cities. In Auckland city, one-third (34 percent) of its residents will identify
with an Asian ethnicity by 2021, up from one-quarter (25 percent) in 2006. The Asian share in
Manukau, North Shore, and Waitakere cities will increase from 22, 19, and 17 percent in 2006 to
31, 28, and 25 percent in 2021, respectively. These four cities will be home to 65 percent of New
Zealand's Asian population in 2021, compared with 64 percent in 2006.

125

Demographic Trends: 2011

Pacific
The Pacific population is projected to increase in all territorial authority areas. The growth is
driven by the high rates of Pacific births and natural increase. Ethnic 'inter-marriage' also makes
an important contribution to population growth: about one-quarter of Pacific births have a Pacific
father and a non-Pacific mother. In addition, the Pacific population has a young age structure,
with relatively high proportions in the child and childbearing ages, and low proportions at the older
ages. This provides a built-in momentum for future growth. Pacific migration generally plays a
relatively minor role in the projected population changes.
About 41 percent of the growth in New Zealand's Pacific population during 200621 is projected
to occur in Manukau city. Its Pacific population is projected to increase by 55,000, from 100,000
in 2006 to 155,000 in 2021. By then, 36 percent of New Zealand's Pacific population will live in
Manukau city, up from 33 percent in 2006. The next largest Pacific population increase is
projected to occur in Waitakere city (up 17,000, from 31,000 in 2006 to 47,000 in 2021).

Families
The number of families in New Zealand is projected to increase by 288,000 (an average of 0.9
percent per year) between 2006 and 2031, from 1.17 million to 1.46 million. A family refers to a
couple, with or without child(ren), or one parent with child(ren), usually living together in a
household.
Fourteen of the 16 regions in New Zealand are projected to have more families in 2031 than in
2006. The largest increase in the number of families is projected in the Auckland region, with an
annual average increase of 1.5 percent from 376,000 to 550,000. This accounts for 61 percent of
the projected increase in the number of families at the national level. By 2031, 38 percent of all
families in New Zealand are projected to live in the Auckland region, compared with 32 percent in
2006. Fewer families are projected in the Southland and West Coast regions by 2031.
Among territorial authority areas, 43 are projected to have more families in 2031 than in 2006.
Growth in the number of families is projected to slow at the national level over the projection
period, and a similar pattern is likely for most subnational areas. This trend reflects the slowing of
population growth and the changing age structure of the population. While 14 territorial authority
areas are projected to record a decrease in the number of families between 2006 and 2016, 43
are projected to record a decrease between 2021 and 2031.
There are three broad family types that are projected: couple-without-children families, two-parent
families, and one-parent families.
At the national level, the number of couple-without-children families is projected to increase by an
annual average of 1.7 percent, from 468,000 in 2006 to 721,000 in 2031. Couple-without-children
families include (a) couples who will never have children, (b) couples who will have children in the
future, and (c) couples whose children have left the parental home. Growth in (c) is expected to
be the most significant, as the large number of people born after World War II reach 50 years and
over. An increasing proportion of couples in (a) is also assumed to contribute to the increasing
number of couple-without-children families, but to a lesser extent.
By 2031, couple-without-children families are projected to be the most common family type in all
but one territorial authority area. The exception is Manukau city, where two-parent families will
remain the most common family type. In 2006, couple-without-children families were the most
common family type for 50 territorial authority areas, while two-parent families were the most
common family type for the remaining 23.
The number of two-parent families in New Zealand is projected to decrease from 481,000 in 2006
to 468,000 by 2031. This is due to a decreasing likelihood of being in this living arrangement type
at most ages, reflecting continued trends towards single parenting and fewer couples having
children. However, 13 territorial authority areas are projected to have more two-parent families in
2031 than in 2006. These are areas projected to have significant population growth. Despite the
increase in the number of two-parent families in these areas, the share of families in this family
126

Demographic Trends: 2011

type is projected to decrease for all territorial authority areas. This is due to faster growth in the
numbers of couple-without-children families and one-parent families.
Nationally, the number of one-parent families is projected to increase by 48,000 (an average of
0.8 percent per year), from 219,000 in 2006 to 267,000 in 2031. This increase is because of
population growth, changes in population age structure, and an assumed higher rate of single
parenting. The assumed higher rate of single parenting is based on increasing numbers of
separations and divorces, increasing rates of childbearing outside couple relationships, and more
complex shared-care arrangements with parents residing in different households. Increases are
projected for 35 territorial authority areas, with the highest in Selwyn district and Manukau city
(both 2.0 percent), Queenstown-Lakes district (1.9 percent), and Rodney district (1.6 percent). As
children in families can be of any age, one-parent families include mature children living with an
older parent.

Households
The number of households in New Zealand is projected to increase by 536,000 (an average of
1.2 percent a year), from 1.55 million in 2006 to 2.09 million in 2031. A household is defined as
one person usually living alone, or two or more people usually living together and sharing
facilities (for example, eating facilities, cooking facilities, bathroom and toilet facilities, a living
area), in a private dwelling.
Household numbers should not be confused with building activity or dwelling numbers.
'Households' refers to private dwellings that are usually occupied by a person or group of people.
Households therefore exclude non-private dwellings, unoccupied dwellings, and dwellings that
are not the usual residence of people (for example, holiday homes, second homes).
All 16 regions are projected to have more households in 2031 than in 2006. The largest
numerical increase is projected in the Auckland region, up an average of 1.8 percent a year from
466,000 in 2006 to 723,000 in 2031. This accounts for almost half (48 percent) of the national
growth in the number of households projected over this period. By comparison, the Auckland
region is projected to account for 60 percent of New Zealand's population growth between 2006
and 2031. By 2031, 35 percent of all households in New Zealand will be in the Auckland region,
up from 30 percent in 2006.
There are three broad household types that are projected: family households, one-person
households, and other multi-person households.
In 2006, there were 1.12 million family households in New Zealand. Under the medium series,
this number is projected to increase by 277,000 (an average of 0.9 percent a year), to reach 1.40
million in 2031. The number of households containing a family (or families) is projected to
increase in 43 territorial authority areas and decline in the remaining 30 areas. Changes in the
number of family households are closely related to changes in the number of families in each
area (nationally there was an average of 1.04 families per family household in 2006).
The family household is by far the most common household type, accounting for 72 percent of all
New Zealand households in 2006. However, its share of all households nationally is projected to
decline to 67 percent by 2031. A decline in share is projected for all territorial authority areas.
The number of one-person households in New Zealand is projected to increase by 240,000 (an
average of 2.0 percent per year) from 363,000 in 2006 to 602,000 in 2031. The relatively large
increase in this type of household is mainly due to the increasing number of people at older ages,
with three quarters of the growth occurring among those aged 60 years and over. Of all people in
one-person households, 61 percent are projected to be aged 60 years and over in 2031,
compared with 49 percent in 2006. All territorial authority areas are projected to have more oneperson households in 2031 than in 2006, with numbers more than doubling over the 25-year
period in Rodney district, Waitakere city, Manukau city, Franklin district, Waimakariri district,
Selwyn district, and Queenstown-Lakes district. One-person households will account for a greater
share of households in all territorial authority areas in 2031 compared with 2006.

127

Demographic Trends: 2011

Other multi-person households (households containing more than one person, but not containing
a family) are projected to increase nationally from 68,000 in 2006 to 88,000 in 2031 an increase
of 20,000 or an average of 1.0 percent a year. Other multi-person households will account for
around 4 percent of all households for most of the projection period. People aged 1929 years
will continue to account for about half of all people in other multi-person households. The largest
numerical increases in the number of other multi-person households between 2006 and 2031 are
projected in Auckland city (4,300), Christchurch city (2,100), and Manukau city (1,900). Increases
are projected in 54 territorial authority areas.
The average size of New Zealand households is projected to decrease from 2.6 people in 2006 to
2.4 people in 2031. Declining average household size is projected for all regional council areas
and territorial authority areas, and reflects an increasing proportion of one-person households
and a decrease in the average size of family households. Average family size is projected to
decline largely because of an increase in the proportion of couple-without-children families (which
contain two people) and a decrease in the proportion of two-parent families (which contain about
four people, on average). These trends are driven mainly by the general ageing of the population.
The projections indicate that household growth is likely in all regions and most territorial authority
areas, including some areas projected to experience population decline. At the national level, the
projected increase in the number of households (an average of 1.2 percent per year) between
2006 and 2031 is greater than the projected growth of both families (0.9 percent) and population
(0.8 percent), reflecting the trend towards smaller average household size and the increasing
number of non-family households. The household growth rate is projected to exceed the
population growth rate in all regions and territorial authority areas.
The medium series of the updated 2006-base subnational population projections indicates that
three regions Gisborne, West Coast, and Southland are projected to have fewer people in
2031 than in 2006. However, all these regions are projected to experience an increase in the
number of households. Similarly, 29 territorial authority areas are projected to have fewer people
in 2031 than in 2006, but 20 of these are projected to have more households.
These trends are a further reflection of changes in the age structure of the population, with all
territorial authority areas projected to have more older people (65 years and over) in 2031 than in
2006. In contrast, 53 territorial authority areas are projected to have fewer children (aged 014
years) in 2031.

More information
Subnational projections are updated and released every 23 years. The very latest projections,
related articles and reports, and more detailed information are available on the estimates and
projections web page from the Statistics NZ website.
More population projections tables are available from Table Builder on the Statistics NZ website.
For information about population projections, go to projections overview.

128

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.01

Projected population of regional council areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Regional council area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Northland region

High
Medium
Low

152,700

162,600
159,100
155,700

171,400
163,700
155,900

180,100
167,200
154,600

188,400
169,900
151,900

195,900
171,300
147,800

43,200
18,600
-4,900

1.0
0.5
-0.1

Auckland region

High
Medium
Low

1,371,000

1,517,400
1,488,000
1,458,800

1,670,400
1,604,000
1,538,300

1,829,400
1,719,200
1,611,400

1,991,800
1,833,300
1,679,400

2,154,700
1,944,700
1,742,100

783,700
573,700
371,100

1.8
1.4
1.0

Waikato region

High
Medium
Low

395,100

426,100
416,600
407,100

453,900
432,600
411,500

481,300
446,200
411,900

508,200
458,100
409,700

534,200
468,200
404,800

139,100
73,100
9,700

1.2
0.7
0.1

Bay of Plenty region

High
Medium
Low

265,300

286,200
279,600
273,000

306,900
292,100
277,500

327,800
303,600
279,900

348,600
314,100
280,700

368,800
323,400
279,800

103,500
58,100
14,400

1.3
0.8
0.2

Gisborne region

High
Medium
Low

46,000

48,100
46,900
45,700

49,800
47,100
44,400

51,500
47,000
42,600

53,000
46,700
40,500

54,300
45,900
37,900

8,400
0
-8,100

0.7
0.0
-0.8

Hawke's Bay region

High
Medium
Low

152,100

158,600
155,300
151,900

164,900
157,300
149,700

171,100
158,400
146,000

176,900
158,800
141,300

182,200
158,300
135,300

30,100
6,200
-16,800

0.7
0.2
-0.5

Taranaki region

High
Medium
Low

107,300

112,300
109,600
106,900

116,400
110,400
104,400

120,300
110,400
100,700

123,900
109,800
96,200

127,000
108,500
90,800

19,700
1,300
-16,500

0.7
0.0
-0.7

Manawatu-Wanganui region

High
Medium
Low

229,400

238,700
233,500
228,300

247,600
236,000
224,600

256,300
237,400
219,000

264,700
237,800
211,900

272,100
236,900
203,200

42,700
7,600
-26,100

0.7
0.1
-0.5

Wellington region

High
Medium
Low

466,300

500,800
489,100
477,400

532,000
506,100
480,500

561,800
519,900
478,800

591,000
531,700
474,100

618,700
541,200
466,500

152,500
75,000
200

1.1
0.6
0.0

Tasman region

High
Medium
Low

45,800

49,100
47,900
46,700

52,200
49,600
47,100

55,200
51,100
47,000

58,200
52,300
46,600

60,900
53,200
45,800

15,100
7,400
0

1.1
0.6
0.0

Nelson region

High
Medium
Low

44,300

47,100
45,900
44,700

49,800
47,200
44,600

52,500
48,300
44,100

55,200
49,200
43,300

57,700
49,900
42,200

13,500
5,600
-2,000

1.1
0.5
-0.2

Marlborough region

High
Medium
Low

43,600

47,000
45,800
44,600

49,700
47,100
44,600

52,200
48,000
44,000

54,500
48,600
42,900

56,400
48,700
41,400

12,800
5,200
-2,200

1.0
0.5
-0.2

West Coast region

High
Medium
Low

32,100

33,900
33,100
32,200

34,800
33,000
31,100

35,700
32,600
29,700

36,400
32,100
27,900

36,900
31,300
25,900

4,800
-800
-6,200

0.6
-0.1
-0.9

Canterbury region

High
Medium
Low

540,000

584,200
571,800
559,400

623,600
596,000
568,700

661,600
616,600
572,500

699,400
635,500
573,300

736,400
652,400
571,300

196,400
112,400
31,200

1.2
0.8
0.2

129

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.01

Projected population of regional council areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Regional council area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Otago region

High
Medium
Low

199,800

214,000
208,500
202,900

226,000
214,100
202,400

237,500
218,700
200,400

248,800
222,700
197,500

259,600
225,900
193,500

59,800
26,100
-6,300

1.1
0.5
-0.1

Southland region

High
Medium
Low

93,200

96,300
94,200
92,000

98,800
93,900
89,100

100,500
92,600
84,900

101,700
90,600
79,800

102,500
87,900
73,900

9,300
-5,200
-19,300

0.4
-0.2
-0.9

North Island(5)

High
Medium
Low

3,185,100

3,417,200
3,377,600
3,335,500

3,642,400
3,549,300
3,450,900

3,867,100
3,709,400
3,543,100

4,090,300
3,860,400
3,618,300

4,306,100
3,998,600
3,676,600

1,120,900
813,500
491,500

1.2
0.9
0.6

South Island(6)

High
Medium
Low

998,800

1,060,500
1,047,100
1,033,700

1,111,100
1,080,900
1,050,600

1,157,500
1,107,900
1,057,900

1,201,800
1,130,900
1,059,200

1,242,800
1,149,400
1,054,800

244,000
150,600
56,000

0.9
0.6
0.2

New Zealand(7)

High
Medium
Low

4,184,600

4,441,800
4,425,400
4,408,800

4,700,300
4,630,800
4,561,400

4,954,300
4,817,900
4,682,700

5,204,300
4,991,900
4,782,200

5,442,400
5,148,500
4,859,400

1,257,800
964,000
674,800

1.1
0.8
0.6

1. Boundaries at 30 June 2009.


2. Three alternative projection series have been produced using different combinations of fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions for
each area.
3. These projections have as a base the estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006.
4. Calculated as a constant rate of population change over the period.
5. The medium projection of the North Island is the sum of the medium projections of the North Island regions. The low and high projections
of the North Island are derived independently of the regional projections.
6. The medium projection of the South Island is the sum of the medium projections of the South Island regions. The low and high projections
of the South Island are derived independently of the regional projections.
7. New Zealand comprises the North Island and South Island regions plus areas not included in a region (eg Chatham Islands territory).
The low, medium, and high projections of New Zealand are from series 1, 5, and 9, respectively, of the 2009-base national population
projections (released October 2009).
Notes: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to stated totals.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

130

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Far North district

High
Medium
Low

57,500

60,200
59,000
57,700

62,700
59,900
57,100

65,100
60,500
55,900

67,300
60,600
54,000

69,000
60,000
51,500

11,400
2,500
-6,000

0.7
0.2
-0.4

Whangarei district

High
Medium
Low

76,500

82,900
81,100
79,300

88,700
84,600
80,500

94,500
87,700
81,000

100,300
90,400
80,900

105,800
92,800
80,300

29,300
16,300
3,700

1.3
0.8
0.2

Kaipara district

High
Medium
Low

18,600

19,400
19,000
18,700

20,000
19,100
18,300

20,500
19,100
17,700

20,800
18,900
16,900

21,100
18,500
15,900

2,500
-100
-2,600

0.5
0.0
-0.6

Rodney district

High
Medium
Low

92,400

105,100
102,200
99,400

117,800
111,600
105,500

131,000
121,000
111,100

144,700
130,500
116,600

158,700
139,900
121,800

66,200
47,500
29,300

2.2
1.7
1.1

North Shore city

High
Medium
Low

216,900

237,400
232,600
227,800

258,400
247,800
237,300

280,000
262,700
245,700

301,700
277,100
253,300

323,200
291,000
259,800

106,300
74,100
42,900

1.6
1.2
0.7

Waitakere city

High
Medium
Low

195,300

216,600
212,700
208,900

237,300
228,300
219,400

258,700
243,400
228,300

280,600
258,200
236,500

302,800
272,800
243,900

107,400
77,500
48,600

1.8
1.3
0.9

Auckland city

High
Medium
Low

428,300

466,000
458,200
450,500

507,600
490,400
473,400

550,900
522,900
495,400

594,300
554,500
515,800

636,800
584,500
534,100

208,400
156,200
105,800

1.6
1.3
0.9

Manukau city

High
Medium
Low

347,100

391,400
383,900
376,400

438,300
420,600
403,100

487,600
457,600
428,100

538,900
494,800
452,000

591,300
532,100
475,000

244,200
185,000
127,900

2.2
1.7
1.3

Papakura district

High
Medium
Low

46,900

51,800
50,600
49,300

56,900
54,000
51,200

62,200
57,400
52,700

67,700
60,800
54,000

73,400
64,100
55,200

26,500
17,200
8,300

1.8
1.3
0.7

Franklin district

High
Medium
Low

60,900

68,100
66,300
64,600

75,300
71,400
67,500

82,800
76,300
70,000

90,400
81,200
72,200

98,100
85,900
74,100

37,200
25,000
13,200

1.9
1.4
0.8

Thames-Coromandel district

High
Medium
Low

26,700

28,000
27,100
26,200

29,200
27,300
25,400

30,400
27,300
24,300

31,500
27,300
23,100

32,600
27,000
21,700

5,900
400
-5,000

0.8
0.1
-0.8

Hauraki district

High
Medium
Low

17,600

18,300
17,900
17,600

18,600
17,700
16,900

18,700
17,400
16,000

18,800
16,900
15,000

18,700
16,200
13,700

1,100
-1,500
-3,900

0.2
-0.3
-1.0

Waikato district

High
Medium
Low

45,400

50,400
49,200
48,000

55,000
52,300
49,600

59,100
54,600
50,200

63,200
56,800
50,500

67,200
58,700
50,500

21,800
13,200
5,000

1.6
1.0
0.4

131

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Matamata-Piako district

High
Medium
Low

31,200

32,800
32,100
31,500

33,700
32,300
30,900

34,600
32,200
29,900

35,400
32,000
28,700

36,100
31,600
27,300

4,900
400
-3,900

0.6
0.0
-0.5

Hamilton city

High
Medium
Low

134,400

148,600
145,500
142,400

162,100
155,100
148,100

175,900
164,200
152,800

189,900
173,000
156,700

204,100
181,700
160,100

69,600
47,300
25,700

1.7
1.2
0.7

Waipa district

High
Medium
Low

43,700

47,300
46,400
45,500

50,200
48,200
46,200

53,000
49,700
46,500

55,800
51,000
46,400

58,400
52,100
46,000

14,700
8,400
2,300

1.2
0.7
0.2

Otorohanga district

High
Medium
Low

9,300

9,600
9,300
9,100

9,700
9,200
8,700

9,800
9,000
8,100

10,000
8,800
7,600

10,100
8,500
6,900

800
-900
-2,400

0.3
-0.4
-1.2

South Waikato district

High
Medium
Low

23,200

23,300
22,700
22,100

23,300
22,000
20,600

23,300
21,100
18,900

23,200
20,000
16,900

22,900
18,700
14,700

-400
-4,500
-8,500

-0.1
-0.9
-1.8

Waitomo district

High
Medium
Low

9,700

9,900
9,700
9,500

10,100
9,600
9,000

10,300
9,400
8,500

10,500
9,200
7,900

10,600
8,900
7,300

900
-800
-2,400

0.4
-0.3
-1.1

Taupo district

High
Medium
Low

33,400

35,100
34,400
33,600

36,700
35,000
33,300

38,200
35,400
32,600

39,600
35,600
31,600

40,800
35,500
30,300

7,400
2,000
-3,100

0.8
0.2
-0.4

Western Bay of Plenty district

High
Medium
Low

43,000

47,300
46,100
45,000

51,500
48,900
46,400

55,700
51,500
47,400

59,800
53,900
48,100

63,800
56,000
48,400

20,700
12,900
5,400

1.6
1.1
0.5

Tauranga city

High
Medium
Low

106,900

120,100
117,100
114,100

133,500
126,900
120,300

147,300
136,500
125,800

161,500
146,000
130,800

175,800
155,300
135,500

68,900
48,300
28,500

2.0
1.5
1.0

Rotorua district

High
Medium
Low

68,100

70,800
69,200
67,700

73,400
69,900
66,400

76,000
70,100
64,400

78,600
70,100
62,000

80,900
69,800
59,100

12,800
1,700
-9,000

0.7
0.1
-0.6

Whakatane district

High
Medium
Low

34,500

35,300
34,700
34,000

36,100
34,600
33,100

36,800
34,300
31,900

37,300
33,800
30,300

37,600
32,900
28,400

3,200
-1,500
-6,100

0.4
-0.2
-0.8

Kawerau district

High
Medium
Low

7,100

7,200
6,900
6,700

7,200
6,600
6,100

7,100
6,300
5,400

7,000
5,800
4,700

6,800
5,300
3,800

-300
-1,900
-3,300

-0.2
-1.2
-2.5

Opotiki district

High
Medium
Low

9,200

9,300
9,100
8,900

9,400
8,900
8,400

9,600
8,700
7,900

9,600
8,400
7,200

9,700
8,100
6,500

500
-1,100
-2,700

0.2
-0.5
-1.4

132

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Gisborne district

High
Medium
Low

45,900

48,100
46,900
45,700

49,800
47,100
44,400

51,500
47,000
42,600

53,000
46,600
40,400

54,300
45,900
37,900

8,400
0
-8,100

0.7
0.0
-0.8

Wairoa district

High
Medium
Low

8,700

8,700
8,400
8,200

8,700
8,200
7,700

8,800
7,900
7,000

8,800
7,500
6,300

8,700
7,100
5,500

0
-1,600
-3,200

0.0
-0.8
-1.8

Hastings district

High
Medium
Low

73,200

77,000
75,500
74,000

80,700
77,200
73,700

84,400
78,600
72,900

88,200
79,700
71,500

91,700
80,500
69,700

18,500
7,300
-3,500

0.9
0.4
-0.2

Napier city

High
Medium
Low

56,800

59,000
57,800
56,600

61,100
58,300
55,600

63,100
58,500
54,000

65,000
58,500
52,100

66,600
58,000
49,800

9,800
1,200
-7,000

0.6
0.1
-0.5

Central Hawke's Bay district

High
Medium
Low

13,200

13,800
13,400
13,100

14,200
13,400
12,600

14,500
13,200
12,000

14,800
12,900
11,200

14,900
12,500
10,200

1,700
-700
-3,000

0.5
-0.2
-1.0

New Plymouth district

High
Medium
Low

71,100

75,300
73,500
71,700

78,900
74,800
70,700

82,400
75,600
69,000

85,700
76,000
66,600

88,700
76,000
63,700

17,600
4,900
-7,400

0.9
0.3
-0.4

Stratford district

High
Medium
Low

9,100

9,400
9,200
8,900

9,500
9,000
8,400

9,500
8,700
7,800

9,600
8,400
7,200

9,500
8,000
6,400

400
-1,200
-2,700

0.2
-0.5
-1.4

South Taranaki district

High
Medium
Low

27,200

27,700
27,100
26,500

28,200
26,800
25,400

28,600
26,200
24,000

28,900
25,600
22,400

29,000
24,700
20,500

1,800
-2,500
-6,700

0.3
-0.4
-1.1

Ruapehu district

High
Medium
Low

14,000

13,900
13,500
13,100

13,900
13,000
12,200

13,800
12,500
11,100

13,800
11,800
9,900

13,600
11,000
8,600

-400
-3,000
-5,500

-0.1
-1.0
-2.0

Wanganui district

High
Medium
Low

43,800

44,600
43,600
42,600

45,400
43,100
40,900

46,100
42,400
38,900

46,700
41,500
36,500

47,100
40,300
33,800

3,300
-3,400
-10,000

0.3
-0.3
-1.0

Rangitikei district

High
Medium
Low

15,100

15,300
14,900
14,500

15,300
14,500
13,700

15,300
14,000
12,800

15,300
13,500
11,700

15,200
12,800
10,400

0
-2,400
-4,700

0.0
-0.7
-1.5

Manawatu district

High
Medium
Low

29,000

30,700
30,000
29,400

32,300
30,900
29,500

33,900
31,600
29,400

35,500
32,200
29,000

37,000
32,700
28,500

8,000
3,600
-500

1.0
0.5
-0.1

Palmerston North city

High
Medium
Low

78,500

84,400
82,600
80,800

89,900
85,800
81,800

95,400
88,800
82,300

100,900
91,500
82,400

106,300
94,000
82,100

27,800
15,500
3,600

1.2
0.7
0.2

133

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Tararua district

High
Medium
Low

18,100

18,100
17,700
17,400

18,400
17,600
16,700

18,700
17,300
15,900

18,900
16,900
15,000

19,100
16,500
13,900

1,000
-1,600
-4,200

0.2
-0.4
-1.0

Horowhenua district

High
Medium
Low

30,600

31,500
30,900
30,300

32,300
30,900
29,400

32,900
30,600
28,300

33,500
30,200
26,900

33,900
29,500
25,200

3,300
-1,100
-5,300

0.4
-0.1
-0.8

Kapiti Coast district

High
Medium
Low

47,500

51,800
50,600
49,400

56,000
53,400
50,800

60,300
56,000
51,800

64,600
58,500
52,700

68,800
60,900
53,300

21,300
13,400
5,800

1.5
1.0
0.5

Porirua city

High
Medium
Low

50,600

53,900
52,700
51,400

56,700
53,900
51,000

59,500
54,700
50,100

62,200
55,300
48,700

64,600
55,600
46,800

14,000
4,900
-3,800

1.0
0.4
-0.3

Upper Hutt city

High
Medium
Low

39,700

42,500
41,500
40,600

44,100
41,900
39,800

45,600
42,100
38,600

47,100
42,000
37,200

48,400
41,800
35,400

8,700
2,100
-4,300

0.8
0.2
-0.5

Lower Hutt city

High
Medium
Low

101,300

106,000
103,500
101,100

110,300
104,700
99,200

114,600
105,300
96,300

118,700
105,500
92,700

122,500
105,100
88,400

21,300
3,900
-12,900

0.8
0.2
-0.5

Wellington city

High
Medium
Low

187,700

205,300
200,500
195,700

222,000
211,800
201,700

237,600
221,400
205,500

253,000
230,400
208,500

267,800
238,700
210,500

80,100
51,000
22,800

1.4
1.0
0.5

Masterton district

High
Medium
Low

23,200

24,000
23,400
22,800

24,700
23,400
22,000

25,500
23,200
21,000

26,200
22,900
19,800

26,700
22,500
18,400

3,500
-700
-4,800

0.6
-0.1
-0.9

Carterton district

High
Medium
Low

7,300

7,800
7,500
7,300

8,200
7,700
7,200

8,600
7,800
7,000

9,000
7,800
6,700

9,300
7,800
6,300

2,000
500
-900

1.0
0.3
-0.5

South Wairarapa district

High
Medium
Low

9,100

9,600
9,400
9,100

10,000
9,400
8,900

10,200
9,300
8,500

10,400
9,200
7,900

10,600
8,900
7,300

1,500
-200
-1,800

0.6
-0.1
-0.9

Tasman district

High
Medium
Low

45,800

49,100
47,900
46,700

52,200
49,600
47,100

55,200
51,100
47,000

58,200
52,300
46,600

60,900
53,200
45,800

15,100
7,400
0

1.1
0.6
0.0

Nelson city

High
Medium
Low

44,300

47,100
45,900
44,700

49,800
47,200
44,600

52,500
48,300
44,100

55,200
49,200
43,300

57,700
49,900
42,200

13,500
5,600
-2,000

1.1
0.5
-0.2

Marlborough district

High
Medium
Low

43,600

47,000
45,800
44,600

49,700
47,100
44,600

52,200
48,000
44,000

54,400
48,600
42,900

56,400
48,700
41,300

12,800
5,200
-2,200

1.0
0.5
-0.2

134

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Kaikoura district

High
Medium
Low

3,700

3,900
3,800
3,700

4,100
3,900
3,700

4,200
3,900
3,600

4,400
3,900
3,500

4,500
3,900
3,400

700
200
-300

0.7
0.2
-0.4

Buller district

High
Medium
Low

9,900

10,400
10,100
9,900

10,600
10,000
9,500

10,700
9,900
9,000

10,900
9,600
8,400

10,900
9,300
7,700

1,000
-700
-2,300

0.4
-0.3
-1.0

Grey district

High
Medium
Low

13,500

14,300
13,900
13,600

14,700
13,900
13,100

15,100
13,800
12,500

15,500
13,600
11,800

15,900
13,400
11,000

2,300
-200
-2,600

0.6
0.0
-0.8

Westland district

High
Medium
Low

8,600

9,200
9,000
8,800

9,500
9,000
8,500

9,800
9,000
8,200

10,000
8,900
7,800

10,100
8,700
7,200

1,500
0
-1,400

0.6
0.0
-0.7

Hurunui district

High
Medium
Low

10,800

11,500
11,300
11,000

12,200
11,700
11,100

12,900
12,000
11,200

13,600
12,300
11,100

14,200
12,600
11,000

3,400
1,800
200

1.1
0.6
0.1

Waimakariri district

High
Medium
Low

44,100

50,700
49,100
47,400

56,900
53,200
49,600

63,000
57,200
51,500

69,300
61,100
53,100

75,600
64,900
54,400

31,600
20,800
10,400

2.2
1.6
0.8

Christchurch city

High
Medium
Low

361,800

385,300
378,900
372,400

407,500
393,000
378,600

428,400
404,500
381,100

448,900
414,800
381,700

468,800
424,000
380,600

107,000
62,200
18,800

1.0
0.6
0.2

Selwyn district

High
Medium
Low

35,000

42,600
40,900
39,300

48,800
45,200
41,700

55,200
49,500
43,800

61,800
53,700
45,800

68,600
57,900
47,600

33,600
23,000
12,700

2.7
2.0
1.2

Ashburton district

High
Medium
Low

28,000

30,800
30,000
29,300

32,600
31,000
29,300

34,400
31,700
29,000

36,100
32,200
28,400

37,700
32,600
27,600

9,600
4,500
-400

1.2
0.6
-0.1

Timaru district

High
Medium
Low

43,800

45,900
44,700
43,500

47,400
44,800
42,200

48,900
44,600
40,500

50,200
44,200
38,400

51,400
43,600
36,000

7,600
-200
-7,800

0.6
0.0
-0.8

Mackenzie district

High
Medium
Low

3,900

4,100
4,000
3,900

4,300
4,100
3,800

4,500
4,100
3,700

4,700
4,100
3,500

4,800
4,000
3,300

900
100
-600

0.9
0.1
-0.7

Waimate district

High
Medium
Low

7,400

7,700
7,500
7,200

8,000
7,500
7,000

8,400
7,500
6,700

8,700
7,500
6,300

9,000
7,400
5,900

1,600
100
-1,400

0.8
0.0
-0.9

Chatham Islands territory

High
Medium
Low

600

700
600
600

700
600
600

700
600
500

700
600
400

700
500
400

100
-100
-300

0.6
-0.6
-2.3

135

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.02

Projected population of territorial authority areas


200631 (2006-base) update
Population change
200631

Population at 30 June
Territorial authority area(1)

Series(2)
2006(3)

2011

2016

2021

2026

2031

Number

Average
annual(4)
(percent)

Waitaki district

High
Medium
Low

20,700

21,400
20,800
20,200

21,700
20,400
19,100

22,000
19,900
17,800

22,200
19,300
16,400

22,400
18,500
14,800

1,800
-2,100
-5,800

0.3
-0.4
-1.3

Central Otago district

High
Medium
Low

17,100

20,000
18,900
17,800

21,800
19,600
17,300

23,700
20,100
16,600

25,500
20,600
15,800

27,300
20,900
14,800

10,200
3,900
-2,300

1.9
0.8
-0.6

Queenstown-Lakes district

High
Medium
Low

24,100

29,300
28,200
27,100

34,200
31,700
29,300

39,000
35,100
31,300

43,800
38,400
33,100

48,700
41,700
34,900

24,600
17,500
10,700

2.8
2.2
1.5

Dunedin city

High
Medium
Low

122,300

127,200
124,800
122,300

131,900
126,700
121,500

136,200
128,000
120,000

140,500
129,100
118,100

144,300
129,700
115,500

22,000
7,300
-6,900

0.7
0.2
-0.2

Clutha district

High
Medium
Low

17,200

17,800
17,400
17,100

18,200
17,300
16,500

18,500
17,100
15,800

18,800
16,900
15,000

19,100
16,600
14,100

1,900
-600
-3,100

0.4
-0.1
-0.8

Southland district

High
Medium
Low

29,200

30,100
29,500
28,900

31,000
29,700
28,300

31,900
29,600
27,400

32,700
29,400
26,200

33,300
29,000
24,800

4,100
-200
-4,400

0.5
0.0
-0.6

Gore district

High
Medium
Low

12,400

12,600
12,200
11,900

12,700
11,900
11,100

12,700
11,500
10,200

12,800
11,000
9,200

12,800
10,400
8,200

400
-2,000
-4,200

0.1
-0.7
-1.7

Invercargill city

High
Medium
Low

51,600

53,600
52,400
51,200

55,000
52,400
49,700

55,800
51,500
47,300

56,300
50,200
44,300

56,400
48,500
40,900

4,800
-3,100
-10,700

0.4
-0.2
-0.9

1. Boundaries at 30 June 2009.


2. Three alternative projection series have been produced using different combinations of fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions for
each area.
3. These projections have as a base the estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006.
4. Calculated as a constant rate of population change over the period.
Notes: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to stated totals.
Source: Statistics New Zealand

136

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.03

Projected population age structure and components of change


Regional council areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Regional council area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3) Deaths(4)

Natural
Net
increase(5) migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Northland region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

37,200
36,300
35,300
34,600
34,400
34,400
33,400
32,600

46,600
43,200
43,500
43,500
43,000
43,200
43,700
41,900

39,900
45,800
51,800
55,200
55,300
53,500
51,300
50,700

16,900
19,100
22,100
25,900
30,900
36,100
41,500
46,100

140,700
144,400
152,700
159,100
163,700
167,200
169,900
171,300

...
10,800
10,200
11,400
10,800
10,500
10,300
10,000

...
5,700
6,100
6,400
7,000
7,700
8,500
9,300

...
5,100
4,100
5,000
3,700
2,800
1,900
600

...
-1,400
4,200
1,500
800
800
800
800

33.6
36.5
38.8
40.7
42.4
43.6
44.4
45.3

Auckland region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

255,300
277,500
297,700
309,500
325,900
343,000
352,600
363,200

451,000
469,500
524,500
559,100
593,700
628,300
655,100
676,000

296,200
350,500
414,900
462,800
493,300
520,100
552,100
581,900

112,200
119,400
133,800
156,600
191,000
227,800
273,500
323,700

1,114,700
1,216,900
1,371,000
1,488,000
1,604,000
1,719,200
1,833,300
1,944,700

...
96,100
101,400
113,600
116,000
119,300
122,900
126,400

...
35,400
35,700
36,800
40,200
44,000
48,700
54,900

...
60,800
65,600
76,800
75,800
75,300
74,200
71,400

...
41,400
88,500
40,300
40,100
40,000
40,000
40,000

32.0
33.2
33.7
34.2
34.7
35.7
36.7
37.7

Waikato region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

89,700
89,900
89,200
90,400
91,600
92,500
90,300
89,300

136,500
129,200
133,600
136,200
138,200
140,300
143,600
143,500

94,900
108,100
123,300
133,000
135,000
134,600
133,200
133,200

38,700
42,600
49,000
57,000
67,900
78,800
91,100
102,200

359,900
369,800
395,100
416,600
432,600
446,200
458,100
468,200

...
28,400
27,500
30,900
29,700
29,000
28,800
28,600

...
12,700
12,900
14,200
15,500
16,800
18,300
20,000

...
15,700
14,600
16,700
14,200
12,200
10,500
8,600

...
-5,700
10,800
4,700
1,800
1,500
1,500
1,500

31.7
33.8
35.6
36.4
37.3
38.2
39.2
40.2

Bay of Plenty region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

57,700
60,400
60,300
60,100
60,300
61,100
60,600
60,700

80,300
78,500
80,600
82,600
84,900
87,500
90,800
90,500

62,900
74,000
85,200
91,900
94,200
94,100
92,900
93,900

29,700
33,900
39,200
44,900
52,800
60,900
69,900
78,300

230,600
246,900
265,300
279,600
292,100
303,600
314,100
323,400

...
19,100
18,500
20,000
19,400
19,300
19,500
19,500

...
9,500
10,100
11,100
12,100
13,200
14,200
15,500

...
9,600
8,400
8,900
7,200
6,100
5,300
4,000

...
6,700
10,000
5,300
5,300
5,300
5,300
5,300

33.5
35.8
37.7
39.1
40.3
41.0
41.6
42.6

Gisborne region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

13,100
12,600
11,900
11,500
11,200
11,000
10,400
9,900

16,700
14,800
14,400
14,500
14,100
13,800
13,600
12,800

12,100
12,900
14,200
15,000
15,000
14,300
13,500
13,300

5,200
5,200
5,500
5,900
6,800
7,900
9,200
10,100

47,200
45,500
46,000
46,900
47,100
47,000
46,700
45,900

...
4,000
3,700
3,900
3,700
3,500
3,300
3,100

...
2,000
1,900
2,000
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300

...
2,000
1,800
1,900
1,700
1,400
1,100
800

...
-3,700
-1,300
-1,000
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500

31.3
32.8
34.6
35.6
36.5
37.6
38.9
40.6

Hawke's Bay region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

36,100
35,900
34,600
33,800
33,100
32,500
30,900
29,800

51,500
47,100
46,700
45,800
44,800
44,500
44,800
43,000

40,500
44,800
49,800
52,000
51,300
49,400
46,700
45,400

18,500
19,500
21,000
23,700
28,100
32,000
36,300
40,100

146,600
147,300
152,100
155,300
157,300
158,400
158,800
158,300

...
11,200
10,600
11,400
10,600
10,100
9,800
9,500

...
6,200
6,400
6,300
6,600
7,000
7,500
8,100

...
5,000
4,200
5,200
3,900
3,000
2,300
1,400

...
-4,200
500
-2,000
-1,900
-1,900
-1,900
-1,900

33.5
35.7
37.5
39.0
40.4
41.3
42.2
43.2

137

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.03

Projected population age structure and components of change


Regional council areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Regional council area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3) Deaths(4)

Natural
Net
increase(5) migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Taranaki region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

26,800
25,000
23,100
22,700
22,500
22,500
21,000
19,800

38,800
34,000
33,600
33,000
31,800
30,800
30,600
29,000

29,500
32,000
34,700
36,400
35,800
34,300
32,400
31,400

13,900
14,800
15,900
17,500
20,200
22,800
25,900
28,400

109,000
105,700
107,300
109,600
110,400
110,400
109,800
108,500

...
7,400
6,800
7,900
7,300
6,800
6,500
6,100

...
4,200
4,500
4,700
5,000
5,200
5,500
5,800

...
3,200
2,300
3,200
2,300
1,600
1,000
300

...
-6,500
-800
-900
-1,600
-1,600
-1,600
-1,600

33.5
36.1
37.9
39.3
40.6
41.7
42.7
44.0

Manawatu-Wanganui region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

55,900
52,600
49,400
47,600
46,600
46,200
44,300
42,800

90,100
78,900
75,700
75,500
75,000
74,900
75,200
72,200

60,000
65,900
71,700
74,200
72,700
69,000
64,800
63,200

28,600
30,100
32,500
36,200
41,800
47,400
53,600
58,700

234,500
227,500
229,400
233,500
236,000
237,400
237,800
236,900

...
16,700
14,900
16,300
15,300
14,700
14,400
13,800

...
9,600
9,600
9,600
10,100
10,700
11,300
12,100

...
7,100
5,300
6,800
5,200
4,000
3,000
1,700

...
-14,100
-3,500
-2,600
-2,600
-2,600
-2,600
-2,600

32.0
34.7
36.6
37.7
38.5
39.1
39.8
41.2

Wellington region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

94,400
96,200
94,900
95,300
96,200
97,000
94,900
93,100

171,600
166,900
173,200
177,000
178,900
180,800
181,600
179,100

115,400
129,100
145,100
156,100
158,900
159,400
160,000
161,500

45,500
48,000
53,100
60,700
72,100
82,700
95,300
107,600

426,900
440,200
466,300
489,100
506,100
519,900
531,700
541,200

...
32,400
31,300
34,300
33,400
32,800
32,300
31,600

...
14,500
14,400
14,900
16,200
17,400
18,700
20,400

...
17,900
16,900
19,300
17,300
15,400
13,500
11,200

...
-4,600
9,100
3,500
-200
-1,700
-1,700
-1,700

32.6
34.2
35.3
36.0
36.7
37.6
38.6
39.8

Tasman region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

9,100
9,700
9,700
9,600
9,400
9,100
8,900
8,800

13,300
13,100
12,900
12,700
12,600
13,100
13,400
13,200

11,600
14,100
16,900
18,000
17,900
17,300
16,400
15,900

4,800
5,500
6,200
7,700
9,700
11,600
13,600
15,200

38,800
42,400
45,800
47,900
49,600
51,100
52,300
53,200

...
2,500
2,700
2,700
2,500
2,400
2,500
2,500

...
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,500

...
1,100
1,100
1,100
700
500
200
-100

...
2,600
2,200
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000

35.3
37.6
40.3
42.4
44.4
45.9
46.8
47.3

Nelson region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,500
8,900
8,400
8,400
8,600
8,700
8,300
8,200

15,300
14,500
14,100
13,900
13,600
13,600
14,000
13,700

11,500
13,400
15,400
16,400
16,600
16,100
15,300
15,100

5,800
6,100
6,400
7,100
8,400
9,900
11,500
13,000

41,200
42,900
44,300
45,900
47,200
48,300
49,200
49,900

...
2,700
2,700
3,000
2,800
2,700
2,700
2,600

...
1,700
1,900
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,300
2,500

...
900
800
1,100
800
600
400
200

...
700
600
500
500
500
500
500

35.0
37.1
39.4
41.0
42.3
43.4
44.1
44.8

Marlborough region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,700
8,500
8,000
8,000
8,000
7,900
7,400
7,000

13,400
12,300
12,700
12,600
12,100
11,600
11,500
11,000

11,600
13,700
15,800
16,700
16,700
16,600
16,000
15,800

5,600
6,300
7,100
8,600
10,400
12,000
13,700
15,000

39,200
40,700
43,600
45,800
47,100
48,000
48,600
48,700

...
2,400
2,300
2,600
2,500
2,300
2,100
2,000

...
1,600
1,900
1,900
2,100
2,400
2,600
2,900

...
700
400
700
300
-100
-500
-800

...
800
2,400
1,500
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000

36.0
39.3
41.7
43.7
45.8
47.7
49.5
50.9

138

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.03

Projected population age structure and components of change


Regional council areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Regional council area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3) Deaths(4)

Natural
Net
increase(5) migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

West Coast region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,900
7,000
6,500
6,200
6,100
6,000
5,600
5,300

11,800
9,500
9,400
9,400
8,900
8,400
8,300
7,700

9,500
10,400
11,700
12,200
11,700
11,000
9,900
9,100

4,000
4,100
4,500
5,200
6,200
7,200
8,300
9,200

33,200
31,100
32,100
33,100
33,000
32,600
32,100
31,300

...
2,100
1,800
2,100
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,600

...
1,400
1,300
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,700
1,800

...
700
500
800
500
300
100
-200

...
-2,800
600
200
-600
-600
-600
-600

34.4
38.0
40.3
41.9
43.8
45.3
46.4
47.3

Canterbury region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

97,900
100,100
104,700
107,500
109,800
110,700
108,100
107,300

184,300
176,100
185,000
188,100
189,500
193,100
199,000
200,800

134,300
152,800
175,600
191,600
196,400
196,800
194,500
193,100

64,000
67,700
74,700
84,600
100,200
116,000
133,900
151,200

480,400
496,700
540,000
571,800
596,000
616,600
635,500
652,400

...
30,900
31,900
36,200
34,700
33,700
33,600
33,900

...
18,900
19,900
20,900
22,600
24,100
25,800
28,000

...
12,000
12,100
15,300
12,200
9,600
7,800
5,900

...
4,200
31,300
16,400
12,000
11,000
11,000
11,000

34.4
36.4
37.6
38.7
39.8
40.6
41.4
42.3

Otago region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

37,400
35,500
34,800
34,700
35,000
35,600
35,000
34,400

76,000
70,300
73,800
76,400
77,000
77,500
76,800
75,800

50,900
56,800
63,600
67,000
66,700
65,400
65,100
65,400

25,000
25,800
27,500
30,400
35,300
40,200
45,800
50,300

189,300
188,300
199,800
208,500
214,100
218,700
222,700
225,900

...
10,900
10,600
11,700
11,500
11,400
11,200
11,000

...
7,700
7,600
7,800
8,200
8,600
9,000
9,600

...
3,100
3,000
3,800
3,300
2,800
2,200
1,400

...
-4,100
8,500
4,800
2,300
1,800
1,800
1,800

33.5
35.8
36.8
37.4
38.0
38.7
39.8
40.9

Southland region

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

23,600
21,100
19,600
18,900
18,700
18,300
17,000
15,700

36,300
30,800
29,600
29,200
28,200
27,100
26,100
24,300

27,500
29,200
31,000
31,800
30,700
28,700
26,800
25,300

11,600
12,200
13,000
14,300
16,300
18,500
20,800
22,700

99,000
93,300
93,200
94,200
93,900
92,600
90,600
87,900

...
6,400
6,100
6,700
6,200
5,800
5,400
4,900

...
3,900
4,000
3,900
4,100
4,300
4,500
4,700

...
2,500
2,100
2,800
2,200
1,600
900
200

...
-8,200
-2,200
-1,800
-2,400
-2,900
-2,900
-2,900

33.6
36.5
38.0
39.1
40.1
40.9
42.0
43.4

North Island(8)

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

666,300
686,300
696,400
705,400
721,700
740,100
738,400
741,200

1,083,200
1,061,900
1,125,900
1,167,300
1,204,400
1,244,200
1,278,800
1,288,000

751,300
863,200
990,700
1,076,600
1,111,600
1,128,800
1,146,800
1,174,300

309,200
332,900
372,200
428,400
511,600
596,300
696,300
795,100

2,810,100
2,944,300
3,185,100
3,377,600
3,549,300
3,709,400
3,860,400
3,998,600

...
226,100
225,000
249,800
246,100
246,000
247,700
248,500

...
99,800
101,700
106,000
114,700
124,100
134,900
148,500

...
126,300
123,300
143,800
131,400
121,900
112,800
100,000

...
7,900
117,500
48,800
40,200
38,200
38,200
38,200

32.4
34.1
35.2
35.9
36.6
37.4
38.4
39.5

South Island(9)

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

193,000
190,700
191,800
193,300
195,600
196,300
190,300
186,700

350,300
326,600
337,600
342,300
341,900
344,400
349,100
346,500

256,900
290,400
330,000
353,600
356,700
351,800
343,900
339,600

120,800
127,600
139,400
157,800
186,700
215,400
247,700
276,600

921,100
935,400
998,800
1,047,100
1,080,900
1,107,900
1,130,900
1,149,400

...
57,800
58,000
65,000
62,200
60,200
59,200
58,600

...
36,800
38,000
39,400
42,300
44,900
48,000
52,000

...
21,000
20,000
25,700
20,000
15,200
11,200
6,600

...
-6,700
43,400
22,600
13,800
11,800
11,800
11,800

34.3
36.5
37.9
39.1
40.2
41.0
41.9
42.9

139

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.03

Projected population age structure and components of change


Regional council areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Regional council area(1)

New Zealand(10)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

014

1539

859,500
877,200
888,300
898,900
917,400
936,500
928,800
928,000

1,433,900
1,388,800
1,463,700
1,509,800
1,546,500
1,588,800
1,628,100
1,634,600

4064

65+

1,008,500
430,100
1,153,900
460,600
1,321,000
511,600
1,430,500
586,300
1,468,500
698,300
1,480,800
811,800
1,490,900
944,100
1,514,100 1,071,800

Total

3,732,000
3,880,500
4,184,600
4,425,400
4,630,800
4,817,900
4,991,900
5,148,500

1.
2.

Births(3) Deaths(4)

...
284,000
283,000
314,900
308,400
306,200
306,900
307,100

...
136,600
139,700
145,400
157,000
169,000
182,900
200,500

Natural
Net
increase(5) migration(6)
...
147,400
143,300
169,500
151,400
137,200
124,000
106,600

...
1,100
160,800
71,300
54,000
50,000
50,000
50,000

Boundaries at 30 June 2009.


Estimates for 19962006 are the estimated resident population of each area. Projections for 201131 have as a base the estimated
resident population of each area at 30 June 2006 and incorporate medium fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions for each area.
3. Historical data refers to live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in each area.
4. Historical data refers to deaths registered in New Zealand of people resident in each area.
5. Births minus deaths. Negative values denote natural decrease.
6. Net external migration plus net internal migration. Historical data is the difference between estimated population change and natural increase.
7. Half the population is younger, and half older, than this age.
8. The medium projection of the North Island is the sum of the medium projections of the North Island regions.
9. The medium projection of the South Island is the sum of the medium projections of the South Island regions.
10. New Zealand comprises the North Island and South Island plus areas not included in a region (eg Chatham Islands territory). The
medium projection of New Zealand is from series 5 of the 2009-base national population projections (released October 2009).
Notes: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to stated totals.
Symbol: Not applicable
Source: Statistics New Zealand

140

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June
32.8
34.7
35.8
36.8
37.3
38.1
39.1
40.2

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Far North district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

15,200
14,900
13,800
13,200
12,900
12,900
12,300
11,700

17,700
16,400
15,700
15,500
15,100
14,600
14,500
13,400

15,600
18,100
20,000
21,000
20,800
20,000
18,700
18,400

6,100
7,000
7,900
9,300
11,100
13,000
15,000
16,500

54,500
56,400
57,500
59,000
59,900
60,500
60,600
60,000

...
4,400
4,000
4,400
4,100
3,900
3,800
3,500

...
2,200
2,300
2,500
2,600
2,900
3,200
3,600

...
2,200
1,700
1,900
1,400
1,000
600
0

...
-300
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500

33.2
36.2
38.9
41.1
43.0
44.7
45.7
46.8

Whangarei district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

17,300
17,000
17,200
17,300
17,600
17,900
17,700
17,700

23,300
21,600
22,800
23,200
23,500
24,200
25,100
24,800

19,100
21,700
25,200
27,300
27,700
27,100
26,500
26,600

8,700
9,800
11,400
13,300
15,800
18,400
21,100
23,700

68,400
70,000
76,500
81,100
84,600
87,700
90,400
92,800

...
5,100
5,000
5,800
5,500
5,500
5,500
5,500

...
2,800
3,100
3,200
3,600
3,900
4,300
4,700

...
2,400
2,000
2,600
2,000
1,600
1,300
900

...
-700
4,500
2,000
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500

33.8
36.5
38.4
40.0
41.2
41.9
42.5
43.4

Kaipara district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,700
4,500
4,300
4,100
3,900
3,600
3,400
3,200

5,700
5,100
5,000
4,800
4,500
4,300
4,100
3,700

5,200
6,000
6,500
6,900
6,800
6,400
6,000
5,700

2,200
2,400
2,800
3,300
4,000
4,700
5,400
5,900

17,800
18,000
18,600
19,000
19,100
19,100
18,900
18,500

...
1,300
1,200
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,000
900

...
700
800
700
800
900
1,000
1,100

...
600
500
500
300
100
0
-200

...
-500
100
0
-200
-200
-200
-200

34.3
37.5
40.2
42.7
45.5
47.9
50.1
51.6

Rodney district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

15,400
17,800
20,000
20,600
21,200
22,300
23,600
25,300

22,100
23,500
26,300
28,300
31,300
34,600
37,800
39,600

20,800
25,700
32,300
36,400
38,500
39,700
40,400
41,700

10,000
11,600
13,800
17,000
20,600
24,300
28,700
33,300

68,300
78,500
92,400
102,200
111,600
121,000
130,500
139,900

...
5,000
5,300
5,900
6,100
6,500
7,200
7,700

...
2,800
2,900
3,100
3,600
4,200
4,700
5,300

...
2,200
2,300
2,800
2,400
2,400
2,500
2,400

...
8,000
11,600
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000

37.1
38.5
40.0
41.4
42.3
42.6
42.5
42.8

North Shore city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

36,500
39,500
42,000
43,600
45,400
47,000
47,700
48,500

70,200
72,500
81,000
84,000
88,300
92,900
95,300
97,600

52,900
61,400
70,700
77,300
80,100
83,000
87,100
89,900

20,000
20,800
23,300
27,700
34,000
39,800
47,100
54,900

179,500
194,200
216,900
232,600
247,800
262,700
277,100
291,000

...
12,100
13,100
14,300
14,400
14,700
15,000
15,200

...
5,700
5,700
5,600
6,200
6,800
7,500
8,400

...
6,400
7,400
8,700
8,200
7,900
7,500
6,800

...
8,200
15,300
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000

34.2
35.4
35.9
36.5
37.0
37.9
38.9
39.8

Waitakere city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

40,300
43,500
45,600
48,200
50,700
53,100
53,700
55,000

66,600
68,300
73,400
76,900
80,200
84,600
90,100
93,300

41,400
49,100
58,300
66,100
70,600
73,700
75,500
77,700

13,300
15,300
18,000
21,500
26,700
32,000
39,000
46,700

161,600
176,200
195,300
212,700
228,300
243,400
258,200
272,800

...
14,900
15,800
18,100
18,000
18,200
18,700
19,300

...
4,200
4,600
4,700
5,400
6,100
6,800
7,700

...
10,700
11,200
13,400
12,600
12,100
11,900
11,600

...
4,000
8,000
4,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000

31.0
32.3
33.4
33.9
34.4
35.1
36.0
36.9

141

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Auckland city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

72,900
76,100
79,000
78,900
82,900
87,600
90,100
90,900

156,600
164,500
183,300
197,600
208,000
215,100
215,300
218,600

92,400
109,000
125,600
138,200
148,300
159,600
176,700
189,600

40,100
39,100
40,400
43,600
51,200
60,600
72,300
85,400

362,000
388,800
428,300
458,200
490,400
522,900
554,500
584,500

...
29,800
30,400
33,100
34,600
35,400
35,400
35,300

...
12,800
12,000
12,200
12,400
12,900
13,800
15,300

...
16,900
18,400
20,900
22,200
22,500
21,600
20,000

...
9,800
21,100
9,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000

32.5
33.3
33.3
33.6
34.4
35.8
37.0
38.2

Manukau city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

70,600
80,200
89,100
94,900
101,000
107,300
111,600
116,600

106,300
112,400
130,000
140,800
153,200
166,200
178,700
187,300

68,000
81,100
99,200
112,900
122,100
130,000
138,300
148,100

21,600
24,600
28,700
35,300
44,300
54,100
66,300
79,900

266,500
298,200
347,100
383,900
420,600
457,600
494,800
532,100

...
27,800
30,000
34,000
35,000
36,400
38,200
40,000

...
7,400
7,800
8,300
9,300
10,500
12,000
13,800

...
20,300
22,200
25,800
25,700
26,000
26,200
26,300

...
11,400
26,700
11,000
11,000
11,000
11,000
11,000

29.5
30.7
31.1
31.3
32.0
32.9
34.0
34.9

Papakura district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

10,400
10,700
11,600
12,500
13,400
14,300
14,400
14,800

16,200
15,500
16,700
17,500
18,000
19,000
20,800
21,800

10,800
12,000
13,900
15,100
15,900
16,400
16,500
17,100

3,700
4,100
4,700
5,500
6,700
7,700
9,000
10,400

41,100
42,300
46,900
50,600
54,000
57,400
60,800
64,100

...
3,800
3,800
4,800
4,700
4,700
4,900
5,100

...
1,300
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,900
2,000
2,200

...
2,500
2,300
3,200
3,000
2,900
2,900
2,800

...
-1,300
2,300
500
500
500
500
500

30.5
32.0
32.8
33.0
32.9
33.2
33.9
34.4

Franklin district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

13,000
13,600
14,800
15,300
15,800
16,200
16,500
17,200

18,000
17,600
18,800
19,300
20,400
22,100
23,900
24,800

13,600
16,900
20,800
23,600
24,800
25,100
25,000
25,200

4,600
5,200
6,400
8,100
10,500
12,900
15,700
18,600

49,200
53,300
60,900
66,300
71,400
76,300
81,200
85,900

...
4,000
4,200
4,700
4,600
4,800
5,000
5,300

...
1,500
1,500
1,700
2,000
2,300
2,700
3,100

...
2,500
2,700
3,000
2,600
2,400
2,400
2,200

...
1,600
4,900
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500

32.4
34.9
36.9
38.4
39.5
39.9
40.2
40.9

Thames-Coromandel district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

5,200
5,000
4,600
4,400
4,200
4,000
3,800
3,600

7,100
6,400
6,400
6,100
6,000
5,800
5,700
5,200

8,200
9,100
10,000
10,300
9,900
9,400
9,000
8,800

4,800
5,300
5,700
6,300
7,200
8,000
8,800
9,400

25,400
25,800
26,700
27,100
27,300
27,300
27,300
27,000

...
1,500
1,300
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,200
1,100

...
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,700
1,900

...
200
-100
-100
-300
-400
-600
-700

...
300
900
500
500
500
500
500

41.1
44.1
46.3
48.5
50.6
52.5
54.2
55.3

Hauraki district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,800
4,400
3,900
3,600
3,400
3,300
3,000
2,800

6,000
4,900
4,600
4,500
4,300
4,000
3,800
3,300

4,900
5,400
6,100
6,200
5,800
5,300
4,700
4,300

2,200
2,500
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
5,300
5,700

17,800
17,200
17,600
17,900
17,700
17,400
16,900
16,200

...
1,200
1,000
1,100
1,000
1,000
900
800

...
800
800
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200

...
400
200
300
100
-100
-200
-400

...
-900
200
0
-300
-300
-300
-300

33.4
37.4
41.1
43.8
46.5
49.0
50.9
52.4

142

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Waikato district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

11,100
11,100
11,500
12,000
12,300
12,600
12,400
12,400

14,500
13,700
14,400
14,900
15,400
15,800
16,700
16,700

11,000
12,500
15,000
16,800
17,500
17,600
17,400
17,500

3,700
4,000
4,500
5,600
7,000
8,600
10,400
12,000

40,300
41,300
45,400
49,200
52,300
54,600
56,800
58,700

...
3,400
3,300
3,800
3,700
3,700
3,800
3,800

...
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,400

...
2,000
1,900
2,300
2,000
1,800
1,700
1,400

...
-1,000
2,200
1,500
1,000
500
500
500

31.4
33.4
35.3
36.4
37.4
38.2
39.1
40.2

Matamata-Piako district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,800
7,500
7,100
6,900
6,600
6,400
6,100
5,800

10,800
9,600
9,400
9,300
9,100
9,000
8,700
8,200

7,900
8,900
9,800
10,400
10,400
9,900
9,300
8,900

3,800
4,200
4,900
5,500
6,200
7,000
7,900
8,700

30,300
30,300
31,200
32,100
32,300
32,200
32,000
31,600

...
2,300
2,100
2,300
2,100
2,000
1,900
1,800

...
1,100
1,100
1,300
1,400
1,600
1,600
1,700

...
1,200
1,000
900
700
400
300
100

...
-1,200
-100
0
-500
-500
-500
-500

32.8
35.6
37.9
39.7
41.2
42.3
43.3
44.6

Hamilton city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

25,200
27,400
29,000
31,200
33,100
34,300
34,100
34,400

49,300
49,800
55,200
58,300
60,700
62,900
65,300
68,000

27,500
31,800
36,700
40,500
42,800
45,200
48,100
50,100

11,000
11,900
13,500
15,500
18,500
21,900
25,500
29,200

113,100
120,900
134,400
145,500
155,100
164,200
173,000
181,700

...
9,500
9,800
11,600
11,500
11,300
11,400
11,700

...
3,600
3,800
4,000
4,300
4,700
5,100
5,600

...
5,900
6,000
7,600
7,100
6,600
6,300
6,200

...
1,900
7,600
3,500
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500

29.4
30.6
31.1
31.5
32.5
33.4
34.3
35.1

Waipa district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

9,500
9,600
9,700
9,900
10,100
10,200
9,900
9,800

13,800
13,000
13,200
13,400
13,400
13,700
14,000
14,000

10,300
12,200
14,500
15,800
16,000
15,700
15,100
14,700

4,700
5,200
6,200
7,300
8,700
10,200
11,900
13,400

38,400
40,000
43,700
46,400
48,200
49,700
51,000
52,100

...
2,800
2,800
3,200
3,000
3,000
2,900
2,900

...
1,700
1,600
1,700
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600

...
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,100
800
600
400

...
500
2,300
1,300
700
700
700
700

33.4
36.0
38.2
39.8
41.1
42.0
42.7
43.5

Otorohanga district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,600
2,500
2,200
2,100
2,000
2,000
1,800
1,700

3,800
3,500
3,100
3,100
3,000
2,900
2,800
2,700

2,700
2,700
3,000
3,100
2,900
2,700
2,500
2,300

900
900
1,000
1,100
1,300
1,400
1,600
1,700

10,000
9,600
9,300
9,300
9,200
9,000
8,800
8,500

...
700
600
700
600
600
600
500

...
300
200
300
300
300
300
300

...
400
400
400
400
300
300
200

...
-800
-700
-400
-500
-500
-500
-500

31.4
32.3
35.0
35.4
35.8
36.6
37.6
38.7

South Waikato district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,700
7,000
6,100
5,500
5,000
4,800
4,400
4,100

9,600
8,100
7,200
6,900
6,500
6,100
6,000
5,100

6,500
6,800
7,100
7,100
6,700
6,100
5,300
4,900

2,000
2,300
2,900
3,300
3,700
4,000
4,300
4,600

25,800
24,200
23,200
22,700
22,000
21,100
20,000
18,700

...
2,300
1,900
1,900
1,700
1,600
1,500
1,300

...
800
800
900
900
1,000
1,100
1,100

...
1,500
1,100
1,000
700
600
400
200

...
-3,100
-2,100
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500

28.9
31.8
34.9
36.2
37.2
37.6
38.5
40.5

143

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Waitomo district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,800
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,300
2,300
2,100
2,000

3,500
3,200
3,000
3,000
3,000
2,900
2,800
2,700

2,700
2,900
3,100
3,100
2,900
2,700
2,500
2,300

1,000
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,400
1,500
1,700
1,900

10,000
9,800
9,700
9,700
9,600
9,400
9,200
8,900

...
800
700
800
700
700
700
600

...
400
300
400
400
400
400
400

...
400
400
400
400
300
300
200

...
-700
-500
-400
-500
-500
-500
-500

32.2
34.1
34.9
35.3
35.7
36.1
37.0
38.2

Taupo district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,200
8,000
7,300
7,100
7,000
6,900
6,600
6,300

11,600
10,800
10,600
10,300
10,000
9,800
9,700
9,200

8,500
9,900
11,000
11,700
11,600
11,300
10,800
10,600

3,400
3,900
4,500
5,400
6,400
7,400
8,500
9,300

31,600
32,500
33,400
34,400
35,000
35,400
35,600
35,500

...
2,500
2,300
2,500
2,300
2,200
2,200
2,100

...
1,200
1,100
1,300
1,400
1,600
1,700
1,900

...
1,300
1,200
1,200
900
700
500
200

...
-400
-300
-300
-300
-300
-300
-300

32.2
35.1
37.6
39.6
41.2
42.5
43.7
44.9

Western Bay of Plenty district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,700
9,400
9,200
9,100
9,100
9,500
9,600
9,700

11,000
10,700
11,200
11,500
12,000
12,400
12,900
12,800

11,200
13,300
15,900
17,300
17,800
17,800
17,400
17,500

4,800
5,600
6,800
8,200
10,000
11,900
14,100
16,000

35,700
39,000
43,000
46,100
48,900
51,500
53,900
56,000

...
2,600
2,500
2,700
2,700
2,800
2,800
2,800

...
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,900
2,200
2,500
2,800

...
1,200
1,000
1,100
800
600
400
100

...
2,200
3,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000

36.7
38.9
41.7
43.9
45.6
46.8
47.5
48.1

Tauranga city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

17,200
20,400
22,100
23,700
25,000
26,500
27,300
28,300

26,800
29,500
33,100
35,300
37,900
40,900
43,800
46,000

22,200
27,700
33,200
37,000
39,400
41,100
42,900
45,000

13,600
15,900
18,500
21,200
24,500
28,000
31,900
36,000

79,800
93,500
106,900
117,100
126,900
136,500
146,000
155,300

...
6,500
6,800
8,000
8,100
8,400
8,800
9,100

...
3,800
4,300
4,800
5,300
5,800
6,300
6,800

...
2,700
2,500
3,200
2,800
2,600
2,500
2,300

...
11,000
10,900
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000

36.4
37.7
38.9
39.7
40.3
40.5
41.1
41.7

Rotorua district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

17,800
17,300
17,000
16,500
16,000
15,500
14,800
14,400

25,400
23,400
22,500
22,100
21,800
21,700
22,000
21,200

17,000
19,200
21,000
22,200
22,200
21,600
20,300
19,700

6,500
7,000
7,600
8,400
9,900
11,300
13,100
14,600

66,600
66,900
68,100
69,200
69,900
70,100
70,100
69,800

...
6,000
5,500
5,800
5,300
5,100
5,000
4,900

...
2,400
2,400
2,600
2,700
2,800
3,000
3,200

...
3,600
3,000
3,200
2,600
2,300
2,000
1,600

...
-3,300
-1,800
-2,000
-2,000
-2,000
-2,000
-2,000

30.7
32.8
34.4
35.5
36.4
37.2
38.1
39.3

Whakatane district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

9,600
9,300
8,600
8,000
7,600
7,300
6,900
6,500

12,200
10,900
10,400
10,300
9,800
9,500
9,400
8,500

8,900
10,000
11,100
11,600
11,400
10,700
9,800
9,400

3,500
3,800
4,300
4,900
5,800
6,800
7,800
8,500

34,200
34,100
34,500
34,700
34,600
34,300
33,800
32,900

...
2,800
2,600
2,600
2,400
2,300
2,200
2,000

...
1,200
1,200
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,900

...
1,600
1,400
1,200
900
700
500
100

...
-1,700
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000

31.2
33.4
36.0
37.8
39.6
40.9
42.0
43.5

144

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Kawerau district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,700
2,300
2,000
1,700
1,500
1,400
1,300
1,100

3,000
2,400
2,200
2,100
2,000
1,800
1,700
1,400

1,900
2,000
2,100
2,000
1,900
1,700
1,400
1,300

500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,400
1,400
1,500

8,100
7,300
7,100
6,900
6,600
6,300
5,800
5,300

...
700
700
600
600
500
500
400

...
300
200
300
400
400
400
400

...
500
400
300
200
100
100
0

...
-1,300
-600
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500

26.5
30.1
33.6
35.4
37.0
38.3
39.4
42.3

Opotiki district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,900
2,700
2,500
2,200
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,700

3,200
2,800
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,400
2,300
2,000

2,500
2,800
2,900
3,000
2,800
2,500
2,200
2,100

1,000
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,600
1,900
2,100
2,200

9,600
9,500
9,200
9,100
8,900
8,700
8,400
8,100

...
800
700
700
700
600
600
600

...
400
400
400
400
400
500
500

...
400
300
300
200
200
100
0

...
-500
-600
-400
-400
-400
-400
-400

31.1
34.3
36.6
38.3
39.7
40.6
41.4
43.0

Gisborne district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

13,100
12,600
11,900
11,500
11,200
11,000
10,400
9,900

16,700
14,800
14,400
14,500
14,100
13,800
13,600
12,800

12,100
12,900
14,200
15,000
14,900
14,300
13,500
13,200

5,200
5,200
5,500
5,900
6,800
7,900
9,200
10,100

47,200
45,500
45,900
46,900
47,100
47,000
46,600
45,900

...
4,000
3,700
3,900
3,700
3,500
3,300
3,100

...
2,000
1,900
2,000
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300

...
2,000
1,800
1,900
1,700
1,400
1,100
800

...
-3,700
-1,400
-1,000
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500

31.3
32.8
34.6
35.6
36.5
37.6
38.9
40.6

Wairoa district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

3,000
2,600
2,300
2,100
2,000
1,900
1,700
1,600

3,500
2,800
2,500
2,400
2,300
2,100
2,000
1,800

2,700
2,800
2,900
2,800
2,600
2,300
2,000
1,800

1,000
1,000
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1,900

10,200
9,300
8,700
8,400
8,200
7,900
7,500
7,100

...
800
700
800
700
600
600
500

...
400
400
400
400
400
400
400

...
400
300
400
300
200
100
0

...
-1,400
-800
-700
-500
-500
-500
-500

30.8
33.6
36.1
37.2
38.1
39.0
40.2
42.0

Hastings district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

17,300
17,700
17,500
17,200
16,800
16,600
16,100
15,900

24,100
22,500
22,700
22,500
22,500
22,700
23,200
22,500

18,600
20,800
23,600
25,200
25,200
24,600
23,400
22,900

8,000
8,500
9,400
10,600
12,700
14,700
17,100
19,100

68,100
69,600
73,200
75,500
77,200
78,600
79,700
80,500

...
5,500
5,300
5,600
5,300
5,100
5,100
5,100

...
2,800
2,900
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,500
3,800

...
2,800
2,400
2,800
2,200
1,900
1,600
1,300

...
-1,300
1,200
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500

32.8
34.8
36.5
37.9
39.2
40.0
40.7
41.8

Napier city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

12,200
12,300
11,900
11,600
11,400
11,100
10,500
10,000

19,200
17,700
17,600
17,200
16,600
16,400
16,400
15,700

15,500
16,900
18,400
19,200
18,900
18,300
17,600
17,000

8,000
8,300
8,800
9,800
11,400
12,700
14,000
15,300

54,900
55,200
56,800
57,800
58,300
58,500
58,500
58,000

...
3,900
3,800
4,100
3,800
3,500
3,400
3,300

...
2,600
2,600
2,600
2,700
2,800
3,000
3,200

...
1,300
1,200
1,500
1,100
700
400
100

...
-1,000
400
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500

35.0
37.0
38.6
40.1
41.5
42.7
43.6
44.6

145

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Central Hawke's Bay district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

3,500
3,200
3,000
2,900
2,800
2,800
2,600
2,400

4,500
4,100
3,800
3,600
3,400
3,200
3,100
2,900

3,800
4,300
4,700
4,800
4,600
4,200
3,800
3,500

1,500
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,400
3,700

13,300
13,200
13,200
13,400
13,400
13,200
12,900
12,500

...
900
800
1,000
900
800
700
700

...
400
500
500
500
600
600
700

...
500
400
500
400
200
100
0

...
-600
-300
-300
-400
-400
-400
-400

33.5
36.3
39.3
41.0
42.7
44.3
45.6
46.9

New Plymouth district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

16,400
15,600
14,600
14,600
14,600
14,800
13,900
13,300

24,900
21,700
22,300
22,100
21,400
20,900
20,900
20,200

19,100
21,100
23,300
24,700
24,600
23,800
22,700
22,200

9,300
10,100
10,900
12,100
14,200
16,200
18,500
20,400

69,700
68,400
71,100
73,500
74,800
75,600
76,000
76,000

...
4,600
4,200
5,000
4,700
4,400
4,200
4,000

...
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
3,800
4,100

...
1,800
1,200
1,900
1,300
800
400
0

...
-3,000
1,500
500
0
0
0
0

34.3
37.0
38.6
40.1
41.5
42.6
43.7
44.8

Stratford district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,500
2,200
2,100
1,900
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,500

3,400
2,900
2,800
2,700
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,100

2,500
2,700
2,900
3,000
2,800
2,600
2,300
2,100

1,300
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,700
1,800
2,100
2,200

9,700
9,100
9,100
9,200
9,000
8,700
8,400
8,000

...
700
600
700
600
600
500
500

...
400
400
400
400
400
500
500

...
300
300
300
200
100
100
0

...
-900
-200
-200
-400
-400
-400
-400

32.9
35.9
37.7
39.0
40.1
40.8
41.6
43.4

South Taranaki district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,900
7,200
6,400
6,200
6,100
5,900
5,400
5,000

10,600
9,400
8,600
8,200
7,800
7,500
7,300
6,800

7,900
8,200
8,500
8,700
8,500
8,000
7,400
7,100

3,400
3,500
3,600
3,900
4,300
4,900
5,400
5,800

29,800
28,400
27,200
27,100
26,800
26,200
25,600
24,700

...
2,200
2,000
2,200
2,000
1,900
1,700
1,600

...
1,000
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,200
1,200
1,300

...
1,100
900
1,100
900
700
500
300

...
-2,600
-2,000
-1,200
-1,200
-1,200
-1,200
-1,200

31.9
34.3
36.2
37.3
38.2
39.1
40.1
41.7

Ruapehu district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,900
4,100
3,500
3,200
3,000
2,800
2,600
2,300

7,000
5,300
4,600
4,200
4,000
3,700
3,700
3,200

3,900
4,200
4,400
4,500
4,200
3,700
3,100
2,900

1,400
1,500
1,500
1,600
1,900
2,200
2,500
2,600

17,300
15,000
14,000
13,500
13,000
12,500
11,800
11,000

...
1,400
1,100
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800

...
500
500
500
500
500
600
600

...
900
600
700
500
400
300
200

...
-3,200
-1,600
-1,200
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000

28.8
32.3
34.8
35.9
36.4
36.8
38.0
39.9

Wanganui district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

11,000
10,300
9,400
8,700
8,300
8,000
7,400
7,000

15,800
13,800
12,800
12,500
12,000
11,700
11,400
10,400

12,400
13,300
14,100
14,500
14,000
12,800
11,600
11,100

6,900
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,900
10,000
11,100
11,900

46,000
44,400
43,800
43,600
43,100
42,400
41,500
40,300

...
3,200
2,800
2,900
2,700
2,500
2,400
2,200

...
2,300
2,300
2,300
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600

...
900
500
700
300
100
-100
-400

...
-2,500
-1,200
-800
-800
-800
-800
-800

34.5
37.0
39.5
41.2
42.8
44.1
44.8
45.9

146

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Rangitikei district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,500
3,900
3,400
3,100
2,900
2,800
2,600
2,400

5,900
4,900
4,500
4,200
4,100
3,800
3,600
3,100

4,400
4,700
5,100
5,100
4,700
4,200
3,700
3,400

1,900
2,000
2,200
2,500
2,900
3,200
3,600
3,900

16,700
15,500
15,100
14,900
14,500
14,000
13,500
12,800

...
1,200
1,000
1,000
900
900
800
700

...
700
600
600
600
700
700
800

...
600
300
500
300
200
100
0

...
-1,800
-700
-700
-700
-700
-700
-700

32.5
35.8
38.6
40.6
42.1
43.2
43.9
45.4

Manawatu district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,300
6,900
6,600
6,400
6,400
6,600
6,600
6,600

10,400
9,100
8,800
8,900
8,900
9,100
9,400
9,200

7,900
8,900
9,900
10,400
10,300
9,700
9,100
8,900

3,100
3,400
3,700
4,300
5,200
6,100
7,100
8,000

28,700
28,200
29,000
30,000
30,900
31,600
32,200
32,700

...
1,900
1,800
2,000
1,900
1,900
2,000
1,900

...
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,500

...
900
700
1,000
800
700
600
500

...
-1,400
100
0
0
0
0
0

32.7
35.7
37.8
39.3
40.2
40.3
40.4
41.3

Palmerston North city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

15,600
15,700
15,700
16,000
16,300
16,400
16,200
16,000

34,300
31,500
31,800
33,200
34,100
34,900
35,500
35,800

17,600
19,700
22,000
23,300
23,700
24,000
24,300
24,800

7,700
8,300
9,000
10,100
11,800
13,500
15,600
17,400

75,200
75,200
78,500
82,600
85,800
88,800
91,500
94,000

...
5,400
5,200
5,700
5,600
5,500
5,400
5,400

...
2,500
2,600
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,500

...
2,900
2,600
3,100
2,800
2,500
2,200
2,000

...
-2,900
800
1,000
500
500
500
500

29.2
31.1
32.1
32.5
33.2
34.1
35.1
36.1

Tararua district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

5,200
4,700
4,300
4,000
3,800
3,700
3,500
3,400

6,700
5,600
5,300
5,000
4,800
4,700
4,600
4,200

5,300
5,700
6,000
6,000
5,800
5,200
4,700
4,300

2,300
2,400
2,500
2,700
3,200
3,700
4,200
4,500

19,500
18,300
18,100
17,700
17,600
17,300
16,900
16,500

...
1,400
1,300
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,000

...
800
700
700
800
800
900
900

...
600
500
600
400
300
200
100

...
-1,800
-800
-900
-600
-600
-600
-600

33.2
36.1
37.8
39.5
41.0
41.7
42.2
43.2

Horowhenua district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,300
7,000
6,500
6,200
5,900
5,700
5,400
5,100

9,800
8,700
7,900
7,500
7,200
6,900
6,900
6,300

8,500
9,400
10,100
10,300
9,900
9,300
8,300
7,800

5,200
5,600
6,100
6,900
7,900
8,600
9,500
10,200

30,800
30,600
30,600
30,900
30,900
30,600
30,200
29,500

...
2,200
1,800
2,100
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,600

...
1,900
1,900
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,200
2,300

...
300
-100
300
0
-300
-400
-700

...
-500
0
0
0
0
0
0

36.2
39.2
42.1
44.8
47.2
49.4
51.1
52.2

Kapiti Coast district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,500
9,200
9,100
9,200
9,300
9,600
9,800
10,100

11,200
11,200
11,700
11,800
12,300
13,000
13,600
13,700

11,300
13,600
15,700
17,200
17,700
17,800
17,700
17,800

8,400
9,600
11,000
12,400
14,100
15,700
17,400
19,300

39,400
43,600
47,500
50,600
53,400
56,000
58,500
60,900

...
2,500
2,400
2,700
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000

...
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,900
3,200
3,400
3,600

...
200
0
100
-200
-400
-500
-600

...
4,000
3,800
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000

40.0
42.3
44.3
46.2
47.8
49.2
49.9
49.9

147

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Porirua city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

13,400
13,900
13,100
13,100
13,000
13,100
12,700
12,300

18,700
18,400
18,100
18,200
18,100
18,100
18,300
17,700

12,700
13,900
15,400
16,400
16,500
16,100
15,800
15,800

3,300
3,300
4,000
5,000
6,200
7,400
8,600
9,700

48,200
49,500
50,600
52,700
53,900
54,700
55,300
55,600

...
4,700
4,300
4,900
4,600
4,500
4,400
4,300

...
1,300
1,300
1,300
1,500
1,600
1,800
2,000

...
3,500
3,000
3,600
3,200
2,900
2,600
2,200

...
-2,100
-1,900
-1,500
-2,000
-2,000
-2,000
-2,000

29.6
30.6
32.4
33.0
33.6
34.6
35.9
37.0

Upper Hutt city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,800
8,800
8,700
8,600
8,300
8,100
7,600
7,400

14,700
13,200
13,200
13,100
12,800
12,700
12,800
12,300

10,300
11,300
12,900
13,900
13,800
13,300
12,400
11,700

3,900
4,400
4,900
5,900
7,100
8,000
9,300
10,400

37,700
37,700
39,700
41,500
41,900
42,100
42,000
41,800

...
2,700
2,500
2,700
2,500
2,400
2,300
2,300

...
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,600
1,700
1,900
2,000

...
1,300
1,100
1,300
900
600
400
300

...
-1,300
900
500
-500
-500
-500
-500

32.5
34.9
36.8
38.4
39.8
40.6
41.4
42.4

Lower Hutt city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

23,500
23,800
22,900
22,600
22,300
21,900
20,800
20,100

38,500
36,000
35,600
35,200
34,500
34,400
34,500
33,400

26,500
29,000
31,800
33,500
33,500
32,700
31,200
30,500

10,300
10,200
11,000
12,300
14,400
16,400
18,900
21,200

98,800
99,100
101,300
103,500
104,700
105,300
105,500
105,100

...
8,000
7,500
8,100
7,600
7,200
7,000
6,800

...
3,400
3,300
3,300
3,500
3,600
3,900
4,200

...
4,600
4,200
4,800
4,100
3,600
3,200
2,700

...
-4,300
-2,100
-2,500
-3,000
-3,000
-3,000
-3,000

32.3
33.7
35.1
35.8
36.5
37.3
38.3
39.4

Wellington city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

30,600
31,500
32,900
33,900
35,600
36,700
36,900
36,600

75,700
76,600
83,700
88,300
91,300
93,100
93,000
93,300

43,000
48,400
55,400
60,600
63,600
66,600
71,100
74,200

14,100
14,600
15,600
17,700
21,300
25,000
29,400
34,500

163,400
171,100
187,700
200,500
211,800
221,400
230,400
238,700

...
11,800
12,200
13,200
13,600
13,700
13,500
13,300

...
4,500
4,300
4,500
4,700
5,000
5,500
6,000

...
7,300
7,900
8,800
8,800
8,600
8,000
7,300

...
300
8,700
4,000
2,500
1,000
1,000
1,000

31.9
32.9
33.1
33.4
34.0
35.1
36.2
37.2

Masterton district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

5,800
5,400
4,900
4,500
4,400
4,300
4,100
3,800

7,700
6,900
6,600
6,400
6,200
6,000
5,800
5,200

6,600
7,300
7,800
8,000
7,700
7,100
6,600
6,400

3,300
3,600
3,900
4,400
5,100
5,800
6,500
7,000

23,300
23,200
23,200
23,400
23,400
23,200
22,900
22,500

...
1,700
1,400
1,500
1,400
1,400
1,300
1,200

...
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500

...
600
300
400
200
100
-100
-300

...
-700
-400
-200
-200
-200
-200
-200

34.8
37.7
40.3
42.4
44.4
45.8
46.9
48.1

Carterton district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

1,700
1,600
1,500
1,600
1,500
1,500
1,400
1,400

2,200
2,000
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,700

2,100
2,400
2,700
2,800
2,700
2,600
2,500
2,500

900
1,000
1,100
1,300
1,600
1,800
2,100
2,200

6,900
7,000
7,300
7,500
7,700
7,800
7,800
7,800

...
400
400
500
400
400
400
400

...
300
300
300
400
400
400
500

...
100
100
100
0
0
-100
-100

...
-100
100
200
100
100
100
100

36.2
39.2
41.4
43.1
44.8
46.3
47.3
48.1

148

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

South Wairarapa district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,200
2,000
1,900
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,600
1,500

2,900
2,500
2,300
2,200
1,900
1,800
1,800
1,700

2,800
3,100
3,400
3,500
3,400
3,200
2,900
2,600

1,200
1,300
1,500
1,900
2,300
2,600
2,900
3,100

9,200
8,900
9,100
9,400
9,400
9,300
9,200
8,900

...
600
500
600
500
500
500
400

...
400
300
400
400
500
500
600

...
200
200
300
100
0
-100
-100

...
-400
0
0
-100
-100
-100
-100

36.1
39.8
42.7
45.2
48.0
50.7
53.1
55.2

Tasman district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

9,100
9,700
9,700
9,600
9,400
9,100
8,900
8,800

13,300
13,100
12,900
12,700
12,600
13,100
13,400
13,200

11,600
14,100
16,900
18,000
17,900
17,300
16,400
15,900

4,800
5,500
6,200
7,700
9,700
11,600
13,600
15,200

38,800
42,400
45,800
47,900
49,600
51,100
52,300
53,200

...
2,500
2,700
2,700
2,500
2,400
2,500
2,500

...
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,500

...
1,100
1,100
1,100
700
500
200
-100

...
2,600
2,200
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000

35.3
37.6
40.3
42.4
44.4
45.9
46.8
47.3

Nelson city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,500
8,900
8,400
8,400
8,600
8,700
8,300
8,200

15,300
14,500
14,100
13,900
13,600
13,600
14,000
13,700

11,500
13,400
15,400
16,400
16,600
16,100
15,300
15,100

5,800
6,100
6,400
7,100
8,400
9,900
11,500
13,000

41,200
42,900
44,300
45,900
47,200
48,300
49,200
49,900

...
2,700
2,700
3,000
2,800
2,700
2,700
2,600

...
1,700
1,900
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,300
2,500

...
900
800
1,100
800
600
400
200

...
800
600
500
500
500
500
500

35.0
37.1
39.4
41.0
42.3
43.4
44.1
44.8

Marlborough district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

8,700
8,500
8,000
8,000
8,000
7,900
7,400
7,000

13,400
12,300
12,700
12,500
12,100
11,600
11,500
11,000

11,600
13,700
15,800
16,700
16,700
16,600
16,000
15,800

5,600
6,300
7,100
8,600
10,400
12,000
13,700
15,000

39,200
40,700
43,600
45,800
47,100
48,000
48,600
48,700

...
2,400
2,300
2,600
2,500
2,300
2,100
2,000

...
1,600
1,900
1,900
2,100
2,400
2,600
2,900

...
700
400
700
300
-100
-500
-800

...
800
2,400
1,500
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000

36.0
39.3
41.7
43.7
45.8
47.8
49.5
50.9

Kaikoura district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

800
700
700
700
600
600
600
600

1,200
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,000
1,000
900
900

1,100
1,200
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,300
1,300
1,300

500
500
600
600
800
900
1,100
1,200

3,600
3,600
3,700
3,800
3,900
3,900
3,900
3,900

...
200
200
200
200
200
200
200

...
200
100
100
200
200
200
200

...
100
100
100
0
0
0
0

...
-100
100
0
0
0
0
0

36.1
39.8
41.2
43.3
45.3
46.8
48.3
49.6

Buller district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,600
2,200
1,900
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,600
1,500

3,500
2,800
2,600
2,600
2,400
2,200
2,100
1,800

3,200
3,400
3,800
3,900
3,700
3,400
3,000
2,800

1,400
1,500
1,600
1,800
2,200
2,500
2,800
3,100

10,700
9,900
9,900
10,100
10,000
9,900
9,600
9,300

...
600
500
600
600
500
500
400

...
500
400
400
500
500
500
600

...
100
100
200
100
0
-100
-100

...
-1,000
0
0
-200
-200
-200
-200

35.4
39.4
42.4
44.8
47.0
49.1
50.7
52.0

149

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Grey district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

3,300
3,100
2,900
2,800
2,800
2,800
2,600
2,500

5,100
4,200
4,100
4,100
3,900
3,800
3,900
3,700

3,900
4,300
4,700
4,900
4,700
4,400
3,900
3,700

1,600
1,700
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,800
3,200
3,500

14,000
13,200
13,500
13,900
13,900
13,800
13,600
13,400

...
900
800
1,000
900
800
800
800

...
600
600
600
600
600
700
700

...
400
200
400
300
200
100
0

...
-1,200
100
0
-300
-300
-300
-300

33.8
37.1
38.7
40.0
41.3
42.0
42.3
42.9

Westland district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,000
1,700
1,700
1,600
1,500
1,500
1,300
1,300

3,100
2,600
2,700
2,700
2,600
2,400
2,300
2,200

2,400
2,700
3,200
3,400
3,300
3,100
2,900
2,600

1,000
1,000
1,100
1,300
1,700
2,000
2,300
2,600

8,400
8,000
8,600
9,000
9,000
9,000
8,900
8,700

...
500
500
500
500
400
400
400

...
400
300
300
400
400
400
500

...
200
100
200
100
0
0
-100

...
-600
500
200
-100
-100
-100
-100

34.2
37.8
39.8
41.6
43.8
45.7
47.4
48.9

Hurunui district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,300
2,400
2,300
2,200
2,200
2,100
2,100
2,100

3,000
2,800
2,900
2,900
2,900
3,000
3,100
3,000

3,100
3,600
4,100
4,300
4,200
4,100
3,900
3,900

1,200
1,300
1,500
1,900
2,400
2,800
3,200
3,600

9,600
10,100
10,800
11,300
11,700
12,000
12,300
12,600

...
600
700
600
600
600
600
600

...
300
300
300
400
500
500
600

...
300
300
300
200
200
100
0

...
200
300
200
200
200
200
200

36.7
39.1
41.4
43.5
45.4
46.7
47.5
47.9

Waimakariri district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,500
8,900
9,900
10,300
10,500
10,900
11,100
11,700

11,600
11,800
12,300
12,900
13,800
14,900
16,300
17,100

10,000
12,600
15,700
17,900
18,900
19,400
19,300
19,500

3,900
4,600
6,200
7,900
10,000
12,000
14,300
16,600

33,000
37,900
44,100
49,100
53,200
57,200
61,100
64,900

...
2,500
2,500
2,900
2,900
3,000
3,200
3,400

...
1,100
1,300
1,400
1,700
2,000
2,300
2,600

...
1,400
1,200
1,500
1,200
1,000
900
800

...
3,500
4,900
3,500
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000

35.3
37.3
39.8
41.6
43.3
44.3
44.7
44.7

Christchurch city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

63,400
64,400
67,300
69,000
70,600
70,700
68,300
67,100

130,900
126,400
133,300
134,400
134,900
136,400
139,100
140,300

87,800
99,200
112,700
122,300
125,800
126,700
126,300
125,500

43,600
45,200
48,500
53,200
61,700
70,700
81,200
91,100

325,700
335,300
361,800
378,900
393,000
404,500
414,800
424,000

...
21,100
22,000
24,700
23,500
22,600
22,200
22,300

...
13,000
13,600
14,600
15,400
16,100
16,900
18,100

...
8,100
8,400
10,100
8,100
6,500
5,300
4,100

...
1,500
18,100
7,000
6,000
5,000
5,000
5,000

33.8
35.5
36.4
37.3
38.2
39.0
40.0
40.9

Selwyn district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

5,800
6,600
7,900
8,900
9,500
10,000
10,300
10,900

10,300
10,100
11,500
12,800
13,700
15,000
16,700
17,700

7,400
9,300
12,400
14,800
15,900
16,500
16,700
16,900

2,000
2,300
3,200
4,400
6,100
7,900
10,000
12,400

25,500
28,300
35,000
40,900
45,200
49,500
53,700
57,900

...
1,600
2,000
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,900
3,200

...
500
600
600
800
900
1,200
1,400

...
1,100
1,400
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,700
1,700

...
1,700
5,300
4,000
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500

32.5
35.0
36.8
37.8
38.9
39.4
39.8
40.5

150

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Ashburton district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

5,500
5,500
5,700
5,900
6,100
6,100
5,800
5,600

8,400
7,800
8,400
8,800
8,500
8,400
8,500
8,400

7,800
8,500
9,300
10,200
10,400
10,400
10,200
10,100

4,000
4,200
4,600
5,200
6,000
6,800
7,600
8,500

25,700
26,000
28,000
30,000
31,000
31,700
32,200
32,600

...
1,600
1,600
1,900
1,900
1,700
1,700
1,600

...
1,100
1,200
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600

...
400
400
700
500
300
100
0

...
-100
1,600
1,300
400
400
400
400

37.2
39.4
39.8
40.8
42.2
43.5
44.6
45.6

Timaru district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

9,300
8,900
8,300
8,000
7,800
7,800
7,400
7,100

14,300
12,600
12,200
12,000
11,500
11,100
11,100
10,300

12,800
13,800
15,300
15,800
15,200
14,100
13,000
12,400

7,100
7,500
8,000
8,900
10,300
11,500
12,800
13,800

43,500
42,800
43,800
44,700
44,800
44,600
44,200
43,600

...
2,500
2,300
2,600
2,400
2,300
2,200
2,000

...
2,200
2,200
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,600
2,700

...
400
100
500
100
-200
-400
-700

...
-1,000
900
400
0
0
0
0

37.2
39.8
42.1
44.0
45.9
47.4
48.5
49.1

Mackenzie district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

1,000
800
800
800
700
700
700
600

1,600
1,200
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,000

1,200
1,300
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,300
1,200
1,100

400
500
500
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,300

4,200
3,800
3,900
4,000
4,100
4,100
4,100
4,000

...
200
200
200
200
200
200
200

...
100
100
100
100
100
100
200

...
100
100
200
100
100
0
0

...
-500
0
-100
-100
-100
-100
-100

33.1
38.3
40.3
42.6
44.9
46.7
47.9
48.6

Waimate district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

1,800
1,600
1,500
1,400
1,400
1,500
1,400
1,400

2,300
1,900
1,800
1,800
1,800
1,700
1,800
1,700

2,400
2,500
2,700
2,700
2,500
2,400
2,100
2,000

1,200
1,300
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,300

7,800
7,200
7,400
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,400

...
400
300
400
400
400
400
400

...
400
400
300
400
400
400
400

...
0
0
100
0
0
0
-100

...
-600
200
0
0
0
0
0

38.1
41.5
43.7
45.4
46.7
47.6
47.8
47.1

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

200
200
100
100
100
100
100
100

300
300
200
200
200
200
200
200

200
200
200
200
200
200
200
200

0
0
100
100
100
100
100
100

800
700
600
600
600
600
600
500

...
100
0
0
0
0
0
0

...

...
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

...
-100
-100
0
0
0
0
0

30.9
33.0
36.3
38.5
40.6
41.3
41.9
42.8

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,700
4,100
3,900
3,700
3,500
3,300
3,100
2,900

7,000
5,400
5,000
4,900
4,600
4,400
4,300
3,900

6,700
7,000
7,600
7,500
7,200
6,400
5,500
5,000

3,700
3,900
4,200
4,700
5,200
5,800
6,400
6,800

22,000
20,500
20,700
20,800
20,400
19,900
19,300
18,500

...
1,200
1,000
1,100
1,000
900
900
900

0
-100
100
-100
-300
-400
-500

...
-1,500
300
100
-300
-300
-300
-300

38.2
42.3
44.6
46.9
49.4
51.3
53.0
54.4

Chatham Islands territory

Waitaki district

151

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...
1,200
1,200
1,100
1,200
1,200
1,300
1,300

...

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

Year
014

1539

4064

65+

Total

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

Natural
increase(5)

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

Central Otago district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

3,300
2,900
3,100
3,400
3,500
3,400
3,300
3,300

4,800
3,900
4,500
4,900
4,800
4,900
5,100
5,000

4,800
5,400
6,400
7,000
6,900
6,700
6,400
6,300

2,300
2,600
3,000
3,600
4,400
5,100
5,800
6,300

15,200
14,800
17,100
18,900
19,600
20,100
20,600
20,900

...
800
900
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000

...
600
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100

...
200
300
300
200
100
0
-100

...
-700
2,000
1,500
500
500
500
500

37.8
42.6
43.4
44.8
46.3
47.6
48.5
49.0

Queenstown-Lakes district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

2,600
3,200
3,900
4,900
5,700
6,400
6,300
6,400

6,800
7,500
10,700
11,500
11,700
11,500
12,400
13,600

3,900
5,400
7,500
9,200
10,800
12,900
14,100
14,800

1,400
1,700
2,100
2,600
3,500
4,400
5,600
6,900

14,800
17,800
24,100
28,200
31,700
35,100
38,400
41,700

...
1,100
1,300
2,000
2,000
1,900
1,900
2,100

...
400
400
400
500
600
600
800

...
700
900
1,600
1,500
1,400
1,300
1,300

...
2,300
5,400
2,500
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000

32.9
34.4
34.5
35.8
37.6
39.4
40.9
41.7

Dunedin city

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

22,800
21,500
20,300
19,300
19,000
19,200
19,200
18,800

51,500
48,400
49,000
50,500
51,700
52,400
50,800
49,200

30,800
33,900
36,800
37,800
36,500
34,500
34,500
35,100

15,600
15,500
16,200
17,200
19,500
21,900
24,600
26,500

120,800
119,300
122,300
124,800
126,700
128,000
129,100
129,700

...
6,800
6,300
6,500
6,500
6,600
6,400
6,200

...
5,000
4,800
5,000
5,100
5,200
5,400
5,600

...
1,700
1,500
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,100
600

...
-3,200
1,600
1,000
500
0
0
0

32.2
33.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
35.9
37.1
38.2

Clutha district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

4,300
4,000
3,900
3,700
3,600
3,500
3,400
3,300

6,600
5,500
5,000
5,000
4,800
4,700
4,700
4,500

5,300
5,800
6,000
6,000
5,900
5,400
4,900
4,500

2,200
2,200
2,300
2,600
3,100
3,500
3,900
4,200

18,400
17,600
17,200
17,400
17,300
17,100
16,900
16,600

...
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,000
1,000
1,000

...
600
700
600
700
700
700
800

...
600
500
500
400
300
300
200

...
-1,400
-800
-300
-500
-500
-500
-500

34.4
37.4
38.8
39.9
41.2
41.9
42.0
42.3

Southland district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

7,800
6,800
6,600
6,400
6,400
6,300
6,000
5,700

11,100
9,500
9,000
8,800
8,500
8,400
8,400
8,100

9,200
9,900
10,200
10,400
10,100
9,600
8,900
8,500

3,000
3,200
3,400
3,900
4,600
5,300
6,100
6,700

31,200
29,400
29,200
29,500
29,700
29,600
29,400
29,000

...
1,900
2,000
2,100
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,700

...
900
800
800
800
900
1,000
1,100

...
1,000
1,200
1,300
1,100
1,000
800
600

...
-2,800
-1,400
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000

33.6
36.7
37.8
38.8
39.7
40.3
41.0
41.9

Gore district

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

3,200
2,900
2,600
2,300
2,200
2,100
1,900
1,800

4,700
4,000
3,500
3,500
3,200
3,100
2,900
2,500

3,700
3,900
4,200
4,200
4,000
3,600
3,100
2,800

1,800
1,900
2,100
2,200
2,500
2,800
3,100
3,400

13,500
12,700
12,400
12,200
11,900
11,500
11,000
10,400

...
900
800
800
700
700
600
600

...
600
600
700
700
700
700
700

...
300
200
100
100
0
-100
-200

...
-1,100
-600
-300
-400
-400
-400
-400

34.5
37.3
40.4
42.2
44.1
45.8
46.7
47.6

152

Demographic Trends: 2011

Table 8.04

Projected population age structure and components of change


Territorial authority areas
19962031 (2006-base) update, medium series

Territorial authority area(1)

Population(2) by age group (years),


at 30 June
Year
014

Invercargill city

Components of population change,


five years ended 30 June

1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031

12,500
11,300
10,500
10,200
10,100
9,900
9,100
8,200

1539

20,400
17,300
17,100
16,900
16,500
15,600
14,800
13,700

4064

14,600
15,500
16,600
17,100
16,600
15,600
14,700
14,000

65+

Total

6,700
7,000
7,500
8,200
9,300
10,400
11,600
12,600

54,200
51,100
51,600
52,400
52,400
51,500
50,200
48,500

Births(3)

Deaths(4)

...
3,600
3,300
3,800
3,600
3,300
3,000
2,700

...
2,400
2,600
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900

Natural
increase(5)
...
1,200
700
1,300
1,000
600
200
-200

Net
migration(6)

Median
age(7)
(years)
at 30
June

...
-4,400
-300
-500
-1,000
-1,500
-1,500
-1,500

1. Boundaries at 30 June 2009.


2. Estimates for 19962006 are the estimated resident population of each area. Projections for 201131 have as a base the estimated
resident population of each area at 30 June 2006 and incorporate medium fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions for each area.
3. Historical data refers to live births registered in New Zealand to mothers resident in each area.
4. Historical data refers to deaths registered in New Zealand of people resident in each area.
5. Births minus deaths. Negative values denote natural decrease.
6. Net external migration plus net internal migration. Historical data is the difference between estimated population change and natural increase.
7. Half the population is younger, and half older, than this age.
Notes: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Due to rounding, individual figures may not sum to stated totals.
Symbol: Not applicable
Source: Statistics New Zealand

153

33.3
36.1
37.5
38.5
39.4
40.4
41.9
43.6

Glossary
Age-specific
A measure relating to an age group. Age-specific rates are commonly calculated for fertility,
mortality, marriage, marriage dissolution, and abortion.
Age-specific fertility rates are usually expressed in terms of the experience of women within each
five-year age group (1519, 2024, 2529 years, etc), or they can also be expressed in terms of
single year of age rates.
Area unit
Area units are aggregations of meshblocks. They are non-administrative areas intermediate
between meshblocks and territorial authority areas. Area units must either define or aggregate to
define regional council areas, territorial authority areas, and urban areas. Each area unit must be
a single geographic entity with a unique name. Area units of main or secondary urban areas
generally coincide with suburbs or parts thereof. Area units within urban areas normally contain
3,0005,000 population. In rural areas, the straddling of some territorial authorities over regional
boundaries has resulted in a number of area units having only two or three meshblocks and a
very low population count.
Asian ethnic group
People who identify with an Asian ethnicity (for example, Chinese, Indian, Korean) with or without
other ethnicities.
Because ethnicity is self-perceived, people can identify with an Asian ethnicity even though they
are not descended from Asian ancestors. Conversely, people may choose to not identify with an
Asian ethnicity even though they are descended from Asian ancestors. Ethnicity is not the same
as birthplace.
Base population
The estimated resident population at 30 June 2006 forms the base population for deriving postcensal population estimates and projections.
The estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006 is based on the census usually
resident population count from the 2006 Census (held on 7 March 2006), with adjustments for:
people missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount)
residents temporarily overseas on census night
births, deaths, and net migration between census night and 30 June 2006
reconciliation with demographic estimates at ages 04 years.
Census night population count
A count of all people present in a given area on a given census night. The census night
population count of New Zealand includes visitors from overseas who are counted on census
night, but excludes residents who are temporarily overseas on census night.
For a subnational area, the count includes visitors from overseas and elsewhere in New Zealand
(people who do not usually live in that area), but excludes residents of that area who are
temporarily elsewhere on census night (people who usually live in that area but are absent).

154

Demographic Trends: 2011

Census usually resident population count


A count of all people who usually live in a given area, and are present in New Zealand, on a given
census night. The census usually resident population count of New Zealand excludes visitors
from overseas and excludes residents who are temporarily overseas on census night.
For a subnational area, this count excludes visitors from overseas and elsewhere in New Zealand
(people who do not usually live in that area), but includes residents of that area who are
temporarily elsewhere in New Zealand on census night (people who usually live in that area but
are absent).
City
A territorial authority that is a distinct entity, is predominately urban in character, has a minimum
population of 50,000, and is a major centre of activity within its parent region. Some territorial
authorities are classified as cities for historical reasons. For example, Nelson is a city because of
its cathedral.
Civil union
The act, ceremony, or process by which the legal relationship of two people is constituted. A civil
union may be entered into by couples of the same sex or by couples of different sexes. In New
Zealand, a civil union may be solemnised either by a civil union celebrant or before a registrar of
civil unions. A licence must be obtained from a registrar before a civil union can be solemnised,
and notice must be given by one of the parties to a registrar.
Cohort
A group of people sharing a common demographic experience. For example, the 1900 birth
cohort refers to the people who were born in the year 1900. Cohort life tables are based on the
actual mortality experience of a particular group of people born in the same year.
Cohort life table
A tabular numerical representation of mortality and survivorship of a cohort of births at each age
of life. It comprises an array of measures, including probabilities of death, probabilities of survival,
and life expectancies at various ages. It is based on the actual mortality experience of a particular
cohort (for example, all people born in the year 1900). These tables require data over many
years, from infancy to the oldest age lived by the cohort (that is, until the death of the last
survivor).
Confinement
A pregnancy resulting in either live or stillborn children. Such an event is counted as one
confinement irrespective of whether a single or multiple birth results.
Crude birth rate
The number of live births per 1,000 mean population.
Crude death rate
The number of deaths per 1,000 mean population.
Crude marriage rate
The number of marriages per 1,000 mean population.
Cumulative fertility rate
The average number of live births that a woman born in a particular year has had by the time she
reaches a particular age.
155

Demographic Trends: 2011

Death
The permanent disappearance of all evidence of life at any time after live birth has taken place
(post-natal cessation of vital functions without capability of resuscitation). This definition therefore
excludes foetal deaths.
De facto population concept
A statistical basis for a population in terms of those present in a given area at a given time. The
census night population count is a census measure, and the estimated de facto population is a
demographic measure, of the de facto population concept.
In terms of vitals data (births, deaths, marriages, etc), the de facto population concept refers to
events registered in New Zealand to New Zealand residents and visitors from overseas.
De facto union (consensual union)
Two people usually living in the same dwelling, but not in a registered marriage or civil union with
each other, who:
share mutual concern for each other
have a degree of economic, social, and emotional interdependence
consider their relationship to be akin to marriage.
Demographic projection
Indication of the future demographic characteristics of a population, families, households, or
labour force based on an assessment of past trends and assumptions about the future course of
demographic behaviour (for example, fertility, mortality, migration, living arrangement type, labour
force participation).
District
A territorial authority area that is neither wholly urban nor wholly rural and that is under the
jurisdiction of a district council.
Divorce
The process by which the legal relationship of husband and wife is dissolved. An application for
marriage dissolution can be made by either the husband or wife on the grounds that the marriage
has broken down irreconcilably, provided a two-year separation requirement is satisfied. Orders
for dissolution of marriage cannot be granted if both marriage partners live outside New Zealand.
Dissolution orders are granted by the Family Court.
Divorce rate
The number of divorces per 1,000 estimated existing marriages.
Estimated de facto population
An estimate of all people present in a given area at a given date. The estimated de facto
population of New Zealand includes all people present in New Zealand and counted by the
census (census night population count). This estimate includes visitors from overseas who are
counted on census night, but excludes New Zealand residents who are temporarily overseas.
For a subnational area the estimate includes visitors from overseas and elsewhere in New
Zealand (people who do not usually live in that area), but excludes residents of that area who are
temporarily elsewhere on census night (people who usually live in that area but are absent).

156

Demographic Trends: 2011

The estimated de facto population at a given date after census includes births, deaths, and net
migration (arrivals less departures) of people during the period between census night and the
given date.
De facto population estimates are no longer produced. National population estimates were
produced annually (reference date at 31 December) from 1936 to 1950 and quarterly (reference
dates at 31 March, 30 June, 30 September, and 31 December) from March 1951 to June 1997.
Subnational population estimates were produced annually (reference date at 31 March) to 1995.
Estimated resident population
An estimate of all people who usually live in a given area at a given date. The estimated resident
population of New Zealand includes all residents present in New Zealand and counted by the
census (census usually resident population count), residents who are temporarily overseas (who
are not included in the census), and an adjustment for residents missed or counted more than
once by the census (net census undercount). Visitors from overseas are excluded.
For a subnational area, the estimate excludes visitors from elsewhere in New Zealand (people
who do not usually live in that area), but includes residents of that area who are temporarily
elsewhere on census night (people who usually live in that area but are absent).
The estimated resident population at a given date after census includes births, deaths, and net
migration (arrivals less departures) of residents during the period between census night and the
given date.
National population estimates are produced quarterly (reference dates at 31 March, 30 June, 30
September and 31 December) from 1991 and subnational population estimates are produced
annually (reference date at 30 June) from 1996.
Ethnicity
An ethnic group is made up of people who have some or all of the following characteristics:
a common proper name
one or more elements of common culture that need not be specified, but may include
religion, customs, or language
a unique community of interests, feelings, and actions
a shared sense of common origins, or ancestry
a common geographic origin.
This definition is based on the work of A Smith (1986) The Ethnic Origins of Nations.
Ethnicity is self-perceived and people can belong to more than one ethnic group. People may
choose to identify with an ethnicity even though they may not be descended from ancestors with
that ethnicity. Conversely, people may choose not to identify with an ethnicity even though they
are descended from ancestors with that ethnicity.
In the Census of Population and Dwellings, ethnicity is identified by the person completing the
census form. In the case of births and deaths, ethnicity is identified by the person completing the
registration form. For births this is usually the parents, while for deaths this is most likely to be the
funeral director (on the advice of a family member).
European ethnic group
People who identify with a European ethnicity (for example, New Zealand European, English,
Dutch) with or without other ethnicities.
Because ethnicity is self-perceived, people may choose to identify with a European ethnicity even
though they are not descended from European ancestors. Conversely, people may choose not to
157

Demographic Trends: 2011

identify with a European ethnicity even though they are descended from European ancestors.
Ethnicity is not the same as birthplace.
Ex-nuptial birth
A child born to parents who are not legally married or in a civil union at the time of the birth. Exnuptial births include births to parents in a de facto union. Nuptiality is determined by the date of
marriage or civil union on the birth registration form. If no date of marriage or civil union is given,
the birth is assumed to be ex-nuptial.
General marriage rate
The number of marriages per 1,000 estimated mean not-married population aged 16 years and
over.
Gross reproduction rate
The average number of daughters that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the
age-specific fertility rates of that year. It excludes the effect of mortality.
Infant death
The death of a child (who was born alive) before the age of one year. The infant mortality rate is
the number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births.
Internal migration
Migration between areas of New Zealand.
International migration
Migration into or out of New Zealand. International migration statistics are based on 'permanent
and long-term' migration statistics, which are primarily determined by passengers' responses on
arrival or departure cards to the questions on where they live and their length of stay or absence.
International migrant arrivals
People from overseas arriving to live in New Zealand for 12 months or more (including
permanently), and New Zealanders returning after an absence of 12 months or more. (Referred
to as permanent and long-term arrivals in international migration statistics.)
International migrant departures
New Zealanders departing for an absence of 12 months or more (including permanently), and
people from overseas departing after a stay of 12 months or more in New Zealand. (Referred to
as permanent and long-term departures in international migration statistics.)
Labour force
The population aged 15 years and over who regularly work for one or more hours per week for
financial gain, or work without pay in a family business, or are unemployed and actively seeking
part-time or full-time work.
Late registration
A birth registered more than two years after it occurred. Section 16 of the Births, Deaths,
Marriages, and Relationships Registration Act 1995 states that no birth can be registered after
two years without the approval of the Registrar-General.
Birth statistics and derived birth rates released by Statistics NZ generally exclude late
registrations.

158

Demographic Trends: 2011

Life expectancy
The average length of life remaining at a given age. As derived from a period life table, it
assumes that a person experiences the age-specific mortality rates of a given period from the
given age onwards. It represents the average longevity of the whole population and does not
necessarily reflect the longevity of an individual.
Live birth
The birth of a child who breathes or shows any other evidence of life, such as beating of the
heart, pulsation of the umbilical cord, or definite movement of voluntary muscles, whether or not
the umbilical cord has been cut or the placenta is attached. All liveborn infants should be
registered and counted as such irrespective of length of gestation or whether alive or dead at the
time of registration. If the child dies at any time following birth, their death should also be
registered and counted as a death.
Mori descent
People have Mori descent if they consider they have Mori ancestors, no matter how distant.
Mori ethnic group
People who identify with the Mori ethnicity with or without other ethnicities.
Because ethnicity is self-perceived, people may choose to identify with Mori ethnicity even
though they may not be descended from Mori ancestors. Conversely, people may choose not to
identify with Mori ethnicity even though they are descended from Mori ancestors.
An ethnic question (based on self-identification) was not asked on birth and death registration
forms until 1 September 1995. Consequently, Mori births and deaths before this date relate to
the old half or more Mori origin definition. All tables carrying the old definition of Mori are
clearly labelled and end in 1995.
Marital status
A persons status with respect to the marriage laws or customs of the country. Legal marital
status is a persons status with respect to registered marriage or civil union. Social marital status
is a persons status with respect to consensual union (partnered or unpartnered).
Marriage (registered)
The act, ceremony, or process by which the legal relationship of husband and wife is constituted.
In New Zealand, a marriage may be solemnised either by a celebrant or before a registrar of
marriages. A licence must be obtained from a registrar before a marriage by a celebrant can be
solemnised, and notice must be given by one of the parties to a registrar.
Mean population
The average number of people in an area during a given period, usually one year. This measure
may be estimated in terms of a simple or weighted arithmetic mean of monthly or quarterly
population during the reference period. If the mean population is unavailable, the population at
the midpoint of the period is generally suitable for most purposes.
Median age
Half the population is younger, and half older, than this age.
Meshblock
The smallest geographic unit for which statistical data is collected and processed by Statistics
NZ. A meshblock is a defined geographic area, varying in size from part of a city block to large
areas of rural land. Each meshblock abuts against another to form a network covering all of New
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Demographic Trends: 2011

Zealand including coasts and inlets, and extending out to the 200-mile economic zone.
Meshblocks are added together to build up larger geographic areas such as area units and
urban areas. They are also the principal unit used to draw-up and define electoral district and
local authority boundaries.
Middle Eastern, Latin American, and African (MELAA) ethnic group
People who identify with Middle Eastern, Latin American, or African ethnicities with or without
other ethnicities. Before 2006, these ethnicities were coded to the Other ethnic group.
Migration
The movement of people from one area to another. When the movement is between countries it
is called international or external migration; when it is within a country it is called internal
migration.
The international travel and migration statistics included in this publication were compiled from
arrival and departure cards filled in by passengers. Passenger type (overseas visitor, New
Zealand-resident traveller, or permanent and long-term migrant) is based on: time spent in and
out of New Zealand, past arrivals and departures of a person, and responses to questions on the
arrival or departure card.
Natural increase
The excess of live births over deaths. When deaths exceed births, this is described as a natural
decrease or a negative natural increase.
Net census undercount
The difference between undercount and overcount. It is usually expressed as a percentage of
what should have been the complete count rather than as a percentage of what was counted.
Net migration
The difference between the number of people who have moved to, and departed from, a given
area. At the national level this is the equivalent to international migrant arrivals minus
international migrant departures. Subnational net migration includes both international migration
and internal migration.
Net reproduction rate (NRR)
The average number of daughters that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the
age-specific fertility and mortality rates of that year. An NRR of one means that a woman would
exactly replace herself.
New Zealand
This refers to geographic New Zealand, that is, the North Island, South Island, and adjacent
islands. People on board ships in New Zealand ports or territorial waters are included in regional
council area, North and South Island, and New Zealand populations, but not in those of smaller
administrative or statistical units.
Not-married estimated population
Includes all people aged 16 years and over who have never been married or are widowed or
divorced. The mean not-married population is estimated using the proportion of not-married
people, derived from census counts, and the annual mean estimated population.

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Nuptial birth
A child born to parents who are legally married or in a civil union at the time of birth. Nuptiality is
determined by the date of marriage or civil union on the birth registration form. If no date of
marriage or civil union is given, the birth is assumed to be ex-nuptial.
Pacific peoples ethnic group
People who identify with a Pacific ethnicity (for example, Samoan, Tongan, Fijian) with or without
other ethnicities.
Because ethnicity is self-perceived, people may choose to identify with a Pacific ethnicity even
though they are not descended from Pacific ancestors. Conversely, people may choose not to
identify with a Pacific ethnicity even though they are descended from Pacific ancestors. Ethnicity
is not the same as birthplace.
Parity
The number of children liveborn to a mother before the current confinement.
Period life table
A tabular numerical representation of mortality and survival of a cohort of births at each age of
life. It comprises an array of measures, including probabilities of death, probabilities of survival,
and life expectancies at various ages. It is based on current mortality rates.
These tables assume that as a cohort passes through life it experiences a given pattern of agespecific mortality rates which do not change from year to year. Although it is usually based on
death rates from a real population during a particular period of time, these tables are a
hypothetical model of mortality as they do not describe the real mortality which characterises a
cohort as it ages. A complete life table presents life table functions for each single year of age,
while an abridged life table presents life table functions for age groups.
Permanent and long-term arrival
An overseas migrant who arrives in New Zealand intending to stay for a period of 12 months or
more (or permanently), or a New Zealand resident returning after an absence of 12 months or
more.
Permanent and long-term departure
A New Zealand resident departing for an intended period of 12 months or more (or permanently),
or an overseas visitor departing New Zealand after a stay of 12 months or more.
Population estimate
Population estimates are produced using data from the most recent Census of Population and
Dwellings, updated for estimates of the components of demographic change (births, deaths, and
net migration) since that last census.
Post-enumeration survey
A sample survey to check the accuracy of coverage and/or response of another census or
survey.
Projection assumption
Statement about a future course of behaviour (for example, fertility, mortality, net migration, living
arrangement type, labour force participation) from which demographic projections (eg of
population, families, households, labour force) are derived.

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Regional council area (region)


The Local Government Commission established regional councils in 1989. Regional council
areas cover every territorial authority in New Zealand with the exception of the Chatham Islands
territory. The geographical boundaries of regions conform as far as possible to one or more water
catchments. In determining regions, consideration was also given to regional communities of
interest, natural resource management, land use planning, and environmental matters.
There are 16 regions in New Zealand. Twelve of these regions are administered by regional
councils, while the Gisborne, Tasman, Nelson, and Marlborough regions are administered by
their respective district or city councils. The boundaries of territorial authorities are generally the
same as regional council boundaries, although there are eight instances where territorial
boundaries straddle regional boundaries.
Replacement level fertility
The average number of children a woman needs to have to produce one daughter who survives
to childbearing age. It is also described as the total fertility rate required for the population to
replace itself, without migration.
The internationally accepted replacement level is 2.1 births per woman. It allows for the mortality
of females between birth and childbearing and the birth of more boys than girls. On average,
throughout the world, 105 boys are born for every 100 girls. The actual replacement level will vary
slightly among countries depending on child mortality rates. In countries with high child mortality,
the total fertility rate will need to be higher than 2.1 births per woman to achieve replacement
level.
Resident population concept
A statistical basis for a population in terms of those who usually live in a given area at a given
time. The census usually resident population count is a census measure, and the estimated
resident population is a demographic measure, of the resident population concept.
In terms of vitals data (births, deaths, marriages, etc), the resident population concept refers to
events registered in New Zealand to New Zealand residents only.
Resident temporarily overseas
A person who usually lives in New Zealand but who is overseas for a period of less than 12
months.
Rural area
The rural areas of New Zealand are those not defined as urban. They include:
1. Rural centres centres with populations of 300 to 999 in a reasonably compact area
which service their surrounding rural areas.
2. Area units where they are not included in main, secondary, or minor urban areas, and
inlets, islands, inland waters, and oceanic waters that are outside urban areas. The
population on shipboard is excluded from the rural-urban classification.
Short-term arrival
A visitor from overseas who intends to stay in New Zealand for less than 12 months, or a New
Zealand resident returning to New Zealand after an absence of less than 12 months.
Short-term departure
A New Zealand resident departing New Zealand for an intended period of less than 12 months, or
a visitor from overseas departing New Zealand after a stay of less than 12 months.

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Standardised death rate


The overall death rate that would have prevailed in a standard population if it had experienced
the age-specific (usually age- and sex-specific) death rates of the population being studied.
Stillbirth
The Births, Deaths, Marriages, and Relationships Registration Act which took effect from 1
September 1995, redefined a stillbirth as a child who is born dead and weighs 400g or more, or is
born dead after the 20th week of gestation. Before the new Act, a stillbirth was defined as a child
born dead after 28 weeks of gestation. This change in definition means that stillbirths from
September 1995 onwards are not directly comparable with earlier years.
Territorial authority area
The smallest local government entities, created by the local government reorganisation that took
effect on 1 November 1989. Based on 2006 boundaries, there are 16 cities, 56 districts and one
territory. Banks Peninsula District became part of Christchurch city on 6 March 2006.
Territorial authority boundaries are defined by aggregations of area units. When defining the
boundaries of territorial authorities, the Local Government Commission placed considerable
weight on the 'community of interest'.
A new unitary authority (the Auckland Council) became operational on 1 November 2010, and
several related boundary changes took effect. At the regional council level, the boundary that
demarcates the Auckland and Waikato regions has changed. At the territorial authority level, two
districts (Rodney and Papakura) and four cities (North Shore, Waitakere, Auckland, and
Manukau) have become part of the new Auckland Council area, while the Franklin district has
been divided between three territorial authority areas: Auckland, Hauraki district, and Waikato
district.
Total fertility rate
The average number of live births that a woman would have during her life if she experienced the
age-specific fertility rates of a given period (usually one year). It excludes the effect of mortality.
Total pregnancy rate
The average number of pregnancies that a woman would have during her life if she experienced
the age-specific pregnancy rates of a given period (usually one year). It excludes the effect of
mortality.
Urban area
Non-administrative areas with urban characteristics and a high to moderate concentration of
population. The classification of urban areas was revised for the 1991 Census of Population and
Dwellings into three parts main, secondary, and minor urban areas:
1. Main urban areas centres with populations of 30,000 or more. There are currently 16
main urban areas (12 in the North Island and four in the South). Auckland, Wellington,
Hamilton, Napier-Hastings are further subdivided into zones.
2. Secondary urban areas centres with populations between 10,000 and 29,999. There
are currently 14 secondary urban areas.
3. Minor urban areas centres with populations of 1,000 or more not already classified as
urban (that is, not falling within a main or secondary urban area). There are currently 99
minor urban areas and, together with the above two categories, they constitute the urban
population of New Zealand.
Urban areas are currently defined on the basis of the 1996 Census usually resident population
count. As a result, Greymouth is still classified as a secondary urban area, even though the 2001
Census usually resident population count, and the estimated resident populations at 30 June
200105, fall below 10,000.
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Vital statistics
Statistics of events, such as births, deaths, and marriages, which influence the numbers of a
population.
Workforce
The population aged 15 years and over who regularly work for one or more hours per week for
financial gain, or work without pay in a family business.

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Maps
Figure 8.1

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Demographic Trends: 2011

Figure 8.2

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